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1.
PLoS Biol ; 20(8): e3001769, 2022 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35998195

RESUMEN

We propose a novel, non-discriminatory classification of monkeypox virus diversity. Together with the World Health Organization, we named three clades (I, IIa and IIb) in order of detection. Within IIb, the cause of the current global outbreak, we identified multiple lineages (A.1, A.2, A.1.1 and B.1) to support real-time genomic surveillance.


Asunto(s)
Monkeypox virus , Mpox , Brotes de Enfermedades , Genómica , Humanos , Mpox/diagnóstico , Mpox/epidemiología , Monkeypox virus/genética
2.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(21): e2104282119, 2022 05 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35576470

RESUMEN

Malaria control interventions target nocturnal feeding of the Anopheles vectors indoors to reduce parasite transmission. Mass deployment of insecticidal bed nets and indoor residual spraying with insecticides, however, may induce mosquitoes to blood-feed at places and at times when humans are not protected. These changes can set a ceiling to the efficacy of these control interventions, resulting in residual malaria transmission. Despite its relevance for disease transmission, the daily rhythmicity of Anopheles biting behavior is poorly documented, most investigations focusing on crepuscular hours and nighttime. By performing mosquito collections 48-h around the clock, both indoors and outdoors, and by modeling biting events using circular statistics, we evaluated the full daily rhythmicity of biting in urban Bangui, Central African Republic. While the bulk of biting by Anopheles gambiae, Anopheles coluzzii, Anopheles funestus, and Anopheles pharoensis occurred from sunset to sunrise outdoors, unexpectedly ∼20 to 30% of indoor biting occurred during daytime. As biting events did not fully conform to any family of circular distributions, we fitted mixtures of von Mises distributions and found that observations were consistent with three compartments, corresponding indoors to populations of early-night, late-night, and daytime-biting events. It is not known whether these populations of biting events correspond to spatiotemporal heterogeneities or also to distinct mosquito genotypes/phenotypes belonging consistently to each compartment. Prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in nighttime- and daytime-biting mosquitoes was the same. As >50% of biting occurs in Bangui when people are unprotected, malaria control interventions outside the domiciliary environment should be envisaged.


Asunto(s)
Anopheles , Ritmo Circadiano , Conducta Alimentaria , Mordeduras y Picaduras de Insectos , Malaria , Control de Mosquitos , Animales , Anopheles/parasitología , Anopheles/fisiología , República Centroafricana , Humanos , Mordeduras y Picaduras de Insectos/parasitología , Malaria/prevención & control , Malaria/transmisión , Control de Mosquitos/métodos , Mosquitos Vectores , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación
3.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(5): 1017-1021, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38666645

RESUMEN

Across 133 confirmed mpox zoonotic index cases reported during 1970-2021 in Africa, cases occurred year-round near the equator, where climate is consistent. However, in tropical regions of the northern hemisphere under a dry/wet season cycle, cases occurred seasonally. Our findings further support the seasonality of mpox zoonotic transmission risk.


Asunto(s)
Estaciones del Año , Zoonosis , Humanos , África/epidemiología , Animales , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Historia del Siglo XXI , Historia del Siglo XX
4.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 215, 2024 Feb 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38374096

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is a major public health disease causing large outbreaks and sporadic cases of acute hepatitis. We investigated an outbreak of HEV infection that occurred in September 2018 in the health district (HD) of Bocaranga-Koui, located in the northwestern part of Central African Republic (CAR). METHODS: Blood samples were collected from 352 patients aged 0-85 years suspected to be infected with yellow fever (YF), according to the World Health Organization YF case definition. The notification forms from recorded cases were used. Water consumed in the HD were also collected. Human samples found negative for anti-YF IgM were then tested by ELISA for anti-HEV IgM and IgG antibodies. Positive anti-HEV (IgM and/or IgG) samples and collected water were then subjected to molecular biology tests using a real time RT-PCR assay, followed by a nested RT-PCR assay for sequencing and phylogenetic analysis. RESULTS: Of the 352 icterus patients included, anti-HEV IgM was found in 142 people (40.3%) and anti-HEV IgG in 175 (49.7%). Although HEV infection was detected in all age groups, there was a significant difference between the 0-10 age groups and others age groups (P = 0.001). Elevated levels of serum aminotransferase were observed in anti-HEV IgM-positive subjects. Phylogenetic analysis showed HEV genotype 1e in infected patients as well as in the contaminated water. CONCLUSION: This epidemic showed that CAR remains an HEV-endemic area. The genotype 1e strain was responsible for the HEV outbreak in Bocaranga-Koui HD. It is necessary to implement basic conditions of hygiene and sanitation to prevent further outbreaks of a HEV epidemics, to facilitate access to clean drinking water for the population, to launch intensive health education for basic hygiene measures, to sett up targeted hygiene promotion activities and, finally, to ensure that formal health care is available.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable , Virus de la Hepatitis E , Hepatitis E , Humanos , Hepatitis E/epidemiología , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Filogenia , Virus de la Hepatitis E/genética , Anticuerpos Antihepatitis , Brotes de Enfermedades , Inmunoglobulina M , Inmunoglobulina G , ARN Viral/genética
5.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(9): 1846-1849, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37437563

RESUMEN

During 2016-2022, PCR testing confirmed 100 mpox cases among 302 suspected cases in the Central African Republic. The highest detection rates were from active lesions (40%) and scabs (36%); cycle thresholds were lower (≈18) than those for blood samples (≈33). Results were consistent for generic primer- and clade I primer-specific PCR tests.


Asunto(s)
Mpox , Humanos , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Técnicas de Laboratorio Clínico
6.
BMC Infect Dis ; 22(1): 820, 2022 Nov 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36344911

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Influenza is responsible for more than 5 million severe cases and 290,000 to 650,000 deaths every year worldwide. Developing countries account for 99% of influenza deaths in children under 5 years of age. This paper aimed to determine the dynamics of influenza viruses in African transmission areas to identify regional seasonality for appropriate decision-making and the development of regional preparedness and response strategies. METHODS: We used data from the WHO FluMart website collected by National Influenza Centers for seven transmission periods (2013-2019). We calculated weekly proportions of positive influenza cases and determined transmission trends in African countries to determine the seasonality. RESULTS: From 2013 to 2019, influenza A(H1N1)pdm2009, A(H3N2), and A(H5N1) viruses, as well as influenza B Victoria and Yamagata lineages, circulated in African regions. Influenza A(H1N1)pdm2009 and A(H3N2) highly circulated in northern and southern Africa regions. Influenza activity followed annual and regional variations. In the tropical zone, from eastern to western via the middle regions, influenza activities were marked by the predominance of influenza A subtypes despite the circulation of B lineages. One season was identified for both the southern and northern regions of Africa. In the eastern zone, four influenza seasons were differentiated, and three were differentiated in the western zone. CONCLUSION: Circulation dynamics determined five intense influenza activity zones in Africa. In the tropics, influenza virus circulation waves move from the east to the west, while alternative seasons have been identified in northern and southern temperate zones. Health authorities from countries with the same transmission zone, even in the absence of local data based on an established surveillance system, should implement concerted preparedness and control activities, such as vaccination.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A , Subtipo H5N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Virus de la Influenza B , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Subtipo H5N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Subtipo H5N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Virus de la Influenza B/genética , Virus de la Influenza B/aislamiento & purificación , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Gripe Humana/virología , Estaciones del Año , África/epidemiología
7.
N Engl J Med ; 388(7): 671, 2023 Feb 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36791180
8.
N Engl J Med ; 387(19): 1783-1793, 2022 11 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36286263
10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 20(1): 260, 2020 Apr 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32245368

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Infection by hepatitis E virus (HEV) can cause a high burden of morbidity and mortality in countries with poor access to clean water and sanitation. Our study aimed to investigate the situation of HEV infections in the Central African Republic (CAR). METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the blood samples and notification forms collected through the national yellow fever (YF) surveillance program, but for which a diagnosis of YF was discarded, was carried out using an anti-HEV IgM ELISA and a HEV-specific RT-PCR. RESULTS: Of 2883 YF-negative samples collected between January 2008 and December 2012, 745 (~ 26%) tested positive by at least either of the 2 tests used to confirm HEV cases. The results revealed that the CAR was hit by a large HEV outbreak in 2008 and 2009. The results also showed a clear seasonal pattern with correlation between HEV incidence and rainfall in Bangui. A phylogenetic analysis showed that the circulating strains belonged to genotypes 1e and 2b. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, this study provides further evidences that HEV can be a significant cause of acute febrile jaundice, particularly among adults during rainy season or flood, in a country from Sub-Saharan Africa.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Virus de la Hepatitis E/genética , Virus de la Hepatitis E/inmunología , Hepatitis E/diagnóstico , Hepatitis E/epidemiología , Lluvia , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Niño , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Inundaciones , Genotipo , Anticuerpos Antihepatitis/sangre , Hepatitis E/complicaciones , Hepatitis E/virología , Virus de la Hepatitis E/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , Incidencia , Ictericia/etiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Filogenia , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Estudios Retrospectivos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/virología , Adulto Joven
11.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 25(8): 1602-1604, 2019 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31216261

RESUMEN

Monkeypox is a rare viral zoonotic disease; primary infections are reported from remote forest areas of Central and West Africa. We report an investigation of a monkeypox outbreak in Lobaye, southwest Central African Republic, in October 2018.


Asunto(s)
Monkeypox virus , Mpox/epidemiología , Mpox/transmisión , Adolescente , Adulto , Animales , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Brotes de Enfermedades , Familia , Femenino , Personal de Salud , Historia del Siglo XXI , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Mpox/historia , Mpox/virología , Adulto Joven , Zoonosis
12.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 14(12): e1006554, 2018 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30557340

RESUMEN

Early assessment of infectious disease outbreaks is key to implementing timely and effective control measures. In particular, rapidly recognising whether infected individuals stem from a single outbreak sustained by local transmission, or from repeated introductions, is crucial to adopt effective interventions. In this study, we introduce a new framework for combining several data streams, e.g. temporal, spatial and genetic data, to identify clusters of related cases of an infectious disease. Our method explicitly accounts for underreporting, and allows incorporating preexisting information about the disease, such as its serial interval, spatial kernel, and mutation rate. We define, for each data stream, a graph connecting all cases, with edges weighted by the corresponding pairwise distance between cases. Each graph is then pruned by removing distances greater than a given cutoff, defined based on preexisting information on the disease and assumptions on the reporting rate. The pruned graphs corresponding to different data streams are then merged by intersection to combine all data types; connected components define clusters of cases related for all types of data. Estimates of the reproduction number (the average number of secondary cases infected by an infectious individual in a large population), and the rate of importation of the disease into the population, are also derived. We test our approach on simulated data and illustrate it using data on dog rabies in Central African Republic. We show that the outbreak clusters identified using our method are consistent with structures previously identified by more complex, computationally intensive approaches.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Rabia/epidemiología , Animales , Análisis por Conglomerados , Brotes de Enfermedades/clasificación , Brotes de Enfermedades/veterinaria , Perros , Tiempo
13.
PLoS Pathog ; 12(4): e1005525, 2016 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27058957

RESUMEN

The development of novel approaches that combine epidemiological and genomic data provides new opportunities to reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of infectious diseases and determine the processes responsible for their spread and maintenance. Taking advantage of detailed epidemiological time series and viral sequence data from more than 20 years reported by the National Reference Centre for Rabies of Bangui, the capital city of Central African Republic, we used a combination of mathematical modeling and phylogenetic analysis to determine the spatiotemporal dynamics of rabies in domestic dogs as well as the frequency of extinction and introduction events in an African city. We show that although dog rabies virus (RABV) appears to be endemic in Bangui, its epidemiology is in fact shaped by the regular extinction of local chains of transmission coupled with the introduction of new lineages, generating successive waves of spread. Notably, the effective reproduction number during each wave was rarely above the critical value of 1, such that rabies is not self-sustaining in Bangui. In turn, this suggests that rabies at local geographic scales is driven by human-mediated dispersal of RABV among sparsely connected peri-urban and rural areas as opposed to dispersion in a relatively large homogenous urban dog population. This combined epidemiological and genomic approach enables development of a comprehensive framework for understanding disease persistence and informing control measures, indicating that control measures are probably best targeted towards areas neighbouring the city that appear as the source of frequent incursions seeding outbreaks in Bangui.


Asunto(s)
Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa/veterinaria , Enfermedades de los Perros/virología , Filogenia , Virus de la Rabia/genética , Rabia/veterinaria , Zoonosis/virología , Animales , República Centroafricana , Perros , Humanos , Rabia/transmisión , Población Urbana , Zoonosis/transmisión
14.
Intervirology ; 61(4): 174-184, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30625488

RESUMEN

Non-malarial febrile illness outbreaks were documented in 2007 and 2010 in Gabon. After investigation, these outbreaks were attributed to the chikungunya and dengue viruses (CHIKV and DENV). However, for more than half of the samples analyzed, the causative agent was not identified. Given the geographical and ecological position of Gabon, where there is a great animal and microbial diversity, the circulation of other emerging viruses was suspected in these samples lacking aetiology. A total of 436 undiagnosed samples, collected between 2007 and 2013, and originating from 14 urban, suburban, and rural Gabonese locations were selected. These samples were used for viral isolation on newborn mice and VERO cells. In samples with signs of viral replication, cell supernatants and brain suspensions were used to extract nucleic acids and perform real-time RT-PCR targeting specific arboviruses, i.e., CHIKV, DENV, yellow fever, Rift Valley fever, and West Nile and Zika viruses. Virus isolation was conclusive for 43 samples either on newborn mice or by cell culture. Virus identification by RT-PCR led to the identification of CHIKV in 37 isolates. A total of 18 complete genomes and 19 partial sequences containing the E2 and E1 genes of CHIKV were sequenced using next-generation sequencing technology or the Sanger method. Phylogenetic analysis of the complete genomes showed that all the sequences belong to the East Central South Africa lineage. Furthermore, we identified 2 distinct clusters. The first cluster was made up of sequences from the western part of Gabon, whereas the second cluster was made up of sequences from the southern regions, reflecting the way CHIKV spread across the country following its initial introduction in 2007. Similar results were obtained when analyzing the CHIKV genes of the E2 and E1 structural proteins. Moreover, study of the mutations found in the E2 and E1 structural proteins revealed the presence of several mutations that facilitate the adaptation to the Aedes albopictus mosquito, such as E2 I211T and E1 A226V, in all the Gabonese CHIKV strains. Finally, sequencing of 6 additional viral isolates failed to lead to any conclusive identification.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Chikungunya/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Fiebre de Origen Desconocido/diagnóstico , Virus/aislamiento & purificación , Animales , Animales Recién Nacidos , Chlorocebus aethiops , Gabón/epidemiología , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento , Humanos , Ratones , Filogenia , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Células Vero , Virus/clasificación , Virus/genética
15.
BMC Infect Dis ; 18(1): 376, 2018 08 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30086725

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In spite of a local favorable environment, leptospirosis has never been described in Central African Republic so far mainly because of the weakness of diagnostic tests and differential diagnostic strategy for febrile jaundice cases negative for yellow fever virus. Here we bring a complementary insight to conclusions of Gadia CLB et al. regarding the presence of leptospirosis in Central African Republic in YFV-negative febrile icteric patients. METHODS: Our study included 497 individuals presenting with fever and jaundice but negative for yellow fever infection, retrospectively selected from the national surveillance biobank for yellow fever in Institut Pasteur de Bangui, Central African Republic. A combination of serological (ELISA, agglutination) and molecular biology techniques (quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) was used to identify Leptospira or the patient's immune response to the bacteria. Statistical analyses were done using the non parametric Mann-Withney U test with a 5% statistical threshold. RESULTS: ELISA test results showed 46 positive serum samples while 445 were negative and 6 remains equivocal. In addition, the reference microscopic agglutination test for leptospirosis diagnostic confirmed that 7 out of 32 samples tested were positive. Unfortunately, all 497 serum samples tested for leptospirosis were negative using the molecular techniques. CONCLUSIONS: Unlike Gadia et al., we confirmed that leptospirosis is circulating in Central African Republic and therefore may be responsible for some of the unexplained cases of febrile jaundice in the country. Thus, leptospirosis needs to be investigated to improve identification of aetiological pathogens. Our study also suggests a need to improve sample transportation and storage conditions.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre , Leptospirosis/diagnóstico , Leptospirosis/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pruebas de Aglutinación , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Fiebre/diagnóstico , Fiebre/epidemiología , Fiebre/microbiología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Ictericia/diagnóstico , Ictericia/epidemiología , Ictericia/microbiología , Leptospira/inmunología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Fiebre Amarilla/diagnóstico , Fiebre Amarilla/epidemiología , Fiebre Amarilla/microbiología , Adulto Joven
16.
BMC Infect Dis ; 17(1): 735, 2017 11 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29187150

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Febrile jaundice results clinically in generalized yellow coloration of the teguments and mucous membranes due to excess plasma bilirubin, accompanied by fever. Two types are found: conjugated and unconjugated bilirubin jaundice. Jaundice is a sign in several diseases due to viruses (viral hepatitis and arbovirus), parasites (malaria) and bacteria (leptospirosis). In the Central African Republic (CAR), only yellow fever is included on the list of diseases for surveillance. The aim of this study was to identify the other pathogens that can cause febrile jaundice, for better management of patients. METHODS: Between 2008 and 2010, 198 sera negative for yellow fever IgM were randomly selected from 2177 samples collected during yellow fever surveillance. Laboratory analyses targeted four groups of pathogens: hepatitis B, C, delta and E viruses; dengue, chikungunya, Zika, Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever, West Nile and Rift Valley arboviruses; malaria parasites; and bacteria (leptospirosis). RESULTS: Overall, 30.9% sera were positive for hepatitis B, 20.2% for hepatitis E, 12.3% for hepatitis C and 8.2% for malaria. The majority of positive sera (40.4%) were from people aged 16-30 years. Co-infection with at least two of these pathogens was also found. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that a systematic investigation should be undertaken of infectious agents that cause febrile jaundice in the CAR.


Asunto(s)
Dengue/diagnóstico , Fiebre/etiología , Hepatitis/diagnóstico , Ictericia/etiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Infecciones por Arbovirus/diagnóstico , República Centroafricana , Fiebre Chikungunya/diagnóstico , Coinfección/epidemiología , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Femenino , Fiebre/diagnóstico , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea/diagnóstico , Hepatitis/virología , Humanos , Ictericia/diagnóstico , Malaria/diagnóstico , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infección por el Virus Zika/diagnóstico
17.
Biol Res ; 49(1): 39, 2016 Sep 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27605096

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: New sequencing technologies have opened the way to the discovery and the characterization of pathogenic viruses in clinical samples. However, the use of these new methods can require an amplification of viral RNA prior to the sequencing. Among all the available methods, the procedure based on the use of Phi29 polymerase produces a huge amount of amplified DNA. However, its major disadvantage is to generate a large number of chimeric sequences which can affect the assembly step. The pre-process method proposed in this study strongly limits the negative impact of chimeric reads in order to obtain the full-length of viral genomes. FINDINGS: Three different assembly softwares (ABySS, Ray and SPAdes) were tested for their ability to correctly assemble the full-length of viral genomes. Although in all cases, our pre-processed method improved genome assembly, only its combination with the use of SPAdes allowed us to obtain the full-length of the viral genomes tested in one contig. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed pipeline is able to overcome drawbacks due to the generation of chimeric reads during the amplification of viral RNA which considerably improves the assembling of full-length viral genomes.


Asunto(s)
ARN Polimerasas Dirigidas por ADN/genética , Genoma Viral , Técnicas de Amplificación de Ácido Nucleico/métodos , ARN Viral , Análisis de Secuencia de ARN/métodos , Ensamble de Virus , Alphavirus/genética , República Centroafricana , Biología Computacional , Mapeo Contig , Mengovirus/genética , Valores de Referencia , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Programas Informáticos
18.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 20(6): 1004-8, 2014 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24857597

RESUMEN

During January 2007-July 2012, a total of 3,220 suspected yellow fever cases were reported in the Central African Republic; 55 were confirmed and 11 case-patients died. Mean delay between onset of jaundice and case confirmation was 16.6 days. Delay between disease onset and blood collection could be reduced by increasing awareness of the population.


Asunto(s)
ARN Viral/sangre , Fiebre Amarilla/diagnóstico , Fiebre Amarilla/epidemiología , Virus de la Fiebre Amarilla/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Adulto , República Centroafricana/epidemiología , Niño , Diagnóstico Tardío , Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Análisis de Supervivencia , Fiebre Amarilla/mortalidad , Fiebre Amarilla/fisiopatología
19.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 4(3): e0002937, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38517925

RESUMEN

The Central African Republic (CAR) has experienced repeated mpox outbreaks since 2001. Although several mpox epidemiological risk factors for zoonotic and interhuman transmission have been documented, the reasons for more frequent epidemic outbreaks are less well understood, relying on vague explanatory categories, including deforestation, hunting, and civil unrest. To gain insight into increasingly frequent outbreaks, we undertook an ethnohistorical, eco-anthropological analysis in two CAR regions: the Lobaye prefecture, experiencing one or more annual outbreaks in the past decade, and the Sangha-Mbaere prefecture, with a longer history of mpox but less frequent outbreaks. We comparatively examined changing political economies, forest use practices, and understandings of mpox. In 2022, we conducted 40 qualitative ethnohistorical, anthropological interviews and participant-observation of forest activities in two languages (Sango and French). We compared contemporary practices with hunting, trapping, and meet consumption practices, documented through quantitative and qualitative observation in one research site, over 6 months in 1993. We find increased rodent capture and consumption in both sites in the past 30 years and expanded practices of other potentially risky activities. Simultaneously, we also identify important differences in risky practices between our Lobaye and Sangha-Mbaere participants. In addition, Lobaye and Sangha participants underscored historical processes of decline producing mpox among other emergences, but they framed these declension processes diversely as economic, political, nutritional, and moral. Our findings are important because they mobilize new types of evidence to shed light on the processual dynamics of mpox outbreaks in the CAR. This study also reveals variability across two sites within the same country, highlighting the importance of comparative, fine-grained anthropological and historical research to identify underlying dynamics of mpox outbreaks. Finally, our study points to the need for mpox interventions and risk communication accounting for these regional differences, even within a single country.

20.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(6): e0012087, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38913721

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Due to limited diagnostic capacity and availability of point-of-care tests, diagnosis of Clade I mpox in the geographical regions most affected is usually on clinical grounds. This may be complicated due to the similarity between mpox and varicella (chickenpox) lesions. Visual assessment of lesions is also used for determining clinical progress and to assess patient outcomes in clinical trials. However, there has been no investigation into whether clinicians can (i) identify Clade I mpox compared to other viral lesions (ii) differentiate between Clade I mpox lesion stages. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPLE FINDINGS: The objective of this study was to evaluate inter-rater reliability and agreement between clinicians assessing lesions in patients with Clade I mpox. We presented experienced clinicians with 17 images of Clade I mpox or varicella and asked them to independently indicate the most likely diagnosis-mpox or varicella-and to categorise the lesions according to their stage. When selecting the most likely diagnosis, accuracy varied across all images, the inter-rater reliability was poor (κ = 0.223; z = 10.1) and agreement was moderate (Po = 68%). When categorising lesions according to their type, if a single lesion type was present in the image, inter-rater reliability was moderate (κ = 0.671, z = 40.6) and agreement was good (Po = 78%), but when multiple lesion types were shown in an image, both inter-rater reliability (κ = 0.153, z = 10.5) and agreement (Po = 29%) decreased substantially. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that there are presently limitations in using visual assessment to diagnose Clade I mpox and evaluate lesion stage and treatment outcomes, which have an impact on clinical practice, public health and clinical trials. More robust indicators and tools are required to inform clinical, public-health, and research priorities, but these must be implementable in countries affected by mpox.

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