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OBJECTIVES: To compare the differences in antibiotic use between COPD and non-COPD residents, and to explore the effect of COPD on antibiotic use. METHODS: Participants aged 40 years old or over from the Songjiang Adult Cohort were included. Information on prescription and baseline survey was collected based on the health information system. A logit-negative binomial Hurdle model was used to explore correlations between COPD and percentage of antibiotic use and average rate of antibiotic prescribing of different types of antibiotic. Multinomial logistic regression was used to assess the association between COPD and antimicrobial combination therapy and routes of administration. RESULTS: A total of 34576 individuals were included and 1594 (4.6%) were COPD patients. During the 6 years' follow-up, the percentage of antibiotic use for COPD patients was 98.4%, which was 7.88 (95%CI: 5.24-11.85) times of that for non-COPD patients after adjusting for potential confounders. The prescribing rate was 3220 prescriptions (95%CI: 3063.6-3385.2) per 1000 person-years for COPD patients, which was 1.96 (95%CI: 1.87-2.06) times of that for non-COPD patients. Other beta-lactam antibacterials, Macrolides, lincosamides and streptogramins, and quinolone antibacterials were the most commonly used types of antibiotic. Except for aminoglycoside antibacterials, both percentage of antibiotic use and rate of antibiotic prescription were increased in COPD patients. COPD patients were more likely to be prescribed a maximum of two antibiotics (OR=1.34, 95%CI: 1.20-1.50); and were more likely to use antibiotics intravenously (OR=2.77, 95%CI: 2.47-3.11). CONCLUSION: COPD patients were more likely to have increased antibiotic use in a large-scale population-based adult cohort, suggesting COPD patients are a high-priority group for the management of antibiotic use in communities.
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Sistemas de Información en Salud , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica , Adulto , Humanos , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Estreptograminas , Prescripciones de Medicamentos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Pautas de la Práctica en MedicinaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Studies on the effect of sleep duration on cardiovascular health have contradictory findings. Underlying health issues may have led to inconsistent results and warrant consideration. We aim to assess the relationship of night sleep duration with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a general population, taking into consideration underlying chronic diseases. METHODS: Data from Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank with a median follow-up of 5.1 years was used, including 33,883 adults aged 20-74 years old. Incident CVD cases were reported and recorded by the Center for Disease Prevention and Control in Songjiang, Shanghai. We used Cox proportional hazard regression models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis to explore the relationship between different sleep groups and sleep duration with incident CVD outcomes, through stratification by gender and age, as well as different health conditions, with adjustments for potential confounders. RESULTS: Long sleep duration (> 9 h) compared to > 7 to ≤ 8 h was associated with overall incident CVD in participants aged ≥ 50 years old: HR(95%CI) = 2.07 (1.15, 3.74) for 50-59y and 1.43 (1.04, 1.93) for 60-74y. RCS analysis showed a J-shaped relationship between sleep and CVD risk in those ≥ 50y, which was confirmed only in those with a chronic health condition. Non-linear relationships between sleep and CVD risk factors, such as BMI, blood glucose and glycated haemoglobin, were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Long sleep duration is associated with increased risk of CVD in people ≥ 50y. However, CVD risk factors and underlying health conditions such as hypertension, and diabetes, may play a driving role in the relationship.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Duración del Sueño , Adulto , Humanos , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , China/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , SueñoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Both cancer and periodontitis are more prevalent with age. Information on their relationship in older patients is limited. This study aims to examine whether periodontitis is associated with increased risk of cancer mortality with a ≥ 75-year age group cohort. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 1146 patients who had digital radiographic examinations. Alveolar bone loss and loss of teeth were measured as indicators of periodontitis. Hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were taken as the effect size to summarize the associations between periodontitis and risks of cancer mortality using the multivariate adjusted cox proportional hazards model and competing risk hazard model. RESULTS: Totally, 104 total cancer, 28 lip, oral cavity and pharynx (LOP) cancer, 39 digestive cancer and 13 respiratory cancer cases were documented over 10 years of follow-up. Total cancer (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.06-1.53) displayed statistically significant associations with alveolar bone loss and tooth loss after adjusting for relevant confounding variables. We also observed borderline significant association between alveolar bone loss and LOP cancer (HR 1.45, 95% CI 0.99-2.12). The above associations were consistent with the results observed from the competing risk hazard models. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that older patients suffering from tooth loss or alveolar bone loss are at increased risks of cancer mortality, especially for total cancer and LOP cancer.
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Pérdida de Hueso Alveolar , Neoplasias , Periodontitis , Pérdida de Diente , Humanos , Anciano , Pérdida de Diente/complicaciones , Pérdida de Hueso Alveolar/diagnóstico por imagen , Pérdida de Hueso Alveolar/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Periodontitis/complicaciones , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk is unknown. We aimed to evaluate whether eGFR can be used as a predictor in ASCVD risk assessment. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using baseline data from 28,187 participants from Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank study, we adopted Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) to estimate 10-year ASCVD risk. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between 10-year ASCVD risk and eGFR. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate predictive value of eGFR for 10-year high ASCVD risk. Compared with normal eGFR, both men and women with reduced eGFR had a higher prevalence of ASCVD risk factors. With the decrease of eGFR level, the median of 10-year ASCVD risk gradually increased. For men, the adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval (CI)) of 10-year high ASCVD risk by PCEs associated with eGFR (60-74 and <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) were 1.52 (95%CI:1.17-1.99) and 2.51 (95%CI:1.27-4.97). The corresponding result was significant only for eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, OR of 1.57 (1.14-2.18) for women. Using China-PAR, the adjusted OR of 10-year high risk associated with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was 1.82 (1.40-2.38) in men. ROC indicated that eGFR has a good predictive value for 10-year high ASCVD risk. CONCLUSION: eGFR may be an important risk factor in predicting and stratifying ASCVD risk. Consideration should be given to integrating eGFR into existing risk assessment tools to improve predictive performance.
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Aterosclerosis , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Adulto , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico , Aterosclerosis/epidemiología , Aterosclerosis/etiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/complicaciones , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Humanos , Masculino , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The correlation between nontraditional lipids and ischemic stroke (IS) is inconsistent and controversial. This study aimed to examine the association of four nontraditional lipids with IS risk in Chinese adults. METHODS: This prospective community-based cohort study was performed in Songjiang District, Shanghai, China. The study began in 2016 and included 34,294 participants without stroke before the investigation. The association between nontraditional lipids (nonhigh-density lipoprotein cholesterol [non-HDL-C], total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [TC/HDL-C], triglyceride [TG]/HDL-C, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C]/HDL-C) and IS was studied with multivariate Cox regression models. The dose-response associations between these four serum lipids and IS were explored using restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. RESULTS: There were a total of 458 IS cases with 166,380 person-years of follow-up. Compared with the lowest tertiles, the highest tertiles of the nontraditional blood lipids showed greater IS risk after controlling for potential confounders. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were as follows: TC/HDL-C, 1.63 (1.28-2.07); TG/HDL-C, 1.65 (1.28-2.13); LDL-C/HDL-C, 1.51 (1.18-1.92); and non-HDL-C, 1.43 (1.13-1.81). The fully adjusted RCS curves presented a nonlinear relationship, and the risk increased when the TC/HDL-C, TG/HDL-C, and LDL-C/HDL-C levels were > 3.47, > 0.92, and > 1.98, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This community-based cohort study presents a positive association between the four nontraditional lipids and IS incidence. Maintaining relatively low lipid ratios can be beneficial for preventing stroke. Nontraditional lipids can be considered targets for managing blood lipids.
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Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Adulto , China/epidemiología , Colesterol , HDL-Colesterol , LDL-Colesterol , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Lípidos , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , TriglicéridosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The accuracy of various 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk models has been debatable. We compared two risk algorithms and explored clustering patterns across different risk stratifications among community residents in Shanghai. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 28,201 residents (aged 40-74 years old) who were free of ASCVD were selected from the Shanghai Survey in China. The 10-year ASCVD risk was estimated by applying the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR). The agreement was assessed between PCEs and China-PAR using Cohen's kappa statistics. The mean absolute 10-year ASCVD risk calculated by PCEs and China-PAR was about 10.0% and 6.0%, respectively. PCEs estimated that 44.9% of participants [with a 95% confidence interval (CI):44.0%-45.8%] were at high risk, while China-PAR estimated only 16.7% (95%CI:15.8%-18.0%) were at high risk. In both models, the percentage of high ASCVD risk was higher for participants who were older, men, less educated, current smokers, drinkers and manual workers. Among high-risk individuals, almost all participants (PCEs:90.5%; China-PAR:98.6%) had at least one risk factor; hypertension being the most prevalent. The concordance between PCEs and China-PAR was moderate (kappa:0.428, 95%CI: 0.420-0.434) with a better agreement for women (kappa:0.503,95%CI: 0.493-0.513) than for men (kappa:0.211,95%CI: 0.201-0.221). CONCLUSION: The proportion of participants with a 10-year ASCVD high risk predicted by China-PAR was lower than the results of the PCEs. The risk stratifications of the two algorithms were inconsistent in terms of demographic and life-behaviour characteristics.
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Algoritmos , Aterosclerosis/epidemiología , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Adulto , Anciano , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas/efectos adversos , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas/epidemiología , Aterosclerosis/diagnóstico , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Escolaridad , Femenino , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Humanos , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Perfil Laboral , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Medición de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Fumar/efectos adversos , Fumar/epidemiología , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of poor sleep and its risk factors for adults living in a suburban area of Shanghai with rapid urbanization. METHODS: A total of 37,545 residents who were aged 20 to 74 years and from the "Peak Program," a community-based natural population cohort study, were included. Data on demographics, lifestyle, and physical health-related factors were collected using a face-to-face questionnaire interview. Sleep quality was assessed using the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), and poor sleep was defined as a PSQI score above 7. RESULTS: The overall mean of PSQI score was 3.69 ± 2.57 while the prevalence of poor sleep was 8.3%. The prevalence of poor sleep quality was higher in participants who were older than 40 years, had less education, smoked tobacco, had anxiety, and had a chronic disease (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). After adjustment for confounding, a logistic regression model indicated that poor sleep was associated with advanced age, smoking, anxiety, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, and other chronic diseases (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). In addition, compared to women who were premenopausal, the naturally postmenopausal women (OR 1.675, 95% CI 1.44-1.94) and induced menopausal women (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.81-2.82) were more likely to report poor sleep. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of poor sleep among individuals who lived in the Songjiang District of Shanghai and were aged 20 to 74 years was remarkably lower than in the general population of China. Poor sleep was generally more common in middle-aged and elderly residents and in those suffering from anxiety and chronic diseases. Regular exercise, anxiety relieving, and treatment improvement of different chronic diseases may help sleep better.
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Trastornos del Inicio y del Mantenimiento del Sueño/epidemiología , Trastornos del Sueño-Vigilia/epidemiología , Sueño/fisiología , Adulto , Anciano , Ansiedad/psicología , Trastornos de Ansiedad/psicología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/complicaciones , Trastornos Cerebrovasculares/complicaciones , China/epidemiología , Enfermedad Crónica , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Menopausia/fisiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Calidad de Vida/psicología , Factores de Riesgo , Trastornos del Inicio y del Mantenimiento del Sueño/psicología , Trastornos del Sueño-Vigilia/psicología , Fumadores/estadística & datos numéricos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: It is important to clarify the transitions and related factors of frailty for prevention of frailty. We evaluated the transitions of frailty among community-dwelling older adults and examined the predictors of the transitions. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted among 3988 community residents aged ≥60 years during 2015 and 2017. A multiple deficits approach was used to construct the Frailty Index (FI) according to the methodology of FI construction, and sociodemographic characteristics and lifestyles were also collected in 2015. After 2-year follow-up, the transitions of frailty between baseline and were evaluated. Multinomial logistic regressions were used to examine associations between predictors and the transitions of frailty. RESULTS: The proportion of robust, prefrail, and frail was 79.5, 16.4, and 4.1% among 3988 participants at baseline, which changed to 68.2, 23.0, and 8.8% after 2 years with 127 deaths and 23 dropped out. Twelve kinds of transitions from the three frailty statuses at baseline to four outcomes at follow-up (including death) significantly differed within each of gender and age group, as well between genders and age groups. Among these, 7.8% of prefrail or frail elders improved, 70.0% retained their frailty status, and 22.2% of robust or prefrail elders worsened in frailty status. In multivariable models, age was significantly associated with changes in frailty except for in the frail group; higher educational level and working predicted a lower risk of robust worsening. Of the lifestyle predictors, no shower facilities at home predicted a higher risk of robust worsening; more frequent physical exercise predicted a lower risk of robust worsening and a higher chance of frailty improvement; more frequent neighbor interaction predicted a lower risk of robust worsening and prefrail worsening; and more frequent social participation predicted a higher chance of prefrail improvement. CONCLUSIONS: The status of frailty was reversible among community-dwelling elderly, and sociodemographic and lifestyle factors were related to changes in frailty. These findings help health practitioners to recognize susceptible individuals in a community and provide health promotional planning to target aged populations.
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Pueblo Asiatico/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano Frágil , Fragilidad , Evaluación Geriátrica/métodos , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Fragilidad/diagnóstico , Fragilidad/epidemiología , Humanos , Vida Independiente , Estilo de Vida , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Factores SocioeconómicosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its metabolic components, the common risk factors, may be involved in the development and progression of decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The aim of this study was to examine the association of MetS and its metabolic components with eGFR status and severity among Chinese adults. METHODS: The population-based, cross-sectional study recruited a total of 33,300 Chinese adults (aged ≥18 years) from 4 study community sites in Songjiang District, Shanghai, between June 2016 and December 2017. Decreased eGFR was defined as a value of eGFR below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Weighted multiple logistic regression models were used to examine the association of MetS and its components with eGFR status and severity. RESULTS: After adjusting for potential confounders, subjects with MetS had an increased risk of decreased eGFR with an adjusted OR of 1.76 (95% CI 1.53-2.01), and subjects with increasing numbers of MetS components had a gradually increased risk for decreased eGFR (p trend <0.001). The multivariable-adjusted ORs (95% CI) of decreased eGFR were 1.66 (1.44-1.93) for abdominal obesity, 1.37 (1.18-1.60) for elevated triglycerides, 1.13 (0.96-1.33) for reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, 0.84 (0.72-0.98) for elevated fasting glucose, and 1.92 (1.57-2.35) for elevated blood pressure (BP). Furthermore, these associations remained in most of the subgroups analyses. Significant associations between elevated BP and the risks of mildly, moderately, and severely decreased eGFR were also found. CONCLUSIONS: MetS was independently associated with an increased risk of decreased eGFR, and individual components of MetS each play a different role in decreased eGFR. Elevated BP may be an important risk factor for the progression of renal dysfunction or even chronic kidney disease.
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Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Síndrome Metabólico/complicaciones , Adulto , Anciano , Pueblo Asiatico , Glucemia , China , HDL-Colesterol/sangre , Estudios Transversales , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Femenino , Humanos , Hipertensión/complicaciones , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Obesidad Abdominal/complicaciones , Factores de Riesgo , Triglicéridos/sangreRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Tobacco smoking is a recognized risk factor for many chronic diseases and previous study evidences have indicated that smokers receive smoking cessation service after the diagnosis of chronic diseases increases successful rate in quitting. But the prevalence of tobacco related chronic diseases (TCD) among smokers, as well as the role of TCD diagnosis in smoking cessation is still unclear in China. METHODS: From June 2016 to December 2017, we sampled 36, 698 residents aged over 18 years by a three stage sampling in Songjiang district, Shanghai. We conducted a cross-sectional study to understand the prevalence of TCD among smokers, and the role of TCD diagnosis in smoking cessation among ex-smokers as well as the smoking cessation attempt among current smokers. RESULTS: Over all, the prevalence of current smoking is 19.78% (48.36% for male and 0.22% for female). 15.93% of smokers have stopped smoking successfully (1, 376/8, 636). The prevalence of ten selected TCDs among smokers range from 0.63% (Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, COPD) to 36.31% (hypertension). All of 1, 376 ex-smokers had at least one kind of TCD, and 52.33% of them stop smoking after the diagnosis of TCD, the time interval between TCD diagnosis and smoking cessation ranges from 0 to 65 years, with a median of 9 years. Smokers with TCD had higher prevalence of quit smoking, and current smokers with TCD had higher smoking cessation attempt proportion. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of current smoking is still very high among male residents in rural area of Shanghai, and the occurrence of TCD even non-lethal one could provide an opportunity for doctors to assist the smoking cessation among smokers.
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Enfermedad Crónica/epidemiología , Población Rural , Fumadores/psicología , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/psicología , Fumar Tabaco/efectos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Fumadores/estadística & datos numéricos , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/estadística & datos numéricos , Fumar Tabaco/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To determine the optimal cut-off values and evaluate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and waist-height ratio (WHtR) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. METHODS: A large-scale cross-sectional survey was conducted among 35,256 adults aged 20-74 years in Shanghai between June 2016 and December 2017. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to assess the optimal cut-off anthropometric indices of CVD risk factors including hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia and hyperuricemia. Multivariate Logistic regression models were preformed to evaluate the odds ratio of CVD risk factors. RESULTS: The area under the curve (AUC) of WHtR was significantly greater than that of BMI or WC in the prediction of hypertension and diabetes, and AUCs were higher in women than men. The optimal cut-off values of WHtR were approximately 0.51 in both sexes, while the cut-off values of BMI and WC were higher for men compared with women. The optimal cutoff values of BMI and WC varied greatly across different age groups, but the difference in WHtR was relatively slight. Among women, the optimal threshold of anthropometric indices appeared to increase with age for hypertension and diabetes. The odds ratio between anthropometric indices and CVD risk factors were attenuated with age. WHtR had the greatest odds ratio for CVD risk factors among adults under 60 years old except for women with hypertension, while among 60-74 years, BMI yielded the greatest odds ratio in terms of all CVD outcomes except for women with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: WHtR had the best performance for discriminating hypertension and diabetes and potentially be served as a standard screening tool in public health. The associations between three anthropometric indices and CVD risk factors differed by sex and decreased with age. These findings indicated a need to develop age- and gender-specific difference and make effective strategies for primary prevention of CVDs.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Obesidad/diagnóstico , Circunferencia de la Cintura , Relación Cintura-Estatura , Adulto , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valores de Referencia , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
An extensive exposure to antibiotics has been demonstrated in children and pregnant women by biomonitoring, but data from general adults remain limited. In the current study, we studied 822 adults aged 21-75 years in Shanghai in 2017 and analyzed 18 common antibiotics (five veterinary antibiotics (VAs), four human antibiotics (HAs), and nine human/veterinary antibiotics (H/VAs)) in spot urine by liquid chromatography coupled to high-resolution mass spectrometry. All 18 antibiotics were detected in urine with an overall detection frequency of 45.9% and the detection frequency for each ranged from 0.1% to 15.2%. HAs, VAs, H/VAs, and VAs+H/VAs were detected in 4.4%, 11.6%, 38.0, and 44.5% of urine samples, respectively. Adults with the sum of estimated daily exposure dose of all the antibiotics below 1.55 µg/kg/day accounted for 89.1% of adults tested positive. A hazard index value beyond one was seen in 7.2% of adults based on microbiological effect. Ciprofloxacin was the biggest contributor to HI and its hazard quotient value more than one was seen in 5.6% of adults. These findings indicated an extensive exposure to low-dose multiple antibiotics in adults in Shanghai and some adults were at health risk related to the disturbance of gut microbiota.
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Antibacterianos , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , China , Cromatografía Liquida , Femenino , Humanos , Espectrometría de Masas , Persona de Mediana Edad , Embarazo , Medición de Riesgo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: China Centre for Diseases Control and Prevention (CDC) developed the China Infectious Disease Automated Alert and Response System (CIDARS) in 2005. The CIDARS was used to strengthen infectious disease surveillance and aid in the early warning of outbreak. The CIDARS has been integrated into the routine outbreak monitoring efforts of the CDC at all levels in China. Early warning threshold is crucial for outbreak detection in the CIDARS, but CDCs at all level are currently using thresholds recommended by the China CDC, and these recommended thresholds have recognized limitations. Our study therefore seeks to explore an operational method to select the proper early warning threshold according to the epidemic features of local infectious diseases. METHODS: The data used in this study were extracted from the web-based Nationwide Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting Information System (NIDRIS), and data for infectious disease cases were organized by calendar week (1-52) and year (2009-2015) in Excel format; Px was calculated using a percentile-based moving window (moving window [5 week*5 year], x), where x represents one of 12 centiles (0.40, 0.45, 0.50 .0.95). Outbreak signals for the 12 Px were calculated using the moving percentile method (MPM) based on data from the CIDARS. When the outbreak signals generated by the 'mean + 2SD' gold standard were in line with a Px generated outbreak signal for each week during the year of 2014, this Px was then defined as the proper threshold for the infectious disease. Finally, the performance of new selected thresholds for each infectious disease was evaluated by simulated outbreak signals based on 2015 data. RESULTS: Six infectious diseases were selected in this study (chickenpox, mumps, hand foot and mouth diseases (HFMD), scarlet fever, influenza and rubella). Proper thresholds for chickenpox (P75), mumps (P80), influenza (P75), rubella (P45), HFMD (P75), and scarlet fever (P80) were identified. The selected proper thresholds for these 6 infectious diseases could detect almost all simulated outbreaks within a shorter time period compared to thresholds recommended by the China CDC. CONCLUSIONS: It is beneficial to select the proper early warning threshold to detect infectious disease aberrations based on characteristics and epidemic features of local diseases in the CIDARS.
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Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Varicela/epidemiología , China/epidemiología , Epidemias , Enfermedad de Boca, Mano y Pie/epidemiología , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Paperas/epidemiología , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/epidemiología , Escarlatina/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The main objective of this study was to analyze dietary patterns using data-driven approaches and to explore preventive or risk dietary factors for kidney stone disease (KSD). A case-control matching study was conducted in adults (n = 6396) from a suburb of Shanghai. A food frequency questionnaire was used to assess the consumption of various types of food, and B-ultrasound was used to identify kidney stones. Principal component analysis and regression were used to generate dietary patterns and further explore the relationship between dietary patterns and KSD. LASSO regression and post-selection inference were used to identify food groups most associated with KSD. Among males, the "balanced but no-sugary-beverages pattern" (OR = 0.78, p < 0.05) and the "nuts and pickles pattern" (OR = 0.84, p < 0.05) were protective dietary patterns. Among females, "high vegetables and low-sugary-beverages pattern" (OR = 0.83, p < 0.05) and "high-crustaceans and low-vegetables pattern" (OR = 0.79, p < 0.05) were protective dietary patterns, while the "comprehensive pattern with a preference for meat" (OR = 1.06, p < 0.05) and "sugary beverages pattern" (OR = 1.16, p < 0.05) were risk dietary patterns. We further inferred that sugary beverages (p < 0.05) were risk factors and pickles (p < 0.05) and crustaceans (p < 0.05) were protective factors.
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Patrones Dietéticos , Cálculos Renales , Adulto , Femenino , Masculino , Humanos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , China/epidemiología , Cálculos Renales/epidemiología , Cálculos Renales/etiología , Cálculos Renales/prevención & control , CarneRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a growing public health concern. Modifiable factors such as diet and lifestyle are of research interest in preventing or reversing the disease. The relationship between dairy products and NAFLD remains unclear. METHODS: In this cohort study, 36,122 participants aged 20-74 were enrolled by multi-stage, stratified, randomized cluster sampling from 2016 to 2017. A total of 25,085 participants finished at least one follow-up visit from 2019 to 2023. Dairy intake was collected by food frequency questionnaire at baseline. NAFLD was defined as fatty liver diagnosed by ultrasonography with excessive alcohol drink excluded. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the association between dairy intake and NAFLD. RESULTS: A total of 34,040 participants were included in the baseline analysis. The prevalence of NAFLD was inversely associated with dairy intake (OR>7vs 0 servings/week = 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.98; ORper serving/day increase = 0.95, 95% CI 0.92-0.99). 20,460 participants entered the follow-up analysis. Among 12,204 without NAFLD at baseline, 4,470 developed NAFLD after a median time of 4.3 years. The incidence of NAFLD was inversely associated with dairy intake (HR>7 vs 0 servings/week = 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.98; HRper serving/day increase = 0.94, 95% CI 0.89-0.99). Among 8256 with NAFLD at baseline, 3,885 recovered after 4.2-year follow-up. Total dairy intake did not show significant associations with recovery of NAFLD, and the HRs (95% CI) were 0.96 (0.87-1.06) for > 7 servings/week and 0.98 (0.93-1.03) for per serving/day increase. CONCLUSION: Dairy product intake of more than one serving per day was associated with a lower prevalence and incidence of NAFLD in Chinese population. However, total dairy intake did not show significant association in NAFLD reversal.
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Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico , Humanos , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios de Cohortes , Incidencia , Prevalencia , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: More is to be explored between dietary patterns and sleep quality in the Chinese adult population. METHODS: A cross-sectional study including 7987 Shanghai suburban adults aged 20-74 years was conducted. Dietary information was obtained using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Adherence to a priori dietary patterns, such as the Chinese Healthy Eating Index (CHEI), Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet and Mediterranean diet (MD), was assessed. Sleep quality was assessed from self-reported responses to the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) questionnaire. Logistic regression models adjusting for confounders were employed to examine the associations. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of poor sleep (PSQI score ≥ 5) was 28.46%. Factor analysis demonstrated four a posteriori dietary patterns. Participants with a higher CHEI (ORQ4 vs. Q1: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.70-0.95), DASH (ORQ4 vs. Q1: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.60-0.82) or MD (ORQ4 vs. Q1: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.64-0.87) had a lower poor sleep prevalence, while participants with a higher "Beverages" score had a higher poor sleep prevalence (ORQ4 vs. Q1: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.02-1.27). CONCLUSIONS: In Shanghai suburban adults, healthier dietary patterns and lower consumption of beverages were associated with better sleep quality.
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Dieta Saludable , Calidad del Sueño , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Dieta Saludable/estadística & datos numéricos , Dieta Mediterránea/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfoques Dietéticos para Detener la Hipertensión/estadística & datos numéricos , Prevalencia , Sueño/fisiología , Población Suburbana , Encuestas y CuestionariosRESUMEN
The purpose of this research was to evaluate the lipid accumulation product (LAP)'s accuracy and predictive value for identifying metabolic syndrome (MS) in the general Chinese population compared with other obesity indicators. Baseline survey information from a population-based cohort study carried out in Shanghai's Songjiang District was used in this research. Odds ratios (OR) and a 95% confidence interval (CI) were obtained by logistic regression. The ability of each variable to detect MS was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). The optimum cut-off point for each indicator was selected using Youden's index. The survey involved 35,446 participants in total. In both genders, the prevalence of MS rose as the LAP increased (p < 0.001). The LAP's AUC was 0.901 (95%CI: 0.895-0.906) in males and 0.898 (95%CI: 0.893-0.902) in females, making it substantially more predictive of MS than other variables (BMI, WC, WHR, WHtR). The optimal cutoff point of the LAP for men and women was 36.04 (Se: 81.91%, Sp: 81.06%) and 34.95 (Se: 80.93%, Sp: 83.04%). The Youden index of the LAP was 0.64 for both sexes. Our findings imply that the LAP, compared to other obesity markers in China, is a more accurate predictor of MS.
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Producto de la Acumulación de Lípidos , Síndrome Metabólico , Obesidad , Humanos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Síndrome Metabólico/diagnóstico , China/epidemiología , Obesidad/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , AncianoRESUMEN
Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is recognized as one of the most severe non-communicable chronic diseases. Diet plays an essential role in the development and exacerbation of MetS. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the relationship between dietary patterns and MetS in a suburban population in Shanghai, China. Data were collected on the Zhongshan community from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank (SSACB) study between May and September 2017. A total of 5426 participants who completed the questionnaire investigation, physical measurements, and biological sample collection were effectively enrolled in this study. Both posteriori and priori methods were utilized to generate different dietary patterns, including the dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) and Mediterranean diet (MD). The prevalence of MetS in this study was 22.47%. Compared to the reference, dietary patterns with a higher intake of "dairy and fruits" and "coarse cereals and soy products" had protective effects on MetS (p < 0.05). However, no significant correlation with MetS was observed for DASH and MD. Our study recommends higher consumption of fruits, coarse cereals, and soy products, which was associated with a lower prevalence of MetS in the suburban population of Shanghai. The correlation of DASH and MD with MetS in the Chinese population requires further exploration.
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Dieta Mediterránea , Enfoques Dietéticos para Detener la Hipertensión , Síndrome Metabólico , Adulto , Humanos , Población Suburbana , Síndrome Metabólico/epidemiología , Síndrome Metabólico/prevención & control , China/epidemiología , Grano ComestibleRESUMEN
Objective: To evaluate the relationship of serum uric acid with prediabetes and newly detected type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in adults. Methods: Data were obtained from the baseline investigation of Songjiang Peak-Plan cohort. According to the baseline fasting plasma glucose and glycosylated hemoglobin, the eligible subjects were divided into normal blood sugar group, prediabetes group, and newly detected T2DM group. Unconditional logistic regression model was used to explore the effect of serum uric acid level on prediabetes and newly detected T2DM, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) function was used to explore the nonlinear dose-response relationship of serum uric acid level with the prevalence of prediabetes and newly detected T2DM. Results: A total of 30 375 subjects were included in the analysis, with an average age of (55.36±11.52) years, and 60.2% (18 299) of them were women. The baseline survey found that the prevalence of prediabetes was 38.6% (11 739 cases), and the prevalence of newly detected T2DM was 6.6% (1 992 cases). Logistic regression analysis showed that, in women, for every 10µmol/L increase in serum uric acid, the risk of developing prediabetes and T2DM s increased by 2.4% (OR=1.024, 95%CI: 1.018-1.030), and 1.5% (OR=1.015, 95%CI: 1.005-1.025), respectively; in men, for every 10 µmol/L increase in serum uric acid, the risk of developing prediabetes and T2DM decreased by 0.8% (OR=0.992, 95%CI: 0.987-0.998) and 5.0% (OR=0.950, 95%CI: 0.939-0.960), respectively. The RCS function showed that the serum uric acid level showed a nonlinear dose-response relationship with newly detected T2DM (P=0.017), but not with prediabetes (P=0.670) in women and showed a nonlinear dose-response relationship with both prediabetes (P=0.040) and newly detected T2DM (P<0.001) in men. Conclusions: Adult women are at increased risk of prediabetes and newly detected T2DM with increase of serum uric acid level, and adult men are at decreased risk of newly diagnosed T2DM with the increase of serum uric acid level. There was no significant relationship between serum uric acid level and prediabetes in men.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Estado Prediabético , Adulto , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Ácido Úrico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Hemoglobina Glucada , AyunoRESUMEN
The present high mortality of lung cancer in China stems mainly from the lack of feasible, non-invasive and early disease detection biomarkers. Serum metabolomics profiling to reveal metabolic alterations could expedite the disease detection process and suggest those patients who are harboring disease. Using a nested case-control design, we applied ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography/mass spectrometry (LC-MS)-based serum metabolomics to reveal the metabolomic alterations and to indicate the presence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using serum samples collected prior to disease diagnoses. The studied serum samples were collected from 41 patients before a NSCLC diagnosis (within 3.0 y) and 38 matched the cancer-free controls from the prospective Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort. The NSCLC patients markedly presented cellular metabolism alterations in serum samples collected prior to their disease diagnoses compared with the cancer-free controls. In total, we identified 18 significantly expressed metabolites whose relative abundance showed either an upward or a downward trend, with most of them being lipid and lipid-like molecules, organic acids, and nitrogen compounds. Choline metabolism in cancer, sphingolipid, and glycerophospholipid metabolism emerged as the significant metabolic disturbance of NSCLC. The metabolites involved in these biological processes may be the distinctive features associated with NSCLC prior to a diagnosis.