Prospective randomized pilot trial comparing prophylactic and therapeutic cerebrospinal fluid drainage during complex endovascular thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

BACKGROUND: Endovascular techniques have transformed the management of thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAAs). However, spinal cord ischemia (SCI) remains a prevalent and devastating complication. Prophylactic drainage of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is among the proposed strategies for prevention of SCI. Although prophylactic CSF drainage is widely used and conceptually attractive, prophylactic CSF drains have not been demonstrated to definitively prevent the occurrence nor mitigate the severity of SCI in endovascular TAAA repair. Whether or not outcomes of prophylactic drains are superior to therapeutic drains remains unknown. This pilot study was performed to determine the feasibility of a randomized clinical trial designed to investigate the role of prophylactic vs therapeutic CSF drains in the prevention of SCI in patients undergoing endovascular TAAA repair using branched and fenestrated endovascular aortic repair (FBEVAR). METHODS: This was a prospective multicenter randomized pilot clinical trial conducted at The University of Alabama at Birmingham and The University of Massachusetts. Twenty patients were enrolled and randomized to either the prophylactic drainage or therapeutic drainage groups, prior to undergoing FBEVAR for extensive TAAAs and arch aortic aneurysms. This was a pilot feasibility study that was not powered to detect statistical differences in clinical outcomes. The primary outcome was feasibility of randomization and compliance with a shared lumbar drain protocol. Secondary outcomes included rate of drain complications and SCI. RESULTS: Twenty patients were enrolled and successfully randomized, without any crossovers, to either the control cohort (n = 10), without prophylactic drains, or the experimental cohort (n = 10), with prophylactic drains. There were no differences in age, comorbidities, or history of prior aortic surgery across the cohorts. All patients were treated with FBEVAR. Aneurysm classifications were as follows: Extent I (10%), Extent II (50%), Extent III (35%), and Extent IV (5%). The average length of aortic coverage was 207 ± 21.6 mm. The length of aortic coverage did not vary across cohorts, nor did procedural times or blood loss volume. Compliance with the SCI prevention protocol was 100% across both groups. Within the prophylactic drain cohort, one patient experienced an adverse event related to lumbar drain placement, manifested as an epidural hematoma requiring laminectomy, without neurologic deficit (n = 1/10; 10%). There was one SCI event (n = 1/20; 5%), which occurred in the prophylactic drain cohort on postoperative day 9 following an episode of hypotension related to a gastrointestinal bleed. CONCLUSIONS: The role of prophylactic CSF drains for the prevention of SCI following endovascular TAAA repair is a topic of ongoing research, with many current practices based on expert opinion and experience, rather than rigorous scientific data. This study demonstrates the feasibility of a multicenter randomized clinical trial to evaluate the role of prophylactic vs therapeutic CSF drains in the prevention of SCI in patients undergoing endovascular TAAA repair.

Pain in Trauma Patients: Measurement and Predisposing Factors.

INTRODUCTION: Acute pain is common after injury. This study intended to evaluate the feasibility of quantifying pain experience over an entire admission using "area under the pain curve" and to identify factors associated with increased pain. METHODS: This retrospective single-center study included all trauma patients admitted from 2013 to 2020. Maximum pain scores were extracted for each day. Pain was defined as area under the curve (AUC) of maximum pain scores/day plotted against time. Injury patterns were analyzed by dichotomizing Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) scores (AIS < 3 versus AIS ≥ 3) for each body region. Urinary drug screen results were collected from admission data. A general linear model was used to determine which injury patterns, mechanisms, and age groups were predictive of increased AUC in all patients together and separate by operative and nonoperative groups. RESULTS: We identified 21,640 patients, of which 70% were male and 83% had suffered blunt injury. Overall injury severity was associated with increased pain experience. Serious head injury, younger age, and older age (compared to 45-49 y) were associated with decreased pain. Spinal injuries, thoraco-abdominal injuries, and combined thoracic and lower extremity injuries were predictive of increased pain. Compared to patients with no positive test for illicit substances or documentation of prehospital narcotic medications, the pain experience was greater for both, those who had been administered a narcotic in the prehospital setting and those who tested positive for illicit substances. CONCLUSIONS: This study extends the concept of total pain experience using AUC methodology. Our results demonstrate associations between increased pain and certain patterns of injury, ages, and presence of drugs on admission. Measuring total pain experience could assist in comparing pain-management strategies. Future research should focus on validating pain experience against quality-of-life measurements.

Surgeon perspectives on the STITCH trial: a mixed methods study.

BACKGROUND: Incisional hernia prevention strategies related to fascial closure technique during laparotomy are well described yet poorly implemented in practice. The factors hindering the surgeon's adoption of evidence-based techniques for fascial closure are poorly understood and characterized. METHODS: Using an exploratory sequential mixed methods design, we first collected 139 responses to a validated quantitative survey based on a Theoretical Domain Framework for adoption of healthcare practices. Mean scores from survey responses were tabulated, and the findings were used to develop an interview guide for subsequent qualitative individual semi-structured phone interviews. Fourteen practicing surgeons were purposively sampled from social media outlets and our institution. The interviews were recorded and transcribed verbatim for coding and thematic analysis using NVivo 12 Plus. Data from the surveys and interviews were integrated using joint displays. RESULTS: Quantitative and qualitative analyses from surveys and semi-structured interviews revealed various themes related to surgeon decision-making related to fascial closure technique. Surgeons cited limitations of prior studies, applicability of findings, anecdotal experiences, and situation-specific environments that influence their decision-making. Peer influence and lack of training also affected surgeons' perspectives on integrating small bite technique into practice. CONCLUSION: Trial design limitations, peer influence, and patient-specific factors impacted surgeon decision-making in the choice of fascial closure technique. Future clinical trials in diverse patient populations may improve surgeons' confidence in implementing technique for fascial closure.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Prehospital Tourniquet Use for Trauma in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: The use of the extremity tourniquet in military environments has reduced preventable deaths due to exsanguinating hemorrhage, leading to increased use in civilian settings. However, the outcomes of contemporary prehospital tourniquet use in civilian settings are not well-described nationally. The objective of this study was to describe the characteristics and outcomes following prehospital tourniquet use by emergency medical services (EMS) in the United States. METHODS: All trauma activations reported to the National EMS Information System 2019 (NEMSIS) were included. Patients who had ≥1 tourniquet applied were identified. Descriptive analyses were used to compare characteristics between tourniquet and no-tourniquet cohorts. Coarsened exact matching was performed to generate a k2k match (on age, sex, lowest-systolic blood pressure, initial patient acuity, provider's initial impression, injury mechanism, and presence of upper/lower extremity injuries) and used to compare outcomes. Trauma patients who may have potentially benefited from tourniquet application (extremity injury, shock index ≥1 and no documented tourniquet application) were identified. RESULTS: A total of 7,161 tourniquets were applied among 4,571,379 trauma activations (1.6/1000 activations). Patients in the tourniquet cohort were younger (40 ± 18 vs 52 ± 26 mean ± SD years), more hypotensive (16.1% vs. 2.5%) and had higher initial acuity (65.0% critical/emergent vs. 20.6%) [p < 0.01 for all]. A total of 7,074 patients in the tourniquet cohort were matched with 7,074 patients in the non-tourniquet cohort. Post-match analysis revealed that the patients in tourniquet cohort had a higher final acuity (80.8% vs. 75.0%, p < 0.01), lower scene-time (15.4 ± 13.6 vs. 17.0 ± 14.2 mean ± SD minutes, p < 0.01), and higher survival-to-hospital (83.6% vs. 75.1%, p < 0.01). A total of 141,471 trauma patients who may have potentially benefited from tourniquet application were identified. CONCLUSION: Prehospital tourniquet use by EMS in the United States is associated with lower scene-time and improved survivability to hospital. Results indicate that patients might benefit from wider tourniquet use in the civilian prehospital setting.

Emergency Department Resuscitative Endovascular Balloon Occlusion of the Aorta in Trauma Patients With Exsanguinating Hemorrhage: The UK-REBOA Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Bleeding is the most common cause of preventable death after trauma. Objective: To determine the effectiveness of resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta (REBOA) when used in the emergency department along with standard care vs standard care alone on mortality in trauma patients with exsanguinating hemorrhage. Design, Setting, and Participants: Pragmatic, bayesian, randomized clinical trial conducted at 16 major trauma centers in the UK. Patients aged 16 years or older with exsanguinating hemorrhage were enrolled between October 2017 and March 2022 and followed up for 90 days. Intervention: Patients were randomly assigned (1:1 allocation) to a strategy that included REBOA and standard care (n = 46) or standard care alone (n = 44). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 90 days. Ten secondary outcomes included mortality at 6 months, while in the hospital, and within 24 hours, 6 hours, or 3 hours; the need for definitive hemorrhage control procedures; time to commencement of definitive hemorrhage control procedures; complications; length of stay; blood product use; and cause of death. Results: Of the 90 patients (median age, 41 years [IQR, 31-59 years]; 62 [69%] were male; and the median Injury Severity Score was 41 [IQR, 29-50]) randomized, 89 were included in the primary outcome analysis because 1 patient in the standard care alone group declined to provide consent for continued participation and data collection 4 days after enrollment. At 90 days, 25 of 46 patients (54%) had experienced all-cause mortality in the REBOA and standard care group vs 18 of 43 patients (42%) in the standard care alone group (odds ratio [OR], 1.58 [95% credible interval, 0.72-3.52]; posterior probability of an OR >1 [indicating increased odds of death with REBOA], 86.9%). Among the 10 secondary outcomes, the ORs for mortality and the posterior probabilities of an OR greater than 1 for 6-month, in-hospital, and 24-, 6-, or 3-hour mortality were all increased in the REBOA and standard care group, and the ORs were increased with earlier mortality end points. There were more deaths due to bleeding in the REBOA and standard care group (8 of 25 patients [32%]) than in standard care alone group (3 of 18 patients [17%]), and most occurred within 24 hours. Conclusions and Relevance: In trauma patients with exsanguinating hemorrhage, a strategy of REBOA and standard care in the emergency department does not reduce, and may increase, mortality compared with standard care alone. Trial Registration: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN16184981.

Nationwide estimates of the need for prehospital blood products after injury.

INTRODUCTION: Prehospital blood product resuscitation after injury significantly decreases risk of mortality. However, the number of patients who may potentially benefit from this life-saving intervention is currently unknown. The primary objective of this study was to estimate the number of patients who may potentially benefit from prehospital blood product resuscitation after injury in the United States. The secondary objective was to estimate the amount of blood products needed for prehospital resuscitation of injured patients. METHODS: Patients ≥16 years with blunt/penetrating injuries included in National Emergency Medical Services Information System 2019 were identified and classified into four separate cohorts of hemodynamic instability: Cohort 1 (systolic blood pressure [SBP] <90 mmHg), Cohort 2 (SBP <90 and/or heart rate [HR] >120), Cohort 3 (SBP <90 and HR >108 or SBP <70), and Cohort 4 (shock index ≥1). The need for prehospital blood was estimated by multiplying number of patients in each cohort with average number of blood products used for prehospital resuscitation. RESULTS: After exclusions, 3.7 million adult trauma patients were included. The number of patients who may potentially benefit from prehospital blood products was estimated as 89,391 (Cohort 1), 901,346 (Cohort 2), 54,160 (Cohort 3), and 300,475 (Cohort 4). Assuming 1 unit of whole blood is needed per patient, a lower-bound estimate of 54,160 additional whole blood units (0.6% of current collections) will be need for prehospital resuscitation of the injured. CONCLUSIONS: Annually, between 54,000 and 900,000 patients may potentially benefit from prehospital blood product resuscitation after injury in the United States. Prehospital blood utilization and collection of blood products will need to be increased to scale-up this life-saving intervention nationwide.

Over-transfusion with blood for suspected hemorrhagic shock is not associated with worse clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated patient outcomes after early, small volume red blood cell (RBC) transfusion in the setting of presumed hemorrhagic shock. We hypothesized that transfusion with even small amounts of blood would be associated with more complications. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Retrospective review of trauma patients admitted to a Level 1 trauma center between 2016-2021. Patients predicted to require massive transfusion who survived ≥72 h were categorized according to units of RBCs transfused in the first 24 h. A Cox regression model stratified by dichotomized ISS and adjusted for SBP <90 mm Hg and pulse >120 bpm on arrival was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for outcomes of interest. RESULTS: A total of 3121 (24%) received RBC transfusion within the first 24 h. Massive transfusion protocol (MTP) was activated in 38% (1188/3121): 17% received no RBCs, 27.4% 1-3 units, 32.4% 4-9 units, and 22.7% ≥10 units. Mean ISS increased with each category of RBC transfusion. There was no difference in the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI), acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), infection, cardiac arrest, venous thromboembolism or stroke for patients receiving 1-3 units compared to the non-transfused group or 4-9 units group (p > 0.05). Compared to those receiving ≥10 units, the 1-3 units group had a significantly lower risk of AKI, ARDS, and cardiac arrest. DISCUSSION: Early empiric RBC transfusion for presumed hemorrhagic shock may subject patients to potential over-transfusion and end-organ damage. Among patients meeting clinical triggers for MTP, 1-3 units of allogeneic RBCs is not associated with worse outcomes.

Current and Projected Financial Burden of Emergency General Surgery for Adults in Scotland's Single Payer Healthcare System: A Cost Analysis of Hospital Admissions.

OBJECTIVE: To calculate the current and projected financial burden of EGS hospital admissions in a single-payer healthcare system. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: EGS is an important acute care service, which demands significant healthcare resources. EGS admissions and associated costs have increased over time, associated with an aging demographic. The National Health Service is the sole provider of emergency care in Scotland. METHODS: Principal, high and low Scottish population projections were obtained for 2016 until 2041. EGS admission data were projected using an ordinary least squares linear regression model. An exponential function, fitted to historical length of hospital stay (LOS) data, was used to project future LOS. Historical hospital unit cost per bed day was projected using a linear regression model. EGS cost was calculated to 2041 by multiplying annual projections of population, admission rates, LOS, and cost per bed day. RESULTS: The adult (age >15) Scottish population is projected to increase from 4.5 million to 4.8 million between 2016 and 2041. During this time, EGS admissions are expected to increase from 83,132 to 101,090 per year, cost per bed day from £786 to £1534, and overall EGS cost from £187.3 million to £202.5 million. CONCLUSIONS: The future financial burden of EGS in Scotland is projected to increase moderately between 2016 and 2041. This is in sharp contrast to previous studies from settings such as the United States. However, if no further reductions in LOS or cost per bed day are made, especially for elderly patients, the cost of EGS will rise dramatically.

Evidence-Based and Clinically Relevant Outcomes for Hemorrhage Control Trauma Trials.

OBJECTIVE: To address the clinical and regulatory challenges of optimal primary endpoints for bleeding patients by developing consensus-based recommendations for primary clinical outcomes for pivotal trials in patients within 6 categories of significant bleeding, (1) traumatic injury, (2) intracranial hemorrhage, (3) cardiac surgery, (4) gastrointestinal hemorrhage, (5) inherited bleeding disorders, and (6) hypoproliferative thrombocytopenia. BACKGROUND: A standardized primary outcome in clinical trials evaluating hemostatic products and strategies for the treatment of clinically significant bleeding will facilitate the conduct, interpretation, and translation into clinical practice of hemostasis research and support alignment among funders, investigators, clinicians, and regulators. METHODS: An international panel of experts was convened by the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute and the United States Department of Defense on September 23 and 24, 2019. For patients suffering hemorrhagic shock, the 26 trauma working-group members met for almost a year, utilizing biweekly phone conferences and then an in-person meeting, evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of previous high quality studies. The selection of the recommended primary outcome was guided by goals of patient-centeredness, expected or demonstrated sensitivity to beneficial treatment effects, biologic plausibility, clinical and logistical feasibility, and broad applicability. CONCLUSIONS: For patients suffering hemorrhagic shock, and especially from truncal hemorrhage, the recommended primary outcome was 3 to 6-hour all-cause mortality, chosen to coincide with the physiology of hemorrhagic death and to avoid bias from competing risks. Particular attention was recommended to injury and treatment time, as well as robust assessments of multiple safety related outcomes.

A new definition for massive transfusion in the modern era of whole blood resuscitation.

BACKGROUND: Multiple thresholds are defined to identify patients at risk of death from hemorrhage, including massive transfusion (MT), critical administration threshold (CAT), and resuscitation intensity (RI). All fail to account for the use of whole blood (WB). We hypothesized that a definition including WB transfusion would better predict early mortality following trauma. METHODS: This is a retrospective review of all trauma patients with activation of the MT protocol from December 2018 to February 2020. Combinations of WB, RBCs, and fresh frozen plasma (FFP) units transfused during the initial hour of resuscitation were compared using receiver operating characteristic and area under the receiver curve (AUC) for 3- and 6-h mortality. WB massive transfusion (WB MT) score was defined as the sum of each unit RBC plus three times each unit of WB transfused within the first hour of resuscitation. RESULTS: There were 235 patients eligible for analysis with 60 resuscitated using ≥1 unit of WB. Overall, 27 and 29 patients died in the first 3 and 6 h, respectively. WB MT ≥7 had the greatest 3-h and 6-h mortality AUC values (0.78 and 0.79, respectively) when compared to MT, CAT, RI4+, and other attempted definitions using units of WB, RBC, and FFP. Compared to WB MT-, WB MT+ patients died at significantly higher rates at 3 h (28.9% vs. 3.1%, p < .001), 24 h (35.5% vs. 5.7%, p < .001), and 28 days (42.1% vs. 11.9%, p < .001). CONCLUSION: WB MT is the first measure of massive resuscitation to incorporate WB and better identifies early mortality than other definitions.

Whole truths but half the blood: Addressing the gap between the evidence and practice of pre-hospital and in-hospital blood product use for trauma resuscitation.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, several studies have demonstrated the efficacy of using pre-hospital blood product and in-hospital whole blood for trauma resuscitation. While some observations suggest an encouraging uptake of this evidence by emergency medical service (EMS) agencies and trauma centers, a nationwide characterization of blood product utilization for bleeding trauma patients remains unknown. The objective of this study is to determine nationwide estimates of pre-hospital blood product and in-hospital whole blood utilization for trauma resuscitation. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: All adult trauma patients reported to the National Emergency Medical Services Information System (NEMSIS) dataset 2019 were included. Proportions of patients who received any pre-hospital blood product were calculated. The American College of Surgeons (ACS) Trauma Quality Programs (TQP) databases 2015-2017 and first quarter of 2020 were used to calculate the proportion of ACS-verified trauma centers that transfused whole blood. RESULTS: Among a total of 3,058,804 pre-hospital trauma patients, only 313 (0.01%) received any blood transfusion; 208 (0.21%) patients with systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤90 mmHg and 121 (0.67%) patients with SBP ≤90 mmHg and heart rate ≥120 beats per minute received any blood product. The proportion of ACS-verified trauma centers transfusing whole blood increased from 16.7% (45/269) in 2015 to 24.5% (123/502) in first quarter of 2020. DISCUSSION: Despite strong evidence and recommendations, pre-hospital utilization of blood products for trauma resuscitation remains low. Additionally, while the overall in-hospital whole blood use also remains low, its use has increased at ACS-verified trauma centers over the past 5 years.

Perception of risk in massive transfusion as it relates to fetal outcomes: A survey of surgeons and nurses at one American trauma center.

BACKGROUND: The use of blood products early in the resuscitation of bleeding trauma patients is widely accepted, but made difficult by limited supplies of D- red blood cell (RBC)-containing products. Use of D+ RBC-containing products would alleviate this issue, but could lead to alloimmunization. Risk associated with transfusing D+ RBC in emergency bleeding situations is being reconsidered. The level of concern surrounding emergency transfusion as it relates to future fetal harm was surveyed among surgeons and nurses. METHODS: Faculty and staff in the Departments of Surgery and Nursing were surveyed on the risks of receiving an emergency RBC transfusion and the subsequent potential for fetal harm. Answers were grouped as likely to accept (likely/very likely) or refuse transfusion (unlikely/very unlikely). Participants were compared by sex, and women by child-bearing age, ([15-50 years] vs. [>50 years]). RESULTS: Ninety surveys were initiated with 76 fully completed. Male (n = 39) and female (n = 37) respondents were comparable. Most female respondents (30/37, 81%) were of childbearing age. Overall, both males (38/39, 95%) and females (33/37, 89%; p = .19) were likely to accept a transfusion in an emergency. There was no difference in transfusion acceptance if the risk of fetal harm was presented as 1% (p = .73) or 0.1% (p = .51). Most females (34/37, 92%) were not opposed to transfusion even if there was an unspecified risk of future fetal harm. CONCLUSION: Most of the surgeons and nurses who responded would accept a transfusion in an emergency situation even if it might lead to harming a future fetus.

Civilian walking blood bank emergency preparedness plan.

BACKGROUND: The current global pandemic has created unprecedented challenges in the blood supply network. Given the recent shortages, there must be a civilian plan for massively bleeding patients when there are no blood products on the shelf. Recognizing that the time to death in bleeding patients is less than 2 h, timely resupply from unaffected locations is not possible. One solution is to transfuse emergency untested whole blood (EUWB), similar to the extensive military experience fine-tuned over the last 19 years. While this concept is anathema in current civilian transfusion practice, it seems prudent to have a vetted plan in place. METHODS AND MATERIALS: During the early stages of the 2020 global pandemic, a multidisciplinary and international group of clinicians with broad experience in transfusion medicine communicated routinely. The result is a planning document that provides both background information and a high-level guide on how to emergently deliver EUWB for patients who would otherwise die of hemorrhage. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: Similar plans have been utilized in remote locations, both on the battlefield and in civilian practice. The proposed recommendations are designed to provide high-level guidance for experienced blood bankers, transfusion experts, clinicians, and health authorities. Like with all emergency preparedness, it is always better to have a well-thought-out and trained plan in place, rather than trying to develop a hasty plan in the midst of a disaster. We need to prevent the potential for empty shelves and bleeding patients dying for lack of blood.

Evaluation of Injury Recidivism Using the Electronic Medical Record.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic injuries remain one of the leading causes of death in the United States. Patients who survive traumatic injuries but return to the emergency department with repeat injuries are said to suffer from injury recidivism. Numerous studies have described trends in injury recidivism using trauma registry and survey data. To our knowledge, no prior study has leveraged electronic medical record (EMR) data to characterize injury recidivism. The EMR is potentially more comprehensive as it contains details of patients who visited the emergency department after injury but did not meet the criteria for inclusion in the trauma registry. Such injuries could be predictive of future recidivism. We therefore aimed to describe patterns of injury recidivism seen at a Level 1 trauma center using the EMR. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of all injury-related encounters between January 2016 and December 2019. Manual review was conducted of all recidivistic encounters with < 11 months between encounters to ensure the recidivistic encounter was not a sequela of the index visit. A general estimating equation logistic regression adjusted for age, race, sex, and insurance payor, estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between injury mechanism and odds of recidivistic encounter. RESULTS: A total of 20,566 index encounters was included during the study period. Of the 20,566 encounters, 7.6% (n = 1570) had a recidivistic encounter during the study period, half of which (n = 781) occurred within the first year of the index encounter. An over two-fold increased odds of recidivism was observed for blunt assault encounters (OR 2.53, 95% CI 2.03-3.15) and unintentional falls (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.76-2.52). For both mechanisms, this increase was observed across the three years following the index encounter. CONCLUSIONS: Our study found that patients with assault injuries have the highest odds of injury recidivism and assault-related recidivistic encounters. These results demonstrate the feasibility and utility of incorporating EMR data, and suggest that the development of targeted interventions focused on mitigating assault injuries, such as hospital-based violence intervention programs, should be considered in our region.

Impact of Rural Hospital Closures on Health-Care Access.

BACKGROUND: Access to health care is an important issue, particularly in remote areas. Since 2010, 106 rural hospital have closed in the United States, potentially limiting geographic access to health care. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of these hospital closures on the proportion of the population who can reach a secondary care facility, by road, within 15, 30, 45, or 60 min. METHODS: Geographical information system analysis, using population data obtained from the 2010 U.S. Census Bureau and hospital data between 2010 and 2019 from the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, created 15-, 30-, 45-, and 60-min drive time isochrones (areas from which a central location can be reached within a set time). RESULTS: Rural hospital closures resulted in 0%-0.97% of the population no longer being able to access a hospital within 15 min. The most marked changes were in the East South Central (0.97%, 178,478 residents) and West South Central (0.54%, 197,660 residents) divisions. Lesser degrees of change were noted for longer drive times. The changes were more marked when the rural population was analyzed exclusively. CONCLUSIONS: Recent closures of rural hospitals in the United States have impacted population access to hospital care, although the extent varies. There are regions, such as the Southern and Southeastern United States, which demonstrate greater and potentially more concerning losses in population coverage, probably because of the greater number of closures. Future work should evaluate clinical implications of hospital closures and loss of population coverage.

How Does Mission Ground Time Impact on Population Coverage of Aeromedical Retrieval Systems?

BACKGROUND: Aeromedical retrieval is an essential component of contemporary emergency care systems. However, in many locations, ground emergency medical services are dispatched to the scene of an incident first to assess the patient and then call for a helicopter if needed. The time to definitive care therefore includes the helicopter's flight to the scene, flight to the trauma center, and nonflying time. Mission ground time (MGT) includes the time required to get the helicopter airborne, as well as time spent at the scene, packaging and loading the casualty into the aircraft. Estimates of MGT typically vary from 10 to 30 min. The impact of MGT duration on population coverage-the number of residents that could be taken to a trauma center within a set time-is not known. The aim of this study was to compare population coverage for different durations of MGT in a single state. METHODS: Coverage was calculated using elliptical coverage areas ("isochrones") based on the location of helicopter bases and Level I and Level II trauma centers. The calculations were performed using Microsoft Excel, assuming a cruising speed of 133 knots (246 km/h), and mapped using arcGIS. The access time threshold was set at 60 min, and we evaluated MGTs of 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 min. RESULTS: MGT has a marked impact on population coverage. The effect is, furthermore, not linear. When considering the state's three Level I trauma centers, decreasing MGT from 30 to 10 min increased population coverage from 61.2% to 84.2%. When also considering Level II centers, decreasing MGT from 30 min to 10 min increased coverage by 20%. CONCLUSIONS: Elliptical isochrones, with allowance for MGT, provide realistic estimates of population coverage. MGT significantly impacts the proportion of the population that can be taken to a Level I and/or Level II Trauma Center within a set time. The impact is not linear, reflecting the uneven distribution of the population. Consideration should be given to minimizing MGT to preserve the benefits of aeromedical retrieval.

Mesenteric vascular disease: A population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Mesenteric vascular disease carries a high risk of mortality and morbidity; however, due to obscure clinical presentation, it can be under-recognized. Currently, epidemiology of mesenteric vascular disease remains poorly defined. The aim of this study is to analyze changes in Scottish mortality rates from mesenteric vascular disease overtime. METHODS: This is a retrospective, longitudinal population-based cohort study using data extracted from death certificates and Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation. All deaths related to a vascular disorder of the intestines recorded as an underlying cause of death between 1979 and 2014 were identified using International Classification of Disease-9 or International Classification of Disease-10 code groups. Data included demographics and location of death. The residence postcodes were used to classify socio-economic status using the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation. RESULTS: From 2,142,921 deaths over 36 years, 14,530 (0.7%) were due to mesenteric vascular disease with a median (interquartile range) age of 77 and a 2:1 female to male gender ratio. The mean ± standard deviation age significantly increased from 72.6 ± 12.1 in 1979 to 76.8 ± 11.1 in 2014 (p < 0.001, R2 = 0.772). Males were consistently younger than females at the time of death. The two lowest Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation categories accounted for half of the cohort, throughout the study period (p = 0.068). The adjusted death rate per 100,000 population increased from 7.6 in 1979 to 12.1 in 2014. CONCLUSIONS: The reported death rates of mesenteric vascular disease in Scotland between 1979 and 2014 have nearly doubled. Mesenteric vascular disease affects twice as many women as men and is associated with social deprivation. The increased reporting of mesenteric vascular disease is likely due to increased recognition and incidence. These implications should be considered when planning healthcare provision in Scotland.

The Changing Face of Emergency General Surgery: A 20-year Analysis of Secular Trends in Demographics, Diagnoses, Operations, and Outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to evaluate secular trends in the epidemiology of emergency general surgery (EGS), by analyzing changes in demographics, diagnoses, operations, and outcomes between 1997 and 2016. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: The provision and delivery of EGS services is a globally and regionally important issue. The impact of changing demographics and surgical disease incidence on EGS services is not well understood. METHODS: Data from all EGS hospital episodes of adults (aged >15) in Scotland between 1997 and 2016 were prospectively collected, including ICD-10 diagnostic codes and OPCS-4 procedure codes. The number and age- and sex-standardized rates per 100,000 population, per year, of the most common diagnoses and operations were calculated. We analyzed demographic changes over time using linear regression, and changes in characteristics, diagnoses, operations, and outcomes using Poisson analysis. RESULTS: Data included 1,484,116 EGS hospital episodes. The number and age- and sex-standardized rate, per 100,000 population, of EGS admissions have increased over time, whereas that of EGS operations have decreased over time. Male admissions were unchanged, but with fewer operations over time, whereas female admissions increased significantly over time with no change in the operation rate. Poisson analysis demonstrated secular trends in demographics, admissions, operations, and outcomes in depth. CONCLUSIONS: This 20-year epidemiological study of all EGS hospital episodes in Scotland has enhanced our understanding of secular trends of EGS, including demographics, diagnoses, operations, and outcomes. These data will help inform stakeholders in EGS service planning and delivery, as well as in surgical training, what has occurred in recent history.

Elicitation of prior probability distributions for a proposed Bayesian randomized clinical trial of whole blood for trauma resuscitation.

BACKGROUND: Whole blood trauma resuscitation is conceptually appealing and increasingly used but lacks evidence. A randomized controlled trial is needed but challenging to design. A Bayesian approach might be more efficient and more interpretable than a conventional frequentist design. We report the results on an elicitation meeting to create prior probability distributions to help develop such a trial. METHODS: In-person expert elicitation meeting, based on Sheffield Elicitation Framework methodology. We used an interactive graphical tool to elicit the quantities of interest (24-hour mortality and certainty required). Two rounds were conducted, with an intervening discussion of deidentified responses. Individual responses were aggregated into probability distributions. RESULTS: Fifteen experts participated. The pooled belief was that the median 24-hour mortality of trauma patients with hemorrhagic shock treated with component therapy (the current standard of care) was 19% (95% credible interval [CrI], 6%-45%), and the median 24-hour mortality of those treated with whole blood, 16% (95% CrI, 5%-39%). The pooled prior distribution for the relative risk had a median of 0.84 (95% CrI, 0.26-3.1), indicating that the expert group had a 64% prior belief that whole blood decreases 24-hour mortality compared to component therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Experts had moderately strong beliefs that whole blood reduces the 24-hour mortality of trauma patients with hemorrhagic shock. These data will assist with the design and planning of a Bayesian trial of whole blood resuscitation, which will help to answer a key question in contemporary transfusion practice.

Quantifying Pain Associated With Rib Fractures.

INTRODUCTION: Rib fractures are a major problem in trauma patients, and the associated pain is not well understood. Measuring total pain experience, duration, and intensity could facilitate comparisons of treatments. This study was intended to evaluate the feasibility of quantifying pain over the course of an admission and identify factors associated with increased pain experience in adults with rib fractures. METHODS: Patients admitted to a level I trauma center with rib fractures between 2015 and 2017 were included. Maximum pain score (verbal or nonverbal) was captured for each hospital day. Total pain was defined as the sum of the area under the curve (AUC) of the max pain scores plotted against time. A general linear model was used to determine demographic, injury, and clinical predictors of the pain AUC. RESULTS: We identified 3713 patients. Increased pain experienced (greater AUC) was associated with age group 40-59 y compared with 18-39 y (B = 6.1, P = 0.002); Injury Severity Score 9-14 (B = 11.5, P < 0.001) and ≥16 (B = 36.9, P < 0.0001); patients with flail chest versus multiple rib fractures (B = 17.1, P < 0.001); and patients who underwent rib fixation (B = 20.7, P = 0.004). Decreased pain experience was observed for male gender (B = -3.7, P = 0.032) and blunt mechanism of injury (B = -13.7, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility of measuring patients' total pain experience over the duration of their admission. Pain is a subjective but relevant measure of patients' experience. Our study identifies a number of predictive factors, some expected and some unexpected. Increased overall experience pain following fixation may be the result of severe pain before intervention.