Validation of the ALK-Brain Prognostic Index for patients with ALK-rearranged lung cancer and brain metastases.

BACKGROUND: Brain metastases (BMs) are a key challenge in the management of anaplastic lymphoma kinase-rearranged non-small-cell lung cancer (ALK+ NSCLC), but prognostic scores are complicated or rely on data before the era of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). This study aimed to validate the novel ALK-Brain Prognostic Index (ALK-BPI), which was originally proposed based on 44 TKI-treated ALK+ NSCLC patients from Karolinska University Hospital, using an external clinical cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: TKI-treated ALK+ NSCLC patients with BM from Heidelberg (n = 82, cohort 1) were retrospectively analyzed alone and together with the original Karolinska cohort (n = 126, cohort 2). Cox regression models were used to determine the association of clinical variables and scores with overall survival (OS) after BM diagnosis (BM-related OS). RESULTS: Both cohorts showed a similar median age (58 years), roughly balanced sex distributions (52%-56% females), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) 0-2 for most patients (87%-92%) at the time of BM development, which were present already at initial diagnosis in 36%-38% of the patients. Most patients had received next-generation ALK inhibitors (54%-63%), while 55%-56% of patients did not receive any radiotherapy. The ALK-BPI identified poor-risk patients (i.e. featuring ≥ 2/3 risk factors: PS > 2, male sex, development of BM after initial diagnosis) with a significantly shorter BM-related OS than other patients in both cohorts: 32/82 in cohort 1 with 21.3 versus 62.2 months in median [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.5, P < 0.001]; 59/126 in cohort 2 with 23.1 versus 67.2 months in median (HR = 2.6, P < 0.001). The five-parameter Lung-molGPA score did not achieve statistical significance and/or clear prognostic separation in all four groups, while the Disease-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment score did not show consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: The ALK-BPI is a reliable tool for easy prognostic dichotomization of TKI-treated ALK+ NSCLC patients with BM in daily clinical practice, without the complexity of previous models.

Prognostic role of serum thymidine kinase 1 kinetics during neoadjuvant chemotherapy for early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Emerging data support the use of thymidine kinase 1 (TK1) activity as a prognostic marker and for monitoring of response in breast cancer (BC). The long-term prognostic value of TK1 kinetics during neoadjuvant chemotherapy is unclear, which this study aimed to elucidate. METHODS: Material from patients enrolled to the single-arm prospective PROMIX trial of neoadjuvant epirubicin, docetaxel and bevacizumab for early BC was used. Ki67 in baseline biopsies was assessed both centrally and by automated digital imaging analysis. TK1 activity was measured from blood samples obtained at baseline and following two cycles of chemotherapy. The associations of TK1 and its kinetics as well as Ki67 with event-free survival and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: Central Ki67 counting had excellent correlation with the results of digital image analysis (r = 0.814), but not with the diagnostic samples (r = 0.234), while it was independently prognostic for worse OS [adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) = 2.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19-6.21, P = 0.02]. Greater increase in TK1 activity after two cycles of chemotherapy resulted in improved event-free survival (HRadj = 0.50, 95% CI 0.26-0.97, P = 0.04) and OS (HRadj = 0.46, 95% CI 0.95, P = 0.04). There was significant interaction between the prognostic value of TK1 kinetics and Ki67 (pinteraction 0.04). CONCLUSION: Serial measurement of serum TK1 activity during neoadjuvant chemotherapy provides long-term prognostic information in BC patients. The ease of obtaining serial samples for TK1 assessment motivates further evaluation in larger studies.