Discrimination of Substandard and Falsified Formulations from Genuine Pharmaceuticals Using NIR Spectra and Machine Learning.

Near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy is a promising technique for field identification of substandard and falsified drugs because it is portable, rapid, nondestructive, and can differentiate many formulated pharmaceutical products. Portable NIR spectrometers rely heavily on chemometric analyses based on libraries of NIR spectra from authentic pharmaceutical samples. However, it is difficult to build comprehensive product libraries in many low- and middle-income countries due to the large numbers of manufacturers who supply these markets, frequent unreported changes in materials sourcing and product formulation by the manufacturers, and general lack of cooperation in providing authentic samples. In this work, we show that a simple library of lab-formulated binary mixtures of an active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) with two diluents gave good performance on field screening tasks, such as discriminating substandard and falsified formulations of the API. Six data analysis models, including principal component analysis and support-vector machine classification and regression methods and convolutional neural networks, were trained on binary mixtures of acetaminophen with either lactose or ascorbic acid. While the models all performed strongly in cross-validation (on formulations similar to their training set), they individually showed poor robustness for formulations outside the training set. However, a predictive algorithm based on the six models, trained only on binary samples, accurately predicts whether the correct amount of acetaminophen is present in ternary mixtures, genuine acetaminophen formulations, adulterated acetaminophen formulations, and falsified formulations containing substitute APIs. This data analytics approach may extend the utility of NIR spectrometers for analysis of pharmaceuticals in low-resource settings.

Mitigating the impact of gelatin capsule variability on detection of substandard and falsified pharmaceuticals with near-IR spectroscopy.

Portable NIR spectrometers are effective in detecting authentic pharmaceutical products in intact capsule formulations, which can be used to screen for substandard or falsified versions of those authentic products. However, the chemometric models are trained on libraries of authentic products, and are generally unreliable for detection of quality problems in products from outside their training set, even for products that are nominally the same active pharmaceutical ingredient and same dosage as products in the training set. As part of our research directed at developing better non-brand-specific strategies for pharmaceutical screening, we investigated the impact of capsule composition on NIR modeling. We found that capsule features like gelatin type, color, or thickness, give rise to a similar amount of variance in the NIR spectra as the type of API stored within the capsules. Our results highlight the efficacy of orthogonal projection to latent structures in mitigating the impacts of different types of capsules on the accuracy of NIR chemometric models for classification and regression analysis of lab-made samples. The models showed good performance for classification of field-collected doxycycline capsules as good or bad quality when an NIR-based % w/w metric was used, identifying five samples that were adulterated with talc. However, the % w/w was systematically underestimated, so when evaluating the capsules based on their absolute API content according to the monograph standard, the classification accuracy decreased from 100% to 70%. The underestimation was attributed to an unforeseen variability in the quantities and types of excipients present in the capsules.