Optimal age to discontinue long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: comparative cost-effectiveness of surveillance by age.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines recommend long-term image-based surveillance for patients with low-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). This simulation study aimed to examine the comparative cost-effectiveness of continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages and define the optimal age to stop surveillance. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model with a lifetime horizon to simulate the clinical course of patients with IPMNs receiving imaging-based surveillance. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages to stop surveillance, stratified by sex and IPMN types (branch-duct vs mixed-type). We determined the optimal age to stop surveillance as the lowest age at which the ICER exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year. To estimate model parameters, we used a clinical cohort of 3000 patients with IPMNs and a national database including 40 166 patients with pancreatic cancer receiving pancreatectomy as well as published data. RESULTS: In male patients, the optimal age to stop surveillance was 76-78 years irrespective of the IPMN types, compared with 70, 73, 81, and 84 years for female patients with branch-duct IPMNs <20 mm, =20-29 mm, ≥30 mm and mixed-type IPMNs, respectively. The suggested ages became younger according to an increasing level of comorbidities. In cases with high comorbidity burden, the ICERs were above the willingness-to-pay threshold irrespective of sex and the size of branch-duct IPMNs. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of long-term IPMN surveillance depended on sex, IPMN types, and comorbidity levels, suggesting the potential to personalise patient management from the health economic perspective.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Surveillance Leads to Early Diagnosis and Better Outcomes of Concomitant Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) leads to early diagnosis and better clinical outcomes of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) developing concomitantly with IPMNs. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Long-term image-based surveillance is recommended for patients with low-risk IPMNs. However, it is unknown whether the surveillance can improve surgical and survival outcomes of patients with concomitant PDACs. METHODS: Using a prospective single-institutional cohort of 4,620 patients with pancreatic cysts including 3,638 IPMN patients, we identified 63 patients who developed concomitant PDAC during long-term surveillance. We compared overall survival (OS) of 46 cases with concomitant PDAC to that of 460 matched cases diagnosed with non-IPMN-associated PDAC at the same institution. Multivariable hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall mortality were computed using the Cox regression model with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Concomitant PDACs were identified at an earlier cancer stage compared to non-IPMN-associated PDACs with 67% and 38% cases identified at stage 2 or earlier, respectively (P<0.001) and 57% and 21% cases with R0 resection, respectively (P<0.001). Compared to non-IPMN-associated PDACs, concomitant PDACs were associated with longer OS (P=0.034) with a multivariable hazard ratio of 0.61 (95% CI, 0.39-0.96). The 5-year survival rate of patients with concomitant PDAC was higher compared to patients with non-IPMN-associated PDAC (34% vs. 18%, respectively; P=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: The surveillance for patients with IPMNs was associated with early identification of concomitant PDACs and longer survival of patients diagnosed with this malignancy.

The Revised Kyoto Criteria and Risk of Malignancy Among Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The revised Kyoto guidelines have a new catalog of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features for the risk stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). We aimed to validate the stratification system in terms of short- and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma. METHODS: We included 3336 patients diagnosed with IPMNs in 2000-2021 and examined short-term (≤6 months) and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma diagnosis. We used the multivariable competing-risks proportional hazards regression model to calculate subdistribution hazard ratios for long-term incidence of pancreatic carcinoma with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: In short-term analyses, pancreatic carcinomas were prevalent predominantly in IPMNs with high-risk stigmata (49% vs 1.3% and 0.05% in IPMNs with worrisome features and no risk factors, respectively). In long-term analyses of worrisome features, the main pancreatic duct diameter of 5-9.9 mm, acute pancreatitis, and IPMN growth rate of 2.5 mm/y were associated with a high incidence with multivariable subdistribution hazard ratios of 3.46 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-5.89), 5.65 (95% CI, 1.86-17.2), and 3.83 (95% CI, 2.14-6.86), respectively. An increasing number of worrisome features at baseline was associated with a higher prevalence and incidence of pancreatic carcinoma (Ptrend < .001). Patients with 1, 2, and 3-4 worrisome features had multivariable subdistribution hazard ratios for pancreatic cancer incidence of 1.43 (95% CI, 0.93-2.19), 2.17 (95% CI, 1.17-4.05), and 10.1 (95% CI, 4.20-24.5), respectively (vs no positive feature). CONCLUSIONS: The revised Kyoto criteria stratify IPMN patients well in terms of the short- and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma diagnosis, potentially informing personalized patient management.

Older Age as a Worrisome Feature in Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: a Long-Term Surveillance Study.

INTRODUCTION: Aging has been implicated in the development of various cancer types. No study has specifically investigated age at the diagnosis of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) in relation to the long-term risk of pancreatic carcinogenesis. METHODS: Within a prospective cohort of 4,104 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cysts, we identified 3,142 IPMN patients and examined an association of age at IPMN diagnosis with the incidence of pancreatic carcinoma. Utilizing the multivariable competing-risks proportional hazards regression model, we estimated subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pancreatic carcinoma incidence according to age at IPMN diagnosis. RESULTS: During 22,187 person-years of follow-up, we documented 130 patients diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma (64 with IPMN-derived carcinoma and 66 with concomitant ductal adenocarcinoma). Older age at IPMN diagnosis was associated with a higher risk of pancreatic cancer incidence (Ptrend = 0.002). Compared to patients aged < 55 years, patients aged 55-64, 65-74, and ≥ 75 years had adjusted SHRs of 1.80 (95% CI, 0.75-4.32), 2.56 (95% CI, 1.10-5.98), and 3.31 (95% CI, 1.40-7.83), respectively. Patients aged ≥ 70 years had a numerically similar adjusted SHR compared to patients aged < 70 years with worrisome features defined by the international consensus guidelines (1.73 [95% CI, 1.01-2.97] and 1.66 [95% CI, 0.89-3.10], respectively). DISCUSSION: Older patients with IPMNs were at a higher risk of developing pancreatic carcinoma during surveillance. Surgically fit elderly patients may be good candidates for periodic surveillance aimed at a reduction of pancreatic cancer-related deaths.

Evaluation of pancreatic chymotrypsin activity for on-site prediction of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula.

OBJECTIVES: Although the risk of complications due to postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) have been evaluated based on the amylase level in drained ascitic fluid, this method has much room for improvement regarding diagnostic accuracy and facility of the measurement. This study aimed to investigate the clinical value of measuring pancreatic chymotrypsin activity for rapid and accurate prediction of POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy. METHODS: In 52 consecutive patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy, the chymotrypsin activity in pancreatic juice was measured by calculating the increase in fluorescence intensity during the first 5 min after activation with an enzyme-activatable fluorophore. The predictive value for clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF) was compared between this technique and the conventional method based on the amylase level. RESULTS: According to receiver operating characteristic analyses, pancreatic chymotrypsin activity on postoperative day (POD) 3 measured with a multiplate reader had the highest predictive value for CR-POPF (area under the curve [AUC], 0.752; P < 0.001), yielding 77.8 % sensitivity and 68.8 % specificity. The AUC and sensitivity/specificity of the amylase level in ascitic fluid on POD 3 were 0.695 (P = 0.053) and 77.8 %/41.2 %, respectively. Multivariable analysis identified high pancreatic chymotrypsin activity on POD 3 as an independent risk factor for CR-POPF. Measurement of pancreatic chymotrypsin activity with a prototype portable fluorescence photometer could significantly predict CR-POPF (AUC, 0.731; P = 0.010). CONCLUSION: Measurement of pancreatic chymotrypsin activity enabled accurate and rapid prediction of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy. This can help surgeons to implement appropriate drain management at the patient's bedside without delay.

Targeted exome-based predictors of patterns of progression of colorectal liver metastasis after percutaneous thermal ablation.

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous thermal ablation is a curative-intent locoregional therapy (LRT) for selected patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastasis (CLM). Several factors have been identified that contribute to local tumour control after ablation. However, factors contributing to disease progression outside the ablation zone after ablation are poorly understood. METHODS: In this retrospective study, using next-generation sequencing, we identified genetic biomarkers associated with different patterns of progression following thermal ablation of CLM. RESULTS: A total of 191 ablation naïve patients between January 2011 and March 2020 were included in the analysis, and 101 had genomic profiling available. Alterations in the TGFß pathway were associated with increased risk of development of new intrahepatic tumours (hazard ratio [HR], 2.75, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.39-5.45, P = 0.004); and alterations in the Wnt pathway were associated with increased probability of receiving salvage LRT for any intrahepatic progression (HR, 5.8, 95% CI 1.94-19.5, P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that genomic alterations in cancer-related signalling pathways can predict different progression patterns and the likelihood of receiving salvage LRT following percutaneous thermal ablation of CLM.

Prospective Study of Perioperative Circulating Tumor DNA Dynamics in Patients Undergoing Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of perioperative ctDNA dynamics on outcomes after hepatectomy for CLM. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Prognostication is imprecise for patients undergoing hepatectomy for CLM, and ctDNA is a promising biomarker. However, clinical implications of perioperative ctDNA dynamics are not well established. METHODS: Patients underwent curative-intent hepatectomy after preoperative chemotherapy for CLM (2013-2017) with paired prehepatectomy/postoperative ctDNA analyses via plasma-only assay. Positivity was determined using a proprietary variant classifier. Primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival (RFS). Median follow-up was 55 months. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients were included. ctDNA was detected before and after surgery (ctDNA+/+) in 14 (29%), before but not after surgery (ctDNA+/-) in 19 (40%), and not at all (ctDNA-/-) in 11 (23%). Adverse tissue somatic mutations were detected in TP53 (n = 26; 54%), RAS (n = 23; 48%), SMAD4 (n = 5; 10%), FBXW7 (n = 3; 6%), and BRAF (n = 2; 4%). ctDNA+/+ was associated with worse RFS (median: ctDNA+/+, 6.0 months; ctDNA+/-, not reached; ctDNA-/-, 33.0 months; P = 0.001). Compared to ctDNA+/+, ctDNA+/- was associated with improved RFS [hazard ratio (HR) 0.24 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1-0.58)] and overall survival [HR 0.24 (95% CI 0.08-0.74)]. Adverse somatic mutations were not associated with survival. After adjustment for prehepatectomy chemotherapy, synchronous disease, and ≥2 CLM, ctDNA+/- and ctDNA-/- were independently associated with improved RFS compared to ctDNA+/+ (ctDNA+/-: HR 0.21, 95% CI 0.08-0.53; ctDNA-/-: HR 0.21, 95% CI 0.08-0.56). CONCLUSIONS: Perioperative ctDNA dynamics are associated with survival, identify patients with high recurrence risk, and may be used to guide treatment decisions and surveillance after hepatectomy for patients with CLM.

Clinical Outcomes of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms With Dilatation of the Main Pancreatic Duct.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Dilatation of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) has been a surgical indication for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Few studies have investigated long-term outcomes of IPMNs with MPD dilatation. METHODS: Among 3610 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cysts between 1994 and 2021, we identified 2829 IPMN patients, including 282 patients with MPD ≥5 mm, and examined short-term (≤6 months) and long-term risks of pancreatic carcinoma. Utilizing competing risks proportional hazards models, we estimated subdistribution hazard ratios for incidence of pancreatic carcinoma with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: In analyses of short-term outcomes of the 282 patients with MPD dilatation, 72 (26%) patients were diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma based on surgical or nonsurgical exploration. During long-term follow-up of 168 patients, we documented 24 (14%) patients diagnosed with pancreatic carcinoma (18 with IPMN-derived carcinoma and 6 with concomitant ductal adenocarcinoma). The patients with the MPD = 5-9.9 mm had cumulative incidence rates of pancreatic carcinoma diagnosis of 8.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.3%-13.5%) and 10.0% (95% CI, 5.5%-15.9%) at 2 and 5 years, respectively; and the patients with the MPD ≥10 mm had the corresponding rates of 16.0% (95% CI, 3.6-36.5%) and 33.3% (95% CI, 10.3%-58.8%). The multivariable subdistribution hazard ratios were 2.78 (95% CI, 1.57-4.90) and 7.00 (95% CI, 2.58-19.0) for the MPD = 5-9.9 mm and ≥10 mm (vs <5 mm), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: IPMNs with MPD dilatation at baseline were associated with higher prevalence and incidence of pancreatic carcinoma compared with IPMNs with no MPD dilatation.

Conditional recurrence analysis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Changes in recurrence rate and survival after recurrence resection by disease-free interval.

AIM: The prognosis of patients with resected intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is still unsatisfactory, with a high recurrence rate. We aimed to evaluate risks of recurrence changing over time and the survival benefit of resection for recurrent ICC. METHODS: This study included patients who underwent hepatectomy for ICC during 1995-2020. Risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients undergoing initial resection and overall survival (OS) in patients who developed recurrence after initial resection were analyzed. Conditional cumulative incidence of recurrence was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 169 patients were included in the study and 114 patients (67.5%) developed recurrence. Cumulative analyses showed that the 5-year recurrence rate was 69.3% at the time of initial resection but decreased to 24.8% in patients free from recurrence at 2 years after initial resection and 2.6% in patients free from recurrence at 4 years. Re-resection was carried out in 26 (22.8%) of 114 patients who developed recurrence. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model analysis indicated re-resection (hazard ratio [HR] 0.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.11-0.40, p < 0.001), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR 2.39; 95% CI 1.05-5.40, p = 0.037), and disease-free interval (months) (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.95-1.00, p = 0.067) were significantly associated with longer OS after recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Although the rate of recurrence remains high, conditional cumulative recurrence rate analysis showed that the rate of recurrence decreased by disease-free interval. Resection of recurrent ICC was associated with improved OS, particularly among patients with longer disease-free interval and absence of MVI after initial hepatectomy.

Assessment of liver function-related mRNA expression and fluorescence imaging in outflow-obstructed regions in rats.

PURPOSE: The liver function in outflow-obstructed regions is reportedly impaired; however, the functional decrease has not been quantitatively assessed. We therefore evaluated the uptake of indocyanine green (ICG) into hepatocytes and the mRNA expression associated with the liver function in outflow-obstructed regions using rat models. METHODS: A total of 20 rats with the ligation of the right median hepatic vein to induce outflow obstruction were studied. Five rats each were grouped by the time of re-laparotomy, and the fluorescence intensity (FI) values of ICG. The mRNA expression, including that of Albumin, Cytochrome P450 (Cyp) 1a2, Cyp3a1, Cyp7a1, and Gamma-glutamylcysteine synthetase, in outflow-obstructed (mRNAOut-Ob) and non-outflow-obstructed (mRNANon) regions was assessed. RESULTS: Microscopic fluorescence imaging showed that the FI values were significantly lower in outflow-obstructed regions than in non-outflow-obstructed regions at 12 h, 24 h, and 3 days after ligation of the hepatic vein. The mRNAOut-Ob/mRNANon ratios decreased to approximately 30% at 12 h after the outflow obstruction and increased to approximately 70-80% at 7 days. CONCLUSIONS: The liver function in outflow-obstructed regions was impaired in terms of the uptake of ICG and the mRNA expression. Our findings may help estimate the postoperative functional remnant liver volume by considering the decrease in the liver function in outflow-obstructed regions.

Interventional treatment for portal vein complications utilizing a hybrid operating room after liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Vascular complications after liver transplantation (LT) can be lethal and require immediate treatment to prevent graft failure. Nowadays, with interventional radiology (IR), approaches such as the percutaneous transhepatic (PTH) and transileocolic venous (TIC), have become major treatment options. We reviewed the safety and efficacy of a hybrid operating room (OR) for portal vein complications after LT. METHODS: Patients who underwent IR for post-LT vascular complications in the hybrid OR from May 2014 to May 2022 were enrolled. Patients who underwent post-LT IR in conventional angiography rooms were excluded. RESULTS: Nine patients developed portal vein complications; eight after living donor LT and one after deceased donor LT. Six patients had portal vein stenosis, two had portal vein thrombosis, and one had both. In the hybrid OR, PTH and TIC were used in five and three cases, respectively. The Rendezvous technique was used in one case. Angioplasty was performed in all patients. A stent was placed in four patients. The portal venous pressure gradient across the stenotic site significantly decreased after IR (P &= 0.031). The IR success rate in the hybrid OR was 100%. CONCLUSION: The hybrid OR enables us to accomplish IR for post-LT vascular complications safely and effectively.

KRAS variant allele frequency, but not mutation positivity, associates with survival of patients with pancreatic cancer.

KRAS mutation is a major driver of pancreatic carcinogenesis and will likely be a therapeutic target. Due to lack of sensitive assays for clinical samples of pancreatic cancer with low cellularity, KRAS mutations and their prognostic association have not been fully examined in large populations. In a multi-institutional cohort of 1162 pancreatic cancer patients with formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor samples, we undertook droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) for KRAS codons 12/13/61. We examined detection rates of KRAS mutations by clinicopathological parameters and survival associations of KRAS mutation status. Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were computed using the Cox regression model with adjustment for potential confounders. KRAS mutations were detected in 1139 (98%) patients. The detection rate did not differ by age of tissue blocks, tumor cellularity, or receipt of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. KRAS mutations were not associated with DFS or OS (multivariable HR comparing KRAS-mutant to KRAS-wild-type tumors, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.62-1.75] and 1.05 [95% CI, 0.60-1.84], respectively). Among KRAS-mutant tumors, KRAS variant allele frequency (VAF) was inversely associated with DFS and OS with HRs per 20% VAF increase of 1.27 (95% CI, 1.13-1.42; ptrend <0.001) and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.16-1.48; ptrend <0.001), respectively. In summary, ddPCR detected KRAS mutations in clinical specimens of pancreatic cancer with high sensitivity irrespective of parameters potentially affecting mutation detections. KRAS VAF, but not mutation positivity, was associated with survival of pancreatic cancer patients.

RAS/TP53 Co-mutation is Associated With Worse Survival After Concurrent Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases and Extrahepatic Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if tumor genetics are associated with overall survival (OS) after concurrent resection of colorectal liver metastases (CLM) and extrahepatic disease (EHD). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: The prognosis for patients who undergo concurrent resection of CLM/EHD is unclear and the impact of somatic mutations has not been reported. METHODS: Patients undergoing concurrent resection of CLM and EHD from 2007 to 2017 were identified from 2 academic centers. From 1 center, patients were selected from a pre-existing database of patients undergoing cytore-ductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to construct survival curves, compared using the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox analysis for OS was performed. RESULTS: One hundred nine patients were included. Most common EHD sites included lung (33 patients), peritoneum (32), and portal lymph nodes (14). TP53 mutation was the most common mutation, identified in 75 patients (69%), and RAS/TP53 co-mutation was identified in 31 patients (28%). The median OS was 49 months (interquartile range, 24-125), and 3- and 5-year OS rates were 66% and 44%, respectively. Compared to patients without RAS/ TP53 co-mutation, patients with RAS/TP53 co-mutation had lower median OS: 39 vs. 51 months ( P = 0.02). On multivariable analysis, lung EHD [hazard ratio (HR), 0.7; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.3-1.4], peritoneal EHD (HR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.1-4.2) and RAS/TP53 co-mutation (HR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.1-7.2) were independently associated with OS. CONCLUSIONS: RAS/TP53 co-mutation is associated with worse OS after concurrent CLM/EHD resection. Mutational status and site of EHD should be included in the evaluation of patients considered for concurrent resection.

A randomized controlled trial of surgery and postoperative modified FOLFOX6 versus surgery and perioperative modified FOLFOX6 plus cetuximab in patients with KRAS wild-type resectable colorectal liver metastases: EXPERT study.

PURPOSE: To clarify the efficacy of perioperative chemotherapy for the patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM), we conducted a multicenter randomized phase III trial to compare surgery followed by postoperative FOLFOX regimen with perioperative FOLFOX regimen plus cetuximab in patients with KRAS wild-type resectable CLM. METHODS: Patients who had KRAS wild-type resectable CLM having one to eight liver nodules without extrahepatic disease were randomly assigned to the postoperative chemotherapy group, wherein up-front hepatectomy was performed followed by 12 cycles of postoperative modified FOLFOX6, and the perioperative chemotherapy group (experimental), wherein six cycles of preoperative modified FOLFOX6 plus cetuximab were performed followed by hepatectomy and six cycles of postoperative modified FOLFOX6 plus cetuximab. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS: There were 37 patients in postoperative chemotherapy group and 40 patients in the perioperative chemotherapy group who were analyzed. Baseline characteristics were well-balanced between groups. The PFS and overall survival (OS) showed no significant difference (PFS, hazard ratio 1.18 [95% confidence interval 0.69-2.01], P = 0.539: OS, 1.03 [0.46-2.29], P = 0.950). In the postoperative chemotherapy group, 35.1% had a 3-year PFS, and 86.5% had a 3-year OS. Meanwhile, in the perioperative chemotherapy group, 30.0% had a 3-year PFS, and 74.4% had a 3-year OS. CONCLUSION: There was no difference in survival found between the group of the perioperative chemotherapy plus cetuximab and that of the postoperative chemotherapy in the cohort of our study. The study was registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000007787).

Understanding conditional cumulative incidence of complications following liver resection to optimize hospital stay.

BACKGROUND: After liver resection, the in-hospital observation periods associated with minimal risks for complications and unplanned readmission remains unclear. This study aimed to assess changes in risks of complications over time. METHODS: Surgical complexity of liver resection was stratified into grades I (low complexity), II (intermediate), and III (high). The cumulative incidence rate and risk factors for complication ≥ Clavien-Dindo grade II (defined as treatment-requiring complications) were assessed. RESULTS: Of 581 patients, grade I, II, and III resections were performed in 81 (13.9%), 119 (20.5%), and 381 patients (65.6%). Complexity grades (I vs. III, hazard ratio [HR] 0.45, P = 0.007; II vs. III, HR 0.60, P = 0.011) and background liver status (HR 1.76, P = 0.004) were risk factors for treatment-requiring complications. The cumulative incidence rate of treatment-requiring complications was higher after grade III resection than grade I resection (38.1% vs. 16.1%, P < 0.001) or grade II resection (38.1% vs. 25.2%, P = 0.019). Without cirrhosis/chronic hepatitis, the cumulative incidence rate of treatment-requiring complications decreased to less than 10% on postoperative day (POD) 3 after grade I resection, POD 5 after grade II resection, and POD 10 after grade III resection. CONCLUSION: Conditional complication risk analysis stratified by surgical complexity may be useful for optimizing in-hospital observation.

The impact of the covalently closed circular DNA level on recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after initial hepatectomy: an analysis of patients with resolved hepatitis B virus infection.

BACKGROUND: We assessed whether or not covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) levels in the background liver influence the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with resolved hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. METHODS: Among 425 patients who underwent initial hepatectomy for HCC between 2010 and 2018, a retrospective review was performed in 44 with resolved HBV infection. The clinicopathologic characteristics were analyzed for correlation with tumor recurrence. The HBV cccDNA levels were tested via a droplet digital polymerase chain reaction assay. RESULTS: HBV cccDNA was detected in 27 of 44 patients (61%), and the median level was 1.0 copies/1000 ng (range, 0-931.3 copies/1000 ng). Anti-HBc ≥8.9 S/CO was associated with cccDNA detection (odds ratio, 11.08; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.48-49.46; P = 0.002). Twenty-eight patients (64%) developed HCC recurrence after hepatectomy. The overall 3- and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates were 45.7% and 34.3%, respectively.19 HBV cccDNA levels was not significantly associated with HCC recurrence, while the presence of multiple tumors was an independent risk fact or (hazard ratio, 6.53; 95% CI, 2.48-17.19; P < 0.001. CONCLUSION: HBV cccDNA levels did not influence HCC recurrence after hepatectomy. Anti-HBc levels may be used as a surrogate marker for cccDNA.

The prognostic impact of RAS on overall survival following liver resection in early versus late-onset colorectal cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: The impact of molecular aberrations on survival after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CLM) in patients with early-age-onset (EOCRC) versus late-age-onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC) is unknown. METHODS: Patients who underwent liver resection for CLM with known RAS, BRAF and MSI status were retrospectively studied. The prognostic impact of RAS mutations by age was analysed with age as a categorical variable and a continuous variable. RESULTS: The study included 573 patients, 192 with EOCRC and 381 with LOCRC. The younger the age of onset of CRC, the greater the negative impact on overall survival of RAS mutations in the LOCRC, EOCRC, and ≤40 years (hazard ratio (HR), 1.64 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.23-2.20), 2.03 (95% CI, 1.30-3.17), and 2.97 (95% CI, 1.44-6.14), respectively. Age-specific mortality risk and linear regression analysis also demonstrated that RAS mutations had a greater impact on survival in EOCRC than in LOCRC (slope: -4.07, 95% CI -8.10 to 0.04, P = 0.047, R2 = 0.08). CONCLUSION: Among patients undergoing CLM resection, RAS mutations have a greater negative influence on survival in patients with EOCRC, more so in patients ≤40 years, than in patients with LOCRC and should be considered as a prognostic factor in multidisciplinary treatment planning.

Effect of Diameter and Number of Hepatocellular Carcinomas on Survival After Resection, Transarterial Chemoembolization, and Ablation.

INTRODUCTION: Most studies predicting survival after resection, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and ablation analyzed diameter and number of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) as dichotomous variables, resulting in an underestimation of risk variation. We aimed to develop and validate a new prognostic model for patients with HCC using largest diameter and number of HCCs as continuous variables. METHODS: The prognostic model was developed using data from patients undergoing resection, TACE, and ablation in 645 Japanese institutions. The model results were shown after balanced using the inverse probability of treatment-weighted analysis and were externally validated in an international multi-institution cohort. RESULTS: Of 77,268 patients, 43,904 patients, including 15,313 (34.9%) undergoing liver resection, 13,375 (30.5%) undergoing TACE, and 15,216 (34.7%) undergoing ablation, met the inclusion criteria. Our model (http://www.u-tokyo-hbp-transplant-surgery.jp/about/calculation.html) showed that the 5-year overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC undergoing these procedures decreased with progressive incremental increases in diameter and number of HCCs. For patients undergoing resection, the inverse probability of treatment-weighted-adjusted 5-year OS probabilities were 10%-20% higher compared with patients undergoing TACE for 1-6 HCC lesions <10 cm and were also 10%-20% higher compared with patients undergoing ablation when the HCC diameter was 2-3 cm. For patients undergoing resection and TACE, the model performed well in the external cohort. DISCUSSION: Our novel prognostic model performed well in predicting OS after resection and TACE for HCC and demonstrated that resection may have a survival benefit over TACE and ablation based on the diameter and number of HCCs.

Simultaneous Sigmoid Colectomy, Bilobar Liver Resection and Lung Metastasectomy via a Transdiaphragmatic Approach for Stage IV Colonic Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Current evidence supports the curative resection of colorectal cancer and synchronous liver and lung metastases in selected patients.1,2 This video shows simultaneous left colectomy, bilobar liver resection, and lung metastasectomy via a transdiaphragmatic approach for stage IV colorectal cancer.3 PATIENT: A 57-year-old man with a stage IV colonic adenocarcinoma was considered for simultaneous resection of primary, liver, and lung metastases without thoracic incision. The tumor mutational status was KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF wild-type, and the patient underwent preoperative chemotherapy. TECHNIQUE: After performing a midline laparotomy, atypical liver resection of segments 8/4a was performed under the guidance of intraoperative ultrasonography and intermittent Pringle maneuver using the two-surgeon's technique. A small capsular lesion in segment 3 also was intraoperatively detected and resected. Lung metastasectomy of the right lower lobe was performed via a transdiaphragmatic approach using an endoscopic stapler. Sigmoid colectomy with transanal circular-stapled anastomosis was performed. Duration of surgery and blood loss were 358 min and 400 ml, respectively. Histopathological examination showed metastatic colonic adenocarcinoma with negative surgical margins and final stage was T3N2aM1b. The patient was discharged on postoperative day 6 without complication. He was alive and free of disease at 90-day follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Simultaneous colon, liver, and lung resection via a transdiaphragmatic approach is a feasible and safe surgical strategy in selected patients with peripheral lung metastases and favorable tumor biology.4 This surgical strategy avoids thoracic incision, multiple operations, and may reduce the healthcare costs and the recovery time to early implement postoperative therapy.

Conditional Recurrence-Free Survival after Oncologic Extended Resection for Gallbladder Cancer: An International Multicenter Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data to guide surveillance following oncologic extended resection (OER) for gallbladder cancer (GBC) are lacking. Conditional recurrence-free survival (C-RFS) can inform surveillance. We aimed to estimate C-RFS and identify factors affecting conditional RFS after OER for GBC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with ≥ T1b GBC who underwent curative-intent surgery in 2000-2018 at four countries were identified. Risk factors for recurrence and RFS were evaluated at initial resection in all patients and at 12 and 24 months after resection in patients remaining recurrence-free. RESULTS: Of the 1071 patients who underwent OER, 484 met the inclusion criteria; 290 (60%) were recurrence-free at 12 months, and 199 (41%) were recurrence-free at 24 months. Median follow-up was 24.5 months for all patients and 47.21 months in survivors at analysis. Five-year RFS rates were 47% for the overall population, 71% for patients recurrence-free at 12 months, and 87% for the patients without recurrence at 24 months. In the entire cohort, the risk of recurrence peaked at 8 months. T3-T4 disease was independently associated with recurrence in all groups: entire cohort [hazard ratio (HR) 2.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49-3.13, P < 0.001], 12-month recurrence-free (HR 3.42, 95% CI 1.88-6.23, P < 0.001), and 24-month recurrence-free (HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.11-6.62, P = 0.029). Of the 125 patients without these risk factors, only 2 had recurrence after 36 months. CONCLUSION: C-RFS improves over time, and only T3-T4 disease remains a risk factor for recurrence at 24 months after OER for GBC. For all recurrence-free survivors after 36 months, the probability of recurrence is similar regardless of T category or disease stage.