Ketone body levels and its associations with cardiac markers following an acute myocardial infarction: a post hoc analysis of the EMMY trial.

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have been suggested to exert cardioprotective effects in patients with heart failure, possibly by improving the metabolism of ketone bodies in the myocardium. METHODS: This post hoc analysis of the EMMY trial investigated the changes in serum ß-hydroxybutyrate (3-ßOHB) levels after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in response to 26-week of Empagliflozin therapy compared to the usual post-MI treatment. In addition, the association of baseline and repeated measurements of 3-ßOHB with cardiac parameters and the interaction effects of Empagliflozin were investigated. Cardiac parameters included N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricle end-systolic volume (LVESV), left ventricle end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), and left ventricular filling pressure (E/é ratio). RESULTS: The mean 3-ßOHB levels increased from baseline (46.2 ± 3.0 vs. 51.7 ± 2.7) to 6 weeks (48.8 ± 2.2 vs. 42.0 ± 2.3) and 26 weeks (49.3 ± 2.2 vs. 35.8 ± 1.9) in the Empagliflozin group compared to a consistent decline in placebo over 26 weeks (pinteraction < 0.001). Baseline and longitudinal measurements of 3-ßOHB were not significantly associated with NT-proBNP and E/é ratio. Baseline 3-ßOHB value was negatively associated with LVEF (coefficient: - 0.464, 95%CI - 0.863;- 0.065, p = 0.023), while an increase in its levels over time was positively associated with LVEF (0.595, 0.156;1.035, 0.008). The baseline 3-ßOHB was positively associated with LVESV (1.409, 0.186;2.632, 0.024) and LVEDV (0.640, - 1.170;- 2.449, 0.488), while an increase in its levels over time was negatively associated with these cardiac parameters (LVESV: - 2.099, - 3.443;- 0.755, 0.002; LVEDV: - 2.406, - 4.341;- 0.472, 0.015). Empagliflozin therapy appears to modify the association between 3-ßOHB, LVEF (pinteraction = 0.090), LVESV (pinteraction = 0.134), and LVEDV (pinteraction = 0.168), particularly at 26 weeks; however, the results were not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: This post hoc analysis showed that SGLT2i increased 3-ßOHB levels after AMI compared to placebo. Higher baseline 3-ßOHB levels were inversely associated with cardiac function at follow-up, whereas a sustained increase in 3-ßOHB levels over time improved these markers. This highlights the importance of investigating ketone body metabolism in different post-MI phases. Although more pronounced effect of 3-ßOHB on cardiac markers was observed in the SGLT2i group, further research is required to explore this interaction effect.

Timing of SGLT2i initiation after acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Pharmacological post-MI treatment is routinely initiated at intensive/cardiac care units. However, solid evidence for an early start of these therapies is only available for dual platelet therapy and statins, whereas data on beta blockers and RAAS inhibitors are heterogenous and mainly limited to STEMI and heart failure patients. Recently, the EMMY trial provided the first evidence on the beneficial effects of SGLT2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) when initiated early after PCI. In patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, SGLT2i are considered "sick days drugs" and it, therefore, remains unclear if very early SGLT2i initiation following MI is as safe and effective as delayed initiation. METHODS AND RESULTS: The EMMY trial evaluated the effect of empagliflozin on NT-proBNP and functional and structural measurements. Within the Empagliflozin group, 22 (9.5%) received early treatment (< 24 h after PCI), 98 (42.2%) within a 24 to < 48 h window (intermediate), and 111 (48.1%) between 48 and 72 h (late). NT-proBNP levels declined by 63.5% (95%CI: - 69.1; - 48.1) in the early group compared to 61.0% (- 76.0; - 41.4) in the intermediate and 61.9% (- 70.8; - 45.7) in the late group (n.s.) within the Empagliflozin group with no significant treatment groups-initiation time interaction (pint = 0.96). Secondary endpoints of left ventricular function (LV-EF, e/e`) as well as structure (LVESD and LVEDD) were also comparable between the groups. No significant difference in severe adverse event rate between the initiation time groups was detected. CONCLUSION: Very early administration of SGLT2i after acute myocardial infarction does not show disadvantageous signals with respect to safety and appears to be as effective in reducing NT-proBNP as well as improving structural and functional LV markers as initiation after 2-3 days.

Joint longitudinal and time-to-event modelling compared with standard Cox modelling in patients with type 2 diabetes with and without established cardiovascular disease: An analysis of the EXSCEL trial.

AIM: To demonstrate the gain in predictive performance when cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction tools (RPTs) incorporate repeated rather than only single measurements of risk factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used data from the Exenatide Study of Cardiovascular Event Lowering (EXSCEL) trial to compare the quality of predictions of future major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) with the Cox proportional hazards model (using single values of risk factors) compared to the Bayesian joint model (using repeated measures of risk factors). The risk of MACE was calculated in patients with type 2 diabetes with and without established CVD. We assessed the predictive ability of the following cardiovascular risk factors: glycated haemoglobin, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides, estimated glomerular filtration rate, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure (SBP) using the time-dependent area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (aROC) for discrimination and the time-dependent Brier score for calibration. RESULTS: In participants without history of CVD, the aROC of SBP increased from 0.62 to 0.69 when repeated rather than only single measurements of SBP were incorporated into the predictive model. Similarly, the aROC increased from 0.67 to 0.80 when repeated rather than only single measurements of both SBP and LDL-C were incorporated into the predictive model. For all other investigated cardiovascular risk factors, the measures of discrimination and calibration both improved when using the joint model as compared to the Cox proportional hazards model. The improvement was evident in participants with and without history of CVD but was more pronounced in the latter group. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis demonstrates that the joint modelling approach, considering trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors, provides superior predictive performance compared to standard RPTs that use only a single timepoint.

High prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors amongst young adults in the United Arab Emirates: the UAE Healthy Future Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death in the world. In the United Arab Emirates (UAE), it accounts for 40% of mortality. CVD is caused by multiple cardiometabolic risk factors (CRFs) including obesity, dysglycemia, dyslipidemia, hypertension and central obesity. However, there are limited studies focusing on the CVD risk burden among young Emirati adults. This study investigates the burden of CRFs in a sample of young Emiratis, and estimates the distribution in relation to sociodemographic and behavioral determinants. METHODS: Data was used from the baseline data of the UAE Healthy Future Study volunteers. The study participants were aged 18 to 40 years. The study analysis was based on self-reported questionnaires, anthropometric and blood pressure measurements, as well as blood analysis. RESULTS: A total of 5167 participants were included in the analysis; 62% were males and the mean age of the sample was 25.7 years. The age-adjusted prevalence was 26.5% for obesity, 11.7% for dysglycemia, 62.7% for dyslipidemia, 22.4% for hypertension and 22.5% for central obesity. The CRFs were distributed differently when compared within social and behavioral groups. For example, obesity, dyslipidemia and central obesity in men were found higher among smokers than non-smokers (p < 0.05). And among women with lower education, all CRFs were reported significantly higher than those with higher education, except for hypertension. Most CRFs were significantly higher among men and women with positive family history of common non-communicable diseases. CONCLUSIONS: CRFs are highly prevalent in the young Emirati adults of the UAE Healthy Future Study. The difference in CRF distribution among social and behavioral groups can be taken into account to target group-specific prevention measures.

Empagliflozin in acute myocardial infarction: the EMMY trial.

AIMS: Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibition reduces the risk of hospitalization for heart failure and for death in patients with symptomatic heart failure. However, trials investigating the effects of this drug class in patients following acute myocardial infarction are lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this academic, multicentre, double-blind trial, patients (n = 476) with acute myocardial infarction accompanied by a large creatine kinase elevation (>800 IU/L) were randomly assigned to empagliflozin 10 mg or matching placebo once daily within 72 h of percutaneous coronary intervention. The primary outcome was the N-terminal pro-hormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) change over 26 weeks. Secondary outcomes included changes in echocardiographic parameters. Baseline median (interquartile range) NT-proBNP was 1294 (757-2246) pg/mL. NT-proBNP reduction was significantly greater in the empagliflozin group, compared with placebo, being 15% lower [95% confidence interval (CI) -4.4% to -23.6%] after adjusting for baseline NT-proBNP, sex, and diabetes status (P = 0.026). Absolute left-ventricular ejection fraction improvement was significantly greater (1.5%, 95% CI 0.2-2.9%, P = 0.029), mean E/e' reduction was 6.8% (95% CI 1.3-11.3%, P = 0.015) greater, and left-ventricular end-systolic and end-diastolic volumes were lower by 7.5 mL (95% CI 3.4-11.5 mL, P = 0.0003) and 9.7 mL (95% CI 3.7-15.7 mL, P = 0.0015), respectively, in the empagliflozin group, compared with placebo. Seven patients were hospitalized for heart failure (three in the empagliflozin group). Other predefined serious adverse events were rare and did not differ significantly between groups. CONCLUSION: In patients with a recent myocardial infarction, empagliflozin was associated with a significantly greater NT-proBNP reduction over 26 weeks, accompanied by a significant improvement in echocardiographic functional and structural parameters. CLINICALTRIALS.GOV REGISTRATION: NCT03087773.

Ertugliflozin to reduce arrhythmic burden in ICD/CRT patients (ERASe-trial) - A phase III study.

Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) have proven profound positive effects in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). These effects are independent from the presence of diabetes. Metabolic effects, antiinflammatory, and antifibrotic properties are discussed as underlying mechanisms. Despite a strong correlation of ventricular arrhythmias with HFrEF, the impact of ertugliflozin on the ventricular arrhythmic burden has not been investigated, yet. Therefore, the Ertugliflozin to Reduce Arrhythmic burden in ICD ± CRT patientS (ERASe) trial was designed to investigate the efficacy and safety of ertugliflozin in patients with reduced and midrange ejection fraction (EF) with or without diabetes. METHODS: Within a multicentre, national, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3b trial we aim to enrol a total of 402 patients across Austria. Patients with reduced or midrange EF and ICD ± CRT therapy >3 months and previous ventricular tachycardia (at least 10 documented VT episodes within the last 12 months) are randomized in a 1:1 ratio to ertugliflozin (5 mg once daily orally administered) or matching placebo. The primary endpoint of the ERASe trial is to investigate the impact of ertugliflozin on total burden of ventricular arrhythmias. Further objectives will include number of therapeutic interventions of implanted devices, atrial fibrillation and heart failure biomarkers. CONCLUSION: The ERASe trial will be the first trial to test ertugliflozin in heart failure patients with nonpreserved ejection fraction and ongoing ICD ± CRT therapy regardless of their diabetic status. The ERASe trial may therefore extend the concept of SGLT2 inhibition to improve cardiac remodelling, including reduced arrhythmic burden. Trial registration Identifier EudraCT Nr. 2020-002581-14 / ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04600921.

INTERmittent FASTing in people with insulin-treated type 2 diabetes mellitus - the INTERFAST-2 study protocol.

AIM: Intermittent fasting, a dietary intervention of alternate eating and fasting, has gained popularity in people trying to lose weight. Intermittent fasting could provide an alternative to classic caloric restriction in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus. The aim of the study is to determine the impact of a 12-week intermittent fasting regimen compared with usual care in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus receiving insulin therapy. METHODS: This open, single-centre, randomized controlled trial investigates participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus on insulin therapy and a glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) of ≥53 mmol/mol (≥7.0%) and a minimum insulin dose of 0.3 IU/kg body weight per day. Participants are randomized in a 1:1 ratio to either 12 weeks of intermittent fasting or the standard care group. All participants receive dietary counselling, continuous glucose monitoring, measurement of the resting metabolic rate, an oral glucose tolerance test, body composition measurement via dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and stool samples for microbiome analyses at the beginning and at the end of the intervention. Two co-primary outcomes (analysed in hierarchical order) were chosen for the study: (i) the difference in the change of HbA1c from baseline to 12 weeks and (ii) the difference in the number of participants achieving a combined end point encompassing a body weight reduction of at least 2%, an insulin dose reduction of at least 10% and an absolute HbA1c reduction of at least 3 mmol/mol (0.3%) between the two groups.

COVID-19 fatality prediction in people with diabetes and prediabetes using a simple score upon hospital admission.

AIM: To assess predictors of in-hospital mortality in people with prediabetes and diabetes hospitalized for COVID-19 infection and to develop a risk score for identifying those at the greatest risk of a fatal outcome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A combined prospective and retrospective, multicentre, cohort study was conducted at 10 sites in Austria in 247 people with diabetes or newly diagnosed prediabetes who were hospitalized with COVID-19. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and the predictor variables upon admission included clinical data, co-morbidities of diabetes or laboratory data. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify significant predictors and to develop a risk score for in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: The mean age of people hospitalized (n = 238) for COVID-19 was 71.1 ± 12.9 years, 63.6% were males, 75.6% had type 2 diabetes, 4.6% had type 1 diabetes and 19.8% had prediabetes. The mean duration of hospital stay was 18 ± 16 days, 23.9% required ventilation therapy and 24.4% died in the hospital. The mortality rate in people with diabetes was numerically higher (26.7%) compared with those with prediabetes (14.9%) but without statistical significance (P = .128). A score including age, arterial occlusive disease, C-reactive protein, estimated glomerular filtration rate and aspartate aminotransferase levels at admission predicted in-hospital mortality with a C-statistic of 0.889 (95% CI: 0.837-0.941) and calibration of 1.000 (P = .909). CONCLUSIONS: The in-hospital mortality for COVID-19 was high in people with diabetes but not significantly different to the risk in people with prediabetes. A risk score using five routinely available patient variables showed excellent predictive performance for assessing in-hospital mortality.

Uterine Artery Embolization of Uterine Leiomyomas: Predictive MRI Features of Volumetric Response.

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article was to evaluate MRI features of uterine leiomyomas that predict volumetric response after uterine artery embolization (UAE). MATERIALS AND METHODS. This retrospective study included 75 patients with 212 uterine leiomyomas who were successfully treated between August 2013 and December 2018. To predict uterine volumetric response, age, number of lesions, and baseline uterine volume were assessed. To predict leiomyoma volumetric response, a multivariate regression analysis was performed to evaluate six predictive factors: location, baseline leiomyoma volume, signal intensity on T1-weighted and T2-weighted MRI, heterogeneity of signal intensity on T2-weighted MRI, and vascularity on subtraction imaging (SI). A five-variable predictive ROC model was developed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the signal intensity ratio on T2-weighted MRI, enhancement ratio, heterogeneity ratio on T2-weighted MRI, location, and baseline leiomyoma volume in predicting at least 40% leiomyoma volumetric response. RESULTS. Age, number of leiomyomas, and baseline uterine volume were not predictive of uterine volumetric response. A submucosal location was the best predictive factor of leiomyoma volumetric response, and it showed 32.2% more leiomyoma volumetric response compared with a nonsubmucosal location (p < .001). Hyperintensity on T2-weighted MRI was the second best predictive factor of leiomyoma volumetric response, and it showed 16.9% more volumetric response compared with hypointense leiomyomas (p = .013). A small baseline leiomyoma volume (< 58 cm3) was associated with 10.2% more leiomyoma volumetric response compared with larger leiomyomas (p = .01). Leiomyomas that were hyperintense on SI showed 7.9% more leiomyoma volumetric response compared with those that were hypointense (p = .014). The five-variable ROC model showed high diagnostic accuracy with an AUC of 0.85, sensitivity of 82%, and specificity of 71%. CONCLUSION. A submucosal location, hyperintensity on T2-weighted MRI, small baseline leiomyoma volume (< 58 cm3), and hyperintense leiomyoma on subtraction imaging are the main independent favorable predictors of leiomyoma volumetric response after UAE. An accurate predictive ROC model was developed that may help in selecting patients suitable for UAE. Quantitative assessment of heterogeneity on T2-weighted MRI showed promising results as a predictor of volumetric response, and further research in this area using texture analysis and radiomics is suggested.

Effects of obesity and diabesity on heart rhythm in the Zucker rat.

Obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus are risk factors for hypertension, coronary heart disease, cardiac arrhythmias including atrial fibrillation, heart failure and sudden cardiac death. The effects of obesity and diabesity on heart rhythm were investigated in the Zucker diabetic fatty (ZDF) and Zucker fatty (ZF) compared to the Zucker lean (ZL) control rat. In vivo biotelemetry techniques were used to assess the electrocardiogram and other cardiac and metabolic parameters. ZDF rats were characterized by age-dependent elevations in fasting and non-fasting blood glucose, glucose intolerance and weight gain and ZF rats were characterized by smaller elevations in fasting and non-fasting blood glucose and greater weight gain compared to ZL rats. Heart rate (HR) was progressively reduced in ZDF, ZF and ZL rats. At 195 days (6.5 months) of age there were significant differences in HR between ZDF (265 ± 8 bpm, n = 10), ZF (336 ± 9 bpm, n = 10) and ZL (336 ± 10 bpm, n = 10) rats and significant differences in HRV between ZDF (22 ± 1 bpm, n = 10), ZF (27 ± 1 bpm, n = 10) and ZL (31 ± 1 bpm, n = 10) rats. Power spectral analysis revealed no significant (P > 0.05) differences in HRV at low frequencies, reduced HRV at high frequencies and increased sympathovagal balance in ZDF compared to ZF and ZL rats. HR was reduced by ageing and additionally reduced by diabesity in the absence of changes in physical activity and body temperature. Reductions in HRV associated with altered sympathovagal drive might partly underlie disturbed HR in the ZDF rat. Possible explanations for reduced HR and future mechanistic studies are discussed.

Impact of EMpagliflozin on cardiac function and biomarkers of heart failure in patients with acute MYocardial infarction-The EMMY trial.

BACKGROUND: Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are established antidiabetic drugs with proven cardiovascular benefit. Although growing evidence suggests beneficial effects on myocardial remodeling, fluid balance and cardiac function, the impact of empagliflozin initiated early after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has not been investigated yet. Therefore, the impact of EMpagliflozin on cardiac function and biomarkers of heart failure in patients with acute MYocardial infarction (EMMY) trial was designed to investigate the efficacy and safety of empagliflozin in diabetic and non-diabetic patients after severe AMI. METHODS: Within a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3b trial we will enroll patients with AMI and characteristics suggestive of severe myocardial necrosis are randomized in a 1:1 ratio to empagliflozin (10 mg once daily) or matching placebo. The primary endpoint is the impact of empagliflozin on changes in NT-proBNP within 6 months after AMI. Secondary endpoints include changes in echocardiographic parameters, levels of ketone body concentrations, HbA1c levels and body weight, respectively. Hospitalization rate due to heart failure or other causes, the duration of hospital stay and all-cause mortality will be assessed as exploratory secondary endpoints. DISCUSSION: The EMMY trial will test empagliflozin in patients with AMI regardless of their diabetic status. The EMMY trial may therefore underpin the concept of SGLT2 inhibition to improve cardiac remodeling, pre-and afterload reduction and cardiac metabolism regardless of its antidiabetic effects. Results will provide the rationale for the conduct of a cardiovascular outcome trial to test the effect of empagliflozin in patients with AMI.

Hypoglycaemia leads to a delayed increase in platelet and coagulation activation markers in people with type 2 diabetes treated with metformin only: Results from a stepwise hypoglycaemic clamp study.

AIMS: To investigate the effect of hypoglycaemia on platelet and coagulation activation in people with type 2 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This monocentric, open, single-arm, mechanistic trial included 14 people with established type 2 diabetes (four women, 10 men, age 55 ± 7 years, glycated haemoglobin concentration 51 ± 7 mmol/mol) receiving metformin monotherapy. A stepwise hyperinsulinaemic-hypoglycaemic clamp experiment (3.5 and 2.5 mmol/L, for 30 minutes respectively) was performed, aiming to investigate platelet and coagulation activity during predefined plateaus of hypoglycaemia, as well as 1 day and 7 days later. RESULTS: While platelet activation assessed by light transmittance aggregometry did not significantly increase after the hypoglycaemic clamp procedure, the more sensitive flow cytometry-based measurement of platelet surface activation markers showed hypoglycaemia-induced activation 24 hours (PAC1pos CD62Ppos , PAC1pos CD63Ppos and PAC1pos CD62Ppos CD63pos ; P < .01) and 7 days after the hypoglycaemic clamp (P < .001 for PAC1pos CD63pos ; P < .01 for PAC1pos CD62Ppos and PAC1pos CD62Ppos CD63pos ) in comparison to baseline. Coagulation markers, such as fibrinogen, D-dimer, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, von Willebrand factor activity and factor VIII, were also significantly increased, an effect that was most pronounced 24 hours after the hypoglycaemic clamp. CONCLUSION: A single event of insulin-induced hypoglycaemia led to an increase in markers of platelet activation and coagulation in people with early stages of type 2 diabetes on metformin therapy. However, the activation occurred with a delay and was evident 24 hours and 7 days after the actual hypoglycaemic episode.

Use of estimated glomerular filtration rate to predict incident chronic kidney disease in patients at risk of cardiovascular disease: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with cardiovascular disease are at an increased risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, data on incident CKD in patients with multiple vascular comorbidities are insufficient. In this study, we identified the predictors of CKD stages 3-5 in patients at risk of cardiovascular disease and used their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to construct a nomogram to predict the 5-year risk of incident CKD. METHODS: Ambulatory data on 622 adults with preserved kidney function and one or more cardiovascular disease risk factors who attended outpatient clinics at a tertiary care hospital in Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates were obtained retrospectively. eGFR was calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation and assessed every 3 months from baseline to December 12, 2017. Fine and Gray competing risk regression model was used to identify the independent variables and construct a nomogram to predict incident CKD at 5 years, which is defined as eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 for ≥3 months. Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the discrimination ability of the model. Calibration curves were applied to determine the calibration ability and adjusted for the competing risk of death. Internal validation of predictive accuracy was performed using K-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: Of the 622 patients, 71 had newly developed CKD stages 3-5 over a median follow-up of 96 months (interquartile range, 86-103 months). Baseline eGFR, hemoglobin A1c, total cholesterol, and history of diabetes mellitus were identified as significant predictors of CKD stages 3-5. The nomogram had good discrimination in predicting the disease stages, with a time-dependent AUC of 0.918 (95% confidence interval, 0.846-0.964) at 5 years, after internal validation by cross-validation. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that incident CKD could be predicted with a simple and practical nomogram in patients at risk of cardiovascular disease and with preserved kidney function, which in turn could help clinicians make more informed decisions for CKD management in these patients.

Heavy metal content of herbal health supplement products in Dubai - UAE: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Lead, mercury, cadmium, chromium, and arsenic intoxication have been associated with the use of health supplement (HS) products. The aim of this study is to estimate the concentration of heavy metals in HS products that are on sale in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, premises and to compare estimated daily metal intake with regulatory standards. METHODS: Dubai-area premises selling HS products were identified by searching the Dubai Municipality database to identify all pharmacies, para-pharmacies and nutrition and healthcare shops. A total of 859 premises were identified in the Deira and Bur-Dubai areas. Data collection was performed between September 1 and December 12, 2016. During that period, all premises that had been identified within Dubai were visited and samples for laboratory testing were collected. RESULTS: A total of 200 HS products were tested for lead, mercury, cadmium, chromium and arsenic. High proportion of samples were found to contain metals less than the limits of the detection (LOD) of the method. It was found that 93% of products contained Arsenic (As) < LOD, 94.5% of lead (Pb) < LOD, 100% of Cadmium (Cd) < LOD, 99% of Mercury (Hg) < LOD and 23.5% of Chromium (Cr) < LOD. Using the single imputation method to account for LOD, estimates for the average daily intake of lead was 0.88 µg compared to the tolerable daily intake (TDI) of 20 µg, daily intake of mercury was 0.09 µg (TDI = 20 µg), daily intake of cadmium was 0.83 µg (TDI = 6 µg) while for arsenic it was 0.92 µg compared to the tolerable daily intake of 10 µg. The average daily intake of chromium was 7.57 µg with no internationally established TDI. Assuming users followed the manufacturers' instructions, daily intake of arsenic, lead and mercury would not exceed TDI for any of the 200 products. However, the daily intake of cadmium exceeded or approximated the TDI for three products. CONCLUSIONS: In this study we found low levels of metals in the products that were available for sale in Dubai. With few exceptions, if the products were used according to the suppliers' instructions, average daily intake of heavy metals will be well below the recommended tolerable daily intakes.

On the validity of time-dependent AUC estimation in the presence of cure fraction.

During the last decades, several approaches have been proposed to estimate the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of risk tools derived from survival data. The validity of these estimators relies on some regularity assumptions among which a survival function being proper. In practice, this assumption is not always satisfied because a fraction of the population may not be susceptible to experience the event of interest even for long follow-up. Studying the sensitivity of the proposed estimators to the violation of this assumption is of substantial interest. In this paper, we investigate the performance of a nonparametric simple estimator, developed for classical survival data, in the case when the population exhibits a cure fraction. Motivated from the current practice of deriving risk tools in oncology and cardiovascular disease prevention, we also assess the loss, in terms of predictive performance, when deriving risk tools from survival models that do not acknowledge the presence of cure. The simulation results show that the investigated method is valid even under the presence of cure. They also show that risk tools derived from survival models that ignore the presence of cure have smaller AUC compared to those derived from survival models that acknowledge the presence of cure. This was also attested with a real data analysis from a breast cancer study.

The UAE healthy future study: a pilot for a prospective cohort study of 20,000 United Arab Emirates nationals.

BACKGROUND: The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is faced with a rapidly increasing burden of non-communicable diseases including obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. The UAE Healthy Future study is a prospective cohort designed to identify associations between risk factors and these diseases amongst Emiratis. The study will enroll 20,000 UAE nationals aged ≥18 years. Environmental and genetic risk factors will be characterized and participants will be followed for future disease events. As this was the first time a prospective cohort study was being planned in the UAE, a pilot study was conducted in 2015 with the primary aim of establishing the feasibility of conducting the study. Other objectives were to evaluate the implementation of the main study protocols, and to build adequate capacity to conduct advanced clinical laboratory analyses. METHODS: Seven hundred sixty nine UAE nationals aged ≥18 years were invited to participate voluntarily in the pilot study. Participants signed an informed consent, completed a detailed questionnaire, provided random blood, urine, and mouthwash samples and were assessed for a series of clinical measures. All specimens were transported to the New York University Abu Dhabi laboratories where samples were processed and analyzed for routine chemistry and hematology. Plasma, serum, and a small whole blood sample for DNA extraction were aliquoted and stored at -80 °C for future analyses. RESULTS: Overall, 517 Emirati men and women agreed to participate (68% response rate). Of the total participants, 495 (95.0%), 430 (82.2%), and 492 (94.4%), completed the questionnaire, physical measurements, and provided biological samples, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The pilot study demonstrated the feasibility of recruitment and completion of the study protocols for the first large-scale cohort study designed to identify emerging risk factors for the major non-communicable diseases in the region.

Early Hyperglycemia after Initiation of Glucocorticoid Therapy Predicts Adverse Outcome in Patients with Acute Graft-versus-Host Disease.

Because of first-line treatment with high-dose glucocorticoids (GC), steroid-induced hyperglycemia develops frequently in patients with acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD), potentially affecting their outcome. We performed a retrospective analysis on 104 patients who received systemic GC for aGVHD and investigated the consequences of aberrant glucose metabolism. In particular, we focused on glucose parameters early after initiation of GC. With a median of 50 (range, 4 to 513) blood glucose measurements during GC treatment, increasing mean, median, and maximum glucose levels and the need for insulin treatment were associated with decreased overall survival (OS) in simple and multiple survival analysis. Early hyperglycemia, as defined by mean blood glucose levels >125 mg/dL during the first 3 days of GC therapy, was also found to be highly associated with adverse outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 2.5 for death; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3 to 4.8, and HR of 3.5 for death due to nonrelapse mortality, 95% CI, 1.7 to 7.5, in a competing risk analysis). A score based on early hyperglycemia and nonresponse to GC within 7 days allowed the identification of 3 risk groups: patients with both risk factors had an inferior OS at 5 years of 4.1% compared with 75.4% in patients with none. Patients with 1 risk factor had a 5-year OS rate of 32.0% (P = .0002 for trend). Early hyperglycemia after GC initiation is a prominent risk factor for adverse outcome in patients with aGVHD. A score based solely on early hyperglycemia and lack of response to GC can predict survival in these patients.

Water-Pipe Smoke Exposure-Induced Circulatory Disturbances in Mice, and the Influence of Betaine Supplementation Thereon.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: It has been shown, both experimentally and clinically, that water-pipe smoke (WPS) exposure adversely affects the cardiovascular system (CVS) through the generation of oxidative stress and inflammation. Betaine, a naturally occurring compound in common foods, has antioxidant and anti-inflammatory actions. However, its potential to mitigate the adverse effect of WPS on the CVS has never been reported before. This is the subject of this study in mice. METHODS: Mice were exposed daily for 30 min to either normal air (control), or to WPS for two consecutive weeks. Betaine was administered daily by gavage at a dose of 10mg/kg, 1h before either air or WPS exposure. RESULTS: Betaine mitigated the in vivo prothrombotic effect of WPS in pial arterioles and venules. Moreover, it reversed the WPS-induced decrease in circulating platelets. Likewise, betaine alleviated platelet aggregation in vitro, and the shortening of activated partial thromboplastin time and prothrombin time induced by WPS. Betaine reduced the increase of plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 and fibrinogen concentrations in plasma induced by WPS. Betaine also diminished the WPS-induced increase of plasma concentrations of interleukin 6 and tumor necrosis factor α, and attenuated the increase of lipid peroxidation and superoxide dismutase. Immunohistochemical analysis of the heart revealed an increase in the expression of inducible nitric oxide synthase and cytochrome C by cardiomyocytes of the WPS-exposed mice. These effects were averted by betaine. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that betaine treatment significantly mitigated WPS-induced hypercoagulability, and inflammation, as well as systemic and cardiac oxidative stress.

Discriminating between positional and non-positional obstructive sleep apnea using some clinical characteristics.

PURPOSE: The primary objective of this paper was to identify significant factors associated with positional Obstructive Sleep Apnea (POSA) and to provide a clinical tool for discriminating non positional from POSA. Secondary objectives were about estimating the prevalence of POSA, comparing the polysomnographic variables across POSA and non-POSA patients. METHODS: This was a cross sectional study on 278 patients who completed an overnight sleep study for OSA assessment. Patients were aged over 18 years, without central sleep apnea or narcolepsy and slept no less than 20 min in a non-supine position. POSA was defined as a total apnea/hypopnea index (AHI) ≥5 and a ratio supine AHI/non-supine AHI ≥2. The binary logistic regression was used for modeling the likelihood for OSA patient to be positional, and the LASSO method was used for selecting the optimal set of clinical characteristics associated with POSA. RESULTS: Overall, 53% of patients had POSA. These patients were younger (p = 0.005), had lower BMI (p < 0.0001), lower prevalence of hypertension (p = 0.006), lower Berlin (p = 0.01), and lower STOP (p = 0.001) scores compared to non-POSA patients. Neck and waist circumference were higher in non-POSA (p = 0.005, p = 0.009, respectively) patients. Age, BMI, DBP, Mallampati, and Berlin scores were found to be the best clinical characteristics associated with POSA with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.71 (95% CI [0.63, 0.78]). CONCLUSIONS: Half of patients referred for the sleep study had POSA. Age, BMI, DBP, Mallampati, and Berlin scores, put together, were shown to act as good clinical characteristics to discriminate between POSA and non-POSA patients.