Etiological Changes and Prognosis of Hospitalized Patients with Acute Pancreatitis Over a 15-Year Period.

BACKGROUND: The worldwide incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing, but the dominant etiology of AP may vary by country. Mixed etiologies are involved in the increase in the number of AP patients. AIMS: This study was to analyze the etiological changes and prognosis of AP patients and explore the prognosis of AP patients with mixed etiologies. METHODS: Using a retrospective analysis method, AP patients hospitalized from January 2007 to December 2021 were selected from a pancreatic center in Nanchang, China. Trends in the main etiologies were analyzed, and the severity and prognosis of different etiologies were compared. RESULTS: A total of 10,071 patients were included. Cholelithiasis (56.0%), hyperlipidemia (25.3%), and alcohol (6.5%) were the top three etiologies. The proportion of acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) showed a decreasing trend, while the proportion of hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP) and alcoholic AP showed an increasing trend (all ptrend < 0.001). The incidence of organ failure and necrotizing pancreatitis was higher in patients with HTGP than in those with AP induced by other etiologies (all p < 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in mortality among patients with different etiologies. Patients with AP due to a mixed hypertriglyceridemia-alcoholic etiology had higher ICU admission rates and were more severe than those with AP induced by other mixed etiologies. CONCLUSION: In the past 15 years, the proportion of ABP has trended downward, while those of HTGP and alcoholic AP have risen. Among patients with mixed etiologies, those with a mixed hypertriglyceridemia-alcoholic etiology had a worse prognosis.

Alcohol Consumption within 48 hours before Onset Is Associated with Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Hypertriglyceridemic Pancreatitis.

(1) Background: Some patients with hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP) drink occasionally or moderately, but do not meet the diagnostic criteria for alcoholic pancreatitis. This study aims to investigate whether occasional or moderate alcohol consumption affects the clinical outcomes of patients with HTGP. (2) Methods: This retrospective study included 373 patients with HTGP from January 2007 to December 2021. HTGP patients with occasional or moderate alcohol (OMA) consumption before onset were divided into the OMA group, and HTGP patients without alcohol (WA) consumption were divided into the WA group. The OMA group was further divided into two groups: the drinking within 48 h before onset (DW) group, and the without drinking within 48 h before onset (WDW) group. The clinical data of the two groups were compared and multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze independent risk factors for the primary outcomes. (3) Results: The proportion of men (95.7% vs. 67.6%, p < 0.001) and smoking history (61.7% vs. 15.1%, p < 0.001) in the OMA group were higher than those in the WA group. Occasional or moderate alcohol consumption was independently associated with a high incidence of SAP (adjusted odds ratio (AdjOR), 1.57; 95% CI, 1.02-2.41; p = 0.041), and necrotizing pancreatitis (AdjOR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.04-2.48; p = 0.034). After dividing the OMA group into two subgroups, we found that drinking within 48 h before onset was independently associated with a high incidence of SAP (AdjOR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.66-5.77; p < 0.001), and necrotizing pancreatitis (AdjOR, 2.71; 95% CI, 1.46-5.05; p = 0.002). (4) Conclusion: Occasional or moderate alcohol consumption is associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with HTGP, particularly if they drank alcohol within 48 h before the onset of the disease.

Interleukin-6 is better than C-reactive protein for the prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis and mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Introduction: This study aimed to identify whether interleukin-6 (IL-6) is better than C-reactive protein (CRP) for the prediction of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN), and mortality. Methods: Sixty-seven patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) who were hospitalized within 48 h of onset and received serum CRP and IL-6 tests from September 2018 to September 2019 were included. Spearman's correlation was performed to assess their associations with severity. The areas under the curve (AUCs) for the prediction of SAP, organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, IPN, and mortality were estimated using receiver operating characteristic curves. Result: Serum CRP and IL-6 levels were significantly positively correlated with the severity of AP (p < 0.05). The AUC for the prediction of SAP based on the CRP level was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.66-0.89) and that based on the IL-6 level was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.56-0.82). For the prediction of organ failure and pancreatic necrosis, CRP was more accurate than IL-6 (AUC 0.80 vs. 0.72 and 0.75 vs. 0.68, respectively). However, CRP was less accurate than IL-6 for predicting mortality and IPN (AUC 0.70 vs. 0.75 and 0.65 vs. 0.81, respectively). Systemic inflammatory response syndrome plus CRP was more accurate than systemic inflammatory response syndrome plus IL-6 (AUC 0.79 vs. 0.72) for the prediction of SAP. Conclusions: IL-6 was more accurate than CRP for predicting mortality and IPN in patients with AP.