Assessment of COVID-19 risk factors of early and long-term mortality with prediction models of clinical and laboratory variables.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) may lead to serious complications and increased mortality. The outcomes of patients who survive the early disease period are burdened with persistent long-term symptoms and increased long-term morbidity and mortality. The aim of our study was to determine which baseline parameters may provide the best prediction of early and long-term outcomes. METHODS: The study group comprised 141 patients hospitalized for COVID-19. Demographic data, clinical data and laboratory parameters were collected. The main study endpoints were defined as in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality. The associations between the baseline data and the study endpoints were evaluated. Prediction models were created. RESULTS: The in-hospital mortality rate was 20.5% (n = 29). Compared with survivors, nonsurvivors were significantly older (p = 0.001) and presented comorbidities, including diabetes (0.027) and atrial fibrillation (p = 0.006). Assessment of baseline laboratory markers and time to early death revealed negative correlations between time to early death and higher IL-6 levels (p = 0.032; Spearman rho - 0.398) and lower lymphocyte counts (p = 0.018; Pearson r -0.438). The one-year mortality rate was 35.5% (n = 50). The 1-year nonsurvivor subgroup was older (p < 0.001) and had more patients with arterial hypertension (p = 0.009), diabetes (p = 0.023), atrial fibrillation (p = 0.046) and active malignancy (p = 0.024) than did the survivor subgroup. The model composed of diabetes and atrial fibrillation and IL-6 with lymphocyte count revealed the highest value for 1-year mortality risk prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes and atrial fibrillation, as clinical factors, and LDH, IL-6 and lymphocyte count, as laboratory determinants, are the best predictors of COVID-19 mortality risk.

Target Blood Pressure Values in Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring.

INTRODUCTION: 2018 ESC/ESH guidelines have recommended 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring to assess hypotensive therapy in many circumstances. Recommended target blood pressure in office blood pressure measurements is between 120/70 and 130/80 mmHg. Such targets for 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring lacks. AIM: We aimed to define target values of blood pressure in 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring in hypertensive patients. METHODS: Office blood pressure measurements and 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring data were collected from 1313 hypertensive patients and sorted following increasing systolic (SBP)/diastolic (DBP) blood pressure in office blood pressure measurements. The corresponding 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring to office blood pressure measurements values were calculated. RESULTS: Values 130/80 mmHg in office blood pressure measurements correspond in 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring: night-time SBP/DBP mean: 113.74/66.95 mmHg; daytime SBP/DBP mean: 135.02/81.78 mmHg and 24-h SBP/DBP mean: 130.24/78.73 mmHg. Values 120/70 mmHg in office blood pressure measurements correspond in 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring: night-time SBP/DBP mean: 109.50/63.43 mmHg; daytime SBP/DBP mean: 131.01/78.47 mmHg and 24-h SBP/DBP mean: 126.36/75.31 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed blood pressure target values in 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring complement the therapeutic target indicated in the ESC/ESH recommendations and improves 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring usefulness in clinical practice.