Strengthening the foundation of next generation risk assessment.

In a recent draft report, Next Generation Risk Assessment: Incorporation of Recent Advances in Molecular, Computational, and Systems Biology, the US Environmental Protection Agency presents valuable contributions to understanding the roles that evolving toxicity testing methods and associated interpretative techniques can play in assessing the risks associated with chemical exposures. However, the evaluations presented in the NexGen report would benefit from more thorough consideration of several essential components of a critical review of toxicity data, e.g., data quality, data relevance, and the extent to which the test endpoints reflect adverse effects. Such considerations are necessary to ensure that the NexGen report evaluations--and the resulting conclusions and recommendations--are grounded in scientifically sound, representative data reviews. We illustrate these concerns with a critique of the report's prototype ozone evaluation. Although substantial additional research is needed before new toxicity data types can be used reliably in rigorous risk assessment applications, they clearly offer exciting opportunities for advancing toxicological science and risk assessment. By explicitly identifying limitations still to be addressed and providing stronger guideposts for future research needs, the NexGen report could serve an influential role in achieving the promise of these new research approaches.

Weight-of-evidence analysis of human exposures to dioxins and dioxin-like compounds and associations with thyroid hormone levels during early development.

Thyroid hormones play a critical role in the proper development of brain function and cell growth. Several epidemiological studies have been conducted to assess potential associations between pre- and post-natal exposure to dioxins or dioxin-like compounds (DLCs) and the levels of circulating thyroid hormones during early development. Dioxins and DLCs include chlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins, chlorinated dibenzofurans, and mono- and non-ortho polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs). We identified a total of 23 relevant epidemiological studies (21 cohort studies and 1 case-control study) that measured exposures to various types of dioxins and DLCs as well as markers of thyroid function, such as thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), total thyroxine (T4), free T4, total triiodothyroxine (T3), free T3, and thyroid-binding globulin concentrations in cord blood or circulation. While some of the studies reported associations between concentrations of dioxins and/or DLCs and some biomarkers of thyroid function, the majority of the observed associations were not statistically significant. Moreover, there were no clear and consistent effects across studies for any of the hormone levels examined, and while a number of studies showed a statistically significant association with exposure for a given marker of thyroid function, other studies showed either no change or changes in the opposite direction for the same thyroid function marker. Similarly, when the results were analyzed considering developmental stage, there generally were no clear and consistent effects at any age from birth through 12 years of age. The absence of a clear correlation between background exposures to dioxins and DLCs and thyroid function biomarkers during development is not consistent with the hypothesis that background exposures to these chemicals cause effects on thyroid function during development.