Socioeconomic inequality in prostate cancer diagnostics, primary treatment, rehabilitation, and mortality in Sweden.

We designed a nationwide study to investigate the association between socioeconomic factors (household income and education) and different aspects of prostate cancer care, considering both individual- and neighbourhood-level variables. Data were obtained from Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden (PCBaSe), a research database with data from several national health care registers including clinical characteristics and treatments for nearly all men diagnosed with prostate cancer in Sweden. Four outcomes were analysed: use of pre-biopsy magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in 2018-2020 (n = 11,843), primary treatment of high-risk non-metastatic disease in 2016-2020 (n = 6633), rehabilitation (≥2 dispensed prescriptions for erectile dysfunction within 1 year from surgery in 2016-2020, n = 6505), and prostate cancer death in 7770 men with high-risk non-metastatic disease diagnosed in 2010-2016. Unadjusted and adjusted odds and hazard ratios (OR/HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Adjusted odds ratio (ORs) comparing low versus high individual education were 0.74 (95% CI 0.66-0.83) for pre-biopsy MRI, 0.66 (0.54-0.81) for primary treatment, and 0.82 (0.69-0.97) for rehabilitation. HR gradients for prostate cancer death were significant on unadjusted analysis only (low vs. high individual education HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.17-1.70); co-variate adjustments markedly attenuated the gradients (low vs. high individual education HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.90-1.35). Generally, neighbourhood-level analyses showed weaker gradients over the socioeconomic strata, except for pre-biopsy MRI. Socioeconomic factors influenced how men were diagnosed with prostate cancer in Sweden but had less influence on subsequent specialist care. Neighbourhood-level socioeconomic data are more useful for evaluating inequality in diagnostics than in later specialist care.

Validation of primary and outcome data quality in a Swedish population-based breast cancer quality registry.

BACKGROUND: Population-based cancer quality registries are of great importance for the improvement of cancer care. However, little is known about the quality of recurrence data in cancer quality registries. The aim of this study was to evaluate data quality in the regional Breast Cancer Quality Registry of Central Sweden, with emphasis on the validity of recorded information on recurrence. METHODS: Validation by re-abstraction was performed on a random sample of 800 women with primary invasive breast cancer stage I-III diagnosed between 1993 and 2010, of which 400 had at least one registered recurrence and 400 had no registered recurrence. Registry data were compared with data from medical records. Exact agreement, correlation and kappa values, sensitivity and specificity were calculated. RESULTS: Seven hundred forty-seven women (93%) were available for analysis. Exact agreement was high for diagnostics, tumor characteristics, surgery, and adjuvant oncological treatment (90% or more for most variables). The registry's sensitivity was low for regional recurrence (47%), but higher for local and distant recurrence (80% and 75%), whereas specificity was overall high (≥ 95%). Combining all recurrence categories irrespective of localization improved sensitivity to 90% with a specificity of 91%. In 87% of women, the date of first recurrence according to medical records fell within ± 90 days of the date recorded in the registry. CONCLUSIONS: While the quality of data in the regional Breast Cancer Quality Registry was generally high, data accuracy on recurrences was lower. The overall precision of identifying any recurrence, irrespective of localization, was high. However, the accuracy of classification of recurrences (local, regional or distant) was lower, with evidence of underreporting for each of the recurrence categories. Given the importance of recurrence-related outcomes in the assessment of quality of care, efforts should be made to improve the reporting of recurrences.

Time trends in the use of curative treatment in men 70 years and older with nonmetastatic prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Undertreatment of otherwise healthy men in their seventies with prostate cancer has been reported previously. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using information in a Swedish prostate cancer research database, patterns of management and cancer-specific mortality were compared across age groups in over 70,000 men diagnosed with intermediate- or high-risk nonmetastatic prostate cancer between 2008 and 2020. Crude probabilities of death were estimated non-parametrically. Staging procedures, primary treatment, and cancer death were compared using regression models, adjusting for patient and tumor characteristics. RESULTS: During the study period, the proportion of men treated with curative intent increased in ages 70-74 (intermediate-risk from 45% to 72% and high-risk from 49% to 84%), 75-79 (intermediate-risk from 11% to 52% and high-risk from 12% to 70%), and 80-84 years (intermediate-risk from < 1% to 14% and high-risk from < 1% to 30%). Older age was associated with lower likelihoods of staging investigations and curative treatment, also after adjustment for tumor characteristics and comorbidity. Men treated with curative intent and those initially managed conservatively had lower crude risks of prostate cancer death than men receiving androgen deprivation treatment (ADT). In adjusted analyses, ADT was associated with higher prostate cancer mortality than curative treatment across ages and risk groups. Among men managed conservatively, prostate cancer mortality was higher in ages 70 and above. INTERPRETATION: Use of curative treatment increased substantially in older men with prostate cancer between 2008 and 2020. Our findings suggest reduced age-bias and under-treatment, likely reflecting improved individualized decision-making and adherence to guidelines recommending more active management of older men.

Epidemiology of mastocytosis: a population-based study (Sweden).

BACKGROUND: Mastocytosis is a disease characterized by accumulation of aberrant mast cells and mediator-related symptoms and is divided into systemic mastocytosis (SM) and cutaneous mastocytosis (CM). The epidemiology of mastocytosis remains incompletely understood. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence, prevalence, overall survival (OS) and burden of comorbidities in adult mastocytosis patients identified in Swedish population-based registries. METHODS: Individuals (≥ 20 years of age) with a mastocytosis diagnosis in the National Patient Register (NPR) and/or the Swedish Cancer Register (SCR) between 2001 and 2018, were identified. In a matched cohort design, for each case five randomly selected mastocytosis-free comparators matched on age, sex, and county of residence were chosen from the Population Register. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare OS between individuals with mastocytosis and comparators. Information on concomitant disease at baseline was assessed by use of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). RESULTS: We identified 2,040 adults with a mastocytosis diagnosis yielding an annual incidence of 1.56 per 100,000 (95% CI 1.29-1.87) and a prevalence of 23.9 per 100,000 (95% CI 22.8-25.0). The comorbidity burden was higher, and the OS lower, in patients with mastocytosis compared to comparators. INTERPRETATION: We found a higher incidence and prevalence of mastocytosis compared to assessments in other settings and confirmed that the prognosis generally is favorable. Of special note was evidence of a higher comorbidity burden in mastocytosis patients compared to the background population. LIMITATIONS: Underreporting and inconsistencies in the use of diagnostic codes.

Have the recent advancements in cancer therapy and survival benefitted patients of all age groups across the Nordic countries? NORDCAN survival analyses 2002-2021.

BACKGROUND: Since the early 2000s, overall and site-specific cancer survival have improved substantially in the Nordic countries. We evaluated whether the improvements have been similar across countries, major cancer types, and age groups. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using population-based data from the five Nordic cancer registries recorded in the NORDCAN database, we included a cohort of 1,525,854 men and 1,378,470 women diagnosed with cancer (except non-melanoma skin cancer) during 2002-2021, and followed for death until 2021. We estimated 5-year relative survival (RS) in 5-year calendar periods, and percentage points (pp) differences in 5-year RS from 2002-2006 until 2017-2021. Separate analyses were performed for eight cancer sites (i.e. colorectum, pancreas, lung, breast, cervix uteri, kidney, prostate, and melanoma of skin). RESULTS: Five-year RS improved across nearly all cancer sites in all countries (except Iceland), with absolute differences across age groups ranging from 1 to 21 pp (all cancer sites), 2 to 20 pp (colorectum), -1 to 36 pp (pancreas), 2 to 28 pp (lung), 0 to 9 pp (breast), -11 to 26 pp (cervix uteri), 2 to 44 pp (kidney), -2 to 23 pp (prostate) and -3 to 30 pp (skin melanoma). The oldest patients (80-89 years) exhibited lower survival across all countries and sites, although with varying improvements over time. INTERPRETATION: Nordic cancer patients have generally experienced substantial improvements in cancer survival during the last two decades, including major cancer sites and age groups. Although survival has improved over time, older patients remain at a lower cancer survival compared to younger patients.

Sex differences in lymphoma incidence and mortality by subtype: A population-based study.

It is well established that the male sex is associated with increased risk for, as well as poorer survival of, most cancers. A similar pattern has been described in lymphomas but has not yet been comprehensively assessed. In this nationwide population-based cohort study, we used the Swedish Lymphoma Register to investigate sex differences in lymphoma subtype incidence and excess mortality in adults (age 18-99) diagnosed in 2000-2019. Male-to-female incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and excess mortality ratios (EMRs) adjusted for age and calendar year were predicted using Poisson regression. We identified 36 795 lymphoma cases, 20 738 (56.4%) in men and 16 057 (43.6%) in women. Men were at significantly higher risk of 14 out of 16 lymphoma subtypes with IRRs ranging from 1.15 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-1.22) in follicular lymphoma to 5.95 (95% CI 4.89-7.24) in hairy cell leukemia. EMRs >1 were seen in 13 out of 16 lymphoma subtypes indicating higher mortality in men, although only statistically significant for classical Hodgkin lymphoma 1.26 (95% CI 1.04-1.54), aggressive lymphoma not otherwise specified 1.29 (95% CI 1.08-1.55), and small lymphocytic lymphoma 1.52 (95% CI 1.11-2.07). A corresponding analysis using data from the Danish Lymphoma Register was performed with comparable results. In conclusion, we demonstrate a significantly higher incidence and trend toward higher mortality in men for most lymphoma subtypes. Future studies with large patient material that include detailed clinicopathological prognostic factors are warranted to further delineate and explain sex differences in lymphoma survival to enable optimal management of lymphoma patients regardless of sex.

Including uncertainty of the expected mortality rates in the prediction of loss in life expectancy.

PURPOSE: This study introduces a novel method for estimating the variance of life expectancy since diagnosis (LEC) and loss in life expectancy (LLE) for cancer patients within a relative survival framework in situations where life tables based on the entire general population are not accessible. LEC and LLE are useful summary measures of survival in population-based cancer studies, but require information on the mortality in the general population. Our method addresses the challenge of incorporating the uncertainty of expected mortality rates when using a sample from the general population. METHODS: To illustrate the approach, we estimated LEC and LLE for patients diagnosed with colon and breast cancer in Sweden. General population mortality rates were based on a random sample drawn from comparators of a matched cohort. Flexible parametric survival models were used to model the mortality among cancer patients and the mortality in the random sample from the general population. Based on the models, LEC and LLE together with their variances were estimated. The results were compared with those obtained using fixed expected mortality rates. RESULTS: By accounting for the uncertainty of expected mortality rates, the proposed method ensures more accurate estimates of variances and, therefore, confidence intervals of LEC and LLE for cancer patients. This is particularly valuable for older patients and some cancer types, where underestimation of the variance can be substantial when the entire general population data are not accessible. CONCLUSION: The method can be implemented using existing software, making it accessible for use in various cancer studies. The provided example of Stata code further facilitates its adoption.

Exploring different research questions via complex multi-state models when using registry-based repeated prescriptions of antidepressants in women with breast cancer and a matched population comparison group.

BACKGROUND: Multi-state models are used to study several clinically meaningful research questions. Depending on the research question of interest and the information contained in the data, different multi-state structures and modelling choices can be applied. We aim to explore different research questions using a series of multi-state models of increasing complexity when studying repeated prescriptions data, while also evaluating different modelling choices. METHODS: We develop a series of research questions regarding the probability of being under antidepressant medication across time using multi-state models, among Swedish women diagnosed with breast cancer (n = 18,313) and an age-matched population comparison group of cancer-free women (n = 92,454) using a register-based database (Breast Cancer Data Base Sweden 2.0). Research questions were formulated ranging from simple to more composite ones. Depending on the research question, multi-state models were built with structures ranging from simpler ones, like single-event survival analysis and competing risks, up to complex bidirectional and recurrent multi-state structures that take into account the recurring start and stop of medication. We also investigate modelling choices, such as choosing a time-scale for the transition rates and borrowing information across transitions. RESULTS: Each structure has its own utility and answers a specific research question. However, the more complex structures (bidirectional, recurrent) enable accounting for the intermittent nature of prescribed medication data. These structures deliver estimates of the probability of being under medication and total time spent under medication over the follow-up period. Sensitivity analyses over different definitions of the medication cycle and different choices of timescale when modelling the transition intensity rates show that the estimates of total probabilities of being in a medication cycle over follow-up derived from the complex structures are quite stable. CONCLUSIONS: Each research question requires the definition of an appropriate multi-state structure, with more composite ones requiring such an increase in the complexity of the multi-state structure. When a research question is related with an outcome of interest that repeatedly changes over time, such as the medication status based on prescribed medication, the use of novel multi-state models of adequate complexity coupled with sensible modelling choices can successfully address composite, more realistic research questions.

Penile cancer: long-term infectious and thromboembolic complications following lymph node dissection - a population-based study (Sweden).

PURPOSE: To assess the long-term risks of infectious and thromboembolic events following inguinal (ILND) and pelvic (PLND) lymph node dissection in men with penile cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 364 men subjected to ILND with or without PLND for penile cancer between 2000 and 2012 were identified in the Swedish National Penile Cancer Register. Each patient was matched based on age and county of residence with six penile cancer-free men. The Swedish Cancer Register and other population-based registers were used to retrieve information on treatment and hospitalisation for selected infectious and thromboembolic events. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models with multiple imputation. RESULTS: The risk of infectious events remained increased for more than five years postoperatively in men with penile cancer compared with matched controls. The palpable nodal disease was the only predictor of these events, with risk increasing with the cN stage. The HR at one, three and five years and six months postoperatively was 8.60 (95% CI 5.16-14.34), 4.02 (95% CI 2.65-6.09) and 1.93 (95% CI 1.11-3.38), respectively. An increased risk of thromboembolic events persisted for three years postoperatively. The HR at one and three years postoperatively was 13.51 (95% CI 6.53-27.93) and 2.12 (95% CI 1.07-4.20). The results correspond well with the over-prescription of anticoagulants observed during this period. An association with bulky disease (cN3) was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Lymph node dissection for penile cancer is associated with an increased risk of infectious and thromboembolic events. The findings of this population-based study show that the risks of these events remain increased more than five years for infectious and three years for thromboembolic events. Improved awareness of long-term complications following ILND is of importance both among patients and care givers to ensure early detection and treatment.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer diagnosis based on pathology notifications: A comparison across the Nordic countries during 2020.

The severity of the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent mitigation strategies have varied across the Nordic countries. In a joint Nordic population-based effort, we compared patterns of new cancer cases and notifications between the Nordic countries during 2020. We used pathology notifications to cancer registries in Denmark, the Faroe Islands, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden to determine monthly numbers of pathology notifications of malignant and in situ tumours from January to December 2020 compared to 2019 (2017-2019 for Iceland and the Faroe Islands). We compared new cancer cases per month based on unique individuals with pathology notifications. In April and May 2020, the numbers of new malignant cases declined in all Nordic countries, except the Faroe Islands, compared to previous year(s). The largest reduction was observed in Sweden (May: -31.2%, 95% CI -33.9, -28.3), followed by significant declines in Finland, Denmark and Norway, and a nonsignificant decline in Iceland. In Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Finland the reporting rates during the second half of 2020 rose to almost the same level as in 2019. However, in Sweden and Finland, the increase did not compensate for the spring decline (annual reduction -6.2% and -3.6%, respectively). Overall, similar patterns were observed for in situ tumours. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a decline in rates of new cancer cases in Sweden, Finland, Denmark and Norway, with the most pronounced reduction in Sweden. Possible explanations include the severity of the pandemic, temporary halting of screening activities and changes in healthcare seeking behaviour.

Temporal trends in lung cancer survival: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the number one cancer-related cause of death in Sweden and worldwide. In most countries, five-year survival estimates vary between 10% and 20% with evidence of improved survival over time. Over the last decades, the management of lung cancer has changed including the introduction of national guidelines, new diagnostic procedures and treatments. This study aimed to investigate temporal trends in lung cancer survival both overall and in subgroups defined by established prognostic factors (i.e., sex, stage, histopathology and smoking history). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We estimated one-, two-, and five-year relative survival, and excess mortality, in patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinoma or adenocarcinoma of the lung between 1995 and 2016 in Sweden. We used population-based information available in a national lung cancer research database (LCBaSe) generated by cross-linkage between the Swedish National Lung Cancer Register and several Swedish health and sociodemographic registers. RESULTS: We included 36,935 patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinoma or adenocarcinoma of the lung between 1995 and 2016. The overall one-, two- and five-year survival estimates increased between 1995 and 2016, from 38% to 53%, 21% to 37%, and 14% to 24%, respectively. Over the study period, we also found improved survival in subgroups, for example in patients with stages III-IV disease, patients with adenocarcinoma, and never-smokers. The excess mortality decreased over the study period, both overall and in all subgroups. CONCLUSION: Lung cancer survival increased over time in the overall lung cancer population. Of special note was evidence of improved survival in patients with stage IV disease. Our results corroborate a previously observed global trend of improved survival in patients with lung cancer.

Potential overtreatment in end-of-life care in adults 65 years or older dying from cancer: applying quality indicators on nationwide registries.

BACKGROUND: Quality indicators are frequently used to measure the quality of care at the end of life. Whether quality indicators of potential overtreatment (i.e., when the risks outweigh the benefits) at the end of life can be reliably applied to routinely collected data remains uncertain. This study aimed to identify quality indicators of overtreatment at the end of life in the published literature and to investigate their tentative prevalence among older adults dying with solid cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of decedents including all older adults (≥65 years) who died with solid cancer between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2015 (n = 54,177) in Sweden. Individual data from the National Cause of Death Register were linked with data from the Total Population Register, the National Patient Register, and the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. Quality indicators were applied for the last one and three months of life. RESULTS: From a total of 145 quality indicators of overtreatment identified in the literature, 82 (57%) were potentially operationalisable with routine administrative and healthcare data in Sweden. Unidentifiable procedures and hospital drug treatments were the reason for non-operationalisability in 52% of the excluded indicators. Among the 82 operationalisable indicators, 67 measured overlapping concepts. Based on the remaining 15 unique indicators, we tentatively estimated that overall, about one-third of decedents received at least one treatment or procedure indicative of 'potential overtreatment' during their last month of life. CONCLUSION: Almost half of the published overtreatment indicators could not be measured in routine administrative and healthcare data in Sweden due to a lack of means to capture the care procedure. Our tentative estimates suggest that potential overtreatment might affect one-third of cancer decedents near death. However, quality indicators of potential overtreatment for specific use in routinely collected data should be developed and validated.

Are older patients with non-small cell lung cancer receiving optimal care? A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Results from studies addressing age-related patterns of cancer care have found evidence of unjustified differences in management between younger and older patients. METHODS: We examined associations between age and clinical presentation, management and mortality in patients diagnosed with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) between 2002 and 2016. Analyses were adjusted for comorbidity and other factors that may have affected management decisions and outcomes. RESULTS: The study population encompassed 40,026 patients with NSCLC. Stage at diagnosis did not differ between age groups ≤ 84. The diagnostic intensity was similar in age groups <80 years. In patients with stage IA-IIB disease and PS 0-2, surgery was more common in the youngest age groups and decreased with increasing age, and was rarely performed in those ≥ 85 years. The use of stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) increased with age (≤69 years 5.4%; ≥85 years 35.8%). In patients with stage IIIA disease and PS 0-2, concurrent chemoradiotherapy was more common in younger patients (≤69 years 55.3%; ≥85 years 2.2%). In stage IA-IIIA disease, no major differences in treatment-related mortality was observed. In stage IIIB-IV and PS 0-2, chemotherapy was more common in patients <80 years. However, 58.1% of patients 80-84 years and 30.3% ≥ 85 years received treatment. In stage IA-IIIA, overall and cause-specific survival decreased with increasing age. No age-differences in survival were observed in patients with stage IIIB-IV NSCLC. CONCLUSION: Treatments were readily given to older patients with metastatic disease, but to a lesser degree to those with early stage disease. Significant differences in cause specific survival were observed in early, but not late stage disease. Our findings underscore the importance of individualized assessment of health status and life expectancy. Our results indicate that older patients with early stage lung cancer to a higher extent should be considered for curative treatment.

Age-specific survival trends and life-years lost in women with breast cancer 1990-2016: the NORDCAN survival studies.

BACKGROUND: A recent overview of cancer survival trends 1990-2016 in the Nordic countries reported continued improvements in age-standardized breast cancer survival among women. The aim was to estimate age-specific survival trends over calendar time, including life-years lost, to evaluate if improvements have benefited patients across all ages in the Nordic countries. METHODS: Data on breast cancers diagnosed 1990-2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Age-standardized and age-specific relative survival (RS) was estimated using flexible parametric models, as was reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost. RESULTS: Age-standardized period estimates of 5-year RS in women diagnosed with breast cancer ranged from 87% to 90% and 10-year RS from 74% to 85%. Ten-year RS increased with 15-18 percentage points from 1990 to 2016, except in Sweden (+9 percentage points) which had the highest survival in 1990. The largest improvements were observed in Denmark, where a previous survival disadvantage diminished. Most recent 5-year crude probabilities of cancer death ranged from 9% (Finland, Sweden) to 12% (Denmark, Iceland), and life-years lost from 3.3 years (Finland) to 4.6 years (Denmark). Although survival improvements were consistent across different ages, women aged ≥70 years had the lowest RS in all countries. Period estimates of 5-year RS were 94-95% in age 55 years and 84-89% in age 75 years, while 10-year RS were 88-91% in age 55 years and 69-84% in age 75 years. Women aged 40 years lost on average 11.0-13.8 years, while women lost 3.8-6.0 years if aged 55 and 1.9-3.5 years if aged 75 years. CONCLUSIONS: Survival for Nordic women with breast cancer improved from 1990 to 2016 in all age groups, albeit with larger country variation among older women where survival was also lower. Women over 70 years of age have not had the same survival improvement as women of younger age.

Antibiotic use prior to a lung cancer diagnosis: a population-based study.

AIM: To examine patterns of recent pre-diagnostic fillings of antibiotics as an indicator of early symptoms of lung cancer. METHODS: Individuals diagnosed with lung cancer (cases) in 2009-2016 were identified in the Swedish National Lung Cancer Register, a population-based register, and randomly matched with up to five individuals free of lung cancer (controls) from the general population. Conditional logistic models were used to estimate odds ratios for the association between lung cancer and a recent history of filled antibiotic prescriptions. RESULTS: The study included 27,017 cases and 129,355 controls. The likelihood of recent exposure was approximately two times higher in cases compared to controls. The magnitude of the effect size became more pronounced with proximity to the diagnosis of lung cancer and an increasing number of filled prescriptions. While the magnitude of the effect size did not differ by sex or educational level, it became attenuated with increasing age. There was no evidence supporting a trend in the magnitude of the effect size for the association between lung cancer and a history of repeated fillings by cancer stage. CONCLUSION: Lung cancer was associated with an increased likelihood of a recent history of filled antibiotic prescriptions. However, there was no evidence of an association between repeated fillings and a diagnostic delay, as reflected by stage. Our findings underscore the importance of clinical reassessment to rule out lung cancer following pneumonia treatment, especially for patients with multiple treatment cycles.

An Aggregated Comorbidity Measure Based on History of Filled Drug Prescriptions: Development and Evaluation in Two Separate Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: The ability to account for comorbidity when estimating survival in a population diagnosed with cancer could be improved by using a drug comorbidity index based on filled drug prescriptions. METHODS: We created a drug comorbidity index from age-stratified univariable associations between filled drug prescriptions and time to death in 326,450 control males randomly selected from the general population to men with prostate cancer. We also evaluated the index in 272,214 control females randomly selected from the general population to women with breast cancer. RESULTS: The new drug comorbidity index predicted survival better than the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and a previously published prescription index during 11 years of follow-up. The concordance (C)-index for the new index was 0.73 in male and 0.76 in the female population, as compared with a C-index of 0.67 in men and 0.69 in women for the CCI. In men of age 75-84 years with CCI = 0, the median survival time was 7.1 years (95% confidence interval [CI] = 7.0, 7.3) in the highest index quartile. Comparing the highest to the lowest drug comorbidity index quartile resulted in a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.2 among men (95% CI = 2.1, 2.3) and 2.4 among women (95% CI = 2.3, 2.6). CONCLUSIONS: A new drug comorbidity index based on filled drug prescriptions improved prediction of survival beyond age and the CCI alone. The index will allow a more accurate baseline estimation of expected survival for comparing treatment outcomes and evaluating treatment guidelines in populations of people with cancer.

Risk of second HPV-associated cancers in men with penile cancer.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to examine the risk of HPV-associated oral cavity, oropharyngeal or anal cancer in men with penile cancer to test the hypothesis of an increased risk to develop a second HPV-associated cancer later in life. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a population-based register study including all men in Sweden diagnosed with penile cancer between 2000 and 2012. For each patient, six men without penile cancer were matched based on age and county of residence. Data were retrieved from Swedish cancer and population registers, to assess the risk of oral cavity, oropharyngeal or anal cancer in patients with penile cancer. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Risks in men with penile cancer were also compared with the background Swedish male population by use of standardized incidence ratios. RESULTS: In total, 1634 men with and 9804 without penile cancer were included in the study. Among men with penile cancer, four men were subsequently diagnosed with oral cavity cancer, one with oropharyngeal cancer and one with anal cancer. Corresponding numbers among the penile cancer-free men were ten, two and three, respectively. There was evidence of an increased risks of all three cancers under study with an HR of 2.84 (95% CI 0.89-9.06) for oral cavity cancer, 3.66 (95% CI 0.33-40.39) for oropharyngeal cancer and 2.34 (95% CI 0.24-22.47) for anal cancer. When comparing the incidence of these malignancies between penile cancer patients and the background population, the patterns of association were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that men with penile cancer are at an increased risk of a second HPV-associated cancer of the oral cavity, oropharynx and anal canal. Considering that our study was based on small numbers reflecting the rarity of these cancers, larger studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Oncological therapy to Swedish men with metastatic penile cancer 2000-2015.

BACKGROUND: Penile cancer is an uncommon disease with poor prognosis when spread to more than one inguinal lymph node. Recommendations on chemo- and radiotherapy in treatment guidelines are based on low-grade evidence. There are to our knowledge no described population-based cohort with detailed information on given oncological treatment and survival data. The aim of this study is to investigate in detail how men with metastatic penile cancer have been treated with chemotherapy and radiotherapy over time, and how survival varies with N-stage and given treatment. MATERIAL AND METHODS: For this observational cohort study all men in Sweden diagnosed with penile cancer with lymph node- or distant metastases 2000-2015 were identified through the Swedish National Penile Cancer Register (NPECR). Medical records were retrieved and 325 men were confirmed to have metastatic penile cancer (Tany, c or pN1-3 and/or M1). Information on treatments was collected. Causes of death were retrieved from the National Cause of Death Register (CDR). RESULTS: Chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy were given to 172 (53%) of all men. The use of oncological treatments with curative intent increased significantly during the study period, from 30% of men with c/pN2-3 diagnosed 2000-2003 compared with 57% of men diagnosed 2012-2015. Ninety-three (29%) men received oncological treatments with curative intent of whom 85/93 (91%) had stage c/pN2-3M0. Survival decreased with higher N-stage, M1-stage, and absence of oncological treatment with curative intent. For men with c/pN3-stage, the engagement of pelvic lymph nodes was entailed with lower survival than pN3 based on extra-nodal extension (ENE). CONCLUSION: The use of oncological treatment was below recommendations in guidelines but increased during the study period. Treatment was given predominantly to men with c/pN2-3 and M1-disease. Survival was higher among men treated with curative intent; this could be due to patient selection bias.

Impact of chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and endocrine therapy on sick leave in women with early-stage breast cancer during a 5-year period: a population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: To examine the influence of type of oncological treatment on sick leave in women of working age with early-stage breast cancer. METHODS: We identified 8870 women aged 30-64 diagnosed with stage I-II breast cancer between 2005 and 2012 in the Breast Cancer Data Base Sweden. Associations between type of oncological treatment (radiotherapy, endocrine therapy, and chemotherapy) and sick leave were estimated by hazard ratios, probabilities, and length of sick leave using multi-state survival analysis. RESULTS: During the first 5 years after diagnosis, women aged 50-54 years at diagnosis receiving chemotherapy spent on average 182 (95% CI 151-218) additional days on sick leave compared with women not receiving chemotherapy, but with otherwise similar characteristics. Correspondingly, women initiating endocrine therapy spent 30 (95% CI 18-44) additional days on sick leave and women receiving post-mastectomy radiotherapy 53 (95% CI 37-69) additional days. At year five, the rate of sick leave was increased in women who had received chemotherapy (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.11-1.28) or endocrine therapy (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.05-1.26). Chemotherapy and endocrine therapy were associated with increased rates of sick leave due to depression or anxiety. CONCLUSION: Our findings of increased long-term risks of sick leave after oncological treatment for breast cancer warrant attention from caregivers taking part in cancer rehabilitation. In light of the ongoing debate about overtreatment of early-stage breast cancer, our findings point to the importance of properly selecting patients for chemotherapy not only for the medical toxicity but also the possible impact on their livelihood.

Trends in life expectancy: did the gap between the healthy and the ill widen or close?

BACKGROUND: During the past decades, life expectancy has continued to increase in most high-income countries. Previous research suggests that improvements in life expectancy have primarily been driven by advances at the upper end of the health distribution, while parts of the population have lagged behind. Using data from the entire Swedish population, this study aims to examine the life expectancy development among subgroups of individuals with a history of common diseases relative to that of the general population. METHODS: The remaining life expectancy at age 65 was estimated for each year in 1998-2017 among individuals with a history of disease, and for the total Swedish population. We defined population subgroups as individuals with a history of myocardial infarction, ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, hip fracture, or colon, breast, or lung cancer. We further distinguished between different educational levels and Charlson comorbidity index scores. RESULTS: Life expectancy gains have been larger for men and women with a history of myocardial infarction, ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, and colon or breast cancer than for the general population. The life expectancy gap between individuals with a history of hip fracture or lung cancer and the general population has, however, been growing. Education and comorbidity have affected mortality levels, but have not altered the rate of increase in life expectancy among individuals with disease history. The female advantage in life expectancy was less pronounced among individuals with disease history than among the general population. CONCLUSIONS: Life expectancy has increased faster in many subpopulations with a history of disease than in the general population, while still remaining at lower levels. Improvements in life expectancy have been observed regardless of comorbidity or educational level. These findings suggest that the rise in overall life expectancy reflects more than just improved survival among the healthy or the delayed onset of disease.