Two surgical strategies (early carotid reperfusion vs. Central aortic repair-first) of acute type a aortic dissection complicated with cerebral malperfusion syndrome: a meta-analysis and systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Cerebral malperfusion (CM) is a common comorbidity in acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD), which is associated with high mortality and poor neurological prognosis. This meta-analysis investigated the surgical strategy of ATAAD patients with CM, aiming to compare the difference in therapeutic effectiveness between the central repair-first and the early reperfusion-first according to clinical outcomes. METHODS: The meta-analysis and systematic review was conducted based on studies sourced from the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane literature database, in which cases of ATAAD with CM underwent surgical repair were included. Data for baseline characteristics, mortality, survival were extracted, and risk ratio (RR) values and the pooled mortality were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 17 retrospective studies were analyzed, including 1010 cases of ATAAD with CM underwent surgical repair. The pooled early mortality in early reperfusion group was lower (8.1%; CI, 0.02 to 0.168) than that in the central repair group (16.2%; CI, 0.115 to 0.216). The pooled long-term mortality was 7.9% in the early reperfusion cohort and 17.4% the central repair-first cohort, without a statistically significant heterogeneity (I [2] = 51.271%; p = 0.056). The mean time of symptom-onset-to-the-operation-room in all the reports was 8.87 ± 12.3 h. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis suggested that early reperfusion-first may achieved better outcomes compared to central repair-first in ATAAD patients complicated with CM to some extent. Early operation and early restoration of cerebral perfusion may reduce the occurrence of some neurological complications. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The meta-analysis was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews database (No. CRD CRD42023475629) on Nov. 8th, 2023.

Dietary atherogenicity and thrombogenicity indexes predicting cardiovascular mortality: 50-year follow-up of the Seven Countries Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: To study the relationships of an Atherogenicity Index (ATI) and a Thrombogenicity Index (THI), with 50-year mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD), other heart diseases of uncertain etiology (HDUE) and cerebrovascular disease or stroke (STR), in 16 international cohorts of middle-aged men. METHODS AND RESULTS: Foods from a dietary survey in subsamples of men in each cohort of the Seven Countries Study (SCS) were chemically analyzed for several types of fatty acids that were converted into ATI and THI identifying each of 16 cohorts. Ecological correlations of the ATI and THI were calculated with the three fatal CVD conditions and with all-cause mortality at 25 and 50 years. Correlation coefficients (Rs) were positive and highly significant between ATI and THI versus CHD mortality, with levels ranging from 0.79 to 0.97, depending on the duration of follow-up and the choice of 10 or of 16 cohorts. This was not the case for HDUE and STR mortality for which Rs were variable and not significant. A strong direct association was also found with all-causes deaths at 25 and 50-years. ATI and THI were also directly related with dietary saturated fat and cholesterol levels and inversely with the Mediterranean Adequacy Index (a score identifying the Mediterranean diet). CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that CHD has a different relationship with dietary lipids intake than HDUE and STR. This suggests that HDUE and STR have different underlying pathways or are different diseases.

Relative and absolute inequalities in cerebrovascular disease mortality rates: exploring the influence of socioeconomic status and urbanization levels in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Limited evidence exists regarding the socioeconomic inequalities in cerebrovascular disease (CBD) mortality at different urbanization levels. Therefore, this study was conducted to assess the socioeconomic inequalities and urbanization levels in township-based CBD mortality in Taiwan. METHODS: Socioeconomic variables, including the percentages of low-income households, individuals with a university education and above, and tax payments, were measured at the township level from 2011 to 2020. Urbanization was also determined by the national survey and divided into seven levels. Age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of CBD was calculated using a Geographic Information System (GIS) in 358 townships. The effects of socioeconomic variables and urbanization levels on relative and absolute inequalities in township-based CBD mortality rates were examined. RESULTS: Significant differences in ASMR of CBD were observed across all socioeconomic status indicators over the years. Higher proportions of low-income households were associated with higher ASMR of CBD. Conversely, there were negative correlations between higher proportions of individuals with a university education and above and tax payments with ASMR of CBD. The regression analysis indicated significant impacts of relative and absolute socioeconomic inequalities on ASMR of CBD. Additionally, a moderation effect of socioeconomic variables and urbanization on CBD mortality rates was observed, with rural areas showing sensitivity to these factors. CONCLUSION: Although ASMR of CBD showed significant decreases over time, socioeconomic inequalities in CBD mortality rates persist. Interventions targeting socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes, especially in rural areas, are needed to address this issue.

Differentiating the impact of fine and coarse particulate matter on cause-specific cerebrovascular mortality: An individual-level, case-crossover study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Many studies suggested that short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and coarse particulate matter (PM2.5-10) was linked to elevated risk of cerebrovascular disease. However, little is known about the potentially differential effects of PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 on various types of cerebrovascular disease. METHODS: We collected individual cerebrovascular death records for all residents in Shanghai, China from 2005 to 2021. Residential daily air pollution data were predicted from a satellite model. The associations between particulate matters (PM) and cerebrovascular mortality were investigated by an individual-level, time-stratified, case-crossover design. The data was analyzed by the conditional logistic regression combined with the distributed lag model with a maximum lag of 7 days. Furthermore, we explored the effect modifications by sex, age and season. RESULTS: A total of 388,823 cerebrovascular deaths were included. Monotonous increases were observed for mortality of all cerebrovascular diseases except for hemorrhagic stroke. A 10 µg/m3 rise in PM2.5 was related to rises of 1.35% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04%, 1.66%] in mortality of all cerebrovascular diseases, 1.84% (95% CI: 1.25%, 2.44%) in ischemic stroke, 1.53% (95% CI: 1.07%, 1.99%) in cerebrovascular sequelae and 1.56% (95% CI: 1.08%, 2.05%) in ischemic stroke sequelae. The excess risk estimates per each 10 µg/m3 rise in PM2.5-10 were 1.47% (95% CI: 1.10%, 1.84%), 1.53% (95% CI: 0.83%, 2.24%), 1.93% (95% CI: 1.38%, 2.49%) and 2.22% (95% CI: 1.64%, 2.81%), respectively. The associations of both pollutants with all cerebrovascular outcomes were robust after controlling for co-pollutants. The associations were greater in females, individuals > 80 years, and during the warm season. CONCLUSIONS: Short-term exposures to both PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 may independently increase the mortality risk of cerebrovascular diseases, particularly of ischemic stroke and stroke sequelae.

Long-Term Implications of Socioeconomic Status on Major Adverse Cardiovascular, Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE), and All-Cause Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Socio-economic status (SES) has a large impact on health through a complex interplay of upstream, midstream and downstream factors. However, little is known about the predictive role of SES on long-term major adverse cardiovascular, cerebrovascular events, and mortality (MACCE). AIM: To determine the long-term relationship between SES and MACCE for men and women. The secondary endpoint was to determine the relationship between SES and all-cause mortality. METHOD: A total of 3,034 participants (1,494 women and 1,540 men) were assessed at baseline in the Geelong Osteoporosis Study, a large regional Australian population cohort study. Area-based SES was assessed, utilising the Index of Relative Socio-Economic Disadvantage (IRSD) and grouped into quintiles. The primary endpoint, MACCE, was defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, heart failure hospitalisation, malignant arrhythmias, stroke, and all-cause mortality. The secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Baseline data including age, sex, smoking status and alcohol use, and comorbidities were collected between 1993-1997 for women, and 2001-2006 for men, with follow-up over 30 and 22 years, respectively. Logistic regression was utilised to assess MACCE and all-cause mortality outcomes across the SES quintiles. RESULTS: Participants lost to follow-up or with incomplete data collection were excluded leaving 2,173 participants eligible for analysis. SES was associated with MACCE outcomes. Compared with Quintile I (lowest SES stratum), the odds of MACCE for each IRSD stratum were: Quintile II, odds ratio (OR) 0.85 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-1.13); Quintile III, OR 0.69 (95% CI 0.51-0.91); Quintile IV, OR 0.66 (95% CI 0.50-0.88); and, Quintile V, OR 0.55 (95% CI 0.41-0.72). In the adjusted model, an inverse trend was noted, with reducing MACCE outcomes with an increasing SES status; IRSD Quintile II, OR 0.85 (95% CI 0.62-1.17); Quintile III, OR 0.70 (95% CI 0.50-0.97); Quintile IV, OR 0.73 (95% CI 0.52-1.02); and, Quintile V, OR 0.54 (95% CI 0.39-0.74). SES was inversely associated with all-cause mortality; IRSD Quintile II (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.66-1.16) failed to achieve significance however IRSD Quintile III (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.48-0.88), Quintile IV (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.44-0.80) and Quintile V (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.34-0.62) had a lower risk of mortality compared with Quintile I. In the adjusted model, an inversely proportional trend was noted between SES and all-cause mortality; IRSD Quintile II (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.59-1.15), IRSD Quintile III (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.49-0.95), Quintile IV (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.45-0.90) and Quintile V (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.31-0.61) had fewer mortality events compared with IRSD Quintile I. CONCLUSIONS: Our research indicates that being part of a lower socio-economic stratum is linked to a higher likelihood of experiencing negative cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, along with an increased risk of overall mortality. SES is an important risk stratification marker for long-term prognosis of cardiovascular diseases and stroke, and warrants further investigation.

Racial Disparities in Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Adverse Events in Patients with Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma: A Nationwide Analysis.

Background and Objectives: Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) has the sixth-highest malignancy-related mortality in the United States (US). However, inequalities exist in access to advanced care in specific patient populations. We aim to study the racial disparities in major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) in NHL patients. Materials and Methods: Using ICD-10 codes, patients with NHL were identified from the US National Inpatient Sample 2016-2019 database. Baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and MACCE outcomes were studied, and results were stratified based on the patient's race. Results: Of the 777,740 patients with a diagnosis of NHL, 74.22% (577,215) were White, 9.15% (71,180) were Black, 9.39% (73,000) were Hispanic, 3.33% (25,935) were Asian/Pacific Islander, 0.36% (2855) were Native American, and 3.54% (27,555) belonged to other races. When compared to White patients, all-cause mortality (ACM) was significantly higher in Black patients (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.17-1.38, p < 0.001) and in Asian/Pacific Islander patients (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.12-1.45, p < 0.001). Sudden cardiac death was found to have a higher aOR in all racial sub-groups as compared to White patients; however, it was statistically significant in Black patients only (aOR 1.81, 95% CI 1.52-2.16, p < 0.001). Atrial fibrillation (AF) risk was significantly lower in patients who were Black, Hispanic, and of other races compared to White patients. Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was noted to have a statistically significantly lower aOR in Black patients (0.70, 95% CI 0.60-0.81, p < 0.001), Hispanic patients (0.69, 95% CI 0.59-0.80, p < 0.001), and patients of other races (0.57, 95% CI 0.43-0.75, p < 0.001) as compared to White patients. Conclusions: Racial disparities are found in MACCEs among NHL patients, which is likely multifactorial, highlighting the need for healthcare strategies stratified by race to mitigate the increased risk of MACCEs. Further research involving possible epigenomic influences and social determinants of health contributing to poorer outcomes in Black and Asian/Pacific Islander patients with NHL is imperative.

[The efficiency of X-Ray endovascular care in decreasing of population mortality from acute coronary syndrome and acute disorder of cerebral circulation].

The article considers results of assessment of dynamics of mortality from cardiovascular diseases and the most important nosologic forms - acute cerebrovascular disorders and coronary heart disease with acute coronary syndrome and development of accessibility of X-Ray endovascular care of patients in the Oblast. The results of analysis of changes in mortality after implementation of new model of care of patients with acute vascular diseases are presented. The relationship between accessibility of X-Ray endovascular interventions and decrease of mortality was analyzed. The reliable significantly strong connection was found for cerebrovascular diseases, and medium negative connection for coronary heart disease with acute coronary syndrome.

Systematic Review of the Association of the Hospital Frailty Risk Score with Mortality in Patients with Cerebrovascular and Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: There is limited systematic data on the association between the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) and characteristics and mortality in patients with cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease (CVD). This systematic review aimed to summarise the use of the HFRS in describing the prevalence of frailty in patients with CVD, the clinical characteristics of patients with CVD, and the association between frailty on the likelihood of mortality in patients with CVD. METHODS: A systematic literature search for observational studies using terms related to CVD, cerebrovascular disease, and the HFRS was conducted using 6 databases in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Studies were appraised using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). RESULTS: Seventeen observational studies were included, all rated 'good' quality according to the NOS. One study investigated 5 different CVD cohorts (atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), hypotension, hypertension, and chronic ischemic heart disease), 1 study investigated 2 different CVD cohorts (AF and acute myocardial infarction (AMI)), 6 studies investigated HF, 3 studies investigated AMI, 4 studies investigated stroke, 1 study investigated AF, and 1 study investigated cardiac arrest. Increasing frailty risk category was associated with increased age, female sex, and non-white racial group across all CVD. Increasing frailty risk category is also associated with increased length of hospital stay, total costs, and increased odds of 30-day all-cause mortality across all CVD. CONCLUSIONS: The HFRS is an efficient and effective tool for stratifying frailty in patients with CVD and predicting adverse health outcomes.

Associations between Physical Activity and the Incidence of Cerebrovascular Disease or All-Cause Mortality among 146,742 Older Adults: A 13-Year Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Although studies have indicated that physical activity (PA) is related to cardiovascular disease, the specific association between PA and incident cerebrovascular disease (CBVD) remains uncertain. The current study aimed to investigate the associations between PA levels and the CBVD incidence or all-cause mortality. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Older participants (aged >60 years) from the UK Biobank. METHODS: The baseline PA was classified as total, light, moderate, and vigorous PA based on the metabolic equivalent-minutes per week (MET-min/wk) and considered as exposures, whereas CBVD incidence and all-cause mortality were considered as the outcomes. Cox proportional hazards were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for the influence of the association between PA and CBVD incidence and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 146,742 participants aged 60 years and older were included. During a median follow-up period of 13.5 years (interquartile range of 12.8-14.2), 9338 older individuals developed CBVD and 3033 death were recorded (including 767 CBVD-related deaths). High volumes of PA were consistently associated with lower risks of CBVD and all-cause mortality. The lowest risk of CBVD incidence was observed at 2001-2500 MET-min/wk of total PA (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.53-0.70), and the lowest risk of all-cause mortality was observed at 2501-5000 MET-min/wk (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.43-0.63) in older adults. Total PA at 2001-2500 MET-min/wk significantly reduced the CBVD incidence in older women (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.46-0.71), which was more pronounced than that in older men (HR for 2001-2500 MET-min/wk: 0.64, 95% CI 0.50-0.77). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Total PA at 2001-2500 MET-min/wk significantly reduced the risk of incident CBVD and all-cause mortality in adults aged >60 years, although the extents of risk reduction vary in men and women.

Physical activity lowers all-cause and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in adults with coronary heart disease.

BACKGROUND: The health outcomes and their adherence to guideline-based secondary prevention physical activity in US patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), together with the association between physical activity (PA) and mortality risk, were investigated. METHODS: Data on CHD patients (aged 18 to 85 years) was acquired from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2018. The patients were divided into four groups according to the level and frequency of PA, namely, a) sedentary (n = 1178), b) moderate PA (moderate, n = 270), c) vigorous PA once or twice per week (vigorous ≤2×, n = 206), and d) vigorous PA three or more times per week (vigorous >2×, n = 598). Logistic analysis was used to determine the relationship between PA and all-cause or cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in CHD patients. RESULTS: A total of 2252 patients with CHD were enrolled, of whom 47.69% reported adequate PA. During the investigation, there were 296 (13.14%) cardio-cerebrovascular and 724 (32.15%) all-cause deaths. The incidence of all-cause or cardio-cerebrovascular death was lowest in the vigorous ≤2× group. Patients who undertook vigorous PA ≤ 2× showed the lowest risk of all-cause (odds ratio 0.32; 95% confidence interval 0.22-0.47; P < 0.01) or cardio-cerebrovascular death (odds ratio 0.43; 95% confidence interval 0.25-0.73; P < 0.01) relative to those in the sedentary group. More frequent vigorous PA did not lead to improved benefits. CONCLUSIONS: Vigorous PA once or twice per week was more effective for reducing all-cause and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality compared with patients performing no or a moderate level of PA in US adults with CHD.

Ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease and all-cause mortality in Chinese elderly patients: a propensity-score matching study.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. However, studies focusing on elderly and very elderly patients are scarce. Hence, our study aimed to characterize and investigate the long-term prognostic implications of ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular diseases in elderly Chinese patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 1026 patients aged ≥ 65 years who were categorized into the mono ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease (MICCD) (either coronary artery disease or ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack) (n = 912) and the comorbidity of ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease (CICCD) (diagnosed with both coronary artery disease and ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack at admission) (n = 114). The primary outcome was all-cause death. The mortality risk was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards risk model with multiple adjustments by conventional and propensity-score-based approaches. RESULTS: Of the 2494 consecutive elderly patients admitted to the hospital, 1026 (median age 83 years [interquartile range]: 76.5-86.4; 94.4% men) met the inclusion criteria. Patients with CICCD consisted mostly of very elderly (79.2% vs. 66.1%, P < 0.001) individuals with a higher burden of comorbidities. Over a median follow-up of 10.4 years, 398 (38.8%) all-cause deaths were identified. Compared with the MICCD group, the CICCD group exhibited a higher adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidential interval, CI) of 1.71 (1.32-2.39) for long-term mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. The sensitivity analysis results remained robust. After inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) modeling, the CICCD group displayed an even worse mortality risk (IPTW-adjusted HR: 2.07; 95% CI 1.47-2.90). In addition, anemia (adjusted HR: 1.48; 95% CI 1.16-1.89) and malnutrition (adjusted HR: 1.43; 95% CI 1.15-1.78) are also independent risk factors for all-cause mortality among elderly and very elderly patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our results thus suggest that elderly patients with ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular disease and anemia or malnutrition may have higher mortality, which may be predicted upon admission. These findings, however, warrant further investigation.

Impact of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases Mortality on Life Expectancy in Tianjin, 2004 and 2020.

This study aimed to analyze the impact of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CCVDs) mortality on Tianjin's life expectancy (LE) in 2004 compared with 2020 using Arriaga's decomposition method. The LE increment for Tianjin residents due to the decrease in CCVDs mortality was 1.54 years (38.7%). Males, females, urban residents, and rural residents contributed 1.29 years (36.83%), 1.76 years (40.25%), 2.11 years (44.41%), and 0.71 years (25.06%), respectively. A total of 38.2% of the LE increment was attributed to deaths from CCVDs in people aged ≥65 years. Cerebral infarction, intracerebral hemorrhage, acute myocardial infarction, and other heart diseases contributed positively to the increase in LE (24.8%, 22.68%, 16.66%, and 11.3%). Sequelae of cerebrovascular disease and other coronary heart diseases contributed negatively to the increase in LE (-25.2% and -17.92%). Therefore, we need to control the risk factors of the elderly, males, rural residents, sequelae of cerebrovascular disease, and other coronary heart diseases.

Impact of Smoking and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease on All-Cause, Respiratory, and Cardio-Cerebrovascular Mortality.

Introduction: Mortality differences in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) between nonsmokers and smokers remain unclear. We compared the risk of death associated with smoking and COPD on mortality. Methods: The study included participants aged ≥40 years who visited pulmonary clinics and were categorised into COPD or non-COPD and smoker or nonsmoker on the basis of spirometry results and cigarette consumption. Mortality rates were compared between groups using statistical analysis for all-cause mortality, respiratory disease-related mortality, and cardiocerebrovascular disease-related mortality. Results: Among 5811 participants, smokers with COPD had a higher risk of all-cause (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.69; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.23-2.33) and respiratory disease-related mortality (aHR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.20-3.79) than nonsmokers with COPD. Non-smokers with and without COPD had comparable risks of all-cause mortality (aHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.98-1.97) and respiratory disease-related mortality (aHR, 1.77; 95% CI, 0.85-3.68). However, nonsmokers with COPD had a higher risk of cardiocerebrovascular disease-related mortality than nonsmokers without COPD (aHR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.15-4.40). Conclusion: The study found that smokers with COPD had higher risks of all-cause mortality and respiratory disease-related mortality compared to nonsmokers with and without COPD. Meanwhile, nonsmokers with COPD showed comparable risks of all-cause and respiratory mortality but had a higher risk of cardiocerebrovascular disease-related mortality compared to nonsmokers without COPD.

A characterization of patients with low soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor who died within 90 days of hospital discharge.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a marker of systemic chronic inflammation. Elevated suPAR levels are associated with adverse clinical outcomes, but a small subset of patients with low suPAR also experience poor outcomes. Therefore, we aimed to characterize patients presenting to the emergency department with low suPAR (<3 ng/mL) who died within 90 days after discharge in a registry-based study. Compared to patients with low suPAR who survived (n = 15 122), those who died within 90 days (n = 87) had higher age (75.4 years), higher medication use (7.0; 71.3% with polypharmacy) and more blood tests outside reference intervals (5.0) (including C-reactive protein, neutrophils and albumin), and the most common diagnoses were chronic pulmonary disease (27.6%), cerebrovascular disease (18.4%) and dementia (11.5%). Patients with low suPAR were more morbid than what was reflected by suPAR alone. Future studies must determine which factors that contribute the most to potential algorithms when stratifying patients based on their risk of adverse clinical outcomes. These data indicate that inclusion of medication data could be relevant.

Risk Score for Long-Term Survival and Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Surgery.

To develop risk scoring models predicting long-term survival and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), including myocardial infarction and stroke after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). All 4,821 consecutive patients who underwent isolated CABG at Lankenau between January 2005 and July 2021 were included. MACCE was defined as all-cause mortality + myocardial infarction + stroke. Variable selection for both outcomes was obtained using a double-selection logit least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with adaptive selection. Model performance was internally evaluated by calibration and accuracy using bootstrap cross-validation. Mortality and MACCEs were compared in patients split into 3 groups based on the predicted risk scores for all-cause mortality and MACCEs. An external validation of our database was performed with 665 patients from the University of Brescia, Italy. Preoperative risk predictors were found to be predictors for all-cause mortality and MACCEs. In addition, being of African-American ethnicity is a significant predictor for MACCEs after isolated CABG. The areas under the curve (AUCs), which measures the discrimination of the models, were 80.4%, 79.1%, 81.3%, and 79.2% for mortality at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years follow-up. The AUCs for MACCEs were 75%, 72.5%, 73.8%, and 72.7% at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years follow-up. For external validation, the AUCs for all-cause mortality and MACCEs at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years were 73.7%, 70.8%, 68.7%, and 72.2% and 72.3%, 68.2%, 65.6%, and 69.6%, respectively. The Advanced (AD) Coronary Risk Score for All-Cause Mortality and MACCE provide good discrimination of long-term mortality and MACCEs after isolated CABG. External validation observed a more AUCs greater than 70%.

Cerebrovascular Disease Detected on Preprocedural Computed Tomography in Patients With Severe Aortic Stenosis Undergoing Aortic Valve Replacement.

BACKGROUND: There is a scarcity of data on the prevalence and clinical impact of cerebrovascular disease detected on preprocedural computed tomography (CT) before aortic valve replacement (AVR) in patients with severe aortic stenosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing AVR, the authors compared clinical outcomes between patients with and without cerebrovascular disease detected on preprocedural CT, which was defined as chronic brain infarction or hemorrhage. The primary outcome measure in this study was a composite of all-cause death or stroke. Among 567 study patients, 200 patients (35.3%) had cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT. Among 200 patients with cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT, only 28.5% of patients had a clinical history of symptomatic stroke. The cumulative 3-year incidence of death or stroke was higher in patients with cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT than in those without cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT (40.7% versus 24.1%, log-rank P<0.001). After adjusting for confounders, the higher risk of patients with cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT relative to those without remained significant for death or stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42 [95% CI, 1.02-1.98]; P=0.04). Among 200 patients with cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT, patients with prior symptomatic stroke compared with those without were not associated with higher adjusted risk for death or stroke (HR, 1.18 [95% CI, 0.72-1.94]; P=0.52). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing AVR, a substantial proportion had cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT, with a clinical history of symptomatic stroke in one-fourth of patients. Regardless of history of symptomatic stroke, patients with cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT had worse clinical outcomes compared with those without cerebrovascular disease on preprocedural CT.

Medición de la mortalidad de pacientes internados por enfermedad cardiovascular mediante el desarrollo de un algoritmo de inteligencia artificial / Measurement of mortality during hospitalization due cardiovascular disease through the development of an artificial intelligence algorithm

Introducción: determinar la causa de muerte de los pacientes internados con enfermedad cardiovascular es de suma importancia para poder tomar medidas y así mejorar la calidad su atención y prevenir muertes evitables. Objetivos: determinar las principales causas de muerte durante la internación por enfermedades cardiovasculares. Desarrollar y validar un algoritmo para clasificar automáticamente a los pacientes fallecidos durante la internación con enfermedades cardiovasculares Diseño del estudio: estudio exploratorio retrospectivo. Desarrollo de un algoritmo de clasificación. Resultados: del total de 6161 pacientes, el 21,3% (1316) se internaron por causas cardiovasculares; las enfermedades cerebrovasculares representan el 30,7%, la insuficiencia cardíaca el 24,9% y las enfermedades cardíacas isquémicas el 14%. El algoritmo de clasificación según motivo de internación cardiovascular vs. no cardiovascular alcanzó una precisión de 0,9546 (IC 95%: 0,9351-0,9696). El algoritmo de clasificación de causa específica de internación cardiovascular alcanzó una precisión global de 0,9407 (IC 95%: 0,8866-0,9741). Conclusiones: la enfermedad cardiovascular representa el 21,3% de los motivos de internación de pacientes que fallecen durante su desarrollo. Los algoritmos presentaron en general buena performance, particularmente el de clasificación del motivo de internación cardiovascular y no cardiovascular y el clasificador según causa específica de internación cardiovascular. (AU)

Introduction: determining the cause of death of hospitalized patients with cardiovascular disease is of the utmost importance in order to take measures and thus improve the quality of care of these patients and prevent preventable deaths. Objectives: to determine the main causes of death during hospitalization due to cardiovascular diseases.To development and validate a natural language processing algorithm to automatically classify deceased patients according to their cause for hospitalization. Design: retrospective exploratory study. Development of a natural language processing classification algorithm. Results: of the total 6161 patients in our sample who died during hospitalization, 21.3% (1316) were hospitalized due to cardiovascular causes. The stroke represent 30.7%, heart failure 24.9%, and ischemic cardiac disease 14%. The classification algorithm for detecting cardiovascular vs. Non-cardiovascular admission diagnoses yielded an accuracy of 0.9546 (95% CI 0.9351, 0.9696), the algorithm for detecting specific cardiovascular cause of admission resulted in an overall accuracy of 0.9407 (95% CI 0.8866, 0.9741). Conclusions: cardiovascular disease represents 21.3% of the reasons for hospitalization of patients who die during hospital stays. The classification algorithms generally showed good performance, particularly the classification of cardiovascular vs non-cardiovascular cause for admission and the specific cardiovascular admission cause classifier. (AU)

Elderly Mortality from Cerebrovascular Disease in Alagoas, 2000-2016: Spatial-Temporal Analysis

Abstract Background Cerebrovascular diseases (CVDs) are the second leading cause of death in Brazil. Objective This study aimed to describe the epidemiological profile and to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of mortality from cerebrovascular disease in the elderly in Alagoas from 2000-2016. Methods This is a multilevel ecological study of all deaths from CVD in individuals aged 60 years or older. Data were collected from the Mortality Information System. The variables were submitted to descriptive analysis, trend analysis by Joinpoint Regression method and spatial analysis with Global Moran's and local statistics; 95% confidence interval and significance of 5% were considered in the analysis. Results There were 21,440 deaths in the study period, 50.4% (n=10,797) male, 40.5% (n=8,670) aged ≥ 80 years, 44.5% (n=9,465) of "brown" race, 30.1% (n=6,448) married and 36.5% (n=7,828) with less than four years of schooling. Female and male mortality rates were 460.24/100,000 and 602.23 / 100,000, respectively. An annual decreasing trend of -1.4% (p<0.001) in overall and male mortality was observed from 2007 on. The highest mortality rates were concentrated in the eastern region of Alagoas (Moran's I =0.766288; p=0.01). Twenty-two municipalities were in quadrant Q1 of Moran's scattering diagram and considered priorities. Conclusion Death from CVD in Alagoas occurred equally in men and women in the study period, mostly in individuals of mixed race, married, and with low education attainment. The highest rates were observed in the eastern region of the state . The results highlight the need for public policies aimed at healthy aging in the state. (Int J Cardiovasc Sci. 2020; [online].ahead print, PP.0-0)

Mortality Trends from Cardiovascular Diseases in the State of Bahia, Brazil, between 2000 and 2015

Abstract Background: Mortality from cardiovascular diseases has reduced in Brazil in recent decades, but this phenomenon is not clear in the northeast region of the country. Objectives: To describe the mortality trends from cardiovascular disease in Bahia from 2000-2015, in total population and by sex and age groups, and by specific causes (ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular diseases, rheumatic heart disease and heart failure). Methods: This was a time series study. Data were obtained from SIM-DATASUS and IBGE, and the 10th revision of the ICD used for disease classification. Mortality rates (per 100,000 inhabitants) were calculated from total cardiovascular disease and specific causes, by sex and age groups. Direct standardization was used to adjust for age, using the population of 2010 as reference. Linear regression models estimated percentage variation. The significance level of 5% was adopted. Results: In Bahia, crude mortality rates from cardiovascular disease increased in the period; however, after standardization by age, mortality rates became stable for the total and female populations, with a slight reduction for the male population. An increase in mortality rates from cardiovascular disease was found in the elderly groups. For ischemic heart disease, a progressive increase in adjusted mortality rates was observed: 43%, 24% and 29% for the total, male, and female population, respectively. There was a progressive reduction in crude and age-standardized mortality rates from heart failure in all groups, a modest reduction in age-adjusted mortality rates from cerebrovascular diseases, and a slight reduction in age-standardized mortality rate from rheumatic heart disease, especially in the subgroup <40 years. Conclusions: Mortality from cardiovascular disease in Bahia did not follow the decreasing trend of other Brazilian states, especially in relation to ischemic heart disease, which showed an increase in mortality rates.

Fatores associados à falta de assistência hospitalar nos óbitos por doença cerebrovascular, São Paulo, Brasil: análise comparativa entre 1996-1998 e 2013-2015 / Factors associated with lack of hospital care in deaths from cerebrovascular disease, São Paulo, Brazil: a comparative analysis of 1996-1998 and 2013-2015 / Factores asociados a la falta de asistencia hospitalaria en fallecimientos por enfermedad cerebrovascular, São Paulo, Brasil: análisis comparativo entre 1996-1998 y 2013-2015

O objetivo foi avaliar os fatores sociodemográficos e clínicos relacionados à falta de assistência hospitalar em óbitos por doença cerebrovascular (DCV) e DCV hemorrágica, no Estado de São Paulo, Brasil, nos triênios 1996-1998 e 2013-2015. Foram utilizados dados dos óbitos provenientes do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade. Para analisar a associação entre a falta de atendimento hospitalar e as variáveis consideradas no estudo utilizou-se a regressão de Poisson. Dos 127.319 indivíduos que morreram por DCV nos dois triênios, 19.362 (15,2%) não tiveram assistência hospitalar. A falta de atendimento hospitalar em óbitos por DCV manteve-se praticamente inalterada para as características sociodemográficas e clínicas, exceto a distribuição por sexo. No período mais recente, identificou-se maior risco de óbito por DCV sem assistência hospitalar entre indivíduos de cor da pele amarela (RR = 1,48), já em pessoas de cor preta (RR = 0,85), parda (RR = 0,86), nos casados (RR = 0,70), naqueles que residiam no Município de São Paulo (RR = 0,92), nos que tiveram assistência médica (RR = 0,17) e naqueles acometidos pela DCV hemorrágica (RR = 0,47) o risco de óbito sem assistência hospitalar foi menor. Além disso, a falta de atendimento hospitalar em óbitos por DCV hemorrágica foi menor entre os casados (RR = 0,67), naqueles que residiam no Município de São Paulo (RR = 0,74) e nos que tiveram assistência médica (RR = 0,08). As características sociodemográficas e clínicas estiveram associadas com a falta de assistência hospitalar em óbitos por DCV e DCV hemorrágica, sugerindo que há diferenças no atendimento ao paciente com DCV.

The objective was to assess sociodemographic and clinical factors related to the lack of hospital care in deaths from ischemic and hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease (CVD) in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, in 1996-1998 and 2013-2015. The study used data on deaths from the Mortality Information System. Poisson regression was used to analyze the association between lack of hospital care and the study variables. Of the 127,319 individuals that died of CVD in the two three-years periods, 19,362 (15.2%) had failed to receive hospital care. Lack of hospital care in deaths from CVD remained practically unchanged in relation to sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, except for distributions by sex. The more recent three-year period showed higher risk of death from CVD without hospital care among Asian-descendant individuals (RR = 1.48), while lower risk of death from CVD without hospital care in the more recent period was associated with black color (RR = 0.85), brown color (RR = 0.86), married individuals (RR = 0.70), those living in the capital city of São Paulo (RR = 0.92), those who received medical care (RR = 0.17), and those with hemorrhagic CVD (RR = 0.47). In addition, lack of hospital care in deaths from hemorrhagic CVD was lower among married individuals (RR = 0.67), those living in the capital city of São Paulo (RR = 0.74), and those who received medical care (RR = 0.08). Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were associated with the lack of hospital care in deaths from ischemic and hemorrhagic CVD, suggesting that there are differences in care for CVD patients.

El objetivo fue evaluar factores sociodemográficos y clínicos, relacionados con la falta de asistencia hospitalaria en óbitos por enfermedad cerebrovascular (ECV) y ECV hemorrágica, en el Estado de São Paulo, Brasil, durante los trienios 1996-1998 y 2013-2015. Se utilizaron datos de los óbitos procedentes del Sistema de Informaciones sobre Mortalidad. Para analizar la asociación entre la falta de atención hospitalaria y las variables consideradas en el estudio se utilizó la regresión de Poisson. De los 127.319 individuos que murieron por ECV en los dos trienios, 19.362 (15,2%) no tuvieron asistencia hospitalaria. La falta de atención hospitalaria en óbitos por ECV se mantuvo prácticamente inalterada, respecto a las características sociodemográficas y clínicas, excepto en la distribución por sexo. En el período más reciente se identificó un mayor riesgo de óbito por ECV sin asistencia hospitalaria entre individuos de ascendencia asiática (RR = 1,48), mientras que en personas afrodescendientes (RR = 0,85), mestizos (RR = 0,86), casados (RR = 0,70), en aquellos que residían en el municipio de São Paulo (RR = 0,92), en quienes contaron con asistencia médica (RR = 0,17) y en aquellos afectados por la ECV hemorrágica (RR = 0,47), el riesgo de muerte sin asistencia hospitalaria fue menor. Además, la falta de atención hospitalaria en fallecimientos por ECV hemorrágica fue menor entre los casados (RR = 0,67), en aquellos que residían en el municipio de São Paulo (RR = 0,74) y en los que contaron asistencia médica (RR = 0,08). Las características sociodemográficas y clínicas se asociaron con la falta de asistencia hospitalaria en óbitos por ECV y ECV hemorrágica, sugiriendo que existen diferencias en la atención al paciente con una ECV.