ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. CONCLUSIONS: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Around 750,000 patients per year will be cured of HCV infection until 2030. Those with compensated advanced chronic liver disease remain at risk for hepatic decompensation and de novo HCC. Algorithms have been developed to stratify risk early after cure; however, data on long-term outcomes and the prognostic utility of these risk stratification algorithms at later time points are lacking. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 2335 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (liver stiffness measurement≥10 kPa) who achieved HCV-cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centers (median age 60.2±11.9 y, 21.1% obesity, 21.2% diabetes).During a median follow-up of 6 years, first hepatic decompensation occurred in 84 patients (3.6%, incidence rate: 0.74%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 3.2%); 183 (7.8%) patients developed de novo HCC (incidence rate: 1.60%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 8.3%), with both risks being strictly linear over time.Baveno VII criteria to exclude (FU-liver stiffness measurement <12 kPa and follow-up platelet count >150 g/L) or rule-in (FU-liver stiffness measurement ≥25 kPa) clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) stratified the risk of hepatic decompensation with proportional hazards. Estimated probability of CSPH discriminated patients developing versus not developing hepatic decompensation in the gray zone (ie, patients meeting none of the above criteria).Published HCC risk stratification algorithms identified high-incidence and low-incidence groups; however, the size of the latter group varied substantially (9.9%-69.1%). A granular "HCC-sustained virologic response" model was developed to inform an individual patient's HCC risk after HCV-cure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease, the risks of hepatic decompensation and HCC remain constant after HCV-cure, even in the long term (>3 y). One-time post-treatment risk stratification based on noninvasive criteria provides important prognostic information that is maintained during long-term follow-up, as the hazards remain proportional over time.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Baveno VII consensus suggests that screening endoscopy can be spared in patients with compensated cirrhosis when spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is ≤40 kPa as they have a low probability of high-risk varices (HRV). Conversely, screening endoscopy is required in all patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD). This study aimed to evaluate the performance of SSM-VCTE to rule out HRV in patients with PSVD and signs of portal hypertension. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively included patients with PSVD, ≥1 sign of portal hypertension, without a history of variceal bleeding, who underwent an SSM-VCTE within 2 years before or after an upper endoscopy in 21 VALDIG centers, divided into a derivation and a validation cohort. One hundred fifty-four patients were included in the derivation cohort; 43% had HRV. By multivariable logistic regression analysis, SSM-VCTE >40 kPa and serum bilirubin ≥1 mg/dL were associated with HRV. SSM-VCTE ≤40 kPa combined with bilirubin <1 mg/dL had a sensitivity of 96% to rule out HRV and could spare 38% of screening endoscopies, with 4% of HRV missed, and a 95% negative predictive value. In the validation cohort, including 155 patients, SSM combined with bilirubin could spare 21% of screening endoscopies, with 4% of HRV missed and a 94% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: This study gathering a total of 309 patients with PSVD showed that SSM-VCTE ≤40 kPa combined with bilirubin <1 mg/dL identifies patients with PSVD and portal hypertension with a probability of HRV <5%, in whom screening endoscopy can be spared.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests to assess the probability of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) - including the ANTICIPATE±NASH models based on liver stiffness measurement and platelet count±BMI, and the von Willebrand factor antigen to platelet count ratio (VITRO) - have fundamentally changed the management of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, their prognostic utility has not been compared head-to-head to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). METHODS: Patients with cACLD (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa) who underwent advanced characterization via same-day HVPG/non-invasive test assessment from 2007-2022 were retrospectively included. Long-term follow-up data on hepatic decompensation was recorded. RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty patients with cACLD of varying etiologies, with a CSPH prevalence of 67.6%, were included. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation at 1 and 2 years was 4.7% and 8.0%, respectively. HVPG, VITRO, and ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability showed similar time-dependent prognostic value (AUROCs 0.683-0.811 at 1 year and 0.699-0.801 at 2 years). In competing risk analyses adjusted for MELD score and albumin, HVPG (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.099 [95% CI 1.054-1.150] per mmHg; p <0.001), or VITRO (aSHR 1.134 [95% CI 1.062-1.211] per unit; p <0.001), or ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability (aSHR 1.232 [95% CI 1.094-1.387] per 10%; p <0.001) all predicted first decompensation during follow-up. Previously proposed cut-offs (HVPG ≥10 mmHg vs. <10 mmHg, VITRO ≥2.5 vs. <2.5, and ANTICIPATE-CSPH probability ≥60% vs. <60%) all accurately discriminated between patients at negligible risk and those at substantial risk of hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic performance of ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability and VITRO is comparable to that of HVPG, supporting their utility for identifying patients who may benefit from medical therapies to prevent first hepatic decompensation. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests have revolutionized the diagnosis and management of clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, limited data exists regarding the prognostic utility of non-invasive tests in direct comparison to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient. In our study including 420 patients with cACLD, the ANTICIPATE±NASH model and VITRO yielded similar AUROCs to hepatic venous pressure gradient for hepatic decompensation within 1 to 2 years. Thus, non-invasive tests should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients at short-term risk, thereby identifying patients who may benefit from treatment aimed at preventing hepatic decompensation.
Subject(s)
Elasticity Imaging Techniques , Hypertension, Portal , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Prognosis , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Retrospective Studies , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Hypertension, Portal/diagnosis , Hypertension, Portal/etiology , Venous Pressure , Portal PressureABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) require validation in patients with hepatitis D virus (HDV)-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Therefore, we aimed to validate existing NIT algorithms for CSPH in this context. METHODS: Patients with HDV-cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa or histological METAVIR F3/F4 fibrosis) who underwent paired HVPG and NIT assessment at Medical University of Vienna or Hannover Medical School between 2013 and 2023 were retrospectively included. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) were assessed. Individual CSPH risk was calculated according to previously published models (ANTICIPATE, 3P/5P). The diagnostic performance of Baveno VII criteria and refined algorithms (Baveno VII-VITRO, Baveno VII-SSM) was evaluated. The prognostic utility of NITs was investigated in the main cohort and an independent, multicenter, validation cohort. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (HVPG ≥10 mmHg/CSPH prevalence: 62.7%, varices: 42.2%) were included. Patients with CSPH had significantly higher LSM (25.8 [17.2-31.0] vs. 14.0 [10.5-19.8] kPa; p <0.001), VITRO (n = 31, 3.5 [2.7-4.5] vs. 1.3 [0.6-2.0] %/[G/L]; p <0.001), and SSM (n = 20, 53.8 [41.7-75.5] vs. 24.0 [17.0-33.9] kPa; p <0.001). Composite CSPH risk models yielded excellent AUROCs (ANTICIPATE: 0.885, 3P: 0.903, 5P: 0.912). Baveno VII criteria ruled out CSPH with 100% sensitivity and ruled in CSPH with 84.2% specificity. The Baveno VII 'grey zone' (41.1%) was significantly reduced by Baveno VII-VITRO or Baveno VII-SSM algorithms, which maintained diagnostic accuracy. Hepatic decompensation within 2 years only occurred in patients who had CSPH or met Baveno VII rule-in criteria. The prognostic value of NITs was confirmed in the validation cohort comprising 92 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Standalone and composite NIT/diagnostic algorithms are useful for CSPH diagnosis in patients with HDV-cACLD. Thus, NITs may be applied to identify and prioritize patients with CSPH for novel antiviral treatments against chronic hepatitis D. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) have been developed to identify patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) at risk of decompensation, but conflicting data has been published regarding the accuracy of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for the staging of fibrosis in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). In our study, including 51 patients with HDV-cACLD, LSM- and lab-based NITs yielded high AUROCs for CSPH. Moreover, only patients with CSPH or high non-invasively assessed CSPH risk were at risk of decompensation within 2 years, with the prognostic value of NITs confirmed in a validation cohort. Thus, NITs should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients with HDV-cACLD at short-term risk of clinical events; NITs may also guide prioritization for novel antiviral treatment options.
Subject(s)
Algorithms , Elasticity Imaging Techniques , Hypertension, Portal , Humans , Hypertension, Portal/diagnosis , Hypertension, Portal/etiology , Hypertension, Portal/physiopathology , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Elasticity Imaging Techniques/methods , Adult , Liver/diagnostic imaging , Liver/pathology , Hepatitis D/diagnosis , Hepatitis D/complications , Hepatitis Delta Virus/isolation & purification , Platelet Count , Prognosis , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/virology , von Willebrand Factor/analysis , von Willebrand Factor/metabolismABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Pre-emptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is the treatment of choice for high-risk acute variceal bleeding (AVB; i.e., Child-Turcotte-Pugh [CTP] B8-9+active bleeding/C10-13). Nevertheless, some 'non-high-risk' patients have poor outcomes despite the combination of non-selective beta-blockers and endoscopic variceal ligation for secondary prophylaxis. We investigated prognostic factors for re-bleeding and mortality in 'non-high-risk' AVB to identify subgroups who may benefit from more potent treatments (i.e., TIPS) to prevent further decompensation and mortality. METHODS: A total of 2,225 adults with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding were prospectively recruited at 34 centres between 2011-2015; for the purpose of this study, case definitions and information on prognostic indicators at index AVB and on day 5 were further refined in low-risk patients, of whom 581 (without failure to control bleeding or contraindications to TIPS) who were managed by non-selective beta-blockers/endoscopic variceal ligation, were finally included. Patients were followed for 1 year. RESULTS: Overall, 90 patients (15%) re-bled and 70 (12%) patients died during follow-up. Using clinical routine data, no meaningful predictors of re-bleeding were identified. However, re-bleeding (included as a time-dependent co-variable) increased mortality, even after accounting for differences in patient characteristics (adjusted cause-specific hazard ratio: 2.57; 95% CI 1.43-4.62; p = 0.002). A nomogram including CTP, creatinine, and sodium measured at baseline accurately (concordance: 0.752) stratified the risk of death. CONCLUSION: The majority of 'non-high-risk' patients with AVB have an excellent prognosis, if treated according to current recommendations. However, about one-fifth of patients, i.e. those with CTP ≥8 and/or high creatinine levels or hyponatremia, have a considerable risk of death within 1 year of the index bleed. Future clinical trials should investigate whether elective TIPS placement reduces mortality in these patients. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Pre-emptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement improves outcomes in high-risk acute variceal bleeding; nevertheless, some 'non-high-risk' patients have poor outcomes despite the combination of non-selective beta-blockers and endoscopic variceal ligation. This is the first large-scale study investigating prognostic factors for re-bleeding and mortality in 'non-high-risk' acute variceal bleeding. While no clinically meaningful predictors were identified for re-bleeding, we developed a nomogram integrating baseline Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, creatinine, and sodium to stratify mortality risk. Our study paves the way for future clinical trials evaluating whether elective transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement improves outcomes in presumably 'non-high-risk' patients who are identified as being at increased risk of death.
Subject(s)
Esophageal and Gastric Varices , Portasystemic Shunt, Transjugular Intrahepatic , Varicose Veins , Adult , Humans , Esophageal and Gastric Varices/complications , Esophageal and Gastric Varices/surgery , Esophageal and Gastric Varices/drug therapy , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/etiology , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/prevention & control , Creatinine , Portasystemic Shunt, Transjugular Intrahepatic/adverse effects , Varicose Veins/complications , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Liver Cirrhosis/etiology , SodiumABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease. METHODS: Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected. RESULTS: There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2-4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41-1.79; P < .001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.68; P < .001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07-0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD. CONCLUSIONS: Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD.
Subject(s)
Elasticity Imaging Techniques , End Stage Liver Disease , Liver Diseases , Humans , Retrospective Studies , End Stage Liver Disease/complications , Severity of Illness Index , Liver Diseases/pathology , Liver/diagnostic imaging , Liver/pathology , Risk Assessment , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnostic imaging , Liver Cirrhosis/etiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with cirrhosis show alterations in primary hemostasis, yet prognostic implications of changes in platelet activation remain controversial, and assay validity is often limited by thrombocytopenia. We aimed to study the prognostic role of platelet activation in cirrhosis, focusing on bleeding/thromboembolic events, decompensation, and mortality. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We prospectively included 107 patients with cirrhosis undergoing a same-day hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and platelet activation measurement. Platelet activation was assessed using flow cytometry after protease-activated receptor (PAR)-1, PAR-4, or epinephrine stimulation. Over a follow-up of 25.3 (IQR: 15.7-31.2) months, first/further decompensation occurred in 29 patients and 17 died. More pronounced platelet activation was associated with an improved prognosis, even after adjusting for systemic inflammation, HVPG, and disease severity. Specifically, higher PAR-4-inducible platelet activation was independently linked to a lower decompensation risk [adjusted HR per 100 MFI (median fluorescence intensity): 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90-0.99); p =0.036] and higher PAR-1-inducible platelet activation was independently linked to longer survival [adjusted HR per 100 MFI: 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87-0.99); p =0.040]. Thromboembolic events occurred in eight patients (75% nontumoral portal vein thrombosis [PVT]). Higher epinephrine-inducible platelet activation was associated with an increased risk of thrombosis [HR per 10 MFI: 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02-1.12); p =0.007] and PVT [HR per 10 MFI: 1.08 (95% CI: 1.02-1.14); p =0.004]. In contrast, of the 11 major bleedings that occurred, 9 were portal hypertension related, and HVPG thus emerged as the primary risk factor. CONCLUSIONS: Preserved PAR-1- and PAR-4-inducible platelet activation was linked to a lower risk of decompensation and death. In contrast, higher epinephrine-inducible platelet activation was a risk factor for thromboembolism and PVT.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Removal/suppression of the primary etiological factor reduces the risk of decompensation and mortality in compensated cirrhosis. However, in decompensated cirrhosis, the impact of etiologic treatment is less predictable. We aimed to evaluate the impact of etiological treatment in patients with cirrhosis who developed ascites as single index decompensating event. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with cirrhosis and ascites as single first decompensation event were included and followed until death, liver transplantation, or Q3/2021. The etiology was considered "cured" (alcohol abstinence, hepatitis C cure, and hepatitis B suppression) versus "controlled" (partial removal of etiologic factors) versus "uncontrolled." A total of 622 patients were included in the study. Etiology was "cured" in 146 patients (24%), "controlled" in 170 (27%), and "uncontrolled" in 306 (49%). During follow-up, 350 patients (56%) developed further decompensation. In multivariable analysis (adjusted for age, sex, varices, etiology, Child-Pugh class, creatinine, sodium, and era of decompensation), etiological cure was independently associated with a lower risk of further decompensation (HR: 0.46; p = 0.001). During follow-up, 250 patients (40.2%) died, while 104 (16.7%) underwent LT. In multivariable analysis, etiological cure was independently associated with a lower mortality risk (HR: 0.35, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cirrhosis and ascites as single first decompensating event, the cure of liver disease etiology represents a main treatment goal since this translates into considerably lower risks of further decompensation and mortality.
Subject(s)
Esophageal and Gastric Varices , Hepatitis B , Liver Transplantation , Humans , Ascites/etiology , Esophageal and Gastric Varices/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Hepatitis B/complications , Liver Transplantation/adverse effectsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The role of histamine in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is poorly understood. We investigated plasma histamine levels across ACLD stages and their prognostic value. METHODS: We included patients with evidence of ACLD, defined by portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) and/or a liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography ≥10 kPa, who underwent HVPG measurement between 2017 and 2020. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and/or liver-related death were defined as composite endpoint. RESULTS: Of 251 patients, 82.5% had clinically significant portal hypertension (median HVPG: 17 mmHg [interquartile range (IQR) 12-21]) and 135 patients (53.8%) were decompensated at baseline. Median plasma histamine was 8.5 nmol/L (IQR: 6.4-11.5), 37.1% of patients showed elevated values (>9.9 nmol/L). Histamine levels did not differ significantly across Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) stages nor strata of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) or HVPG. Histamine levels correlated with markers of circulatory dysfunction (i.e. sodium, renin and aldosterone). During a median follow-up of 29.2 months, 68 patients developed ACLF or liver-related death. In univariate as well as in multivariate analysis (adjusting for age, sex, HVPG as well as either MELD, clinical stage, and serum albumin or CTP and serum sodium), elevated histamine levels remained associated with the composite endpoint. CTP-based multivariate model adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio (asHR): 1.010 (95% CI: 1.004-1.021), p < .001; MELD-based multivariate model asHR: 1.030 (95% CI: 1.017-1.040), p < .001. CONCLUSION: High levels of histamine were linked to circulatory dysfunction in ACLD patients and independently associated with increased risks of ACLF or liver-related death. Further mechanistic studies on the link between histamine signalling and development of hyperdynamic circulation and ACLF are warranted.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hypercoagulability and hypofibrinolysis in acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) may be implicated in disease progression and haemostatic complications. We conducted a prospective study to: (1) characterise haemostatic alterations in AD; (2) evaluate whether such alterations can predict acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and bleeding/thrombosis. METHODS: Hospitalised individuals with AD were prospectively recruited and underwent an extensive haemostatic profiling including coagulation factors, thrombomodulin-modified thrombin generation assay with evaluation of endogenous thrombin potential (ETP; marker for plasmatic hypercoagulability), fibrinolytic factors, and plasmin-antiplasmin complex (fibrinolysis activation marker). Inflammation severity was assessed by C-reactive protein (CRP). In part 1 of the study, we compared haemostasis in AD vs. controls (stable decompensated and compensated cirrhosis). In part 2 of the study, we prospectively followed individuals with AD for 1 year and investigated predictors of ACLF and bleeding/thrombosis. RESULTS: A total of 169 individuals with AD were recruited (median model for end-stage liver disease score 20; CLIF-C AD 54). Compared with controls, AD was associated with more pronounced hypercoagulability (ETP: 871 vs. 750 vs. 605 nmol/L per min; p <0.0001), without differences in fibrinolysis activation. During follow-up, 55 individuals developed ACLF. CLIF-C AD, CRP, and Child-Pugh were independently associated with ACLF. A predictive model combining these variables (Padua model) accurately identified individuals at higher risk of ACLF (AUROC 0.857; 95% CI 0.798-0.915; sensitivity 74.5%, specificity 83.3%). Notably, CRP and progression to ACLF, but not baseline coagulopathy, were associated with bleeding (n = 11); CRP and antifibrinolytic factor PAI-1 >50 ng/ml were associated with thrombosis (n = 14). The prognostic value of the Padua model was validated in an independent, bicentric European cohort (N = 301). CONCLUSIONS: Inflammation severity, and not coagulopathy, is the most important predictor of ACLF and bleeding in AD. The Padua model can be used to identify individuals with AD at risk of ACLF. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A better understanding of haemostasis in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis may help to identify those at higher risk of progression and complications. In this prospective study, we found no significant association between alterations of haemostasis and cirrhosis progression, indicating that the assessment of haemostatic alterations is not useful to identify those at risk. However, we found that C-reactive protein (a simple blood test that reflects severity of inflammation) and severity of chronic liver disease itself (as assessed by specific scores) were associated with cirrhosis progression and development of bleeding complications. Therefore, we developed a simple predictive model - based on C-reactive protein and liver disease scores - that, if validated by independent studies, could be used in clinical practice to assist physicians in identifying individuals with decompensated cirrhosis at higher risk of disease progression and death (i.e. in whom to consider an expedited evaluation for liver transplantation).
Subject(s)
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure , Blood Coagulation Disorders , End Stage Liver Disease , Hemostatics , Thrombophilia , Humans , Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/diagnosis , Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/etiology , Prospective Studies , Thrombin , End Stage Liver Disease/complications , C-Reactive Protein , Severity of Illness Index , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Inflammation/complications , Prognosis , Blood Coagulation Disorders/complications , Hemorrhage , Disease ProgressionABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Neuropsychological and psychophysical tests are recommended to assess the risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE), but their accuracy is limited. Hyperammonaemia is central in the pathogenesis of OHE, but its predictive utility is unknown. In this study, we aimed to determine the role of neuropsychological or psychophysical tests and ammonia, and to develop a model (AMMON-OHE) to stratify the risk of subsequent OHE development in outpatients with cirrhosis. METHODS: This observational, prospective study included 426 outpatients without previous OHE from three liver units followed for a median of 2.5 years. Psychometric hepatic encephalopathy score (PHES) <-4 or critical flicker frequency (CFF) <39 was considered abnormal. Ammonia was normalized to upper limit of normal (AMM-ULN) at the respective reference laboratory. Multivariable frailty competing risk and random survival forest analyses were performed to predict future OHE and to develop the AMMON-OHE model. External validation was carried out using 267 and 381 patients from two independent units. RESULTS: Significant differences were found in time-to-OHE (log-rank p <0.001) according to PHES or CFF and ammonia, with the highest risk in patients with abnormal PHES plus high AMM-ULN (hazard ratio 4.4; 95% CI 2.4-8.1; p <0.001 compared with normal PHES and AMM-ULN). On multivariable analysis, AMM-ULN but not PHES or CFF was an independent predictor of the development of OHE (hazard ratio 1.4; 95% CI 1.1-1.9; p = 0.015). The AMMON-OHE model (sex, diabetes, albumin, creatinine and AMM-ULN) showed a C-index of 0.844 and 0.728 for the prediction of a first episode of OHE in two external validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we developed and validated the AMMON-OHE model, comprising readily available clinical and biochemical variables that can be used to identify outpatients at the highest risk of developing a first episode of OHE. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In this study, we aimed to develop a model to predict which patients with cirrhosis are at risk of developing overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE). Using data from three units and including 426 outpatients with cirrhosis, we developed the AMMON-OHE model - comprising sex, diabetes, albumin, creatinine and ammonia levels - which demonstrated good predictive ability. The AMMON-OHE model performs better than PHES and CFF to predict the first episode of OHE in outpatients with cirrhosis. This model was validated in 267 and 381 patients from two independent liver units. The AMMON-OHE model is available online for clinical use.
Subject(s)
Hepatic Encephalopathy , Humans , Hepatic Encephalopathy/diagnosis , Hepatic Encephalopathy/etiology , Hepatic Encephalopathy/epidemiology , Outpatients , Prospective Studies , Ammonia , Creatinine , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis/psychology , PsychometricsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alcohol-related liver disease is a leading cause of liver-related mortality. The effect of alcohol abstinence on the natural history of alcohol-related cirrhosis across distinct stages of portal hypertension has not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we assessed the clinical implications of abstinence in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension. METHODS: Alcohol abstinence, hepatic decompensation, and mortality were assessed in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis who underwent a baseline hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement and were diagnosed with clinically significant portal hypertension (HVPG ≥10 mm Hg). RESULTS: A total of 320 patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (median age: 57 [interquartile range (IQR), 49.7-63.1] years; 75.6% male; 87.5% decompensated) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR, 17-23) mm Hg were followed up for a median of 36 (IQR, 14-80) months. Overall, 241 (75.3%) patients remained abstinent, while 79 (24.7%) patients had active alcohol consumption. Alcohol abstinence was linked to a significantly reduced risk of hepatic decompensation (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.391; P < .001), as well as liver-related (aHR, 0.428; P < .001) and all-cause (aHR, 0.453; P < .001) mortality, after adjusting for baseline HVPG, MELD, and previous decompensation. Importantly, alcohol abstinence significantly reduced the cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation in both groups with HVPG 10-19 mm Hg (P < .001) and HVPG ≥20 mm Hg (P = .002). The 3-year decompensation probability was 32.4% vs 60.0% in HVPG 10-19 mm Hg and 57.5% vs 82.6% in HVPG ≥20 mm Hg for abstinent patients vs active drinkers, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence improves prognosis across all stages of portal hypertension in alcohol-related cirrhosis, including in patients who have already progressed to high-risk portal hypertension. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03267615).
Subject(s)
Hypertension, Portal , Liver Cirrhosis , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Alcohol Abstinence , Hypertension, Portal/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis, Alcoholic/complications , PrognosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Carvedilol induces stronger decreases in hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) than conventional nonselective ß-blockers (ie, propranolol). Limited data exist on the efficacy of carvedilol in secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding. METHODS: Patients undergoing paired HVPG measurements for guiding secondary prophylaxis with either carvedilol or propranolol were included in this retrospective analysis. All patients also underwent band ligation. Changes in HVPG and systemic hemodynamics were compared between the 2 groups. Long-term follow-up data on rebleeding, acute kidney injury, nonbleeding decompensation, and liver-related death were analyzed applying competing risk regression. RESULTS: Eighty-seven patients (carvedilol/propranolol, n = 45/42) were included in our study. The median baseline HVPG was 21 mm Hg (interquartile range, 18-24 mm Hg), and 39.1%/48.3%/12.6% had Child-Turcotte-Pugh A/B/C cirrhosis, respectively. Upon nonselective ß-blocker initiation, HVPG decreased more strongly in carvedilol users (median relative decrease, -20% [interquartile range: -29% to -10%] vs -11% [-22% to -5%] for propranolol; P = .027), who also achieved chronic HVPG response more often (53.3% vs 28.6%; P = .034). Cumulative incidences for rebleeding (Gray test, P = .027) and liver-related death (P = .036) were significantly lower in patients taking carvedilol compared with propranolol. Notably, ascites development/worsening also was observed less commonly in carvedilol patients (P = .012). Meanwhile, acute kidney injury rates did not differ between the 2 groups (P = .255). Stratifying patients by HVPG response status yielded similar results. The prognostic value of carvedilol intake was confirmed in competing risk regression models. CONCLUSIONS: Carvedilol induces more marked reductions in HVPG than propranolol in secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding, and thus is associated with lower rates of rebleeding, liver-related death, and further nonbleeding decompensation.
Subject(s)
Esophageal and Gastric Varices , Varicose Veins , Humans , Propranolol/therapeutic use , Carvedilol/therapeutic use , Esophageal and Gastric Varices/complications , Retrospective Studies , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/prevention & control , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/etiology , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Hemodynamics , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Varicose Veins/complicationsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Baveno VII proposed liver stiffness measurement (LSM)/platelet count (PLT)-based criteria ('ruled out,' LSM ≤15 kPa plus PLT ≥150 G/L; 'ruled in': LSM ≥25 kPa) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, a substantial proportion of patients remains 'unclassified.' METHODS: Patients with evidence of cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa) undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement at the Vienna General Hospital 2004 to 2021 (derivation [2004-2016], n = 221; validation [2017-2021], n = 81) were included. The performance of noninvasive tests (NITs) including von Willebrand factor antigen to PLT ratio (VITRO) for the detection of CSPH (HVPG ≥10 mmHg) were evaluated. RESULTS: Overall, viral hepatitis was the predominant (50.7%) etiology, followed by alcoholic liver disease (15.2%) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (13.2%); CSPH prevalence was 62.3%. In the derivation cohort, 45.7% were 'unclassified' according to Baveno VII criteria; in this group, VITRO showed an excellent diagnostic performance for the detection of CSPH (area under the receiver operating curve, 0.909; 95% confidence interval, 0.823-0.965). VITRO ≤1.5 and ≥2.5 ruled out (sensitivity, 97.7%; negative predictive value, 97.5%) and ruled in (specificity, 94.7%; positive predictive value, 91.2%), respectively, CSPH in patients who were 'unclassifiable' by Baveno VII criteria. The application of a sequential Baveno VII-VITRO algorithm reallocated 73% and 70% of 'unclassified' patients to the 'ruled in' and 'ruled out' group, respectively, while maintaining high sensitivity and negative predictive value and specificity and positive predictive value in the derivation and validation cohort, respectively. No patient allocated to the 'CSPH ruled out' group by the Baveno VII-VITRO algorithm developed decompensation within 5 years, whereas 5-year decompensation rates were negligible (4%) and substantial (23.9%) among 'unclassified' and 'CSPH ruled in' patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The sequential application of VITRO in patients with cACLD who were 'unclassifiable' with regard to CSPH by Baveno VII criteria substantially decreased the number of 'unclassifiable' patients to <15% and refined prognostication.
Subject(s)
Elasticity Imaging Techniques , Esophageal and Gastric Varices , Hypertension, Portal , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic , Humans , Hypertension, Portal/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) may simplify management of Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS). Here, we report our experience with off-label use of DOACs for anticoagulation in BCS. METHODS: The safety of DOAC vs vitamin K antagonist treatment as well as associated clinical outcomes were retrospectively assessed in 47 BCS patients treated at 6 Austrian centers. RESULTS: Mean age at study inclusion was 37.9 ± 14.0 years and mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease was 13.1 ± 5.1. Overall, 63.8% (n = 30) of patients had decompensated liver disease, and 87.2% (n = 41) showed clinical signs of portal hypertension. During a median follow-up of 82.5 (interquartile range, 43.1-121.8) months, 43 (91.5%) patients received anticoagulation alone or following interventional treatment, including 22 (46.8%) patients treated with DOACs (edoxaban: 10, apixaban: 4, rivaroxaban: 3, dabigatran: 3, more than one DOAC sequentially: 2) for a median of 24.4 (interquartile range, 5.7-35.1) months. While 72.7% (n = 16 of 22) of patients were switched from low-molecular-weight heparin (n = 12) or vitamin K antagonist (n = 4) to DOAC after disease stabilization or improvement, 27.3% (n = 6 of 22) of BCS patients were initially treated with DOAC. Complete response (European Association for the Study of the Liver criteria) was achieved or maintained in 14 (63.6%) of 22 patients, with ongoing response in 2 patients, while disease progressed in 6 patients (including 2 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma). Four major spontaneous bleedings (18.2%; incidence rate 8.8 per 100 patient-years; n = 2 upper gastrointestinal bleeding, n = 1 lower gastrointestinal bleeding, n = 1 hepatocellular carcinoma rupture), 7 minor bleedings, and 1 major procedure-related bleeding (4.5%; 2.2 per 100 patient-years) occurred during DOAC therapy. Overall transplant-free survival was 91.6% at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: DOACs seem to be effective and safe for long-term anticoagulation in patients with BCS, but confirmation by larger prospective studies is needed.
Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Budd-Chiari Syndrome , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , End Stage Liver Disease , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Budd-Chiari Syndrome/drug therapy , Budd-Chiari Syndrome/chemically induced , Retrospective Studies , Austria , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/drug therapy , End Stage Liver Disease/drug therapy , Severity of Illness Index , Anticoagulants/adverse effects , Dabigatran/adverse effects , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy , Vitamin K , Administration, Oral , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (AtezoBev) is the standard of care for first-line treatment of unresectable HCC. No evidence exists as to its use in routine clinical practice in patients with impaired liver function. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In 216 patients with HCC who were consecutively treated with AtezoBev across 11 tertiary centers, we retrospectively evaluated treatment-related adverse events (trAEs) graded (G) according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v5.0, including in the analysis all patients treated according to label (n = 202, 94%). We also assessed overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), overall response (ORR), and disease control rates (DCR) defined by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors v1.1. Disease was mostly secondary to viral hepatitis, namely hepatitis C (n = 72; 36%) and hepatitis B infection (n = 35, 17%). Liver function was graded as Child-Pugh (CP)-A in 154 patients (76%) and CP-B in 48 (24%). Any grade trAEs were reported by 143 patients (71%), of which 53 (26%) were G3 and 3 (2%) G4. Compared with CP-A, patients with CP-B showed comparable rates of trAEs. Presence and grade of varices at pretreatment esophagogastroduodenoscopy did not correlate with bleeding events. After a median follow-up of 9.0 months (95% CI, 7.8-10.1), median OS was 14.9 months (95% CI, 13.6-16.3), whereas median PFS was 6.8 months (95% CI, 5.2-8.5). ORR and DCR were respectively 25% and 73%, with no difference across CP classes. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms reproducible safety and efficacy of AtezoBev in routine practice. Patients with CP-B reported similar tolerability compared with CP-A, warranting prospective evaluation of AtezoBev in this treatment-deprived population.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Bevacizumab/adverse effects , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Humans , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Removing the primary aetiological factor in decompensated cirrhosis may lead to a restoration of hepatic function. In this study, we investigated the clinical implications of recompensation and the subsequent survival in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. METHODS: The rate of recompensation was evaluated in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis and persistent alcohol abstinence undergoing a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Recompensation was defined according to Baveno VII criteria as resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, absence of variceal bleeding and improvement in liver function. RESULTS: Two hundred and four abstinent patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis (age: 57.2 [IQR:50.1-63.7] years; 75.0% male; median MELD: 15 [IQR:11-19]) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR:18-24) mmHg were included. During a median follow-up of 24.4 (IQR:10.9-50.4) months, 37 patients (18.1%) achieved abstinence-induced recompensation. Lower baseline HVPG, lower Child-Pugh score, lower BMI, higher albumin and higher mean arterial pressure were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. After adjusting for age, disease severity, portal hypertension and systemic inflammation, achieving recompensation resulted in a significant and considerable reduction in liver-related mortality (adjusted HR: 0.091 [95% CI: 0.012-0.677]; p = .019). Only 13 patients (6.4%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma, with a tendency towards a lower risk upon recompensation (HR: 0.398 [95% CI: 0.084-1.878]; p = .245), yet this finding did not reach statistical significance and requires further investigation. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence led to recompensation in 18.1% of our cohort of HVPG-characterised patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. Achieving hepatic recompensation resulted in a >90% risk reduction in liver-related mortality.
Subject(s)
Esophageal and Gastric Varices , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Esophageal and Gastric Varices/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/pathology , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/complications , Severity of Illness IndexABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Different approaches are available after the progression of disease (PD) to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), including the continuation of ICI, treatment switching to tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) and cessation of anticancer therapy. We sought to characterise the relationship between radiological patterns of progression and survival post-ICI, also appraising treatment strategies. METHODS: We screened 604 HCC patients treated with ICIs, including only those who experienced PD by data cut-off. We evaluated post-progression survival (PPS) according to the treatment strategy at PD and verified its relationship with radiological patterns of progression: intrahepatic growth (IHG), new intrahepatic lesion (NIH), extrahepatic growth (EHG), new extrahepatic lesion (NEH) and new vascular invasion (nVI). RESULTS: Of 604 patients, 364 (60.3%) experienced PD during observation. Median PPS was 5.3 months (95% CI: 4.4-6.9; 271 events). At the data cut-off, 165 patients (45%) received no post-progression anticancer therapy; 64 patients (17.6%) continued ICI beyond PD. IHG (HR 1.64 [95% CI: 1.21-2.22]; p = .0013) and nVI (HR 2.15 [95% CI: 1.38-3.35]; p = .0007) were associated with shorter PPS. Multivariate models adjusted for progression patterns, treatment line and albumin-bilirubin grade and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status at PD confirmed receipt of ICI beyond PD with (HR 0.17, 95% CI: 0.09-0.32; p < .0001) or without subsequent TKI (HR 0.39, 95% CI: 0.26-0.58; p < .0001) as predictors of prolonged PPS versus no anticancer therapy. CONCLUSIONS: ICI-TKI sequencing is a consolidated option in advanced HCC. nVI and IHG predict a poorer prognosis. Despite lack of recommendation, the continuation of ICI beyond progression in HCC is adopted clinically: future efforts should appraise which patients benefit from this approach.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors , Albumins , BilirubinABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD) is a recently defined vascular liver disease. Since diagnosis remains challenging, we aimed to evaluate radiological features that are distinct between PSVD and cirrhosis. METHODS: Clinical, laboratory, and radiological parameters (CT/MRI) of patients with histologically-confirmed PSVD vs. cirrhosis vs. non-cirrhotic parenchymal liver disease were retrospectively evaluated. RESULTS: Sixty-three PSVD, 155 cirrhosis, and 41 non-cirrhotic patients were included. As compared to cirrhosis, PSVD patients were younger and had lower HVPG, liver stiffness, and MELD. Routine clinical and imaging findings indicative of portal hypertension were similarly common. Intrahepatic portal tract abnormalities (49% vs. 15%; p < 0.001), FNH-like lesions (30% vs. 1%; p < 0.001), and abnormal liver morphology defined as peripheral parenchymal atrophy and compensatory hypertrophy of central segments (32% vs. 7%; p < 0.001) were significantly more common in PSVD patients. Hypertrophy of segment I (70% vs. 84%; p = 0.019), atrophy of segment IV (24% vs. 47%; p = 0.001), and nodular liver surface (22% vs. 89%; p < 0.001) were more common in patients with cirrhosis. In patients with gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI, we identified the distinct imaging feature of "periportal hyperintensity" in the hepatobiliary phase (HBP) in 42% of patients with PSVD (14/33) vs. 1% in cirrhosis (1/95) vs. 0% in non-cirrhotic controls (0/41); p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosis of PSVD must be considered in younger patients presenting with clinical features of portal hypertension, portal tract abnormalities, and FNH-like lesions on CT/MRI. 'Periportal hyperintensity' in the HBP of gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI was identified as a specific radiological feature of PSVD. KEY POINTS: ⢠Cross-sectional imaging can provide essential information to identify patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD). ⢠Intrahepatic portal tract abnormalities, FNH-like lesions, and abnormal liver morphology are common in PSVD patients. ⢠Periportal hyperintensity on the hepatobiliary phase of gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI seems to be specific for patients with PSVD.