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1.
Br J Haematol ; 204(6): 2222-2226, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38420697

ABSTRACT

To address the lack of contemporary population-based epidemiological studies of hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma (HSTCL), we undertook a population-based study of ICD-O-3-coded HSTCL in England. We used the National Cancer Registration Dataset and linked datasets on hospital admissions, Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy, socio-demographics, comorbidities and death, identifying cases from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2019 with survival data up to 5 January 2021. Crude and directly age-standardised incidence rates per million persons per year were calculated. Crude and adjusted incidence rate ratios compared incidence between groups using Poisson regression. A Cox proportional hazards model estimated mortality risks adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation and allogenic stem cell transplant (allo-SCT; time varying). We identified 44 patients, mean age 42 years. Median survival was 11 months, and 1 and 5 year survivals were 48% (95% CI 29%-43%) and 22% (95% CI 12%-42%) respectively. The age-standardised incidence was 0.1 per million/year. Incidence was higher in areas with greater deprivation (0.15 per million/year), and more cases than expected were in non-White patients (39%). Non-Whites had a twofold increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.21 [95% CI 1.03-4.78]) even after adjusting for deprivation, younger age and allo-SCT. In conclusion, ethnicity and socio-economic status affect both the incidence and survival of HSTCL.


Subject(s)
Lymphoma, T-Cell , Splenic Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Female , Incidence , Adult , Middle Aged , Lymphoma, T-Cell/mortality , Lymphoma, T-Cell/epidemiology , Lymphoma, T-Cell/therapy , Splenic Neoplasms/mortality , Splenic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Aged , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Social Class , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data , England/epidemiology , Young Adult , Adolescent
2.
Br J Anaesth ; 133(1): 67-76, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38760264

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus is a significant modulator of postoperative outcomes and is an important risk factor in the patient selection process. We aimed to investigate the effect of diabetes mellitus and use of insulin on outcomes after colorectal resection using a national cohort. METHODS: Adults with a recorded colorectal resection in England between 2010 and 2020 were identified from Hospital Episode Statistics data linked to the Clinical Practice Research Database. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay (LOS) and readmission within 90 days. RESULTS: Of the 106 139 (52 875, 49.8% male) patients included, diabetes mellitus was prevalent in 10 931 (10.3%), 2145 (19.6%) of whom had a record of use of insulin. Unadjusted 90-day mortality risk was 5.7%, with an increased adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for people with diabetes mellitus (aHR 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.37, P<0.001). This risk was higher in both people with diabetes using insulin (aHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.31-1.74, P<0.001) and not using insulin (aHR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.33, P<0.001), compared with those without diabetes. Ninety-day readmission occurred in 20 542 (19.4%) patients and this was more likely in those with diabetes mellitus (aHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.18-1.29, P<0.001). Median (inter-quartile range) LOS was 8 (5-15) days and was higher in people with diabetes mellitus (adjusted time ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.08-1.11, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: People with diabetes mellitus undergoing colorectal resection are at a higher risk of 90-day mortality, prolonged LOS, and 90-day readmission, with use of insulin associated with additional risk.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Insulin , Length of Stay , Patient Readmission , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Insulin/therapeutic use , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/mortality , England/epidemiology , Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , Hypoglycemic Agents/therapeutic use
3.
Hepatology ; 75(2): 369-378, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34453350

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It is thought that alcohol intake and body mass index (BMI) interact supra-additively to modulate the risk of cirrhosis, but evidence for this phenomenon is limited. We investigated the interrelationship between alcohol and BMI on the incidence of cirrhosis morbidity for participants of the United Kingdom Biobank (UKB) study. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of cirrhosis morbidity, defined as a first-time hospital admission for cirrhosis (with noncirrhosis mortality incorporated as a competing risk). All UKB participants without a previous hospital admission for cirrhosis were included in the analysis. We determined the ratio of the 10-year cumulative incidence in harmful drinkers versus safe drinkers according to BMI. We also calculated the excess cumulative incidence at 10 years for individuals with obesity and/or harmful alcohol compared to safe drinkers with a healthy BMI of 20-25.0 kg/m2 . A total of 489,285 UK Biobank participants were included, with mean of 10.7 person-years' follow-up. A total of 2070 participants developed the primary outcome, equating to a crude cumulative incidence of 0.36% at 10 years (95% CI:0.34-0.38). The 10-year cumulative incidence was 8.6 times higher for harmful (1.38%) versus safe drinkers (0.16%) if BMI was healthy. Conversely, it was only 3.6 times higher for obese participants (1.99% vs. 0.56%). Excess cumulative incidence was 1.22% (95% CI:0.89-1.55) for harmful drinkers with a healthy BMI, 0.40% (95% CI:0.34-0.46) for obese individuals drinking at safe levels, and 1.83% (95% CI:1.46-2.20) for obese harmful drinkers (all compared to safe drinkers with a healthy BMI). CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol intake and obesity are independent risk factors for cirrhosis morbidity, but they do not interact supra-additively to modulate the cumulative incidence of this outcome.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking , Alcoholism/epidemiology , Body Mass Index , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Obesity/epidemiology , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology
4.
Dis Colon Rectum ; 66(7): 877-885, 2023 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37134222

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism is a well-established preventable complication after colectomy. Specific guidance on venous thromboembolism prevention after colectomy for benign disease is limited. OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis aimed to quantify the venous thromboembolism risk after benign colorectal resection and determine its variability. DATA SOURCES: Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology Guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42021265438), Embase, MEDLINE, and 4 other registered medical literature databases were searched from the database inception to June 21, 2021. STUDY SELECTION: Inclusion criteria: randomized controlled trials and large population-based database cohort studies reporting 30-day and 90-day venous thromboembolism rates after benign colorectal resection in patients aged ≥18 years. Exclusion criteria: patients undergoing colorectal cancer or completely endoscopic surgery. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Thirty- and 90-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates per 1000 person-years after benign colorectal surgery. RESULTS: Seventeen studies were eligible for meta-analysis reporting on 250,170 patients. Pooled 30-day and 90-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates after benign colorectal resection were 284 (95% CI, 224-360) and 84 (95% CI, 33-218) per 1000 person-years. Stratified by admission type, 30-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates per 1000 person-years were 532 (95% CI, 447-664) for emergency resections and 213 (95% CI, 100-453) for elective colorectal resections. Thirty-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates per 1000 person-years after colectomy were 485 (95% CI, 411-573) for patients with ulcerative colitis, 228 (95% CI, 181-288) for patients with Crohn's disease, and 208 (95% CI, 152-288) for patients with diverticulitis. LIMITATIONS: High degree of heterogeneity was observed within most meta-analyses attributable to large cohorts minimizing within-study variance. CONCLUSIONS: Venous thromboembolism rates remain high up to 90 days after colectomy and vary by indication for surgery. Emergency resections compared to elective benign resections have higher rates of postoperative venous thromboembolism. Further studies reporting venous thromboembolism rates by type of benign disease need to stratify rates by admission type to more accurately define venous thromboembolism risk after colectomy. REGISTRATION NO: CRD42021265438.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Colorectal Surgery , Venous Thromboembolism , Humans , Adolescent , Adult , Venous Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Colectomy/adverse effects , Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Colorectal Neoplasms/complications , Postoperative Complications/etiology
5.
Langenbecks Arch Surg ; 408(1): 362, 2023 Sep 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37718378

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The mortality risk after appendicectomy in patients with liver cirrhosis is predicted to be higher than in the general population given the associated risk of perioperative bleeding, infections and liver decompensation. This population-based cohort study aimed to determine the 90-day mortality risk following emergency appendicectomy in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Adult patients undergoing emergency appendicectomy in England between January 2001 and December 2018 were identified from two linked primary and secondary electronic healthcare databases, the clinical practice research datalink and hospital episode statistics data. Length of stay, re-admission, case fatality and the odds ratio of 90-day mortality were calculated for patients with and without cirrhosis, adjusting for age, sex and co-morbidity using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 40,353 patients underwent appendicectomy and of these 75 (0.19%) had cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis were more likely to be older (p < 0.0001) and have comorbidities (p < 0.0001). Proportionally, more patients with cirrhosis underwent an open appendicectomy (76%) compared with 64% of those without cirrhosis (p = 0.03). The 90-day case fatality rate was 6.67% in patients with cirrhosis compared with 0.56% in patients without cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis had longer hospital length of stay (4 (IQR 3-9) days versus 3 (IQR 2-4) days and higher readmission rates at 90 days (20% vs 11%, p = 0.019). Most importantly, their odds of death at 90 days were 3 times higher than patients without cirrhosis, adjusted odds ratio 3.75 (95% CI 1.35-10.49). CONCLUSION: Patients with cirrhosis have a threefold increased odds of 90-day mortality after emergency appendicectomy compared to those without cirrhosis.


Subject(s)
Appendectomy , Liver Cirrhosis , Adult , Humans , Cohort Studies , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/surgery , England/epidemiology , Databases, Factual
6.
Langenbecks Arch Surg ; 408(1): 203, 2023 May 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37212868

ABSTRACT

AIM: This study reports venous thromboembolism (VTE) rates following colectomy for diverticular disease to explore the magnitude of postoperative VTE risk in this population and identify high risk subgroups of interest. METHOD: English national cohort study of colectomy patients between 2000 and 2019 using linked primary (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) and secondary (Hospital Episode Statistics) care data. Stratified by admission type, absolute incidence rates (IR) per 1000 person-years and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) were calculated for 30- and 90-day post-colectomy VTE. RESULTS: Of 24,394 patients who underwent colectomy for diverticular disease, over half (57.39%) were emergency procedures with the highest VTE rate seen in patients ≥70-years-old (IR 142.27 per 1000 person-years, 95%CI 118.32-171.08) at 30 days post colectomy. Emergency resections (IR 135.18 per 1000 person-years, 95%CI 115.72-157.91) had double the risk (aIRR 2.07, 95%CI 1.47-2.90) of developing a VTE at 30 days following colectomy compared to elective resections (IR 51.14 per 1000 person-years, 95%CI 38.30-68.27). Minimally invasive surgery (MIS) was shown to be associated with a 64% reduction in VTE risk (aIRR 0.36 95%CI 0.20-0.65) compared to open colectomies at 30 days post-op. At 90 days following emergency resections, VTE risks remained raised compared to elective colectomies. CONCLUSION: Following emergency colectomy for diverticular disease, the VTE risk is approximately double compared to elective resections at 30 days while MIS was found to be associated with a reduced risk of VTE. This suggests advancements in postoperative VTE prevention in diverticular disease patients should focus on those undergoing emergency colectomies.


Subject(s)
Diverticular Diseases , Venous Thromboembolism , Humans , Aged , Venous Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Cohort Studies , Risk Factors , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Colectomy/adverse effects , Colectomy/methods , Diverticular Diseases/epidemiology , Diverticular Diseases/surgery , Diverticular Diseases/complications
7.
Emerg Med J ; 40(3): 216-220, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36600468

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pulse oximeters are a standard non-invasive tool to measure blood oxygen levels, and are used in multiple healthcare settings. It is important to understand the factors affecting their accuracy to be able to use them optimally and safely. This analysis aimed to explore the association of the measurement error of pulse oximeters with systolic BP, diastolic BP and heart rate (HR) within ranges of values commonly observed in clinical practice. METHODS: The study design was a retrospective observational study of all patients admitted to a large teaching hospital with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection from February 2020 to December 2021. Data on systolic and diastolic BPs and HR levels were available from the same time period as the pulse oximetry measurements. RESULTS: Data were available for 3420 patients with 5927 observations of blood oxygen saturations as measured by pulse oximetry and ABG sampling within 30 min. The difference in oxygen saturation using the paired pulse oximetry and arterial oxygen saturation difference measurements was inversely associated with systolic BP, increasing by 0.02% with each mm Hg decrease in systolic BP (95% CI 0.00% to 0.03%) over a range of 80-180 mm Hg. Inverse associations were also observed between the error for oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry and with both diastolic BP (+0.03%; 95% CI 0.00% to 0.05%) and HR (+0.04%; 95% CI 0.02% to 0.06% for each unit decrease in the HR). CONCLUSIONS: Care needs to be taken in interpreting pulse oximetry measurements in patients with lower systolic and diastolic BPs, and HRs, as oxygen saturation is overestimated as BP and HR decrease. Confirmation of the oxygen saturation with an ABG may be appropriate in some clinical scenarios.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Blood Pressure , Oximetry , Oxygen , Heart Rate
8.
HPB (Oxford) ; 25(2): 189-197, 2023 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36435712

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This population-based cohort study aimed to determine postoperative outcomes after emergency and elective cholecystectomy in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Linked electronic healthcare data from England were used to identify all patients undergoing cholecystectomy between January 2000 and December 2017. Length of stay (LOS), re-admission, case fatality and the odds ratio of 90-day mortality were calculated for patients with and without cirrhosis, adjusting for age, sex and co-morbidity using logistic regression. RESULTS: Of the total 69,141 eligible patients who underwent a cholecystectomy, 511 (0.74%) had cirrhosis. In patients without cirrhosis 86.55% underwent a laparoscopic procedure compared with 57.53% in patients with cirrhosis (p < 0.0001). LOS was longer in those with cirrhosis (3 IQR 1-8 vs 1 IQR 1-3 days,p < 0.0001). 90-day re-admission was greater in patients with cirrhosis, 36.79% compared with 14.95% in those without cirrhosis. 90-day case fatality after elective cholecystectomy in patients with and without cirrhosis was 2.79% and 0.43%; and 12.82% and 2.39% following emergency cholecystectomy. This equated to a 3-fold (OR 3.22, IQR 1.72-6.02) and a 4-fold (OR 4.52, IQR 2.46-8.33) increased odds of death at 90-days following elective and emergency cholecystectomy after adjusting for confounders. CONCLUSION: Patients with cirrhosis undergoing cholecystectomy have an increased 90-day risk of postoperative mortality, which is significantly worse after emergency procedures.


Subject(s)
Cholecystectomy, Laparoscopic , Humans , Cohort Studies , Cholecystectomy , Liver Cirrhosis , England , Length of Stay , Retrospective Studies
9.
Am J Epidemiol ; 191(11): 1944-1953, 2022 10 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35872596

ABSTRACT

We compared the performance of prognostic tools for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) using parameters fitted either at the time of hospital admission or across all time points of an admission. This cohort study used clinical data to model the dynamic change in prognosis of SARS-CoV-2 at a single hospital center in the United Kingdom, including all patients admitted from February 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020, and then followed up for 60 days for intensive care unit (ICU) admission, death, or discharge from the hospital. We incorporated clinical observations and blood tests into 2 time-varying Cox proportional hazards models predicting daily 24- to 48-hour risk of admission to the ICU for those eligible for escalation of care or death for those ineligible for escalation. In developing the model, 491 patients were eligible for ICU escalation and 769 were ineligible for escalation. Our model had good discrimination of daily risk of ICU admission in the validation cohort (n = 1,141; C statistic: C = 0.91, 95% confidence interval: 0.89, 0.94) and our score performed better than other scores (National Early Warning Score 2, International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Comprehensive Clinical Characterisation Collaboration score) calculated using only parameters measured on admission, but it overestimated the risk of escalation (calibration slope = 0.7). A bespoke daily SARS-CoV-2 escalation risk prediction score can predict the need for clinical escalation better than a generic early warning score or a single estimation of risk calculated at admission.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Cohort Studies , Intensive Care Units , Hospitalization , Retrospective Studies
10.
Br J Haematol ; 199(5): 728-738, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36122574

ABSTRACT

This analysis is the largest population-based study to date to provide contemporary and comprehensive epidemiological estimates of all third edition of the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O-3) coded Langerhans cell histiocytosis (LCH) from England. People of all ages were identified from the National Cancer Registration Dataset using ICD-O-3 morphologies 9751-9754 for neoplasms diagnosed in 2013-2019. A total of 658 patients were identified, of whom 324 (49%) were children aged <15 years. The age-standardised incidence rate was 4.46 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.99-4.98) per million children and 1.06 (95% CI 0.94-1.18) per million adults aged ≥15 years. Prevalence of LCH was 9.95 (95% CI 9.14-10.81) per million persons at the end of 2019. The 1-year overall survival (OS) was 99% (95% CI 97%-100%) for children and 90% (95% CI 87%-93%) for adults. Those aged ≥60 years had poorer OS than those aged <15 years (hazard ratio [HR] 22.12, 95% CI 7.10-68.94; p < 0.001). People in deprived areas had lower OS than those in the least deprived areas (HR 5.36, 95% CI 1.16-24.87; p = 0.03). There will inevitably be other environmental factors and associations yet to be identified, and the continued standardised data collection will allow further evaluation of data over time. This will be increasingly important with developments in LCH management following the large collaborative international trials such as LCH IV.


Subject(s)
Histiocytosis, Langerhans-Cell , Neoplasms , Child , Adult , Humans , Incidence , Prevalence , Histiocytosis, Langerhans-Cell/epidemiology , Histiocytosis, Langerhans-Cell/therapy , Registries , Neoplasms/epidemiology
11.
Ann Surg ; 276(3): e177-e184, 2022 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35838409

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of current guidelines by reporting weekly postoperative postdischarge venous thromboembolism (VTE) rates. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Disparity exists between the postoperative thromboprophylaxis duration colectomy patients receive based on surgical indication, where malignant resections routinely receive 28 days extended thromboprophylaxis into the postdischarge period and benign resections do not. METHODS: English national cohort study of colectomy patients between 2010 and 2019 using linked primary (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) and secondary (Hospital Episode Statistics) care data. Stratified by admission type and surgical indication, absolute incidence rates (IRs) per 1000 person-years and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) for postdischarge VTE were calculated for the first 4 weeks following resection and postdischarge VTE IRs for each postoperative week to 12 weeks postoperative. RESULTS: Of 104,744 patients, 663 (0.63%) developed postdischarge VTE within 12 weeks after colectomy. Postdischarge VTE IRs per 1000 person-years for the first 4 weeks postoperative were low following elective resections [benign: 20.66, 95% confidence interval (CI): 13.73-31.08; malignant: 28.95, 95% CI: 23.09-36.31] and higher following emergency resections (benign: 47.31, 95% CI: 34.43-65.02; malignant: 107.18, 95% CI: 78.62-146.12). Compared with elective malignant resections, there was no difference in postdischarge VTE risk within 4 weeks following elective benign colectomy (aIRR=0.92, 95% CI: 0.56-1.50). However, postdischarge VTE risks within 4 weeks following emergency resections were significantly greater for benign (aIRR=1.89, 95% CI: 1.22-2.94) and malignant (aIRR=3.13, 95% CI: 2.06-4.76) indications compared with elective malignant colectomy. CONCLUSIONS: Postdischarge VTE risk within 4 weeks of colectomy is ∼2-fold greater following emergency benign compared with elective malignant resections, suggesting emergency benign colectomy patients may benefit from extended VTE prophylaxis.


Subject(s)
Venous Thromboembolism , Aftercare , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Cohort Studies , Colectomy/adverse effects , Humans , Patient Discharge , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Risk Factors , Venous Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control
12.
Radiology ; 302(2): 460-469, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34519573

ABSTRACT

Background Radiographic severity may help predict patient deterioration and outcomes from COVID-19 pneumonia. Purpose To assess the reliability and reproducibility of three chest radiograph reporting systems (radiographic assessment of lung edema [RALE], Brixia, and percentage opacification) in patients with proven SARS-CoV-2 infection and examine the ability of these scores to predict adverse outcomes both alone and in conjunction with two clinical scoring systems, National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium: Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium (ISARIC-4C) mortality. Materials and Methods This retrospective cohort study used routinely collected clinical data of patients with polymerase chain reaction-positive SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted to a single center from February 2020 through July 2020. Initial chest radiographs were scored for RALE, Brixia, and percentage opacification by one of three radiologists. Intra- and interreader agreement were assessed with intraclass correlation coefficients. The rate of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) or death up to 60 days after scored chest radiograph was estimated. NEWS2 and ISARIC-4C mortality at hospital admission were calculated. Daily risk for admission to ICU or death was modeled with Cox proportional hazards models that incorporated the chest radiograph scores adjusted for NEWS2 or ISARIC-4C mortality. Results Admission chest radiographs of 50 patients (mean age, 74 years ± 16 [standard deviation]; 28 men) were scored by all three radiologists, with good interreader reliability for all scores, as follows: intraclass correlation coefficients were 0.87 for RALE (95% CI: 0.80, 0.92), 0.86 for Brixia (95% CI: 0.76, 0.92), and 0.72 for percentage opacification (95% CI: 0.48, 0.85). Of 751 patients with a chest radiograph, those with greater than 75% opacification had a median time to ICU admission or death of just 1-2 days. Among 628 patients for whom data were available (median age, 76 years [interquartile range, 61-84 years]; 344 men), opacification of 51%-75% increased risk for ICU admission or death by twofold (hazard ratio, 2.2; 95% CI: 1.6, 2.8), and opacification greater than 75% increased ICU risk by fourfold (hazard ratio, 4.0; 95% CI: 3.4, 4.7) compared with opacification of 0%-25%, when adjusted for NEWS2 score. Conclusion Brixia, radiographic assessment of lung edema, and percentage opacification scores all reliably helped predict adverse outcomes in SARS-CoV-2 infection. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Little in this issue.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Radiography/methods , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Reproducibility of Results , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2 , Severity of Illness Index
13.
J Intern Med ; 291(4): 493-504, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34875131

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a rare hyper-inflammatory condition with poor outcomes. OBJECTIVES: Few population-based estimates of the incidence and survival in adults exist. We aimed to provide these data for England. METHODS: We used population-based linked data from primary care, secondary care, cancer registries and mortality databases in England to identify people diagnosed with HLH between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2016. We calculated annual incidence rates by age and sex, modelled change in incidence over time with Poisson regression, calculated overall 1-year survival using Kaplan-Meier methods and estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of death using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: We identified 214 patients with HLH. The reported age and sex-adjusted incidence increased twofold over the period, from around one to around two per million. Incidence was highest in those below 1 year (14.6 per million) and ≥75 years (2.2 per million), and lowest in those aged 15-44 years (0.8 per million). One-year survival varied by age and sex from 77% (95% confidence interval [CI] 63%-86%) in those <15 years to 30% (95% CI 14%-49%) in those ≥75. In patients with haematological cancer, the adjusted HR for death was 2.60 (95% CI 1.45-4.66) compared to patients with no malignant or rheumatological disease. CONCLUSION: The incidence of HLH diagnosis in England has increased between 2000 and 2016 and occurs in all ages with varying underlying diseases. One-year survival varies substantially, being particularly poor in those aged over 75 years and those with haematological malignancy.


Subject(s)
Lymphohistiocytosis, Hemophagocytic , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Humans , Incidence , Lymphohistiocytosis, Hemophagocytic/diagnosis , Lymphohistiocytosis, Hemophagocytic/epidemiology , Proportional Hazards Models , Registries , Young Adult
14.
Int J Colorectal Dis ; 37(3): 607-616, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34894289

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with cirrhosis undergoing colectomy have a higher risk of postoperative mortality, but contemporary estimates are lacking and data on associated risk and longer term outcomes are limited. This study aimed to quantify the risk of mortality following colectomy by urgency of surgery and stage of cirrhosis. DATA SOURCES: Linked primary and secondary-care electronic healthcare data from England were used to identify all patients undergoing colectomy from January 2001 to December 2017. These patients were classified by the absence or presence of cirrhosis and severity. Case fatality rates at 90 days and 1 year were calculated, and cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratio of postoperative mortality controlling for age, gender and co-morbidity. RESULTS: Of the total, 36,380 patients undergoing colectomy, 248 (0.7%) had liver cirrhosis, and 70% of those had compensated cirrhosis. Following elective colectomy, 90-day case fatality was 4% in those without cirrhosis, 7% in compensated cirrhosis and 10% in decompensated cirrhosis. Following emergency colectomy, 90-day case fatality was higher; it was 16% in those without cirrhosis, 35% in compensated cirrhosis and 41% in decompensated cirrhosis. This corresponded to an adjusted 2.57 fold (95% CI 1.75-3.76) and 3.43 fold (95% CI 2.02-5.83) increased mortality risk in those with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis, respectively. This higher case fatality in patients with cirrhosis persisted at 1 year. CONCLUSION: Patients with cirrhosis undergoing emergency colectomy have a higher mortality risk than those undergoing elective colectomy both at 90 days and 1 year. The greatest mortality risk at 90 days was in those with decompensation undergoing emergency surgery.


Subject(s)
Colectomy , Elective Surgical Procedures , Cohort Studies , Colectomy/adverse effects , England/epidemiology , Humans , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/surgery , Retrospective Studies
15.
Colorectal Dis ; 24(11): 1405-1415, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35733416

ABSTRACT

AIM: It is important for patient safety to assess if international changes in perioperative care, such as the focus on venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention and minimally invasive surgery, have reduced the high post colectomy VTE risks previously reported. This study assesses the impact of changes in perioperative care on VTE risk following colorectal resection. METHOD: This was a population-based cohort study of colectomy patients in England between 2000 and 2019 using a national database of linked primary (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) and secondary (Hospital Episode Statistics) care data. Within 30 days following colectomy, absolute VTE rates per 1000 person-years and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) using Poisson regression for the per year change in VTE risk were calculated. RESULTS: Of 183 791 patients, 1337 (0.73%) developed 30-day postoperative VTE. Overall, VTE rates reduced over the 20-year study period following elective (relative risk reduction 31.25%, 95% CI 5.69%-49.88%) but not emergency surgery. Similarly, yearly changes in VTE risk reduced following minimally invasive resections (elective benign, aIRR 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.97; elective malignant, aIRR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91-0.98; and emergency benign, aIRR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-1.00) but not following open resections. There was a per year VTE risk increase following open emergency malignant resections (aIRR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04). CONCLUSION: Yearly VTE risks reduced following minimally invasive surgeries in the elective setting yet in contrast were static following open elective colectomies, and following emergency malignant resections increased by almost 2% per year. To reduce VTE risk, further efforts are required to implement advances in surgical care for those having emergency and/or open surgery.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Venous Thromboembolism , Humans , Venous Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Incidence , Cohort Studies , Risk Factors , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Colorectal Neoplasms/complications
16.
Br J Haematol ; 194(6): 1039-1044, 2021 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34386978

ABSTRACT

We assessed the validity of coded healthcare data to identify cases of haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH). Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) identified 127 cases within five hospital Trusts 2013-2018 using ICD-10 codes D76.1, D76.2 and D76.3. Hospital records were reviewed to validate diagnoses. Out of 74 patients, 73 were coded D76.1 or D76.2 (positive predictive value 89·0% [95% Confidence Interval {CI} 80·2-94·9%]) with confirmed/probable HLH. For cases considered not HLH, 44/53 were coded D76.3 (negative predictive value 97·8% [95% CI 88·2-99·9%]). D76.1 or D76.2 had 68% sensitivity in detecting HLH compared to an established active case-finding HLH register in Sheffield. Office for National Statistics (ONS) mortality data (2003-2018) identified 698 patients coded D76.1, D76.2 and D76.3 on death certificates. Five hundred and forty-one were coded D76.1 or D76.2 of whom 524 (96·9%) had HLH in the free-text cause of death. Of 157 coded D76.3, 66 (42·0%) had HLH in free text. D76.1 and D76.2 codes reliably identify HLH cases, and provide a lower bound on incidence. Non-concordance between D76.3 and HLH excludes D76.3 as an ascertainment source from HES. Our results suggest electronic healthcare data in England can enable population-wide registration and analysis of HLH for future research.


Subject(s)
Lymphohistiocytosis, Hemophagocytic/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , England/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Lymphohistiocytosis, Hemophagocytic/diagnosis , Male , Middle Aged , Registries , Young Adult
17.
Dis Colon Rectum ; 64(4): 484-496, 2021 04 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33496485

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer has the second highest mortality of any malignancy, and venous thromboembolism is a major postoperative complication. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the variation in incidence of venous thromboembolism after colorectal cancer resection. DATA SOURCES: Following PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines (PROSPERO, ID: CRD42019148828), Medline and Embase databases were searched from database inception to August 2019 including 3 other registered medical databases. STUDY SELECTION: Two blinded reviewers screened studies with a third reviewer adjudicating any discordance. Eligibility criteria: Patients post colorectal cancer resection aged ≥18 years. Exclusion criteria: Patients undergoing completely endoscopic surgery and those without cancer resection. Selected studies were randomized controlled trials and population-based database/registry cohorts. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Thirty- and 90-day incidence rates of venous thromboembolism per 1000 person-years following colorectal cancer surgery. RESULTS: Of 6441 studies retrieved, 28 met inclusion criteria. Eighteen were available for meta-analysis reporting on 539,390 patients. Pooled 30- and 90-day incidence rates of venous thromboembolism following resection were 195 (95% CI, 148-256, I2 99.1%) and 91 (95% CI, 56-146, I2 99.2%) per 1000 person-years. When separated by United Nations Geoscheme Areas, differences in the incidence of postoperative venous thromboembolism were observed with 30- and 90-day pooled rates per 1000 person-years of 284 (95% CI, 238-339) and 121 (95% CI, 82-179) in the Americas and 71 (95% CI, 60-84) and 57 (95% CI, 47-69) in Europe. LIMITATIONS: A high degree of heterogeneity was observed within meta-analyses attributable to large cohorts minimizing within-study variance. CONCLUSION: The incidence of venous thromboembolism following colorectal cancer resection is high and remains so more than 1 month after surgery. There is clear disparity between the incidence of venous thromboembolism after colorectal cancer surgery by global region. More robust population studies are required to further investigate these geographical differences to determine valid regional incidence rates of venous thromboembolism following colorectal cancer resection.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/surgery , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Adult , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Databases, Factual , Geography/trends , Humans , Incidence , Observational Studies as Topic , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Pulmonary Embolism/diagnosis , Pulmonary Embolism/epidemiology , Pulmonary Embolism/etiology , Pulmonary Embolism/prevention & control , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Risk Assessment , Venous Thromboembolism/diagnosis , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thrombosis/diagnosis , Venous Thrombosis/epidemiology , Venous Thrombosis/etiology , Venous Thrombosis/prevention & control
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