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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(52): e2203200119, 2022 12 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36534807

ABSTRACT

Tropical forests contribute a major sink for anthropogenic carbon emissions essential to slowing down the buildup of atmospheric CO2 and buffering climate change impacts. However, the response of tropical forests to more frequent weather extremes and long-recovery disturbances like fires remains uncertain. Analyses of field data and ecological theory raise concerns about the possibility of the Amazon crossing a tipping point leading to catastrophic tropical forest loss. In contrast, climate models consistently project an enhanced tropical sink. Here, we show a heterogeneous response of Amazonian carbon stocks in GFDL-ESM4.1, an Earth System Model (ESM) featuring dynamic disturbances and height-structured tree-grass competition. Enhanced productivity due to CO2 fertilization promotes increases in forest biomass that, under low emission scenarios, last until the end of the century. Under high emissions, positive trends reverse after 2060, when simulated fires prompt forest loss that results in a 40% decline in tropical forest biomass by 2100. Projected fires occur under dry conditions associated with El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, a response observed under current climate conditions, but exacerbated by an overall decline in precipitation. Following the initial disturbance, grassland dominance promotes recurrent fires and tree competitive exclusion, which prevents forest recovery. EC-Earth3-Veg, an ESM with a dynamic vegetation model of similar complexity, projected comparable wildfire forest loss under high emissions but faster postfire recovery rates. Our results reveal the importance of complex nonlinear responses to assessing climate change impacts and the urgent need to research postfire recovery and its representation in ESMs.


Subject(s)
Carbon Dioxide , Fires , Forests , Trees , Carbon , Climate Change
2.
Prehosp Emerg Care ; : 1-12, 2024 May 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38713633

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Asthma exacerbations are a common cause of pediatric Emergency Medical Services (EMS) encounters. Accordingly, prehospital management of pediatric asthma exacerbations has been designated an EMS research priority. However, accurate identification of pediatric asthma exacerbations from the prehospital record is nuanced and difficult due to the heterogeneity of asthma symptoms, especially in children. Therefore, this study's objective was to develop a prehospital-specific pediatric asthma computable phenotype (CP) that could accurately identify prehospital encounters for pediatric asthma exacerbations. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study of patient encounters for ages 2-18 years from the ESO Data Collaborative between 2018 and 2021. We modified two existing rule-based pediatric asthma CPs and created three new CPs (one rule-based and two machine learning-based). Two pediatric emergency medicine physicians independently reviewed encounters to assign labels of asthma exacerbation or not. Taking that labeled encounter data, a 50/50 train/test split was used to create training and test sets from the labeled data. A 90/10 split was used to create a small validation set from the training set. We used specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and macro F1 to compare performance across all CP models. RESULTS: After applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 24,283 patient encounters remained. The machine-learning models exhibited the best performance for the identification of pediatric asthma exacerbations. A multi-layer perceptron-based model had the best performance in all metrics, with an F1 score of 0.95, specificity of 1.00, sensitivity of 0.91, negative predictive value of 0.98, and positive predictive value of 1.00. CONCLUSION: We modified existing and developed new pediatric asthma CPs to retrospectively identify prehospital pediatric asthma exacerbation encounters. We found that machine learning-based models greatly outperformed rule-based models. Given the high performance of the machine-learning models, the development and application of machine learning-based CPs for other conditions and diseases could help accelerate EMS research and ultimately enhance clinical care by accurately identifying patients with conditions of interest.

3.
Pharmacogenet Genomics ; 31(6): 133-139, 2021 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33675324

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Genetic variability in anthracycline metabolism could modify the response and safety of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) induction. METHODS: Polymorphisms in genes that encodes enzymes of anthracyclines metabolic pathway (CBR3: rs1056892, rs8133052, NQO1: rs1800566, NQO2: rs1143684, NOS3: rs1799983, rs2070744) were evaluated in 225 adult de novo AML patients. RESULTS: The variant CBR3 rs8133052 was associated with lower hepatotoxicity (P = 0.028). Wild-type genotype of NQO2 rs1143684 was related to higher complete remission (P = 0.014), and the variant allele with greater gastrointestinal toxicity (P = 0.024). However, the variant genotype of NQO1 rs1800566 was associated with mucositis (P = 0.018), but heterozygous genotype showed less gastrointestinal toxicity (P = 0.028) and thrombocytopenia (P = 0.009). Protective effects against nephrotoxicity and thrombocytopenia were reported with variant NOS3 rs1799983 (P = 0.006, P = 0.014), whereas carriers of NOS3 rs2070744 showed higher hepatotoxicity and thrombocytopenia (P = 0.017, P = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: This study supports the influence of genetic variability of idarubicin metabolizing could be critical in predicting anthracycline-induced toxicities.


Subject(s)
Induction Chemotherapy , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Adult , Alleles , Anthracyclines/adverse effects , Humans , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/genetics , Polymorphism, Genetic
4.
New Phytol ; 229(6): 3065-3087, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33207007

ABSTRACT

Tropical forests vary widely in biomass carbon (C) stocks and fluxes even after controlling for forest age. A mechanistic understanding of this variation is critical to accurately predicting responses to global change. We review empirical studies of spatial variation in tropical forest biomass, productivity and woody residence time, focusing on mature forests. Woody productivity and biomass decrease from wet to dry forests and with elevation. Within lowland forests, productivity and biomass increase with temperature in wet forests, but decrease with temperature where water becomes limiting. Woody productivity increases with soil fertility, whereas residence time decreases, and biomass responses are variable, consistent with an overall unimodal relationship. Areas with higher disturbance rates and intensities have lower woody residence time and biomass. These environmental gradients all involve both direct effects of changing environments on forest C fluxes and shifts in functional composition - including changing abundances of lianas - that substantially mitigate or exacerbate direct effects. Biogeographic realms differ significantly and importantly in productivity and biomass, even after controlling for climate and biogeochemistry, further demonstrating the importance of plant species composition. Capturing these patterns in global vegetation models requires better mechanistic representation of water and nutrient limitation, plant compositional shifts and tree mortality.


Subject(s)
Forests , Tropical Climate , Biomass , Trees , Wood
5.
Eur J Haematol ; 106(5): 724-733, 2021 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33609315

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Information regarding impact on healthcare systems of relapsed or refractory (R/R) FLT3 mutated (FLT3mut) acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is scarce. OBJECTIVE: To assess the time and reimbursement associated with hospitalizations of patients with R/R FLT3mut AML in a tertiary Spanish hospital. METHODS: Retrospective review of medical charts identified patients aged ≥ 18 years with R/R FLT3mut AML between 1998 and 2018. Data were collected from the date of first diagnosis of R/R FLT3mut AML (index) until death or loss to follow-up. The primary end point was duration and frequency of hospitalization, use of outpatient resources and transfusion burden. Reimbursement associated with hospitalizations (including associated chemotherapy) was also assessed. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients were eligible for inclusion. Their median age was 52 years, and 30 (79%) received intensive salvage chemotherapy; FLAG-IDA-based regimens were the most frequent (24 patients, 63%). Overall, there were 150 hospitalizations (mean 3.9/patient; mean duration 21 days). Patients spent a mean of 24% of the study period in hospital. Total mean reimbursement was €108 293 per patient; the majority (€89 834) attributable to inpatient stays (€22 576 /hospitalization). During chemotherapy period (prior to first alloHSCT), there were 73 hospitalizations (mean duration 22 days); mean reimbursement was €19 776 per hospitalization and €49 819 per patient. AlloHSCT (n = 16) involved 77 hospitalizations (mean duration 21 days), mean reimbursement €25 231/hospitalization and €131 515 per patient. CONCLUSION: Data from this study suggest that there is a substantial healthcare resource utilization and cost burden on R/R FLT3mut AML patients in Spain receiving active treatments.


Subject(s)
Health Resources , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/epidemiology , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/genetics , Mutation , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , fms-Like Tyrosine Kinase 3/genetics , Adult , Drug Resistance, Neoplasm , Female , Health Care Costs , Hospitalization , Humans , Insurance, Health, Reimbursement , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/diagnosis , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/therapy , Male , Recurrence , Retrospective Studies , Spain/epidemiology , Tertiary Care Centers
6.
J Clin Apher ; 36(4): 612-620, 2021 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33964038

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study assessed pharmacoeconomic costs associated with extracorporeal photopheresis (ECP) compared with other available second-line therapies for chronic graft-vs-host disease (cGvHD) in a tertiary Spanish institution. METHODS: Patients (≥18 years) diagnosed with steroid-refractory cGvHD were eligible. Data were collected retrospectively from index date until 1 year or relapse. Patients were distributed in two cohorts (ECP vs non-ECP), matched by age (≤ or > 40), hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HLA-identical sibling donor or other) and number of previous immunosuppressive lines (1, 2, or ≥ 3). Costs were assigned using the 2016 diagnosis-related group (DRG) system: DRG 579 (€22 383) overnight stay due to major complication (ie, sepsis, pneumonia, parenteral nutrition, or respiratory failure), and DRG 875 (€5154) if no major complication. The primary endpoint was healthcare resource utilization per patient. RESULTS: Forty patients (n = 20 per cohort) were included. Median age was 49, and 37.5% were female. Mean total cost per patient was €25 319 (95% CI: €17 049-€33 590) across the two cohorts, with a slightly lower mean cost per ECP-treated patient (€23 120) compared with the non-ECP cohort (€27 519; P = .597). Twenty-seven inpatient hospitalizations occurred among ECP-treated patients, vs 33 in the non-ECP cohort. Day hospital and external consultations were more frequent in the ECP cohort. However, fewer inpatient admissions included DRG 579 compared with the non-ECP cohort (44% vs 58%). Inpatient length of stay was slightly shorter in the ECP cohort (30 vs 49 days; P = .298). CONCLUSIONS: ECP treatment may yield economic savings in Spain through resource savings and moving costs toward outpatient care.


Subject(s)
Graft vs Host Disease/drug therapy , Hospitals , Photopheresis/economics , Photopheresis/methods , Steroids/therapeutic use , Adult , Aged , Chronic Disease , Economics, Pharmaceutical , Female , Graft vs Host Disease/economics , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods , Hospitalization , Humans , Immunosuppressive Agents , Length of Stay , Male , Middle Aged , Outpatients , Retrospective Studies , Risk , Spain/epidemiology , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
7.
Biol Blood Marrow Transplant ; 26(1): 83-87, 2020 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31493538

ABSTRACT

We analyzed the outcomes of 26 consecutive patients with acquired severe aplastic anemia (SAA) undergoing peripheral blood stem cell transplantation (PBSCT) with partial ex vivo T cell depletion with a targeted T cell dose from HLA-identical sibling donors. The median patient age was 37 years (range, 3 to 63 years). Four patients with uncontrolled pneumonia at the time of transplantation died, on days +1, +2, +21, and +26. All evaluable patients engrafted, with a median time to neutrophil recovery of 11 days (range, 10 to 14 days) and a median time to platelet recovery of 19 days (range, 8 to 53 days). Two patients had transient grade I acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) with skin involvement, but no patients developed grade II-IV acute GVHD. Two patients had mild skin chronic GVHD, and 1 patient had moderate chronic GVHD with ocular involvement. No relapse was observed after a median follow-up of 114 months (range, 4 to 233 months). The overall cumulative incidence of TRM at 10 years was 19%, whereas it was 5% for those with a Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) score >60 at the time of transplantation. Disease-free survival, overall survival, and GVHD and relapse-free survival at 10 years were 81%, 81%, and 80%, respectively, for all patients and 95%, 95%, and 90%, respectively, for patients with a KPS score >60 at transplantation. Our data indicate that PBSCT with partial ex vivo T cell-depleted targeted cell dose grafts from an HLA-identical sibling donor is a feasible, safe, and effective approach to reduce GVHD and cure patients with SAA.


Subject(s)
Anemia, Aplastic , Graft vs Host Disease , Lymphocyte Depletion , Peripheral Blood Stem Cell Transplantation , Siblings , T-Lymphocytes , Tissue Donors , Acute Disease , Adolescent , Adult , Allografts , Anemia, Aplastic/blood , Anemia, Aplastic/mortality , Anemia, Aplastic/therapy , Child , Child, Preschool , Disease-Free Survival , Follow-Up Studies , Graft vs Host Disease/blood , Graft vs Host Disease/etiology , Graft vs Host Disease/mortality , Graft vs Host Disease/therapy , HLA Antigens , Histocompatibility Testing , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Severity of Illness Index , Survival Rate
8.
Glob Chang Biol ; 26(8): 4478-4494, 2020 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32463934

ABSTRACT

Tropical forests are a key determinant of the functioning of the Earth system, but remain a major source of uncertainty in carbon cycle models and climate change projections. In this study, we present an updated land model (LM3PPA-TV) to improve the representation of tropical forest structure and dynamics in Earth system models (ESMs). The development and parameterization of LM3PPA-TV drew on extensive datasets on tropical tree traits and long-term field censuses from Barro Colorado Island (BCI), Panama. The model defines a new plant functional type (PFT) based on the characteristics of shade-tolerant, tropical tree species, implements a new growth allocation scheme based on realistic tree allometries, incorporates hydraulic constraints on biomass accumulation, and features a new compartment for tree branches and branch fall dynamics. Simulation experiments reproduced observed diurnal and seasonal patterns in stand-level carbon and water fluxes, as well as mean canopy and understory tree growth rates, tree size distributions, and stand-level biomass on BCI. Simulations at multiple sites captured considerable variation in biomass and size structure across the tropical forest biome, including observed responses to precipitation and temperature. Model experiments suggested a major role of water limitation in controlling geographic variation forest biomass and structure. However, the failure to simulate tropical forests under extreme conditions and the systematic underestimation of forest biomass in Paleotropical locations highlighted the need to incorporate variation in hydraulic traits and multiple PFTs that capture the distinct floristic composition across tropical domains. The continued pressure on tropical forests from global change demands models which are able to simulate alternative successional pathways and their pace to recovery. LM3PPA-TV provides a tool to investigate geographic variation in tropical forests and a benchmark to continue improving the representation of tropical forests dynamics and their carbon storage potential in ESMs.


Subject(s)
Forests , Tropical Climate , Biomass , Carbon/analysis , Carbon Cycle , Panama , Trees
9.
Oncologist ; 24(8): e720-e729, 2019 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30552159

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: International guidelines suggest hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) after first-line immunochemotherapy (I-CT) in patients with HCV-positive diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), although limited experiences substantiate this recommendation. Moreover, only a few data concerning concurrent administration of DAAs with I-CT have been reported. SUBJECTS, MATERIALS, AND METHODS: We analyzed hematological and virological outcome and survival of 47 consecutive patients with HCV-positive DLBCL treated at 23 Italian and French centers with DAAs either concurrently (concurrent cohort [ConC]: n = 9) or subsequently (sequential cohort [SeqC]: n = 38) to first-line I-CT (mainly rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine and prednisone [R-CHOP]-like). RESULTS: Median age was 61 years, 89% of patients had stage III/IV, and 25% presented evidence of cirrhosis. Genotype was 1 in 56% and 2 in 34% of cases. Overall, 46 of 47 patients obtained complete response to I-CT. All patients received appropriate DAAs according to genotype, mainly sofosbuvir-based regimens (n = 45). Overall, 45 patients (96%) achieved sustained virological response, 8 of 9 in ConC and 37 of 38 in SeqC. DAAs were well tolerated, with only 11 patients experiencing grade 1-2 adverse events. Twenty-three patients experienced hepatic toxicity (grade 3-4 in seven) following I-CT in SeqC, compared to only one patient in ConC. At a median follow-up of 2.8 years, two patients died (2-year overall survival, 97.4%) and three progressed (2-year progression-free survival, 93.1%). CONCLUSION: Excellent outcome of this cohort of HCV-positive DLBCL suggests benefit of HCV eradication by DAAs either after or during I-CT. Moreover, concurrent DAAs and R-CHOP administration appeared feasible, effective, and ideally preferable to deferred administration of DAAs for the prevention of hepatic toxicity. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated diffuse large B-cell lymphomas (DLBCLs) represent a great therapeutic challenge, especially in terms of hepatic toxicity during immune-chemotherapy (I-CT) and long-term hepatic complications. The advent of highly effective and toxicity-free direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) created an exciting opportunity to easily eradicate HCV shortly after or in concomitance with first-line immunochemotherapy (usually R-CHOP). This retrospective international study reports the real-life use of the combination of these two therapeutic modalities either in the concurrent or sequential approach (DAAs after I-CT) in 47 patients. The favorable reported results on long-term outcome seem to support the eradication of HCV with DAAs in all patients with HCV-positive DLBCL. Moreover, the results from the concurrent approach were effective and safe and displayed an advantage in preventing hepatic toxicity during I-CT.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Hepacivirus/drug effects , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/drug therapy , Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/virology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cyclophosphamide/administration & dosage , Disease-Free Survival , Doxorubicin/administration & dosage , Female , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/pathology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/virology , Humans , Incidence , Italy/epidemiology , Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/epidemiology , Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/pathology , Male , Middle Aged , Prednisone/administration & dosage , Retrospective Studies , Rituximab/administration & dosage , Vincristine/administration & dosage
10.
Ann Hematol ; 98(9): 2081-2088, 2019 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31240471

ABSTRACT

Few reports analyze the incidence and clinical outcome of invasive fungal disease (IFD) in patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) undergoing intensive chemotherapy, and thus the impact of different antifungal prophylactic regimens remains unclear. We analyze the incidence and clinical outcome of IFD in a large series of adult AML patients undergoing front-line intensive induction and consolidation chemotherapy between 2004 and 2015 in a single institution. Three antifungal prophylaxis regimens were given (2004-2005 oral fluconazole, 2006-2012 intravenous itraconazole, and 2013-2015 voriconazole). Overall, 285 patients and 589 intensive chemotherapy episodes were assessed (47%) (induction courses 47% and consolidation 53%). The median age was 51 years (range, 17-65). We observed 56 (10%) episodes of IFD. According to the EORTC 2008 criteria, IFD was classified as possible (29, 52%), probable (17, 30%), and proven (10, 18%). Possible/probable/proven IFD rate was significantly lower during HiDAC consolidation as compared to any anthracycline-containing chemotherapy courses (2% vs. 11%, P = 0.001), and under voriconazole prophylaxis as compared to itraconazole and fluconazole (6% vs. 11% vs. 15%, P = 0.007), and the multivariate analysis showed that they were independent risk factors. Patients under voriconazole prophylaxis had shorter hospitalization duration and less frequent use of empirical or directed antifungal therapy. In conclusion, IFD was a frequent complication during upfront intensive chemotherapy courses for adult AML patients. This retrospective study shows that voriconazole prophylaxis was feasible and associated with a lower risk of IFD compared with intravenous itraconazole or oral fluconazole schedules.


Subject(s)
Antifungal Agents/administration & dosage , Consolidation Chemotherapy , Invasive Fungal Infections , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Incidence , Invasive Fungal Infections/epidemiology , Invasive Fungal Infections/prevention & control , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
11.
Strahlenther Onkol ; 194(9): 843-854, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29802435

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To investigate the quality of treatment plans of spinal radiosurgery derived from different planning and delivery systems. The comparisons include robotic delivery and intensity modulated arc therapy (IMAT) approaches. Multiple centers with equal systems were used to reduce a bias based on individual's planning abilities. The study used a series of three complex spine lesions to maximize the difference in plan quality among the various approaches. METHODS: Internationally recognized experts in the field of treatment planning and spinal radiosurgery from 12 centers with various treatment planning systems participated. For a complex spinal lesion, the results were compared against a previously published benchmark plan derived for CyberKnife radiosurgery (CKRS) using circular cones only. For two additional cases, one with multiple small lesions infiltrating three vertebrae and a single vertebra lesion treated with integrated boost, the results were compared against a benchmark plan generated using a best practice guideline for CKRS. All plans were rated based on a previously established ranking system. RESULTS: All 12 centers could reach equality (n = 4) or outperform (n = 8) the benchmark plan. For the multiple lesions and the single vertebra lesion plan only 5 and 3 of the 12 centers, respectively, reached equality or outperformed the best practice benchmark plan. However, the absolute differences in target and critical structure dosimetry were small and strongly planner-dependent rather than system-dependent. Overall, gantry-based IMAT with simple planning techniques (two coplanar arcs) produced faster treatments and significantly outperformed static gantry intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and multileaf collimator (MLC) or non-MLC CKRS treatment plan quality regardless of the system (mean rank out of 4 was 1.2 vs. 3.1, p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: High plan quality for complex spinal radiosurgery was achieved among all systems and all participating centers in this planning challenge. This study concludes that simple IMAT techniques can generate significantly better plan quality compared to previous established CKRS benchmarks.


Subject(s)
Benchmarking , Radiosurgery/methods , Radiotherapy Planning, Computer-Assisted/methods , Radiotherapy, Intensity-Modulated/methods , Spinal Neoplasms , Thoracic Vertebrae , Aged , Algorithms , Dose Fractionation, Radiation , Humans , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/radiotherapy , Organs at Risk , Radiosurgery/instrumentation , Radiotherapy Dosage , Radiotherapy, Intensity-Modulated/instrumentation , Re-Irradiation , Robotic Surgical Procedures/instrumentation , Spinal Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Spinal Neoplasms/secondary , Thoracic Vertebrae/surgery
12.
Proc Biol Sci ; 283(1843)2016 Nov 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27903871

ABSTRACT

Understanding what factors drive fluctuations in the abundance of endangered species is a difficult ecological problem but a major requirement to attain effective management and conservation success. The ecological traits of large mammals make this task even more complicated, calling for integrative approaches. We develop a framework combining individual-based modelling and statistical inference to assess alternative hypotheses on brown bear dynamics in the Cantabrian range (Iberian Peninsula). Models including the effect of environmental factors on mortality rates were able to reproduce three decades of variation in the number of females with cubs of the year (Fcoy), including the decline that put the population close to extinction in the mid-nineties, and the following increase in brown bear numbers. This external effect prevailed over density-dependent mechanisms (sexually selected infanticide and female reproductive suppression), with a major impact of climate driven changes in resource availability and a secondary role of changes in human pressure. Predicted changes in population structure revealed a nonlinear relationship between total abundance and the number of Fcoy, highlighting the risk of simple projections based on indirect abundance indices. This study demonstrates the advantages of integrative, mechanistic approaches and provides a widely applicable framework to improve our understanding of wildlife dynamics.


Subject(s)
Endangered Species , Environment , Reproduction , Ursidae , Animals , Conservation of Natural Resources , Female , Population Density , Population Dynamics , Spain
13.
J Appl Clin Med Phys ; 17(3): 313-330, 2016 05 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27167291

ABSTRACT

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is the accurate, conformal delivery of high-dose radiation to well-defined targets while minimizing normal structure doses via steep dose gradients. While inverse treatment planning (ITP) with computerized optimization algorithms are routine, many aspects of the planning process remain user-dependent. We performed an international, multi-institutional benchmark trial to study planning variability and to analyze preferable ITP practice for spinal robotic radiosurgery. 10 SRS treatment plans were generated for a complex-shaped spinal metastasis with 21 Gy in 3 fractions and tight constraints for spinal cord (V14Gy < 2 cc, V18Gy < 0.1 cc) and target (coverage > 95%). The resulting plans were rated on a scale from 1 to 4 (excellent-poor) in five categories (constraint compliance, optimization goals, low-dose regions, ITP complexity, and clinical acceptability) by a blinded review panel. Additionally, the plans were mathemati-cally rated based on plan indices (critical structure and target doses, conformity, monitor units, normal tissue complication probability, and treatment time) and compared to the human rankings. The treatment plans and the reviewers' rankings varied substantially among the participating centers. The average mean overall rank was 2.4 (1.2-4.0) and 8/10 plans were rated excellent in at least one category by at least one reviewer. The mathematical rankings agreed with the mean overall human rankings in 9/10 cases pointing toward the possibility for sole mathematical plan quality comparison. The final rankings revealed that a plan with a well-balanced trade-off among all planning objectives was preferred for treatment by most par-ticipants, reviewers, and the mathematical ranking system. Furthermore, this plan was generated with simple planning techniques. Our multi-institutional planning study found wide variability in ITP approaches for spinal robotic radiosurgery. The participants', reviewers', and mathematical match on preferable treatment plans and ITP techniques indicate that agreement on treatment planning and plan quality can be reached for spinal robotic radiosurgery.


Subject(s)
Radiosurgery/methods , Radiotherapy Planning, Computer-Assisted/methods , Robotics/methods , Spinal Neoplasms/surgery , Algorithms , Benchmarking , Humans , International Agencies , Radiotherapy Dosage , Radiotherapy, Intensity-Modulated/methods
14.
Biol Blood Marrow Transplant ; 21(4): 755-60, 2015 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25585274

ABSTRACT

The incidence, epidemiology, and risk factors of bloodstream infection (BSI) and their impact on transplant outcomes after umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) are not well defined. Between May 1997 and December 2012, 202 isolates in 189 episodes of BSI were registered in 134 of 241 patients who underwent single-unit myeloablative UCBT. Cumulative incidence (CI) of developing at least 1 episode of BSI was 21%, 29%, 34%, 42%, and 52% at days +7, +14, +30, +100, and +365, respectively. The median time of onset for the first BSI episode was day +10 (range, day -7 to +1217). Early BSI before day 7 was associated with increased nonrelapse mortality (relative risk [RR], 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 to 2.3; P = .04), whereas BSI before day 14 was an independent adverse risk factor for neutrophil recovery (RR, .6; 95% CI, .5 to .9; P = .002). A higher CD8(+) cell dose of the graft was the only variable independently associated with reduced risk of BSI (RR, .1; 95% CI, .02 to .7; P = .02). The gram-negative rod (GNR) to gram-positive bacteria ratio was .9 before day +30 and 1.6 thereafter (P = .03). Escherichia coli (31%) and Pseudomonas sp. (28%) were the most frequently isolated among GNR. The overall crude mortality rate was 12% at day 7 and was higher for GNR (18%) compared with gram-positive bacteria (7%) (P = .03). These findings emphasize the importance of preventing bacterial infections during conditioning and the very early post-UCBT period.


Subject(s)
Cord Blood Stem Cell Transplantation , Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections/epidemiology , Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections/epidemiology , Hematologic Neoplasms , Transplantation Conditioning , Unrelated Donors , Adolescent , Adult , Allografts , Female , Hematologic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Hematologic Neoplasms/therapy , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies
15.
Transfus Med Hemother ; 42(1): 8-14, 2015 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25960710

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Liver transplantation (LT) has traditionally been associated with major blood loss and consequently high blood transfusion requirements. Our objective was to analyze transfusion management and incidence of immunohematologic complications in patients undergoing LT at our institution. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of immunohematologic events and transfusion outcomes was carried out at La Fe University Hospital in Valencia. Data from 654 patients were reviewed: 654 underwent only one LT while 36 underwent second LT. RESULTS: Patients received a median of 3 red blood cell (RBC) concentrates, 2 platelets concentrates (PCs) and 2 fresh frozen plasma units (FFPs). Variables significantly influencing RBC transfusions were: the MELD score, hemoglobin levels, and the platelet counts before LT. 27 patients (4.1%) had a positive antibody screening before transplant. Immunohematologic events occurred in 8% of the patients, mostly in the first month after LT, and involved hemolysis in 13 cases. Mortality was significantly higher in patients developing immunohematologic disorders (42.8 vs. 18.3%; p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, only ABO minor incompatibility between donor and recipient significantly increased the appearance of immunohematologic incidences (OR 4.92, 95% CI 2.31-10.50; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Transfusion management of patients that underwent LT can be complicated by immunohematologic problems. Blood banks should implement the DAT test in each transfusion to detect them.

16.
J Clin Rheumatol ; 20(4): 203-8, 2014 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24847746

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Ergonomically, the flute is especially complex among wind instruments, and flautists may therefore be at particular risk of performance-related musculoskeletal disorders. Yet little is known about injury prevalence among flute players, and even less in those flautists who are also hypermobile. Recent research has found hand and wrist pain to be common complaints among flautists. Understanding of the predictors of injury and pain is therefore crucial as the presence of pain decreases performance quality and causes unnecessary time loss. There is a strong relationship between hypermobility and impaired proprioception, although many musicians may acquire greater proprioception than the average population. We have compared flexibility and proprioception of the hand in a study of flautists. METHODS: Twenty flautists took part in the study. General hypermobility, the passive range of motion of the 3 specific joints most involved in flute playing, and proprioception acuity were all measured accurately for the first time in this awkward instrument that needs high levels of dexterity. RESULTS: Flautists' finger joints have a greater range of movement than in the general population. This group of flute players had especially large ranges of movement in the finger joints, which take the weight of the instrument. Although flautists have hypermobile finger joints, they are not generally hypermobile elsewhere as measured by the Beighton Scale. Flautists, even with very mobile finger joints, have very accurate proprioception, which may be acquired through training. CONCLUSIONS: The study of instrumentalists may provide an ideal model for study of the interaction between localized joint flexibility and joint proprioception, both inherited and acquired.


Subject(s)
Finger Joint/physiopathology , Joint Instability/physiopathology , Music , Proprioception/physiology , Range of Motion, Articular/physiology , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult
17.
Lancet Haematol ; 11(7): e487-e498, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38824932

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Iadademstat is a potent, selective, oral inhibitor of both the enzymatic and scaffolding activities of the transcriptional repressor lysine-specific demethylase 1 (LSD1; also known as KDM1A) that showed promising early activity and safety in a phase 1 trial and strong preclinical synergy with azacitidine in acute myeloid leukaemia cell lines. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the combination of iadademstat and azacitidine for the treatment of adult patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukaemia. METHODS: The open-label, phase 2a, dose-finding ALICE study was conducted at six hospitals in Spain and enrolled patients aged 18 years or older with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukaemia not eligible for intensive chemotherapy and an ECOG performance status of 0-2. In the dose escalation portion of the trial, patients received a starting dose of iadademstat at 90 µg/m2 per day (with de-escalation to 60 µg/m2 per day and escalation up to 140 µg/m2 per day) orally, for 5 days on, 2 days off weekly, with azacitidine 75 mg/m2 subcutaneously, for seven of 28 days. The primary objectives were safety (analysed in the safety analysis set; all patients who received at least one dose of study treatment) and establishing the recommended phase 2 dose; secondary objectives included response rates in the efficacy analysis set (all patients who had at least one efficacy assessment). This study is registered on EudraCT (EudraCT 2018-000482-36) and has been completed. FINDINGS: Between Nov 12, 2018, and Sept 30, 2021, 36 patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukaemia were enrolled; the median age was 76 (IQR 74-79) years, all patients were White, 18 (50%) were male, and 18 (50%) were female, and all had intermediate-risk or adverse-risk acute myeloid leukaemia. The median follow-up was 22 (IQR 16-31) months. The most frequent (≥10%) adverse events considered to be related to treatment were decreases in platelet (25 [69%]) and neutrophil (22 [61%]) counts (all grade 3-4) and anaemia (15 [42%]; of which ten [28%] were grade 3-4). Three patients had treatment-related serious adverse events (one fatal grade 5 intracranial haemorrhage, one grade 3 differentiation syndrome, and one grade 3 febrile neutropenia). Based on safety, pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic data, and efficacy, the recommended phase 2 dose of iadademstat was 90 µg/m2 per day with azacitidine. 22 (82%; 95% CI 62-94) of 27 patients in the efficacy analysis set had an objective response. 14 (52%) of 27 patients had complete remission or complete remission with incomplete haematological recovery; of these, ten of 11 evaluable for measurable residual disease achieved negativity. In the safety analysis set, 22 (61%) of 36 patients had an objective response. INTERPRETATION: The combination of iadademstat and azacitidine has a manageable safety profile and shows promising responses in patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukaemia, including those with high-risk prognostic factors. FUNDING: Oryzon Genomics and Spain's Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovacion y Universidades (MICIU)-Agencia Estatal de Investigacion (AEI).


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols , Azacitidine , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Humans , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy , Azacitidine/therapeutic use , Azacitidine/administration & dosage , Azacitidine/adverse effects , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Histone Demethylases/antagonists & inhibitors , Adult , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Aged, 80 and over , Cyclohexanes , Diamines
18.
Cancers (Basel) ; 15(8)2023 Apr 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37190195

ABSTRACT

The incidence of cardiac morbimortality in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is not well known. We aim to estimate the cumulative incidence (CI) of cardiac events in AML patients and to identify risk factors for their occurrence. Among 571 newly diagnosed AML patients, 26 (4.6%) developed fatal cardiac events, and among 525 treated patients, 19 (3.6%) experienced fatal cardiac events (CI: 2% at 6 months; 6.7% at 9 years). Prior heart disease was associated with the development of fatal cardiac events (hazard ratio (HR) = 6.9). The CI of non-fatal cardiac events was 43.7% at 6 months and 56.9% at 9 years. Age ≥ 65 (HR = 2.2), relevant cardiac antecedents (HR = 1.4), and non-intensive chemotherapy (HR = 1.8) were associated with non-fatal cardiac events. The 9-year CI of grade 1-2 QTcF prolongation was 11.2%, grade 3 was 2.7%, and no patient had grade 4-5 events. The 9-year CI of grade 1-2 cardiac failure was 1.3%, grade 3-4 was 15%, and grade 5 was 2.1%; of grade 1-2, arrhythmia was 1.9%, grade 3-4 was 9.1%, and grade 5 was 1%. Among 285 intensive therapy patients, median overall survival decreased in those experiencing grade 3-4 cardiac events (p < 0.001). We observed a high incidence of cardiac toxicity associated with significant mortality in AML.

19.
Cancers (Basel) ; 14(8)2022 Apr 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35454828

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Information regarding the impact on healthcare systems of secondary acute myeloid leukemia (sAML) is scarce. METHODS: A retrospective review of medical charts identified patients aged 60-75 years with sAML between 2010 and 2019. Patient information was collected from diagnosis to death or last follow-up. Outpatient resource use, reimbursement, frequency and duration of hospitalization, and transfusion burden were assessed. Forty-six patients with a median age of 64 years were included. Anthracycline plus cytarabine regimens were the most common induction treatment (39 patients, 85%). The ratio of the total days hospitalized between the total follow-up was 29%, with a sum of 204 hospitalizations (average four/patient; average duration 21 days). The total average reimbursement was EUR 90,008 per patient, with the majority (EUR 77,827) related to hospital admissions (EUR 17,403/hospitalization). Most hospitalizations (163, mean 22 days) occurred in the period before the first allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHSCT), costing EUR 59,698 per patient and EUR 15,857 per hospitalization. The period after alloHSCT (in only 10 patients) had 41 hospitalizations (mean 21 days), and a mean reimbursement cost of EUR 99,542 per patient and EUR 24,278 per hospitalization. In conclusion, there is a high consumption of economic and healthcare resources in elderly patients with sAML receiving active treatments in Spain.

20.
Emergencias ; 34(6): 437-443, 2022 12.
Article in English, Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36625693

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate short-term mortality in people transferred from aged care homes for treatment in a hospital emergency department (ED) and to analyze factors associated with mortality. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Multicenter study of a random sample of retrospective data of patients treated in 5 EDs in Catalonia in 2017. The patients were over the age of 65 years and lived in residential care facilities. In addition to short-term mortality (in the ED or within 30 days of discharge), we analyzed sociodemographic characteristics, prior functional and cognitive status, multimorbidity, triage level on arrival, length of stay in the ED, and hospital admission. Odds ratios (ORs) for factors associated with short-term mortality were calculated by multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 2444 ED admissions were analyzed. The patients' mean (SD) age was 85.9 (7.1) years, and 67.7% .were women. Short-term mortality (in 15.5%) was associated with age >90 years (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.5-1.95 years), a Charlson index >2 (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.14-1.90), and dependency assessed as moderate (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.03- 2.20) or severe (OR, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.84-3.55). Other associated factors were a higher level of urgency on triage, duration of ED stay, and hospital admission. CONCLUSION: Aged residents with the characteristics associated with short-term mortality could benefit from interventions for potentially avoiding unnecessary transfers to an ED, and from the implementation of comprehensive geriatric care within the ED. This could be useful to support good quality of care at the end of life.


OBJETIVO: Evaluar la frecuencia y los factores asociados con la mortalidad a corto plazo de personas que viven en residencias tras ingreso en urgencias. METODO: Análisis retrospectivo multicéntrico de una muestra aleatoria de admisiones de personas $ 65 años que viven en residencias en cinco servicios de urgencias de Cataluña, a lo largo de 2017. Se analizaron características sociodemográficas, el estado funcional y cognitivo previo, multimorbilidad, nivel de triaje de las urgencias, duración de la estancia en urgencias, hospitalización y mortalidad a corto plazo (en urgencias o en los 30 días posteriores al alta). Se utilizó un análisis de regresión multivariante para investigar los factores asociados con la mortalidad a corto plazo. RESULTADOS: Se analizaron 2.444 admisiones en urgencias, con una edad media de 85,9 (DE 7,1) años, 67,7% mujeres. La mortalidad a corto plazo (15,5%) se asoció con una edad > 90 años (OR 1,50; IC 95%: 1,5-1,95), un índice de Charlson > 2 (OR 1,47; IC 95%: 1,14-1,90), y un grado de dependencia moderado (OR 1,50; IC 95%: 1,03-2,20) y grave (OR 2,56; IC 95%: 1,84-3,55). También se asoció con un mayor nivel de triaje de la urgencia, duración de la estancia en urgencias e ingreso en planta de hospitalización. CONCLUSIONES: Los ancianos residentes con las características descritas podrían beneficiarse especialmente de intervenciones dirigidas a la prevención de traslados potencialmente innecesarios a urgencias y a la implementación de una atención integral geriátrica dentro de los servicios de urgencias, a fin de garantizar una buena calidad de los cuidados en fases finales de la vida.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Hospitalization , Humans , Female , Male , Retrospective Studies , Emergency Service, Hospital , Patient Discharge
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