Prediction of Pathologic Complete Response for Rectal Cancer Based on Pretreatment Factors Using Machine Learning.

BACKGROUND: Pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy is an important prognostic indicator for locally advanced rectal cancer and may give insights into which patients might be treated nonoperatively in the future. Existing models for predicting pathologic complete response in the pretreatment setting are limited by small data sets and low accuracy. OBJECTIVE: We sought to use machine learning to develop a more generalizable predictive model for pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer. DESIGN: Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgical resection were identified in the National Cancer Database from years 2010 to 2019 and were split into training, validation, and test sets. Machine learning techniques included random forest, gradient boosting, and artificial neural network. A logistic regression model was also created. Model performance was assessed using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. SETTINGS: This study used a national, multicenter data set. PATIENTS: Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and proctectomy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Pathologic complete response defined as T0/xN0/x. RESULTS: The data set included 53,684 patients. Pathologic complete response was experienced by 22.9% of patients. Gradient boosting showed the best performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.777 (95% CI, 0.773-0.781), compared with 0.684 (95% CI, 0.68-0.688) for logistic regression. The strongest predictors of pathologic complete response were no lymphovascular invasion, no perineural invasion, lower CEA, smaller size of tumor, and microsatellite stability. A concise model including the top 5 variables showed preserved performance. LIMITATIONS: The models were not externally validated. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning techniques can be used to accurately predict pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer in the pretreatment setting. After fine-tuning a data set including patients treated nonoperatively, these models could help clinicians identify the appropriate candidates for a watch-and-wait strategy. See Video Abstract . EL CNCER DE RECTO BASADA EN FACTORES PREVIOS AL TRATAMIENTO MEDIANTE EL APRENDIZAJE AUTOMTICO: ANTECEDENTES:La respuesta patológica completa después de la terapia neoadyuvante es un indicador pronóstico importante para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado y puede dar información sobre qué pacientes podrían ser tratados de forma no quirúrgica en el futuro. Los modelos existentes para predecir la respuesta patológica completa en el entorno previo al tratamiento están limitados por conjuntos de datos pequeños y baja precisión.OBJETIVO:Intentamos utilizar el aprendizaje automático para desarrollar un modelo predictivo más generalizable para la respuesta patológica completa para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado.DISEÑO:Los pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado que se sometieron a terapia neoadyuvante seguida de resección quirúrgica se identificaron en la Base de Datos Nacional del Cáncer de los años 2010 a 2019 y se dividieron en conjuntos de capacitación, validación y prueba. Las técnicas de aprendizaje automático incluyeron bosque aleatorio, aumento de gradiente y red neuronal artificial. También se creó un modelo de regresión logística. El rendimiento del modelo se evaluó utilizando el área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor.ÁMBITO:Este estudio utilizó un conjunto de datos nacional multicéntrico.PACIENTES:Pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado sometidos a terapia neoadyuvante y proctectomía.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:Respuesta patológica completa definida como T0/xN0/x.RESULTADOS:El conjunto de datos incluyó 53.684 pacientes. El 22,9% de los pacientes experimentaron una respuesta patológica completa. El refuerzo de gradiente mostró el mejor rendimiento con un área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor de 0,777 (IC del 95%: 0,773 - 0,781), en comparación con 0,684 (IC del 95%: 0,68 - 0,688) para la regresión logística. Los predictores más fuertes de respuesta patológica completa fueron la ausencia de invasión linfovascular, la ausencia de invasión perineural, un CEA más bajo, un tamaño más pequeño del tumor y la estabilidad de los microsatélites. Un modelo conciso que incluye las cinco variables principales mostró un rendimiento preservado.LIMITACIONES:Los modelos no fueron validados externamente.CONCLUSIONES:Las técnicas de aprendizaje automático se pueden utilizar para predecir con precisión la respuesta patológica completa para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado en el entorno previo al tratamiento. Después de realizar ajustes en un conjunto de datos que incluye pacientes tratados de forma no quirúrgica, estos modelos podrían ayudar a los médicos a identificar a los candidatos adecuados para una estrategia de observar y esperar. (Traducción-Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Analysis of Specimen Mammography with Artificial Intelligence to Predict Margin Status.

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative specimen mammography is a valuable tool in breast cancer surgery, providing immediate assessment of margins for a resected tumor. However, the accuracy of specimen mammography in detecting microscopic margin positivity is low. We sought to develop an artificial intelligence model to predict the pathologic margin status of resected breast tumors using specimen mammography. METHODS: A dataset of specimen mammography images matched with pathologic margin status was collected from our institution from 2017 to 2020. The dataset was randomly split into training, validation, and test sets. Specimen mammography models pretrained on radiologic images were developed and compared with models pretrained on nonmedical images. Model performance was assessed using sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: The dataset included 821 images, and 53% had positive margins. For three out of four model architectures tested, models pretrained on radiologic images outperformed nonmedical models. The highest performing model, InceptionV3, showed sensitivity of 84%, specificity of 42%, and AUROC of 0.71. Model performance was better among patients with invasive cancers, less dense breasts, and non-white race. CONCLUSIONS: This study developed and internally validated artificial intelligence models that predict pathologic margins status for partial mastectomy from specimen mammograms. The models' accuracy compares favorably with published literature on surgeon and radiologist interpretation of specimen mammography. With further development, these models could more precisely guide the extent of resection, potentially improving cosmesis and reducing reoperations.

Application of machine learning to predict postoperative gastrointestinal bleed in bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is a rare but serious complication of bariatric surgery. The recent rise in extended venous thromboembolism regimens as well as outpatient bariatric surgery may increase the risk of postoperative GIB or lead to delay in diagnosis. This study seeks to use machine learning (ML) to create a model that predicts postoperative GIB to aid surgeon decision-making and improve patient counseling for postoperative bleeds. METHODS: The Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program (MBSAQIP) database was used to train and validate three types of ML methods: random forest (RF), gradient boosting (XGB), and deep neural networks (NN), and compare them with logistic regression (LR) regarding postoperative GIB. The dataset was split using fivefold cross-validation into training and validation sets, in an 80/20 ratio. The performance of the models was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and compared with the DeLong test. Variables with the strongest effect were identified using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP). RESULTS: The study included 159,959 patients. Postoperative GIB was identified in 632 (0.4%) patients. The three ML methods, RF (AUROC 0.764), XGB (AUROC 0.746), and NN (AUROC 0.741) all outperformed LR (AUROC 0.709). The best ML method, RF, was able to predict postoperative GIB with a specificity and sensitivity of 70.0% and 75.4%, respectively. Using DeLong testing, the difference between RF and LR was determined to be significant with p < 0.01. Type of bariatric surgery, pre-op hematocrit, age, duration of procedure, and pre-op creatinine were the 5 most important features identified by ML retrospectively. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a ML model that outperformed LR in predicting postoperative GIB. Using ML models for risk prediction can be a helpful tool for both surgeons and patients undergoing bariatric procedures but more interpretable models are needed.

Ubiquitin stimulated reversal of topoisomerase 2 DNA-protein crosslinks by TDP2.

Tyrosyl-DNA phosphodiesterase 2 (TDP2) reverses Topoisomerase 2 DNA-protein crosslinks (TOP2-DPCs) in a direct-reversal pathway licensed by ZATTZNF451 SUMO2 E3 ligase and SUMOylation of TOP2. TDP2 also binds ubiquitin (Ub), but how Ub regulates TDP2 functions is unknown. Here, we show that TDP2 co-purifies with K63 and K27 poly-Ubiquitinated cellular proteins independently of, and separately from SUMOylated TOP2 complexes. Poly-ubiquitin chains of ≥ Ub3 stimulate TDP2 catalytic activity in nuclear extracts and enhance TDP2 binding of DNA-protein crosslinks in vitro. X-ray crystal structures and small-angle X-ray scattering analysis of TDP2-Ub complexes reveal that the TDP2 UBA domain binds K63-Ub3 in a 1:1 stoichiometric complex that relieves a UBA-regulated autoinhibitory state of TDP2. Our data indicates that that poly-Ub regulates TDP2-catalyzed TOP2-DPC removal, and TDP2 single nucleotide polymorphisms can disrupt the TDP2-Ubiquitin interface.

Outcomes in Obese Adult Veno-Venous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation: A Systematic Review.

Obesity is associated with an overall increased risk of morbidity and mortality. However, in patients with critical illness, sepsis, and acute respiratory distress syndrome, obesity may be protective, termed "the obesity paradox." This is a systematic literature review of articles published from 2000 to 2022 evaluating complications and mortality in adults with respiratory failure on veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) based on body mass index (BMI). Eighteen studies with 517 patients were included. Common complications included acute renal failure (175/377, 46.4%), venous thrombosis (175/293, 59.7%), and bleeding (28/293, 9.6%). Of the six cohort studies, two showed improved mortality among obese patients, two showed a trend toward improved mortality, and two showed no difference. Comparing all patients in the studies with BMI of less than 30 to those with BMI of greater than or equal to 30, we noted decreased mortality with obesity (92, 37.1% of BMI <30 vs. 30, 11% of BMI ≥30, p ≤ 0.0001). Obesity may be protective against mortality in adult patients undergoing VV ECMO. Morbid and super morbid obesity should not be considered a contraindication to cannulation, with patients with BMI ≥ 80 surviving to discharge. Complications may be high, however, with higher rates of continuous renal replacement therapy and thrombosis among obese patients.

Predicting readmission after bariatric surgery using machine learning.

BACKGROUND: While bariatric surgery is an effective method for achieving long-term weight loss, postoperative readmissions are associated with negative clinical outcomes and significant costs. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to use machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict readmissions and compare results to logistic regression. SETTING: Hospitals participating in the Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program, United States. METHODS: Patients who underwent sleeve gastrectomy (SG), Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB), and biliopancreatic diversion with duodenal switch between 2016 and 2020 were selected from the Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program (MBSAQIP) database. Patient variables reported by the MBSAQIP database were analyzed by ML algorithms random forest (RF), gradient boosting (XGB), and deep neural networks (NN), and the results of the predictive models were compared to logistic regression using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Our study included 863,348 patients, of which 39,068 (4.52%) were readmitted. AUROC scores were XGB .785 (95% CI .784-.786), RF .785 (95% CI .784-.785), and NN .754 (95% CI .753-.754), compared with .62 (95% CI .62-.621) for logistic regression (LR) (P < .001). The sensitivity and specificity for XGB, the best performing model, were 73.81% and 70%, compared with 52.94% and 70% for logistic regression. The most important variables were intervention or reoperation prior to discharge, unplanned ICU admission, initial procedure, and the intraoperative transfusion. CONCLUSIONS: ML demonstrates significant advantages over logistic regression when predicting 30-day readmission following bariatric surgery. With external validation, models could identify the best candidates for early discharge or targeted postdischarge resources.

Computer Vision Analysis of Specimen Mammography to Predict Margin Status.

Intra-operative specimen mammography is a valuable tool in breast cancer surgery, providing immediate assessment of margins for a resected tumor. However, the accuracy of specimen mammography in detecting microscopic margin positivity is low. We sought to develop a deep learning-based model to predict the pathologic margin status of resected breast tumors using specimen mammography. A dataset of specimen mammography images matched with pathology reports describing margin status was collected. Models pre-trained on radiologic images were developed and compared with models pre-trained on non-medical images. Model performance was assessed using sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The dataset included 821 images and 53% had positive margins. For three out of four model architectures tested, models pre-trained on radiologic images outperformed domain-agnostic models. The highest performing model, InceptionV3, showed a sensitivity of 84%, a specificity of 42%, and AUROC of 0.71. These results compare favorably with the published literature on surgeon and radiologist interpretation of specimen mammography. With further development, these models could assist clinicians with identifying positive margins intra-operatively and decrease the rate of positive margins and re-operation in breast-conserving surgery.

ZATT (ZNF451)-mediated resolution of topoisomerase 2 DNA-protein cross-links.

Topoisomerase 2 (TOP2) DNA transactions proceed via formation of the TOP2 cleavage complex (TOP2cc), a covalent enzyme-DNA reaction intermediate that is vulnerable to trapping by potent anticancer TOP2 drugs. How genotoxic TOP2 DNA-protein cross-links are resolved is unclear. We found that the SUMO (small ubiquitin-related modifier) ligase ZATT (ZNF451) is a multifunctional DNA repair factor that controls cellular responses to TOP2 damage. ZATT binding to TOP2cc facilitates a proteasome-independent tyrosyl-DNA phosphodiesterase 2 (TDP2) hydrolase activity on stalled TOP2cc. The ZATT SUMO ligase activity further promotes TDP2 interactions with SUMOylated TOP2, regulating efficient TDP2 recruitment through a "split-SIM" SUMO2 engagement platform. These findings uncover a ZATT-TDP2-catalyzed and SUMO2-modulated pathway for direct resolution of TOP2cc.