HIV Prevention Among Men Who Have Sex With Men: Tenofovir Alafenamide Combination Preexposure Prophylaxis Versus Placebo.

BACKGROUND: While noninferiority of tenofovir alafenamide and emtricitabine (TAF/FTC) as preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for the prevention of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has been shown, interest remains in its efficacy relative to placebo. We estimate the efficacy of TAF/FTC PrEP versus placebo for the prevention of HIV infection. METHODS: We used data from the DISCOVER and iPrEx trials to compare TAF/FTC to placebo. DISCOVER was a noninferiority trial conducted from 2016 to 2017. iPrEx was a placebo-controlled trial conducted from 2007 to 2009. Inverse probability weights were used to standardize the iPrEx participants to the distribution of demographics and risk factors in the DISCOVER trial. To check the comparison, we evaluated whether risk of HIV infection in the shared tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and emtricitabine (TDF/FTC) arms was similar. RESULTS: Notable differences in demographics and risk factors occurred between trials. After standardization, the difference in risk of HIV infection between the TDF/FTC arms was near zero. The risk of HIV with TAF/FTC was 5.8 percentage points lower (95% confidence interval [CI], -2.0% to -9.6%) or 12.5-fold lower (95% CI, .02 to .31) than placebo standardized to the DISCOVER population. CONCLUSIONS: There was a reduction in HIV infection with TAF/FTC versus placebo across 96 weeks of follow-up. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02842086 and NCT00458393.

Gender Affirming Hormones Do Not Affect the Exposure and Efficacy of F/TDF or F/TAF for HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis: A Subgroup Analysis from the DISCOVER Trial.

Purpose: Transgender women are disproportionately affected by HIV and are underutilizing preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP). The lower uptake of PrEP by transgender women may be, in part, owing to the perception that taking PrEP may lower the efficacy of gender-affirming hormone therapy (GAHT) or to provider concerns that GAHT may lower the efficacy of PrEP. Methods: DISCOVER was a randomized, double-blind, noninferiority trial comparing emtricitabine (FTC, F) and tenofovir alafenamide (F/TAF) versus emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (F/TDF) as PrEP among transgender women and cisgender men who have sex with men (MSM). This nested substudy of the DISCOVER trial compared the exposure of the active intracellular metabolites of FTC and tenofovir (TFV), FTC triphosphate (FTC-TP) and TFV diphosphate (TFV-DP), in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) among transgender women receiving GAHT versus MSM within the F/TAF and F/TDF groups. Results: Our results demonstrate that TFV-DP and FTC-TP levels in PBMC were comparable between transgender women on GAHT and MSM receiving F/TAF, and between transgender women on GAHT and MSM receiving F/TDF. TFV-DP concentrations remained above the EC90 of 40 fmol/106 cells across all groups. No clinically significant drug-drug interactions of GAHT were observed with either F/TAF or F/TDF in this subanalysis. Conclusions: These findings are consistent with the clinical pharmacology of GAHT, FTC, TDF, and TAF reported in previous studies, and support the continued use of F/TAF and F/TDF for PrEP in transgender women.Clinicaltrials.gov registration number: NCT02842086.

Switching to Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide in Adults With HIV and M184V/I Mutation.

BACKGROUND: The ability of elvitegravir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (E/C/F/TAF) to maintain virologic suppression in participants with M184V and/or M184I resistance mutations from historical genotypic reports when switching from a tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-based or abacavir (ABC)-based regimen was investigated. SETTING: Phase IIIb, 48-week, open-label, single-arm, multicenter, clinical trial (NCT02616029). METHODS: Virologically suppressed adults with HIV and documented M184V/I on historical genotypic records switched to E/C/F/TAF from a tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-based or ABC-based regimen. The primary end point was HIV-1 RNA of <50 copies per milliliter at week 12 using pure virologic response (PVR). Secondary end points included HIV-1 RNA of <50 copies per milliliter at weeks 24/48 (PVR) and at weeks 12, 24, and 48 (Food and Drug Administration snapshot algorithm), and change in CD4+ count at weeks 12, 24, and 48. RESULTS: M184V alone was reported in 82.8% of 64 participants; 9.4% and 7.8% had M184I and M184V/I, respectively, and 43.8% had archived M184V/I (baseline DNA). All (62/62 with available data, 100%, 95% confidence interval 94.2% to 100%) participants maintained PVR at weeks 12, 24, and 48. By Food and Drug Administration snapshot algorithm, one participant had HIV-1 RNA of ≥50 copies per milliliter (week 12); confirmatory HIV-1 RNA was <50 copies per milliliter. No significant changes were observed in CD4+ cell count. Drug-related adverse events (AEs) were reported by 10 (15.6%) participants. Six (9.4%) and 5 (7.8%) participants had grade 3-4 AEs or serious AEs, respectively (none drug related). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of the resistance mutations M184V/I did not jeopardize the efficacy of switching to E/C/F/TAF in virologically suppressed adults. High rates of virologic suppression were maintained throughout 48 weeks of therapy and treatment was well tolerated.

Long-term safety and efficacy of emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide vs emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate for HIV-1 pre-exposure prophylaxis: week 96 results from a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: In DISCOVER, a multinational, randomised controlled trial, emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide compared with emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate showed non-inferior efficacy for HIV prevention and improved bone mineral density and renal safety biomarkers at week 48. We report outcomes analysed after all participants had completed 96 weeks of follow-up. METHODS: This study is an ongoing, randomised, double-blind, multicentre, active-controlled, phase 3, non-inferiority trial done at 94 community, public health, and hospital-associated clinics located in Europe and North America. Adult cisgender men and transgender women who have sex with men, both with a high risk of acquiring HIV as determined by self-reported sexual behaviour or recent sexually transmitted infections, were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide (200/25 mg) tablets daily, with matched placebo tablets (emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide group), or emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (200/300 mg) tablets daily, with matched placebo tablets (emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group). The primary efficacy outcome was incident HIV infection. Incidence of HIV-1 infection per 100 person-years was assessed when the last participant had completed 96 weeks of follow-up. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02842086. FINDINGS: Between Sept 13, 2016, and June 30, 2017, 5387 participants were randomly assigned to receive emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide (n=2694) or emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (n=2693), contributing 10 081 person-years of follow-up. At 96 weeks of follow-up, there were eight HIV infections in participants who had received emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide (0·16 infections per 100 person-years [95% CI 0·07-0·31]) and 15 in participants who had received emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (0·30 infections per 100 person-years [0·17-0·49]). Emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide maintained its non-inferiority to emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate for HIV prevention (IRR 0·54 [95% CI 0·23-1·26]). Approximately 78-82% of participants reported taking study medication more than 95% of the time across all study visits. Rates of sexually transmitted infections remained high and similar across groups (21 cases per 100 person-years for rectal gonorrhoea and 28 cases per 100 person-years for rectal chlamydia). Emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide continued to show superiority over emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate in all but one of the six prespecified bone mineral density and renal biomarkers. There was more weight gain among participants who had received emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide (median weight gain 1·7 kg vs 0·5 kg, p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Emtricitabine and tenofovir alafenamide is safe and effective for longer-term pre-exposure prophylaxis in cisgender men and transgender women who have sex with men. FUNDING: Gilead Sciences.

Bone mineral density in virologically suppressed people aged 60 years or older with HIV-1 switching from a regimen containing tenofovir disoproxil fumarate to an elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide single-tablet regimen: a multicentre, open-label, phase 3b, randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Tenofovir alafenamide is associated with less renal and bone toxicity than tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and might improve the long-term safety of antiretroviral therapy. We aimed to investigate the effect on bone mineral density of switching from a regimen containing tenofovir disoproxil fumarate to one containing tenofovir alafenamide in participants aged 60 years and older. METHODS: We did a prospective, open-label, multicentre, randomised trial in 36 European centres. Participants were virologically suppressed (HIV-1 RNA <50 copies per mL), aged 60 years or older, on a tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-containing regimen and were randomly assigned (2:1) via an interactive web-response system to open-label elvitegravir (150 mg), cobicistat (150 mg), emtricitabine (200 mg), and tenofovir alafenamide (10 mg) daily or continued therapy containing tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (300 mg). Participants were stratified by spine and hip bone mineral density categories. Primary endpoints were change from baseline to week 48 in spine and hip bone mineral density with a null hypothesis of zero between-group difference tested at a significance level of 0·05. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02616783. FINDINGS: Between Dec 22, 2015, and March 21, 2018, 167 participants were randomly assigned to elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide (n=111 [66%]) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (n=56 [34%]). One participant in the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group did not receive treatment and was excluded from all analyses. At week 48, the mean percentage change in spine bone mineral density was 2·24% (SD 3·27) in the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group and -0·10% (3·39) in the tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group (between-group difference 2·43% [95% CI 1·34-3·52]; p<0·0001), and mean percentage change in hip bone mineral density was 1·33% (2·20) in the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group and -0·73% (3·21) in the tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group (difference 2·04% [1·17-2·90]; p<0·0001). The most common adverse events were nasopharyngitis (12 [11%]), back pain (nine [8%]), and diarrhoea (eight [7%]) in the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group; and bronchitis (six [11%]), vitamin D deficiency (four [7%]), and arthralgia (four [7%]) in the tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group. 22 (20%) participants in the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group and one (2%) participant in the tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group had an adverse event that was considered to be related to treatment. No treatment-related serious adverse events were observed. The proportions of adverse events leading to premature treatment discontinuation were similar between groups (four [4%] in the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide group; and one (2%) in the tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group). INTERPRETATION: The significantly improved bone mineral density, overall safety, and efficacy data show the feasibility of switching from a regimen containing tenofovir disoproxil fumarate to elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide in virologically suppressed people living with HIV aged 60 years or older. FUNDING: Gilead Sciences.

Randomized study evaluating the efficacy and safety of switching from an an abacavir/lamivudine-based regimen to an elvitegravir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide single-tablet regimen.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of switching from an abacavir/lamivudine (ABC/3TC)-based regimen to an elvitegravir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (E/C/F/TAF) single-tablet regimen in virologically suppressed, HIV-1-infected adults. DESIGN: Randomized, open-label, noninferiority study. METHODS: Participants with HIV-1 RNA levels less than 50 copies/ml receiving ABC/3TC plus a third agent for at least 6 months were randomized 2 : 1 to switch immediately to E/C/F/TAF (immediate-switch group) for 48 weeks or to continue receiving ABC/3TC plus a third agent for 24 weeks followed by E/C/F/TAF for 24 weeks (delayed-switch group). The primary endpoint was HIV-1 RNA less than 50 copies/ml at Week 24 by Food and Drug Administration Snapshot algorithm (-12% noninferiority margin). RESULTS: Baseline characteristics of 274 participants (183 in immediate-switch group and 91 in delayed-switch group) were similar. Virologic response was maintained at Week 24 by 93.4 and 97.8% of participants in the immediate-switch and delayed-switch groups, respectively, with a treatment difference of -4.4% (95% confidence interval: -9.4 to 1.9%), confirming noninferiority. Adverse events of any grade were similar between groups through Week 24 (66% E/C/F/TAF, 64% ABC/3TC); adverse event-related drug discontinuations occurred in 4% of participants switching to E/C/F/TAF (no discontinuations because of renal events) and no participants continuing ABC/3TC. Renal biomarkers of urine albumin:creatinine and beta-2-microglobulin:creatinine ratios significantly improved on E/C/F/TAF. Self-reported treatment satisfaction was significantly higher with E/C/F/TAF. CONCLUSION: Switching to E/C/F/TAF was noninferior to continuing ABC/3TC plus a third agent for maintenance of HIV RNA suppression at Week 24. This study supports E/C/F/TAF as an efficacious and well tolerated option for participants switching from ABC/3TC-based regimens.

Safety, efficacy, and pharmacokinetics of single-tablet elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide in virologically suppressed, HIV-infected children: a single-arm, open-label trial.

BACKGROUND: No once-daily single-tablet regimen is available for HIV-infected children under 12 years. The single-tablet, fixed-dose combination of elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide is a once-daily, integrase strand transfer inhibitor-based regimen approved in the USA and European Union for individuals aged 12 years or older. In this study, we aimed to assess the pharmacokinetics, safety, and efficacy of this regimen in virologically suppressed, HIV-infected children. METHODS: In this single-arm, open-label trial, we enrolled virologically suppressed, HIV-infected children from five hospital clinics in Uganda, the USA, and Thailand. Eligible participants were aged 6-11 years, weighed 25 kg or more, had virological suppression (<50 copies of HIV-1 RNA per mL) on a stable regimen for at least 6 months, CD4 count of more than 100 cells per µL, and no history of resistance to elvitegravir, emtricitabine, tenofovir alafenamide, or tenofovir. All participants received the available fixed-dose oral formulation of elvitegravir 150 mg, cobicistat 150 mg, emtricitabine 200 mg, and tenofovir alafenamide 10 mg once per day. Primary outcomes were the pharmacokinetic parameters area under the curve (AUC) concentration at the end of the dosing interval (AUCtau) for elvitegravir and the AUC from time zero to the last quantifiable concentration (AUClast) of tenofovir alafenamide, treatment-emergent serious adverse events, and all treatment-emergent adverse events. Results from baseline to week 24 are reported, unless specified otherwise. Primary and safety analyses included all enrolled participants who received one dose of study drug. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01854775. FINDINGS: Between July 27 and Sept 28, 2015, we screened 26 children, of whom 23 were enrolled and initiated treatment. Median age was 10 years (IQR 8-11), median weight was 30·5 kg (IQR 27·5-33·0), and all participants had virological suppression. The mean AUCtau of elvitegravir was 33 814 ng × h/mL (coefficient of variation 58%), and the mean AUClast of tenofovir alafenamide was 333 ng × h/mL (45%). Exposures to elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide were higher, but modestly so, than those previously reported in adults. All 23 participants tolerated the regimen well; there were no serious adverse events or adverse event-related discontinuations. All participants maintained virological suppression (HIV-1 RNA <50 copies per mL) at week 24. CD4 count decreased by a median of -130 cells per µL (range -472 to 266) with little change in CD4 cell percentage (-2·1%, range -8·4 to 5·9). INTERPRETATION: The fixed-dose combination of elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide was efficacious and well tolerated in virologically suppressed, HIV-infected children. Although plasma exposure of all components was higher than has been reported in adults, there were no safety concerns and the overall bone and renal safety profile was favourable. These data support the use of this regimen in children at least 25 kg in weight. FUNDING: Gilead Sciences.

Safety, efficacy, and pharmacokinetics of a single-tablet regimen containing elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide in treatment-naive, HIV-infected adolescents: a single-arm, open-label trial.

BACKGROUND: The prodrug tenofovir alafenamide is associated with improved renal and bone safety compared with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate. We aimed to assess safety, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy of this single-tablet, fixed-dose combination of elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide in HIV-infected, treatment-naive adolescents. METHODS: We did a 48 week, single-arm, open-label trial in treatment-naive adolescents with HIV from ten hospital clinics in South Africa, Thailand, Uganda, and the USA. Eligible participants were aged 12-18 years, with plasma HIV-1 RNA of at least 1000 copies per mL, a CD4 count of at least 100 cells per µL, and estimated glomerular filtration rate of at least 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 by the Schwartz formula, bodyweight of at least 35 kg, and an HIV-1 genotype with sensitivity to elvitegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir. Participants received a single-tablet regimen once per day with food (administered by their parent or carer) containing 150 mg elvitegravir, 150 mg cobicistat, 200 mg emtricitabine, and 10 mg tenofovir alafenamide. Study visits to the clinic occurred at weeks 1, 2, 4, 8, 12, 16, 24, 32, 40, and 48. The coprimary endpoints were the pharmacokinetic parameters of area under the curve (AUC) concentration at the end of the dosing interval (AUCtau) for elvitegravir and the AUC from time zero to the last quantifiable concentration (AUClast) for tenofovir alafenamide, incidence of treatment-emergent serious adverse events, and all adverse events that emerged after treatment started (including data for bone mineral density). All participants who received one dose of study drug were included in the primary and safety analyses. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01854775. FINDINGS: Between May 22, 2013, and July 22, 2014, we enrolled 50 participants, and all 50 received the assigned treatment; 24 participated in the intensive pharmacokinetic assessment. 48 patients completed the 48 weeks of treatment; two discontinued (one withdrew consent at week 8, one was lost to follow-up at week 12). The regimen was well tolerated and no discontinuations related to adverse events occurred. The mean AUCtau for elvitegravir was 23 840 ng × h per mL (coefficient of variation [CV] 25·5%), and the mean AUClast for tenofovir alafenamide was 189 ng × h per mL (CV 55·8%). Four participants (8%) had a serious adverse event, one of which (intermediate uveitis) was deemed related to the study regimen but resolved without treatment interruption. The most common study drug-related adverse events were nausea (in ten participants), abdominal pain (in six), and vomiting (in five). Exposures to the elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide regimen were similar to those previously noted in adults. INTERPRETATION: The elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide regimen was well tolerated and achieved component plasma pharmacokinetic exposures similar to those in adults. Although non-comparative with a small sample size, these data support the use of this regimen in HIV-infected adolescents and its timely assessment in younger children. FUNDING: Gilead Sciences.

Pharmacokinetic drug-drug interaction study of ranolazine and metformin in subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Ranolazine and metformin may be frequently co-administered in subjects with chronic angina and co-morbid type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The potential for a drug-drug interaction was explored in two phase 1 clinical studies in subjects with T2DM to evaluate the pharmacokinetics and safety of metformin 1000 mg BID when administered with ranolazine 1000 mg BID (Study 1, N = 28) or ranolazine 500 mg BID (Study 2, N = 25) as compared to metformin alone. Co-administration of ranolazine 1000 mg BID with metformin 1000 mg BID resulted in 1.53- and 1.79-fold increases in steady-state metformin Cmax and AUCtau , respectively; co-administration of ranolazine 500 mg BID with metformin 1000 mg BID resulted in 1.22- and 1.37-fold increases in steady-state metformin Cmax and AUCtau , respectively. Co-administration of ranolazine and metformin was well tolerated in these T2DM subjects, with no serious adverse events or drug-related adverse events leading to discontinuation. The most common adverse events were nausea, diarrhea, and dizziness. These findings are consistent with a dose-related interaction between ranolazine and metformin, and suggest that a dose adjustment of metformin may not be required with ranolazine 500 mg BID; whereas, the metformin dose should not exceed 1700 mg of total daily dose when using ranolazine 1000 mg BID.

Projections of the cost of cancer care in the United States: 2010-2020.

BACKGROUND: Current estimates of the costs of cancer care in the United States are based on data from 2003 and earlier. However, incidence, survival, and practice patterns have been changing for the majority of cancers. METHODS: Cancer prevalence was estimated and projected by phase of care (initial year following diagnosis, continuing, and last year of life) and tumor site for 13 cancers in men and 16 cancers in women through 2020. Cancer prevalence was calculated from cancer incidence and survival models estimated from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program data. Annualized net costs were estimated from recent SEER-Medicare linkage data, which included claims through 2006 among beneficiaries aged 65 years and older with a cancer diagnosis. Control subjects without cancer were identified from a 5% random sample of all Medicare beneficiaries residing in the SEER areas to adjust for expenditures not related to cancer. All cost estimates were adjusted to 2010 dollars. Different scenarios for assumptions about future trends in incidence, survival, and cost were assessed with sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Assuming constant incidence, survival, and cost, we projected 13.8 and 18.1 million cancer survivors in 2010 and 2020, respectively, with associated costs of cancer care of 124.57 and 157.77 billion 2010 US dollars. This 27% increase in medical costs reflects US population changes only. The largest increases were in the continuing phase of care for prostate cancer (42%) and female breast cancer (32%). Projections of current trends in incidence (declining) and survival (increasing) had small effects on 2020 estimates. However, if costs of care increase annually by 2% in the initial and last year of life phases of care, the total cost in 2020 is projected to be $173 billion, which represents a 39% increase from 2010. CONCLUSIONS: The national cost of cancer care is substantial and expected to increase because of population changes alone. Our findings have implications for policy makers in planning and allocation of resources.

An IL28B genotype-based clinical prediction model for treatment of chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: Genetic variation in IL28B and other factors are associated with sustained virological response (SVR) after pegylated-interferon/ribavirin treatment for chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Using data from the HALT-C Trial, we developed a model to predict a patient's probability of SVR based on IL28B genotype and clinical variables. METHODS: HALT-C enrolled patients with advanced CHC who had failed previous interferon-based treatment. Subjects were re-treated with pegylated-interferon/ribavirin during trial lead-in. We used step-wise logistic regression to calculate adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and create the predictive model. Leave-one-out cross-validation was used to predict a priori probabilities of SVR and determine area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC). RESULTS: Among 646 HCV genotype 1-infected European American patients, 14.2% achieved SVR. IL28B rs12979860-CC genotype was the strongest predictor of SVR (aOR, 7.56; p<.0001); the model also included HCV RNA (log10 IU/ml), AST:ALT ratio, Ishak fibrosis score and prior ribavirin treatment. For this model AUC was 78.5%, compared to 73.0% for a model restricted to the four clinical predictors and 60.0% for a model restricted to IL28B genotype (p<0.001). Subjects with a predicted probability of SVR <10% had an observed SVR rate of 3.8%; subjects with a predicted probability >10% (43.3% of subjects) had an SVR rate of 27.9% and accounted for 84.8% of subjects actually achieving SVR. To verify that consideration of both IL28B genotype and clinical variables is required for treatment decisions, we calculated AUC values from published data for the IDEAL Study. CONCLUSION: A clinical prediction model based on IL28B genotype and clinical variables can yield useful individualized predictions of the probability of treatment success that could increase SVR rates and decrease the frequency of futile treatment among patients with CHC.