From sleep patterns to heart rhythm: Predicting atrial fibrillation from overnight polysomnograms.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often asymptomatic and thus under-observed. Given the high risks of stroke and heart failure among patients with AF, early prediction and effective management are crucial. Given the prevalence of obstructive sleep apnea among AF patients, electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis from polysomnography (PSG) offers a unique opportunity for early AF prediction. Our aim is to identify individuals at high risk of AF development from single­lead ECGs during standard PSG. METHODS: We analyzed 18,782 single­lead ECG recordings from 13,609 subjects undergoing PSG at the Massachusetts General Hospital sleep laboratory. AF presence was identified using ICD-9/10 codes. The dataset included 15,913 recordings without AF history and 2054 recordings from patients diagnosed with AF between one month to fifteen years post-PSG. Data were partitioned into training, validation, and test cohorts ensuring that individual patients remained exclusive to each cohort. The test set was held out during the training process. We employed two different methods for feature extraction to build a final model for AF prediction: Extraction of hand-crafted ECG features and a deep learning method. For extraction of ECG-hand-crafted features, recordings were split into 30-s windows, and those with a signal quality index (SQI) below 0.95 were discarded. From each remaining window, 150 features were extracted from the time, frequency, time-frequency domains, and phase-space reconstructions of the ECG. A compilation of 12 statistical features summarized these window-specific features per recording, resulting in 1800 features (12 × 150). A pre-trained deep neural network from the PhysioNet Challenge 2021 was updated using transfer learning to discriminate recordings with and without AF. The model processed PSG ECGs in 16-s windows to generate AF probabilities, from which 13 statistical features were extracted. Combining 1800 features from feature extraction with 13 from the deep learning model, we performed a feature selection and subsequently trained a shallow neural network to predict future AF and evaluated its performance on the test cohort. RESULTS: On the test set, our model exhibited sensitivity, specificity, and precision of 0.67, 0.81, and 0.3, respectively, for AF prediction. Survival analysis revealed a hazard ratio of 8.36 (p-value: 1.93 × 10-52) for AF outcomes using the log-rank test. CONCLUSIONS: Our proposed ECG analysis method, utilizing overnight PSG data, shows promise in AF prediction despite modest precision, suggesting false positives. This approach could enable low-cost screening and proactive treatment for high-risk patients. Refinements, including additional physiological parameters, may reduce false positives, enhancing clinical utility and accuracy.

From Sleep Patterns to Heart Rhythms: Predicting Atrial Fibrillation from Overnight Polysomnograms.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often asymptomatic and thus under-observed. Given the high risks of stroke and heart failure among patients with AF, early prediction and effective management are crucial. Importantly, obstructive sleep apnea is highly prevalent among AF patients (60-90%); therefore, electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis from polysomnography (PSG), a standard diagnostic tool for subjects with suspected sleep apnea, presents a unique opportunity for the early prediction of AF. Our goal is to identify individuals at a high risk of developing AF in the future from a single-lead ECG recorded during standard PSGs. Methods: We analyzed 18,782 single-lead ECG recordings from 13,609 subjects at Massachusetts General Hospital, identifying AF presence using ICD-9/10 codes in medical records. Our dataset comprises 15,913 recordings without a medical record for AF and 2,056 recordings from patients who were first diagnosed with AF between 1 day to 15 years after the PSG recording. The PSG data were partitioned into training, validation, and test cohorts. In the first phase, a signal quality index (SQI) was calculated in 30-second windows and those with SQI < 0.95 were removed. From each remaining window, 150 hand-crafted features were extracted from time, frequency, time-frequency domains, and phase-space reconstructions of the ECG. A compilation of 12 statistical features summarized these window-specific features per recording, resulting in 1,800 features. We then updated a pre-trained deep neural network and data from the PhysioNet Challenge 2021 using transfer-learning to discriminate between recordings with and without AF using the same Challenge data. The model was applied to the PSG ECGs in 16-second windows to generate the probability of AF for each window. From the resultant probability sequence, 13 statistical features were extracted. Subsequently, we trained a shallow neural network to predict future AF using the extracted ECG and probability features. Results: On the test set, our model demonstrated a sensitivity of 0.67, specificity of 0.81, and precision of 0.3 for predicting AF. Further, survival analysis for AF outcomes, using the log-rank test, revealed a hazard ratio of 8.36 (p-value of 1.93 × 10 -52 ). Conclusions: Our proposed ECG analysis method, utilizing overnight PSG data, shows promise in AF prediction despite a modest precision indicating the presence of false positive cases. This approach could potentially enable low-cost screening and proactive treatment for high-risk patients. Ongoing refinement, such as integrating additional physiological parameters could significantly reduce false positives, enhancing its clinical utility and accuracy.

Classification of ECG using ensemble of residual CNNs with or without attention mechanism.

Objective. This paper introduces a winning solution (team ISIBrno-AIMT) to the official round of PhysioNet Challenge 2021. The main goal of the challenge was a classification of ECG recordings into 26 multi-label pathological classes with a variable number of leads (e.g. 12, 6, 4, 3, 2). The main objective of this study is to verify whether the multi-head-attention mechanism influences the model performance.Approach. We introduced an ECG classification method based on the ResNet architecture with a multi-head attention mechanism for the official round of the challenge. However, empirical findings collected during model development suggested that the multi-head attention layer might not significantly impact the final classification performance. For this reason, during the follow-up round, we removed a multi-head attention layer to test the influence on model performance. Like the official round, the model is optimized using a mixture of loss functions, i.e. binary cross-entropy, custom challenge score loss function, and custom sparsity loss function. Probability thresholds for each classification class are estimated using the evolutionary optimization method. The final architecture consists of three submodels forming a majority voting classification ensemble.Main results. The modified model without the multi-head attention layer increased the overall challenge score to 0.59 compared to the 0.58 from the official round.Significance. Our findings from the follow-up submission support the fact that the multi-head attention layer in the proposed architecture does not significantly affect the classification performance.

QRS detection and classification in Holter ECG data in one inference step.

While various QRS detection and classification methods were developed in the past, the Holter ECG data acquired during daily activities by wearable devices represent new challenges such as increased noise and artefacts due to patient movements. Here, we present a deep-learning model to detect and classify QRS complexes in single-lead Holter ECG. We introduce a novel approach, delivering QRS detection and classification in one inference step. We used a private dataset (12,111 Holter ECG recordings, length of 30 s) for training, validation, and testing the method. Twelve public databases were used to further test method performance. We built a software tool to rapidly annotate QRS complexes in a private dataset, and we annotated 619,681 QRS complexes. The standardised and down-sampled ECG signal forms a 30-s long input for the deep-learning model. The model consists of five ResNet blocks and a gated recurrent unit layer. The model's output is a 30-s long 4-channel probability vector (no-QRS, normal QRS, premature ventricular contraction, premature atrial contraction). Output probabilities are post-processed to receive predicted QRS annotation marks. For the QRS detection task, the proposed method achieved the F1 score of 0.99 on the private test set. An overall mean F1 cross-database score through twelve external public databases was 0.96 ± 0.06. In terms of QRS classification, the presented method showed micro and macro F1 scores of 0.96 and 0.74 on the private test set, respectively. Cross-database results using four external public datasets showed micro and macro F1 scores of 0.95 ± 0.03 and 0.73 ± 0.06, respectively. Presented results showed that QRS detection and classification could be reliably computed in one inference step. The cross-database tests showed higher overall QRS detection performance than any of compared methods.