Genomic classification and outcomes of young patients with polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia according to the presence of splanchnic vein thrombosis and its chronology.

To elucidate the role of splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) and genomic characteristics in prognosis and survival, we compared patients with polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) presenting SVT at diagnosis (n = 69, median age 43 years) or during follow-up (n = 21, median age 46 years) to a sex- and age-matched control group of PV/ET without SVT (n = 165, median age 48 years). The majority of patients presenting with SVT at diagnosis were classified as myeloproliferative neoplasm with heterozygous JAK2 mutation (87% of cases vs. 69% in PV/ET control group, p < 0.05), characterized by low JAK2 allele burden and no high-risk mutations. Despite this lower molecular complexity, patients presenting with SVT showed a higher risk of death (HR 3.0, 95% CI 1.5-6.0, p = 0.003) and lower event-free survival (HR 3.0, 95% CI 1.9-4.8, p < 0.001) than age- and sex-matched PV/ET controls. In patients presenting with SVT, molecular high-risk was associated with increased risk of venous re-thrombosis (HR 5.8, 95% CI 1.4-24.0, p = 0.01). Patients developing SVT during follow-up were more frequently allocated in molecular high-risk than those with SVT at diagnosis (52% versus 13%, p < 0.05). In the whole cohort of patients, molecular classification identified PV/ET patients at higher risk of disease progression whereas DNMT3A/TET2/ASXL1 mutations were associated with higher risk of arterial thrombosis. In conclusion, clinical and molecular characteristics are different in PV/ET patients with SVT, depending on whether it occurs at diagnosis or at follow-up. Molecular characterization by NGS is useful for assessing the risk of thrombosis and disease progression in young patients with PV/ET.

The prognostic impact of non-driver gene mutations and variant allele frequency in primary myelofibrosis.

Prognostic impact of non-MPN driver gene mutations in primary myelofibrosis. MIPSS70: Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System.

Real-world analysis of main clinical outcomes in patients with polycythemia vera treated with ruxolitinib or best available therapy after developing resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea.

BACKGROUND: Ruxolitinib is approved for patients with polycythemia vera (PV) who are resistant/intolerant to hydroxyurea, but its impact on preventing thrombosis or disease-progression is unknown. METHODS: A retrospective, real-world analysis was performed on the outcomes of 377 patients with resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea from the Spanish Registry of Polycythemia Vera according to subsequent treatment with ruxolitinib (n = 105) or the best available therapy (BAT; n = 272). Survival probabilities and rates of thrombosis, hemorrhage, acute myeloid leukemia, myelofibrosis, and second primary cancers were calculated according to treatment. To minimize biases in treatment allocation, all results were adjusted by a propensity score for receiving ruxolitinib or BAT. RESULTS: Patients receiving ruxolitinib had a significantly lower rate of arterial thrombosis than those on BAT (0.4% vs 2.3% per year; P = .03), and this persisted as a trend after adjustment for the propensity to have received the drug (incidence rate ratio, 0.18; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-1.3; P = .09). There were no significant differences in the rates of venous thrombosis (0.8% and 1.1% for ruxolitinib and BAT, respectively; P = .7) and major bleeding (0.8% and 0.9%, respectively; P = .9). Ruxolitinib exposure was not associated with a higher rate of second primary cancers, including all types of neoplasia, noncutaneous cancers, and nonmelanoma skin cancers. After a median follow-up of 3.5 years, there were no differences in survival or progression to acute leukemia or myelofibrosis between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that ruxolitinib treatment for PV patients with resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea may reduce the incidence of arterial thrombosis. LAY SUMMARY: Ruxolitinib is better than other available therapies in achieving hematocrit control and symptom relief in patients with polycythemia vera who are resistant/intolerant to hydroxyurea, but we still do not know whether ruxolitinib provides an additional benefit in preventing thrombosis or disease progression. We retrospectively studied the outcomes of 377 patients with resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea from the Spanish Registry of Polycythemia Vera according to whether they subsequently received ruxolitinib (n = 105) or the best available therapy (n = 272). Our findings suggest that ruxolitinib could reduce the incidence of arterial thrombosis, but a disease-modifying effect could not be demonstrated for ruxolitinib in this patient population.

Predictors of thrombosis and bleeding in 1613 myelofibrosis patients from the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis.

Available data have proved insufficient to develop consensus recommendations on the prevention of thrombosis and bleeding in myelofibrosis (MF). We evaluated the incidence and risk factors of vascular complications in 1613 patients from the Spanish Myelofibrosis Registry. Over a total of 6981 patient-years at risk, 6.4% of the study population had at least one thrombotic event after MF diagnosis, amounting to an incidence rate of 1.65 per 100 patient-years. Prior history of thrombosis, the JAK2 mutation, and the intermediate-2/high-risk International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) categories conferred an increased thrombotic risk after adjustment for the risk-modifying effect of anti-thrombotic and cytoreductive treatments. History of thrombosis and the JAK2 mutation allowed us to pinpoint a group of patients at higher risk of early thrombosis. No decreased incidence of thrombosis was observed while patients were on anti-thrombotic or cytoreductive treatment. An increased risk of venous thrombosis was found during treatment with immunomodulatory agents. A total of 5.3% of patients had at least one episode of major bleeding, resulting in an incidence rate of 1.5 events per 100 patient-years. Patients in the intermediate-2/high-risk IPSS categories treated with anti-coagulants had an almost sevenfold increased risk of major bleeding. These findings should prove useful for guiding decision-making in clinical practice.

Natural history of polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia presenting with splanchnic vein thrombosis.

Patients with polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) presenting with splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) might have a specific clinico-biological profile. To investigate this hypothesis, 3705 PV/ET patients from three national registers, 118 of them presenting with SVT, were reviewed. After correction for age and sex, PV/ET patients with SVT showed an increased risk of death (HR 2.47, 95% CI 1.5-4.01, p < 0.001), venous thrombosis (IRR 3.4, 95%CI 2.1-5.5, p < 0.001), major bleeding (IRR 3.6, 95%CI 2.3-5.5, p < 0.001), and second cancer (IRR 2.37, 95%CI 1.4-4.1, p = 0.002). No case of acute leukemia was documented among patients with PV/ET presenting with SVT and seven of them (6%) progressed to myelofibrosis. SVT was not associated with lower risk of MF after correction by age and sex. Patients with SVT more frequently died from complications related to hepatic disease, major bleeding, or second cancer, resulting in a 5-year reduction of age- and sex-adjusted median survival. In conclusion, PV and ET patients presenting with SVT have shorter survival than patients with PV and ET of the same age and sex. This excess mortality is related to liver disease, major bleeding, and second cancer rather than to the natural evolution of the MPN.

Idarucizumab, but not procoagulant concentrates, fully restores dabigatran-altered platelet and fibrin components of hemostasis.

BACKGROUND: Comparative studies on the restoration of hemostasis with different reversal agents after dabigatran therapy have not been performed. We compared the efficacy and prothrombotic potential of the specific antidote idarucizumab with that of previously recommended non-specific procoagulant concentrates. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We explored the in vitro effects of dabigatran (184 ng/mL) on fibrin and platelet-aggregate formation onto a damaged vessel under flow conditions (600 s-1 ). The reversal mechanisms and efficacy of idarucizumab (0.3-3 mg/mL) were compared with that of the non-specific procoagulant concentrates aPCC (25-75 U/Kg), PCC (70 U/Kg), or rFVIIa (120 µg/Kg). Generation of thrombin and prothrombin fragment (F1 + 2), and thromboelastometry parameters of clot formation were measured. RESULTS: Dabigatran caused pronounced reductions in fibrin (87%) and platelet interactions (36%) with damaged vessels (p < 0.01) and significantly impaired thrombin generation and thromboelastometric parameters (delayed dynamics and reduced firmness). Idarucizumab completely normalized rates of fibrin and platelet coverage to baseline values in flow studies; and reversed the alterations in thrombin generation, F1 + 2 and thromboelastometry parameters produced by dabigatran. In comparison, aPCC and PCC only partially compensated for the dabigatran-induced alterations in fibrin deposition, but were unable to fully restore them to baseline values. Reversal with aPCC or PCC improved the majority of alterations in coagulation-related tests, but tended to overcompensate thrombin generation kinetics and significantly increased F1 + 2 levels. CONCLUSION: Idarucizumab antagonizes alterations of direct and indirect biomarkers of hemostasis caused by dabigatran. In our studies, idarucizumab was clearly more efficacious than strategies with non-specific procoagulant concentrates and devoid of the excessive procoagulant tendency observed with the latter.

Impact of genotype on leukaemic transformation in polycythaemia vera and essential thrombocythaemia.

The influence of driver mutations on leukaemic transformation was analysed in 1747 patients with polycythaemia vera or essential thrombocythaemia. With a median follow-up of 7·2 years, 349 patients died and 62 progressed to acute leukaemia or myelodysplastic syndrome. Taking death as a competing risk, CALR genotype was associated with a lower risk of transformation [subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR): 0·13, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0·2-0·9, P = 0·039], whereas JAK2 V617F showed borderline significance for higher risk (SHR: 2·05, 95% CI: 0·9-4·6, P = 0·09). Myelofibrotic transformation increased leukaemic risk, except in CALR-mutated patients. Next generation sequencing of 51 genes at the time of transformation showed additional mutations (median number: 3; range: 1-5) in 25 out of 29 (86%) assessable cases. Mutations (median: 1; range: 1-3) were detected in 67% of paired samples from the chronic phase. Leukaemia appeared in a JAK2 V617F negative clone in 17 (58%) cases, eleven of them being previously JAK2 V617F-positive. JAK2 V617F-mutated leukaemia was significantly associated with complex karyotype and acquisition of TP53 mutations, whereas EZH2 and RUNX1 mutations were more frequent in JAK2 V617F-negative leukaemia. Survival was longer in JAK2 V617F-unmutated leukaemia (343 days vs. 95 days, P = 0·003). In conclusion, CALR genotype is associated with a lower risk of leukaemic transformation. Leukaemia arising in a JAK2 V617F-negative clone is TP53 independent and shows better survival.

Antiplatelet therapy versus observation in low-risk essential thrombocythemia with a CALR mutation.

The role of antiplatelet therapy as primary prophylaxis of thrombosis in low-risk essential thrombocythemia has not been studied in randomized clinical trials. We assessed the benefit/risk of low-dose aspirin in 433 patients with low-risk essential thrombocythemia (271 with a CALR mutation, 162 with a JAK2(V617F) mutation) who were on antiplatelet therapy or observation only. After a follow up of 2215 person-years free from cytoreduction, 25 thrombotic and 17 bleeding episodes were recorded. In CALR-mutated patients, antiplatelet therapy did not affect the risk of thrombosis but was associated with a higher incidence of bleeding (12.9 versus 1.8 episodes per 1000 patient-years, P=0.03). In JAK2(V617F)-mutated patients, low-dose aspirin was associated with a reduced incidence of venous thrombosis with no effect on the risk of bleeding. Coexistence of JAK2(V617F)-mutation and cardiovascular risk factors increased the risk of thrombosis, even after adjusting for treatment with low-dose aspirin (incidence rate ratio: 9.8; 95% confidence interval: 2.3-42.3; P=0.02). Time free from cytoreduction was significantly shorter in CALR-mutated patients with essential thrombocythemia than in JAK2(V617F)-mutated ones (median time 5 years and 9.8 years, respectively; P=0.0002) and cytoreduction was usually necessary to control extreme thrombocytosis. In conclusion, in patients with low-risk, CALR-mutated essential thrombocythemia, low-dose aspirin does not reduce the risk of thrombosis and may increase the risk of bleeding.

Acid-base balance disturbances in plasma exchange depend on the replacement fluid used.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic alkalosis occurs as a direct result of plasma exchange (PE) because of metabolism of citrate. However, we observed a decrease of serum pH and bicarbonate after PE when albumin was used as replacement fluid. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The acid-base balance in 2730 PEs using different replacement fluids (albumin, fresh-frozen plasma [FFP], or both) was measured, and absolute changes (Δ) in acid-base balance were compared. The frequency of adverse effects (AEs) before and after using prophylactic administration of sodium bicarbonate was compared. RESULTS: A decrease of serum pH and bicarbonate was observed after PEs when albumin was used as replacement fluid (Δ pH = -0.06 ± 0.04; Δ bicarbonate = -4.03 ± 2.29 mmol/L; Δ base excess = -2.54 ± 3.82 mmol/L). An increase of serum pH and bicarbonate was observed after PEs when FFP was used as replacement fluid (Δ pH = +0.04 ± 0.05; Δ bicarbonate = +3.6 ± 3.68 mmol/L; Δ base excess = +1.62 ± 4.51 mmol/L). The prophylactic administration of sodium bicarbonate corrected partially the decrease of serum pH and bicarbonate after finishing PEs when albumin was used as replacement fluid (Δ pH = -0.04 ± 0.04; Δ bicarbonate = -3.1 ± 2.47 mmol/L; Δ base excess = -3.35 ± 3.06 mmol/L). The frequency of AEs after using prophylactic administration of sodium bicarbonate was lower in comparison with the frequency of AEs before using prophylactic administration of sodium bicarbonate (2.0% vs. 4.8%; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: A decrease of serum pH and bicarbonate appeared in patients after PEs when albumin was used as replacement fluid; it was corrected partially with prophylactic administration of sodium bicarbonate, and it was associated with fewer AEs.

Oral anticoagulation to prevent thrombosis recurrence in polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia.

It is unclear whether anticoagulation guidelines intended for the general population are applicable to patients with polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET). In the present study, the risk of thrombotic recurrence was analyzed in 150 patients with PV and ET treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKA) because of an arterial or venous thrombosis. After an observation period of 963 patient-years, the incidence of re-thrombosis was 4.5 and 12 per 100 patient-years under VKA therapy and after stopping it, respectively (P < 0.0005). After a multivariate adjustment for other prognostic factors, VKA treatment was associated with a 2.8-fold reduction in the risk of thrombotic recurrence. Notably, VKA therapy offset the increased risk of re-thrombosis associated with a prior history of remote thrombosis. Both the protective effect of VKA therapy and the predisposing factors for recurrence were independent of the anatomical site involved in the index thrombosis. Treatment periods with VKA did not result in a higher incidence of major bleeding as compared with those without VKA. These findings support the use of long-term anticoagulation for the secondary prevention of thrombosis in patients with PV and ET, particularly in those with history of remote thrombosis.

Reversal of rivaroxaban-induced alterations on hemostasis by different coagulation factor concentrates ­ in vitro studies with steady and circulating human blood.

BACKGROUND: Despite the good safety of rivaroxaban, there is limited information on strategies for urgent reversal of its antihemostatic effects. METHODS AND RESULTS: Alterations of hemostasis induced by rivaroxaban (230 ng/ml) were assessed by using several tests applied to steady and circulating human blood. Effects on thrombin generation (TG) and thromboelastometry (TEM) parameters were measured. Modifications in platelet adhesive, aggregating and procoagulant activities were evaluated in studies with circulating blood. The potential reversal of prothrombin complex concentrates (PCCs; 50 IU/kg), activated PCCs (aPCCs; 75 IU/kg), or recombinant factor VIIa (rFVIIa; 270 µg/kg) was evaluated. Impairment of TG parameters induced by rivaroxaban were corrected by the different concentrates (aPCC≥PCC>rFVIIa). Prolonged clotting times and reduced clot firmness caused by rivaroxaban on TEM tests were improved by different concentrates (rFVIIa≥aPCC>PCC). Rivaroxaban significantly reduced platelets and fibrin interactions with damaged vascular surfaces in perfusion studies. While alterations of platelet interactions were favourably counteracted by rFVIIa or aPCCs, reductions in fibrin formation were only partially restored by the different factor concentrates (rFVIIa>aPCC≥PCC). CONCLUSIONS: Rivaroxaban-induced alterations on coagulation parameters measured through assays performed under static conditions were easily reversed by the different concentrates. Studies under flow conditions revealed that these concentrates normalized the action of rivaroxaban on platelets, and significantly improved fibrin formation; although in the later case, levels were not restored to the pre-treatment value.

Assessment and prognostic value of the European LeukemiaNet criteria for clinicohematologic response, resistance, and intolerance to hydroxyurea in polycythemia vera.

Criteria of response and definition of resistance and intolerance to hydroxyurea (HU) in polycythemia vera (PV) were proposed by the European LeukemiaNet (ELN). Such criteria were evaluated in 261 PV patients (median follow-up, 7.2 years) treated with HU for a median of 4.4 years. Complete response, partial response, and no response were observed in 24%, 66%, and 10% of patients, respectively. Achieving ELN response (complete or partial) or hematocrit response did not result in better survival or less thrombosis and bleeding. On the contrary, having no response in leukocyte count was associated with higher risk of death (HR, 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3%-5.4%; P = .007), whereas lack of response in platelet count involved a higher risk of thrombosis and bleeding. Resistance and intolerance to HU was registered in 11% and 13% of patients, respectively. Resistance to HU was associated with higher risk of death (HR, 5.6; 95% CI, 2.7%-11.9%; P < .001) and transformation (HR, 6.8; 95% CI, 3.0%-15.4%; P < .001). In summary, fulfilling the ELN definition for response to HU was not associated with a benefit in the clinical outcome in PV, whereas response in platelet and white blood cell counts were predictive of less thrombohemorrhagic complications and better prognosis, respectively. Resistance to HU was an adverse prognostic factor.

Cerebral vein thrombosis in patients with Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms. An European Leukemia Net study.

To investigate the characteristics and clinical course of cerebral vein thrombosis (CVT) in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) we compared 48 patients with MPN and CVT (group MPN-CVT) to 87 with MPN and other venous thrombosis (group MPN-VT) and 178 with MPN and no thrombosis (group MPN-NoT) matched by sex, age at diagnosis of MPN (±5 years) and type of MPN. The study population was identified among 5,500 patients with MPN, from January 1982 to June 2013. Thrombophilia abnormalities were significantly more prevalent in the MPN-CVT and MPN-VT than in MPN-NoT group (P = 0.015), as well as the JAK2 V617F mutation in patients with essential thrombocythemia (P = 0.059). Compared to MPN-VT, MPN-CVT patients had a higher rate of recurrent thrombosis (42% vs. 25%, P = 0.049) despite a shorter median follow-up period (6.1 vs. 10.3 years, P = 0.019), a higher long-term antithrombotic (94% vs. 84%, P = 0.099) and a similar cytoreductive treatment (79% vs. 70%, P = 0.311). The incidence of recurrent thrombosis was double in MPN-CVT than in MPN-VT group (8.8% and 4.2% patient-years, P = 0.022), and CVT and unprovoked event were the only predictive variables in a multivariate model including also sex, blood count, thrombophilia, cytoreductive, and antithrombotic treatment (HR 1.97, 95%CI 1.05-3.72 and 2.09, 1.09-4.00, respectively).

Prognostic value of response to first-line hydroxyurea according to IPSET stratification in essential thrombocythemia.

Hydroxyurea (HU) constitutes the first-line treatment in most patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET), but criteria for changing therapy are not clearly established. The prognostic value of complete hematological response (CHR) and resistance/intolerance to HU was assessed in 1080 patients from the Spanish Registry of ET, classified according to revised IPSET-Thrombosis stratification (Very low- n = 61, Low- n = 83, Intermediate- n = 261, and High-risk n = 675). With a median therapy duration of 5 years, CHR was registered in 720 (67%) patients (1-year probability 51%) and resistance/intolerance in 219 (20%) patients (5-years probability 13%). After correction by other risk factors, High-risk patients achieving CHR showed a reduced risk of arterial thrombosis (HR: 0.35, 95%CI: 0.2-0.6, p = 0.001) and a trend towards lower risk of venous thrombosis (HR: 0.45, 95%CI: 0.2-1.02, p = 0.06) whereas no association was observed for intermediate- or low-risk patients. In comparison with non-responders, intermediate- and high-risk patients achieving CHR had longer survival and lower myelofibrosis incidence. Development of resistance/intolerance to HU, mainly cytopenia, was associated with higher probability of myelofibrosis but no effect on survival or thrombotic risk was demonstrated. In conclusion, CHR with HU is associated with better outcomes and might be an early indicator for selecting candidates to second-line clinical trials.

Cytoreduction plus low-dose aspirin versus cytoreduction alone as primary prophylaxis of thrombosis in patients with high-risk essential thrombocythaemia: an observational study.

The effectiveness of low-dose aspirin in the primary prevention of thrombosis in patients with high-risk essential thrombocythaemia (ET) treated with cytoreductive drugs is not well established. The risk-benefit balance of low-dose aspirin plus cytoreductive therapy compared with cytoreduction alone was retrospectively analysed in 247 patients with high-risk ET without prior thrombosis. Follow-up was 763 and 685 person-years for cytoreduction plus low-dose aspirin and cytoreduction alone, respectively. The rate of thrombosis was not significantly reduced in patients on cytoreduction plus aspirin (14·4 events per 1000 person-years) when compared with those on cytoreduction alone (24·8 events per 1000 person-years; P = 0·2). However, in the subgroup of patients older than 60 years, the addition of low-dose aspirin was associated with a significantly lower rate of thrombosis (8·6 vs. 29·2 thrombosis per 1000 person-years for combined treatment and cytoreduction alone, respectively, P = 0·02). The rate of major bleeding was significantly higher with combined therapy than with cytoreduction alone both in the whole series (14·4 vs. 1·4 haemorrhagic events per 1000 person-years, respectively, P = 0·006) and in the subgroup of patients older than 60 years. In conclusion, low-dose aspirin benefits high-risk ET patients older than 60 years receiving cytoreductive therapy as primary prophylaxis of thrombosis.

Clinical evaluation of the European LeukemiaNet response criteria in patients with essential thrombocythemia treated with anagrelide.

This study investigates whether the response criteria proposed by the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) to evaluate cytoreductive therapies in essential thrombocythemia (ET) correlate with clinically relevant outcomes in patients receiving anagrelide. We evaluated 154 ET patients treated with anagrelide (upfront in 87) for a median of 2.9 years. Complete response (CR), partial response, and no response were observed in 56, 30.5, and 13.5 % patients, respectively. Only 38 patients (25 %) achieved a sustained CR. Overall, the aggregated time on CR and without CR was 200.1 and 333.6 person-years, respectively. The incidence rate of thrombosis and hemorrhage was independent of the CR status. The only factor associated with shorter survival after anagrelide start was the patient's age, whereas achieving a CR with anagrelide had no predictive value for subsequent survival. In conclusion, CR according to the ELN definition is not associated with any measurable clinical benefit in ET patients treated with anagrelide.

Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients with Primary and Secondary Myelofibrosis According to the Genomic Classification Using Targeted Next-Generation Sequencing.

Myelofibrosis (MF) is a heterogeneous disease regarding its mutational landscape, clinical presentation, and outcomes. The aim of our work is to evaluate the genomic classification of MF considering whether it is primary or secondary. One-hundred seventy-five patients, 81 with primary MF (PMF) and 94 with secondary MF (SMF) were hierarchically allocated into eight molecular groups. We found that TP53 disruption/aneuploidy (n = 16, 9%) was more frequent (12% versus 6%) and showed higher allele burden (57% versus 15%, p = 0.01) in SMF than in PMF, and was associated with shorter survival (median 3.5 years). Mutations in chromatin/spliceosome genes (n = 72, 41%) represented the most frequent genomic group in PMF. Homozygous JAK2 mutation (n = 40, 23%) was enriched with old patients with SMF after long-standing polycythemia vera, whereas MF with heterozygous JAK2 mutation (n = 22, 13%) was similarly distributed among PMF and SMF. MF with CALR mutation (n = 19, 11%) predominated in post-essential thrombocythemia MF. The remaining genomic groups were infrequent. TP53 disruption, chromatin/spliceosome mutation, and homozygous JAK2 mutation were associated with significantly shorter survival and higher risk of progression. In conclusion, genomic classification reveals different pathogenic pathways between PMF and SMF and provides relevant information regarding disease phenotype and outcomes.

Application of IPSET-thrombosis in 1366 Patients Prospectively Followed From the Spanish Registry of Essential Thrombocythemia.

The International Prognostic Score of thrombosis in Essential Thrombocythemia (IPSET-thrombosis) and its revised version have been proposed to guide thrombosis prevention strategies. We evaluated both classifications to prognosticate thrombosis in 1366 contemporary essential thrombocythemia (ET) patients prospectively followed from the Spanish Registry of ET. The cumulative incidence of thrombosis at 10 years, taking death as a competing risk, was 11.4%. The risk of thrombosis was significantly higher in the high-risk IPSET-thrombosis and high-risk revised IPSET-thrombosis, but no differences were observed among the lower risk categories. Patients allocated in high-risk IPSET-thrombosis (subdistribution hazard ratios [SHR], 3.7 [95% confidence interval, CI, 1.6-8.7]) and high-risk revised IPSET-thrombosis (SHR, 3.2 [95% CI, 1.4-7.45]) showed an increased risk of arterial thrombosis, whereas both scoring systems failed to predict venous thrombosis. The incidence rate of thrombosis in intermediate risk revised IPSET-thrombosis (aged >60 years, JAK2-negative, and no history of thrombosis) was very low regardless of the treatment administered (0.9% and 0% per year with and without cytoreduction, respectively). Dynamic application of the revised IPSET-thrombosis showed a low rate of thrombosis when patients without history of prior thrombosis switched to a higher risk category after reaching 60 years of age. In conclusion, IPSET-thrombosis scores are useful for identifying patients at high risk of arterial thrombosis, whereas they fail to predict venous thrombosis. Controlled studies are needed to determine the appropriate treatment of ET patients assigned to the non-high-risk categories.

Machine Learning Improves Risk Stratification in Myelofibrosis: An Analysis of the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis.

Myelofibrosis (MF) is a myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN) with heterogeneous clinical course. Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation remains the only curative therapy, but its morbidity and mortality require careful candidate selection. Therefore, accurate disease risk prognostication is critical for treatment decision-making. We obtained registry data from patients diagnosed with MF in 60 Spanish institutions (N = 1386). These were randomly divided into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%). A machine learning (ML) technique (random forest) was used to model overall survival (OS) and leukemia-free survival (LFS) in the training set, and the results were validated in the test set. We derived the AIPSS-MF (Artificial Intelligence Prognostic Scoring System for Myelofibrosis) model, which was based on 8 clinical variables at diagnosis and achieved high accuracy in predicting OS (training set c-index, 0.750; test set c-index, 0.744) and LFS (training set c-index, 0.697; test set c-index, 0.703). No improvement was obtained with the inclusion of MPN driver mutations in the model. We were unable to adequately assess the potential benefit of including adverse cytogenetics or high-risk mutations due to the lack of these data in many patients. AIPSS-MF was superior to the IPSS regardless of MF subtype and age range and outperformed the MYSEC-PM in patients with secondary MF. In conclusion, we have developed a prediction model based exclusively on clinical variables that provides individualized prognostic estimates in patients with primary and secondary MF. The use of AIPSS-MF in combination with predictive models that incorporate genetic information may improve disease risk stratification.

Observation versus antiplatelet therapy as primary prophylaxis for thrombosis in low-risk essential thrombocythemia.

The effectiveness of antiplatelet therapy as primary prophylaxis for thrombosis in low-risk essential thrombocythemia (ET) is not proven. In this study, the incidence rates of arterial and venous thrombosis were retrospectively analyzed in 300 low-risk patients with ET treated with antiplatelet drugs as monotherapy (n = 198) or followed with careful observation (n = 102). Follow-up was 802 and 848 person-years for antiplatelet therapy and observation, respectively. Rates of thrombotic events were 21.2 and 17.7 per 1000 person-years for antiplatelet therapy and observation, respectively (P = .6). JAK2 V617F-positive patients not receiving antiplatelet medication showed an increased risk of venous thrombosis (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 4.0; 95% CI: 1.2-12.9; P = .02). Patients with cardiovascular risk factors had increased rates of arterial thrombosis while on observation (IRR: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.02-6.1; P = .047). An increased risk of major bleeding was observed in patients with platelet count greater than 1000 x 10(9)/L under antiplatelet therapy (IRR: 5.4; 95% CI: 1.7-17.2; P = .004). In conclusion, antiplatelet therapy reduces the incidence of venous thrombosis in patients with JAK2-positive ET and the rate of arterial thrombosis in patients with associated cardiovascular risk factors. In the remaining low-risk patients, this therapy is not effective as primary prophylaxis of thrombosis, and observation may be an adequate option.