Anti-Epstein-Barr Virus BNLF2b for Mass Screening for Nasopharyngeal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Population screening of asymptomatic persons with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA or antibodies has improved the diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma and survival among affected persons. However, the positive predictive value of current screening strategies is unsatisfactory even in areas where nasopharyngeal carcinoma is endemic. METHODS: We designed a peptide library representing highly ranked B-cell epitopes of EBV coding sequences to identify novel serologic biomarkers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. After a retrospective case-control study, the performance of the novel biomarker anti-BNLF2b total antibody (P85-Ab) was validated through a large-scale prospective screening program and compared with that of the standard two-antibody-based screening method (EBV nuclear antigen 1 [EBNA1]-IgA and EBV-specific viral capsid antigen [VCA]-IgA). RESULTS: P85-Ab was the most promising biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening, with high sensitivity (94.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 86.4 to 97.8) and specificity (99.6%; 95% CI, 97.8 to 99.9) in the retrospective case-control study. Among the 24,852 eligible participants in the prospective cohort, 47 cases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (38 at an early stage) were identified. P85-Ab showed higher sensitivity than the two-antibody method (97.9% vs. 72.3%; ratio, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.1 to 1.6]), higher specificity (98.3% vs. 97.0%; ratio, 1.01 [95% CI, 1.01 to 1.02]), and a higher positive predictive value (10.0% vs. 4.3%; ratio, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.8 to 2.8]). The combination of P85-Ab and the two-antibody method markedly increased the positive predictive value to 44.6% (95% CI, 33.8 to 55.9), with sensitivity of 70.2% (95% CI, 56.0 to 81.4). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that P85-Ab is a promising novel biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening, with higher sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value than the standard two-antibody method. (Funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04085900.).

Pre-diagnostic anti-EBV antibodies and primary liver cancer risk: a population-based nested case-control study in southern China.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate associations between pre-diagnostic anti-Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) antibodies, including interactions with hepatitis B virus (HBV), and risk of primary liver cancer in southern China. METHODS: In a population-based nested case-control study, we measured pre-diagnostic immunoglobulin A (IgA) against EBV nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) and viral capsid antigen (VCA) in 125 primary liver cancer cases and 2077 matched controls. We also explored the interaction between HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) and anti-EBV antibodies. RESULTS: Participants with positive EBNA1-IgA, positive VCA-IgA or single-positive anti-EBV antibodies had two-fold odds of developing liver cancer, compared with seronegative subjects. The odds ratios (ORs) between the relative optical density of EBNA1-IgA and VCA-IgA and primary cancer, controlling for age and HBsAg, were 1.59 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17, 2.14) and 1.60 (95% CI: 1.07, 2.41), respectively. Subjects with both HBsAg and anti-EBV antibody seropositivity were at 50-fold increased risk compared with those negative for both biomarkers (OR: 50.67, 95% CI: 18.28, 140.46), yielding a relative excess risk due to interaction of 30.81 (95% CI: 3.42, 114.93). CONCLUSION: Pre-diagnostic seropositivity for EBNA1-IgA and/or VCA-IgA was positively associated with primary liver cancer risk, especially in combination with HBsAg positivity. EBV may interact with HBV in the development of primary liver cancer, and anti-EBV antibodies might be potential biomarkers for primary liver cancer in this high-risk population.

EBV antibody and gastric cancer risk: a population-based nested case-control study in southern China.

BACKGROUND: We aim to clarify the controversial associations between EBV-related antibodies and gastric cancer risk. METHODS: We analysed the associations between serological Epstein-Barr nuclear antigen 1 immunoglobulin A (EBNA1-IgA) and viral capsid antigen immunoglobulin A (VCA-IgA) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and the risk of gastric cancer in a nested case-control study originated from a population-based nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) screening cohort in Zhongshan, a city of southern China, including 18 gastric cancer cases and 444 controls. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: All the sera of cases were sampled before diagnosis and the median time interval was 3.04 (range: 0.04, 7.59) years. Both increased relative optical density (rOD) values of EBNA1-IgA and VCA-IgA were associated with higher risks of gastric cancer with age adjusted ORs of 1.99 (95%CI: 1.07, 3.70) and 2.64 (95%CI: 1.33, 5.23), respectively. Each participant was further classified as high or medium/low risk based on a combination of two anti-EBV antibody levels. Participants in the high-risk group had substantially higher odds of developing gastric cancer than that in the medium/low risk group with an age adjusted OR of 6.53 (95%CI: 1.69, 25.26). CONCLUSIONS: Our research reveals positive associations between EBNA1-IgA and VCA-IgA and gastric cancer risk in southern China. We thus postulate that EBNA1-IgA and VCA-IgA might appear to be potential biomarkers for gastric cancer. More research to further validate the results among diverse populations and investigate its underlying biological mechanism is needed.

Prospective assessment of a nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk score in a population undergoing screening.

Despite evidence suggesting the utility of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) markers to stratify individuals with respect to nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) risk in NPC high-risk regions, no validated NPC risk prediction model exists. We aimed to validate an EBV-based NPC risk score in an endemic population undergoing screening for NPC. This prospective study was embedded within an ongoing NPC screening trial in southern China initiated in 2008, with 51 235 adult participants. We assessed the score's discriminatory ability (area under the receiver-operator-characteristics curve, AUC). A new model incorporating the EBV score, sex and family history was developed using logistic regression and internally validated using cross-validation. AUCs were compared. We also calculated absolute NPC risk combining the risk score with population incidence and competing mortality data. A total of 151 NPC cases were detected in 2008 to 2016. The EBV-based score was highly discriminating, with AUC = 0.95 (95% CI = 0.93-0.97). For 90% specificity, the score had 87.4% sensitivity (95% CI = 81.0-92.3%). As specificity increased from 90% to 99%, the positive predictive value increased from 2.4% (95% CI = 1.9-3.0%) to 12.5% (9.9-15.5%). Correspondingly, the number of positive tests per detected NPC case decreased from 272 (95% CI = 255-290) to 50 (41-59). Combining the score with other risk factors (sex, first-degree family history of NPC) did not improve AUC. Men aged 55 to 59 years with the highest risk profile had the highest 5-year absolute NPC risk of 6.5%. We externally validated the discriminatory accuracy of a previously developed EBV score in a high-risk population. Adding nonviral risk factors did not improve NPC prediction.

A bi-objective robust optimization approach for the management of infectious wastes with demand uncertainty during a pandemic.

The current global COVID-19 pandemic attracts public attention to the management of waste generated by health-care activities. Due to the hazardous nature, infectious waste requires the design of a multi-tiered system to provide cost-efficient and eco-friendly services of waste collection, transportation, treatment, and final disposal. However, the impact of uncertainties has not been well studied in the existing literature. Considering the presence of random waste generation during a pandemic, we aim to answer the following questions: 1) where to locate temporary transfer stations and temporary treatment centers; 2) how to plan collection tours among the small generation nodes and temporary transfer stations; 3) how to plan the direct transportation from large generation nodes to treatment centers; 4) how to transport waste from temporary transfer stations to treatment centers, and 5) how to transport wastes from treatment centers to disposal facilities. The relevant cost and associated risk are respectively formulated and assessed using a scenario-based bi-objective robust approach. The complexity of the resulting mathematical model motivated the adaption and comparison of three multi-objective optimization approaches, including the goal programming method, a lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff approach, and an augmented ϵ-constraint solution technique. A case study based on the real situation in Wuhan, China, during the COVID-19 outbreak is conducted to demonstrate the workability of the proposed model and provide managerial insights for infectious waste management. The computational results show that our proposed model can more than double the demand fulfillment rate at an approximately 40% lower cost when facing a distinctively high increment in the amount of infectious waste.

[The following-up study of high-risk and moderate-risk groups defined by EB virus serology test at the nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening programme].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between changes in high-risk populations and screening detected nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) during the three-year follow-up of high-risk and moderate-risk groups at initial EB virus serology screening. METHODS: We tested EB virus VCA-IgA and EBNA1-IgA antibody to identify the probability of suffering from NPC of the crowd. The high-risk and moderate-risk groups at initial screening in one county during 2009 to 2010 were followed-up once a year with EB virus serology testing. All the high-risk people during initial screening and follow-up were conducted with nasopharyngeal fiber endoscopy. Through the follow-up of three years, we analyzed changes in the number of high-risk group, detection rate of NPC in high-risk group, and tumor staging. Firstly detected NPC by screening was defined as screening group, and detected by following-up was defined as following-up group. RESULTS: A total of 404 participants were at high-risk and 1 041 participants were at moderate-risk group, 1 445 persons were in the group. All 404 persons were at high-risk at initial screening, the number of high-risk people during follow-up decreased from 371 to 187, 853 people of the all high-risk group were conducted with nasopharyngeal fiber endoscopy, and 38 cases of NPC were detected. NPC detection rate of high-risk group was 6.2% (25/404), 3.2% (12/371), 0.5% (1/188) and 0 (0/187) during the initial screening and three years follow-up respectively. The cumulative incidence of NPC in the high-risk and moderate-risk group were 7.7% (31/404) ,0.8% (8/1 041) . The early diagnosis rate of NPC in screening group and following-up group was 80% (20/25)and 11/13, respectively. With the primary tumor, the rate of T1 in screening group was higher than following-up group (80% to 38%, 20/25 to 5/13; P = 0.028). However, compared with following-up group, the rate of regional lymph node metastasis in screening group was higher (19/25 to 5/13; P = 0.035 ). CONCLUSION: Along with the high detection rate of early staging NPC in screening group and following-up group, the detection of NPC in high risk people is mainly at initial screening and the first year following-up and NPC detection rate thereafter is dropping significantly.

Monitoring Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Tumor Content in Circulating Cell-Free DNA.

PURPOSE: The objective of the study was to evaluate the use of tumor content in circulating cell-free DNA (ccfDNA) for monitoring hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) throughout its natural history. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We included 67 patients with hepatitis B virus-related HCC, of whom 17 had paired pre- and posttreatment samples, and 90 controls. Additionally, in a prospective cohort with hepatitis B virus surface antigen-positive participants recruited in 2012 and followed up biannually with blood sample collections until 2019, we included 270 repeated samples before diagnosis from 63 participants who later developed HCC (pre-HCC samples). Shallow whole-genome sequencing and the ichorCNA method were used to analyze genome-wide copy number and tumor content in ccfDNA. RESULTS: High tumor content was associated with advanced tumor stage (P < 0.001) and poor survival after HCC diagnosis [HR = 12.35; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.413-107.9; P = 0.023]. Tumor content turned negative after surgery (P = 0.027), whereas it remained positive after transarterial chemoembolization treatment (P = 0.578). In non-HCC samples, the mean tumor content (±SD) was 0.011 (±0.007) and had a specificity of 97.8% (95% CI = 92.2%-99.7%). In pre-HCC samples, the tumor content increased from 0.014 at 4 years before diagnosis to 0.026 at 1 year before diagnosis. The sensitivity of tumor content in detecting HCC increased from 22.7% (95% CI = 11.5%-37.8%) within 1 year before diagnosis to 30.4% (95% CI = 13.2%-52.9%) at the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A, 81.8% (95% CI = 59.7%-94.8%) at stage B, and 95.5% (95% CI = 77.2%-99.9%) at stage C. CONCLUSIONS: The tumor content in ccfDNA is correlated with tumor burden and may help in monitoring HCC 1 yearearlier than clinical diagnosis and in predicting patient prognosis.

Circulating DNA genome-wide fragmentation in early detection and disease monitoring of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Genome-wide circulating cell-free DNA (ccfDNA) fragmentation for cancer detection has been rarely evaluated using blood samples collected before cancer diagnosis. To evaluate ccfDNA fragmentation for detecting early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we first modeled and tested using hospitalized HCC patients and then evaluated in a population-based study. A total of 427 samples were analyzed, including 270 samples collected prior to HCC diagnosis from a population-based study. Our model distinguished hospital HCC patients from controls excellently (area under curve 0.999). A high ccfDNA fragmentation score was highly associated with an advanced tumor stage and a shorter survival. In evaluation, the model showed increasing sensitivities in detecting HCC using 'pre-samples' collected ≥4 years (8.3%), 3-4 years (20.0%), 2-3 years (31.0%), 1-2 years (35.0%), and 0-1 year (36.4%) before diagnosis. These findings suggested ccfDNA fragmentation is sensitive in clinical HCC detection and might be helpful in screening early HCC.

Two Epstein-Barr virus-related serologic antibody tests in nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening: results from the initial phase of a cluster randomized controlled trial in Southern China.

A nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) mass screening trial using a combination of immunoglobulin A antibodies to Epstein-Barr virus capsid antigen and nuclear antigen-1 by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in addition to indirect mirror examination in the nasopharynx and/or lymphatic palpation (IMLP) was conducted in southern China. Cantonese aged 30-59 years residing in 2 cities randomly selected by cluster sampling, Sihui and Zhongshan, were invited to participate in this screening from May 2008 through May 2010. Participants were offered fiberoptic endoscopy examination and/or pathologic biopsy if their serologic tests reached our predefined level of high risk or if results from the physical examination indicated possible cancer (i.e., were IMLP positive). A total of 28,688 individuals were voluntarily screened in the initial round. The overall NPC detection rate was 0.14% (41/28,688) with an early diagnosis rate of 68.3% (28/41) during the first year of follow-up. Thirty-eight of 41 cases (92.7%) were detected among the high-risk group, and 7 of 41 cases (17.1%) were detected among the IMLP-positive group. The 2 Epstein-Barr virus serologic tests by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay could be a feasible alternative for NPC screening in endemic areas. Further follow-up is needed to examine whether screening has an effect on decreasing mortality from NPC in these areas.

A polygenic risk score for nasopharyngeal carcinoma shows potential for risk stratification and personalized screening.

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have the potential to identify individuals at risk of diseases, optimizing treatment, and predicting survival outcomes. Here, we construct and validate a genome-wide association study (GWAS) derived PRS for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), using a multi-center study of six populations (6 059 NPC cases and 7 582 controls), and evaluate its utility in a nested case-control study. We show that the PRS enables effective identification of NPC high-risk individuals (AUC = 0.65) and improves the risk prediction with the PRS incremental deciles in each population (Ptrend ranging from 2.79 × 10-7 to 4.79 × 10-44). By incorporating the PRS into EBV-serology-based NPC screening, the test's positive predictive value (PPV) is increased from an average of 4.84% to 8.38% and 11.91% in the top 10% and 5% PRS, respectively. In summary, the GWAS-derived PRS, together with the EBV test, significantly improves NPC risk stratification and informs personalized screening.

Efficacy of Chemiluminescence Immunoassays on VCA-IgA and EBNA1-IgA Antibodies of Epstein-Barr Virus in Diagnosing Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Background: IgA antibodies against Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) capsid antigen (VCA) and nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) have been proposed to facilitate the diagnosis and early detection of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in high-incidence regions. However, while new methodologies and new platforms for the detection of VCA-IgA and EBNA1-IgA have become available, proper interassay simultaneous comparisons have not been carried out. The study was to compare the performance of the chemiluminescent immunoassays (CLIA) and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for VCA-IgA and EBNA1-IgA antibodies, and to evaluate the levels of EBV antibodies in healthy population from different areas of China. Methods: CLIA and ELISA for VCA-IgA and EBNA1-IgA were performed in NPC and healthy populations from high-incidence areas of NPC in South China (N=555), medium-incidence areas of NPC in Central China (N=318) and low-incidence areas of NPC in North China (N=379), and the results were compared and analyzed. Results: (1) The highest sensitivity in total, early and advanced NPC were 91.5% (CLIA for VCA-IgA), 86.4% (CLIA and ELISA-2 for EBNA1-IgA) and 93.6% (CLIA for VCA-IgA). However, the specificity of EBV-IgA measured by CLIA was relatively lower than ELISA. The top three seromarkers with the largest AUC was CLIA for VCA-IgA (AUC: 0.929, 95% CI: 0.905-0.953), ELISA-2 for EBNA1-IgA (AUC: 0.922, 95% CI: 0.896-0.947) and CLIA for EBNA1-IgA (AUC:0.919, 95% CI: 0.893-0.945), respectively. The positive and negative coincidence rates of the two EBNA1-IgA kits were 69.5% and 91.9%, respectively. However, the coincidence rates of VCA-IgA were relatively low. CLIA kits had good repeatability between different laboratories. (2) The positive rates of EBV-IgA antibodies were relatively high in high-incidence areas of NPC (P < 0.017), while there was no significant difference in the antibody positive rates between medium-incidence areas and low-incidence areas of NPC (P > 0.05). Conclusions: The performance of EBV-IgA antibodies measured by CLIA has good repeatability, higher sensitivity and similar specificity. The higher EBV-IgA positive rate in healthy subjects by CLIA raises concern about its suitability for NPC-risk screening and requires further analysis.

A Retrospective Cohort Study of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Screening and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Zhongshang City.

Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have remained a major burden of public health in Southern China. The screening for early disease in asymptomatic individuals has potentially been the most promising tool to improve cancer treatment outcomes. The present study aims to evaluate the compliance rates and characteristics of cancer incidence in the population of NPC and HCC screening. Methods: Enzyme-linked immunsorbent assay (ELISA) for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) antibodies and Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) was performed in this population. NPC high/medium risk and HCC high risk individuals were followed-up for a number of years. The compliance rate, cancer incidence and early diagnosis rate of the screened population were statistically analyzed. Results: (1) In the preliminary screening, the compliance rate for NPC screening was significantly higher than that for HCC screening (29.3% vs. 26.2%; P<0.05). The compliance rates for screening were positively associated with age in these two screenings (P<0.01). (2) In the NPC screening, the compliance rates for the first year follow-up among NPC high/medium risk individuals were 74.9%, which was higher than that (60.2%) for the second year follow-up (P<0.05). The compliance rates for fiberoptic endoscopy among high risk individuals decreased along with the frequency of screening (P<0.016). The rates of missed diagnosis by non-compliance and the poor diagnostic accuracy of indicators were 3.3% and 3.3%, respectively. The average annual incidence and early diagnosis rate of the compliers were higher than those of the non-compliers (94.3 per 100,000 vs. 29.0 per 100,000; P<0.05 and 77.8% vs. 18.5%; P<0.05). (3) In the preliminary HCC screening, the compliance rate for ultrasonography among high risk individuals was 61.8%. The compliance rates for the follow-up were unsatisfactory. The rates of missed diagnosis by non-compliance and the poor diagnostic accuracy of indicators were 12.3% and 24.6%, respectively. There was no significant differences in average annual incidence and the rate of early diagnosis between compliers and non-compliers (79.4 per 100,000 vs. 54.6 per 100,000, P>0.05; 49.1% vs. 38.5%, P>0.05). Conclusion: The compliance rates for NPC and HCC screening needs to be improved. In particular, public health policies for HCC should be implemented. The present NPC screening could be the preferred strategy. However, the efficiency of HCC screening remains substantially unsatisfactory and needs to be further discussed.

Assessment of the Long-term Diagnostic Performance of a New Serological Screening Scheme in Large-scale Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Screening.

Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains as a major public health burden in Southern China. Over the last decade, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) serological detection has been the most promising tool used for NPC screening. The present study aims to evaluate the long-term diagnostic performance of a new NPC screening scheme (probability of NPC units [logit P], PROB≥0.65), and compare this with other EBV seromarkers used within 2009-2015. Methods: Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for EBV capsid antigen (VCA/IgA) and nuclear antigen-1 (EBNA1/IgA) was performed in 16,712 subjects, who were within 30-59 years old.All subjects were followed up for six years. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and correlation analyses were preformed to evaluate the diagnostic value of different measures. Furthermore, the rates of early diagnosis in NPC patients were statistically analyzed. Results: The new NPC screening scheme (PROB≥0.65) and the four strategies (VCA/IgA, EBNA1/IgA, VCA/IgA and EBNA1/IgA, and VCA/IgA or EBNA1/IgA) had comparable rates of early diagnosis for NPC (no significant difference was found), but the sensitivity of the new scheme (95.7%) was higher than that of the others. The top three seromarkers with the largest AUC were PROB≥0.65 (AUC:0.926, 95% CI: 0.885-0.966), VCA/IgA or EBNA1/IgA (AUC:0.883, 95% CI:0.824-0.942), and EBNA1/IgA (AUC: 0.866, 95% CI: 0.794-0.938). Conclusion: The new NPC screening scheme (PROB≥0.65) based on VCA/IgA and EBNA1/IgA outperforms the other seromarkers, and making it the preferred serodiagnostic strategy for long-term NPC screening in high-incidence areas.

Mass screening for liver cancer: results from a demonstration screening project in Zhongshan City, China.

Current Chinese national guidelines recommend routine screening for liver cancer in patients positive for HBsAg, irrespective of fibrosis status, age, or family history of liver cancer. We aim to evaluate whether the recommended screening strategy could reduce liver-cancer-specific mortality. We conducted a liver cancer mass screening trial in Xiaolan Town, Zhongshan City, China, among residents aged 35-64 years in 2012. All volunteers were offered serological testing for hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg). We proposed biannual screening using serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and ultrasonography examination for subjects positive for HBsAg. Among 17,966 participants (26.2% of 68,510 eligible residents) who were free of liver cancer at baseline in 2012, we identified 57 incident cases of liver cancer within the first 4 years of follow-up (i.e., 43 among 2,848 HBsAg-positive participants and 14 among 15,118 HBsAg-negative participants), compared with 104 cases identified in non-participants (N = 50,544). A total of 207 participants had the recommended number of ultrasonography examinations (every 6 months) during the screening period. Compared with cases identified from non-participants, the cases arising among participants were more likely to be at early stage and had better survival than those among non-participants. However, we did not observe a reduction in liver cancer-specific mortality rate among participants (relative risk = 1.04, 95% confidence interval = 0.68, 1.58, P = 0.856). Our demonstration screening study does not show a reduction in liver cancer mortality within the first 4 years of follow-up according to current guidance in China, although long-term efficacy remains to be evaluated. Targeted surveillance among high-risk individuals as recommended by international guidelines, along with measures to improve compliance, should be evaluated in the Chinese population.