HIV-1 transmitted drug resistance in newly diagnosed individuals in Italy over the period 2015-21.

BACKGROUND: Transmitted drug resistance (TDR) is still a critical aspect for the management of individuals living with HIV-1. Thus, its evaluation is crucial to optimize HIV care. METHODS: Overall, 2386 HIV-1 protease/reverse transcriptase and 1831 integrase sequences from drug-naïve individuals diagnosed in north and central Italy between 2015 and 2021 were analysed. TDR was evaluated over time. Phylogeny was generated by maximum likelihood. Factors associated with TDR were evaluated by logistic regression. RESULTS: Individuals were mainly male (79.1%) and Italian (56.2%), with a median (IQR) age of 38 (30-48). Non-B infected individuals accounted for 44.6% (N = 1065) of the overall population and increased over time (2015-2021, from 42.1% to 51.0%, P = 0.002). TDR prevalence to any class was 8.0% (B subtype 9.5% versus non-B subtypes 6.1%, P = 0.002) and remained almost constant over time. Overall, 300 transmission clusters (TCs) involving 1155 (48.4%) individuals were identified, with a similar proportion in B and non-infected individuals (49.7% versus 46.8%, P = 0.148). A similar prevalence of TDR among individuals in TCs and those out of TCs was found (8.2% versus 7.8%, P = 0.707).By multivariable analysis, subtypes A, F, and CFR02_AG were negatively associated with TDR. No other factors, including being part of TCs, were significantly associated with TDR. CONCLUSIONS: Between 2015 and 2021, TDR prevalence in Italy was 8% and remained almost stable over time. Resistant strains were found circulating regardless of being in TCs, but less likely in non-B subtypes. These results highlight the importance of a continuous surveillance of newly diagnosed individuals for evidence of TDR to inform clinical practice.

Real-life experience with remdesivir for treatment of COVID-19 among older adults: a multicentre retrospective study.

INTRODUCTION: The effect of remdesivir on COVID-19 mortality remains conflicting. Elderly individuals are at risk for poor COVID-19 outcomes. We aimed to assess the effect of remdesivir on COVID-19 mortality among elderly individuals, using real-world data. METHODS: Retrospective multinational cohort of individuals aged ≥65 years, hospitalized with COVID-19 in six medical centres between January 2020 and May 2021. Associations with in-hospital mortality were evaluated using a multivariable logistic regression model with propensity score adjustment for remdesivir therapy and while implementing generalized estimating equations to control for centre effect. Sensitivity analysis was performed by stratification according to the degree of respiratory support. RESULTS: Of 3010 individuals included, 2788 individuals required either oxygen supplementation or non-invasive/invasive mechanical ventilation, 489 (16%) were treated with remdesivir, and 836 (28%) died. Median age was 77 (IQR 70-84) years and 42% were women. Remdesivir was the only therapeutic intervention associated with decreased mortality [adjusted OR (aOR) 0.49, 95% CI 0.37-0.66, P < 0.001]. This protective effect was shown for individuals requiring oxygen support and non-invasive mechanical ventilation, while no association was found among individuals necessitating invasive mechanical ventilation.Risk factors for mortality included invasive ventilation (aOR 5.18, 95% CI 2.46-10.91, P < 0.001), higher serum creatinine (aOR 1.25, 95% CI 1.09-1.43, P = 0.001) and dyspnoea (aOR 1.40, 95% CI 1.07-1.84, P = 0.015) on presentation, and other non-modifiable factors, such as comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Among elderly individuals hospitalized with COVID-19, remdesivir carries survival benefit for those with moderate to severe disease. Its role among individuals with critical illness should be further assessed.

Efficacy and tolerability of dolutegravir/lamivudine versus dolutegravir/rilpivirine in switching from a three-drug regimen based on nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors: A retrospective cohort study.

Real-life comparisons of dolutegravir/rilpivirine (DTG/RPV) and DTG/lamivudine (3TC) regimens in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWHIV) who switched from a standard three-drug regimen based on nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) are missing. This study aimed to compare DTG/3TC and DTG/RPV in virologically suppressed patients (HIV-RNA < 50 copies/mL) coming from any NNRTI-based regimen in terms of discontinuation due to virologic failure (VF) discontinuation rates due to all causes, and adverse events. As a secondary outcome, we evaluated the difference in creatinine, total cholesterol, CD4, and triglycerides from baseline to weeks 48 after the switch. Of the 415 PLWHs included in the study, 278 (66.9%) switched to DTG/3TC, and 137 (33.1%) switched to DTG/RPV. Overall, 48 PLWHs (11.6%) discontinued the treatment:38 with DTG/3TC and 10 with DTG/RPV with similar discontinuation rates: 5.01 × 100 py (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.64-6.94) and 4.66 × 100 py (95% CI 2.51-8.67), respectively. The most common reason for discontinuation was toxicity (26 patients, 22/278 [7.9%] in the DTG/3TC group and 4/137 [2.9%] in the DTG/RPV group), mainly neurologic toxicity (never above grade 2). We found no differences in discontinuation rates due to treatment adverse events. Two study participants experienced virological failure in the DTG/3TC arm. We observed no significant difference in CD4 cell counts, lipid parameters, or renal function between the two groups at 48 weeks. This study demonstrated that, in clinical practice, a two-drug regimen with DTG/3TC or DTG/RPV is characterized by a low discontinuation rate and VF in virologically suppressed PLWHs switched from an NNRTI-based three antiretroviral drugs regimen.

Non-B subtypes account for a large proportion of clustered primary HIV-1 infections in Italy.

OBJECTIVES AND DESIGN: Using pol sequences obtained for routine resistance testing, we characterised the molecular patterns of HIV-1 transmission and factors associated with being part of a transmission cluster among individuals who in 2008-2014 presented with primary HIV-1 infection (PHI) at 11 urban centres across Italy. METHODS: Pol sequences were obtained by Sanger sequencing. Transmission clusters were identified by phylogenetic analysis (maximum likelihood method, confirmed by Bayesian analysis). Multivariable logistic regression explored factors associated with a participant being part of a transmission cluster. RESULTS: The PHI cohort comprised 186 participants (159/186, 85.5% males) with median age 44 years, median CD4 count 464 cells/mm3 and median plasma HIV-1 RNA 5.6 log10 copies/mL. Drug resistance associated mutations were found in 16/186 (8.6%). A diversity of non-B subtypes accounted for 60/186 (32.3%) of all infections. A total of 17 transmission clusters were identified, including 44/186 (23.7%) participants. Each cluster comprised 2-6 sequences. Non-B subtypes accounted for seven clusters and 22/44 (50%) of clustered sequences. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, factors associated with being part of a transmission cluster comprised harbouring a non-B subtype (adjusted OR (adjOR) 2.28; 95% CI 1.03 to 5.05; p=0.04) and showing a lower plasma HIV-1 RNA (adjOR 0.80, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.99; p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: There was a large contribution of diverse non-B subtypes to transmission clusters among people presenting with acute or recent HIV-1 infection in this cohort, illustrating the evolving dynamics of the HIV-1 epidemic in Italy, where subtype B previously dominated.

Genotypic HIV-1 tropism determination might help to identify people with exhausted treatment options and advanced disease.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate HIV-1 tropism in 1382 combined antiretroviral therapy (cART)-experienced patients failing therapy to characterize those with exhausted therapeutic options. METHODS: HIV-1 genotypic tropism was inferred through Geno2Pheno by estimating the false-positive-rate (FPR) values. Cumulative resistance and drug activity were evaluated by Stanford algorithm. RESULTS: Overall, median (IQR) CD4 count (cells/mm3) nadir and at last genotypic resistance test (GRT) available were 98 (33-211) and 312 (155-517), respectively. Considering HIV-1 tropism, 30.5% had X4/dual-mixed strains (FPR ≤5%: 22.2%; FPR 5%-10%: 8.3%). By stratifying according to tropism, by decreasing FPR, a significant decrease of CD4 nadir and at last GRT was observed. The proportion of individuals with CD4 count <200 cells/mm3, who were perinatally infected and with a long treatment history significantly increased as FPR levels decreased. Regarding resistance, 933 (67.5%) individuals accumulated at least one class resistance, with 52.7%, 48.2%, 23.5% and 13.2% of individuals showing resistance to NRTIs, NNRTIs, PIs and INIs; while 23.2%, 27.2%, 14.3% and 2.8% harboured resistance to 1, 2, 3 and 4 classes, respectively. Individuals with FPR ≤5% showed a significantly higher level of resistance to PIs, NRTIs and INIs compared with others. The proportion of individuals harbouring strains susceptible to ≤2 active drugs was only about 2%; nonetheless, this proportion doubled (4.6%) in patients infected with FPR ≤5%. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings showed that a small proportion of cART failing individuals have limited therapeutic options. However, tropism determination might help to identify people who have accumulated a high level of resistance and have a greater risk of advanced disease.

Virological response and resistance profile in highly treatment-experienced HIV-1-infected patients switching to dolutegravir plus boosted darunavir in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the virological response and resistance profile in combined antiretroviral therapy (cART)-experienced HIV-1-infected patients starting a dual therapy with dolutegravir (DTG) and boosted darunavir (bDRV) for the first time. METHODS: Survival analyses were used to evaluate virological success (VS) and virological rebound (VR) in viraemic and virologically suppressed patients, respectively. Major resistance mutations (MRMs) and genotypic susceptibility score (GSS) were evaluated at baseline and after switch. RESULTS: Overall, 130 patients [62 (47.7%) viraemic; 68 (52.3%) virologically suppressed] were retrospectively analysed. At the moment of switch, 81.5% accumulated one or more MRM [protease inhibitor (PI), 35.7%; nucleoside(t)ide reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI), 77.5%; non-NRTI, 69.0%; integrase inhibitor (INI), 10.1%), but 77.7% harboured strains fully susceptible to DTG + bDRV. In viraemic patients, the overall probability of VS by 12 months of treatment was 91.7%. In virologically suppressed patients, the overall probability of VR was 10.5% by 24 months after therapy start. Patients with previous time under virological suppression ≤ 6 months showed a higher VR probability compared with others (37.5% vs. 6.7%, P < 0.002). Among 13 non-responding patients for whom a genotypic resistance test result at failure was available, only two (15.4%) accumulated further resistance in integrase (Y143C/H/R; S147G and N155H) and protease (V32I, L33F, I54L). CONCLUSIONS: In highly treatment-experienced patients, the use of dual therapy based on DTG + bDRV appears to be a very good regimen for switch therapy, with a high rate of virological control in both viraemic and virologically suppressed patients. Among non-responding patients, the selection of further resistance is a rare event.

Long-term maintenance of virologic suppression in native and migrant HIV-1 naïve patients: an Italian cohort study.

Little is known about long-term maintenance of virologic suppression in HIV migrants in Italy. The study aims to compare virologic failure rates and associated factors among antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve migrants and natives enrolled in the ARCA database since 2007 who achieved virologic suppression within 18 months from the beginning of the ART. Kaplan-Meier method assessed the probability of virologic suppression and failure. Cox regression model was used for multivariate analysis. Of 2515 patients, 2020 (80.3%) were Italian, 286 (10.6%) migrants from low-income countries, of whom 201 (75.0%) from Africa, and 227 (9.0%) from high-income-countries. The median follow-up was 4.5 years (IQR 2.5-7). No difference was observed in the time of achievement of virological suppression in the three groups (log-rank: p = 0.5687). Higher probability of virologic failure was observed in Africans compared to Italians, to patients from high-income-countries and from low-income-countries other than Africans (Log-rank = p < 0.001). In the adjusted analysis, a higher virologic failure risk was found in Africans only compared to Italians. [HR 4.01; 95% CI 2.44-6.56, p < 0.001]. In Italy, African migrants are less likely to maintain virologic suppression compared to natives and other migrants. Targeted interventions could be needed for foreigners, especially for Africans.

Characterisation of HIV-1 molecular transmission clusters among newly diagnosed individuals infected with non-B subtypes in Italy.

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the characteristics of HIV-1 molecular transmission clusters (MTCs) in 1890 newly diagnosed individuals infected with non-B subtypes between 2005 and 2017 in Italy. METHODS: Phylogenetic analyses were performed on pol sequences to characterise subtypes/circulating recombinant forms and identify MTCs. MTCs were divided into small (SMTCs, 2-3 sequences), medium (MMTCs, 4-9 sequences) and large (LMTCs, ≥10 sequences). Factors associated with MTCs were evaluated using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: 145 MTCs were identified and involved 666 individuals (35.2%); 319 of them (16.9%) were included in 13 LMTCs, 111 (5.9%) in 20 MMTCs and 236 (12.5%) in 112 SMTCs. Compared with individuals out of MTCs, individuals involved in MTCs were prevalently Italian (72.7% vs 30.9%, p<0.001), male (82.9% vs 62.3%, p<0.001) and men who have sex with men (MSM) (43.5% vs 14.5%, p<0.001). Individuals in MTCs were also younger (median (IQR) years: 41 (35-49) vs 43 (36-51), p<0.001) and had higher CD4 cell count in comparison with individuals out of MTCs (median (IQR): 109/L: 0.4 (0.265-0.587) vs 0.246 (0.082-0.417), p<0.001). The viral load remained stable between the two groups (median (IQR) log10 copies/mL: 4.8 (4.2-5.5) vs 5.0 (4.3-5.5), p=0.87). Logistic regression confirmed that certain factors such as being MSM, of Italian origin, younger age and higher CD4 cell count were significantly associated with MTCs. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that HIV-1 newly diagnosed individuals infected with non-B subtypes are involved in several MTCs in Italy. These MTCs include mainly Italians and MSM and highlight the complex phenomenon characterising the HIV-1 spread. This is important especially in view of monitoring the HIV epidemic and guiding the public health response.

Ombitasvir/Paritaprevir/Ritonavir and Dasabuvir Combination Treatment in Patients with HIV/HCV Co-Infection: Results of an Italian Compassionate Use Program.

Patients co-infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are at high risk of liver disease progression. We report a favorable safety profile and SVR12 rates of 96.7% among HIV/HCV co-infected patients participating in an Italian compassionate-use program of ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir + dasabuvir (OBV/PTV/r + DSV) ± ribavirin (RBV).

Comparative Evaluation of Subtyping Tools for Surveillance of Newly Emerging HIV-1 Strains.

HIV-1 non-B subtypes/circulating recombinant forms (CRFs) are increasing worldwide. Since subtype identification can be clinically relevant, we assessed the added value in HIV-1 subtyping using updated molecular phylogeny (Mphy) and the performance of routinely used automated tools. Updated Mphy (2015 updated reference sequences), used as a gold standard, was performed to subtype 13,116 HIV-1 protease/reverse transcriptase sequences and then compared with previous Mphy (reference sequences until 2014) and with COMET, REGA, SCUEAL, and Stanford subtyping tools. Updated Mphy classified subtype B as the most prevalent (73.4%), followed by CRF02_AG (7.9%), C (4.6%), F1 (3.4%), A1 (2.2%), G (1.6%), CRF12_BF (1.2%), and other subtypes (5.7%). A 2.3% proportion of sequences were reassigned as different subtypes or CRFs because of misclassification by previous Mphy. Overall, the tool most concordant with updated Mphy was Stanford-v8.1 (95.4%), followed by COMET (93.8%), REGA-v3 (92.5%), Stanford-old (91.1%), and SCUEAL (85.9%). All the tools had a high sensitivity (≥98.0%) and specificity (≥95.7%) for subtype B. Regarding non-B subtypes, Stanford-v8.1 was the best tool for C, D, and F subtypes and for CRFs 01, 02, 06, 11, and 36 (sensitivity, ≥92.6%; specificity, ≥99.1%). A1 and G subtypes were better classified by COMET (92.3%) and REGA-v3 (98.6%), respectively. Our findings confirm Mphy as the gold standard for accurate HIV-1 subtyping, although Stanford-v8.1, occasionally combined with COMET or REGA-v3, represents an effective subtyping approach in clinical settings. Periodic updating of HIV-1 reference sequences is fundamental to improving subtype characterization in the context of an effective epidemiological surveillance of non-B strains.

Switching to boosted protease inhibitor plus a second antiretroviral drug (dual therapy) for treatment simplification: a multicenter observational study.

BACKGROUND: Aim of the study was to assess predictors of discontinuation/toxicity of boosted PI-based (PI/r) dual therapy (DT). METHODS: Observational, retrospective switch study in patients successfully treated with triple drugs regimen. Patients switched to PI/r based DT [darunavir (DRV/r), lopinavir (LPV/r) or atazanavir (ATV/r)] plus a second drug: [raltegravir (RAL), maraviroc (MVC) etravirine (ETR), lamivudine (3TC) or tenofovir (TDF)] between 2009 and 2014 were included. The effect of each drug as well as other clinical and virological cofactors over treatment discontinuation (TD) was assessed using survival analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 376 patients were included with mean follow-up of 73 weeks. The most commonly used drugs in DT were DRV/r (63.0 %) and RAL (53.7 %). TD was observed in 77 (20,4 %) patients: 38 (10,1 %) virological failure, 35 (9,3 %) toxicity/intolerance (4 deaths) and 4 (1 %) interruptions for patients decision. At Cox Model, adjusted by demographic and laboratory variables, DRV/r and ATV/r significantly reduced the likelihood of TD and longer treatment was associated with lower risk, while low CD4 count at baseline and number of previous regimens with a higher risk. Moreover, RAL and 3TC use were significantly associated with lower TD by toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: In our clinical practice experience, switching virologically suppressed patients to PI/r based DT showed adequate safety and efficacy, so that it may be used in selected patients with specific medical needs.

Comparing the efficacy and safety of a first-line regimen with emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide fumarate plus either bictegravir or dolutegravir: Results from clinical practice.

BACKGROUND: First-line integrase strand transfer inhibitor-based regimens have become commonly used in clinical practice over the last decade. This study aimed to analyse and compare the efficacy and safety of bictegravir (BIC) and dolutegravir (DTG) when prescribed in association with emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (FTC/TAF) as part of a first-line regimen for the treatment of human immunodeficiency-1 (HIV-1) infection. METHODS: Treatment-naïve people living with HIV (PLWHIV) starting a first-line regimen with either BIC/FTC/TAF (BIC group) or FTC/TAF+DTG (DTG group) were analysed. Snapshot analyses were performed after 24 and 48 weeks to evaluate virological efficacy. In addition, differences in the rate of treatment discontinuation (TD) between the two groups were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log rank test. RESULTS: Data from 327 PLWHIV were analysed: 140 in the DTG group and 187 in the BIC group. At 48 weeks, 90.0% of individuals in the DTG group and 86.7% of those in the BIC group achieved HIV-RNA <50 copies/mL. In total, 88 and 38 cases of TD were observed in the DTG group and BIC group, respectively. The estimated probability of maintaining the study regimen at week 48 was 59.5% in the DTG group and 84.2% in the BIC group. Analysing changes in immunological parameters after 48 weeks, median improvements of +169 cell/mm3 (P<0.001) and +233 cell/mm3 (P<0.001) were observed in the DTG group and the BIC group, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both BIC and DTG, in combination with FTC/TAF, show promising efficacy and safety as first-line strategies in clinical practice, with favourable immunological recovery even in the short term.

Development and validation of a prediction score for failure to casirivimab/imdevimab in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

Introduction: Casirivimab and imdevimab (CAS/IMV) are two non-competing, high-affinity human IgG1 anti-SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies, that showed a survival benefit in seronegative hospitalized patients with COVID-19. This study aimed to estimate the day-28 risk of mechanical ventilation (MV) and death in individuals hospitalized for severe COVID-19 pneumonia and receiving CAS/IMV. Additionally, it aimed to identify variables measured at the time of hospital admission that could predict these outcomes and derive a prediction algorithm. Methods: This is a retrospective, observational cohort study conducted in 12 hospitals in Italy. Adult patients who were consecutively hospitalized from November 2021 to February 2022 receiving CAS/IMV were included. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify predictors of MV or death by day 28 from treatment initiation, and ß-coefficients from the model were used to develop a risk score that was derived by means of leave-one-out internal cross-validation (CV), external CV, and calibration. Secondary outcome was mortality. Results: A total of 480 hospitalized patients in the training set and 157 patients in the test set were included. By day 28, 36 participants (8%) underwent MV and 28 died (6%) for a total of 58 participants (12%) experiencing the composite primary endpoint. In multivariable analysis, four factors [age, PaO2/FiO2 ratio, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and platelets] were independently associated with the risk of MV/death and were used to generate the proposed risk score. The accuracy of the score in the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.80 and 0.77 in internal validation and test for the composite endpoint and 0.87 and 0.86 for death, respectively. The model also appeared to be well calibrated with the raw data. Conclusion: The mortality risk reported in our study was lower than that previously reported. Although CAS/IMV is no longer used, our score might help in identifying which patients are not likely to benefit from monoclonal antibodies and may require alternative interventions.

Duration of first-line antiretroviral therapy with tenofovir and emtricitabine combined with atazanavir/ritonavir, efavirenz or lopinavir/ritonavir in the Italian ARCA cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the durability of three first-line tenofovir/emtricitabine-based regimens in combination with atazanavir/ritonavir, efavirenz or lopinavir/ritonavir in HIV-1-infected patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective, longitudinal, multicentre analysis of adult patients enrolled in the Antiretroviral Resistance Cohort Analysis (ARCA), a national prospective observational cohort of HIV-1-infected patients followed up at more than 100 clinical and laboratory units in Italy. Patients eligible were those starting first-line antiretroviral therapy between 1 June 2004 and 15 April 2011 and who were followed up for at least 6 months. The primary endpoint was durability, defined as the time from antiretroviral therapy initiation to first treatment modification. Time-dependent events were analysed by the Kaplan-Meier approach and the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: There are 26,000 HIV-infected patients in the ARCA database, of whom 1654 met study inclusion criteria. Six hundred and thirty-nine (38.6%) received efavirenz, 321 (19.4%) received atazanavir/ritonavir and 694 (41.9%) received lopinavir/ritonavir as a first-line regimen. Over a total observation period of 88 months, equivalent to more than 2805 person-years of follow-up, 618 patients underwent treatment modification. Lopinavir/ritonavir, given twice daily, was associated with a higher discontinuation rate than efavirenz- and atazanavir-based regimens [hazard ratio (HR) 1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.56-2.15, P = 0.001]. Comparing the once-daily regimens, the rate of discontinuation of efavirenz was higher than that of atazanavir/ritonavir (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.06-1.83, P = 0.016). CONCLUSIONS: Significant differences in treatment duration were observed among the three studied regimens. Once-daily regimens exhibited greater durability than the twice-daily regimen. Among the specific regimens examined, tenofovir/emtricitabine plus atazanavir/ritonavir showed the greatest durability.

Real world efficacy of dolutegravir plus lamivudine in people living with HIV with undetectable viral load after previous failures.

BACKGROUND: Dolutegravir (DTG) +lamivudine (3TC) combination has been found to be as effective as triple therapies, and has been extensively prescribed in clinical practice as a maintenance therapy. We aimed to investigate the effect of previous virological failures (VFs) on virological efficacy. METHODS: The analysis included data of people living with HIV (PLWH) with HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL enrolled in an Italian retrospective multicohort study who were switching to DTG+3TC. Primary endpoint was viral rebound (VR; confirmed HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL or single HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL followed by change of antiretroviral therapies [ART]). Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate probabilities of VR based upon histories of previous VFs (single HIV-RNA ≥1000 copies/mL or confirmed HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL). A weighted Cox regression model was fitted to estimate the causal hazard ratio (HR) of history of failure on the risk of VR. RESULTS: A total of 966 PLWH were included; 20.1% had a history of previous VF. VR was detected in 23 PLWH. The one-year probability was 1.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.2%-2.2%) in PLWH without previous VF and 3.3% (95% CI, 0.4%-6.2%) in those with ≥1 VF (log-rank P = 0.042). By multivariate analysis adjusted for CD4+ cell count at nadir, duration of virological suppression, and mode of HIV transmission, PLWH with ≥1 previous VF had a higher risk of virological rebound than those without previous VF (adjusted hazard ratio 3.06 [95% CI, 1.00-9.44], P = 0.051). CONCLUSION: Despite the low absolute one-year risk in both groups, real-world data confirmed that PLWH with a previous failure have an increased risk of viral rebound.

Predictors of survival in elderly patients with coronavirus disease 2019 admitted to the hospital: derivation and validation of the FLAMINCOV score.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of 30-day survival in elderly patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including patients with COVID-19 aged ≥65 years hospitalized in six European sites (January 2020 to May 2021). Data on demographics, comorbidities, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were collected. A predictive score (FLAMINCOV) was developed using logistic regression. Regression coefficients were used to calculate the score. External validation was performed in a cohort including elderly patients from a major COVID-19 centre in Israel. Discrimination was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the derivation and validation cohorts. Survival risk groups based on the score were derived and applied to the validation cohort. RESULTS: Among 3010 patients included in the derivation cohort, 30-day survival was 74.5% (2242/3010). The intensive care unit admission rate was 7.6% (228/3010). The model predicting survival included independent functional status (OR, 4.87; 95% CI, 3.93-6.03), a oxygen saturation to fraction of inspired oxygen (SpO2/FiO2) ratio of >235 (OR, 3.75; 95% CI, 3.04-4.63), a C-reactive protein level of <14 mg/dL (OR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.91-3.04), a creatinine level of <1.3 (OR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.62-2.52) mg/dL, and absence of fever (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.09-1.66). The score was validated in 1174 patients. The FLAMINCOV score ranges from 0 to 15 and showed good discrimination in the derivation (AUC, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.77-0.81; p < 0.001) and validation cohorts (AUC, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.81; p < 0.001). Thirty-day survival ranged from 39.4% (203/515) to 95.3% (634/665) across four risk groups according to score quartiles in the derivation cohort. Similar proportions were observed in the validation set. DISCUSSION: The FLAMINCOV score identifying elderly with higher or lower chances of survival may allow better triage and management, including intensive care unit admission/exclusion.

Efficacy and Durability of Dolutegravir- or Darunavir-Based Regimens in ART-Naïve AIDS- or Late-Presenting HIV-Infected Patients.

BACKGROUND: Since limited data are available, we aimed to compare the efficacy and durability of dolutegravir and darunavir in advanced naïve patients. METHODS: Retrospective multicenter study including AIDS- or late-presenting (def. CD4 ≤ 200/µL) HIV-infected patients starting dolutegravir or ritonavir/cobicistat-boosted darunavir+2NRTIs. Patients were followed from the date of first-line therapy initiation (baseline, BL) to the discontinuation of darunavir or dolutegravir, or for a maximum of 36 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Overall 308 patients (79.2% males, median age 43 years, 40.3% AIDS-presenters, median CD4 66 cells/µL) were enrolled; 181 (58.8%) and 127 (41.2%) were treated with dolutegravir and darunavir, respectively. Incidence of treatment discontinuation (TD), virological failure (VF, defined as a single HIV-RNA > 1000 cp/mL or two consecutive HIV-RNA > 50 cp/mL after 6 months of therapy or after virological suppression had been achieved), treatment failure (the first of TD or VF), and optimal immunological recovery (defined as CD4 ≥ 500/µL + CD4 ≥ 30% + CD4/CD8 ≥ 1) were 21.9, 5.2, 25.6 and 1.4 per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively, without significant differences between dolutegravir and darunavir (p > 0.05 for all outcomes). However, a higher estimated probability of TD for central nervous system (CNS) toxicity (at 36 months: 11.7% vs. 0%, p = 0.002) was observed for dolutegravir, whereas darunavir showed a higher probability of TD for simplification (at 36 months: 21.3% vs. 5.7%, p = 0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Dolutegravir and darunavir showed similar efficacy in AIDS- and late-presenting patients. A higher risk of TD due to CNS toxicity was observed with dolutegravir, and a higher probability of treatment simplification with darunavir.

Efficacy of Dolutegravir versus Darunavir in Antiretroviral First-Line Regimens According to Resistance Mutations and Viral Subtype.

BACKGROUND: Dolutegravir (DTG)-based first-line regimens have shown superior efficacy versus darunavir (DRV)-based ones in randomized trials. We compared these two strategies in clinical practice, particularly considering the role of pre-treatment drug resistance mutations (DRMs) and of the HIV-1 subtype. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The multicenter Antiretroviral Resistance Cohort Analysis (ARCA) database was queried to identify HIV-1-positive patients starting a first-line therapy with 2NRTIs plus either DTG or DRV between 2013 and 2019. Only adult (≥18 years) patients with a genotypic resistance test (GRT) prior to therapy and with HIV-1 RNA ≥1000 copies/mL were selected. Through multivariable Cox regressions, we compared DTG- versus DRV-based regimens in the time to virological failure (VF) stratifying for pre-treatment DRMs and the viral subtype. RESULTS: A total of 649 patients was enrolled, with 359 (55.3%) and 290 (44.7) starting DRV and DTG, respectively. In 11 months of median follow-up time, there were 41 VFs (8.4 in 100 patient-years follow-up, PYFU) and 15 VFs (5.3 per 100 PYFU) in the DRV and DTG groups, respectively. Compared with a fully active DTG-based regimen, the risk of VF was higher with DRV (aHR 2.33; p = 0.016), and with DTG-based regimens with pre-treatment DRMs to the backbone (aHR 17.27; p = 0.001), after adjusting for age, gender, baseline CD4 count and HIV-RNA, concurrent AIDS-defining event and months since HIV diagnosis. Compared with patients harboring a B viral subtype and treated with a DTG-based regimen, patients on DRV had an increased risk of VF, both in subtype B (aHR 3.35; p = 0.011), C (aHR 8.10; p = 0.005), CRF02-AG (aHR 5.59; p = 0.006) and G (aHR 13.90; p < 0.001); DTG also demonstrated a reduced efficacy in subtypes C (versus B, aHR 10.24; p = 0.035) and CRF01-AE (versus B; aHR 10.65; p = 0.035). Higher baseline HIV-RNA and a longer time since HIV diagnosis also predicted VF. CONCLUSIONS: In line with randomized trials, DTG-based first-line regimens showed an overall superior efficacy compared with DRV-based regimens. GRT may still play a role in identifying patients more at risk of VF and in guiding the choice of an antiretroviral backbone.

Evaluating immunological and inflammatory changes of treatment-experienced people living with HIV switching from first-line triple cART regimens to DTG/3TC vs. B/F/TAF: the DEBATE trial.

Background: The aim of this randomized clinical trial (RCT) was to compare immunological changes in virally suppressed people living with HIV (PLWH) switching from a three-drug regimen (3DR) to a two-drug regimen (2DR). Methods: An open-label, prospective RCT enrolling PLWH receiving a 3DR who switched to bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (B/F/TAF) or dolutegravir/lamivudine (DTG/3TC) was performed. Blood was taken at baseline and months 6 and 12. The primary outcome was the change in CD4+ or CD8+ T-cell counts and CD4/CD8 ratio over time points. The secondary outcomes were the changes in immunological and inflammatory parameters. Parametric mixed-linear models with random intercepts and slopes were fitted separately for each marker after controlling for potential confounders. Results: Between the two arms (33 PLWH each), there was no difference in CD4+ or CD8+ T cells, CD4/CD8 ratio, and IL-6 trajectories. PLWH switching to DTG/3TC had increased levels of both transitional memory and terminally differentiated CD4+ T cells (arm-time interaction p-value = 0.02) and to a lesser extent for the corresponding CD8+ T-cell subsets (p = 0.09). Significantly lower levels of non-classical monocytes were detected in the B/F/TAF arm at T6 (diff = -6.7 cells/mm3; 95% CI; -16, +2.6; p-value for interaction between arm and time = 0.03). All differences were attenuated at T12. Conclusion: No evidence for a difference in absolute CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell counts, CD4/CD8 ratio, and IL-6 trajectories by study arm over 12 months was found. PLWH on DTG/3TC showed higher levels of terminally differentiated and exhausted CD4+ and CD8+ T lymphocytes and non-classical monocytes at T6. Further studies are warranted to better understand the clinical impact of our results. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov, identifier NCT04054089.