Predictive ability of hypotension prediction index and machine learning methods in intraoperative hypotension: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Intraoperative Hypotension (IOH) poses a substantial risk during surgical procedures. The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in predicting IOH holds promise for enhancing detection capabilities, providing an opportunity to improve patient outcomes. This systematic review and meta analysis explores the intersection of AI and IOH prediction, addressing the crucial need for effective monitoring in surgical settings. METHOD: A search of Pubmed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase was conducted. Screening involved two-phase assessments by independent reviewers, ensuring adherence to predefined PICOS criteria. Included studies focused on AI models predicting IOH in any type of surgery. Due to the high number of studies evaluating the hypotension prediction index (HPI), we conducted two sets of meta-analyses: one involving the HPI studies and one including non-HPI studies. In the HPI studies the following outcomes were analyzed: cumulative duration of IOH per patient, time weighted average of mean arterial pressure < 65 (TWA-MAP < 65), area under the threshold of mean arterial pressure (AUT-MAP), and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). In the non-HPI studies, we examined the pooled AUROC of all AI models other than HPI. RESULTS: 43 studies were included in this review. Studies showed significant reduction in IOH duration, TWA-MAP < 65 mmHg, and AUT-MAP < 65 mmHg in groups where HPI was used. AUROC for HPI algorithms demonstrated strong predictive performance (AUROC = 0.89, 95CI). Non-HPI models had a pooled AUROC of 0.79 (95CI: 0.74, 0.83). CONCLUSION: HPI demonstrated excellent ability to predict hypotensive episodes and hence reduce the duration of hypotension. Other AI models, particularly those based on deep learning methods, also indicated a great ability to predict IOH, while their capacity to reduce IOH-related indices such as duration remains unclear.

Comparison of Differences in Cohort (Forward) and Case Control (Backward) Methodologic Approaches for Validation of the Hypotension Prediction Index.

BACKGROUND: The Hypotension Prediction Index (the index) software is a machine learning algorithm that detects physiologic changes that may lead to hypotension. The original validation used a case control (backward) analysis that has been suggested to be biased. This study therefore conducted a cohort (forward) analysis and compared this to the original validation technique. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of data from previously reported studies was conducted. All data were analyzed identically with two different methodologies, and receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed. Both backward and forward analyses were performed to examine differences in area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the Hypotension Prediction Index and other hemodynamic variables to predict a mean arterial pressure (MAP) less than 65 mmHg for at least 1 min 5, 10, and 15 min in advance. RESULTS: The analysis included 2,022 patients, yielding 4,152,124 measurements taken at 20-s intervals. The area under the curve for the index predicting hypotension analyzed by backward and forward methodologies respectively was 0.957 (95% CI, 0.947 to 0.964) versus 0.923 (95% CI, 0.912 to 0.933) 5 min in advance, 0.933 (95% CI, 0.924 to 0.942) versus 0.923 (95% CI, 0.911 to 0.933) 10 min in advance, and 0.929 (95% CI, 0.918 to 0.938) versus 0.926 (95% CI, 0.914 to 0.937) 15 min in advance. No variable other than MAP had an area under the curve greater than 0.7. The areas under the curve using forward analysis for MAP predicting hypotension 5, 10, and 15 min in advance were 0.932 (95% CI, 0.920 to 0.940), 0.929 (95% CI, 0.918 to 0.938), and 0.932 (95% CI, 0.921 to 0.940), respectively. The R2 for the variation in the index due to MAP was 0.77. CONCLUSIONS: Using an updated methodology, the study found that the utility of the Hypotension Prediction Index to predict future hypotensive events is high, with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve similar to that of the original validation method.

Hypotension Prediction Index Is Equally Effective in Predicting Intraoperative Hypotension during Noncardiac Surgery Compared to a Mean Arterial Pressure Threshold: A Prospective Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The Hypotension Prediction Index is designed to predict intraoperative hypotension in a timely manner and is based on arterial waveform analysis using machine learning. It has recently been suggested that this algorithm is highly correlated with the mean arterial pressure itself. Therefore, the aim of this study was to compare the index with mean arterial pressure-based prediction methods, and it is hypothesized that their ability to predict hypotension is comparable. METHODS: In this observational study, the Hypotension Prediction Index was used in addition to routine intraoperative monitoring during moderate- to high-risk elective noncardiac surgery. The agreement in time between the default Hypotension Prediction Index alarm (greater than 85) and different concurrent mean arterial pressure thresholds was evaluated. Additionally, the predictive performance of the index and different mean arterial pressure-based methods were assessed within 5, 10, and 15 min before hypotension occurred. RESULTS: A total of 100 patients were included. A mean arterial pressure threshold of 73 mmHg agreed 97% of the time with the default index alarm, whereas a mean arterial pressure threshold of 72 mmHg had the most comparable predictive performance. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the Hypotension Prediction Index (0.89 [0.88 to 0.89]) and concurrent mean arterial pressure (0.88 [0.88 to 0.89]) were almost identical for predicting hypotension within 5 min, outperforming both linearly extrapolated mean arterial pressure (0.85 [0.84 to 0.85]) and delta mean arterial pressure (0.66 [0.65 to 0.67]). The positive predictive value was 31.9 (31.3 to 32.6)% for the default index alarm and 32.9 (32.2 to 33.6)% for a mean arterial pressure threshold of 72 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: In clinical practice, the Hypotension Prediction Index alarms are highly similar to those derived from mean arterial pressure, which implies that the machine learning algorithm could be substituted by an alarm based on a mean arterial pressure threshold set at 72 or 73 mmHg. Further research on intraoperative hypotension prediction should therefore include comparison with mean arterial pressure-based alarms and related effects on patient outcome.

Pilot Study to Optimize Goal-directed Hemodynamic Management During Pancreatectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Intraoperative goal-directed hemodynamic therapy (GDHT) is a cornerstone of enhanced recovery protocols. We hypothesized that use of an advanced noninvasive intraoperative hemodynamic monitoring system to guide GDHT may decrease intraoperative hypotension (IOH) and improve perfusion during pancreatic resection. METHODS: The monitor uses machine learning to produce the Hypotension Prediction Index to predict hypotensive episodes. A clinical decision-making algorithm uses the Hypotension Prediction Index and hemodynamic data to guide intraoperative fluid versus pressor management. Pre-implementation (PRE), patients were placed on the monitor and managed per usual. Post-implementation (POST), anesthesia teams were educated on the algorithm and asked to use the GDHT guidelines. Hemodynamic data points were collected every 20 s (8942 PRE and 26,638 POST measurements). We compared IOH (mean arterial pressure <65 mmHg), cardiac index >2, and stroke volume variation <12 between the two groups. RESULTS: 10 patients were in the PRE and 24 in the POST groups. In the POST group, there were fewer minimally invasive resections (4.2% versus 30.0%, P = 0.07), more pancreaticoduodenectomies (75.0% versus 20.0%, P < 0.01), and longer operative times (329.0 + 108.2 min versus 225.1 + 92.8 min, P = 0.01). After implementation, hemodynamic parameters improved. There was a 33.3% reduction in IOH (5.2% ± 0.1% versus 7.8% ± 0.3%, P < 0.01, a 31.6% increase in cardiac index >2.0 (83.7% + 0.2% versus 63.6% + 0.5%, P < 0.01), and a 37.6% increase in stroke volume variation <12 (73.2% + 0.3% versus 53.2% + 0.5%, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Advanced intraoperative hemodynamic monitoring to predict IOH combined with a clinical decision-making tree for GDHT may improve intraoperative hemodynamic parameters during pancreatectomy. This warrants further investigation in larger studies.

Periprocedural acute haemodynamic decompensation during substrate-based ablation of scar-related ventricular tachycardia: a rare and unpredictable event.

AIMS: Patients with structural heart disease (SHD) undergoing catheter ablation (CA) for ventricular tachycardia (VT) are at considerable risk of periprocedural complications, including acute haemodynamic decompensation (AHD). The PAINESD score was proposed to predict the risk of AHD. The goal of this study was to validate the PAINESD score using the retrospective analysis of data from a large-volume heart centre. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients who had their first radiofrequency CA for SHD-related VT between August 2006 and December 2020 were included in the study. Procedures were mainly performed under conscious sedation. Substrate mapping/ablation was performed primarily during spontaneous rhythm or right ventricular pacing. A purposely established institutional registry for complications of invasive procedures was used to collect all periprocedural complications that were subsequently adjudicated using the source medical records. Acute haemodynamic decompensation triggered by CA procedure was defined as intraprocedural or early post-procedural (<12 h) development of acute pulmonary oedema or refractory hypotension requiring urgent intervention. The study cohort consisted of 1124 patients (age, 63 ± 13 years; males, 87%; ischaemic cardiomyopathy, 67%; electrical storm, 25%; New York Heart Association Class, 2.0 ± 1.0; left ventricular ejection fraction, 34 ± 12%; diabetes mellitus, 31%; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 12%). Their PAINESD score was 11.4 ± 6.6 (median, 12; interquartile range, 6-17). Acute haemodynamic decompensation complicated the CA procedure in 13/1124 = 1.2% patients and was not predicted by PAINESD score with AHD rates of 0.3, 1.8, and 1.1% in subgroups by previously published PAINESD terciles (<9, 9-14, and >14). However, the PAINESD score strongly predicted mortality during the follow-up. CONCLUSION: Primarily substrate-based CA of SHD-related VT performed under conscious sedation is associated with a substantially lower rate of AHD than previously reported. The PAINESD score did not predict these events. The application of the PAINESD score to the selection of patients for pre-emptive mechanical circulatory support should be reconsidered.

PeriOperative Quality Initiative (POQI) international consensus statement on perioperative arterial pressure management.

Arterial pressure monitoring and management are mainstays of haemodynamic therapy in patients having surgery. This article presents updated consensus statements and recommendations on perioperative arterial pressure management developed during the 11th POQI PeriOperative Quality Initiative (POQI) consensus conference held in London, UK, on June 4-6, 2023, which included a diverse group of international experts. Based on a modified Delphi approach, we recommend keeping intraoperative mean arterial pressure ≥60 mm Hg in at-risk patients. We further recommend increasing mean arterial pressure targets when venous or compartment pressures are elevated and treating hypotension based on presumed underlying causes. When intraoperative hypertension is treated, we recommend doing so carefully to avoid hypotension. Clinicians should consider continuous intraoperative arterial pressure monitoring as it can help reduce the severity and duration of hypotension compared to intermittent arterial pressure monitoring. Postoperative hypotension is often unrecognised and might be more important than intraoperative hypotension because it is often prolonged and untreated. Future research should focus on identifying patient-specific and organ-specific hypotension harm thresholds and optimal treatment strategies for intraoperative hypotension including choice of vasopressors. Research is also needed to guide monitoring and management strategies for recognising, preventing, and treating postoperative hypotension.

Predictive value of estimated plasma volume for postoperative hypotension in percutaneous intramyocardial septal radiofrequency ablation treating for hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) estimated by the Duarte formula is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure. It remains unclear the predictive value of the ePVS to the postoperative hypotension (POH) in percutaneous intramyocardial septal radiofrequency ablation (PIMSRA) treating hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM). METHODS: Data of HOCM patients who underwent PIMSRA were retrospectively collected. Preoperative ePVS was calculated using the Duarte formulas which derived from hemoglobin and hematocrit ratios. Clinical variables including physical assessment, biological and echocardiographic parameters were recorded. Patients were labeled with or without POH according to the medical record in the hospital. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were performed to evaluate the association between ePVS and POH. Using different thresholds derived from quartiles and the best cutoff value of the receiver operating characteristic curve, the diagnostic performance of ePVS was quantified. RESULTS: Among the 405 patients included in this study, 53 (13.1%) patients were observed with symptomatic POH. Median (IQR) of ePVS in overall patients was 3.77 (3.27~4.40) mL/g and in patients with POH were higher than those without POH. The ePVS was associated with POH, with the odds ratio of 1.669 (95% CI 1.299 ~ 2.144) per mL/g. After adjusted by potential confounders, ePVS remained independently associated with POH, with the approximate odds ratio in different models. CONCLUSION: The preoperative ePVS derived from the Duarte formulas was independently associated with postoperative hypotension in HOCM patients who underwent PIMSRA and showed prognostic value to the risk stratification of postoperative management. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT06003478 (22/08/2023).

Prevalence of postprandial hypotension in older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Older adults with postprandial hypotension (PPH) increase susceptibility to falls, syncope, stroke, acute cardiovascular diseases and even death. However, the prevalence of this condition varies significantly across studies. We aimed to determine the prevalence of PPH in older adults. METHODS: Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase and CINAHL were searched from their inception until February 2023. Search terms included 'postprandial period', 'hypotension' and 'postprandial hypotension'. Eligible studies were assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute tool. Meta-analyses were performed among similar selected studies. RESULTS: Thirteen eligible studies were included, and data from 3,021 participants were pooled. The meta-analysis revealed a PPH prevalence of 40.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.290-0.519] in older adults, and this was prevalent in the community (32.8%, 95% CI: 0.078-0.647, n = 1,594), long-term healthcare facility (39.4%, 95% CI: 0.254-0.610, n = 1,062) and geriatrics department of hospitals (49.3%, 95% CI: 0.357-0.630, n = 365). The pooled results showed significant heterogeneity (I2 > 90%), partially related to the different ages, sex, pre-prandial systolic blood pressure levels of participants, or the different criteria and methodology used to diagnose PPH. CONCLUSIONS: PPH is a prevalent condition in older adults. Further research is needed to confirm this result, and priority should be given to establishing international consensus on PPH diagnostic criteria and designing its diagnostic procedure.

Preoperative Renin-Angiotensin System Antagonists Intake and Blood Pressure Responses During Ambulatory Surgical Procedures: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: There is limited evidence to inform the association between the intake of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs)/angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) and intraoperative blood pressure (BP) changes in an ambulatory surgery population. METHODS: Adult patients who underwent ambulatory surgery and were discharged on the same day or within 24 hours of their procedure were enrolled in this prospective cohort study. The primary outcome of the study was early intraoperative hypotension (first 15 minutes of induction). Secondary outcomes included any hypotension, BP variability, and recovery. Hypotension was defined as a decrease in systolic BP of >30% from baseline for ≥5 minutes or a mean BP of <55 mm Hg. Four exposure groups were compared (no antihypertensives, ACEI/ARB intake <10 hours before surgery, ACEI/ARB intake ≥10 hours before surgery, and other antihypertensives). RESULTS: Of the 537 participants, early hypotension was observed in 25% (n = 134), and any hypotension in 41.5% (n = 223). Early hypotension occurred in 30% (29 of 98) and 41% (17 of 41) with the intake of ACEI/ARBs <10 and ≥10 hours before surgery, respectively, compared to 30% (9 of 30) with other antihypertensives and 21% (79 of 368) with no antihypertensives ( P = .02). Those on antihypertensives also experienced any hypotension more frequently than those who were not on antihypertensives ( P < .001). After adjusting for age and baseline BP in a regression analysis, antihypertensive exposure groups were observed to be associated only with any intraoperative hypotension ( P = .012). In the ACEI/ARB subset, there was no evidence of an association between time since the last ACEI/ARB dose, and hypotension or minimum mean or systolic BP. Compared to normal baseline BP, BP ≥ 140/90 mm Hg increased the odds of early and any hypotension (odds ratio [OR], 3.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-7.1 and OR, 7.7; 95% CI, 3.7-14.9, respectively; P < .001). Intraoperative variability in systolic and diastolic BP demonstrated significant differences with age, baseline BP, and antihypertensive exposure group ( P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Early and any hypotension occurred more frequently in those on antihypertensives than those not on antihypertensives. Unadjusted associations between antihypertensive exposure and intraoperative hypotension were largely explained by baseline hypertension rather than the timing of ACEI/ARBs or type of antihypertensive exposure. Patients with hypertension and on treatment experience more intraoperative BP variability and should be monitored appropriately.

Adverse Events of Peripherally Administered Norepinephrine During Surgery: A Prospective Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: Perioperative treatment of hypotension by intravenous administration of norepinephrine in a peripheral vein can lead to adverse events, for example, tissue necrosis. However, the incidence and severity of adverse events during perioperative administration are unknown. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study conducted at 3 Swedish hospitals from 2019 to 2022. A total of 1004 patients undergoing surgery, who met the criteria for perioperative peripheral norepinephrine administration, were included. The infusion site was inspected regularly. If swelling or paleness of skin was detected, the infusion site was changed to a different peripheral line. Systolic blood pressure and pulse frequency were monitored during the infusion time and defined as adverse events at >220 mm Hg and <40 beats•min -1 . In case of adverse events, patients were observed for up to 48 hours. The primary outcome was prevalence of extravasation, defined as swelling around the infusion site. Secondary outcomes were all types of adverse events and associations between predefined clinical variables and risk of adverse events. RESULTS: We observed 2.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4%-3.2%) extravasation of infusion and 0.9% (95% CI, 0.4%-1.7%) bradycardia. No cases of tissue necrosis or severe hypertension were detected. All adverse events had dissipated spontaneously within 48 hours. Proximal catheter placement was associated with more adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Extravasation of peripherally administrated norepinephrine in the perioperative period occurred at similar rates as in previous studies in critically ill patients. In our setting, where we regularly inspected the infusion site and shifted site in case of swelling or paleness of skin, we observed no case of severe adverse events. Given that severe adverse events were absent, the potential benefit of this preventive approach requires confirmation in a larger population.

Skin mottling score assesses peripheral tissue hypoperfusion in critically ill patients following cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Skin mottling is a common manifestation of peripheral tissue hypoperfusion, and its severity can be described using the skin mottling score (SMS). This study aims to evaluate the value of the SMS in detecting peripheral tissue hypoperfusion in critically ill patients following cardiac surgery. METHODS: Critically ill patients following cardiac surgery with risk factors for tissue hypoperfusion were enrolled (n = 373). Among these overall patients, we further defined a hypotension population (n = 178) and a shock population (n = 51). Hemodynamic and perfusion parameters were recorded. The primary outcome was peripheral hypoperfusion, defined as significant prolonged capillary refill time (CRT, > 3.0 s). The characteristics and hospital mortality of patients with and without skin mottling were compared. The area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) were used to assess the accuracy of SMS in detecting peripheral hypoperfusion. Besides, the relationships between SMS and conventional hemodynamic and perfusion parameters were investigated, and the factors most associated with the presence of skin mottling were identified. RESULTS: Of the 373-case overall population, 13 (3.5%) patients exhibited skin mottling, with SMS ranging from 1 to 5 (5, 1, 2, 2, and 3 cases, respectively). Patients with mottling had lower mean arterial pressure, higher vasopressor dose, less urine output (UO), higher CRT, lactate levels and hospital mortality (84.6% vs. 12.2%, p < 0.001). The occurrences of skin mottling were higher in hypotension population and shock population, reaching 5.6% and 15.7%, respectively. The AUROC for SMS to identify peripheral hypoperfusion was 0.64, 0.68, and 0.81 in the overall, hypotension, and shock populations, respectively. The optimal SMS threshold was 1, which corresponded to specificities of 98, 97 and 91 and sensitivities of 29, 38 and 67 in the three populations (overall, hypotension and shock). The correlation of UO, lactate, CRT and vasopressor dose with SMS was significant, among them, UO and CRT were identified as two major factors associated with the presence of skin mottling. CONCLUSION: In critically ill patients following cardiac surgery, SMS is a very specific yet less sensitive parameter for detecting peripheral tissue hypoperfusion.

Accuracy of oscillometric noninvasive blood pressure at the ankle in the lateral position during general anesthesia.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of ankle blood pressure measurements in relation to invasive blood pressure in the lateral position. METHODS: This prospective observational study included adult patients scheduled for elective non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia in the lateral position. Paired radial artery invasive and ankle noninvasive blood pressure readings were recorded in the lateral position using GE Carescape B650 monitor. The primary outcome was the ability of ankle mean arterial pressure (MAP) to detect hypotension (MAP < 70 mmHg) using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. The secondary outcomes were the ability of ankle systolic blood pressure (SBP) to detect hypertension (SBP > 140 mmHg) as well as bias (invasive measurement - noninvasive measurement), and agreement between the two methods using the Bland-Altman analysis. RESULTS: We analyzed 415 paired readings from 30 patients. The AUC (95% confidence interval [CI]) of ankle MAP for detecting hypotension was 0.88 (0.83-0.93). An ankle MAP of ≤ 86 mmHg had negative and positive predictive values (95% CI) of 99 (97-100)% and 21 (15-29)%, respectively, for detecting hypotension. The AUC (95% CI) of ankle SBP to detect hypertension was 0.83 (0.79-0.86) with negative and positive predictive values (95% CI) of 95 (92-97)% and 36 (26-46)%, respectively, at a cutoff value of > 144 mmHg. The mean bias between the two methods was - 12 ± 17, 3 ± 12, and - 1 ± 11 mmHg for the SBP, diastolic blood pressure, and MAP, respectively. CONCLUSION: In patients under general anesthesia in the lateral position, ankle blood pressure measurements are not interchangeable with the corresponding invasive measurements. However, an ankle MAP > 86 mmHg can exclude hypotension with 99% accuracy, and an ankle SBP < 144 mmHg can exclude hypertension with 95% accuracy.

Blood Pressure Management for Hypotensive Patients in Intensive Care and Perioperative Cardiovascular Settings.

Blood pressure is a critical physiological parameter, particularly in the context of cardiac intensive care and perioperative settings. As a primary indicator of organ perfusion, the maintenance of adequate blood pressure is imperative for the assurance of sufficient tissue oxygen delivery. Among critically ill and major surgery patients, the continuous monitoring of blood pressure is performed as a standard practice for patients. Nonetheless, uncertainties remain regarding blood pressure goals, and there is no consensus regarding blood pressure targets. This review describes the determinants of blood pressure, examine the influence of blood pressure on organ perfusion, and synthesize the current clinical evidence from various intensive care and perioperative settings to provide a concise guidance for daily clinical practice.

Intraoperative Blood Pressure Management and Its Effects on Postoperative Delirium After Cardiac Surgery: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: There is accumulating evidence that blood pressure management might be associated with end-organ dysfunction after cardiac surgery. This study aimed to investigate the impact of intraoperative hypotension (IOH) on adverse neurologic outcomes and mortality. DESIGN: A single-center retrospective cohort study. SETTING: The Heart and Diabetes Centre Bad Oeynhausen NRW, Ruhr-University Bochum. PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study included 31,315 adult patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery at the authors' institution between January 2009 and December 2018. INTERVENTIONS: All cardiac surgery procedures except assist device implantation, organ transplantation, and emergency surgery. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Adverse neurologic outcomes were defined as postoperative delirium and stroke. IOH was defined as mean arterial pressure below 60 mmHg for >2 minutes. The frequency of IOH episodes and the cumulative IOH duration were recorded. The association between IOH and adverse neurologic outcomes was examined with unadjusted statistical analysis and multiple logistic regression analysis. Eight hundred forty-nine (2.9%) patients developed postoperative stroke, and 2,401 (7.7%) patients developed postoperative delirium. The frequency of IOH episodes was independently associated with postoperative delirium in the multiple logistic regression analysis (odds ratio 1.02, 95% CI 1.003-1.03, p < 0.001), whereas there was no association between it and stroke. CONCLUSION: This large retrospective monocentric cohort study revealed that increased episodes of IOH were associated with the risk of developing postoperative delirium after cardiac surgery. This might have important clinical implications with respect to careful and precise hemodynamic monitoring and proactive treatment, especially in patients with increased risk for postoperative delirium.

Postoperative Hypotension After Cardiac Surgery Is Associated With Acute Kidney Injury.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the incidence of postoperative hypotension in patients undergoing cardiac surgery during the first 12 hours in the intensive care unit (ICU) and any relationship between hypotension and the development of acute kidney injury (AKI). DESIGN: This was a retrospective, observational cohort study. SETTING: The study took place in a single-center tertiary teaching hospital in London, UK. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients (n = 100) who underwent elective cardiac surgery requiring intraoperative cardiopulmonary bypass between May and November 2021 were enrolled. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A hypotensive event was defined as mean arterial pressure <65 mmHg lasting at least 1 minute. Invasive blood pressure data was analyzed for the first 12 hours after surgery, and any association between postoperative hypotension and AKI was assessed. A total of 91% of patients experienced hypotension in the first 12 hours postprocedure. On average, patients experienced 9 hypotensive events, with events lasting an average of 5 minutes. A total of 16 patients (16%) developed at least stage 1 AKI. The average duration of hypotension was significantly higher in the AKI group (4.6 min [IQR 3.3, 8.0] v 8.1 min [IQR 5.2, 14.2], p = 0.029). Those suffering AKI had longer ICU and hospital stays. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that hypotension in the first 12 hours following cardiac surgery is common and prolonged hypotensive events are associated with developing AKI. This emphasizes the importance of treating hypotension aggressively and highlights a target for further research and intervention.

Development and validation of a predictive model for PACU hypotension in elderly patients undergoing sedated gastrointestinal endoscopy.

BACKGROUND: Hypotension, characterized by abnormally low blood pressure, is a frequently observed adverse event in sedated gastrointestinal endoscopy procedures. Although the examination time is typically short, hypotension during and after gastroscopy procedures is frequently overlooked or remains undetected. This study aimed to construct a risk nomogram for post-anesthesia care unit (PACU) hypotension in elderly patients undergoing sedated gastrointestinal endoscopy. METHODS: This study involved 2919 elderly patients who underwent sedated gastrointestinal endoscopy. A preoperative questionnaire was used to collect data on patient characteristics; intraoperative medication use and adverse events were also recorded. The primary objective of the study was to evaluate the risk of PACU hypotension in these patients. To achieve this, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis method was used to optimize variable selection, involving cyclic coordinate descent with tenfold cross-validation. Subsequently, multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build a predictive model using the selected predictors from the LASSO regression. A nomogram was visually developed based on these variables. To validate the model, a calibration plot, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used. Additionally, external validation was conducted to further assess the model's performance. RESULTS: The LASSO regression analysis identified predictors associated with an increased risk of adverse events during surgery: age, duration of preoperative water abstinence, intraoperative mean arterial pressure (MAP) <65 mmHg, decreased systolic blood pressure (SBP), and use of norepinephrine (NE). The constructed model based on these predictors demonstrated moderate predictive ability, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.710 in the training set and 0.778 in the validation set. The DCA indicated that the nomogram had clinical applicability when the risk threshold ranged between 20 and 82%, which was subsequently confirmed in the external validation with a range of 18-92%. CONCLUSION: Incorporating factors such as age, duration of preoperative water abstinence, intraoperative MAP <65 mmHg, decreased SBP, and use of NE in the risk nomogram increased its usefulness for predicting PACU hypotension risk in elderly patient undergoing sedated gastrointestinal endoscopy.

Comprehensive analysis of perioperative hypotension in photodynamic diagnosis-assisted transurethral resection of bladder tumor with 5-aminolevulinic acid.

OBJECTIVE: Intraoperative hypotension remains a serious adverse event of photodynamic diagnosis-assisted transurethral resection of bladder tumor with oral administration of 5-aminolevulinic acid. We conducted a re-analysis of perioperative hypotension in photodynamic diagnosis-assisted transurethral resection of the bladder tumor with oral 5-aminolevulinic acid to ascertain its safety. METHODS: A total of 407 cases who underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumors in our institution were reviewed (274 cases for the PDD group with photodynamic diagnosis and 133 for the white light (WL) group without). A classification of hypotension severity was devised to identify risk factors for clinically troublesome hypotension. The distribution of hypotension severity in each of the PDD and WL groups was compared. Additionally, the patient background and perioperative data by hypotension severity were compared only in the PDD group. RESULTS: More patients with moderate and severe hypotension were noted in the PDD group. The renal function was lower with increasing hypotension severity in the PDD group. More patients on general anesthesia were included in the mild and moderate hypotension group, whereas more patients on spinal anesthesia were included in the severe hypotension group. Furthermore, the frequency of side effects other than hypotension tended to increase with hypotension severity. CONCLUSIONS: Renal function impairment and the other adverse effects of 5-aminolevulinic acid may be risk factors for severe hypotension. Mild or moderate hypotension may be caused by general anesthesia and severe hypotension may be caused by spinal anesthesia. To elucidate specific risk factors, further case-control studies are warranted.

Effect of phenylephrine rescue injection on hypotension after spinal anaesthesia for caesarean delivery when guided by both heart rate and SBP during an early warning window: A randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Spinal anaesthesia is now the most common technique for caesarean delivery. However, because of the intermittent nature of noninvasive blood pressure (NIBP) measurements, maternal blood pressure may become hypotensive between the measurements. There is thus an inbuilt delay before the anaesthesiologist can intervene to counteract the hypotension. Based on the principle that changes in blood pressure can induce compensatory changes in the heart rate (HR), combining the NIBP with real-time HR, we designed two warning windows to predict hypotension and hypertension. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether phenylephrine administration guided by these warning windows would help maintain haemodynamic stability. SETTING: A teaching hospital. DESIGN: A randomised controlled trial. PATIENTS: One hundred and ten pregnant women scheduled for elective caesarean delivery were enrolled, from which, after exclusions, 86 were eligible for the study. INTERVENTIONS: All eligible patients received a continuous intravenous infusion of phenylephrine as soon as spinal anaesthesia was initiated. Thereafter, patients were randomly assigned to two groups. In the test group (Win-Group): rescue phenylephrine administration was triggered by an early warning window of HR above 100 beats per minute (bpm) and SBP 90 to 110 mmHg; pausing the infusion phenylephrine was triggered by a HR lower than 60 bpm and SBP greater than 90 mmHg. In the control group, phenylephrine was guided by BP only when it appeared on the monitor: SBP less than 90 mmHg was the trigger for administering rescue phenylephrine; SBP greater than 110 mmHg was the trigger for pausing the phenylephrine infusion. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was incidence of hypotension. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of hypertension and other adverse haemodynamic events. RESULTS: The incidence of hypotension was significantly lower in the Win-Group than in the BP-Group (27.8 vs. 66.7%, P  = 0.001). The minimum SBP was significantly higher in Win-Group than in BP-Group (93.9 ±â€Š9.49 vs. 86.7 ±â€Š11.16 mmHg, P   =  0.004). There was no significant difference in the incidence of hypertension between groups. CONCLUSION: After spinal anaesthesia for caesarean delivery, when phenylephrine infusion is guided by HR along with BP from a warning window it effectively reduces the incidence of hypotension without any significant effect on incidence of hypertension. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chictr.org.cn; Identifier: ChiCTR 2100041812.

External validation of the prediction model of intradialytic hypotension: a multicenter prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Intradialytic hypotension (IDH) is a common and serious complication in patients with Maintenance Hemodialysis (MHD). The purpose of this study is to externally verify three IDH risk prediction models recently developed by Ma et al. and recalibrate, update and present the optimal model to improve the accuracy and applicability of the model in clinical environment. METHODS: A multicenter prospective cohort study of patients from 11 hemodialysis centers in Sichuan Province, China, was conducted using convenience sampling from March 2022 to July 2022, with a follow-up period of 1 month. Model performance was assessed by: (1) Discrimination: Evaluated through the computation of the Area Under Curve (AUC) and its corresponding 95% confidence intervals. (2) Calibration: scrutinized through visual inspection of the calibration plot and utilization of the Brier score. (3) The incremental value of risk prediction and the utility of updating the model were gauged using NRI (Net Reclassification Improvement) and IDI (Integrated Discrimination Improvement). Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical benefit of updating the model. RESULTS: The final cohort comprised 2235 individuals undergoing maintenance hemodialysis, exhibiting a 14.6% occurrence rate of IDH. The externally validated Area Under the Curve (AUC) values for the three original prediction models were 0.746 (95% CI: 0.718 to 0.775), 0.709 (95% CI: 0.679 to 0.739), and 0.735 (95% CI: 0.706 to 0.764) respectively. Conversely, the AUC value for the recalibrated and updated columnar plot model reached 0.817 (95% CI: 0.791 to 0.842), accompanied by a Brier score of 0.081. Furthermore, Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) exhibited a net benefit within the threshold probability range of 15.2% to 87.1%. CONCLUSION: Externally validated, recalibrated, updated, and presented IDH prediction models may serve as a valuable instrument for evaluating IDH risk in clinical practice. Furthermore, they hold the potential to guide clinical providers in discerning individuals at risk and facilitating judicious clinical intervention decisions.

The predictive role of carotid artery flow time for anesthesia-induced hypotension in high-risk elderly patients.

Hypotension induced by general anesthesia is associated with postoperative complications, increased mortality, and morbidity, particularly elderly patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of corrected carotid artery flow time (FTc) for predicting hypotension following anesthesia induction in patients over 65 years old. After faculty ethical committee approval and written informed consent, 138 patients (65 years and older, ASA physical status I-III) who scheduled for elective surgery were included in this study. In the pre-operative anesthesia unit, the carotid artery FTc value was measured by ultrasound and hemodynamic values were recorded. Following anesthesia induction with propofol, hemodynamic data were recorded at 1-minute intervals for 3 min. Measurements were terminated prior to endotracheal intubation, as direct laryngoscopy and endotracheal intubation could cause sympathetic stimulation and hemodynamic changes. Hypotension occurred in 52 patients (37.7%). The preoperative FTc value of the patients who developed hypotension was statistically lower (312.5 ms) than the patients who did not (345.0 ms) (p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for carotid artery FTc was 0.93 (95% CI for AUC:0.89-0.97; p < 0.001) with an optimal cut-off of value for predicting post-anesthesia hypotension 333 ms, a sensitivity of 90.4% and a specificity of 84.9%. As a result of the multiple logistic regression model, carotid artery FTc emerged as the sole independent risk factor for hypotension following anesthesia induction. Preoperative carotid artery FTc measurement is a simple, bedside, noninvasive, and reliable method for predicting anesthesia-induced hypotension in elderly patients.