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1.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38663765

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Consensus guidelines on the optimal management of infected arterial pseudoaneurysms secondary to groin injecting drug use are lacking. This pathology is a problem in the UK and globally, yet operative management options remain contentious. This study was designed to establish consensus to promote better management of these patients, drawing on the expert experience of those in a location with a high prevalence of illicit drug use. METHODS: A three round modified Delphi was undertaken, systematically surveying consultant vascular surgeons in the UK and Ireland using an online platform. Seventy five vascular surgery units were invited to participate, with one consultant providing the unit consensus practice. Round one responses were thematically analysed to generate statements for round two. These statements were evaluated by participants using a five point Likert scale. Consensus was achieved at a threshold of 70% or more agreement or disagreement. Those statements not reaching consensus were assessed and modified for round three. The results of the Delphi process constituted the consensus statement. RESULTS: Round one received 64 (86%) responses, round two 59 (79%) responses, and round three 62 (83%) responses; 73 (97%) of 75 units contributed. Round two comprised 150 statements and round three 24 statements. Ninety one statements achieved consensus agreement and 15 consensus disagreement. The Delphi statements covered sequential management of these patients from diagnosis and imaging, antibiotics and microbiology, surgical approach, wound management, follow up, and additional considerations. Pre-operative imaging achieved consensus agreement (97%), with computerised tomography angiography being the modality of choice (97%). Ligation and debridement without arterial reconstruction was the preferred approach at initial surgical intervention (89%). Multidisciplinary management, ensuring holistic care and access to substance use services, also gained consensus agreement. CONCLUSION: This comprehensive consensus statement provides a strong insight into the standard of care for these patients.

2.
Vasa ; 52(5): 302-309, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37528752

RESUMEN

Background: Frailty is a complex multisystem syndrome associated with increased comorbidity and decreased physiological reserve. There are associations between frailty and adverse outcome in surgical patients. Chronic limb threatening ischemia (CLTI) is increasingly prevalent, with a typically frail patient population. Existing frailty scoring systems focus on functional measures and do not reliably assess comorbidities. The present study aims to describe the prognostic value of multimodal frailty assessment in patients with CLTI. Patients and methods: Patients >50 years old admitted as an emergency with CLTI between May 2020 to June 2021 were included. Frailty was measured using Clinical Frailty Score (CFS), and comorbidities with American Society of Anesthiologists score (ASA). A composite score combining CFS and ASA was derived and the prognostic value compared with each component score. The primary outcome was overall survival. Results: There were 249 eligible patients, 53.4% (n=133) had CFS>4. The mean (95% CI) overall survival for the CFS>4 cohort was 15.9 (13.6-18.3) months vs. 28.5 (26.1-30.9) months for CFS≤4 cohort (p<0.001). Increasing CFS-ASA score was associated with inferior survival on univariate (HR=2.84, 95% CI [1.96-4.11], p<0.001) and multivariate (HR=1.78, 95% CI [1.20-2.64], p<0.01) analyses. ROC-analysis showed comparable prognostic value of CFS and CFS-ASA to predict one-year survival. Conclusions: Frailty is highly prevalent and a poor prognostic indicator in patients with CLTI admitted as an emergency. Our results suggest that incorporating assessment of comorbidities into frailty assessment may offer prognostic value, but comparable to existing clinical frailty assessment. Further work to identify patients with inferior prognosis is required.


Asunto(s)
Anestesiología , Fragilidad , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Fragilidad/diagnóstico , Fragilidad/complicaciones , Fragilidad/epidemiología , Isquemia Crónica que Amenaza las Extremidades , Hospitalización
3.
Glob Chang Biol ; 26(2): 1023-1037, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31376229

RESUMEN

In 2017, the Birmingham Institute of Forest Research (BIFoR) began to conduct Free Air Carbon Dioxide Enrichment (FACE) within a mature broadleaf deciduous forest situated in the United Kingdom. BIFoR FACE employs large-scale infrastructure, in the form of lattice towers, forming 'arrays' which encircle a forest plot of ~30 m diameter. BIFoR FACE consists of three treatment arrays to elevate local CO2 concentrations (e[CO2 ]) by +150 µmol/mol. In practice, acceptable operational enrichment (ambient [CO2 ] + e[CO2 ]) is ±20% of the set point 1-min average target. There are a further three arrays that replicate the infrastructure and deliver ambient air as paired controls for the treatment arrays. For the first growing season with e[CO2 ] (April to November 2017), [CO2 ] measurements in treatment and control arrays show that the target concentration was successfully delivered, that is: +147 ± 21 µmol/mol (mean ± SD) or 98 ± 14% of set point enrichment target. e[CO2 ] treatment was accomplished for 97.7% of the scheduled operation time, with the remaining time lost due to engineering faults (0.6% of the time), CO2 supply issues (0.6%) or adverse weather conditions (1.1%). CO2 demand in the facility was driven predominantly by wind speed and the formation of the deciduous canopy. Deviations greater than 10% from the ambient baseline CO2 occurred <1% of the time in control arrays. Incidences of cross-contamination >80 µmol/mol (i.e. >53% of the treatment increment) into control arrays accounted for <0.1% of the enrichment period. The median [CO2 ] values in reconstructed three-dimensional [CO2 ] fields show enrichment somewhat lower than the target but still well above ambient. The data presented here provide confidence in the facility setup and can be used to guide future next-generation forest FACE facilities built into tall and complex forest stands.


Asunto(s)
Dióxido de Carbono , Bosques , Aire , Hojas de la Planta , Estaciones del Año , Reino Unido
4.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 66(6): 847, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37714292
5.
Glob Chang Biol ; 20(8): 2492-504, 2014 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24604779

RESUMEN

Three young northern temperate forest communities in the north-central United States were exposed to factorial combinations of elevated carbon dioxide (CO2 ) and tropospheric ozone (O3 ) for 11 years. Here, we report results from an extensive sampling of plant biomass and soil conducted at the conclusion of the experiment that enabled us to estimate ecosystem carbon (C) content and cumulative net primary productivity (NPP). Elevated CO2 enhanced ecosystem C content by 11%, whereas elevated O3 decreased ecosystem C content by 9%. There was little variation in treatment effects on C content across communities and no meaningful interactions between CO2 and O3 . Treatment effects on ecosystem C content resulted primarily from changes in the near-surface mineral soil and tree C, particularly differences in woody tissues. Excluding the mineral soil, cumulative NPP was a strong predictor of ecosystem C content (r(2) = 0.96). Elevated CO2 enhanced cumulative NPP by 39%, a consequence of a 28% increase in canopy nitrogen (N) content (g N m(-2) ) and a 28% increase in N productivity (NPP/canopy N). In contrast, elevated O3 lowered NPP by 10% because of a 21% decrease in canopy N, but did not impact N productivity. Consequently, as the marginal impact of canopy N on NPP (∆NPP/∆N) decreased through time with further canopy development, the O3 effect on NPP dissipated. Within the mineral soil, there was less C in the top 0.1 m of soil under elevated O3 and less soil C from 0.1 to 0.2 m in depth under elevated CO2 . Overall, these results suggest that elevated CO2 may create a sustained increase in NPP, whereas the long-term effect of elevated O3 on NPP will be smaller than expected. However, changes in soil C are not well-understood and limit our ability to predict changes in ecosystem C content.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos/farmacología , Dióxido de Carbono/farmacología , Carbono/análisis , Bosques , Ozono/farmacología , Árboles/efectos de los fármacos , Acer/efectos de los fármacos , Acer/crecimiento & desarrollo , Betula/efectos de los fármacos , Betula/crecimiento & desarrollo , Biomasa , Ecosistema , Modelos Teóricos , Suelo/química , Árboles/crecimiento & desarrollo , Estados Unidos
6.
J Theor Biol ; 361: 69-80, 2014 Nov 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25036439

RESUMEN

Signaling cascades proliferate signals received on the cell membrane to the nucleus. While noise filtering, ultra-sensitive switches, and signal amplification have all been shown to be features of such signaling cascades, it is not understood why cascades typically show three or four layers. Using singular perturbation theory, Michaelis-Menten type equations are derived for open enzymatic systems. Cascading these equations we demonstrate that the output signal as a function of time becomes sigmoidal with the addition of more layers. Furthermore, it is shown that the activation time will speed up to a point, after which more layers become superfluous. It is shown that three layers create a reliable sigmoidal response progress curve from a wide variety of time-dependent signaling inputs arriving at the cell membrane, suggesting the evolutionary benefit of the observed cascades.


Asunto(s)
Membrana Celular/fisiología , Modelos Biológicos , Transducción de Señal/fisiología
7.
BMJ Open ; 13(6): e070615, 2023 06 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37321813

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: People who inject drugs are at risk of a range of injecting-related infections and injuries, which can threaten life and limb. In parallel to escalating rates of drug-related deaths seen in Scotland and the UK, there has also been an increase in hospital admissions for skin and soft tissue infections related to injecting drug use. One such injecting complication is the infected arterial pseudoaneurysm, which risks rupture and life-threatening haemorrhage. Surgical management options for the infected arterial pseudoaneurysm secondary to groin injecting drug use remain contentious, with some advocates for ligation and debridement alone, whilst others promote acute arterial reconstruction (suture or patch repair, bypass or, more recently, endovascular stent-graft placement). Rates of major lower limb amputations related to surgical management for this pathology vary in the literature. This review aims to evaluate the outcomes of arterial ligation alone compared with arterial reconstruction, including open and endovascular options, for the infected arterial pseudoaneurysm secondary to groin injecting drug use. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The methods will follow the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses checklist. Three electronic databases will be searched and the resultant papers screened according to the study inclusion and exclusion criteria (detailed in the Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcomes and Study design statement). Grey literature will be excluded. All papers at each stage will be screened by two independent authors, with disagreements arbitrated by a third. Papers will be subject to appropriate standardised quality assessments. PRIMARY OUTCOME: Major lower limb amputation. SECONDARY OUTCOMES: Reintervention rate, rebleeding rate, development of chronic limb-threatening ischaemia 30-day mortality and claudication. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This is a systematic review based on previously conducted studies, therefore, no ethical approval is required. The results of this work will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at relevant conferences. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022358209.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma Falso , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias , Revisiones Sistemáticas como Asunto , Humanos , Aneurisma Falso/etiología , Aneurisma Falso/cirugía , Arterias , Ingle , Claudicación Intermitente , Revisiones Sistemáticas como Asunto/métodos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares
8.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 12(12)2023 Nov 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38136718

RESUMEN

New approaches to managing infections in cardiac and peripheral vascular surgery are required to reduce costs to patients and healthcare providers. Bacteriophage (phage) therapy is a promising antimicrobial approach that has been recommended for consideration in antibiotic refractory cases. We systematically reviewed the clinical evidence for phage therapy in vascular surgery to support the unlicensed use of phage therapy and inform future research. Three electronic databases were searched for articles that reported primary data about human phage therapy for infections in cardiac or peripheral vascular surgery. Fourteen reports were eligible for inclusion, representing 40 patients, among which an estimated 70.3% of patients (n = 26/37) achieved clinical resolution. A further 10.8% (n = 4/37) of patients showed improvement and 18.9% (n = 7/37) showed no improvement. Six of the twelve reports that commented on the safety of phage therapy did not report adverse effects. No adverse effects documented in the remaining six reports were directly linked to phages but reflected the presence of manufacturing contaminants or release of bacterial debris following bacterial lysis. The reports identified by this review suggest that appropriately purified phages represent a safe and efficacious treatment option for infections in cardiac and peripheral vascular surgery.

9.
Int J Surg ; 109(6): 1561-1572, 2023 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37042577

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Necrotising soft tissue infections (NSTI) can threaten life and limb. Early identification and urgent surgical debridement are key for improved outcomes. NSTI can be insidious. Scoring systems, like the Laboratory Risk Indicator for Necrotising Fasciitis (LRINEC), exist to aid diagnosis. People who inject drugs (PWID) are high risk for NSTI. This study aimed to assess the utility of the LRINEC in PWID with lower limb infections and develop a predictive nomogram. METHODS: A retrospective database of all hospital admissions due to limb-related complications secondary to injecting drug use between December 2011 and December 2020 was compiled through discharge codes and a prospectively maintained Vascular Surgery database. All lower limb infections were extracted from this database, dichotomised by NSTI and non-NSTI with the LRINEC applied. Specialty management times were evaluated. Statistical analyses involved: chi-square; Analysis of "variance"; Kaplan-Meier, and receiver operating characteristic curves. Nomograms were developed to facilitate diagnosis and predict survival. RESULTS: There were 557 admissions for 378 patients, with 124 (22.3%; 111 patients) NSTI. Time from admission to: theatre and computed tomography imaging respectively varied significantly between specialties ( P =0.001). Surgical specialties were faster than medical ( P =0.001). Vascular surgery received the most admissions and had the quickest time to theatre. During follow-up there were 79 (20.9%) deaths: 27 (24.3%) NSTI and 52 (19.5%) non-NSTI. LRINEC ≥6 had a positive predictive value of 33.3% and sensitivity of 74% for NSTI. LRINEC <6 had a negative predictive value of 90.7% and specificity of 63.2% for non-NSTI. Area under the curve was 0.697 (95% CI: 0.615-0.778). Nomogram models found age, C-reactive protein, and non-linear albumin to be significant predictors of NSTI, with age, white cell count, sodium, creatinine, C-reactive protein, and albumin being significant in predicting survival on discharge. CONCLUSION: There was reduced performance of the LRINEC in this PWID cohort. Diagnosis may be enhanced through use of this predictive nomogram.


Asunto(s)
Consumidores de Drogas , Fascitis Necrotizante , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos , Abuso de Sustancias por Vía Intravenosa , Humanos , Fascitis Necrotizante/diagnóstico , Fascitis Necrotizante/etiología , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos/diagnóstico , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos/etiología , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos/terapia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Nomogramas , Proteína C-Reactiva , Abuso de Sustancias por Vía Intravenosa/complicaciones , Factores de Riesgo , Albúminas
10.
Bull Math Biol ; 74(11): 2622-49, 2012 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22976251

RESUMEN

The question of how dispersal behavior is adaptive and how it responds to changes in selection pressure is more relevant than ever, as anthropogenic habitat alteration and climate change accelerate around the world. In metapopulation models where local populations are large, and thus local population size is measured in densities, density-dependent dispersal is expected to evolve to a single-threshold strategy, in which individuals stay in patches with local population density smaller than a threshold value and move immediately away from patches with local population density larger than the threshold. Fragmentation tends to convert continuous populations into metapopulations and also to decrease local population sizes. Therefore we analyze a metapopulation model, where each patch can support only a relatively small local population and thus experience demographic stochasticity. We investigated the evolution of density-dependent dispersal, emigration and immigration, in two scenarios: adult and natal dispersal. We show that density-dependent emigration can also evolve to a nonmonotone, "triple-threshold" strategy. This interesting phenomenon results from an interplay between the direct and indirect benefits of dispersal and the costs of dispersal. We also found that, compared to juveniles, dispersing adults may benefit more from density-dependent vs. density-independent dispersal strategies.


Asunto(s)
Migración Animal , Modelos Teóricos , Adaptación Biológica , Animales , Ecosistema , Cadenas de Markov , Análisis Numérico Asistido por Computador , Densidad de Población , Dinámica Poblacional
11.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(16)2022 Aug 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36011026

RESUMEN

Prostate cancer is a serious public health concern in the United States. The primary obstacle to effective long-term management for prostate cancer patients is the eventual development of treatment resistance. Due to the uniquely chaotic nature of the neoplastic genome, it is difficult to determine the evolution of tumor composition over the course of treatment. Hence, a drug is often applied continuously past the point of effectiveness, thereby losing any potential treatment combination with that drug permanently to resistance. If a clinician is aware of the timing of resistance to a particular drug, then they may have a crucial opportunity to adjust the treatment to retain the drug's usefulness in a potential treatment combination or strategy. In this study, we investigate new methods of predicting treatment failure due to treatment resistance using a novel mechanistic model built on an evolutionary interpretation of Droop cell quota theory. We analyze our proposed methods using patient PSA and androgen data from a clinical trial of intermittent treatment with androgen deprivation therapy. Our results produce two indicators of treatment failure. The first indicator, proposed from the evolutionary nature of the cancer population, is calculated using our mathematical model with a predictive accuracy of 87.3% (sensitivity: 96.1%, specificity: 65%). The second indicator, conjectured from the implication of the first indicator, is calculated directly from serum androgen and PSA data with a predictive accuracy of 88.7% (sensitivity: 90.2%, specificity: 85%). Our results demonstrate the potential and feasibility of using an evolutionary tumor dynamics model in combination with the appropriate data to aid in the adaptive management of prostate cancer.

12.
Ecol Appl ; 21(6): 2334-48, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21939065

RESUMEN

Effective management and conservation of species, subspecies, or ecotypes require an understanding of how populations are structured in space. We used satellite-tracking locations and hierarchical and fuzzy clustering to quantify subpopulations within the behaviorally different barren-ground caribou (Rangifer tarandus groenlandicus), Dolphin and Union island caribou (R. t. groenlandicus x pearyi), and boreal (R. t. caribou) caribou ecotypes in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada. Using a novel approach, we verified that the previously recognized Cape Bathurst, Bluenose-West, Bluenose-East, Bathurst, Beverly, Qamanirjuaq, and Lorillard barren-ground subpopulations were robust and that the Queen Maude Gulf and Wager Bay barren-ground subpopulations were organized as individuals. Dolphin and Union island and boreal caribou formed one and two distinct subpopulation, respectively, and were organized as individuals. Robust subpopulations were structured by strong annual spatial affiliation among females; subpopulations organized as individuals were structured by migratory connectivity, barriers to movement, and/or habitat discontinuity. One barren-ground subpopulation used two calving grounds, and one calving ground was used by two barren-ground subpopulations, indicating that these caribou cannot be reliably assigned to subpopulations solely by calving-ground use. They should be classified by annual spatial affiliation among females. Annual-range size and path lengths varied significantly among ecotypes, including mountain woodland caribou (R. t. caribou), and reflected behavioral differences. An east-west cline in annual-range sizes and path lengths among migratory barren-ground subpopulations likely reflected differences in subpopulation size and habitat conditions and further supported the subpopulation structure identified.


Asunto(s)
Ciervos/fisiología , Ecosistema , Migración Animal , Animales , Regiones Árticas , Canadá , Demografía , Femenino , Sistemas de Información Geográfica , Modelos Biológicos , Conducta Social
13.
Oecologia ; 165(4): 877-89, 2011 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21153738

RESUMEN

Categorizing animal populations by diet can mask important intrapopulation variation, which is crucial to understanding a species' trophic niche width. To test hypotheses related to intrapopulation variation in foraging or the presence of diet specialization, we conducted stable isotope analysis (δ(13)C, δ(15)N) on hair and claw samples from 51 grizzly bears (Ursus arctos) collected from 2003 to 2006 in the Mackenzie Delta region of the Canadian Arctic. We examined within-population differences in the foraging patterns of males and females and the relationship between trophic position (derived from δ(15)N measurements) and individual movement. The range of δ(15)N values in hair and claw (2.0-11.0‰) suggested a wide niche width and cluster analyses indicated the presence of three foraging groups within the population, ranging from near-complete herbivory to near-complete carnivory. We found no linear relationship between home range size and trophic position when the data were continuous or when grouped by foraging behavior. However, the movement rate of females increased linearly with trophic position. We used multisource dual-isotope mixing models to determine the relative contributions of seven prey sources within each foraging group for both males and females. The mean bear dietary endpoint across all foraging groups for each sex fell toward the center of the mixing polygon, which suggested relatively well-mixed diets. The primary dietary difference across foraging groups was the proportional contribution of herbaceous foods, which decreased for both males and females from 42-76 to 0-27% and 62-81 to 0-44%, respectively. Grizzlies of the Mackenzie Delta live in extremely harsh conditions and identifying within-population diet specialization has improved our understanding of varying habitat requirements within the population.


Asunto(s)
Carnívoros/fisiología , Conducta Alimentaria/fisiología , Cadena Alimentaria , Plantas , Ursidae/fisiología , Animales , Canadá , Isótopos de Carbono/análisis , Isótopos de Carbono/metabolismo , Femenino , Masculino , Isótopos de Nitrógeno/análisis , Isótopos de Nitrógeno/metabolismo , Dinámica Poblacional , Factores de Tiempo
14.
J Environ Monit ; 13(9): 2436-42, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21750809

RESUMEN

We studied the effect of high ozone (O(3)) concentration (110-490 nmol mol(-1)) on regenerating aspen (Populus tremuloides) and maple (Acer saccharum) trees at an open-air O(3) pollution experiment near Rhinelander WI USA. This study is the first of its kind to examine the effects of acute O(3) exposure on aspen and maple sprouts after the parent trees, which were grown under elevated O(3) and/or CO(2) for 12 years, were harvested. Acute O(3) damage was not uniform within the crowns of aspen suckers; it was most severe in the mature, fully expanded photosynthesizing leaves. Young expanding leaves showed no visible signs of acute O(3) damage contrary to expectations. Stomatal conductance played a primary role in the severity of acute O(3) damage as it directly controlled O(3) uptake. Maple sprouts, which had lower stomatal conductance, smaller stomatal aperture, higher stomatal density and larger leaf surface area, were tolerant of acute O(3) exposure. Moreover, elevated CO(2) did not ameliorate the adverse effects of acute O(3) dose on aspen and maple sprouts, in contrast to its ability to counteract the effects of long-term chronic exposure to lower O(3) levels.


Asunto(s)
Acer/efectos de los fármacos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Ozono/toxicidad , Populus/efectos de los fármacos , Plantones/efectos de los fármacos , Acer/crecimiento & desarrollo , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Populus/crecimiento & desarrollo , Plantones/crecimiento & desarrollo
15.
Vasc Endovascular Surg ; 55(8): 873-877, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34008435

RESUMEN

Carotid artery aneurysms account for 4% of peripheral aneurysms and may present as a neck mass, with hemispheric ischaemic symptoms, or with symptoms secondary to local compression. This case explores the presentation, investigations and management of a presumed mycotic common carotid artery aneurysm in a 77-year-old male, which was repaired using end-to-end interposition vein graft using long saphenous vein. This report discusses the aetiology, presentation and surgical management for carotid artery aneurysms, as well as focusing on that of the rare mycotic carotid artery aneurysm.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma Infectado , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas , Anciano , Aneurisma Infectado/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma Infectado/cirugía , Arterias Carótidas , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/cirugía , Arteria Carótida Interna , Humanos , Masculino , Vena Safena/diagnóstico por imagen , Resultado del Tratamiento
16.
J Math Biol ; 60(4): 573-90, 2010 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19533136

RESUMEN

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a major cause of human suffering, and a number of mathematical models have examined within-host dynamics of the disease. Most previous HBV infection models have assumed that: (a) hepatocytes regenerate at a constant rate from a source outside the liver; and/or (b) the infection takes place via a mass action process. Assumption (a) contradicts experimental data showing that healthy hepatocytes proliferate at a rate that depends on current liver size relative to some equilibrium mass, while assumption (b) produces a problematic basic reproduction number. Here we replace the constant infusion of healthy hepatocytes with a logistic growth term and the mass action infection term by a standard incidence function; these modifications enrich the dynamics of a well-studied model of HBV pathogenesis. In particular, in addition to disease free and endemic steady states, the system also allows a stable periodic orbit and a steady state at the origin. Since the system is not differentiable at the origin, we use a ratio-dependent transformation to show that there is a region in parameter space where the origin is globally stable. When the basic reproduction number, R (0), is less than 1, the disease free steady state is stable. When R (0) > 1 the system can either converge to the chronic steady state, experience sustained oscillations, or approach the origin. We characterize parameter regions for all three situations, identify a Hopf and a homoclinic bifurcation point, and show how they depend on the basic reproduction number and the intrinsic growth rate of hepatocytes.


Asunto(s)
Virus de la Hepatitis B/inmunología , Hepatitis B Crónica/inmunología , Modelos Inmunológicos , Número Básico de Reproducción , Hepatitis B Crónica/epidemiología , Hepatitis B Crónica/virología , Hepatocitos/inmunología , Hepatocitos/virología , Humanos
17.
Nat Commun ; 11(1): 1750, 2020 04 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32273504

RESUMEN

Intermittent androgen deprivation therapy (IADT) is an attractive treatment for biochemically recurrent prostate cancer (PCa), whereby cycling treatment on and off can reduce cumulative dose and limit toxicities. We simulate prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics, with enrichment of PCa stem-like cell (PCaSC) during treatment as a plausible mechanism of resistance evolution. Simulated PCaSC proliferation patterns correlate with longitudinal serum PSA measurements in 70 PCa patients. Learning dynamics from each treatment cycle in a leave-one-out study, model simulations predict patient-specific evolution of resistance with an overall accuracy of 89% (sensitivity = 73%, specificity = 91%). Previous studies have shown a benefit of concurrent therapies with ADT in both low- and high-volume metastatic hormone-sensitive PCa. Model simulations based on response dynamics from the first IADT cycle identify patients who would benefit from concurrent docetaxel, demonstrating the feasibility and potential value of adaptive clinical trials guided by patient-specific mathematical models of intratumoral evolutionary dynamics.


Asunto(s)
Antagonistas de Andrógenos/uso terapéutico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangre , Neoplasias de la Próstata/tratamiento farmacológico , Algoritmos , Benzamidas , Docetaxel/administración & dosificación , Esquema de Medicación , Humanos , Cinética , Masculino , Modelos Teóricos , Células Madre Neoplásicas/efectos de los fármacos , Células Madre Neoplásicas/patología , Nitrilos , Feniltiohidantoína/administración & dosificación , Feniltiohidantoína/análogos & derivados , Pronóstico , Neoplasias de la Próstata/sangre , Tiohidantoínas/administración & dosificación , Resultado del Tratamiento
18.
J Phys Chem B ; 113(16): 5537-44, 2009 Apr 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19326885

RESUMEN

Along with the growth of technologies allowing accurate visualization of biochemical reactions to the scale of individual molecules has arisen an appreciation of the role of statistical fluctuations in intracellular biochemistry. The stochastic nature of metabolism can no longer be ignored. It can be probed empirically, and theoretical studies have established its importance. Traditional methods for modeling stochastic biochemistry are derived from an elegant and physically satisfying theory developed by Gillespie. However, although Gillespie's algorithm and its derivatives efficiently model small-scale systems, complex networks are harder to manage on easily available computer systems. Here we present a novel method of simulating stochastic biochemical networks using discrete events simulation techniques borrowed from manufacturing production systems. The method is very general and can be mapped to an arbitrarily complex network. As an illustration, we apply the technique to the glucose phosphorylation steps of the Embden-Meyerhof-Parnas pathway in E. coli . We show that a deterministic version of the discrete event simulation reproduces the behavior of an analogous deterministic differential equation model. The stochastic version of the same model predicts that catastrophic bottlenecks in the system are more likely than one would expect from deterministic theory.


Asunto(s)
Simulación por Computador , Enzimas/metabolismo , Modelos Químicos , Algoritmos , Enzimas/química , Factores de Tiempo
19.
Vasc Endovascular Surg ; 43(3): 286-90, 2009.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19131373

RESUMEN

Trauma to the popliteal artery is a recognized complication of knee arthroplasty (total knee arthroplasty). It can present in a variety of ways, one of which is the development of popliteal artery pseudoaneurysm. We report the successful endovascular management of 2 patients who developed popliteal artery pseudoaneurysms following total knee arthroplasty using covered stent grafts. From presented evidence, endovascular therapy is a safe treatment modality and it appears to be a viable alternative to open surgery.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma Falso/cirugía , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/efectos adversos , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular , Arteria Poplítea/cirugía , Anciano , Aneurisma Falso/diagnóstico por imagen , Aneurisma Falso/etiología , Prótesis Vascular , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/instrumentación , Fasciotomía , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Arteria Poplítea/diagnóstico por imagen , Arteria Poplítea/lesiones , Radiografía , Stents , Trombectomía , Resultado del Tratamiento , Ultrasonografía Doppler en Color
20.
Plant Cell Environ ; 31(9): 1317-24, 2008 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18518914

RESUMEN

A rising global population and demand for protein-rich diets are increasing pressure to maximize agricultural productivity. Rising atmospheric [CO(2)] is altering global temperature and precipitation patterns, which challenges agricultural productivity. While rising [CO(2)] provides a unique opportunity to increase the productivity of C(3) crops, average yield stimulation observed to date is well below potential gains. Thus, there is room for improving productivity. However, only a fraction of available germplasm of crops has been tested for CO(2) responsiveness. Yield is a complex phenotypic trait determined by the interactions of a genotype with the environment. Selection of promising genotypes and characterization of response mechanisms will only be effective if crop improvement and systems biology approaches are closely linked to production environments, that is, on the farm within major growing regions. Free air CO(2) enrichment (FACE) experiments can provide the platform upon which to conduct genetic screening and elucidate the inheritance and mechanisms that underlie genotypic differences in productivity under elevated [CO(2)]. We propose a new generation of large-scale, low-cost per unit area FACE experiments to identify the most CO(2)-responsive genotypes and provide starting lines for future breeding programmes. This is necessary if we are to realize the potential for yield gains in the future.


Asunto(s)
Dióxido de Carbono/metabolismo , Productos Agrícolas/fisiología , Abastecimiento de Alimentos , Proyectos de Investigación , Aclimatación , Aire , Productos Agrícolas/genética , Genotipo , Efecto Invernadero , Fenotipo , Fotosíntesis/fisiología
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