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1.
Psychol Med ; 53(2): 408-418, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33952358

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop, validate and compare the performance of models predicting post-treatment outcomes for depressed adults based on pre-treatment data. METHODS: Individual patient data from all six eligible randomised controlled trials were used to develop (k = 3, n = 1722) and test (k = 3, n = 918) nine models. Predictors included depressive and anxiety symptoms, social support, life events and alcohol use. Weighted sum scores were developed using coefficient weights derived from network centrality statistics (models 1-3) and factor loadings from a confirmatory factor analysis (model 4). Unweighted sum score models were tested using elastic net regularised (ENR) and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression (models 5 and 6). Individual items were then included in ENR and OLS (models 7 and 8). All models were compared to one another and to a null model (mean post-baseline Beck Depression Inventory Second Edition (BDI-II) score in the training data: model 9). Primary outcome: BDI-II scores at 3-4 months. RESULTS: Models 1-7 all outperformed the null model and model 8. Model performance was very similar across models 1-6, meaning that differential weights applied to the baseline sum scores had little impact. CONCLUSIONS: Any of the modelling techniques (models 1-7) could be used to inform prognostic predictions for depressed adults with differences in the proportions of patients reaching remission based on the predicted severity of depressive symptoms post-treatment. However, the majority of variance in prognosis remained unexplained. It may be necessary to include a broader range of biopsychosocial variables to better adjudicate between competing models, and to derive models with greater clinical utility for treatment-seeking adults with depression.


Subject(s)
Anxiety , Depression , Humans , Adult , Depression/psychology , Prognosis , Treatment Outcome , Psychiatric Status Rating Scales
2.
BMC Med ; 19(1): 109, 2021 05 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33952286

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Depression is commonly perceived as a single underlying disease with a number of potential treatment options. However, patients with major depression differ dramatically in their symptom presentation and comorbidities, e.g. with anxiety disorders. There are also large variations in treatment outcomes and associations of some anxiety comorbidities with poorer prognoses, but limited understanding as to why, and little information to inform the clinical management of depression. There is a need to improve our understanding of depression, incorporating anxiety comorbidity, and consider the association of a wide range of symptoms with treatment outcomes. METHOD: Individual patient data from six RCTs of depressed patients (total n = 2858) were used to estimate the differential impact symptoms have on outcomes at three post intervention time points using individual items and sum scores. Symptom networks (graphical Gaussian model) were estimated to explore the functional relations among symptoms of depression and anxiety and compare networks for treatment remitters and those with persistent symptoms to identify potential prognostic indicators. RESULTS: Item-level prediction performed similarly to sum scores when predicting outcomes at 3 to 4 months and 6 to 8 months, but outperformed sum scores for 9 to 12 months. Pessimism emerged as the most important predictive symptom (relative to all other symptoms), across these time points. In the network structure at study entry, symptoms clustered into physical symptoms, cognitive symptoms, and anxiety symptoms. Sadness, pessimism, and indecision acted as bridges between communities, with sadness and failure/worthlessness being the most central (i.e. interconnected) symptoms. Connectivity of networks at study entry did not differ for future remitters vs. those with persistent symptoms. CONCLUSION: The relative importance of specific symptoms in association with outcomes and the interactions within the network highlight the value of transdiagnostic assessment and formulation of symptoms to both treatment and prognosis. We discuss the potential for complementary statistical approaches to improve our understanding of psychopathology.


Subject(s)
Depression , Depressive Disorder, Major , Adult , Anxiety/diagnosis , Anxiety/epidemiology , Anxiety Disorders , Depression/diagnosis , Depression/epidemiology , Humans , Prognosis
3.
Ecotoxicology ; 29(10): 1565-1589, 2020 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33170395

ABSTRACT

Mercury (Hg) pollution is an environmental problem that adversely affects human and ecosystem health at local, regional, and global scales-including within New York State. More than two-thirds of the Hg currently released to the environment originates, either directly or indirectly, from human activities. Since the early 1800s, global atmospheric Hg concentrations have increased by three- to eight-fold over natural levels. In the U.S., atmospheric emissions and point-source releases to waterways increased following industrialization into the mid-1980s. Since then, water discharges have largely been curtailed. As a result, Hg emissions, atmospheric concentrations, and deposition over the past few decades have declined across the eastern U.S. Despite these decreases, Hg pollution persists. To inform policy efforts and to advance public understanding, the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) sponsored a scientific synthesis of information on Hg in New York State. This effort includes 23 papers focused on Hg in atmospheric deposition, water, fish, and wildlife published in Ecotoxicology. New York State experiences Hg contamination largely due to atmospheric deposition. Some landscapes are inherently sensitive to Hg inputs driven by the transport of inorganic Hg to zones of methylation, the conversion of inorganic Hg to methylmercury, and the bioaccumulation and biomagnification along food webs. Mercury concentrations exceed human and ecological risk thresholds in many areas of New York State, particularly the Adirondacks, Catskills, and parts of Long Island. Mercury concentrations in some biota have declined in the Eastern Great Lakes Lowlands and the Northeastern Highlands over the last four decades, concurrent with decreases in water releases and air emissions from regional and U.S. sources. However, widespread changes have not occurred in other ecoregions of New York State. While the timing and magnitude of the response of Hg levels in biota varies, policies expected to further diminish Hg emissions should continue to decrease Hg concentrations in food webs, yielding benefits to the fish, wildlife, and people of New York State. Anticipated improvements in the Hg status of aquatic ecosystems are likely to be greatest for inland surface waters and should be roughly proportional to declines in atmospheric Hg deposition. Efforts that advance recovery from Hg pollution in recent years have yielded significant progress, but Hg remains a pollutant of concern. Indeed, due to this extensive compilation of Hg observations in biota, it appears that the extent and intensity of the contamination on the New York landscape and waterscape is greater than previously recognized. Understanding the extent of Hg contamination and recovery following decreases in atmospheric Hg deposition will require further study, underscoring the need to continue existing monitoring efforts.


Subject(s)
Environmental Monitoring , Environmental Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Mercury/analysis , Environmental Pollutants/analysis , Humans , Lakes , Methylmercury Compounds , New York
4.
Phys Rev Lett ; 123(10): 105002, 2019 Sep 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31573282

ABSTRACT

We observe plasma heating due to collisional diffusion across a separatrix when a magnesium ion column in a Penning-Malmberg trap is cyclically pushed back and forth across a partial trapping barrier. The barrier is an externally applied axisymmetric "squeeze" potential, which creates a velocity separatrix between trapped and passing particles. Weak ion-ion collisions then cause separatrix crossings, leading to irreversible heating. The heating rate scales as the square root of the oscillation rate times the collision frequency and thus can be dominant for low-collisionality plasmas. The particle velocity distribution function is measured with coherent laser induced fluorescence and shows passing and trapped particles having an out-of-phase response to the forced plasma oscillations.

5.
Phys Rev Lett ; 121(23): 235004, 2018 Dec 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30576190

ABSTRACT

Quantitative experiments on the parametric decay instability of near-acoustic plasma waves provide strong evidence that trapped particles reduce the instability threshold below fluid models. At low temperatures, the broad characteristics of the parametric instability are determined by the frequency detuning of the pump and daughter wave, and the wave-wave coupling strength, surprisingly consistent with cold fluid, three-wave theories. However, at higher temperatures, trapped particle effects dominate, and the pump wave becomes unstable at half the threshold pump wave amplitude with similar exponential growth rates as for a cold plasma.

6.
Osteoarthritis Cartilage ; 25(3): 406-412, 2017 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27746376

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The role of inflammation in structural and symptomatic osteoarthritis (OA) remains unclear. One key mediator of inflammation is the chemokine CCL2, primarily responsible for attracting monocytes to sites of injury. We investigated the role of CCL2 and its receptor CCR2 in experimental OA. DESIGN: OA was induced in 10 weeks old male wild type (WT), Ccl2-/- and Ccr2-/- mice, by destabilisation of the medial meniscus (DMM). RNA was extracted from whole joints at 6 h and 7 days post-surgery and examined by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Gene expression changes between naïve and DMM-operated mice were compared. Chondropathy scores, from mice at 8, 12, 16 and 20 weeks post DMM were calculated using modified Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI) grading systems. Changes in hind paw weight distribution, as a measure of pain, were assessed by Linton incapacitance. RESULTS: Absence of CCL2 strongly suppressed (>90%) selective inflammatory response genes in the joint 6 h post DMM, including arginase 1, prostaglandin synthase 2, nitric oxide synthase 2 and inhibin A. IL6, MMP3 and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1 were also significantly suppressed. Similar trends were also observed in the absence of CCR2. A lower average chondropathy score was observed in both Ccl2-/- and Ccr2-/- mice at 12, 16 and 20 weeks post DMM compared with WT mice, but this was only statistically significant at 20 weeks in Ccr2-/- mice. Pain-related behaviour in Ccl2-/- and Ccr2-/- mice post DMM was delayed in onset. CONCLUSION: The CCL2/CCR2 axis plays an important role in the development of pain in murine OA, but contributes little to cartilage damage.


Subject(s)
Chemokine CCL2/metabolism , Osteoarthritis/metabolism , Pain/metabolism , Receptors, CCR2/metabolism , Animals , Disease Models, Animal , Gene Expression , Male , Mice , Mice, Inbred C57BL , Mice, Knockout , Osteoarthritis/etiology , Osteoarthritis/pathology , Pain/etiology , Pain/pathology , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction
7.
Am J Transplant ; 16(5): 1358-64, 2016 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26696401

ABSTRACT

In transplantation, immunosuppression has been directed at controlling acute responses, but treatment of chronic rejection has been ineffective. It is possible that factors that have previously been unaccounted for, such as exposure to inhaled pollution, ultraviolet light, or loss of the normal equilibrium between the gut immune system and the outside environment may be responsible for shifting immune responses to an effector/inflammatory phenotype, which leads to loss of self-tolerance and graft acceptance, and a shift towards autoimmunity and chronic rejection. Cells of the immune system are in a constant balance of effector response, regulation, and quiescence. Endogenous and exogenous signals can shift this balance through the aryl hydrocarbon receptor, which serves as a thermostat to modulate the response one way or the other, both at mucosal surfaces of interface organs to the outside environment, and in the internal milieu. Better understanding of this balance will identify a target for maintenance of self-tolerance and continued graft acceptance in patients who have achieved a "steady state" after transplantation.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Graft Rejection/etiology , Immune Tolerance/immunology , Organ Transplantation/adverse effects , Animals , Humans
8.
Phys Rev Lett ; 117(15): 155001, 2016 Oct 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27768331

ABSTRACT

This paper presents the first experimental confirmation of a new theory predicting enhanced drag due to long-range collisions in a magnetized plasma. The experiments measure damping of Langmuir waves in a multispecies pure ion plasma, which is dominated by interspecies collisional drag in certain regimes. The measured damping rates in these regimes exceed classical predictions of collisional drag damping by as much as an order of magnitude, but agree with the new theory.

9.
Gene Ther ; 22(10): 802-10, 2015 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26005860

ABSTRACT

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer in men of the western world. To date, no effective treatment exists for metastatic prostate cancer and consequently, there is an urgent need to develop new and improved therapeutics. In recent years, the therapeutic potential of RNA interference (RNAi) has been extensively explored in a wide range of diseases including prostate cancer using numerous gene delivery vectors. The aims of this study were to investigate the ability of a non-viral modified cyclodextrin (CD) vector to deliver siRNA to the highly metastatic PC-3 prostate cancer cell line, to quantify the resulting knockdown of the two target genes (RelA and SRF) and to study the effects of the silencing on metastasis. Data from a Matrigel in vitro invasion assay indicated that the silencing of the target genes achieved by the CD vector resulted in significant reductions (P=0.0001) in the metastatic potential of these cells. As the silencing of these target genes was shown not to have a negative impact on cell viability, we hypothesise that the mechanism of invasion inhibition is due, in part, to the significant reduction observed (P⩽0.0001) in the level of pro-inflammatory cytokine, MMP9, which is known to be implicated in the metastasis of prostate cancer.


Subject(s)
Cyclodextrins , Genetic Vectors , NF-kappa B/genetics , Prostatic Neoplasms/therapy , RNA, Small Interfering/administration & dosage , Serum Response Factor/genetics , Transcription Factor RelA/genetics , Cell Line, Tumor , Humans , Male , Neoplasm Invasiveness/genetics , Prostatic Neoplasms/genetics , Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology , RNA Interference , RNA, Small Interfering/genetics
10.
Osteoarthritis Cartilage ; 23(4): 616-28, 2015 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25545425

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Identify gene changes in articular cartilage of the medial tibial plateau (MTP) at 2, 4 and 8 weeks after destabilisation of the medial meniscus (DMM) in mice. Compare our data with previously published datasets to ascertain dysregulated pathways and genes in osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: RNA was extracted from the ipsilateral and contralateral MTP cartilage, amplified, labelled and hybridized on Illumina WGv2 microarrays. Results were confirmed by real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for selected genes. RESULTS: Transcriptional analysis and network reconstruction revealed changes in extracellular matrix and cytoskeletal genes induced by DMM. TGFß signalling pathway and complement and coagulation cascade genes were regulated at 2 weeks. Fibronectin (Fn1) is a hub in a reconstructed network at 2 weeks. Regulated genes decrease over time. By 8 weeks fibromodulin (Fmod) and tenascin N (Tnn) are the only dysregulated genes present in the DMM operated knees. Comparison with human and rodent published gene sets identified genes overlapping between our array and eight other studies. CONCLUSIONS: Cartilage contributes a minute percentage to the RNA extracted from the whole joint (<0.2%), yet is sensitive to changes in gene expression post-DMM. The post-DMM transcriptional reprogramming wanes over time dissipating by 8 weeks. Common pathways between published gene sets include focal adhesion, regulation of actin cytoskeleton and TGFß. Common genes include Jagged 1 (Jag1), Tetraspanin 2 (Tspan2), neuroblastoma, suppression of tumourigenicity 1 (Nbl1) and N-myc downstream regulated gene 2 (Ndrg2). The concomitant genes and pathways we identify may warrant further investigation as biomarkers or modulators of OA.


Subject(s)
Cartilage, Articular/metabolism , Menisci, Tibial/metabolism , Microarray Analysis/methods , Osteoarthritis, Knee/etiology , Osteoarthritis, Knee/metabolism , Signal Transduction/physiology , Transcription, Genetic/physiology , Wounds and Injuries/complications , Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing , Animals , Calcium-Binding Proteins/metabolism , Cartilage, Articular/pathology , Cell Cycle Proteins , Disease Models, Animal , Extracellular Matrix Proteins/metabolism , Fibromodulin , Fibronectins/metabolism , Intercellular Signaling Peptides and Proteins/metabolism , Jagged-1 Protein , Male , Membrane Proteins/metabolism , Menisci, Tibial/pathology , Mice , Mice, Inbred C57BL , Nerve Tissue Proteins/metabolism , Osteoarthritis, Knee/pathology , Proteins/metabolism , Proteoglycans/metabolism , Serrate-Jagged Proteins , Signal Transduction/genetics , Tenascin/metabolism , Tetraspanins/metabolism , Transforming Growth Factor beta/metabolism
11.
Phys Rev Lett ; 112(5): 055003, 2014 Feb 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24580605

ABSTRACT

Experiments and theory characterize a parametric decay instability between plasma drift waves when the nonlinear coupling is modified by an electrostatic barrier. Novel mode coupling terms representing enhanced dissipation and mode phase shifts are caused by chaotic separatrix crossings on the wave-ruffled separatrix. Experimental determination of these coupling terms is in broad agreement with new chaotic neoclassical transport analyses.

12.
Phys Rev Lett ; 112(11): 115003, 2014 Mar 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24702382

ABSTRACT

Experiments and theory characterize a novel type of spatial Landau damping, caused by a flux of particles through the wave or rotation resonance (critical) layer. Pure electron plasma experiments demonstrate that a steady flux of particles causes algebraic damping of diocotron mode amplitudes for azimuthal modes m = 1 and m = 2, and a simple model of dynamics in the nonlinear cat's eye clarifies the observations. This flux-driven algebraic damping is related to, but distinct from, the exponential decay characteristic of Landau damping. This flux-driven damping applies also to Kelvin waves on 2D vortices, and so may be broadly relevant to plasmas and geophysical flows.

13.
Psychiatry Res ; 336: 115910, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38608539

ABSTRACT

Approximately half of generalised anxiety disorder (GAD) patients do not recover from first-line treatments, and no validated prediction models exist to inform individuals or clinicians of potential treatment benefits. This study aimed to develop and validate an accurate and explainable prediction model of post-treatment GAD symptom severity. Data from adults receiving treatment for GAD in eight Improving Access to Psychological Therapies (IAPT) services (n=15,859) were separated into training, validation and holdout datasets. Thirteen machine learning algorithms were compared using 10-fold cross-validation, against two simple clinically relevant comparison models. The best-performing model was tested on the holdout dataset and model-specific explainability measures identified the most important predictors. A Bayesian Additive Regression Trees model out-performed all comparison models (MSE=16.54 [95 % CI=15.58; 17.51]; MAE=3.19; R²=0.33, including a single predictor linear regression model: MSE=20.70 [95 % CI=19.58; 21.82]; MAE=3.94; R²=0.14). The five most important predictors were: PHQ-9 anhedonia, GAD-7 annoyance/irritability, restlessness and fear items, then the referral-assessment waiting time. The best-performing model accurately predicted post-treatment GAD symptom severity using only pre-treatment data, outperforming comparison models that approximated clinical judgement and remaining within the GAD-7 error of measurement and minimal clinically important differences. This model could inform treatment decision-making and provide desired information to clinicians and patients receiving treatment for GAD.


Subject(s)
Anxiety Disorders , Machine Learning , Severity of Illness Index , Humans , Anxiety Disorders/therapy , Adult , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Psychotherapy/methods , Bayes Theorem , Young Adult
14.
J Neonatal Perinatal Med ; 16(1): 49-57, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36530095

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome (NOWS) is a growing public health problem associated with complex and prolonged medical care and a significant resource utilization burden. The objective of this study was to compare the cost of different convalescent care settings for infants with NOWS. METHODS: Retrospective comparison study of infants with NOWS discharged directly from NICU, transferred to an acute care pediatric floor (PPCU) or rehabilitation hospital (PRH). Primary outcomes were length of stay (LOS) and cost of stay (COS). RESULTS: Infants had 1.3 (95% CI: 1.1,1.6) times and 2.5 (95% CI: 2.1,3.1) times significantly longer mean LOS for PPCU and RH discharges compared to NICU discharges. NICU discharged infants had the lowest mean COS ($25,745.00) and PRH the highest ($60,528.00), despite PRH having a lower cost per day. PRH discharged infants had higher rates of methadone and benzodiazepine and less buprenorphine exposure than NICU/PPCU discharged. Infants born to mothers on marijuana and buprenorphine had a 28% lower mean COS compared to unexposed infants. Median treatment cumulative morphine doses were six-fold higher for PRH than NICU discharge. CONCLUSIONS: Infants transferred to convalescence care facilities had longer and more costly admissions and received more medication. However, there may be a role for earlier transfer of a subset of infants at-risk for longer LOS as those exposed to methadone and/or benzodiazepines. Further studies exploring differences in resource utilization, convalescent care delivery and cost expenditure are recommended.


Subject(s)
Buprenorphine , Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome , Infant, Newborn , Infant , Humans , Child , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Retrospective Studies , Methadone , Hospitalization , Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome/drug therapy , Length of Stay , Buprenorphine/therapeutic use
15.
J Psychiatr Res ; 163: 1-8, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37178582

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Sleep disturbance is a common symptom of depression. There is conflicting evidence whether improvements in sleep might impact depressive symptoms, or whether treating the core depressive symptoms might improve sleep disturbance. This study explored the bi-directional impact of sleep and depressive symptom change among individuals receiving psychological treatment. METHODS: Session-by-session change in sleep disturbance and depressive symptom severity scores were explored in patients receiving psychological therapy for depression from Improving Access to Psychological Therapies services in England. Bi-directional change in sleep disturbance and depressive symptoms was modelled using random-intercept cross-lagged panel models with items from the PHQ-9. RESULTS: The sample included 17,732 adults that had received three or more treatment sessions. Both depressive symptoms and sleep disturbance scores decreased. Between initial timepoints, higher sleep disturbance was associated with lower depression scores, but after this point positive cross-lagged effects were observed for both the impact of sleep disturbance on later depressive symptoms, and depressive symptoms on later sleep disturbance scores. The magnitude of effects suggested depressive symptoms may have more impact on sleep than the reverse, and this effect was larger in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Findings provide evidence that psychological therapy for depression results in improvements in core depressive symptoms and sleep disturbance. There was some evidence that depressive symptoms may have more impact on sleep disturbance scores at the next therapy session, than sleep disturbance does on later depressive symptoms. Targeting the core symptoms of depression initially may optimise outcomes, but further research is needed to elucidate these relationships.


Subject(s)
Depression , Sleep Wake Disorders , Adult , Humans , Depression/therapy , Depression/complications , Sleep Wake Disorders/psychology , England , Sleep
16.
AJNR Am J Neuroradiol ; 43(6): 817-822, 2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35589138

ABSTRACT

Phosphaturic mesenchymal tumors (PMTs) are neoplasms associated with tumor-induced osteomalacia. Patients typically present with pathologic fractures in the setting of chronic hypophosphatemic hyperphosphaturic osteomalacia, as well as gradual muscle weakness, bone pain, and difficulty walking. Because of their rarity and nonspecific symptomatology, phosphaturic mesenchymal tumors often go undiagnosed for years. Even when discovered on imaging, the tumors can be diagnostically challenging for radiologists. Phosphaturic mesenchymal tumors often tend to be small and can be located nearly anywhere in the body, and, therefore, can mimic many other tumors. This case highlights the imaging and pathologic markers of a phosphaturic mesenchymal tumor, often found in a patient with tumor-induced osteomalacia.


Subject(s)
Mesenchymoma , Neoplasms, Connective Tissue , Osteomalacia , Paraneoplastic Syndromes , Humans , Mesenchymoma/diagnosis , Mesenchymoma/diagnostic imaging , Neoplasms, Connective Tissue/diagnosis , Neoplasms, Connective Tissue/diagnostic imaging , Osteomalacia/diagnostic imaging , Osteomalacia/etiology , Paraneoplastic Syndromes/complications , Paraneoplastic Syndromes/diagnostic imaging
17.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 10881, 2022 06 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35760940

ABSTRACT

Psychotherapy is an effective treatment for many common mental health problems, but the mechanisms of action and processes of change are unclear, perhaps driven by the focus on a single diagnosis which does not reflect the heterogeneous symptom experiences of many patients. The objective of this study was to better understand therapeutic change, by illustrating how symptoms evolve and interact during psychotherapy. Data from 113,608 patients from psychological therapy services who completed depression and anxiety symptom measures across three to six therapy sessions were analysed. A panel graphical vector-autoregression model was estimated in a model development sample (N = 68,165) and generalizability was tested in a confirmatory model, fitted to a separate (hold-out) sample of patients (N = 45,443). The model displayed an excellent fit and replicated in the confirmatory holdout sample. First, we found that nearly all symptoms were statistically related to each other (i.e. dense connectivity), indicating that no one symptom or association drives change. Second, the structure of symptom interrelations which emerged did not change across sessions. These findings provide a dynamic view of the process of symptom change during psychotherapy and give rise to several causal hypotheses relating to structure, mechanism, and process.


Subject(s)
Anxiety , Psychotherapy , Anxiety/psychology , Anxiety/therapy , Anxiety Disorders/psychology , Humans , Treatment Outcome
18.
Environ Pollut ; 281: 117110, 2021 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33872891

ABSTRACT

Acidic deposition contributes to a range of environmental impacts across forested landscapes, including acidification of soil and drainage water, toxic aluminum mobilization, depletion of available soil nutrient cations, and impacts to forest and aquatic species health and biodiversity. In response to decreasing levels of acidic deposition, soils and drainage waters in some regions of North America have become gradually less acidic. Thresholds of atmospheric deposition at which adverse ecological effects are manifested are called critical loads (CLs) and/or target loads (TLs). Target loads are developed based on approaches that account for spatial and temporal aspects of acidification and recovery. Exceedance represents the extent to which current or projected future levels of acidic deposition exceed the level expected to cause ecological harm. We report TLs of sulfur (S) and nitrogen (N) deposition and the potential for ecosystem recovery of watershed soils and streams in the Adirondack region of New York State, resources that have been less thoroughly investigated than lakes. Regional TLs were calculated by statistical extrapolation of hindcast and forecast simulations of 25 watersheds using the process-based model PnET-BGC coupled with empirical observations of stream hydrology and established sensitivity of sugar maple (Acer saccharum) to soil base saturation and brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) to stream acid neutralizing capacity (ANC). Historical impacts and the expected recovery timeline of regional soil and stream chemistry and fish community condition within the Adirondack Park were evaluated. Analysis suggests that many low-order Adirondack streams and associated watershed soils have low TLs (<40 meq/m2/yr of N + S deposition) to achieve specified benchmarks for recovery of soil base saturation or stream ANC. Acid-sensitive headwater and low-order streams and watershed soils in the region are expected to experience continued adverse effects from N and S deposition well into the future even under aggressive emissions reductions. Watershed soils and streams in the western Adirondack Park are particularly vulnerable to acidic deposition and currently in exceedance of TLs. The methods used for linking statistical and process-based models to consider chemical and biological response under varying flow conditions at the regional scale in this study can be applied to other areas of concern.


Subject(s)
Acid Rain , Soil , Animals , Ecosystem , Environmental Monitoring , New York , Nitrogen , North America , Sulfur/analysis
19.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci ; 30: e42, 2021 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34085616

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To determine whether age, gender and marital status are associated with prognosis for adults with depression who sought treatment in primary care. METHODS: Medline, Embase, PsycINFO and Cochrane Central were searched from inception to 1st December 2020 for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of adults seeking treatment for depression from their general practitioners, that used the Revised Clinical Interview Schedule so that there was uniformity in the measurement of clinical prognostic factors, and that reported on age, gender and marital status. Individual participant data were gathered from all nine eligible RCTs (N = 4864). Two-stage random-effects meta-analyses were conducted to ascertain the independent association between: (i) age, (ii) gender and (iii) marital status, and depressive symptoms at 3-4, 6-8, and 9-12 months post-baseline and remission at 3-4 months. Risk of bias was evaluated using QUIPS and quality was assessed using GRADE. PROSPERO registration: CRD42019129512. Pre-registered protocol https://osf.io/e5zup/. RESULTS: There was no evidence of an association between age and prognosis before or after adjusting for depressive 'disorder characteristics' that are associated with prognosis (symptom severity, durations of depression and anxiety, comorbid panic disorderand a history of antidepressant treatment). Difference in mean depressive symptom score at 3-4 months post-baseline per-5-year increase in age = 0(95% CI: -0.02 to 0.02). There was no evidence for a difference in prognoses for men and women at 3-4 months or 9-12 months post-baseline, but men had worse prognoses at 6-8 months (percentage difference in depressive symptoms for men compared to women: 15.08% (95% CI: 4.82 to 26.35)). However, this was largely driven by a single study that contributed data at 6-8 months and not the other time points. Further, there was little evidence for an association after adjusting for depressive 'disorder characteristics' and employment status (12.23% (-1.69 to 28.12)). Participants that were either single (percentage difference in depressive symptoms for single participants: 9.25% (95% CI: 2.78 to 16.13) or no longer married (8.02% (95% CI: 1.31 to 15.18)) had worse prognoses than those that were married, even after adjusting for depressive 'disorder characteristics' and all available confounders. CONCLUSION: Clinicians and researchers will continue to routinely record age and gender, but despite their importance for incidence and prevalence of depression, they appear to offer little information regarding prognosis. Patients that are single or no longer married may be expected to have slightly worse prognoses than those that are married. Ensuring this is recorded routinely alongside depressive 'disorder characteristics' in clinic may be important.


Subject(s)
Antidepressive Agents , Depression , Adult , Antidepressive Agents/therapeutic use , Anxiety , Depression/diagnosis , Depression/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Marital Status , Prognosis
20.
Phys Rev Lett ; 105(18): 185003, 2010 Oct 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21231112

ABSTRACT

Plasma loss due to apparatus asymmetries is a ubiquitous phenomenon in magnetic plasma confinement. When the plasma equilibrium has locally trapped particle populations partitioned by a separatrix from one another and from passing particles, the asymmetry transport is enhanced. The trapped and passing particle populations react differently to the asymmetries, leading to the standard 1/ν and sqrt[ν] transport regimes of superbanana orbit theory as particles collisionally scatter from one orbit type to another. However, when the separatrix is itself asymmetric, particles can collisionlessly transit from trapped to passing and back, leading to enhanced transport.

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