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1.
AIDS Behav ; 28(2): 728-740, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38236320

RESUMEN

To better understand male and female sexual partnerships among men who have sex with men (MSM), we used data from a 2019 biobehavioral survey among MSM in Harare and Bulawayo, Zimbabwe to conduct bivariate analyses and multivariable logistic regression to determine whether sociodemographic characteristics and HIV-related factors were associated with having both male and female sexual partnerships within the last 6 months. Of included MSM (N = 1143), 31% reported both male and female partnerships in the last 6 months. Being married/cohabiting (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 8.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.92-14.95) or separated/divorced/widowed (aOR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.24-3.08) vs. being single, and hazardous alcohol consumption (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.19-2.09) were associated with higher odds of having both male and female recent partnerships. Being aged 35 + vs. 18-24 (aOR = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.31-0.81), condomless receptive anal intercourse at last sex with the main male partner (aOR = 0.43, 95% CI = 0.26-0.74), and positive HIV status (aOR = 0.46, 95% CI = 0.31-0.67) were associated with lower odds of recent male and female partnerships. MSM in Harare who reported harassment/abuse (aOR = 3.16, 95% CI = 1.72-5.79) had higher odds of both male and female partnerships than MSM in Bulawayo reporting harassment/abuse. The prevalence of both male and female recent partnerships (31%) was lower among MSM in this survey than in other biobehavioral surveys of MSM in sub-Saharan Africa. Findings suggest that MSM with recent male and female partnerships compared to MSM with only male recent partners have lower odds of positive HIV status and participate in behaviors that lower HIV risk; however, the direction of these relationships cannot be determined due to the cross-sectional nature of the data. The findings also suggest a possible connection between experiences of stigma of MSM behavior and not having both male and female partnerships that warrants further exploration. Accessible, stigma-free HIV testing and education programming that considers the potential overlap between the MSM and general populations via both male and female partnerships and the associated behaviors could be a key component of HIV elimination in Zimbabwe.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Homosexualidad Masculina , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Estudios Transversales , Zimbabwe/epidemiología , Conducta Sexual
2.
AIDS Res Ther ; 21(1): 18, 2024 Mar 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38549087

RESUMEN

We conducted secondary data analysis using a biobehavioral survey dataset of 1538 MSM from Zimbabwe. Survey participants were screened for the four symptoms suggestive of tuberculosis infection using the WHO TB screening algorithm. Results: All participants experienced at least one symptom suggestive of tuberculosis. 40% of HIV-positive MSM reported having had a cough in the last month and 13% of them experienced unexpected weight loss. The prevalence of experiencing any of the four TB symptoms amongst HIV-positive MSM was 23%. Contribution There is an urgent need for active TB case finding and treatment amongst HIV-positive MSM in Zimbabwe. Clinicians will need to ensure that MSM who need TB testing receive it timeously.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Seropositividad para VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Tuberculosis , Masculino , Humanos , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Homosexualidad Masculina , Zimbabwe/epidemiología , Seropositividad para VIH/complicaciones , Tuberculosis/complicaciones , Tuberculosis/diagnóstico , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Prevalencia
3.
Sex Transm Dis ; 49(2): 111-116, 2022 02 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34508022

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Syphilis increases human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) acquisition risk and impacts the immunologic and virologic response among people living with HIV (PLHIV). We assessed the prevalence of active or current syphilis and HIV/syphilis and their correlates among men who have sex with men (MSM), transwomen, and genderqueer (TGW/GQ) individuals in Zimbabwe. METHODS: Among a respondent-driven sample of MSM and TGW/GQ who were tested for HIV and syphilis in Harare and Bulawayo, Zimbabwe in 2019 (n = 1511), multiple logistic regression was used to assess correlates of active syphilis. Unadjusted logistic regression was used among PLHIV (n = 340) due to small sample size. All analyses were unweighted as data did not reach convergence for HIV. RESULTS: Prevalence of active syphilis overall and among PLHIV was 5.5% and 10.1%, respectively, in Harare, and 5.6% and 11.0%, respectively, in Bulawayo. Participants were more likely to have active syphilis if they were PLHIV (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-3.6), aged 25-34 years (aOR, 2.2 years; 95% CI, 1.3-3.8 years; reference, 18-24 years), or self-report sexually transmitted infection symptoms (aOR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.0). Compared with Bulawayo TGW/GQ, MSM in Harare (aOR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.5) and Bulawayo (aOR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.4), and TGW/GQ in Harare (aOR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.6) were less likely to have active syphilis. Among PLHIV, coinfection was 13.0% among TGW/GQ and 9.7% among MSM. Odds of coinfection were higher for those aged 25 to 34 years (OR, 3.7 years; 95% CI, 1.2-11.1 years) and lower among Harare MSM (OR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.7), Bulawayo MSM (OR, 0.1; 95% CI, 0.0-0.4), and Harare TGW/GQ (OR, 0.1; 95% CI, 0.0-0.4) compared with Bulawayo TGW/GQ. CONCLUSIONS: Findings highlight a high burden of syphilis among MSM and TGW/GQ and underscore the importance of HIV/syphilis detection and improved service delivery for these groups.


Asunto(s)
Coinfección , Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Sífilis , Personas Transgénero , Adulto , Coinfección/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , VIH , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Homosexualidad Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Conducta Sexual , Sífilis/epidemiología , Zimbabwe/epidemiología
4.
AIDS Behav ; 26(9): 2994-3007, 2022 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35304904

RESUMEN

Though stigma is a recognized contributor to the disproportionate HIV burden among sexual and gender minorities (SGM) in sub-Saharan Africa, data describing this association among Zimbabwean SGM are limited. We examined relationships between SGM stigma and HIV and the potential for social cohesion to moderate the association among Zimbabwean men who have sex with men, transgender women, and genderqueer individuals. Consenting participants (n = 1511) recruited through respondent-driven sampling for a biobehavioral survey in Harare and Bulawayo completed structured interviews and received HIV testing. Reported SGM stigma was common (68.9% in Harare and 65.3% in Bulawayo) and associated with HIV infection in Harare (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR] = 1.82, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.27-2.62) and Bulawayo (aPR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.15-2.00) in relative risk regression. Social cohesion did not moderate these relationships. Findings demonstrate stigma's association with HIV vulnerability among Zimbabwean SGM, highlighting the need for stigma-mitigation to reduce HIV transmission in this population.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Cohesión Social , Estigma Social , Ciudades , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Conducta Sexual , Zimbabwe/epidemiología
6.
J Int AIDS Soc ; 27(4): e26231, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38627887

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: We sought to characterize social and structural drivers of HIV vulnerability for transgender women (TGW) in Zimbabwe, where TGW are not legally recognized, and explore differences in vulnerability by feminine presentation. METHODS: A secondary analysis was conducted with a sub-sample of participants recruited from a 2019 respondent-driven sampling survey that comprised men who have sex with men, TGW and genderqueer individuals assigned male sex at birth, from two cities in Zimbabwe. Survey questionnaires captured information related to socio-demographics, sexual and substance use behaviours, and social and structural barriers to HIV services. Secondary analyses were restricted to participants who identified as female, transfemale or transwomen (236/1538) and were unweighted. Descriptive statistics were used to calculate sample estimates and chi-square and Fisher's exact tests were used to assess differences in vulnerability by feminine presentation. RESULTS: Among 236 TGW, almost half (45.3%) presented as feminine in the 6 months preceding the survey and 8.5% had ever used hormones to affirm their gender identities. Median age among TGW was 23 years (interquartile range: 20-26). Feminine presenting TGW in our sample had higher prevalence of arrest (15.9% vs. 3.9%), rejection by family/friends (38.3% vs. 14.0%), employment termination (11.2% vs. 3.9%), employment refusal (14.0% vs. 3.9%), denial of healthcare (16.8% vs. 2.3%), physical, sexual or verbal harassment or abuse (59.8% vs. 34.1%), alcohol dependence (32.7% vs. 12.4%), recent transactional sex with a male or TGW partner (30.8% vs. 13.3%) and recent non-injection drug use (38.3% vs. 20.2%) than non-feminine presenting TGW (all p-value <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that TGW, particularly feminine presenting TGW, experience social and structural inequities which may contribute to HIV vulnerability. Interventions aimed at addressing inequities, including trans competency training for providers and gender-affirming, psychosocial and legal support services for TGW, might mitigate risk.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Personas Transgénero , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Homosexualidad Masculina , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/psicología , Zimbabwe/epidemiología , Conducta Sexual , Identidad de Género , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
7.
PLOS Digit Health ; 3(7): e0000541, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38959248

RESUMEN

There is a substantial increase in sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among men who have sex with men (MSM) globally. Unprotected sexual practices, multiple sex partners, criminalization, stigmatisation, fear of discrimination, substance use, poor access to care, and lack of early STI screening tools are among the contributing factors. Therefore, this study applied multilayer perceptron (MLP), extremely randomized trees (ExtraTrees) and XGBoost machine learning models to predict STIs among MSM using bio-behavioural survey (BBS) data in Zimbabwe. Data were collected from 1538 MSM in Zimbabwe. The dataset was split into training and testing sets using the ratio of 80% and 20%, respectively. The synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was applied to address class imbalance. Using a stepwise logistic regression model, the study revealed several predictors of STIs among MSM such as age, cohabitation with sex partners, education status and employment status. The results show that MLP performed better than STI predictive models (XGBoost and ExtraTrees) and achieved accuracy of 87.54%, recall of 97.29%, precision of 89.64%, F1-Score of 93.31% and AUC of 66.78%. XGBoost also achieved an accuracy of 86.51%, recall of 96.51%, precision of 89.25%, F1-Score of 92.74% and AUC of 54.83%. ExtraTrees recorded an accuracy of 85.47%, recall of 95.35%, precision of 89.13%, F1-Score of 92.13% and AUC of 60.21%. These models can be effectively used to identify highly at-risk MSM, for STI surveillance and to further develop STI infection screening tools to improve health outcomes of MSM.

8.
Heliyon ; 10(3): e25790, 2024 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38352793

RESUMEN

Objectives: To measure HIV and Hepatitis B virus (HBV) prevalence and associated risk behaviors among men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women/genderqueer individuals (TGW/GQ) in Zimbabwe. Methods: We conducted a biobehavioral survey using respondent-driven sampling (RDS) among adult MSM and TGW/GQ in Harare and Bulawayo, Zimbabwe in 2019. Participants completed a questionnaire and underwent testing for HIV and HBV. Results: Overall, 1,510 (Harare: 694, Bulawayo 816) participants were enrolled and consented to testing; 3.8 % (58) tested positive for HBV, 22.5 % (339) tested positive for HIV, and 2.2 % (33) tested positive for both HIV and HBV. HBV prevalence was higher among participants with HIV compared to HIV-negative participants (9.7 % vs. 2.1 %, p < 0.0001). Overall, HBV prevalence was not statistically different between MSM and TGW/GQ (3.7 % vs 4.5 %, p = 0.49) nor between Harare and Bulawayo (3.3 % vs 4.3 %, p = 0.33). Conclusions: Our survey demonstrates the prevalence of HBV among MSM and TGW/GQ is lower than other estimates of HBV among MSM in Africa but remains high among our survey population living with HIV highlighting the need to expand HBV testing and treatment services, especially among people with HIV in Zimbabwe.

9.
J Int AIDS Soc ; 26 Suppl 2: e26115, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37439069

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The burden of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remains unacceptably high, and disproportionately affects girls and women. While the introduction of oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in 2012 revolutionized HIV prevention, its effectiveness is dependent on user adherence and its implementation in SSA has faced numerous challenges. Patient-level, interpersonal and structural barriers, including, for example, daily pill burden, side effects, lack of partner support, testing and disclosure, and costs have been found to reduce adherence to oral PrEP. DISCUSSION: Long-acting extended delivery (LAED) formulations for PrEP, such as injectable long-acting cabotegravir (CAB-LA) and dapivirine vaginal ring (DPV-VR) are critical additions to the HIV prevention toolkit and are especially important for populations such as adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) and other key populations who remain at significant risk of HIV acquisition while facing substantial barriers to preventive services. These LAED formulations have been shown to result in better adherence and fewer side effects, with CAB-LA being superior to oral PrEP in reducing the risk of HIV acquisition. They can be used to overcome user burden and adherence challenges. However, the successful rollout of the DPV-VR and CAB-LA may be hampered by issues such as a shortage of healthcare providers (HCPs), inadequate parenteral medication infrastructure, increased workload for HCPs, patient concerns, the price of the medications and the possibility of drug resistance. CONCLUSIONS: SSA must develop laboratory capabilities for monitoring patients on LAED formulations and enhance research on developing more non-injectable LAED formulations. There is a need to train and retain more HCPs, implement task shifting, invest in healthcare infrastructure and integrate healthcare services. To reduce costs and improve availability, the region must advocate for patent license waivers for LAED formulations and procure drugs collectively as a region.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Adolescente , Humanos , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Revelación , Instituciones de Salud , Personal de Salud , África del Sur del Sahara
10.
J Int AIDS Soc ; 25(2): e25873, 2022 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35148029

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Zimbabwe is scaling up pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for key populations, including men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women (TGW). To assess implementation and inform HIV programming, we evaluated gaps in PrEP awareness, uptake and use, and correlates of awareness and uptake among a sample of MSM, TGW and genderqueer individuals (GQ) in Harare and Bulawayo, Zimbabwe. METHODS: Respondent-driven sampling was used to recruit 1194 MSM and 344 TGW/GQ aged ≥18 to participate in a cross-sectional survey assessing HIV-related outcomes in 2019. Consenting participants completed a questionnaire on socio-demographic information, sexual risk practices and engagement in HIV services and underwent HIV testing. Descriptive statistics were used to assess the PrEP cascade. Multiple logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with PrEP awareness and uptake among HIV-negative participants. Data were unweighted as the sample did not reach convergence on key estimates. RESULTS: Among the 1167 HIV-negative participants, most (79.2%) were MSM compared to TGW/GQ (20.8%). Median age was 24 years. Overall, 45.8% were aware of PrEP and of those, 31.3% had ever taken PrEP. Most (71.1%) reporting never taking PrEP were willing to start PrEP; the main reasons for never starting PrEP included not knowing where to access it (24.8%) and fearing side effects (20.4%). Among those who had ever taken PrEP, 74.9% had taken PrEP in the last 6 months; of these, 42.4% had taken PrEP the day of or day preceding the survey. Side effects represented the most common (59.5%) reason for discontinuing PrEP. MSM (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 2.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.8-3.6) and TGW/GQ in Harare (aOR: 3.1, 95% CI: 2.1-4.7), and TGW/GQ in Bulawayo (aOR: 2.4, 95% CI: 1.1-5.3) had higher awareness of PrEP than MSM in Bulawayo. Overall, TGW/GQ were more likely to have ever taken PrEP compared to MSM (aOR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.01-2.4). CONCLUSIONS: Findings emphasize the need for tailored interventions to promote PrEP among key populations. As HIV programs in Zimbabwe continue to expand PrEP services, these data, including barriers to starting and continuing PrEP, can inform strategies to address gaps along the PrEP cascade.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Profilaxis Pre-Exposición , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Personas Transgénero , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Homosexualidad Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto Joven , Zimbabwe/epidemiología
11.
Lancet HIV ; 9(3): e182-e201, 2022 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35150606

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Globally, men who have sex with men (MSM), transgender women, and genderqueer individuals are at greater risk for HIV than the general population although little data are available from these groups in Zimbabwe, a country with a national adult HIV prevalence of 12·9%. We aimed to examine progress towards the UNAIDS 90-90-90 treatment targets and factors associated with meeting the targets among a sample of MSM, transgender women, and genderqueer individuals in Zimbabwe. METHODS: In this cross-sectional survey in 2019, we used respondent-driven sampling to identify MSM, transgender women, and genderqueer individuals aged at least 18 years to participate in a biobehavioural survey in Harare and Bulawayo, Zimbabwe. Participants were eligible to participate if they were assigned male at birth; had engaged in anal or oral sex with a man in the past 12 months; resided in Harare or Bulawayo for at least 1 month; spoke English, Shona, or Ndebele; provided written informed consent; and were in possession of a valid recruitment coupon if applicable. Enrolled participants completed a questionnaire and underwent HIV testing, and off-site viral load testing was done on all HIV-positive samples. Unweighted bivariate analyses and multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association of sociodemographic, behavioural, and other factors with HIV-positive status awareness among MSM, transgender women, and genderqueer individuals, and with viral load suppression among MSM. Analyses were done firstly using self-reported information and then by classifying those with a viral load of less than 200 copies per mL as being aware of their status and on treatment (viral load recategorisation). FINDINGS: Among MSM, 248 (21%; 95% CI 19-24) of 1176 tested positive for HIV. Of those who tested positive, based on self-report, 119 (48%; 95% CI 42-54) reported knowing their HIV status, of whom 112 (94%; 88-98) reported using antiretroviral therapy (ART), of whom 89 (79%; 71-87) had viral load suppression. Based on viral load recategorisation, 180 (73%; 67-78) of 248 MSM testing HIV positive reported knowing their HIV status, of whom 174 (97%; 93-99) reported using ART, of whom 151 (87%; 81-91) had viral load suppression. 92 (28%; 23-33) of 335 transgender women and genderqueer individuals tested positive for HIV. Based on self-reports from these individuals 34 (37%; 27-48) of 92 participants reported knowing their HIV status, of whom 31 (91%; 76-98) reported using ART, of whom 27 (87%; 70-96%) had viral load suppression. Based on viral load recategorisation of data from transgender women and genderqueer participants, 53 (58%; 47-58) of 92 reported awareness of their HIV status, of whom 50 (94%; 84-99) reported using ART, of whom 46 (92%; 81-98) had viral load suppression. HIV-positive MSM aged 18-24 years had lower odds of being aware of their status than those aged at least 35 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0·34; 95% CI 0·13-0·92), as did HIV-positive MSM aged 25-34 years (aOR 0·26; 0·12-0·56). HIV-positive MSM aged 18-24 years also had a lower odds of having viral load suppression than those aged 35 years and older (aOR 0·35; 0·16-0·78), as did those aged 25-34 years (aOR 0·36; 0·19-0·67). No factors were significantly associated with awareness among transgender women and genderqueer individuals in multivariable models. INTERPRETATION: Our survey showed that HIV prevalence was high and the largest difference between our results and the 90-90-90 treatment targets was in HIV status awareness, indicating the need for improvements in engaging MSM (especially young MSM), transgender women, and genderqueer individuals in HIV testing services. FUNDING: US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief through the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Personas Transgénero , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Homosexualidad Masculina , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Prevalencia , Conducta Sexual , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Personas Transgénero/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven , Zimbabwe/epidemiología
12.
AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses ; 38(11): 834-839, 2022 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35923140

RESUMEN

In Africa, rapid testing for recent HIV infection (RTRI) is being scaled up; however, use of the recent infection testing algorithm (RITA), which uses viral load (VL) to confirm RTRI-recent infections, is not a widespread practice. We present results of recently acquired HIV infections among men who have sex with men (MSM), transgender women, and genderqueer (TGW/GQ) individuals with newly diagnosed HIV infection in Zimbabwe as per the national approach (RTRI) and applying a RITA. In 2019, 1,538 MSM and TGW/GQ in Harare and Bulawayo, Zimbabwe were recruited to participate in a biobehavioral survey using respondent-driven sampling. Consenting participants received HIV testing and all HIV-positive specimens were tested with the RTRI Asanté HIV-1 Rapid Recency Assay, and for VL and CD4 count. RTRI-recent participants with unsuppressed VL (≥1,000 copies/mL) were classified as RITA-recent. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize results among RTRI-recent and RITA-recent participants. Among those tested for HIV (1,511/1,538), 22.5% (340/1,511) tested positive and of those, 55.0% (187/340) self-reported an HIV-negative or unknown status. Among these, 8.6% (16/187) were classified as RTRI-recent and 91.4% (171/187) were classified as RTRI-long term. After accounting for VL, RITA-recency was 1.1% (2/187). Two of 16 (12.5%) RTRI-recent infections were RITA-recent. VL among RITA-recent cases were 9,052 copies/mL and 40,694 copies/mL and both had CD4 counts <500. Data highlight misclassification of recent infections among MSM and TGW/GQ with newly diagnosed HIV infection using RTRI. With the incorporation of VL, >85% of RTRI-recent cases were reclassified as RITA-long term. True characterization of recent infections may not be possible without VL testing, which remains challenging in resource-limited settings.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , VIH-1 , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Personas Transgénero , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Homosexualidad Masculina , Zimbabwe/epidemiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
13.
Trop Med Infect Dis ; 7(9)2022 Sep 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36136641

RESUMEN

HIV and AIDS continue to be major public health concerns globally. Despite significant progress in addressing their impact on the general population and achieving epidemic control, there is a need to improve HIV testing, particularly among men who have sex with men (MSM). This study applied deep and machine learning algorithms such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs), the bagging classifier, gradient boosting classifier, support vector machines, and Naïve Bayes classifier to predict HIV status among MSM using the dataset from the Zimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Care. RNNs performed better than the bagging classifier, gradient boosting classifier, support vector machines, and Gaussian Naïve Bayes classifier in predicting HIV status. RNNs recorded a high prediction accuracy of 0.98 as compared to the Gaussian Naïve Bayes classifier (0.84), bagging classifier (0.91), support vector machine (0.91), and gradient boosting classifier (0.91). In addition, RNNs achieved a high precision of 0.98 for predicting both HIV-positive and -negative cases, a recall of 1.00 for HIV-negative cases and 0.94 for HIV-positive cases, and an F1-score of 0.99 for HIV-negative cases and 0.96 for positive cases. HIV status prediction models can significantly improve early HIV screening and assist healthcare professionals in effectively providing healthcare services to the MSM community. The results show that integrating HIV status prediction models into clinical software systems can complement indicator condition-guided HIV testing strategies and identify individuals that may require healthcare services, particularly for hard-to-reach vulnerable populations like MSM. Future studies are necessary to optimize machine learning models further to integrate them into primary care. The significance of this manuscript is that it presents results from a study population where very little information is available in Zimbabwe due to the criminalization of MSM activities in the country. For this reason, MSM tends to be a hidden sector of the population, frequently harassed and arrested. In almost all communities in Zimbabwe, MSM issues have remained taboo, and stigma exists in all sectors of society.

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