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1.
Lancet ; 391(10125): 1108-1120, 2018 03 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29179954

RESUMEN

The World Bank is publishing nine volumes of Disease Control Priorities, 3rd edition (DCP3) between 2015 and 2018. Volume 9, Improving Health and Reducing Poverty, summarises the main messages from all the volumes and contains cross-cutting analyses. This Review draws on all nine volumes to convey conclusions. The analysis in DCP3 is built around 21 essential packages that were developed in the nine volumes. Each essential package addresses the concerns of a major professional community (eg, child health or surgery) and contains a mix of intersectoral policies and health-sector interventions. 71 intersectoral prevention policies were identified in total, 29 of which are priorities for early introduction. Interventions within the health sector were grouped onto five platforms (population based, community level, health centre, first-level hospital, and referral hospital). DCP3 defines a model concept of essential universal health coverage (EUHC) with 218 interventions that provides a starting point for country-specific analysis of priorities. Assuming steady-state implementation by 2030, EUHC in lower-middle-income countries would reduce premature deaths by an estimated 4·2 million per year. Estimated total costs prove substantial: about 9·1% of (current) gross national income (GNI) in low-income countries and 5·2% of GNI in lower-middle-income countries. Financing provision of continuing intervention against chronic conditions accounts for about half of estimated incremental costs. For lower-middle-income countries, the mortality reduction from implementing the EUHC can only reach about half the mortality reduction in non-communicable diseases called for by the Sustainable Development Goals. Full achievement will require increased investment or sustained intersectoral action, and actions by finance ministries to tax smoking and polluting emissions and to reduce or eliminate (often large) subsidies on fossil fuels appear of central importance. DCP3 is intended to be a model starting point for analyses at the country level, but country-specific cost structures, epidemiological needs, and national priorities will generally lead to definitions of EUHC that differ from country to country and from the model in this Review. DCP3 is particularly relevant as achievement of EUHC relies increasingly on greater domestic finance, with global developmental assistance in health focusing more on global public goods. In addition to assessing effects on mortality, DCP3 looked at outcomes of EUHC not encompassed by the disability-adjusted life-year metric and related cost-effectiveness analyses. The other objectives included financial protection (potentially better provided upstream by keeping people out of the hospital rather than downstream by paying their hospital bills for them), stillbirths averted, palliative care, contraception, and child physical and intellectual growth. The first 1000 days after conception are highly important for child development, but the next 7000 days are likewise important and often neglected.


Asunto(s)
Atención a la Salud/organización & administración , Salud Global , Prioridades en Salud , Cobertura Universal del Seguro de Salud , Humanos
2.
J Water Health ; 11(1): 1-12, 2013 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23428544

RESUMEN

Economic evidence on the cost and benefits of sanitation and drinking-water supply supports higher allocation of resources and selection of efficient and affordable interventions. The study aim is to estimate global and regional costs and benefits of sanitation and drinking-water supply interventions to meet the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) target in 2015, as well as to attain universal coverage. Input data on costs and benefits from reviewed literature were combined in an economic model to estimate the costs and benefits, and benefit-cost ratios (BCRs). Benefits included health and access time savings. Global BCRs (Dollar return per Dollar invested) were 5.5 for sanitation, 2.0 for water supply and 4.3 for combined sanitation and water supply. Globally, the costs of universal access amount to US$ 35 billion per year for sanitation and US$ 17.5 billion for drinking-water, over the 5-year period 2010-2015 (billion defined as 10(9) here and throughout). The regions accounting for the major share of costs and benefits are South Asia, East Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Improved sanitation and drinking-water supply deliver significant economic returns to society, especially sanitation. Economic evidence should further feed into advocacy efforts to raise funding from governments, households and the private sector.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable/normas , Salud Pública/normas , Saneamiento/economía , Saneamiento/normas , Abastecimiento de Agua/normas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Salud Global , Humanos , Salud Pública/economía , Abastecimiento de Agua/economía
3.
Hum Resour Health ; 10: 3, 2012 Feb 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22357353

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Recent years have seen an unprecedented increase in funds for procurement of health commodities in developing countries. A major challenge now is the efficient delivery of commodities and services to improve population health. With this in mind, we documented staffing levels and productivity in peripheral health facilities in southern Tanzania. METHOD: A health facility survey was conducted to collect data on staff employed, their main tasks, availability on the day of the survey, reasons for absenteeism, and experience of supervisory visits from District Health Teams. In-depth interview with health workers was done to explore their perception of work load. A time and motion study of nurses in the Reproductive and Child Health (RCH) clinics documented their time use by task. RESULTS: We found that only 14% (122/854) of the recommended number of nurses and 20% (90/441) of the clinical staff had been employed at the facilities. Furthermore, 44% of clinical staff was not available on the day of the survey. Various reasons were given for this. Amongst the clinical staff, 38% were absent because of attendance to seminar sessions, 8% because of long-training, 25% were on official travel and 20% were on leave. RCH clinic nurses were present for 7 hours a day, but only worked productively for 57% of time present at facility. Almost two-third of facilities had received less than 3 visits from district health teams during the 6 months preceding the survey. CONCLUSION: This study documented inadequate staffing of health facilities, a high degree of absenteeism, low productivity of the staff who were present and inadequate supervision in peripheral Tanzanian health facilities. The implications of these findings are discussed in the context of decentralized health care in Tanzania.

4.
Lancet Glob Health ; 10(6): e840-e849, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35397226

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: An alarming number of public health-care facilities in low-income and middle-income countries lack basic water, sanitation, hygiene (WASH), and waste management services. This study estimates the costs of achieving full coverage of basic WASH and waste services in existing public health facilities in the 46 UN designated least-developed countries (LDCs). METHODS: In this modelling study, in-need facilities were quantified by combining published counts of public facilities with estimated basic WASH and waste service coverage. Country-specific per-facility capital and recurrent costs to deliver basic services were collected via survey of country WASH experts and officials between Sept 24 and Dec 24, 2020. Baseline cost estimates were modelled and discounted by 5% per year. Key assumptions were adjusted to produce lower and upper estimates, including adjusting the discount rate to 8% and 3% per year, respectively. FINDINGS: An estimated US$6·5 billion to $9·6 billion from 2021 to 2030 is needed to achieve full coverage of basic WASH and waste services in public health facilities in LDCs. Capital costs are $2·9 billion to $4·8 billion and recurrent costs are $3·6 billion to $4·8 billion over this time period. A mean of $0·24-0·40 per capita in capital investment is needed each year, and annual operations and maintenance costs are expected to increase from $0·10 in 2021 to $0·39-0·60 in 2030. Waste management accounts for the greatest share of costs, requiring $3·7 billion (46·6% of the total) in the baseline estimates, followed by $1·8 billion (23·1%) for sanitation, $1·5 billion (19·5%) for water, and $845 million (10·7%) for hygiene. Needs are greatest for non-hospital facilities ($7·4 billion [94%] of $7·9 billion) and for facilities in rural areas ($5·3 billion [68%]). INTERPRETATION: Investment will need to increase to reach full coverage of basic WASH and waste services in public health facilities. Financial needs are modest compared with current overall health and WASH spending, and better service coverage will yield substantial health benefits. To sustain services and prevent degradation and early replacement, countries will need to routinely budget for operations and maintenance of WASH and waste management assets. FUNDING: WHO (including underlying grants from the governments of Japan, the Netherlands, and the UK), World Bank (including an underlying grant from the Global Water Security and Sanitation Partnership), and UNICEF. TRANSLATIONS: For the Arabic, French and Portuguese translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Asunto(s)
Saneamiento , Administración de Residuos , Países Desarrollados , Países en Desarrollo , Humanos , Higiene , Salud Pública , Naciones Unidas , Agua , Abastecimiento de Agua
5.
Malar J ; 10: 305, 2011 Oct 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22004614

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In Gabon, the impact of intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in infants (IPTi) was not statistically significant on malaria reduction, but the impact on moderate anaemia was, with some differences between the intention to treat (ITT) and the according to protocol (ATP) trial analyses. Specifically, ATP was statistically significant, while ITT analysis was borderline. The main reason for the difference between ITT and ATP populations was migration. METHODS: This study estimates the cost-effectiveness of IPTi on the reduction of anaemia in Gabon, comparing results of the ITT and the ATP clinical trial analyses. Threshold analysis was conducted to identify when the intervention costs and protective efficacy of IPTi for the ATP cohort equalled the ITT cost-effectiveness ratio. RESULTS: Based on IPTi intervention costs, the cost per episode of moderate anaemia averted was US$12.88 (CI 95% 4.19, 30.48) using the ITT analysis and US$11.30 (CI 95% 4.56, 26.66) using the ATP analysis. In order for the ATP results to equal the cost-effectiveness of ITT, total ATP intervention costs should rise from 118.38 to 134 US$ ATP or the protective efficacy should fall from 27% to 18.1%. The uncertainty surrounding the cost-effectiveness ratio using ITT trial results was higher than using ATP results. CONCLUSIONS: Migration implies great challenges in the organization of health interventions that require repeat visits in Gabon. This was apparent in the study as the cost-effectiveness of IPTp-SP worsened when drop out from the prevention was taken into account. Despite such challenges, IPTi was both inexpensive and efficacious in averting cases of moderate anaemia in infants.


Asunto(s)
Anemia/prevención & control , Antimaláricos/administración & dosificación , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Quimioterapia/métodos , Malaria/complicaciones , Malaria/prevención & control , Anemia/economía , Antimaláricos/economía , Quimioterapia/economía , Gabón , Humanos , Lactante , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/economía
6.
Global Health ; 7: 18, 2011 Jun 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21707990

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In responding to the health challenges of climate change, those responsible for health policies and resource allocations need to know the resource consequences of their decisions. This article examines the availability and strength of economic evidence for policy makers to draw on in making health policy decisions. METHODS: Relevant literature was obtained using a Medline and INTERNET search of key terms and institutions working in health and climate change. Eighteen available economic studies are presented under three categories of economic evidence: health damage cost, health adaptation cost and health economic evaluation. RESULTS: In economic studies valuing the predicted increased mortality from climate change, the health damages represent an important fraction of overall economic losses. Similarly, when considering broader health protection measures beyond the health sector (e.g. agriculture, water supply) health considerations are central. Global adaptation cost studies carried out so far indicate health sector costs of roughly US$2-5 billion annually (mid-estimates). However, these costs are expected to be an underestimate of the true costs, due to omitted health impacts, omitted economic impacts, and the costs of health actions in other sectors. No published studies compare the costs and benefits of specific health interventions to protect health from climate change. CONCLUSIONS: More economic studies are needed examining the costs and benefits of adaptation measures to inform policy making. There is an urgent need for climate change-specific health economic guidelines to ensure robust methods are used, giving comparable results. Broader advocacy and focused training of decision makers is needed to increase the uptake of economic evidence in decision making. Until further climate change-specific economic studies have been conducted, decision makers should selectively draw on published studies of the costs and benefits of environmental health interventions.

7.
BMJ Glob Health ; 6(12)2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34916276

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Domestic hand hygiene could prevent over 500 000 attributable deaths per year, but 6 in 10 people in least developed countries (LDCs) do not have a handwashing facility (HWF) with soap and water available at home. We estimated the economic costs of universal access to basic hand hygiene services in household settings in 46 LDCs. METHODS: Our model combines quantities of households with no HWF and prices of promotion campaigns, HWFs, soap and water. For quantities, we used estimates from the WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme. For prices, we collated data from recent impact evaluations and electronic searches. Accounting for inflation and purchasing power, we calculated costs over 2021-2030, and estimated total cost probabilistically using Monte Carlo simulation. RESULTS: An estimated US$12.2-US$15.3 billion over 10 years is needed for universal hand hygiene in household settings in 46 LDCs. The average annual cost of hand hygiene promotion is US$334 million (24% of annual total), with a further US$233 million for 'top-up' promotion (17%). Together, these promotion costs represent US$0.47 annually per head of LDC population. The annual cost of HWFs, a purpose-built drum with tap and stand, is US$174 million (13%). The annual cost of soap is US$497 million (36%) and water US$127 million (9%). CONCLUSION: The annual cost of behavioural change promotion to those with no HWF represents 4.7% of median government health expenditure in LDCs, and 1% of their annual aid receipts. These costs could be covered by mobilising resources from across government and partners, and could be reduced by harnessing economies of scale and integrating hand hygiene with other behavioural change campaigns where appropriate. Innovation is required to make soap more affordable and available for the poorest households.


Asunto(s)
Países en Desarrollo , Higiene de las Manos , Composición Familiar , Desinfección de las Manos , Gastos en Salud , Humanos
8.
Sci Total Environ ; 795: 148789, 2021 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34243010

RESUMEN

The COVID-19 pandemic has shone a light on handwashing as an inexpensive, widely applicable response measure. In consequence, most governments have taken action to promote access to water and sanitation services for all. This paper documents an overview of initiatives and interventions that countries have implemented during the first months of the COVID-19 response. Initiatives have been identified across 84 countries worldwide, and categorized into those that aimed at securing water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) for all, and those that sought to provide technical and financial support to service providers. The pandemic has not hit countries in the same way. Accordingly, results show disparities in the response between and within regions, with the level of activity found in the countries varying largely in terms of ambition and scope. Hygiene promotion and infection prevention and control (IPC) has been widely adopted - at least one response measure found in 94% of mapped countries -, although not always matched in ambition with the assured availability of soap, water, and handwashing facilities. Support to vulnerable households to promote basic access to WASH services at scale was weak (38% of countries) or implemented locally (25%), and requiring additional focus, particularly in rural areas and small towns. In addition, parallel support needs to be extended to service providers or to households themselves in the form of cash transfers, in order to ensure the financial viability and the continuity of services. All lessons learned distilled from the pandemic should help strengthen the enabling environment for more resilient services in future emergencies. Areas for focus could include developing specific pandemic response strategies and plans; strengthening coordination; and establishing emergency financial support mechanisms for water operators, for example. Overall, findings presented herein contribute to enhance current and future pandemics prevention, mitigation, and recovery.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Saneamiento , Gobierno , Humanos , Higiene , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Agua , Abastecimiento de Agua
9.
Bull World Health Organ ; 87(2): 123-9, 2009 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19274364

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of malaria intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) using sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP). METHODS: In two previous IPTi trials in Ifakara (United Republic of Tanzania) and Manhiça (Mozambique), SP was administered three times to infants before 9 months of age through the Expanded Programme on Immunization. Based on the efficacy results of the intervention and on malaria incidence in the target population, an estimate was made of the number of clinical malaria episodes prevented. This number and an assumed case-fatality rate of 1.57% were used, in turn, to estimate the number of disability-adjusted life years (DALY) averted and the number of deaths averted. The cost of the intervention, including start-up and recurrent costs, was then assessed on the basis of these figures. FINDINGS: The cost per clinical episode of malaria averted was US$ 1.57 (range: US$ 0.8-4.0) in Ifakara and US$ 4.73 (range: US$ 1.7-30.3) in Manhiça; the cost per DALY averted was US$ 3.7 (range: US$ 1.6-12.2) in Ifakara and US$ 11.2 (range: US$ 3.6-92.0) in Manhiça; and the cost per death averted was US$ 100.2 (range: US$ 43.0-330.9) in Ifakara and US$ 301.1 (range: US$ 95.6-2498.4) in Manhiça. CONCLUSION: From the health system and societal perspectives, IPTi with SP is expected to produce health improvements in a cost-effective way. From an economic perspective, it offers good value for money for public health programmes.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/economía , Malaria/economía , Malaria/prevención & control , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Combinación de Medicamentos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Malaria/epidemiología , Masculino , Mozambique/epidemiología , Análisis Multivariante , Pirimetamina/economía , Pirimetamina/uso terapéutico , Sulfadoxina/economía , Sulfadoxina/uso terapéutico , Tanzanía/epidemiología
10.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 8: 165, 2008 Jul 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18671874

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Achieving the Millennium Development Goals for health requires a massive scaling-up of interventions in Sub Saharan Africa. Intermittent Preventive Treatment in infants (IPTi) is a promising new tool for malaria control. Although efficacy information is available for many interventions, there is a dearth of data on the resources required for scaling up of health interventions. METHOD: We worked in partnership with the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare (MoHSW) to develop an IPTi strategy that could be implemented and managed by routine health services. We tracked health system and other costs of (1) developing the strategy and (2) maintaining routine implementation of the strategy in five districts in southern Tanzania. Financial costs were extracted and summarized from a costing template and semi-structured interviews were conducted with key informants to record time and resources spent on IPTi activities. RESULTS: The estimated financial cost to start-up and run IPTi in the whole of Tanzania in 2005 was US$1,486,284. Start-up costs of US$36,363 were incurred at the national level, mainly on the development of Behaviour Change Communication (BCC) materials, stakeholders' meetings and other consultations. The annual running cost at national level for intervention management and monitoring and drug purchase was estimated at US$459,096. Start-up costs at the district level were US$7,885 per district, mainly expenditure on training. Annual running costs were US$170 per district, mainly for printing of BCC materials. There was no incremental financial expenditure needed to deliver the intervention in health facilities as supplies were delivered alongside routine vaccinations and available health workers performed the activities without working overtime. The economic cost was estimated at 23 US cents per IPTi dose delivered. CONCLUSION: The costs presented here show the order of magnitude of expenditures needed to initiate and to implement IPTi at national scale in settings with high Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) coverage. The IPTi intervention appears to be affordable even within the budget constraints of Ministries of Health of most sub-Saharan African countries.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/economía , Implementación de Plan de Salud/economía , Malaria/prevención & control , Servicios Preventivos de Salud/economía , Pirimetamina/economía , Sulfadoxina/economía , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Servicios de Salud Comunitaria/economía , Combinación de Medicamentos , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Recursos en Salud/economía , Recursos en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Recursos en Salud/tendencias , Humanos , Lactante , Entrevistas como Asunto , Técnicas de Planificación , Pirimetamina/uso terapéutico , Características de la Residencia , Sulfadoxina/uso terapéutico , Tanzanía
11.
J Water Health ; 5(4): 467-80, 2007 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17878561

RESUMEN

The aim of this study was to estimate the costs and the health benefits of the following interventions: increasing access to improved water supply and sanitation facilities, increasing access to in house piped water and sewerage connection, and providing household water treatment, in ten WHO sub-regions. The cost-effectiveness of each intervention was assessed in terms of US dollars per disability adjusted life year (DALY) averted. This analysis found that almost all interventions were cost-effective, especially in developing countries with high mortality rates. The estimated cost-effectiveness ratio (CER) varied between US$20 per DALY averted for disinfection at point of use to US$13,000 per DALY averted for improved water and sanitation facilities. While increasing access to piped water supply and sewage connections on plot was the intervention that had the largest health impact across all sub-regions, household water treatment was found to be the most cost-effective intervention. A policy shift to include better household water quality management to complement the continuing expansion of coverage and upgrading of services would appear to be a cost-effective health intervention in many developing countries.


Asunto(s)
Salud Global , Ingeniería Sanitaria/economía , Abastecimiento de Agua/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Países en Desarrollo , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Modelos Econométricos , Organización Mundial de la Salud
12.
J Water Health ; 5(4): 481-502, 2007 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17878562

RESUMEN

The aim of this study was to estimate the economic benefits and costs of a range of interventions to improve access to water supply and sanitation facilities in the developing world. Results are presented for eleven developing country WHO sub-regions as well as at the global level, in United States Dollars (US$) for the year 2000. Five different types of water supply and sanitation improvement were modelled: achieving the water millennium development goal of reducing by half in 2015 those without improved water supply in the year 1990; achieving the combined water supply and sanitation MDG; universal basic access to water supply and sanitation; universal basic access plus water purification at the point-of-use; and regulated piped water supply and sewer connection. Predicted reductions in the incidence of diarrhoeal disease were calculated based on the expected population receiving these interventions. The costs of the interventions included estimations of the full investment and annual running costs. The benefits of the interventions included time savings due to easier access, gain in productive time and reduced health care costs saved due to less illness, and prevented deaths. The results show that all water and sanitation improvements are cost-beneficial in all developing world sub-regions. In developing regions, the return on a US$1 investment was in the range US$5 to US$46, depending on the intervention. For the least developed regions, investing every US$1 to meet the combined water supply and sanitation MDG lead to a return of at least US$5 (AFR-D, AFR-E, SEAR-D) or US$12 (AMR-B; EMR-B; WPR-B). The main contributor to economic benefits was time savings associated with better access to water and sanitation services, contributing at least 80% to overall economic benefits. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that even under pessimistic data assumptions the potential economic benefits outweighed the costs in all developing world regions. Further country case-studies are recommended as a follow up to this global analysis.


Asunto(s)
Salud Global , Ingeniería Sanitaria/economía , Abastecimiento de Agua/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Países en Desarrollo , Diarrea/economía , Diarrea/epidemiología , Diarrea/prevención & control , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Modelos Econométricos , Factores de Tiempo
13.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 75(2 Suppl): 119-30, 2006 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16931823

RESUMEN

This report presents an approach to costing the delivery of a malaria vaccine through the expanded program on immunization (EPI), and presents the predicted cost per dose delivered and cost per fully immunized child (FIC) in Tanzania, which are key inputs to the cost-effectiveness analysis. The costs included in the analysis are those related to the purchase of the vaccine taking into account the wastage rate; the costs of distributing and storing the vaccine at central, zonal, district, and facility level; those of managing the vaccination program; the costs of delivery at facility level (including personnel, syringes, safety boxes, and waste management); and those of additional training of EPI personnel and of social mobilization activities. The average cost per FIC increases almost linearly from US 4.2 dollars per FIC at a vaccine price of US 1 dollars per dose to US 31.2 dollars at vaccine price of US 10 dollars per dose. The marginal cost is approximately 5% less than the average cost. Although the vaccine price still determines most of the total delivery costs, the analysis shows that other costs are relevant and should be taken into account before marketing the vaccine and planning its inclusion into the EPI.


Asunto(s)
Atención a la Salud/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Vacunas contra la Malaria/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra la Malaria/economía , Programas Nacionales de Salud/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Malaria/inmunología , Programas Nacionales de Salud/organización & administración , Tanzanía
14.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 75(2 Suppl): 90-103, 2006 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16931820

RESUMEN

An important shortcoming of existing methods for estimating the cost-effectiveness of malaria control interventions is that the incidence of illness and transmission dynamics are assumed to be independent of the case management system. We have developed a model for case management and integrated it into a stochastic simulation of Plasmodium falciparum malaria dynamics. This allows us to predict the incidence of clinical episodes and of mortality while incorporating effects of case management on persistence of parasites and transmission. We make predictions for a range of different transmission intensities in sub-Saharan Africa and simulate a range of case management scenarios with different coverage rates. The model predicts that high treatment rates have a proportionately greater epidemiologic impact at low transmission levels. Further development is needed for models for health-seeking behavior and referral patterns. The current model is a first step towards useful predictions of the epidemiologic and economic consequences of introducing and/or scaling-up of malaria control interventions.


Asunto(s)
Manejo de Caso/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Malaria Falciparum/economía , Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , África del Sur del Sahara/epidemiología , Animales , Antimaláricos/economía , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Manejo de Caso/estadística & datos numéricos , Niño , Preescolar , Árboles de Decisión , Humanos , Lactante , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Estadísticos , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación
15.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 75(2 Suppl): 131-43, 2006 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16931824

RESUMEN

We model the cost-effectiveness of the introduction of a pre-erythrocytic malaria vaccine into the Expanded Program on Immunization. We use a dynamic stochastic simulation model of the epidemiology of Plasmodium falciparum in malaria-endemic areas and of case management in Tanzania. We consider a range of vaccine characteristics and a range of transmission settings. At low vaccine prices, the cost-effectiveness of such vaccines may be similar to that of other established preventative and curative interventions against malaria. The cost-effectiveness ratio increases rapidly and approximately linearly with vaccine cost per dose. The approach can be adopted for comparative analyses of the cost effectiveness of different vaccines and other intervention strategies.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Malaria/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra la Malaria/economía , Malaria Falciparum/economía , Malaria Falciparum/prevención & control , Programas Nacionales de Salud/economía , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Simulación por Computador , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/economía , Eritrocitos/parasitología , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Lactante , Vacunas contra la Malaria/inmunología , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Económicos , Tanzanía/epidemiología
16.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 75(2 Suppl): 1-10, 2006 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16931810

RESUMEN

We report a major project to develop integrated mathematical models for predicting the epidemiologic and economic effects of malaria vaccines both at the individual and population level. The project has developed models of the within-host dynamics of Plasmodium falciparum that have been fitted to parasite density profiles from malaria therapy patients, and simulations of P. falciparum epidemiology fitted to field malariologic datasets from a large ensemble of settings across Africa. The models provide a unique platform for predicting both the short- and long-term effects of malaria vaccines on the burden of disease, allowing for the temporal dynamics of effects on immunity and transmission. We discuss how the models can be used to obtain robust cost-effectiveness estimates for a wide range of malaria vaccines and vaccination delivery strategies in different eco-epidemiologic settings. This paper outlines for a non-mathematical audience the approach we have taken and its underlying rationale.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Malaria/inmunología , Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Malaria Falciparum/prevención & control , Modelos Biológicos , Animales , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Malaria/administración & dosificación , Malaria Falciparum/parasitología , Modelos Estadísticos , Plasmodium falciparum/inmunología
17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27240389

RESUMEN

Safe drinking water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) are fundamental to an improved standard of living. Globally, 91% of households used improved drinking water sources in 2015, while for improved sanitation it is 68%. Wealth disparities are stark, with rural populations, slum dwellers and marginalized groups lagging significantly behind. Service coverage is significantly lower when considering the new water and sanitation targets under the sustainable development goals (SDGs) which aspire to a higher standard of 'safely managed' water and sanitation. Lack of access to WASH can have an economic impact as much as 7% of Gross Domestic Product, not including the social and environmental consequences. Research points to significant health and socio-economic consequences of poor nutritional status, child growth and school performance caused by inadequate WASH. Groundwater over-extraction and pollution of surface water bodies have serious impacts on water resource availability and biodiversity, while climate change exacerbates the health risks of water insecurity. A significant literature documents the beneficial impacts of WASH interventions, and a growing number of impact evaluation studies assess how interventions are optimally financed, implemented and sustained. Many innovations in behavior change and service delivery offer potential for scaling up services to meet the SDGs.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Higiene , Bases del Conocimiento , Saneamiento , Abastecimiento de Agua , Cambio Climático , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/economía , Humanos , Higiene/economía , Saneamiento/economía , Abastecimiento de Agua/economía
18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12693575

RESUMEN

A study was carried out in 8 villages endemic with S. japonicum in Hunan Province, China from 1998 to 2000 to evaluate the cost-effectiveness in preventing schistosome infection and related morbidity under three chemotherapy schemes: (1) 'clue' chemotherapy, consisting of treatment to those with contact with infected water and/or symptoms of infection; (2) 'mass' chemotherapy-treatment to all the villagers except those not able to take praziquantel; and (3) 'screen' chemotherapy-treatment prescribed to the stool egg positive cases after Kato-Katz examination. An itemized cost menu was used to estimate the cost incurred to each scheme, from the perspective of the health care provider. The numbers of cases prevented by chemotherapy schemes were estimated through standardized attributable fractions of the outcomes to absence of chemotherapy before intervention. The cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated using weighted ranks of unit costs of the four outcome measurements: the costs per case with infection, liver and spleen abnormality (as determined by ultrasonography) prevented and 1% reduction in intensity of infection (as estimated by egg per gram feces, EPG) after the two years of intervention. Sensitivity of total cost to changes in the costs of personnel, praziquantel and other key factors were analyzed. It is demonstrated that all the three schemes had a significant impacts on the prevalence and intensity of infection, but the overall effects on liver and spleen morbidity of the residents varied between schemes. Mass chemotherapy achieved the best cost-effectiveness ratio, with unit costs of preventing cases of infection, liver and spleen abnormality and 1% reduction of EPG being RMB yuan 161.2, 99.8, 219.3 and 176.3, respectively. However, clue and screen chemotherapy schemes did not show significant prevention of liver damages in the villagers. The unit costs per case prevented for the outcomes were RMB yuan 140.2, 602.7 and 169.3, respectively for clue chemotherapy, while RMB yuan 190.0, 448.4 and 145.0 respectively for screen chemotherapy. The study concluded that mass chemotherapy should still be the choice of preference in areas where prevalence of infection and frequencies of contact with infested water by residents are high, particularly if the drug cost could be further reduced. Clue chemotherapy could be an alternative to mass chemotherapy, especially when the frequency of water contact is not as high as 80% recorded in our study. Screen chemotherapy is the least favored option in the hyperendemic area of Hunan Province.


Asunto(s)
Antihelmínticos/administración & dosificación , Antihelmínticos/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Praziquantel/administración & dosificación , Praziquantel/economía , Esquistosomiasis Japónica/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Protocolos Clínicos , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Enfermedades Endémicas/economía , Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Selección de Paciente , Prevalencia , Esquistosomiasis Japónica/economía , Esquistosomiasis Japónica/epidemiología
19.
Environ Health Insights ; 8: 43-52, 2014.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25452694

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In responding to the health impacts of climate change, economic evidence and tools inform decision makers of the efficiency of alternative health policies and interventions. In a time when sweeping budget cuts are affecting all tiers of government, economic evidence on health protection from climate change spending enables comparison with other public spending. METHODS: The review included 53 countries of the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region. Literature was obtained using a Medline and Internet search of key terms in published reports and peer-reviewed literature, and from institutions working on health and climate change. Articles were included if they provided economic estimation of the health impacts of climate change or adaptation measures to protect health from climate change in the WHO European Region. Economic studies are classified under health impact cost, health adaptation cost, and health economic evaluation (comparing both costs and impacts). RESULTS: A total of 40 relevant studies from Europe were identified, covering the health damage or adaptation costs related to the health effects of climate change and response measures to climate-sensitive diseases. No economic evaluation studies were identified of response measures specific to the impacts of climate change. Existing studies vary in terms of the economic outcomes measured and the methods for evaluation of health benefits. The lack of robust health impact data underlying economic studies significantly affects the availability and precision of economic studies. CONCLUSIONS: Economic evidence in European countries on the costs of and response to climate-sensitive diseases is extremely limited and fragmented. Further studies are urgently needed that examine health impacts and the costs and efficiency of alternative responses to climate-sensitive health conditions, in particular extreme weather events (other than heat) and potential emerging diseases and other conditions threatening Europe.

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