Dispersal patterns and influence of air travel during the global expansion of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern.

The Alpha, Beta, and Gamma SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) co-circulated globally during 2020 and 2021, fueling waves of infections. They were displaced by Delta during a third wave worldwide in 2021, which, in turn, was displaced by Omicron in late 2021. In this study, we use phylogenetic and phylogeographic methods to reconstruct the dispersal patterns of VOCs worldwide. We find that source-sink dynamics varied substantially by VOC and identify countries that acted as global and regional hubs of dissemination. We demonstrate the declining role of presumed origin countries of VOCs in their global dispersal, estimating that India contributed <15% of Delta exports and South Africa <1%-2% of Omicron dispersal. We estimate that >80 countries had received introductions of Omicron within 100 days of its emergence, associated with accelerated passenger air travel and higher transmissibility. Our study highlights the rapid dispersal of highly transmissible variants, with implications for genomic surveillance along the hierarchical airline network.

Emergence of an early SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the United States.

The emergence of the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States (U.S.) went largely undetected due to inadequate testing. New Orleans experienced one of the earliest and fastest accelerating outbreaks, coinciding with Mardi Gras. To gain insight into the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in the U.S. and how large-scale events accelerate transmission, we sequenced SARS-CoV-2 genomes during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in Louisiana. We show that SARS-CoV-2 in Louisiana had limited diversity compared to other U.S. states and that one introduction of SARS-CoV-2 led to almost all of the early transmission in Louisiana. By analyzing mobility and genomic data, we show that SARS-CoV-2 was already present in New Orleans before Mardi Gras, and the festival dramatically accelerated transmission. Our study provides an understanding of how superspreading during large-scale events played a key role during the early outbreak in the U.S. and can greatly accelerate epidemics.

Coast-to-Coast Spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the Early Epidemic in the United States.

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States in January 2020, with subsequent COVID-19 outbreaks detected in all 50 states by early March. To uncover the sources of SARS-CoV-2 introductions and patterns of spread within the United States, we sequenced nine viral genomes from early reported COVID-19 patients in Connecticut. Our phylogenetic analysis places the majority of these genomes with viruses sequenced from Washington state. By coupling our genomic data with domestic and international travel patterns, we show that early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Connecticut was likely driven by domestic introductions. Moreover, the risk of domestic importation to Connecticut exceeded that of international importation by mid-March regardless of our estimated effects of federal travel restrictions. This study provides evidence of widespread sustained transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within the United States and highlights the critical need for local surveillance.

Travel Surveillance and Genomics Uncover a Hidden Zika Outbreak during the Waning Epidemic.

The Zika epidemic in the Americas has challenged surveillance and control. As the epidemic appears to be waning, it is unclear whether transmission is still ongoing, which is exacerbated by discrepancies in reporting. To uncover locations with lingering outbreaks, we investigated travel-associated Zika cases to identify transmission not captured by reporting. We uncovered an unreported outbreak in Cuba during 2017, a year after peak transmission in neighboring islands. By sequencing Zika virus, we show that the establishment of the virus was delayed by a year and that the ensuing outbreak was sparked by long-lived lineages of Zika virus from other Caribbean islands. Our data suggest that, although mosquito control in Cuba may initially have been effective at mitigating Zika virus transmission, such measures need to be maintained to be effective. Our study highlights how Zika virus may still be "silently" spreading and provides a framework for understanding outbreak dynamics. VIDEO ABSTRACT.

Context-specific emergence and growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant.

The SARS-CoV-2 Delta (Pango lineage B.1.617.2) variant of concern spread globally, causing resurgences of COVID-19 worldwide1,2. The emergence of the Delta variant in the UK occurred on the background of a heterogeneous landscape of immunity and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Here we analyse 52,992 SARS-CoV-2 genomes from England together with 93,649 genomes from the rest of the world to reconstruct the emergence of Delta and quantify its introduction to and regional dissemination across England in the context of changing travel and social restrictions. Using analysis of human movement, contact tracing and virus genomic data, we find that the geographic focus of the expansion of Delta shifted from India to a more global pattern in early May 2021. In England, Delta lineages were introduced more than 1,000 times and spread nationally as non-pharmaceutical interventions were relaxed. We find that hotel quarantine for travellers reduced onward transmission from importations; however, the transmission chains that later dominated the Delta wave in England were seeded before travel restrictions were introduced. Increasing inter-regional travel within England drove the nationwide dissemination of Delta, with some cities receiving more than 2,000 observable lineage introductions from elsewhere. Subsequently, increased levels of local population mixing-and not the number of importations-were associated with the faster relative spread of Delta. The invasion dynamics of Delta depended on spatial heterogeneity in contact patterns, and our findings will inform optimal spatial interventions to reduce the transmission of current and future variants of concern, such as Omicron (Pango lineage B.1.1.529).

Inorganic nitrate benefits contrast-induced nephropathy after coronary angiography for acute coronary syndromes: the NITRATE-CIN trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN), also known as contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) underlies a significant proportion of the morbidity and mortality following coronary angiographic procedures in high-risk patients and remains a significant unmet need. In pre-clinical studies inorganic nitrate, which is chemically reduced in vivo to nitric oxide, is renoprotective but this observation is yet to be translated clinically. In this study, the efficacy of inorganic nitrate in the prevention of CIN in high-risk patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is reported. METHODS: NITRATE-CIN is a double-blind, randomized, single-centre, placebo-controlled trial assessing efficacy of inorganic nitrate in CIN prevention in at-risk patients presenting with ACS. Patients were randomized 1:1 to once daily potassium nitrate (12 mmol) or placebo (potassium chloride) capsules for 5 days. The primary endpoint was CIN (KDIGO criteria). Secondary outcomes included kidney function [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)] at 3 months, rates of procedural myocardial infarction, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at 12 months. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03627130. RESULTS: Over 3 years, 640 patients were randomized with a median follow-up of 1.0 years, 319 received inorganic nitrate with 321 received placebo. The mean age of trial participants was 71.0 years, with 73.3% male and 75.2% Caucasian; 45.9% had diabetes, 56.0% had chronic kidney disease (eGFR <60 mL/min) and the mean Mehran score of the population was 10. Inorganic nitrate treatment significantly reduced CIN rates (9.1%) vs. placebo (30.5%, P < .001). This difference persisted after adjustment for baseline creatinine and diabetes status (odds ratio 0.21, 95% confidence interval 0.13-0.34). Secondary outcomes were improved with inorganic nitrate, with lower rates of procedural myocardial infarction (2.7% vs. 12.5%, P = .003), improved 3-month renal function (between-group change in eGFR 5.17, 95% CI 2.94-7.39) and reduced 1-year MACE (9.1% vs. 18.1%, P = .001) vs. placebo. CONCLUSIONS: In patients at risk of renal injury undergoing coronary angiography for ACS, a short (5 day) course of once-daily inorganic nitrate reduced CIN, improved kidney outcomes at 3 months, and MACE events at 1 year compared to placebo.

Feasibility of double-blinded, placebo-controlled interventional study for assessing catheter ablation efficacy in persistent atrial fibrillation: Insights from the ORBITA AF feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: To date, there are no randomized, double-blinded clinical trials comparing catheter ablation to DC cardioversion (DCCV) with medical therapy in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (PersAF). Conducting a large-scale trial to address this question presents considerable challenges, including recruitment, blinding, and implementation. We conducted a pilot study to evaluate the feasibility of conducting a definitive placebo-controlled trial. METHODS: This prospective trial was carried out at Barts Heart Centre, United Kingdom, employing a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled design. Twenty patients with PersAF (duration <2 years) were recruited, representing 10% of the proposed larger trial as determined by a power calculation. The patients were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive either PVI ± DCCV (PVI group) or DCCV + Placebo (DCCV group). The primary endpoint of this feasibility study was to evaluate patient blinding. Patients remained unaware of their treatment allocation until end of study. RESULTS: During the study, 35% of patients experienced recurrence of PersAF prior to completion of 12 months follow-up. Blinding was successfully maintained amongst both patients and medical staff. The DCCV group had a trend to higher recurrence and repeat procedure rate compared to the PVI group (recurrence of PersAF 60% vs 30%; p = .07 and repeat procedure 70% vs 40%; p = .4). The quality of life experienced by individuals in the PVI group showed improvement, as evidenced by enhanced scores on the AF specific questionnaire (AF PROMS) (3 [±4] vs 21 [±8]) and SF-12 mental-component raw score (51.4 [±7] vs 43.24 [±15]) in patients who maintained sinus rhythm at 12 months. CONCLUSION: This feasibility study establishes the potential for conducting a blinded, placebo-controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy of PVI versus DCCV in patients with PersAF.

An In-Vitro Comparison of Steady State Leakage Rates through Introducer Sheaths Used for Fenestrated Endovascular Aortic Aneurysm Repair.

BACKGROUND: Fenestrated Endovascular Aneurysm Repair (fEVAR) involves deploying a covered stent into the aorta followed by multiple visceral stents through fenestrations in the main body of graft. The most commonly used large sheaths for cannulation of visceral vessels are the Gore DrySeal Flex, Cook Performer Check-Flo, and Medtronic Sentrant. None of these sheaths were designed for the insertion of multiple sheaths, and so a slow but steady leakage of blood occurs during the procedure. The aim of this paper is to assess in an in vitro setting which large bore sheath has the best valve for use when multiple smaller sheaths are inserted through it. METHODS: Three large bore introducer sheaths (LBISs) were used for this study, The Gore DrySeal Flex LBIS, Medtronic Sentrant LBIS and Cook Performer Check-Flo LBIS. A test rig was constructed, made of an 18-liter fluid reservoir mounted vertically and receiving a constant supply of water from a domestic water supply which flowed into the reservoir and out of an overflow. The reservoir was connected to the LBIS by a vertical plastic pipe with an internal diameter of 40 mm and an isolation valve. The LBIS was connected to the isolation valve by inserting the LBIS up a flexible silicone tube connected to the isolation valve. The LBIS was subject to a constant column/pressure of water and fluid leakage from the LBIS was collected in a plastic pot/tray placed underneath the LBIS. The leakage rates through each LBIS were determined for the following smaller diameter sheath combinations inserted through the valve, one 6 French Sheath, two 6 French Sheaths, two 6 French Sheaths and one 7 French Sheath. This was done to closely mimic a fEVAR procedure in vitro. The procedure was to insert different sheath combinations through the nonreturn valves in the LBIS and measure the volume of fluid that leaked through the valves. The leaked fluid was weighed, and the weight was converted to volume using the density of water (1 g/ml). RESULTS: The average (mean) leakage rates for each LBIS and each sheath combination showed that leakage rates when only one sheath was inserted were very low. For all 3 LBIS's tested, the leakage rates increased dramatically when multiple sheaths were inserted. The Medtronic LBIS leaked the most, followed by Cook, followed by Gore. For the Cook LBIS, the leakage rates exhibited with 2 × 6 French sheaths were approx. 106 times greater than those for the Gore LBIS and 5 times greater for the 2 × 6 French +1 × 7 French sheath combination. A similar comparison for the Medtronic LBIS versus the Gore LBIS yields factors of 132 and 8. CONCLUSIONS: Leakage rates increase significantly when multiple sheaths are inserted and the Gore LBIS demonstrates significantly lower leakage than both the Cook and Medtronic during procedures that require simultaneous, multiple insertions of smaller sheaths. Although the Gore Dryseal has by far the lowest leakage rate when 3 small diameter sheaths are inserted (just under 1 ml/s), depending on the duration of the procedure this could still result in significant blood loss.

Leveraging Artificial Intelligence and Digital Health to Address Health-Related Social Needs and Optimize Risk-Based Value in Orthopaedic Surgery.

As the health care landscape evolves toward value-based care and emphasizes health-related social needs, the importance of developing health policies and digital health solutions that foster health equity and risk-based reimbursement strategies has grown. Orthopaedic surgery, catering to a diverse patient population but challenged by a lack of workforce diversity, encounters distinct opportunities and obstacles in adopting digital health technologies for delivering equitable, high-value care. The integration of health-related social needs into the emerging value-based care model and risk-based reimbursement policies is important. Furthermore, the potential of incorporating robust artificial intelligence governance and big data analytics to enhance patient outcomes and support orthopaedic surgeons in treating their patient populations should be studied. There are crucial considerations for creating comprehensive digital health platforms tailored for orthopaedic surgery, and the significance of specialty-specific advocacy and collaboration among clinicians, policymakers, and MedTech companies cannot be understated.

Role of granulocyte colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) in dengue patients with severe thrombocytopenia.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effects of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor in improving platelet count in patients with dengue fever. METHODS: The retrospective, cross-sectional study was conducted at Northwest General Hospital and Research Centre, Peshawar, Pakistan, between January 2021 and October 2022, and comprised dengue fever inpatients regardless of age and gender who received granulocyte colony-stimulating factor subcutaneously. The impact of colony-stimulating factor on platelet and white blood cell counts as well as any unfavourable consequences was assessed. Convenient sampling was used and a structured format was used for data collection. Data was analysed using SPSS 21. RESULTS: Of the 100 patients, 67(67%) were males and 33(33%) were females. The largest age group was that of >55 years 31(31%), fever was present in all the 100(100%) cases, bleeding in 18(18%) and platelet count <30,000 in 83(83%) cases. Dengue fever was confirmed by rapid dengue nonstructural protein 1 antigen in 76(76%) cases, dengue immunoglobulin G antibody test 28(28%), and immunoglobulin M antibody test in 31(31%) cases. Overall, 72(72%) patients received only one dose of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor. Post-administration, a substantial rise in the median platelet and white blood cell counts was seen compared to the baseline (p<0.05) on day 2. CONCLUSIONS: Granulocyte colony-stimulating factor helped increase platelet and white blood cell counts quickly in dengue fever patients.

Effect of stocking density on performance, survival and nutrient composition of super worm Zophobas Morio (Coleoptera:Tenebrionidae).

As the global demand for animal protein continues to increase, the need for sustainable and resource-efficient alternatives for animal feed becomes increasingly paramount. Insects have gained significant attention as promising candidates to support the sustainable development of the feed industry, and their utilization in animal feed has seen substantial growth in recent years. Therefore, this study was conducted to optimize the superworm (Zophobas morio) larvae rearing stocking density on the biomass production, survival, and nutrient composition. Two-weeks-old Z. morio larvae were maintained at 25 ± 2 oC and 70% relative humidity, and at densities of 0.5, 0.75, 1 and 1.25 cm2 space per larva, respectively. The insects reared with a density of 1.25 cm2 per larvae had higher feed intake (FI) and weight gain (WG) (P < 0.05). However, better feed conversion efficiency (FCE) was recorded with a density of 0.75 cm2 per larvae (P < 0.05). The survival significantly increased with increasing the density per larvae (P < 0.05). High survival of Z. morio larvae was recorded at density of 1 and 1.25 cm2 per larvae. The dry matter and fat contents of Z. morio larvae were higher at density of 0.5 cm2 per larvae (P < 0.05). However, the protein content was higher at density of 1 and 1.25 cm2 per larvae (P < 0.05). Moreover, the ash content was higher at 0.5, 0.75, and 1.25 cm2 per larvae (P < 0.05). This study highlights that Z. morio larvae rearing stocking density has a profound influence on growth performance, survival and its nutrient composition.

Economic costs, health-related quality of life outcomes and cost-utility of a physical and psychological group intervention targeted at older adults with neurogenic claudication.

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence suggests that structured and progressive exercise underpinned by a cognitive behavioural approach can improve functional outcomes in patients with neurogenic claudication (NC). However, evidence surrounding its economic benefits is lacking. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the economic costs, health-related quality of life outcomes and cost-effectiveness of a physical and psychological group intervention (BOOST programme) versus best practice advice (BPA) in older adults with NC. METHODS: An economic evaluation was conducted based on data from a pragmatic, multicentre, superiority, randomised controlled trial. The base-case economic evaluation took the form of an intention-to-treat analysis conducted from a UK National Health Service (NHS) and personal social services (PSS) perspective and separately from a societal perspective. Costs (£ 2018-2019 prices) were collected prospectively over a 12 month follow-up period. A bivariate regression of costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), with multiple imputation of missing data, was conducted to estimate the incremental cost per QALY gained and the incremental net monetary benefit (INMB) of the BOOST programme in comparison to BPA. Sensitivity and pre-specified subgroup analyses explored uncertainty and heterogeneity in cost-effectiveness estimates. RESULTS: Participants (N = 435) were randomised to the BOOST programme (n = 292) or BPA (n = 143). Mean (standard error [SE]) NHS and PSS costs over 12 months were £1,974 (£118) in the BOOST arm versus £1,827 (£169) in the BPA arm (p = 0.474). Mean (SE) QALY estimates were 0.620 (0.009) versus 0.599 (0.006), respectively (p = 0.093). The probability that the BOOST programme is cost-effective ranged between 67 and 83% (NHS and PSS perspective) and 79-89% (societal perspective) at cost-effectiveness thresholds between £15,000 and £30,000 per QALY gained. INMBs ranged between £145 and £464 at similar cost-effectiveness thresholds. The cost-effectiveness results remained robust to sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The BOOST programme resulted in modest QALY gains over the 12 month follow-up period. Future studies with longer intervention and follow-up periods are needed to address uncertainty around the health-related quality of life impacts and cost-effectiveness of such programmes. Trial registration This study has been registered in the International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number registry, reference number ISRCTN12698674. Registered on 10 November 2015.

Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States.

Zika virus (ZIKV) is causing an unprecedented epidemic linked to severe congenital abnormalities. In July 2016, mosquito-borne ZIKV transmission was reported in the continental United States; since then, hundreds of locally acquired infections have been reported in Florida. To gain insights into the timing, source, and likely route(s) of ZIKV introduction, we tracked the virus from its first detection in Florida by sequencing ZIKV genomes from infected patients and Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. We show that at least 4 introductions, but potentially as many as 40, contributed to the outbreak in Florida and that local transmission is likely to have started in the spring of 2016-several months before its initial detection. By analysing surveillance and genetic data, we show that ZIKV moved among transmission zones in Miami. Our analyses show that most introductions were linked to the Caribbean, a finding corroborated by the high incidence rates and traffic volumes from the region into the Miami area. Our study provides an understanding of how ZIKV initiates transmission in new regions.

Infantile Scalp Hemangiomas: Surgical Management and Lessons Learned.

Infantile hemangiomas (IH) are common benign vascular tumors in pediatric patients, often found on the scalp. While most IH naturally regress without intervention, surgical excision becomes necessary when severe anatomic or physiological complications arise. This review examines previously published case studies on pediatric scalp IH excisions, focusing on surgical outcomes and complications. A comprehensive search of the US National Library of Medicine National Institutes of Health (PubMed) database identified 19 relevant case studies. Most patients were female, with a wide age range at the time of excision. Various anatomic locations and sizes of the hemangiomas were observed. The reviewed literature demonstrates that surgical excision of scalp IH can be performed with minimal complications, even for sizable tumors. Successful outcomes and low complication rates highlight the effectiveness of surgical intervention in cases of life-threatening IH sequelae. Further research is warranted to explore optimal timing, techniques, and adjunct therapies for surgical management of scalp IH.

Reconstruction of Scalp Wounds in Patients With Excoriation Disorder.

Excoriation or skin picking disorder is described as compulsive picking of the skin that cannot be explained by an underlying dermatological condition. There are unfortunately no clear guidelines in the literature for reconstruction of wounds in this patient population. The authors describe the cases of 2 patients with the skin picking disorder who underwent free flap reconstruction for scalp wounds, which were complicated by wound recurrence due to manipulation of the surgical site. The literature is reviewed in detail, and steps to potentially prevent recurrence in this patient population are discussed.

State of gaseous air pollutants and resulting health effects in Karachi, Pakistan.

Karachi, Pakistan, is a priority site for air pollution research due to high emissions of air pollutants from vehicular traffic, industrial activities, and biomass burning, as well as rapid growth in population. The objectives of this study were to investigate the levels of gaseous pollutants (NO, NO2, O3, HNO3, and SO2) in Karachi, to determine temporal and seasonal variations, to compare Karachi's air quality with other urban centers, to identify relationships with meteorological conditions, to identify source characterization, and to perform a backward-in-time trajectory analysis and a health impact assessment. Daily samples of gaseous pollutants were collected for six consecutive weeks in each of the four seasons for a year. Daily maximum concentrations of NO (90 parts per billion by volume (ppbv)), NO2 (28.1 ppbv), O3 (57.8 ppbv), and SO2 (331 ppbv) were recorded in fall, while HNO3 (9129 parts per trillion by volume (pptv)) was recorded in spring. Seasonal average concentrations were high in winter for NO (9.47 ± 7.82 ppbv), NO2 (4.84 ± 3.35 ppbv), and O3 (8.92 ± 7.65 ppbv), while HNO3 (629 ± 1316 pptv) and SO2 (20.2 ± 39.4 ppbv) were high in spring and fall, respectively. The observed SO2 seasonal average concentration in fall (20.2 ± 39.4) was 5 times higher than that in summer (3.97 ± 2.77) with the fall 24-h average (120 ppbv) exceeding the WHO daily guideline (7.64 ppbv) by a factor of about 15.7. A health impact assessment estimated an increase of 1200 and 569 deaths due to short-term exposure to SO2 in fall and spring, respectively. Chronic daily intake estimated risk per 1000 was 0.99, 0.47, 0.45, and 0.26 for SO2 in fall, NO in winter, O3 in winter, and NO2 in spring, respectively. This study confirms the effect of poor urban air quality on public health and demonstrated the influence of photochemical reactions as well as unfavorable meteorological conditions on the formation of secondary pollutants.

Mapping between headache specific and generic preference-based health-related quality of life measures.

BACKGROUND: The Headache Impact Test (HIT-6) and the Chronic Headache Questionnaire (CH-QLQ) measure headache-related quality of life but are not preference-based and therefore cannot be used to generate health utilities for cost-effectiveness analyses. There are currently no established algorithms for mapping between the HIT-6 or CH-QLQ and preference-based health-related quality-of-life measures for chronic headache population. METHODS: We developed algorithms for generating EQ-5D-5L and SF-6D utilities from the HIT-6 and the CHQLQ using both direct and response mapping approaches. A multi-stage model selection process was used to assess the predictive accuracy of the models. The estimated mapping algorithms were derived to generate UK tariffs and was validated using the Chronic Headache Education and Self-management Study (CHESS) trial dataset. RESULTS: Several models were developed that reasonably accurately predict health utilities in this context. The best performing model for predicting EQ-5D-5L utility scores from the HIT-6 scores was a Censored Least Absolute Deviations (CLAD) (1) model that only included the HIT-6 score as the covariate (mean squared error (MSE) 0.0550). The selected model for CH-QLQ to EQ-5D-5L was the CLAD (3) model that included CH-QLQ summary scores, age, and gender, squared terms and interaction terms as covariates (MSE 0.0583). The best performing model for predicting SF-6D utility scores from the HIT-6 scores was the CLAD (2) model that included the HIT-6 score and age and gender as covariates (MSE 0.0102). The selected model for CH-QLQ to SF-6D was the OLS (2) model that included CH-QLQ summary scores, age, and gender as covariates (MSE 0.0086). CONCLUSION: The developed algorithms enable the estimation of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6D utilities from two headache-specific questionnaires where preference-based health-related quality of life data are missing. However, further work is needed to help define the best approach to measuring health utilities in headache studies.

Economic costs and health utility values associated with extremely preterm birth: Evidence from the EPICure2 cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth is associated with adverse health and developmental sequelae that impose a burden on finite resources and significant challenges for individuals, families and societies. OBJECTIVES: To estimate economic outcomes at age 11 associated with extremely preterm birth using evidence from a whole population study (EPICure2 study). METHODS: The study population comprised a sample of children born at ≤26 completed weeks of gestation during 2006 in England (n = 200) and a comparison group of classmates born at term (n = 143). Societal costs were estimated using parent and teacher reports of service utilisation, and valuations of work losses and additional care costs to families. Utility scores for the Health Utilities Index Mark 2 (HUI2) and Mark 3 (HUI3) were generated using UK and Canadian value sets. Generalised linear regression was used to estimate the impact of extremely preterm birth on societal costs and utility scores. RESULTS: Unadjusted mean societal costs that excluded provision of special educational support in mainstream schools during the 11th year after birth were £6536 for the extremely preterm group and £3275 for their classmates, generating a difference of £3262 (95% confidence interval [CI] £1912, £5543). The mean adjusted cost difference was £2916 (95% CI £1609, £4224), including special educational needs provision in mainstream schools increased the adjusted cost difference to £4772 (95% CI £3166, £6378). Compared with birth at term, extremely preterm birth generated mean-adjusted utility decrements ranging from 0.13 (95% CI 0.09, 0.18) based on the UK HUI2 statistical inference tariff to 0.28 (95% CI 0.18, 0.37) based on the Canadian HUI3 tariff. CONCLUSIONS: The adverse economic impact of extremely preterm birth persists into late childhood. Further longitudinal studies conducted from multiple perspectives are needed to understand the magnitude, trajectory and underpinning mechanisms of economic outcomes following extremely preterm birth.

Inferring the true number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: In Japan, as of December 31, 2021, more than 1.73 million laboratory-confirmed cases have been reported. However, the actual number of infections is likely to be under-ascertained due to the epidemiological characteristics such as mild and subclinical infections and limited testing availability in the early days of the pandemic. In this study, we infer the true number of infections in Japan between January 16, 2020, and December 31, 2021, using a statistical modelling framework that combines data on reported cases and fatalities. METHODS: We used reported COVID-19 deaths and age-specific infection fatality ratios (IFR) to impute the true number of infections. Estimates of IFR were informed from published studies and were adjusted to reflect the effects of pharmaceutical interventions, mass vaccination, and evolving variants. To account for the uncertainty in IFR, we sampled values from relevant distributions. RESULTS: We estimated that as of December 31, 2021, 3.07 million (CrI: 2.05-4.24 million) people had been infected in Japan, which is 1.77 times higher than the 1.73 million reported cases. Our meta-analysis confirmed that these findings were consistent with the intermittent seroprevalence studies conducted in Japan. CONCLUSIONS: We have estimated that a substantial number of COVID-19 infections in Japan were unreported, particularly in adults. Our approach provides a more realistic assessment of the true underlying burden of COVID-19. The results of this study can be used as fundamental components to strengthen population health control and surveillance measures.

Trigeminal Trophic Syndrome: A Comprehensive Review of a Surgical Approach.

ABSTRACT: Trigeminal trophic syndrome (TTS) is an exceedingly rare disease that causes facial ulceration, most commonly at the nasal ala. The overall incidence of TTS is not known, with less than 150 cases published in the literature.We searched the United States National Library of Medicine National Institutes of Health (PubMed) using the terms "Trigeminal Trophic Syndrome" and "TTS" as keywords. Publications in all languages were included if an English abstract was available. We reviewed 111 cases of TTS described in 75 publications from 1979 to 2021.Fourteen cases involved surgical reconstruction. Of these, the lesions completely healed in 7 cases (50%), recurred in 5 (36%), and were unspecified in 2 (14%). Reconstruction was completed in a 2 to 3-stage approach in 6 cases; of these, healing without recurrence was observed in 5 cases (83%). When donor tissue from the affected side was used as a basis for reconstruction, healing without recurrence was observed in 2 cases (50%). This is in comparison to the use of contralateral, sensate tissue in which there was healing without recurrence in all 3 cases (100%).The surgical management of TTS remains a topic of controversy. The rates of success remain comparable despite the use of various flap types. However, the use of contralateral, sensate flaps and a staged surgical approach appears to be effective based upon the best available evidence in the literature. Further prospective orretrospective controlled studies are necessary to make more reliable recommendations, though may be challenging given the rarity of TTS.