A predictive model of chronic kidney disease in patients with congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract.

BACKGROUND: The antenatal detection of congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) has permitted early management of these conditions. The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in CAKUT. We also propose a risk score of CKD. METHODS: In this cohort study, 822 patients with prenatally detected CAKUT were followed up for a median time of 43 months. The primary outcome was CKD stage III or higher. A predictive model was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model and evaluated by using c statistics. RESULTS: Chronic kidney disease occurred in 49 of the 822 (6 %) children with prenatally detected CAKUT. The most accurate model included bilateral hydronephrosis, oligohydramnios, estimated glomerular filtration rate and postnatal diagnosis. The accuracy of the score was 0.95 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.89-0.99] and 0.92 (95 % CI 0.86-0.95) after a follow-up of 2 and 10 years, respectively. Based on survival curves, we estimated that at 10 years of age, the probability of survival without CKD stage III was approximately 98 and 58 % for the patients assigned to the low-risk and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our predictive model of CKD may contribute to an early identification of a subgroup of patients at high risk for renal impairment. It should be pointed out, however, that this model requires external validation in a different cohort.

Diagnostic accuracy of renal pelvic dilatation for detecting surgically managed ureteropelvic junction obstruction.

PURPOSE: In this study we evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of renal pelvic dilatation for detecting infants with prenatal hydronephrosis who will need surgical intervention for ureteropelvic junction obstruction during followup. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 1999 and 2010, 371 newborns diagnosed with isolated prenatal hydronephrosis were prospectively followed. The main event of interest was the need for pyeloplasty. Diagnostic odds ratio, sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic accuracy (assessed by AUC) of fetal renal pelvic dilatation and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 312 patients were included in the analysis and 25 (7.5%) infants underwent pyeloplasty. The diagnostic performance for detecting the need for pyeloplasty was excellent for all ultrasonography measurements. The AUC was 0.96 (95% CI 0.92-0.98) for fetal renal pelvic dilatation, 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98) for postnatal renal pelvic dilatation and 0.95 (95% CI 0.92-0.97) for the Society for Fetal Urology grading system. A cutoff of 18 mm for fetal renal pelvic dilatation and a cutoff of 16 mm for postnatal renal pelvic dilatation had the best diagnostic odds ratio to identify infants who needed pyeloplasty. Considering a diagnosis to be positive only if fetal renal pelvic dilatation was greater than 18 mm and postnatal dilatation was greater than 16 mm, sensitivity was 100% and specificity was 86% (95% CI 80.7-89.9). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the combination of fetal and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation is able to increase the diagnostic accuracy for detecting infants who need a more comprehensive postnatal investigation for upper urinary tract obstruction.

Combined use of late phase dimercapto-succinic acid renal scintigraphy and ultrasound as first line screening after urinary tract infection in children.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of dimercapto-succinic acid renal scintigraphy and renal ultrasound in identifying high grade vesicoureteral reflux in children after a first episode of urinary tract infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 533 children following a first urinary tract infection were included in the analysis. Patients were assessed by 3 diagnostic imaging studies, renal ultrasound, dimercapto-succinic acid scan and voiding cystourethrography. The main event of interest was the presence of high grade (III to V) vesicoureteral reflux. The combined and separate diagnostic accuracy of screening methods was assessed by calculation of diagnostic OR, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and likelihood ratio. RESULTS: A total of 246 patients had reflux, of whom 144 (27%) had high grade (III to V) disease. Sensitivity, negative predictive value and diagnostic OR of ultrasound for high grade reflux were 83.3%, 90.8% and 7.9, respectively. Dimercapto-succinic acid scan had the same sensitivity as ultrasound but a higher negative predictive value (91.7%) and diagnostic OR (10.9). If both tests were analyzed in parallel by using the OR rule, ie a negative diagnosis was established only when both test results were normal, sensitivity increased to 97%, negative predictive value to 97% and diagnostic OR to 25.3. Only 9 children (6.3%) with dilating reflux had an absence of alterations in both tests. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the idea that ultrasound and dimercapto-succinic acid scan used in combination are reliable predictors of dilating vesicoureteral reflux.

Primary versus secondary hypertension in children followed up at an outpatient tertiary unit.

Childhood hypertension has classically been recognized as a secondary disease. However, primary hypertension also occurs in children. The aim of this study was to compare clinical features of pediatric patients with elevated blood pressure, which were referred to an outpatient tertiary unit, and to detect variables associated with the identification of primary hypertension. The records of 220 patients with hypertension followed between 1996 and 2006 were analyzed. The variable of interest was primary hypertension. Logistic regression analysis was applied to identify clinical variables that were independently associated with primary hypertension. Of 220 patients, 33 (15%) had primary hypertension, and 187 (85%) exhibited secondary hypertension. No statistically significant differences were detected in gender, race, age at diagnosis, and systolic/diastolic blood pressure levels between both groups. After adjustment, four variables at baseline remained independently associated with primary hypertension: absence of signs/symptoms (OR 18.87, 95% CI 6.32-56.29), normal serum creatinine (OR 0.02, 95% CI 0.00-0.27), family history of hypertension (OR 3.03, 95% CI 1.04-8.79), and elevated body weight (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10). The absence of signs/symptoms, normal serum creatinine, family history of hypertension, and overweight/obesity at admission are clues to diagnose primary hypertension in childhood.

Clinical course of 822 children with prenatally detected nephrouropathies.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: With the advent of fetal screening ultrasonography, the detection of congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) in utero has permitted early management of these conditions. This study aims to describe the clinical course of a large cohort of patients with prenatally detected nephrouropathies. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: In this retrospective cohort study, 822 patients were prenatally diagnosed with CAKUT and systematically followed up at a tertiary Renal Unit for a median time of 43 months. Variables included in the analysis were sex, laterality, fetal ultrasonography (isolated versus associated hydronephrosis), and presence/absence of nephrouropathies. The events of interest were urinary tract infection, surgical interventions, hypertension, CKD, and death. Survival analyses were performed to evaluate time until occurrence of the events of interest. RESULTS: Urinary tract infection occurred in 245 (29.8%) children, with higher risk in females (hazard ratio=1.30, 95% confidence interval=1.02-1.70, P=0.05); 22 patients (2.7%) had hypertension, and 49 (6%) patients developed CKD. The risk of CKD was greater in patients with associated hydronephrosis (hazard ratio=5.20, 95% confidence interval=2.90-9.30, P<0.001). Twelve patients (1.5%) died during follow-up. Death was significantly associated with being born during the first period of the study (hazard ratio=6.00, 95% confidence interval=1.60-22.50, P<0.001), associated hydronephrosis (hazard ratio=9.30, 95% confidence interval=2.90-29.30, P<0.001), and CKD (hazard ratio=170.00, 95% confidence interval=41.00-228.00, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In our series, the clinical course of prenatally detected CAKUT was heterogeneous, and those infants with associated hydronephrosis at baseline were identified as a high-risk subgroup.

Profile and scientific production of CNPq researchers in Nephrology and Urology.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at evaluating the profile and scientific production of researchers in Nephrology and Urology, receiving grants in the area of Clinical Medicine from the Brazilian National Research Council. METHODS: The standardized online curriculum vitae (Curriculum Lattes) of 39 researchers in Medicine receiving grants in the 2006-2008 triennium were included in the analysis. The variables analyzed were: gender, affiliation, time from completion of the PhD program, scientific production, and supervision of undergraduate students, and master's and PhD programs. RESULTS: Males (74.4%) and category 2 grants (56.4%) predominated. The following three Brazilian states are responsible for 90% of the researchers: São Paulo (28; 71.8%); Rio Grande do Sul (4; 10.3%); and Minas Gerais (3; 7.7%). Four institutions are responsible for 70% of the researchers: UNIFESP (14; 36%); USP (8; 20.5%); UFMG (3, 7.7%); and UNICAMP (3; 7.7%). Considering the academic career, the assessed researchers published 3,195 articles in medical journals, with a median of 75 articles per researcher (QI = 52-100). The researchers received a total of 25,923 citations at the database Web of Science®, with a median of 452 citations per researcher (QI = 161-927). The average number of citations per article was 13.8 citations (SD = 11.6). CONCLUSIONS: The Southeastern region of Brazil concentrates researchers in Nephrology and Urology. Our study has shown an increase in the scientific production of most researchers in the last five years. By knowing the profile of researchers in Nephrology and Urology, more effective strategies to encourage the scientific production and the demand for resources to finance research projects can be defined.

Perfil e produção científica dos pesquisadores do CNPq nas áreas de nefrologia e urologia / Profile and scientific production of CNPq researchers in nephrology and urology

OBJETIVO: O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar o perfil e a produção científica de pesquisadores de Nefrologia e Urologia, cadastrados como bolsistas de produtividade no Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico. MÉTODOS: Os currículos Lattes de 39 pesquisadores com bolsas ativas no triênio 2006 a 2008 foram incluídos na análise. As variáveis de interesse foram: sexo, instituição, tempo de doutoramento, artigos publicados, e orientação de alunos de graduação, mestres e doutores. RESULTADOS: Houve uma predominância do gênero masculino (74,4 por cento) e de bolsistas na categoria 2 (56,4 por cento). Três estados da federação são responsáveis por 90 por cento dos pesquisadores: SP (28; 71,8 por cento), RS (4; 10,3 por cento) e MG (3; 7,7 por cento). Quatro instituições são responsáveis por 70 por cento dos pesquisadores: UNIFESP (14; 36 por cento), USP (8; 20,5 por cento), UFMG (3, 7,7 por cento) e UNICAMP (3; 7,7 por cento). No total da carreira acadêmica, os pesquisadores em Nefrourologia publicaram 3.195 artigos em periódicos, sendo a mediana de 75 artigos por pesquisador (IQ = 52 - 100). Os pesquisadores receberam um total de 25.923 citações na base de dados Web of Science®, sendo a mediana por pesquisador de 452 citações (IQ = 161 - 927). A média de citações por artigo foi de 13,8 citações (DP = 11,6). CONCLUSÕES: Há uma concentração dos pesquisadores na região Sudeste. Neste estudo, pode ser observado um aumento da produção científica entre a maioria dos pesquisadores nos últimos cinco anos. Através do conhecimento do perfil dos pesquisadores das áreas de Nefrologia e Urologia podem ser definidas, de maneira mais eficaz, estratégias para incentivar a produção científica e a demanda de recursos para o financiamento de projetos de pesquisa.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at evaluating the profile and scientific production of researchers in Nephrology and Urology, receiving grants in the area of Clinical Medicine from the Brazilian National Research Council. METHODS: The standardized online curriculum vitae (Curriculum Lattes) of 39 researchers in Medicine receiving grants in the 2006-2008 triennium were included in the analysis. The variables analyzed were: gender, affiliation, time from completion of the PhD program, scientific production, and supervision of undergraduate students, and master's and PhD programs. RESULTS: Males (74.4 percent) and category 2 grants (56.4 percent) predominated. The following three Brazilian states are responsible for 90 percent of the researchers: São Paulo (28; 71.8 percent); Rio Grande do Sul (4; 10.3 percent); and Minas Gerais (3; 7.7 percent). Four institutions are responsible for 70 percent of the researchers: UNIFESP (14; 36 percent); USP (8; 20.5 percent); UFMG (3, 7.7 percent); and UNICAMP (3; 7.7 percent). Considering the academic career, the assessed researchers published 3,195 articles in medical journals, with a median of 75 articles per researcher (QI = 52-100). The researchers received a total of 25,923 citations at the database Web of Science®, with a median of 452 citations per researcher (QI = 161-927). The average number of citations per article was 13.8 citations (SD = 11.6). CONCLUSIONS: The Southeastern region of Brazil concentrates researchers in Nephrology and Urology. Our study has shown an increase in the scientific production of most researchers in the last five years. By knowing the profile of researchers in Nephrology and Urology, more effective strategies to encourage the scientific production and the demand for resources to finance research projects can be defined.