Defining and Understanding Diagnostic Delays Among Pancreatic Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Pancreatic cancer is a lethal cancer of increasing incidence, presenting with several clinically detectable signals allowing for earlier diagnosis. However, there are limited data related to diagnostic process, including prevalence of diagnostic delays and their contributing factors. We aimed to develop a standardized definition of diagnostic delay, evaluate its prevalence, and identify its contributing factors among pancreatic cancer patients. METHODS: We convened an expert panel who defined diagnostic delay among pancreatic cancer patients. We then conducted a retrospective cohort study among pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients consecutively diagnosed from 2007 to 2019 at a tertiary care Veterans Affairs medical center. We manually reviewed diagnostic delay instances for contributing factors. Secondary analyses, using multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, explored associations between diagnostic delays and cancer outcomes. RESULTS: Diagnostic delay was defined as cancer diagnosis made ≥60 days after first clinical presence of predefined red flag(s). Among 197 pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients, 38.6% experienced a diagnostic delay. Among delay cases, the most common primary contributing factor was related to the patient-provider encounter (44.7% with lack of recognition of objective weight loss). Patients with delays were more likely to be diagnosed at advanced stage disease (adjusted odds ratio, 1.62; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-3.30) and less likely to receive potentially curative treatment (adjusted odds ratio, 0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.28-1.84), although these trends did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: Over one-third of pancreatic cancer patients experienced a diagnostic delay, mostly due to inadequate recognition of red flag findings. Results can inform targeted interventions to reduce preventable diagnostic delays among pancreatic cancer patients.

Improving Adherence to Clinical Practice Guidelines for Managing Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia Among Gastroenterologists at a US Academic Institution.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guidelines reserve endoscopic surveillance after a gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) diagnosis for high-risk patients. However, it is unclear how closely guidelines are followed in clinical practice. We examined the effectiveness of a standardized protocol for the management of GIM among gastroenterologists at a US hospital. METHODS: This was a preintervention and postintervention study, which included developing a protocol and education of gastroenterologists on GIM management. For the preintervention study, 50 patients with GIM were randomly selected from a histopathology database at the Houston VA Hospital between January 2016 and December 2019. For the postintervention study, we assessed change in GIM management in a cohort of 50 patients with GIM between April 2020 and January 2021 and surveyed 10 gastroenterologists. The durability of the intervention was assessed in a cohort of 50 GIM patients diagnosed between April 2021 and July 2021. RESULTS: In the preintervention cohort, GIM location was specified (antrum and corpus separated) in 11 patients (22%), and Helicobacter pylori testing was recommended in 11 of 26 patients (42%) without previous testing. Gastric mapping biopsies were recommended in 14% and surveillance endoscopy in 2%. In the postintervention cohort, gastric biopsy location was specified in 45 patients (90%, P <0.001) and H. pylori testing was recommended in 26 of 27 patients without prior testing (96%, P <0.001). Because gastric biopsy location was known in 90% of patients ( P <0.001), gastric mapping was not necessary, and surveillance endoscopy was recommended in 42% ( P <0.001). One year after the intervention, all metrics remained elevated compared with the preintervention cohort. CONCLUSIONS: GIM management guidelines are not consistently followed. A protocol for GIM management and education of gastroenterologists increased adherence to H. pylori testing and GIM surveillance recommendations.

Emergency Presentations Predict Worse Outcomes Among Patients with Pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Emergency presentation (EP) of cancer, a new cancer diagnosis made following an emergency department (ED) visit, is associated with worse patient outcomes and greater organizational stress on healthcare systems. Pancreatic cancer has the highest rate of EPs among European studies but remains understudied in the U.S. AIMS: To evaluate the association between pancreatic cancer EPs and cancer stage, treatment, and survival. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma diagnosed from 2007 to 2019 at a tertiary-care Veterans Affairs medical center. Electronic health records were reviewed to identify EP cases, defined as a new pancreatic cancer diagnosis made within 30 days of an ED visit where cancer was suspected. We used multivariate logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards models to examine the associations between EPs and cancer stage, treatment, and survival. RESULTS: Of 243 pancreatic cancer patients, 66.7% had EPs. There was no difference in stage by EP status. However, patients diagnosed through EPs were 72% less likely to receive cancer treatment compared to non-emergency presenters (adjusted OR 0.28; 95% CI 0.13-0.57). Patients with EPs also had a 73% higher mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.29-2.34). This difference in mortality remained statistically significant after adjusting for cancer stage and receipt of cancer treatment (adjusted HR 1.47; 95% CI 1.09-1.99). CONCLUSIONS: Pancreatic cancer EPs are common and independently associated with lower treatment rates and survival. Enhanced understanding of process breakdowns that lead to EPs can help identify care gaps and inform future quality improvement efforts.

Diabetes Status and Pancreatic Cancer Survival in the Nationwide Veterans Affairs Healthcare System.

BACKGROUND: Long-standing type 2 diabetes is a known risk factor for developing pancreatic cancer, however, its influence on cancer-associated outcomes is understudied. AIMS: To examine the associations between diabetes status and pancreatic cancer outcomes. METHODS: We identified patients diagnosed with pancreatic adenocarcinoma in the national Veterans Administration System from 2010 to 2018. We classified each patient by pre-cancer diagnosis diabetes status: no diabetes, new-onset diabetes (NOD) of ≤ 3 years duration, or long-standing diabetes of > 3 years duration. We used Cox proportional hazards models to examine the association between diabetes status and survival. We adjusted the models for age, race, sex, body mass index, tobacco, and alcohol use, coronary artery disease, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, year of cancer diagnosis, and cancer stage and treatment. RESULTS: We identified 6342 patients diagnosed with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Most had long-standing diabetes (45.7%) prior to their cancer diagnosis, 14.5% had NOD, and 39.8% had no diabetes. Patients with long-standing diabetes had 10% higher mortality risk compared to patients without diabetes after adjusting for sociodemographic factors and medical comorbidities (adjusted HR 1.10; 95% CI 1.03-1.16). This difference in mortality remained statistically significant after additionally adjusting for cancer stage and receipt of potentially curative treatment (adjusted HR 1.09; 95% CI 1.02-1.15). There was no significant difference in mortality between patients with NOD compared to those without diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Long-standing but not new-onset diabetes is independently associated with increased mortality among patients with pancreatic cancer. This information has implication for prognostication and risk stratification among pancreatic cancer patients.

Burden of Pancreatic Cancer: From Epidemiology to Practice.

Pancreatic cancer is the seventh leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide with 432,242 related deaths in 2018. Unlike other cancers, the incidence of pancreatic cancer continues to increase, with little improvement in survival rates. We review the epidemiologic features of pancreatic cancer, covering surveillance and early detection in high-risk persons. We summarize data on worldwide incidence and mortality and analyze the 1975-2016 data from 9 registries of the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results study, on the overall burden of pancreatic cancer as well as age-, sex-, and race-specific incidence, survival rates and trends. It is important to increase our knowledge of the worldwide and regional epidemiologic features of and risk factors for pancreatic cancer, to identify new approaches for prevention, surveillance, and treatment.

Acid-suppressive medications and risk of colorectal cancer: results from three large prospective cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Despite several plausible biological mechanisms linking proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and H2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs) with colorectal tumorigenesis, their association with risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) has not been adequately assessed in prospective epidemiological studies. METHODS: We evaluated the association of acid-suppressive medication use with CRC risk among 175,871 (PPI) and 208,831 (H2RA) participants from three large prospective cohort studies. Medication use was assessed at baseline and updated biennially. The association was evaluated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: There was no significant association between baseline PPI use (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.71-1.12) or PPI use after a lag of 8-10 years (HR = 1.12, 95% CI, 0.78-1.59) with CRC risk. We observed no significant association between H2RA use after a lag of 8-10 years and CRC risk (HR = 1.02, 95% CI, 0.81-1.28), while risk was lower for participants with baseline H2RA use (HR = 0.76, 95% CI, 0.60-0.95). Duration of PPI use or H2RA use was not associated with CRC risk (P-trend = 0.21 and 0.95, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among participants from three large prospective cohorts, use of PPI or H2RA was not associated with higher risk of colorectal cancer.

Family history of cancer, Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry, and pancreatic cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with a family history of cancer may be at increased risk of pancreatic cancer. Ashkenazi Jewish (AJ) individuals carry increased risk for pancreatic cancer and other cancer types. METHODS: We examined the association between family history of cancer, AJ heritage, and incident pancreatic cancer in 49 410 male participants of the prospective Health Professionals Follow-up Study. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: During 1.1 million person-years (1986-2016), 452 participants developed pancreatic cancer. Increased risk of pancreatic cancer was observed in individuals with a family history of pancreatic (HR, 2.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-6.07) or breast cancer (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.01-1.94). There was a trend towards higher risk of pancreatic cancer in relation to a family history of colorectal cancer (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.95-1.55) or AJ heritage (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.94-1.77). The risk was highly elevated among AJ men with a family history of breast or colorectal cancer (HR, 2.61 [95% CI, 1.41-4.82] and 1.92 [95% CI, 1.05-3.49], respectively). CONCLUSION: Family history of pancreatic cancer was associated with increased risk of this malignancy. Family history of breast or colorectal cancer was associated with the increased risk among AJ men.

Regular Use of Aspirin or Non-Aspirin Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs Is Not Associated With Risk of Incident Pancreatic Cancer in Two Large Cohort Studies.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Use of aspirin and/or non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) reduces the risk of several cancers, but it is not clear if use of these drugs is associated with risk of pancreatic cancer. METHODS: We evaluated aspirin and non-aspirin NSAID use and risk of pancreatic adenocarcinoma in 141,940 participants from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study and Nurses' Health Study using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression. We considered several exposure classifications to model differing lag times between NSAID exposure and cancer development. We also conducted a nested case-control study of participants from 3 prospective cohorts using conditional logistic regression to evaluate pre-diagnosis levels of plasma salicylurate, a major metabolite of aspirin, in 396 pancreatic cancer cases and 784 matched individuals without pancreatic cancer (controls). RESULTS: In the prospective cohort study, 1122 participants developed pancreatic adenocarcinoma over 4.2 million person-years. Use of aspirin or non-aspirin NSAIDs was not associated with pancreatic cancer risk, even after considering several latency exposure classifications. In a pre-planned subgroup analysis, regular aspirin use was associated with reduced pancreatic cancer risk among participants with diabetes (relative risk, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.54-0.94). In the nested case-control study, pre-diagnosis levels of salicylurate were not associated with pancreatic cancer risk (odds ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.72-1.61; Ptrend 0.81; comparing participants in the highest quintile with those in the lowest quintile of plasma salicylurate). CONCLUSIONS: Regular aspirin or non-aspirin NSAID use was not associated with future risk of pancreatic cancer in participants from several large prospective cohort studies. A possible reduction in risk for pancreatic cancer among people with diabetes who regularly use aspirin should be further examined in preclinical and human studies.

Germline cancer susceptibility gene variants, somatic second hits, and survival outcomes in patients with resected pancreatic cancer.

PURPOSE: Germline variants in double-strand DNA damage repair (dsDDR) genes (e.g., BRCA1/2) predispose to pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and may predict sensitivity to platinum-based chemotherapy and poly(ADP) ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitors. We sought to determine the prevalence and significance of germline cancer susceptibility gene variants in PDAC with paired somatic and survival analyses. METHODS: Using a customized next-generation sequencing panel, germline/somatic DNA was analyzed from 289 patients with resected PDAC ascertained without preselection for high-risk features (e.g., young age, personal/family history). All identified variants were assessed for pathogenicity. Outcomes were analyzed using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: We found that 28/289 (9.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.5-13.7%) patients carried pathogenic/likely pathogenic germline variants, including 21 (7.3%) dsDDR gene variants (3 BRCA1, 4 BRCA2, 14 other dsDDR genes [ATM, BRIP1, CHEK2, NBN, PALB2, RAD50, RAD51C]), 3 Lynch syndrome, and 4 other genes (APC p.I1307K, CDKN2A, TP53). Somatic sequencing and immunohistochemistry identified second hits in the tumor in 12/27 (44.4%) patients with germline variants (1 failed sequencing). Compared with noncarriers, patients with germline dsDDR gene variants had superior overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.54; 95% CI 0.30-0.99; P = 0.05). CONCLUSION: Nearly 10% of PDAC patients harbor germline variants, although the majority lack somatic second hits, the therapeutic significance of which warrants further study.

Prediagnosis Use of Statins Associates With Increased Survival Times of Patients With Pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Statin medications, most commonly prescribed to reduce lipid levels and prevent cardiovascular disease, may be associated with longer survival times of patients with cancer. However, the association of statins with outcomes of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma is not clear. METHODS: We analyzed the association of statin use before a diagnosis of pancreatic cancer with survival times of 648 participants in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study who were diagnosed with pancreatic adenocarcinoma from 2000 through 2013. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for overall mortality using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for potential confounders. We assessed the temporal association between prediagnosis statin use and cancer survival by 2-year lag periods to account for a possible latency period between statin use and cancer survival. RESULTS: Regular statin use before diagnosis of pancreatic cancer was associated with modestly prolonged survival compared with nonregular use (adjusted HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69-0.97; P = .02). A 1-month longer median survival was observed in regular statin users compared with nonregular users. Regular statin use within the 2 years prior to cancer diagnosis was most strongly associated with longer survival. We observed no statistically significant effect modification by smoking status, body mass index, diabetes, or cancer stage (all Pinteraction > .53). Regular statin use before diagnosis was similarly associated with survival in the Nurses' Health Study (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.64-0.97) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.63-1.15). CONCLUSIONS: Regular statin use before diagnosis of pancreatic cancer was associated with modest increases in survival times in 2 large prospective cohort studies.

Lymph node metastases in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: predictors of disease recurrence and survival.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have simultaneously assessed the prognostic value of the multiple classification systems for lymph node (LN) metastases in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). METHODS: In 600 patients with resected PDAC, we examined the association of LN parameters (AJCC 7th and 8th editions, LN ratio (LNR), and log odds of metastatic LN (LODDS)) with pattern of recurrence and patient survival using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression, respectively. Regression models adjusted for age, sex, margin status, tumour grade, and perioperative therapy. RESULTS: Lymph node metastases classified by AJCC 7th and 8th editions, LNR, and LODDS were associated with worse disease free-survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) (all Ptrend<0.01). American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition effectively predicted DFS and OS, while minimising model complexity. Lymph node metastases had weaker prognostic value in patients with positive margins and distal resections (both Pinteraction<0.03). Lymph node metastases by AJCC 7th and 8th editions did not predict the likelihood of local disease as the first site of recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition LN classification is an effective and practical tool to predict outcomes in patients with resected PDAC. However, the prognostic value of LN metastases is attenuated in patients with positive resection margins and distal pancreatectomies.

Natural History of Untreated Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a US Cohort and the Role of Cancer Surveillance.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Determining the natural history and predictors of survival in patients with untreated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States is useful to test existing tumor classifications, identify subgroups of patients likely to benefit from treatment, and estimate lead time related to HCC surveillance. METHODS: We identified a national cohort of 518 veterans diagnosed with HCC from 2004 through 2011, with follow-up ending in 2014, who received no palliative or curative treatment. We examined the association between postdiagnosis survival and patient factors, tumor characteristics, and prediagnosis surveillance. RESULTS: The mean age at HCC diagnosis was 65.7 years and most patients had hepatitis C (60.6%). Almost all patients (99%) died within the observation period; the median overall survival time was 3.6 months and survival times were 13.4, 9.5, 3.4, and 1.6 months for patients of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages 0/A, B, C, and D, respectively. In addition, model for end-stage liver disease and levels of α-fetoprotein were predictive of survival. Nearly 28% received prediagnosis HCC surveillance, which was associated with detection of disease at an earlier stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0/A/B; 26.4% vs 14.4%; P = .0006) and slightly longer survival than patients with no surveillance overall (5.2 months vs 3.4 months; P = .021); there was no difference in survival times of patients with 0/A stage who did versus did not receive surveillance (10.3 months vs 10.5 months). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HCCs, including those detected through surveillance, survived for short time periods in the absence of treatment, irrespective of their initial stage at diagnosis. Model for end-stage liver disease scores and levels of α-fetoprotein were prognostic factors, independent of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage. The lead time related to detection by surveillance was modest (<2 months) and therefore unlikely to explain the survival benefit associated with surveillance in previous studies.

Statin use is associated with a decreased risk of Barrett's esophagus.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Statins have been associated with a reduced risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma, but little is known about their effect on development of Barrett's esophagus. We evaluated the association between statins and risk of Barrett's esophagus. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study among eligible patients scheduled for elective esophagogastroduodenoscopy and patients eligible for screening colonoscopy, recruited from primary care clinics at a Veterans Affairs center. We compared 303 patients with Barrett's esophagus with 2 separate sex-matched control groups: 606 elective endoscopy controls and 303 primary care controls without Barrett's esophagus. Use of statins and other lipid-lowering medications was ascertained by reviewing filled prescriptions in electronic pharmacy records during a 10-year period before the Barrett's esophagus diagnosis date for patients and study endoscopy date for controls. We calculated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using conditional multivariable logistic-regression models among 276 patients and 828 controls further matched on age. RESULTS: A smaller proportion of Barrett's esophagus patients filled statin prescriptions (57.4%) than endoscopy controls (64.9%; P = .029) or primary care controls (71.3%; P < .001). Controls had longer durations of statin prescriptions filled than patients (28.6 vs 22.1 months; P = .001). Statin use was associated with a significantly lower risk of Barrett's esophagus (adjusted OR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.38-0.87) compared with the combined control groups. The risk of Barrett's esophagus was especially lower with statin use among obese patients (OR = 0.26; 95% CI: 0.09-0.71), as was the risk for Barrett's esophagus segments ≥ 3 cm (OR = 0.13; 95% CI: 0.06-0.30). We found no significant association between Barrett's esophagus and nonstatin lipid-lowering medications (P = .452). CONCLUSIONS: In a case-control study of veterans, statin use was associated with a reduced risk of Barrett's esophagus. The greatest level of risk reduction was observed for obese patients and for long-segment Barrett's esophagus.

Coffee and Caffeine Are Associated With Decreased Risk of Advanced Hepatic Fibrosis Among Patients With Hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Coffee or caffeine has been proposed to protect against hepatic fibrosis, but few data are available on their effects in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of veterans with chronic HCV infection to evaluate the association between daily intake of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, tea, and soda, and level of hepatic fibrosis, based on the FibroSURE test (BioPredictive, Paris, France) (F0-F3, mild [controls] vs. F3/F4-F4, advanced). Models were adjusted for multiple potential confounders including age, alcohol abuse, and obesity. RESULTS: Among 910 patients with chronic HCV infection, 98% were male and 38% had advanced hepatic fibrosis. Daily intake of caffeinated coffee was higher among controls than patients with advanced fibrosis (1.37 vs. 1.05 cups/d; P = .038). In contrast, daily intake of caffeinated tea (0.61 vs. 0.56 cups/d; P = .651) or soda (1.14 vs. 0.95 cans/d; P = .106) did not differ between the groups. A higher percentage of controls (66.0%) than patients with advanced fibrosis (57.9%) consumed 100 mg or more of caffeine daily from all sources (P = .014); controls also received a larger proportion of their caffeine from coffee (50.2% vs. 43.0%; P = .035). Hepatoprotective effects of an average daily intake of 100 mg or more of caffeine (adjusted odds ratio, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.95; P = .020) and 1 cup or more of caffeinated tea by non-coffee drinkers (adjusted odds ratio, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.34-0.94; P = .028) persisted after adjustment for confounders, including insulin resistance. CONCLUSIONS: A modest daily caffeine intake (as little as 100 mg) may protect against advanced hepatic fibrosis in men with chronic HCV infection. Additional research is needed to confirm these findings in women and in people with other chronic liver diseases.