Magnetic resonance elastography-based prediction model for hepatic decompensation in NAFLD: A multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate, continuous biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, the optimal combination with clinical factors to predict the risk of incident hepatic decompensation is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate an MRE-based prediction model for hepatic decompensation for patients with NAFLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This international multicenter cohort study included participants with NAFLD undergoing MRE from 6 hospitals. A total of 1254 participants were randomly assigned as training (n = 627) and validation (n = 627) cohorts. The primary end point was hepatic decompensation, defined as the first occurrence of variceal hemorrhage, ascites, or HE. Covariates associated with hepatic decompensation on Cox-regression were combined with MRE to construct a risk prediction model in the training cohort and then tested in the validation cohort. The median (IQR) age and MRE values were 61 (18) years and 3.5 (2.5) kPa in the training cohort and 60 (20) years and 3.4 (2.5) kPa in the validation cohort, respectively. The MRE-based multivariable model that included age, MRE, albumin, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets had excellent discrimination for the 3- and 5-year risk of hepatic decompensation (c-statistic 0.912 and 0.891, respectively) in the training cohort. The diagnostic accuracy remained consistent in the validation cohort with a c-statistic of 0.871 and 0.876 for hepatic decompensation at 3 and 5 years, respectively, and was superior to Fibrosis-4 in both cohorts ( p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: An MRE-based prediction model allows for accurate prediction of hepatic decompensation and assists in the risk stratification of patients with NAFLD.

Outcome of untreated low-level viremia versus antiviral therapy-induced or spontaneous undetectable HBV-DNA in compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Comparative outcomes of HBV-infected compensated cirrhosis with low-level viremia (LLV) versus maintained virological response (MVR) are unclear. We conducted a large, multiethnic, multicenter study to examine the natural history of LLV versus MVR in compensated cirrhosis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We enrolled patients with HBV-infected compensated cirrhosis (n=2316) from 19 hospitals in South Korea, Singapore, and Japan. We defined the LLV group as untreated patients with ≥1 detectable serum HBV-DNA (20-2000 IU/mL), Spontaneous-MVR group as untreated patients with spontaneously achieved MVR, and antiviral therapy (AVT)-MVR group as patients achieving AVT-induced MVR. Study end points were HCC or hepatic decompensation. RESULTS: The annual HCC incidence was 2.7/100 person-years (PYs), 2.6/100 PYs, and 3.3/100 PYs for LLV (n=742), Spontaneous-MVR (n=333), and AVT-MVR (n=1241) groups, respectively ( p = 0.81 between LLV vs. Spontaneous-MVR groups and p = 0.37 between LLV vs. AVT-MVR groups). Similarly, the annual decompensation incidence was 1.6/100 PYs, 1.9/100 PYs, and 1.6/100 PYs for LLV, Spontaneous-MVR, and AVT-MVR groups, respectively ( p = 0.40 between LLV vs. Spontaneous-MVR groups and p = 0.83 between LLV vs. AVT-MVR groups). Multivariable analyses determined that HCC and decompensation risks in the LLV group were comparable to those with Spontaneous-MVR and AVT-MVR groups (all p >0.05). Propensity score matching also reproduced similar results for HCC and decompensation risks (all p >0.05 between LLV vs. Spontaneous-MVR groups and between LLV vs. AVT-MVR groups). CONCLUSIONS: Untreated LLV in HBV-infected compensated cirrhosis is not associated with increased risk of disease progression compared with Spontaneous-MVR and AVT-MVR. These data have important implications for practice and further research.

Ramucirumab for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma in the current real world: a Japanese single-arm study post-REACH-2 (The R-evolution study).

This study aimed to complement the results of the REACH-2 study by prospectively evaluating the safety and efficacy of ramucirumab in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a real-world setting. This was an open-label, nonrandomized, multicenter, prospective study conducted at 13 institutions in Japan (jRCTs031190236). The study included Child-Pugh Class A patients with advanced HCC who had received pretreatment with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) or lenvatinib. Ramucirumab was introduced as a second-line treatment after Atez/Bev or lenvatinib and as a third-line treatment after Atez/Bev and lenvatinib. Between May 2020 and July 2022, we enrolled 19 patients, including 17 who received ramucirumab. Additionally, seven patients received lenvatinib, another seven patients received Atez/Bev, and three patients received Atez/Bev followed by lenvatinib as prior treatment. The primary endpoint was a 6-month progression-free survival (PFS) rate, which was 14.3%. The median PFS and overall survival were 3.7 and 12.0 months, respectively. The most common grade ≥ 3 adverse events (AEs) were hypertension (23.5%), proteinuria (17.6%), and neutropenia (11.8%). The discontinuation rate due to AEs was 29.4%. Six patients progressed from Child-Pugh A to B after treatment with ramucirumab. Thirteen patients were eligible for post-ramucirumab treatment, including systemic therapy. Despite the limited number of patients, the efficacy of ramucirumab was comparable to that observed in the REACH-2 study when used after lenvatinib and Atez/Bev. However, the incidence of AEs was higher than that in the REACH-2 study.

Glycemic control target for liver and cardiovascular events risk in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

AIMS: Optimizing glycemic control may prevent liver-related events and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, the optimal hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) threshold associated with a lower risk of complications, particularly liver-related events as well as MACE is unknown. METHODS: We investigated a nationwide population-based cohort and identified 633 279 patients with MASLD, with a mean follow-up of 4.2 years. Hemoglobin A1c levels were measured annually. The primary endpoint was the risk of liver-related events and MACE and to determine the optimal HbA1c level associated with the risk of complications. RESULTS: Mean HbA1c (per 1%) was associated with liver-related events (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.42) as well as MACE (sHR 1.36; 95% CI, 1.32-1.41) after adjustment for confounders. Multivariable sHR (95% CI) for HbA1c of <5.0%, 6.0%-6.9%, 7.0%-7.9%, 8.0%-8.9%, and ≥9.0% (reference, 5.0%-5.9%) were 14 (9.1-22), 1.70 (1.2-2.3), 3.32 (2.3-4.8), 3.81 (2.1-6.8), and 4.83 (2.4-9.6) for liver-related events, and 1.24 (0.8-1.8), 1.27 (1.2-1.4), 1.70 (1.5-2.0), 2.36 (1.9-2.9), and 4.17 (3.5-5.0) for MACE. An HbA1c level of 7% was selected as the optimal threshold for predicting complications (sHR 2.40 [1.8-3.2] for liver-related events and 1.98 [1.8-2.2] for MACE). CONCLUSION: The risk of liver-related events as well as MACE increased in a dose-dependent fashion with an increase in HbA1c levels, except for patients with HbA1c <5.0% for liver-related events. An HbA1c level of 7% was the optimal threshold associated with a lower risk of complications and may be utilized as a target for glycemic control in patients with MASLD.

Concordance between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

AIM: A multisociety consensus group proposed a new nomenclature for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Although patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are expected to be reclassified as patients with MASLD under the new nomenclature, the concordance between MASLD and NAFLD remains unclear. Moreover, waist circumference could be adjusted by ethnicity for diagnosing MASLD; however, there are limited data on the optimal waist circumference in the Japanese population. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted on 3709 Japanese patients with NAFLD. The primary endpoint was the prevalence of MASLD in patients with NAFLD. The difference between the original waist circumference criteria (>94 cm for men and >80 cm for women) and the Japanese metabolic syndrome criteria (≥85 cm for men and ≥90 cm for women) for concordance between NAFLD and MASLD was also investigated. RESULTS: According to the original criteria, the prevalence of MASLD in patients with NAFLD was 96.7%. Similarly, according to the Japanese waist circumference criteria, 96.2% of patients with NAFLD could be reclassified as those with MASLD. The concordance rate was significantly higher in the original criteria than in the Japanese criteria (p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD could be considered MASLD using the original MASLD criteria in the Japanese population, and insights from NAFLD research could be applied to MASLD.

Impact of immune-related adverse events in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Immune checkpoint inhibitors pose the risk of immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Recent data suggest that irAEs may be associated with a favorable prognosis. This study aimed to investigate and analyze the association between these adverse events and the clinical benefits in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. METHODS: The study enrolled 130 patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab between November 2020 and January 2023 at a single center. The relationship between irAEs and both response rate and post-treatment outcomes was investigated. RESULTS: Out of the 130 patients, irAEs developed in 36 (27.7%) patients. The irAE group exhibited a significantly longer progression-free survival (PFS) than the non-irAE group, with a median PFS of 8.9 compared with 4.6 months (P < 0.01). No difference was found in the overall survival between the irAE and non-irAE groups. The irAE group demonstrated significantly higher disease control rate (DCR) than the non-irAE group (97.0% vs 65.5%, P < 0.01). The analysis by irAE severity revealed that the grade 1/2 group exhibited significantly longer PFS (7.9 vs 4.6 months, P = 0.007) and higher DCR (100% vs 65.5%, P < 0.01) than the non-irAE group. Furthermore, hypothyroidism correlated with a favorable PFS (8.9 vs 5.4 months, P = 0.02), DCR (100% vs 71.3%, P = 0.03), and overall response rate (58.3% vs 18.5%, P = 0.005). CONCLUSION: The presence of irAEs is associated with prolonged PFS and higher DCR. Specifically, mild irAEs (grade 1/2) and hypothyroidism displayed prolonged PFS and higher DCR.

Two-Step Strategy, FIB-4 Followed by Magnetic Resonance Elastography, for Detecting Advanced Fibrosis in NAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: A two-step strategy combining a serum marker and magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) for detecting advanced fibrosis (stage 3-4) among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been proposed, but its diagnostic accuracy has not been evaluated. In this multicenter study, we aimed to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of a two-step strategy including Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) followed by MRE. METHODS: In this multicenter study, 806 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD who underwent contemporaneous MRE were enrolled and randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts. As a first step, patients with FIB-4 <1.3 were defined as test negative regardless of MRE. As a second step, among patients with FIB-4 ≥1.3, MRE <3.6 and ≥3.6 kPa were defined as test negative and positive. The primary outcome was the diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis comparing MRE alone versus the two-step strategy. RESULTS: Area under the receiver characteristic curves of MRE alone and the two-step strategy were 0.840 and 0.853 in the training cohort (P = .4) and 0.867 and 0.834 in the validation cohort (P = .2), respectively, and the diagnostic accuracy was comparable between the 2 methods. In the entire cohort, negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) of MRE for advanced fibrosis were 92.2% and 73.7%, respectively, whereas NPV at the first and second step and PPV at the second step were 90.9%, 84.4%, and 77.0%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic accuracy of the two-step strategy was comparable to MRE and could reduce cost by reducing excessive MRE. Therefore, the two-step strategy could be used as a screening method in a large population.

Liver Stiffness on Magnetic Resonance Elastography and the MEFIB Index and Liver-Related Outcomes in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Participants.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, limited data characterize its association with clinical outcomes. We conducted an individual participant data pooled meta-analysis on patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease to evaluate the association between liver stiffness on MRE and liver-related outcomes. METHODS: A systematic search identified 6 cohorts of adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease who underwent a baseline MRE and were followed for hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death. Cox and logistic regression were used to assess the association between liver stiffness on MRE and liver-related outcomes, including a composite primary outcome defined as varices needing treatment, ascites, and hepatic encephalopathy. RESULTS: This individual participant data pooled meta-analysis included 2018 patients (53% women) with a mean (± standard deviation) age of 57.8 (±14) years and MRE at baseline of 4.15 (±2.19) kPa, respectively. Among 1707 patients with available longitudinal data with a median (interquartile range) of 3 (4.2) years of follow-up, the hazard ratio for the primary outcome for MRE of 5 to 8 kPa was 11.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.03-17.1, P < .001) and for ≥ 8 kPa was 15.9 (95% CI: 9.32-27.2, P < .001), compared with those with MRE <5 kPa. The MEFIB index (defined as positive when MRE ≥3.3 kPa and Fibrosis-4 ≥1.6) had a robust association with the primary outcome with a hazard ratio of 20.6 (95% CI: 10.4-40.8, P < .001) and a negative MEFIB had a high negative predictive value for the primary outcome, 99.1% at 5 years. The 3-year risk of incident hepatocellular carcinoma was 0.35% for MRE <5 kPa, 5.25% for 5 to 8 kPa, and 5.66% for MRE ≥8 kPa, respectively. CONCLUSION: Liver stiffness assessed by MRE is associated with liver-related events, and the combination of MRE and Fibrosis-4 has excellent negative predictive value for hepatic decompensation. These data have important implications for clinical practice.

Long-term Treatment With Tenofovir Alafenamide for Chronic Hepatitis B Results in High Rates of Viral Suppression and Favorable Renal and Bone Safety.

OBJECTIVES: Results from two Phase 3 studies, through 2 years, in chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) showed tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) had similar efficacy to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) with superior renal and bone safety. Here, we report updated results through 5 years. METHODS: Patients with HBeAg-negative or -positive CHB with or without compensated cirrhosis were randomized (2:1) to TAF 25 mg or TDF 300 mg once daily in double-blind (DB) fashion for up to 3 years, followed by open-label (OL) TAF up to 8 years. Efficacy (antiviral, biochemical, serologic), resistance (deep sequencing of polymerase/reverse transcriptase and phenotyping), and safety, including renal and bone parameters, were evaluated by pooled analyses. RESULTS: Of 1298 randomized and treated patients, 866 receiving TAF (DB and OL) and 432 receiving TDF with rollover to OL TAF at year 2 (n = 180; TDF→TAF3y) or year 3 (n = 202; TDF→TAF2y) were included. Fifty (4%) TDF patients who discontinued during DB were excluded. At year 5, 85%, 83%, and 90% achieved HBV DNA < 29 IU/mL (missing = failure) in the TAF, TDF→TAF3y, and TDF→TAF2y groups, respectively; no patient developed TAF or TDF resistance. Median eGFR (by Cockcroft-Gault) declined < 2.5 mL/min, and mean declines of < 1% in hip and spine bone mineral density were seen at year 5 in the TAF group; patients in the TDF→TAF groups had improvements in these parameters at year 5 after switching to OL TAF. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term TAF treatment resulted in high rates of viral suppression, no resistance, and favorable renal and bone safety.

Multivariable Quantitative US Parameters for Assessing Hepatic Steatosis.

Background Because of the global increase in the incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, the development of noninvasive, widely available, and highly accurate methods for assessing hepatic steatosis is necessary. Purpose To evaluate the performance of models with different combinations of quantitative US parameters for their ability to predict at least 5% steatosis in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) as defined using MRI proton density fat fraction (PDFF). Materials and Methods Patients with CLD were enrolled in this prospective multicenter study between February 2020 and April 2021. Integrated backscatter coefficient (IBSC), signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and US-guided attenuation parameter (UGAP) were measured in all participants. Participant MRI PDFF value was used to define at least 5% steatosis. Four models based on different combinations of US parameters were created: model 1 (UGAP alone), model 2 (UGAP with IBSC), model 3 (UGAP with SNR), and model 4 (UGAP with IBSC and SNR). Diagnostic performance of all models was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The model was internally validated using 1000 bootstrap samples. Results A total of 582 participants were included in this study (median age, 64 years; IQR, 52-72 years; 274 female participants). There were 364 participants in the steatosis group and 218 in the nonsteatosis group. The AUC values for steatosis diagnosis in models 1-4 were 0.92, 0.93, 0.95, and 0.96, respectively. The C-indexes of models adjusted by the bootstrap method were 0.92, 0.93, 0.95, and 0.96, respectively. Compared with other models, models 3 and 4 demonstrated improved discrimination of at least 5% steatosis (P < .01). Conclusion A model built using the quantitative US parameters UGAP, IBSC, and SNR could accurately discriminate at least 5% steatosis in patients with CLD. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Han in this issue.

Effect of fatty liver and fibrosis on hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis B who received nucleic acid analog therapy.

The number of patients with fatty liver has been increasing worldwide; however, the significance of fatty liver in patients with chronic hepatitis B who are receiving nucleic acid analog (NA) therapy remains unclear. Thus, we aimed to determine whether fatty liver affects the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients receiving NA therapy. This study included 445 patients who received NA therapy, and the development of HCC was investigated. The primary outcome was the association between fatty liver and HCC development. During a mean follow-up period of 7.4 years, 46 patients (10.3%) developed HCC. No significant difference in the cumulative incidence of HCC was observed between patients with fatty liver and those without (p = 0.17). Multivariable analysis for age, gender, platelet count, alanine aminotransferase level at 1 year following NA therapy, and fatty liver revealed that the presence of fatty liver was not a significant factor for HCC development (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.5-1.9). In another multivariable analysis for advanced fibrosis, gender, and fatty liver, advanced fibrosis was found to be a significant factor for HCC development (HR: 9.50, 95% CI: 5.1-18) but not fatty liver (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.5-1.7). In conclusion, in patients with chronic hepatitis B who received NA therapy, advanced fibrosis was found to be an important risk factor for HCC development but not fatty liver, suggesting the importance of providing treatment before the progression of liver fibrosis regardless of the presence of fatty liver.

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma at baseline and 1 year after initiation of nucleos(t)ide analog therapy for chronic hepatitis B.

Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) cannot completely suppress the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development in naïve CHB patients treated with current NA. Patients receiving NA (n = 905) were recruited retrospectively from the 17 hospitals of the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group. All treatment-naïve patients had been receiving current NA continuously for more than 1 year until the end of the follow-up. We analyzed the accuracy of predictive risk score using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was significantly improved by NA therapy (-0.171 ± 0.396; p < 0.001 at Week 48). A total of 72 (8.0%) patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 6.2 (1.03-15.7) years. An independent predictive factor of HCC development was older age, cirrhosis, lower platelet counts at baseline and ALBI score, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at 1 year after NA therapy according to multivariate analysis. The accuracy was assessed using the PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, aMAP, APA-B, and REAL-B scores that included these factors. Discrimination was generally acceptable for these models. aMAP and REAL-B demonstrated high discrimination with 0.866/0.862 and 0.833/0.859 for 3- and 5-year prediction from the status of 1 year after NA therapy, respectively. Baseline age and platelet count, as well as ALBI and AFP one year after NA, were useful for stratifying carcinogenesis risk. The aMAP and REAL-B scores were validated with high accuracy in Japanese CHB patients.

Effects on survival of the adverse event of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study by the Japan Red Cross Liver Study Group.

This study aimed to describe the real-world efficacy and safety of the combination therapy of atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev) for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective analysis of a multicenter registry cohort included 268 patients treated with Atezo/Bev. The incidence of adverse events (AE) and its impact on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. Of the 268 patients, 230 (85.8%) experienced AE. The median OS and PFS in the whole cohort were 462 and 239 days, respectively. The OS and PFS were not different in terms of AE, but they were significantly shorter in patients with increased bilirubin level and those with increased aspartate aminotransferase (AST) or alanine aminotransferase (ALT). Regarding increased bilirubin level, the hazard ratios (HRs) were 2.61 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-6.58, P = 0.042) and 2.85 (95% CI: 1.37-5.93, P = 0.005) for OS and PFS, respectively. Regarding increased AST or ALT, the HRs were 6.68 (95% CI: 3.22-13.84, P < 0.001) and 3.54 (95% CI: 1.83-6.86, P < 0.001) for OS and PFS, respectively. Contrarily, the OS was significantly longer in patients with proteinuria (HR: 0.46 [95% CI: 0.23-0.92], P = 0.027). Multivariate analysis confirmed that proteinuria (HR: 0.53 [95% CI: 0.25-0.98], P = 0.044) and increased AST or ALT (HR: 6.679 [95% CI: 3.223-13.84], P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for a shorter OS. Furthermore, analysis limited to cases who completed at least 4 cycles confirmed that increased AST or ALT and proteinuria were negative and positive factors for OS, respectively. In the real-world setting, increased AST or ALT and bilirubin level during Atezo/Bev treatment were found to have a negative impact on PFS and OS, whereas proteinuria had a positive impact on OS.

Pseudomonas paralcaligenes sp. nov., isolated from a hospitalized patient.

A Gram-stain-negative, aerobic, rod-shaped, non-endospore-forming bacterium, designated as strain MRCP1333T, was isolated from a faecal sample from a hospital patient in Japan. MRCP1333T grew at temperatures of 15-40 °C (optimum 25-35 °C), with 1.0-3.0 % (w/v, 171-513 mM) NaCl [optimum 1-2 % (w/v), 171-342 mM], and at pH 6.0-9.5 (optimum pH 7.0-8.0). The results of phylogenetic analysis based on the sequences of the 16S rRNA gene and the 53 genes encoding the bacterial ribosome protein subunits indicated that MRCP1333T represented a member of the Pseudomonas aeruginosa group, most closely related to Pseudomonas alcaligenes. Whole-genome comparisons, using average nucleotide identity, digital DNA-DNA hybridization and average amino acid identity, confirmed that MRCP1333T represented a distinct species in the P. aeruginosa group. Phenotypic characterization tests demonstrated utilization by this strain of citrate, glycerol, and d-malic acid, the ability to reduce nitrite to nitrogen and the ability of this strain to grow in the presence of minocycline and tetrazolium blue, distinguishing this strain from P. alcaligenes and other closely related species of the P. aeruginosa group. The major fatty acids of MRCP1333T were summed feature 8 (C18 : 1ω7c/C18 : 1ω6c; 38.4 %), summed feature 3 (C16 : 1ω7c/C16 : 1ω6c; 21.1 %) and C16 : 0 (20.6 %). The DNA G+C content of MRCP1333T was 66.5 mol%. Genetic and phenotypic evidence indicated that MRCP1333T should be classified as representing a novel species, for which the name Pseudomonas paralcaligenes sp. nov. is proposed. The type strain is MRCP1333T (=LMG 32254T,=JCM 34250T).

Risk of cardiovascular disease in lean patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are highly at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the risk of developing CVD in patients with lean NAFLD is not yet fully understood. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the CVD incidence in Japanese patients with lean NAFLD and those with non-lean NAFLD. METHODS: A total of 581 patients with NAFLD (219 with lean and 362 with non-lean NAFLD) were recruited. All patients underwent annual health checkups for at least 3 years, and CVD incidence was investigated during follow-up. The primary end-point was CVD incidence at 3 years. RESULTS: The 3-year new CVD incidence rates in patients with lean and non-lean NAFLD were 2.3% and 3.9%, respectively, and there was no significant difference between two groups (p = 0.3). Multivariable analysis adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, and lean NAFLD/non-lean NAFLD revealed that age (every 10 years) as an independent factor associated with CVD incidence with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.3-3.4), whereas lean NAFLD was not associated with CVD incidence (OR: 0.6; 95% CI: 0.2-1.9). CONCLUSIONS: CVD incidence was comparable between patients with lean NAFLD and those with non-lean NAFLD. Therefore, CVD prevention is needed even in patients with lean NAFLD.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting progression and survival outcomes after atezolizumab-bevacizumab treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: We investigated pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for predicting survival outcomes of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determined the predictive ability of combined liver reserve-NLR. METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter study enrolled 242 patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for unresectable HCC. Pretreatment NLR <2.56 was designated as the "low group" and NLR ≥2.56 as the "high group" (120 and 122 patients, respectively). Propensity score-matched analysis was undertaken between the low and high groups. RESULTS: In this cohort, the objective response and disease control rates were 20% and 72.5%, respectively, in the low group and 19.6% and 72.9%, respectively, in the high group. After matching, median progression-free survival (PFS) time was 283 and 167 days in the low and high groups, respectively (p = 0.022). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥2.56 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-2.28; p = 0.028), modified albumin-bilirubin index (mALBI) grade 2b or 3 (HR 1.55; 95% CI, 1.05-2.29; p = 0.025), and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II ≥ 400 (HR 2.03; 95% CI, 1.36-3.02; p = 0.001) were significantly associated with PFS in univariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model. In cases involving mALBI grade 1 or 2a (n = 131), the median PFS time was not reached in the low group, whereas it was 210 days in the high group (p = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment NLR is a simple tool for routine measurement in clinical practice. It can predict PFS in patients with unresectable HCC treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, especially mALBI grade 1 or 2a.

Alanine aminotransferase levels as therapeutic targets after nucleotide/nucleoside analog therapy in patient with chronic hepatitis B.

AIM: Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is a criterion for the introduction of nucleotide/nucleoside analog (NA), and ALT levels are decreased by NA treatment. However, the association between post-treatment ALT levels and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk remains unclear. To fill this gap, we aimed to establish a target value of ALT level during NA treatment. METHODS: In total, 413 patients with chronic hepatitis B who received entecavir, tenofovir alafenamide, or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate were enrolled. The subsequent development of HCC was examined and a target value of ALT level during NA treatment as a risk marker for HCC was evaluated. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration was 5.1 years, during which time 27 patients (8.6%) developed HCC. ALT level at the start of treatment was not associated with HCC development (p = 0.08). When stratified by ALT at 1 year after NA initiation, the cumulative 3- and 5-year rates of HCC for patients with ALT ≥21 IU/L were 11.5% and 18.1%, and those with ALT <21 IU/L was 2.3% and 6.5%, respectively. Patients with ALT <21 IU/L had a significantly lower risk of HCC development compared with patients with ALT ≥21 IU/L (p = 0.002). In multivariable analysis adjusting age, sex, and platelet counts, ALT ≥21 IU/L was an independent risk factor of HCC development with hazard ratio of 4.5 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-20.4). CONCLUSIONS: ALT <21 IU/L at 1 year after NA initiation has a lower risk of HCC and could be used as a target value for NA treatment.

Prediction Model with HLA-A*33:03 Reveals Number of Days to Develop Liver Cancer from Blood Test.

The development of liver cancer in patients with hepatitis B is a major problem, and several models have been reported to predict the development of liver cancer. However, no predictive model involving human genetic factors has been reported to date. For the items incorporated in the prediction model reported so far, we selected items that were significant in predicting liver carcinogenesis in Japanese patients with hepatitis B and constructed a prediction model of liver carcinogenesis by the Cox proportional hazard model with the addition of Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) genotypes. The model, which included four items-sex, age at the time of examination, alpha-fetoprotein level (log10AFP) and presence or absence of HLA-A*33:03-revealed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.862 for HCC prediction within 1 year and an AUROC of 0.863 within 3 years. A 1000 repeated validation test resulted in a C-index of 0.75 or higher, or sensitivity of 0.70 or higher, indicating that this predictive model can distinguish those at high risk of developing liver cancer within a few years with high accuracy. The prediction model constructed in this study, which can distinguish between chronic hepatitis B patients who develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) early and those who develop HCC late or not, is clinically meaningful.

Risk Difference of Liver-Related and Cardiovascular Events by Liver Fibrosis Status in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has affected more than one-fourth of the global population, thus emerging as a worldwide health and economic burden.1 The common causes of death in patients with NAFLD include cardiovascular disease (CVD), decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, identifying the risk of these complications in patients with NAFLD remains an unmet need in clinical practice.

Utility of Ultrasound-Guided Attenuation Parameter for Grading Steatosis With Reference to MRI-PDFF in a Large Cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter (UGAP) is recently developed for noninvasive evaluation of steatosis. However, reports on its usefulness in clinical practice are limited. This prospective multicenter study analyzed the diagnostic accuracy of grading steatosis with reference to magnetic resonance imaging-based proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), a noninvasive method with high accuracy, in a large cohort. METHODS: Altogether, 1010 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent MRI-PDFF and UGAP were recruited and prospectively enrolled from 6 Japanese liver centers. Linearity was evaluated using intraclass correlation coefficients between MRI-PDFF and UGAP values. Bias, defined as the mean difference between MRI-PDFF and UGAP values, was assessed by Bland-Altman analysis. UGAP cutoffs for pairwise MRI-PDFF-based steatosis grade were determined using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analyses. RESULTS: UGAP values were shown to be normally distributed. However, because PDFF values were not normally distributed, they were log-transformed (MRI-logPDFF). UGAP values significantly correlated with MRI-logPDFF (intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.768). Additionally, Bland-Altman analysis showed good agreement between MRI-logPDFF and UGAP with a mean bias of 0.0002% and a narrow range of agreement (95% confidence interval [CI], -0.015 to 0.015). The AUROCs for distinguishing steatosis grade ≥1 (MRI-PDFF ≥5.2%), ≥2 (MRI-PDFF ≥11.3%), and 3 (MRI-PDFF ≥17.1%) were 0.910 (95% CI, 0.891-0.928), 0.912 (95% CI, 0.894-0.929), and 0.894 (95% CI, 0.873-0.916), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: UGAP has excellent diagnostic accuracy for grading steatosis with reference to MRI-PDFF. Additionally, UGAP has good linearity and negligible bias, suggesting that UGAP has excellent technical performance characteristics that can be widely used in clinical trials and patient care. (UMIN Clinical Trials Registry, Number: UMIN000041196).