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1.
Cerebrovasc Dis ; 52(1): 21-27, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35649344

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: It is not known whether modern stroke unit care reduces the impact of stroke complications, such as stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP), on clinical outcomes. We investigated the relationship between SAP and clinical outcomes, adjusting for the confounding effects of stroke care processes and their timing. METHODS: The Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme provided patient data for all confirmed strokes between April 2013 and December 2018. SAP was defined as new antibiotic initiation for suspected pneumonia within the first 7 days from stroke admission. We compared outcomes after SAP versus non-SAP in appropriate multilevel mixed models. Each model was adjusted for patient and clinical characteristics, as well as markers of stroke care and their timing within the first 72 h. The appropriate effect estimates and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported. RESULTS: Of 201,778 patients, SAP was present in 14.2%. After adjustment for timing of acute stroke care processes and clinical characteristics, adverse outcomes remained for SAP versus non-SAP patients. In these adjusted analyses, patients with SAP maintained an increased risk of longer length of in-hospital stay (IRR of 1.27; 95% CI: 1.25, 1.30), increased odds of worse functional outcome at discharge (OR of 2.9; 95% CI: 2.9, 3.0), and increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR of 1.78; 95% CI: 1.74, 1.82). CONCLUSION: We show for the first time that SAP remains associated with worse clinical outcomes, even after adjusting for processes of acute stroke care and their timing. These findings highlight the importance of continued research efforts aimed at preventing SAP.


Subject(s)
Pneumonia , Stroke , Humans , Cohort Studies , Wales , Pneumonia/diagnosis , Pneumonia/therapy , Pneumonia/complications , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/therapy , Stroke/complications , England/epidemiology , Registries
2.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 2443, 2023 12 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38062484

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There has been disruption to the detection and management of those with hypertension and atrial fibrillation (AF) during the COVID-19 pandemic. This is likely to vary geographically and could have implications for future mortality and morbidity. We aimed to estimate the change in diagnosed prevalence, treatment and prescription indicators for AF and hypertension and assess corresponding geographical inequalities. METHODS: Using the Quality and Outcomes Framework (2016/17 to 2021/22) and the English Prescribing Datasets (2018 to 2022), we described age standardised prevalence, treatment and prescription item rates for hypertension and AF by geography and over time. Using an interrupted time-series (ITS) analysis, we estimated the impact of the pandemic (from April 2020) on missed diagnoses and on the percentage change in medicines prescribed for these conditions. Finally, we described changes in treatment indicators against Public Health England 2029 cardiovascular risk targets. RESULTS: We observed 143,822 fewer (-143,822, 95%CI:-226,144, -61,500, p = 0.001) diagnoses of hypertension, 60,330 fewer (-60,330, 95%CI: -83,216, -37,444, p = 0.001) diagnoses of AF and 1.79% fewer (-1.79%, 95%CI: -2.37%, -1.22%), p < 0.0001) prescriptions for these conditions over the COVID-19 impact period. There was substantial variation across geography in England in terms of the indirect impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the diagnosis, prescription, and treatment rates of hypertension and AF. 20% of Sub Integrated Care Boards account for approximately 62% of all missed diagnoses of hypertension. The percentage of individuals who had their hypertension controlled fell from 75.8% in 2019/20 to 64.1% in 2021/22 and the percentage of individuals with AF who were risk assessed fell from 97.2% to 90.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension and AF detection and management were disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. The disruption varied considerably across diseases and geography. This highlights the utility of administrative and geographically granular datasets to inform targeted efforts to mitigate the indirect impacts of the pandemic through applied secondary prevention measures.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , COVID-19 , Cardiovascular Diseases , Hypertension , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , Pandemics/prevention & control , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , England/epidemiology , Hypertension/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis
3.
Cerebrovasc Dis ; 51(3): 365-372, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34915473

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is a common complication associated with poor outcomes. Early dysphagia screening and specialist assessment is associated with a reduced risk of SAP. Evidence about oral care and nasogastric tube (NGT) placement is equivocal. This study aimed to expose variations in dysphagia management practices and explore their associations with SAP. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: Speech pathologists from 166 stroke units in England and Wales were surveyed about dysphagia assessment and management, oral care, and NGT placement. Survey data were then linked to the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme (SSNAP), the national register of stroke. Univariable and multivariable linear regression models were fitted to estimate the association between dysphagia management practices and SAP incidence. RESULTS: 113 hospitals completed the survey (68%). Variation was evident in dysphagia screening protocols (DSPs), oral care, and NGT practice while specialist swallow assessment data patterns were more consistent. Multivariable analysis showed no evidence of an association in incidence of SAP when using a water-only hospital DSP compared to a multiconsistency DSP (B -0.688, 95% CI: -2.912 to 1.536), when using written swallow assessment guidelines compared to not using written guidelines (B 0.671, 95% CI: -1.567 to 2.908), when teams inserted NGTs overnight compared to teams which did not (B -0.505, 95% CI: -2.759 to 1.749), and when teams had a written oral care protocol compared to those which did not (B -1.339, 95% CI: -3.551 to 0.873). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Variation exists in dysphagia screening and management, but there was no evidence of an association between clinical practice patterns and incidence of SAP. Further research with larger sample sizes is needed to examine association with SAP.


Subject(s)
Deglutition Disorders , Pneumonia , Stroke Rehabilitation , Stroke , Deglutition Disorders/diagnosis , Deglutition Disorders/epidemiology , Deglutition Disorders/therapy , Humans , Pneumonia/diagnosis , Pneumonia/epidemiology , Pneumonia/therapy , Registries , Stroke/complications , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke Rehabilitation/methods
4.
BMC Neurol ; 22(1): 195, 2022 May 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35624434

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUNDS: We aimed to develop and validate machine learning (ML) models for 30-day stroke mortality for mortality risk stratification and as benchmarking models for quality improvement in stroke care. METHODS: Data from the UK Sentinel Stroke National Audit Program between 2013 to 2019 were used. Models were developed using XGBoost, Logistic Regression (LR), LR with elastic net with/without interaction terms using 80% randomly selected admissions from 2013 to 2018, validated on the 20% remaining admissions, and temporally validated on 2019 admissions. The models were developed with 30 variables. A reference model was developed using LR and 4 variables. Performances of all models was evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, reclassification, Brier scores and Decision-curves. RESULTS: In total, 488,497 stroke patients with a 12.3% 30-day mortality rate were included in the analysis. In 2019 temporal validation set, XGBoost model obtained the lowest Brier score (0.069 (95% CI: 0.068-0.071)) and the highest area under the ROC curve (AUC) (0.895 (95% CI: 0.891-0.900)) which outperformed LR reference model by 0.04 AUC (p < 0.001) and LR with elastic net and interaction term model by 0.003 AUC (p < 0.001). All models were perfectly calibrated for low (< 5%) and moderate risk groups (5-15%) and ≈1% underestimation for high-risk groups (> 15%). The XGBoost model reclassified 1648 (8.1%) low-risk cases by the LR reference model as being moderate or high-risk and gained the most net benefit in decision curve analysis. CONCLUSIONS: All models with 30 variables are potentially useful as benchmarking models in stroke-care quality improvement with ML slightly outperforming others.


Subject(s)
Machine Learning , Stroke , Cohort Studies , Humans , Logistic Models , Registries
5.
Stroke ; 52(6): 2125-2133, 2021 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33896223

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has potentially caused indirect harm to patients with other conditions via reduced access to health care services. We aimed to describe the impact of the initial wave of the pandemic on admissions, care quality, and outcomes in patients with acute stroke in the United Kingdom. METHODS: Registry-based cohort study of patients with acute stroke admitted to hospital in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland between October 1, 2019, and April 30, 2020, and equivalent periods in the 3 prior years. RESULTS: One hundred fourteen hospitals provided data for a study cohort of 184 017 patients. During the lockdown period (March 23 to April 30), there was a 12% reduction (6923 versus 7902) in the number of admissions compared with the same period in the 3 previous years. Admissions fell more for ischemic than hemorrhagic stroke, for older patients, and for patients with less severe strokes. Quality of care was preserved for all measures and in some domains improved during lockdown (direct access to stroke unit care, 1-hour brain imaging, and swallow screening). Although there was no change in the proportion of patients discharged with good outcome (modified Rankin Scale score, ≤2; 48% versus 48%), 7-day inpatient case fatality increased from 6.9% to 9.4% (P<0.001) and was 22.0% in patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 (adjusted rate ratio, 1.41 [1.11-1.80]). CONCLUSIONS: Assuming that the true incidence of acute stroke did not change markedly during the pandemic, hospital avoidance may have created a cohort of untreated stroke patients at risk of poorer outcomes or recurrent events. Unanticipated improvements in stroke care quality should be used as an opportunity for quality improvement and to learn about how to develop resilient health care systems.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Quality of Health Care/standards , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pandemics/prevention & control , Prospective Studies , Quality of Health Care/trends , Registries , United Kingdom/epidemiology
6.
Clin Rehabil ; 35(3): 446-458, 2021 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33131321

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To create a classification system based on stroke-related impairments. DATA SOURCE: All adults with stroke admitted for at least 72 hours in England, Wales and Northern Ireland from July 2013 to July 2015 extracted from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme. ANALYSIS: Impairments were defined using the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale scores at admission. Common combinations of impairments were identified based on geometric coding and expert knowledge. Validity of the classification was assessed using standard descriptive statistics to report and compare patients' characteristics, therapy received and outcomes in each group. RESULTS: Data from 94,905 patients were extracted. The items of the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (on admission) were initially grouped into four body systems: Cognitive, Motor, Sensory and Consciousness. Seven common combinations of these impairments were identified (in order of stroke severity); Patients with Loss of Consciousness (n = 6034, 6.4%); those with Motor + Cognitive + Sensory impairments (n = 28,226, 29.7%); Motor + Cognitive impairments (n = 16,967, 17.9%); Motor + Sensory impairments (n = 9882, 10.4%); Motor Only impairments (n = 20,471, 21.6%); Any Non-Motor impairments (n = 7498, 7.9%); and No Impairments (n = 5827, 6.1%). There was a gradation of age, premorbid disability, mortality and disability on discharge. People with the most and least severe categories were least likely to receive therapy, and received least therapy (-20 minutes/day of stay) compared to -35 minutes/day of stay for the moderately severe categories. CONCLUSIONS: A classification system of seven Stroke Impairment Categories has been presented.


Subject(s)
Stroke/complications , Stroke/physiopathology , Adult , Aged , Cognitive Dysfunction , Disability Evaluation , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Stroke/psychology , Stroke Rehabilitation , United Kingdom
7.
Ann Neurol ; 86(4): 495-503, 2019 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31291031

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Anticoagulation reversal, intensive blood pressure lowering, neurosurgery, and access to critical care might all be beneficial in acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We combined and implemented these as the "ABC" hyperacute care bundle and sought to determine whether the implementation was associated with lower case fatality. METHODS: The ABC bundle was implemented from June 1, 2015 to May 31, 2016. Key process targets were set, and a registry captured consecutive patients. We compared 30-day case fatality before, during, and after bundle implementation with multivariate logistic regression and used mediation analysis to determine which care process measures mediated any association. Difference-in-difference analysis compared 30-day case fatality with 32,295 patients with ICH from 214 other hospitals in England and Wales using Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme data. RESULTS: A total of 973 ICH patients were admitted in the study period. Compared to before implementation, the adjusted odds of death by 30 days were lower in the implementation period (odds ratio [OR] = 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.38-0.97, p = 0.03), and this was sustained after implementation (OR = 0.40, 95% CI = 0.24-0.61, p < 0.0001). Implementation of the bundle was associated with a 10.8 percentage point (95% CI = -17.9 to -3.7, p = 0.003) reduction in 30-day case fatality in difference-in-difference analysis. The total effect of the care bundle was mediated by a reduction in do-not-resuscitate orders within 24 hours (52.8%) and increased admission to critical care (11.1%). INTERPRETATION: Implementation of the ABC care bundle was significantly associated with lower 30-day case fatality after ICH. ANN NEUROL 2019;86:495-503.


Subject(s)
Cerebral Hemorrhage/mortality , Cerebral Hemorrhage/therapy , Disease Management , Patient Care Bundles/mortality , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Registries
8.
Clin Rehabil ; 34(5): 698-709, 2020 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32141324

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To map and describe how patients pass through stroke services. METHODS: Data from 94,905 stroke patients (July 2013-July 2015) who were still inpatients 72 hours after hospital admission were extracted from a national stroke register and were used to identify the routes patients took through hospital and community stroke services. We sought to categorize these routes through iterative consultations with clinical experts and to describe patient characteristics, therapy provision, outcomes and costs within each category. RESULTS: We identified 874 routes defined by the type of admitting stroke team and subsequent transfer history. We consolidated these into nine distinct routes and further summarized these into three overlapping 'pathways' that accounted for 99% of the patients. These were direct discharge (44%), community rehabilitation (47%) and inpatient transfer (19%) with 12% of the patients receiving both inpatient transfer and community rehabilitation. Patients with the mildest and most severe strokes were more likely to follow the direct discharge pathway. Those perceived to need most therapy were more likely to follow the inpatient transfer pathway. Costs were lowest and mortality was highest for patients on the direct discharge pathway. Outcomes were best for patients on the community rehabilitation pathway and costs were highest where patients underwent inpatient transfers. CONCLUSION: Three overarching stroke care pathways were identified which differ according to patient characteristics, therapy needs and outcomes. This pathway mapping provides a benchmark to develop and plan clinical services, and for future research.


Subject(s)
Critical Pathways/organization & administration , Delivery of Health Care/organization & administration , Stroke Rehabilitation , Stroke/therapy , Aged , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Medical Audit , Middle Aged , Referral and Consultation , United States
9.
Clin Rehabil ; 34(7): 981-991, 2020 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32508132

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To understand why most stroke patients receive little therapy. We investigated the factors associated with the amount of stroke therapy delivered. METHODS: Data regarding adults admitted to hospital with stroke for at least 72 hours (July 2013-July 2015) were extracted from the UK's Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme. Descriptive statistics and multilevel mixed effects regression models explored the factors that influenced the amount of therapy received while adjusting for confounding. RESULTS: Of the 94,905 patients in the study cohort (mean age: 76 (SD: 13.2) years, 78% had a mild or moderate severity stroke. In all, 92% required physiotherapy, 87% required occupational therapy, 57% required speech therapy but only 5% were considered to need psychology. The average amount of therapy ranged from 2 minutes (psychology) to 14 minutes (physiotherapy) per day of inpatient stay. Unmodifiable characteristics (such as stroke severity) dominated the variation in the amount of therapy. However important, modifiable organizational factors were the day and time of admission, type of stroke team, timely therapy assessments, therapy and nursing staffing levels (qualified and support staff), and presence of weekend or early supported discharge services. CONCLUSION: The amount of stroke therapy is associated with unmodifiable patient-related characteristics and modifiable organizational factors in that more therapy was associated with higher therapy and nurse staffing levels, specialist stroke rehabilitation services, timely therapy assessments, and the presence of weekend and early discharge services.


Subject(s)
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Occupational Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Physical Therapy Modalities/statistics & numerical data , Speech Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Stroke Rehabilitation/statistics & numerical data , Stroke/therapy , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Facilities and Services Utilization , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , United Kingdom
10.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 140(2): 123-130, 2019 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31046131

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: A recent study of acute stroke patients in England and Wales revealed several patterns of temporal variation in quality of care. We hypothesized that similar patterns would be present in Sweden and aimed to describe these patterns. Additionally, we aimed to investigate whether hospital type conferred resilience against temporal variation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted this nationwide registry-based study using data from the Swedish Stroke Register (Riksstroke) including all adult patients registered with acute stroke between 2011 and 2015. Outcomes included process measures and survival. We modeled time of presentation as on/off-hours, shifts, day of week, 4-hour, and 12-hour time blocks. We studied hospital resilience by comparing outcomes across hospital types. RESULTS: A total of 113 862 stroke events in 72 hospitals were included. The process indicators and survival all showed significant temporal variation. Door-to-needle (DTN) time within 30 minutes was less likely during nighttime than daytime (OR 0.50; 95% CI 0.41-0.60). Patients admitted during off-hours had lower odds of direct stroke unit (SU) admission (OR 0.72; 95% CI 0.70-0.75). 30-day survival was lower in nighttime vs daytime presentations (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84-0.96). The effects of temporal variation differed significantly between hospital types for DTN time within 30 minutes and direct SU admission where university hospitals were more resilient than specialized non-university hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that variation in quality of care and survival is present throughout the whole week. We also found that university hospitals were more resilient to temporal variation than specialized non-university hospitals.


Subject(s)
Photoperiod , Quality of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Stroke/therapy , Adult , Aged , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Quality of Health Care/standards , Stroke/epidemiology , Sweden
11.
Stroke ; 49(9): 2155-2162, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30354982

ABSTRACT

Background and Purpose- Well-organized stroke care is associated with better patient outcomes, but the most important organizational factors are unknown. Methods- Data were extracted from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme of adults with acute stroke treated in stroke hospitals in England and Wales between April 2013 and March 2015. Multilevel models with random intercepts for hospitals were used to estimate the association of each variable with 30-day mortality to estimate the impact of admission to differently organized hospitals. Results- Of the 143 578 patients with acute stroke admitted to 154 hospitals, 14.4% died within 30 days of admission. In adjusted analyses, admission to hospitals with higher ratios of nurses trained in swallow screening was associated with reduced odds of death ( P=0.004), and admission to hospitals with daily physician ward rounds was associated with 10% lower odds of mortality compared with less-frequent ward rounds (95% CI, 0.82-0.98; P=0.013). Number of stroke admissions and overall ratio of registered nurses on duty at weekends were not found to be independently associated with mortality after adjustment for other factors. Conclusions- If these associations are causal, an extra 1332 deaths annually in England and Wales could be saved by hospitals providing care associated with a ratio of nurses trained in swallow screening of at least 3 per 10 beds and daily stroke physician ward rounds.


Subject(s)
Hospital Units/organization & administration , Nurse Specialists/statistics & numerical data , Registries , Stroke/mortality , Teaching Rounds/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , England , Female , Hospital Units/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Mortality , Multilevel Analysis , Stroke/nursing , Stroke/therapy , Wales
12.
Cerebrovasc Dis ; 46(3-4): 99-107, 2018.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30199856

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with dysphagia are at an increased risk of stroke-associated pneumonia. There is wide variation in the way patients are screened and assessed during the acute phase. The aim of this review was to identify the methods of assessment and management in acute stroke that influence the risk of stroke-associated pneumonia. Studies of stroke patients that reported dysphagia screening, assessment or management and occurrence of pneumonia during acute phase stroke were screened for inclusion after electronic searches of multiple databases from inception to November 2016. The primary outcome was association with stroke-associated pneumonia. SUMMARY: Twelve studies of 87,824 patients were included. The type of dysphagia screening protocol varied widely across and within studies. There was limited information on what comprised a specialist swallow assessment and alternative feeding was the only management strategy, which was reported for association with stroke-associated pneumonia. Use of a formal screening protocol and early dysphagia screening (EDS) and assessment by a speech and language pathologist (SLP) were associated with a reduced risk of stroke-associated pneumonia. There was marked heterogeneity between the included studies, which precluded meta-analysis. Key Messages: There is variation in the assessment and management of dysphagia in acute stroke. There is increasing evidence that EDS and specialist swallow assessment by an SLP may reduce the odds of stroke-associated pneumonia. There is the potential for other factors to influence the incidence of stroke-associated pneumonia during the acute phase.


Subject(s)
Deglutition Disorders/therapy , Deglutition , Pneumonia, Aspiration/prevention & control , Stroke Rehabilitation/methods , Stroke/therapy , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Deglutition Disorders/diagnosis , Deglutition Disorders/etiology , Deglutition Disorders/physiopathology , Disability Evaluation , Early Diagnosis , Female , Healthcare Disparities , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pneumonia, Aspiration/diagnosis , Pneumonia, Aspiration/etiology , Risk Factors , Stroke/complications , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/physiopathology , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
13.
Clin Rehabil ; 32(8): 997-1006, 2018 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29932011

ABSTRACT

Over the last 20 years, England, Wales and Northern Ireland have developed an audit programme that now encompasses nearly all patients admitted to hospital with a stroke. This article records and reviews some questions that have been answered using data from the audit: Is the rate of institutional care after rehabilitation a possible measure of outcome? Does stroke unit care in routine practice give the benefits shown in randomized controlled trials? How is the quality of stroke care affected by a patient's age and the time of their stroke? Do patient-reported measures match those obtained from the professionals recording of processes of care? How do the processes of care after stroke affect mortality? Is thrombolysis safe to use in patients over the age of 80? Do staffing levels matter? Does assessing the safety of swallowing really make a difference? Do clinicians make rational decisions about end-of-life care in patients with haemorrhage? Does socioeconomic status influence the risk of stroke, outcome after stroke and the quality of stroke care? How much does stroke really cost in England, Wales and Northern Ireland? The article concludes that this national audit has improved stroke care across the United Kingdom, has given answers to important questions that could not be answered in any other way and has shown that benefits found in research do generalize into real clinical benefits in day-to-day practice.


Subject(s)
Medical Audit , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Quality of Health Care , Stroke/therapy , England , Humans , Ireland , Quality Improvement , Stroke/economics , Stroke/epidemiology , Wales
14.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 27(1): 246-256, 2018 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28935502

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nonagenarians are under-represented in thrombolytic trials for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The effectiveness of intravenous thrombolytics in nonagenarians in terms of safety and outcome is not well established. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used a multinational registry to identify patients aged 90 years or older with good baseline functional status who presented with AIS. Differences in outcomes-disability level at 90 days, frequency of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and mortality-between patients who did and did not receive thrombolytics were assessed using multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for prespecified prognostic factors. Coarsened exact matching (CEM) was utilized before evaluating outcome by balancing both groups in the sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: We identified 227 previously independent nonagenarians with AIS; 122 received intravenous thrombolytics and 105 did not. In the unmatched cohort, ordinal analysis showed a significant treatment effect (adjusted common odds ratio [OR]: .61, 95% confidence interval [CI]: .39-.96). There was an absolute difference of 8.1% in the rate of excellent outcome in favor of thrombolysis (17.4% versus 9.3%; adjusted ratio: .30, 95% CI: .12-.77). Rates of sICH and in-hospital mortality were not different. Similarly, in the matched cohort, CEM analysis showed a shift in the primary outcome distribution in favor of thrombolysis (adjusted common OR: .45, 95% CI: .26-.76). CONCLUSIONS: Nonagenarians treated with thrombolytics showed lower stroke-related disability at 90 days than those not treated, without significant difference in sICH and in-hospital mortality rates. These observations cannot exclude a residual confounding effect, but provide evidence that thrombolytics should not be withheld from nonagenarians because of age alone.


Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia/drug therapy , Fibrinolytic Agents/administration & dosage , Stroke/drug therapy , Thrombolytic Therapy , Tissue Plasminogen Activator/administration & dosage , Age Factors , Aged, 80 and over , Argentina , Brain Ischemia/diagnosis , Brain Ischemia/mortality , Brain Ischemia/physiopathology , Cerebral Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Chi-Square Distribution , Clinical Decision-Making , Disability Evaluation , Europe , Female , Fibrinolytic Agents/adverse effects , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Infusions, Intravenous , Logistic Models , Male , Multivariate Analysis , North America , Odds Ratio , Patient Selection , Registries , Risk Factors , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/mortality , Stroke/physiopathology , Thrombolytic Therapy/adverse effects , Time Factors , Tissue Plasminogen Activator/adverse effects , Treatment Outcome
15.
Lancet ; 388(10040): 170-7, 2016 07 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27178477

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Studies in many health systems have shown evidence of poorer quality health care for patients admitted on weekends or overnight than for those admitted during the week (the so-called weekend effect). We postulated that variation in quality was dependent on not only day, but also time, of admission, and aimed to describe the pattern and magnitude of variation in the quality of acute stroke care across the entire week. METHODS: We did this nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study using data from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme. We included all adult patients (aged >16 years) admitted to hospital with acute stroke (ischaemic or primary intracerebral haemorrhage) in England and Wales between April 1, 2013, and March 31, 2014. Our outcome measure was 30 day post-admission survival. We estimated adjusted odds ratios for 13 indicators of acute stroke-care quality by fitting multilevel multivariable regression models across 42 4-h time periods per week. FINDINGS: The study cohort comprised 74,307 patients with acute stroke admitted to 199 hospitals. Care quality varied across the entire week, not only between weekends and weekdays, with different quality measures showing different patterns and magnitudes of temporal variation. We identified four patterns of variation: a diurnal pattern (thrombolysis, brain scan within 12 h, brain scan within 1 h, dysphagia screening), a day of the week pattern (stroke physician assessment, nurse assessment, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, and assessment of communication and swallowing by a speech and language therapist), an off-hours pattern (door-to-needle time for thrombolysis), and a flow pattern whereby quality changed sequentially across days (stroke-unit admission within 4 h). The largest magnitude of variation was for door-to-needle time within 60 min (range in quality 35-66% [16/46-232/350]; coefficient of variation 18·2). There was no difference in 30 day survival between weekends and weekdays (adjusted odds ratio 1·03, 95% CI 0·95-1·13), but patients admitted overnight on weekdays had lower odds of survival (0·90, 0·82-0·99). INTERPRETATION: The weekend effect is a simplification, and just one of several patterns of weekly variation occurring in the quality of stroke care. Weekly variation should be further investigated in other health-care settings, and quality improvement should focus on reducing temporal variation in quality and not only the weekend effect. FUNDING: None.


Subject(s)
Healthcare Disparities/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Occupational Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Physical Therapy Modalities/statistics & numerical data , Quality of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Registries , Stroke/therapy , Thrombolytic Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain/pathology , Cohort Studies , Deglutition Disorders/diagnosis , England , Female , Humans , Male , Mass Screening , Medical Audit , Prospective Studies , Radiography , Speech-Language Pathology/statistics & numerical data , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/mortality , Survival Rate , Time Factors , Wales
16.
J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry ; 88(1): 25-30, 2017 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27298147

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is no robust evidence that screening patients with acute stroke for dysphagia reduces the risk of stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP), or of how quickly it should be done after admission. We aimed to identify if delays in bedside dysphagia screening and comprehensive dysphagia assessments by a speech and language therapist (SALT) were associated with patients' risk of SAP. METHODS: Nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study of patients admitted with acute stroke in England and Wales. Multilevel multivariable logistic regression models were fitted, adjusting for patient variables and stroke severity. The exposures were time from (1) admission to bedside dysphagia screen, and (2) admission to comprehensive dysphagia assessment. RESULTS: Of 63 650 patients admitted with acute stroke, 55 838 (88%) had a dysphagia screen, and 24 542 (39%) a comprehensive dysphagia assessment. Patients with the longest delays in dysphagia screening (4th quartile adjusted OR 1.14, 1.03 to 1.24) and SALT dysphagia assessment (4th quartile adjusted OR 2.01, 1.76 to 2.30) had a higher risk of SAP. The risk of SAP increased in a dose-response manner with delays in SALT dysphagia assessment, with an absolute increase of pneumonia incidence of 1% per day of delay. CONCLUSIONS: Delays in screening for and assessing dysphagia after stroke, are associated with higher risk of SAP. Since SAP is one of the main causes of mortality after acute stroke, early dysphagia assessment may contribute to preventing deaths from acute stroke and could be implemented even in settings without access to high-technology specialist stroke care.


Subject(s)
Deglutition Disorders/complications , Delayed Diagnosis , Pneumonia/complications , Pneumonia/epidemiology , Stroke/complications , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Deglutition Disorders/diagnosis , England/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Registries , Wales/epidemiology
18.
J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry ; 87(10): 1091-8, 2016 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27451353

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The global epidemiological shift of disease burden towards long-term conditions means understanding long-term outcomes of cardiovascular disease is increasingly important. More people are surviving stroke to experience its long-term consequences, but outcomes in people living more >10 years after stroke have not been described in detail. METHODS: Data were collected for the population-based South London Stroke Register, with participants followed up annually until death. Outcomes were survival, disability, activity, cognitive impairment, quality of life, depression and anxiety. FINDINGS: Of 2625 people having first-ever stroke, 262 (21%) survived to 15 years. By 15 years, 61% (95% CI 55% to 67%) of the survivors were male, with a median age of stroke onset of 58 years (IQR 48-66). 87% of the 15-year survivors were living at home and 33.8% (26.2% to 42.4%) had mild disability, 14.3% (9.2% to 21.4%) moderate disability and 15.0% (9.9% to 22.3%) severe disability. The prevalence of disability increased with time but 1 in 10 of the 15-year survivors had lived with moderate-severe disability since their stroke. At 15 years, the prevalence of cognitive impairment was 30.0% (19.5% to 43.1%), depression 39.1% (30.9% to 47.9%) and anxiety 34.9% (27.0% to 43.8%), and survivors reported greater loss of physical than mental quality of life. CONCLUSIONS: One in five people live at least 15 years after a stroke and poor functional, cognitive and psychological outcomes affect a substantial proportion of these long-term survivors. As the global population of individuals with cardiovascular long-term conditions grows, research and health services will need to increasingly focus on preventing and managing the long-term consequences of stroke.


Subject(s)
Cognitive Dysfunction/diagnosis , Cognitive Dysfunction/mortality , Disability Evaluation , Quality of Life/psychology , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/mortality , Activities of Daily Living/classification , Aged , Anxiety Disorders/diagnosis , Anxiety Disorders/mortality , Anxiety Disorders/psychology , Cognitive Dysfunction/psychology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Registries , Stroke/psychology , Survival Analysis , Treatment Outcome
19.
Stroke ; 46(10): 2891-5, 2015 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26265128

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: There are no agreed measures of stroke care quality that enable the standardized comparison of stroke care between countries. We aimed to develop a set of measures of quality of acute stroke care involving stroke quality registers in Western Europe. METHODS: A multinational working group identified 6 regional or national stroke quality registers in Europe and reviewed their data sets, performance measures, and the method by which these had been developed. Measures used in the registers were presented for discussion to a consensus group of representatives from the quality registers identified, as well as other stroke experts, and the final set of common performance measures was agreed through majority consensus. RESULTS: Thirty final performance measures were agreed by the European consensus group, encompassing the domains of coordination of care (stroke unit-based care), diagnosis (brain imaging, vascular imaging, cardiac arrhythmia detection, and therapy assessment), preservation of neural tissue (thrombolytic therapy and door-to-needle time), prevention of complications (dysphagia screening), initiation of secondary prevention (antiplatelet, anticoagulation, lipid lowering, blood pressure lowering, carotid surgery, time from vascular imaging to carotid surgery, and smoking cessation), survival (90-day poststroke mortality), and functional outcomes (90-day modified Rankin Scale). CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of experience of quality registers in Europe, we have proposed a common set of performance measures that will facilitate the international comparison of acute stroke care quality.


Subject(s)
Quality Indicators, Health Care , Registries , Stroke/therapy , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/complications , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/diagnosis , Brain Ischemia/complications , Brain Ischemia/diagnosis , Cohort Studies , Consensus , Endovascular Procedures/standards , Europe , Humans , Hypolipidemic Agents/therapeutic use , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Prospective Studies , Quality of Health Care , Secondary Prevention/standards , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/etiology , Survival Rate , Thrombolytic Therapy/standards , Time-to-Treatment/standards
20.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 24(11): 2619-24, 2015 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26347399

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The Prestroke Independence, Sex, Age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (ISAN) score was developed recently for predicting stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP), one of the most common complications after stroke. The aim of the present study was to externally validate the ISAN score. METHODS: Data included in the Athens Stroke Registry between June 1992 and December 2011 were used for this analysis. Inclusion criteria were the availability of all ISAN score variables (prestroke independence, sex, age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score). Receiver operating characteristic curves and linear regression analyses were used to determine the discriminatory power of the score and to assess the correlation between actual and predicted pneumonia in the study population. Separate analyses were performed for patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). RESULTS: The analysis included 3204 patients (AIS: 2732, ICH: 472). The ISAN score demonstrated excellent discrimination in patients with AIS (area under the curve [AUC]: .83 [95% confidence interval {CI}: .81-.85]). In the ICH group, the score was less effective (AUC: .69 [95% CI: .63-.74]). Higher-risk groups of ISAN score were associated with an increased relative risk of SAP; risk increase was more prominent in the AIS population. Predicted pneumonia correlated very well with actual pneumonia (AIS group: R(2) = .885; ß-coefficient = .941, P < .001; ICH group: R(2) = .880, ß-coefficient = .938, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In our external validation in the Athens Stroke Registry cohort, the ISAN score predicted SAP very accurately in AIS patients and demonstrated good discriminatory power in the ICH group. Further validation and assessment of clinical usefulness would strengthen the score's utility further.


Subject(s)
Cerebral Hemorrhage/complications , Pneumonia/diagnosis , Pneumonia/etiology , Registries , Severity of Illness Index , Stroke/complications , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Greece/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Retrospective Studies
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