Threshold shifts and developmental temperature impact trade-offs between tolerance and plasticity.

Mounting evidence suggests that ectotherms are already living close to their upper physiological thermal limits. Phenotypic plasticity has been proposed to reduce the impact of climate change in the short-term providing time for adaptation, but the tolerance-plasticity trade-off hypothesis predicts organisms with higher tolerance have lower plasticity. Empirical evidence is mixed, which may be driven by methodological issues such as statistical artefacts, nonlinear reaction norms, threshold shifts or selection. Here, we examine whether threshold shifts (organisms with higher tolerance require stronger treatments to induce maximum plastic responses) influence tolerance-plasticity trade-offs in hardening capacity for desiccation tolerance and critical thermal maximum (CTMAX) across Drosophila species with varying distributions/sensitivity to desiccation/heat stress. We found evidence for threshold shifts in both traits; species with higher heat/desiccation tolerance required longer hardening treatments to induce maximum hardening responses. Species with higher heat tolerance also showed reductions in hardening capacity at higher developmental acclimation temperatures. Trade-off patterns differed depending on the hardening treatment used and the developmental temperature flies were exposed to. Based on these findings, studies that do not consider threshold shifts, or that estimate plasticity under a narrow set of environments, will have a limited ability to assess trade-off patterns and differences in plasticity across species/populations more broadly.

Very low additive genetic variance and evolutionary potential in multiple populations of two rainforest Drosophila species.

Most quantitative traits are thought to exhibit high levels of genetic variance and evolutionary potential. However, this conclusion may be biased by a lack of studies on nonmodel organisms and may not generalize to restricted species. A recent study on a single, southern population of the rainforest-restricted Drosophila birchii failed to find significant additive genetic variance for the desiccation resistance trait; however, it is unclear whether this pattern extends to other D. birchii populations or to other rainforest species. Here we use an animal model design to show very low levels of additive genetic variance for desiccation resistance in multiple populations of two highly sensitive rainforest species of Drosophila from tropical northeastern Australia. In contrast, relatively high levels of genetic variance were found for morphological traits in all populations of the species tested. This indicates limited evolutionary potential for evolving increased desiccation resistance in these rainforest restricted species.

Does environmental robustness play a role in fluctuating environments?

Fluctuating environments are expected to select for individuals that have highest geometric fitness over the experienced environments. This leads to the prediction that genetically determined environmental robustness in fitness, and average fitness across environments should be positively genetically correlated to fitness in fluctuating environments. Because quantitative genetic experiments resolving these predictions are missing, we used a full-sib, half-sib breeding design to estimate genetic variance for egg-to-adult viability in Drosophila melanogaster exposed to two constant or fluctuating temperatures that were above the species' optimum temperature, during development. Viability in two constant environments (25°C or 30°C) was used to estimate breeding values for environmental robustness of viability (i.e., reaction norm slope) and overall viability (reaction norm elevation). These breeding values were regressed against breeding values of viability at two different fluctuating temperatures (with a mean of 25°C or 30°C). Our results based on genetic correlations show that average egg-to-adult viability across different constant thermal environments, and not the environmental robustness, was the most important factor for explaining the fitness in fluctuating thermal environments. Our results suggest that the role of environmental robustness in adapting to fluctuating environments might be smaller than anticipated.