Risk factors and outcomes for airway failure versus non-airway failure in the intensive care unit: a multicenter observational study of 1514 extubation procedures.

BACKGROUND: Patients liberated from invasive mechanical ventilation are at risk of extubation failure, including inability to breathe without a tracheal tube (airway failure) or without mechanical ventilation (non-airway failure). We sought to identify respective risk factors for airway failure and non-airway failure following extubation. METHODS: The primary endpoint of this prospective, observational, multicenter study in 26 intensive care units was extubation failure, defined as need for reintubation within 48 h following extubation. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors for airway failure and non-airway failure. RESULTS: Between 1 December 2013 and 1 May 2015, 1514 patients undergoing extubation were enrolled. The extubation-failure rate was 10.4% (157/1514), including 70/157 (45%) airway failures, 78/157 (50%) non-airway failures, and 9/157 (5%) mixed airway and non-airway failures. By multivariable analysis, risk factors for extubation failure were either common to airway failure and non-airway failure: intubation for coma (OR 4.979 (2.797-8.864), P < 0.0001 and OR 2.067 (1.217-3.510), P = 0.003, respectively, intubation for acute respiratory failure (OR 3.395 (1.877-6.138), P < 0.0001 and OR 2.067 (1.217-3.510), P = 0.007, respectively, absence of strong cough (OR 1.876 (1.047-3.362), P = 0.03 and OR 3.240 (1.786-5.879), P = 0.0001, respectively, or specific to each specific mechanism: female gender (OR 2.024 (1.187-3.450), P = 0.01), length of ventilation > 8 days (OR 1.956 (1.087-3.518), P = 0.025), copious secretions (OR 4.066 (2.268-7.292), P < 0.0001) were specific to airway failure, whereas non-obese status (OR 2.153 (1.052-4.408), P = 0.036) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 8 (OR 1.848 (1.100-3.105), P = 0.02) were specific to non-airway failure. Both airway failure and non-airway failure were associated with ICU mortality (20% and 22%, respectively, as compared to 6% in patients with extubation success, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Specific risk factors have been identified, allowing us to distinguish between risk of airway failure and non-airway failure. The two conditions will be managed differently, both for prevention and curative strategies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT 02450669 . Registered on 21 May 2015.

Incidence, risk factors and long-term outcomes for extubation failure in intensive care unit in patients with obesity A retrospective analysis of a multicenter prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: No large observational study has compared the incidence and risk factors for extubation failure within 48 hours and during intensive care unit (ICU) stay in the same cohort of unselected critically ill patients with and without obesity. RESEARCH QUESTION: Which are the incidence and risk factors of extubation failure in patients with and without obesity? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In this prospective multicenter observational FREE-REA study in 26 intensive care units, the primary objective was to compare the incidence of extubation failure within 48 hours in patients with and without obesity. Secondary objectives were to describe and to identify the independent specific risk factors for extubation failure using first a logistic regression model and second a decision tree analysis. RESULTS: Of 1,370 extubation procedures analyzed, 288 (21%) were performed in patients with obesity and 1082 (79%) in patients without obesity. The incidence of extubation failure within 48 hours among patients with or without presence of obesity was 23/288 (8.0%) versus 118/1082 (11%) respectively; unadjusted odds ratio (OR) 0.71 95% confidence interval (CI, 0.45-1.13), P=0.15); alongside patients with obesity receiving significantly more noninvasive ventilation (87/288, 30% versus 233/1082, 22%, P=0.002) and physiotherapy (165/288, 57% versus 527/1082, 49%, P=0.02) than patients without obesity. Risk factors for extubation failure also differed according to obesity status: female gender [adjusted (a)OR 4.88 95%CI(1.61-13.9), P=0.002] and agitation before extubation [aOR 6.39 95%CI (1.91-19.8), P=0.001] in patients with obesity; absence of strong cough before extubation [aOR 2.38 95%CI (1.53-3.84), P=0.0002] and duration of invasive mechanical ventilation before extubation [aOR 1.03 per day 95%CI (1.01-1.06), P=0.01] in patients without obesity. The decision tree analysis found similar risk factors. INTERPRETATION: Our findings indicate that anticipation and application of preventive measures for patients with obesity before and after extubation led to similar rate of extubation failure among patients with and without obesity. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT XXX.