Causal Confirmation Measures: From Simpson's Paradox to COVID-19.

When we compare the influences of two causes on an outcome, if the conclusion from every group is against that from the conflation, we think there is Simpson's Paradox. The Existing Causal Inference Theory (ECIT) can make the overall conclusion consistent with the grouping conclusion by removing the confounder's influence to eliminate the paradox. The ECIT uses relative risk difference Pd = max(0, (R - 1)/R) (R denotes the risk ratio) as the probability of causation. In contrast, Philosopher Fitelson uses confirmation measure D (posterior probability minus prior probability) to measure the strength of causation. Fitelson concludes that from the perspective of Bayesian confirmation, we should directly accept the overall conclusion without considering the paradox. The author proposed a Bayesian confirmation measure b* similar to Pd before. To overcome the contradiction between the ECIT and Bayesian confirmation, the author uses the semantic information method with the minimum cross-entropy criterion to deduce causal confirmation measure Cc = (R - 1)/max(R, 1). Cc is like Pd but has normalizing property (between -1 and 1) and cause symmetry. It especially fits cases where a cause restrains an outcome, such as the COVID-19 vaccine controlling the infection. Some examples (about kidney stone treatments and COVID-19) reveal that Pd and Cc are more reasonable than D; Cc is more useful than Pd.

Reviewing Evolution of Learning Functions and Semantic Information Measures for Understanding Deep Learning.

A new trend in deep learning, represented by Mutual Information Neural Estimation (MINE) and Information Noise Contrast Estimation (InfoNCE), is emerging. In this trend, similarity functions and Estimated Mutual Information (EMI) are used as learning and objective functions. Coincidentally, EMI is essentially the same as Semantic Mutual Information (SeMI) proposed by the author 30 years ago. This paper first reviews the evolutionary histories of semantic information measures and learning functions. Then, it briefly introduces the author's semantic information G theory with the rate-fidelity function R(G) (G denotes SeMI, and R(G) extends R(D)) and its applications to multi-label learning, the maximum Mutual Information (MI) classification, and mixture models. Then it discusses how we should understand the relationship between SeMI and Shannon's MI, two generalized entropies (fuzzy entropy and coverage entropy), Autoencoders, Gibbs distributions, and partition functions from the perspective of the R(G) function or the G theory. An important conclusion is that mixture models and Restricted Boltzmann Machines converge because SeMI is maximized, and Shannon's MI is minimized, making information efficiency G/R close to 1. A potential opportunity is to simplify deep learning by using Gaussian channel mixture models for pre-training deep neural networks' latent layers without considering gradients. It also discusses how the SeMI measure is used as the reward function (reflecting purposiveness) for reinforcement learning. The G theory helps interpret deep learning but is far from enough. Combining semantic information theory and deep learning will accelerate their development.

High-Efficiency Directional Ejection of Coalesced Drops on a Circular Groove.

Coalescence-induced drop jumping has received significant attention in the past decade. However, its application remains challenging as a result of the low energy conversion efficiency and uncontrollable drop jumping direction. In this work, we report the high-efficiency coalescence-induced drop jumping with tunable jumping direction via rationally designed millimeter-sized circular grooves. By increasing the surface-droplet impact site area and restricting the oscillatory deformation, the energy conversion efficiency of the jumping droplet reaches 43.5%, 600% as high as the conventional superhydrophobic surfaces. The droplet jumping direction can be tuned from 90° to 60° by varying the principal curvature of the circular groove, while the energy conversion efficiency remains unchanged. We show through theoretical analysis and numerical simulations that the directional jumping mainly originates from reallocation of droplet momentum enabled by the asymmetric liquid bridge impact. Our study demonstrates a simple yet effective method for fast, efficient, and directional droplet removal, which warrants promising applications in jumping droplet condensation, water harvesting, anti-icing, and self-cleaning.

Horizontal Motion of a Superhydrophobic Substrate Affects the Drop Bouncing Dynamics.

While the drop impact dynamics on stationary surfaces has been widely studied, the way a drop impacts a moving solid is by far less known. Here, we report the physical mechanisms of water drops impacting on superhydrophobic surfaces with horizontal motions. We find that a viscous force is created due to the entrainment of a thin air layer between the liquid and solid interfaces, which competes with the capillary and inertia forces, leading to an asymmetric elongation of the drop and an unexpected contact time reduction. Our experimental and theoretical results uncover consolidated scaling relations: the maximum spreading diameter is controlled by both the Weber and capillary numbers D_{max}/D_{0}∼We^{1/4}Ca^{1/6}, while the dimensionless contact time depends on the capillary number τ/τ_{0}∼Ca^{-1/6}. These findings strengthen our fundamental understandings of interactions between drops and moving solids and open up new opportunities for controlling the preferred water repellency through largely unexplored active approaches.

Using the Semantic Information G Measure to Explain and Extend Rate-Distortion Functions and Maximum Entropy Distributions.

In the rate-distortion function and the Maximum Entropy (ME) method, Minimum Mutual Information (MMI) distributions and ME distributions are expressed by Bayes-like formulas, including Negative Exponential Functions (NEFs) and partition functions. Why do these non-probability functions exist in Bayes-like formulas? On the other hand, the rate-distortion function has three disadvantages: (1) the distortion function is subjectively defined; (2) the definition of the distortion function between instances and labels is often difficult; (3) it cannot be used for data compression according to the labels' semantic meanings. The author has proposed using the semantic information G measure with both statistical probability and logical probability before. We can now explain NEFs as truth functions, partition functions as logical probabilities, Bayes-like formulas as semantic Bayes' formulas, MMI as Semantic Mutual Information (SMI), and ME as extreme ME minus SMI. In overcoming the above disadvantages, this paper sets up the relationship between truth functions and distortion functions, obtains truth functions from samples by machine learning, and constructs constraint conditions with truth functions to extend rate-distortion functions. Two examples are used to help readers understand the MMI iteration and to support the theoretical results. Using truth functions and the semantic information G measure, we can combine machine learning and data compression, including semantic compression. We need further studies to explore general data compression and recovery, according to the semantic meaning.

Faceted and Circular Droplet Spreading on Hierarchical Superhydrophobic Surfaces.

Bouncing of water droplets on the post-built superhydrophobic surfaces was studied. The topography of the surfaces was constituted by PDMS conical posts decorated with ZnO nanoparticles. Droplet impact on surface topographies built of posts with varied configuration and separation was studied under different Weber numbers. Faceted spreading and retraction of droplets were observed. Square-, pentagon-, and hexagon-shaped droplets were registered. It was shown that the nature of droplet spreading depended on both the Weber number and the topography of the post arrays. Even bouncing under small Weber numbers We ≅ 6.5 resulted in the Cassie-Wenzel transitions, starting from the area adjacent to the axis of droplets, and the area exposed to the wetting transitions scaled as [Formula: see text]. During spreading, two main stages were recorded as the kinematic (inertial) stage and the viscous stage. The viscous stage, in turn, appeared as a consequence of two substages governed by various time scaling laws. The faceted triple line was observed for the Cassie-like retraction of droplets.

Channels' Confirmation and Predictions' Confirmation: From the Medical Test to the Raven Paradox.

After long arguments between positivism and falsificationism, the verification of universal hypotheses was replaced with the confirmation of uncertain major premises. Unfortunately, Hemple proposed the Raven Paradox. Then, Carnap used the increment of logical probability as the confirmation measure. So far, many confirmation measures have been proposed. Measure F proposed by Kemeny and Oppenheim among them possesses symmetries and asymmetries proposed by Elles and Fitelson, monotonicity proposed by Greco et al., and normalizing property suggested by many researchers. Based on the semantic information theory, a measure b* similar to F is derived from the medical test. Like the likelihood ratio, measures b* and F can only indicate the quality of channels or the testing means instead of the quality of probability predictions. Furthermore, it is still not easy to use b*, F, or another measure to clarify the Raven Paradox. For this reason, measure c* similar to the correct rate is derived. Measure c* supports the Nicod Criterion and undermines the Equivalence Condition, and hence, can be used to eliminate the Raven Paradox. An example indicates that measures F and b* are helpful for diagnosing the infection of Novel Coronavirus, whereas most popular confirmation measures are not. Another example reveals that all popular confirmation measures cannot be used to explain that a black raven can confirm "Ravens are black" more strongly than a piece of chalk. Measures F, b*, and c* indicate that the existence of fewer counterexamples is more important than more positive examples' existence, and hence, are compatible with Popper's falsification thought.

Gold Nanowire Chiral Ultrathin Films with Ultrastrong and Broadband Optical Activity.

An ultrastrong and broadband chiroptical response is key but remains challenging for many device applications. A simple and cost-effective bottom-up method is introduced to fabricate large-area long-range ordered chiral ultrathin films with the Langmuir-Schaeffer technique using gold nanowires as building blocks. Significantly, as-prepared ultrathin films display giant optical activity across a broad wavelength range covering visible and near infrared regions with an anisotropic factor of up to 0.285, which is the record value for bottom-up techniques. Detailed experimental result and theoretical analysis disclose that such remarkable optical activity originates from birefringence and dichroism of the well-aligned Au nanowire layers in the ultrathin films. The universality of this facile strategy for constructing chiral ultrathin films is further demonstrated with many other one-dimensional nanomaterials.

An electrothermal platform for active droplet manipulation.

The smart control of droplet transport through surface structures and external fields provides exciting opportunities in engineering fields of phase change heat transfer, biomedical chips, and energy harvesting. Here we report the wedge-shaped slippery lubricant-infused porous surface (WS-SLIPS) as an electrothermal platform for active droplet manipulation. WS-SLIPS is fabricated by infusing a wedge-shaped superhydrophobic aluminum plate with phase-changeable paraffin. While the surface wettability of WS-SLIPS can be readily and reversibly switched by the freezing-melting cycle of paraffin, the curvature gradient of the wedge-shaped substrate automatically induces an uneven Laplace pressure inside the droplet, endowing WS-SLIPS the ability to directionally transport droplets without any extra energy input. We demonstrate that WS-SLIPS features spontaneous and controllable droplet transport capability to initiate, brake, lock, and resume the directional motion of various liquid droplets including water, saturated NaCl solution, ethanol solution, and glycerol, under the control of preset DC voltage (∼12 V). In addition, the WS-SLIPS can automatically repair surface scratches or indents when heated and retain the full liquid-manipulating capability afterward. The versatile and robust droplet manipulation platform of WS-SLIPS can be further used in practical scenarios such as laboratory-on-a-chip settings, chemical analysis and microfluidic reactors, paving a new path to develop advanced interface for multifunctional droplet transport.

Recent advances in superwetting materials for separation of oil/water mixtures.

Engineering surfaces or membranes that allow an efficient oil/water separation is highly desired in a wide spectrum of applications ranging from oily wastewater discharge to offshore oil spill accidents. Recent advances in biomimetics, manufacturing, and characterization techniques have led to remarkable progress in the design of various superwetting materials with special wettability. In spite of exciting progress, formulating a strategy robust enough to guide the design and fabrication of separating surfaces remains a daunting challenge. In this review, we first present an overview of the wettability theory to elucidate how to control the surface morphology and chemistry to regulate oil/water separation. Then, parallel approaches are considered for discussing the separation mechanisms according to different oil/water mixtures, and three separation types were identified including filtration, adsorption and other separation types. Finally, perspectives on the challenges and future research directions in this research area are briefly discussed.

Ultrasonic tweezer for multifunctional droplet manipulation.

Spatiotemporally controllable droplet manipulation is essential in diverse applications, ranging from thermal management to microfluidics and water harvesting. Despite considerable advances, droplet manipulation without surface or droplet pretreatment is still challenging in terms of response and functional adaptability. Here, a droplet ultrasonic tweezer (DUT) based on phased array is proposed for versatile droplet manipulation. The DUT can generate a twin trap ultrasonic field at the focal point for trapping and maneuvering the droplet by changing the position of the focal point, which enables a highly flexible and precise programmable control. By leveraging the acoustic radiation force resulting from the twin trap, the droplet can pass through a confined slit 2.5 times smaller than its own size, cross a slope with an inclination up to 80°, and even reciprocate in the vertical direction. These findings provide a satisfactory paradigm for robust contactless droplet manipulation in various practical settings including droplet ballistic ejection, droplet dispensing, and surface cleaning.

Resolving the growth of 3D colloidal nanoparticle superlattices by real-time small-angle X-ray scattering.

The kinetics and intricate interactions governing the growth of 3D single nanoparticle (NP) superlattices (SLs, SNSLs) and binary NP SLs (BNSLs) in solution are understood by combining controlled solvent evaporation and in situ, real-time small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS). For the iron oxide (magnetite) NP SLs studied here, the larger the NP, the farther apart are the NPs when the SNSLs begin to precipitate and the closer they are after ordering. This is explained by a model of NP assembly using van der Waals interactions between magnetite cores in hydrocarbons with a ∼21 zJ Hamaker constant. When forming BNSLs of two different sized NPs, the NPs that are in excess of that needed to achieve the final BNSL stoichiometry are expelled during the BNSL formation, and these expelled NPs can form SNSLs. The long-range ordering of these SNSLs and the BNSLs can occur faster than the NP expulsion.

Steerable drops on heated concentric microgroove arrays.

Guided drop transport is of great importance in various water and thermal management technologies. Unidirectional drop transport on a hot surface has been widely developed, but a bidirectional reversal is still challenging. Here, we report a steerable transport of drop impinging on heated concentric microgroove arrays, on which the directionality of drop transport is dictated by the drop boiling modes. In the transition boiling state, the driving force originated from the Laplace pressure difference rendered by the microgrooves, which enables the drop rebounding towards the center of curvature. While in the film boiling state, a net force towards the opposite side is generated between the grooves and the penetrated liquid, that drives the drop far away from the center of curvature. Our experimental and theoretical results uncover that the lateral displacement is controlled by both the Weber number and off-center distance. These findings strengthen our fundamental understanding of drop impact dynamics at high temperatures and are essential for effective cooling of hot-spot cores and drop sieving.

Artemisinin-piperaquine versus artemether-lumefantrine for treatment of uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria in Grande Comore island: an open-label, non-randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Malaria significantly rebounded in 2018 in the Comoros; this created an urgent need to conduct clinical trials to investigate the effectiveness of artemisinin and its derivatives. METHODS: An open-label, non-randomised controlled trial of artemisinin-piperaquine (AP) and artemether-lumefantrine (AL) was conducted in Grande Comore island from June 2019 to January 2020. A total of 238 uncomplicated falciparum malaria cases were enrolled and divided 1:1 into two treatments. The primary endpoint was the 42-day adequate clinical and parasitological responses (ACPR). Secondary endpoints were parasitaemia and fever clearance at day 3, gametocytes and tolerability. RESULTS: The 42-day ACPR before and after PCR correction were 91.43% (95% CI 83.93-95.76%) and 98.06% (95% CI 92.48-99.66%) for AP treatment, respectively, and 96.00% (95% CI 88.17-98.14%) and 98.97% (95% CI 93.58-99.95%) for AL treatment, respectively. Complete clearance of the parasitaemia and fever for both groups was detected on day 3. Gametocytes disappeared on day 21 in the AP group and on day 2 in AL group. Specifically, the adverse reactions were mild in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: It was found that AP and AL maintained their high efficacy and tolerance in the Comoros. Nonetheless, asymptomatic malaria infections bring new challenges to malaria control.

Formation of thick, large-area nanoparticle superlattices in lithographically defined geometries.

Superlattices of colloidal nanocrystals hold the promise of new nanomaterials with tunable properties. The positioning and size of these structures are often poorly controlled after self-assembly from the solution phase, making studies of their properties difficult. We report the fabrication of approximately 100 layer thick, three-dimensional superlattices on a substrate with controlled lateral placement. This novel fabrication technique generates long-range order over the micrometer scale and controlled placement by employing lithographic patterning and microfluidic flow.

Synchronous oil/water separation and wastewater treatment on a copper-oxide-coated mesh.

Despite remarkable progress in oil/water separation and wastewater treatment, the ability to carry out the two processes in a synchronous manner has remained difficult. Here, synchronous oil/water separation and wastewater treatment were proposed on mesh surfaces coated with copper-oxide particles, which possess superwetting and catalytic properties. The superwetting performance generates additional pressure to achieve the permselectivity of the designed mesh, on which the oil phase is selectively repelled while the water phase passes though easily. Moreover, the catalytic performance of the copper oxide forms reactive oxygen species to purify the water during oil/water separation process. We show that the oil/water separation and catalytic degradation efficiencies for organic pollutants can reach more than 99% by adjusting the content of copper oxide on the mesh surfaces. Such a unique design for integrating multifunctionality on single mesh surfaces strongly underpins the synchronization of oil/water separation and wastewater treatment, which will provide a new insight for separating pure water from industrial oil/water mixtures.

Electrocardiographic effect of artemisinin-piperaquine, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine, and artemether-lumefantrine treatment in falciparum malaria patients.

INTRODUCTION: Artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT), such as artemisinin-piperaquine (AP), dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP), and artemether-lumefantrine (AL), is the first-line treatment for malaria in many malaria-endemic areas. However, we lack a detailed evaluation of the cardiotoxicity of these ACTs. This study aimed to analyze the electrocardiographic effects of these three ACTs in malaria patients. METHODS: We analyzed the clinical data of 89 hospitalized patients with falciparum malaria who had received oral doses of three different ACTs. According to the ACTs administered, these patients were divided into three treatment groups: 27 treated with AP (Artequick), 31 with DP (Artekin), and 31 with AL (Coartem). Electrocardiograms and other indicators were recorded before and after the treatment. The QT interval was calculated using Fridericia's formula (QTcF) and Bazett's formula (QTcB). RESULTS: Both QTcF and QTcB interval prolongation occurred in all three groups. The incidence of such prolongation between the three groups was not significantly different. The incidence of both moderate and severe prolongation was not significantly different between the three groups. The ΔQTcF and ΔQTcB of the three groups were not significantly different. The intra-group comparison showed significant prolongation of QTcF after AL treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Clinically recommended doses of DP, AL, and AP may cause QT prolongation in some malaria patients but do not cause torsades de pointes ventricular tachycardia or other arrhythmias.

Robust Slippery Liquid-Infused Porous Network Surfaces for Enhanced Anti-icing/Deicing Performance.

Slippery liquid-infused porous surfaces (SLIPSs) have recently been intensively investigated because of promising potential in various applications that require water repellency. However, the use of SLIPS is limited by its unsatisfactory oil-storage and -replacement capabilities. Here we designed network surface structures with interconnected microchannels and cross-linked nanosheets, which acted as natural oil reservoirs and vessels. A lubricant can be firmly locked and stored into the networks, leading to an efficient water repellency as well as improved mechanical durability and stability. We further show the surface structures can be applied to anti-icing/deicing, demonstrated by its improved icing-delaying, anti-icing, and deicing properties even after multiple cycles, compared to those on superhydrophobic surfaces (SHSs) and the conventional SLIPSs. We envision that this unique design of the slippery liquid-infused porous network surface (SLIPNS) with robust stability and durability may expand its application in extreme environments.

One-step process for dual-scale ratchets with enhanced mobility of Leidenfrost droplets.

HYPOTHESIS: Droplet depositing onto hot surfaces above the so-called Leidenfrost temperature will float on a cushion of its own vapor. The vapor flow below the drop could be rectified by asymmetric surface textures, resulting the self-propelled droplet motion. Asymmetric structures like ratchets are used to rectify Leidenfrost droplet movement. Hence, it is possible to enhance the droplet mobility using surfaces with combined asymmetric macro/micro-structures. EXPERIMENTS: Continuous scale-like microcraters stacked end-to-end were fabricated on steel surfaces by wire electrical discharge machining (WEDM). The crater orientation always vectored towards the machining direction (MD), which oriented the droplet motion. Further, by integrating micro and macro-ratchets, dual-scale ratchets were constructed by one-step process using WEDM. The travelling velocities of Leidenfrost droplets on dual-scale and traditional single-scale ratchets were compared and the enhanced mechanism on dual-scale ratchets was analyzed. FINDINGS: One-step process was developed to fabricate transport platforms for Leidenfrost droplets, that continuous scale-like microcraters formed simultaneously on the macroratchets. The highest droplet travelling velocity was achieved compared to previous research. Further study shows that the enhanced drop mobility is attributed to the dual-scale roughness which endows a larger propelling force. This finding presents a high-efficiency method to fabricate transport platforms for Leidenfrost droplets.

Surveillance of the Efficacy of Artemisinin-Piperaquine in the Treatment of Uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Among Children Under 5 Years of Age in Est-Mono District, Togo, in 2017.

BACKGROUND: Malaria is a major public health concern in Togo. The Est-Mono district of Togo has a population of 150,000. Accordingly, the Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, China and the Ministry of Health and Social Security, Togo launched a nationwide Mass Drug Administration Project with artemisinin-piperaquine (AP) in Est-Mono. Before launching this project, the sensitivity test of AP was conducted in a general clinic in Elawagnon, Togo. With this background, we evaluated the efficacy and safety of AP for the treatment of uncomplicated falciparum malaria in children under the age of 5 years. METHODS: Children aged 6-59 months with uncomplicated falciparum malaria were enrolled in this study. The selected patients were treated with a combination regime of artemisinin-piperaquine. The patients were followed up for 28 days, during which signs of the following were observed for: the duration for fever clearance, parasitemia density, gametophyte generation, cure rate, hemoglobin level, and merozoite surface protein-2 (msp-2) polymorphism. The primary end point was a 28-day cure rate and polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-corrected reinfection and recrudescence. This research followed the standardized World Health Organization (WHO) protocol for the assessment of the efficacy of antimalarial drugs. RESULTS: A total of 91 children with uncomplicated falciparum malaria were enrolled in this study. Adequate clinical and parasitological responses (ACPRs) before and after PCR-correction were 66 (73%) and 90 (99%), respectively. The average hemoglobin level in the patient increased by 0.05 g/dl per day (p < 0.0001) after the treatment. The gametophyte generation did not decline at the beginning of the treatment; however, after 14 days, it declined (day 21: p < 0.05; day 28: p < 0.01). In the msp-2 polymorphism study of 24 children treated for parasite infection, one case of msp-2 with 3D7 haplotype and FC27 haplotype was noted, indicating its recrudescence, with a frequency of 4%. The remaining 23 cases could have been of reinfection, with a frequency of 96%. No serious adverse reactions occurred, and AP was well-tolerated by all patients. CONCLUSION: Artemisinin-piperaquine was found to be an effective combination for treating uncomplicated falciparum malaria in children aged <5 years in Togo, and the drugs were well-tolerated. In Togo, Plasmodium falciparum remains sensitive to artemisinin-piperaquine, necessitating its trial in this region. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registration: ECGPHCM No. B2017-054-01; MHSST AVIS N° 0001/2016/CBRS du 07 janvier 2016. Registered 17 March 2014, http://www.chinadrugtrials.org.cn/eap/main.