ABSTRACT
ObjectivesCOVID-19 poses a threat of loss of life, economic instability, and social disruption. We conducted a systematic review of published economic analyses to assess the direct and indirect costs of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, and to contrast these with the costs and the cost-benefit of public health surveillance, preparedness, and response measures in averting and/or responding to SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. SettingA systematic literature review was conducted to identify peer-reviewed articles estimating the cost of the COVID-19 pandemic and the cost-effectiveness of pharmaceutical or non-pharmaceutical interventions in EU/EEA/UK and OECD countries, published from the 1st of January 2020 through 22nd April 2021 in Ovid Medline and EMBASE. The cost-effectiveness of interventions was assessed through a dominance ranking matrix approach. All cost data were adjusted to the 2021 Euro, with interventions compared with the null. Primary and secondary outcome measuresDirect and indirect costs for SARS-CoV-2 and preparedness and/or response or cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness were measured. ResultsWe included data from 41 economic studies. Ten studies evaluated the cost of COVID-19 pandemic, while 31 assessed the cost-benefit of public health surveillance, preparedness, and response measures. Overall, the economic burden of SARS-CoV-2 was found to be substantial for both the general population and within specific population subgroups. Community screening, bed provision policies, investing in personal protective equipment and vaccination strategies were cost-effective, in most cases due to the representative economic value of below acceptable cost-effectiveness thresholds. Physical distancing measures were associated with health benefits; however, their cost-effectiveness was dependent on the duration, compliance and the phase of the epidemic in which it was implemented. ConclusionsSARS-CoV-2 is associated with substantial economic costs to healthcare systems, payers, and societies, both short term and long term, while interventions including testing and screening policies, vaccination and physical distancing policies were identified as those presenting cost-effective options to deal with the pandemic, dependent on population vaccination and the Re at the stage of the pandemic.
ABSTRACT
BackgroundAs mortality from COVID-19 is strongly age-dependent, we aimed to identify population subgroups at an elevated risk for adverse outcomes from COVID-19 using age/gender-adjusted data from European cohort studies with the aim to identify populations that could potentially benefit from booster vaccinations. MethodsWe performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to investigate the role of underlying medical conditions as prognostic factors for adverse outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including death, hospitalisation, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, and mechanical ventilation within three separate settings (community, hospital and ICU). Cohort studies that reported at least age and gender-adjusted data from Europe were identified through a search of peer-reviewed articles published until 11th June 2021 in Ovid Medline and Embase. Results are presented as Odds Ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%C.I.) and absolute risk differences (RD) in deaths per 1,000 COVID-19 patients. FindingsWe included 88 cohort studies with age/gender adjusted data from 6,653,207 SARS-CoV-2 patients from Europe. Hospital-based mortality was associated with high and moderate certainty evidence for solid organ tumours, diabetes mellitus, renal disease, arrhythmia, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, and obesity, while a higher risk, albeit with low certainty, was noted for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart failure. Community-based mortality was associated with a history of heart failure, stroke, diabetes, and end-stage renal disease. Evidence of high/moderate certainty revealed a strong association between hospitalisation for COVID-19 and solid organ transplant recipients, sleep apnoea, diabetes, stroke, and liver disease. InterpretationThe results confirmed the strong association between specific prognostic factors and mortality and hospital admission. Prioritisation of booster vaccinations and the implementation of non-pharmaceutical protective measures for these populations may contribute to a reduction in COVID-19 mortality, ICU and hospital admissions. FundingEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) under specific contract No. 10 ECD.11843 within Framework contract ECDC/2019/001 Lot 1B.
ABSTRACT
ObjectivesThis systematic review aims to identify the secondary attack rates (SAR) to adults and other children when children are the index cases within household settings. MethodsThis literature review assessed European-based studies published in Medline and Embase between January 2020 and January 2022 that assessed the secondary transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) within household settings. The inclusion criteria were based on the PEO framework (P-Population, E-Exposure, O-Outcome) for systematic reviews. Thus, the study population was restricted to humans within the household setting in Europe (population), in contact with pediatric index cases 1-17 years old (exposure) that led to the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 reported as either a SAR or the probability of onward infection (outcome). ResultsOf 1,819 studies originally identified, 25 met the inclusion criteria. Overall, the SAR ranged from 13% to 75% in 23 studies, while there was no evidence of secondary transmission from children to other household members in two studies. Evidence indicated that asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 index cases also have a lower SAR than those with symptoms and that younger children may have a lower SAR than adolescents (>12 years old) within household settings. ConclusionsSARS-CoV-2 secondary transmission from paediatric index cases ranged from 0% to 75%, within household settings between January 2020 and January 2022, with differences noted by age and by symptomatic/asymptomatic status of the index case. Given the anticipated endemic circulation of SARS-CoV-2, continued monitoring and assessment of household transmission is necessary.