The Decline of Small Practice in Colorectal Surgery: Practice Consolidation From 2015-2022.

INTRODUCTION: Physicians have gravitated toward larger group practice arrangements in recent years. However, consolidation trends in colorectal surgery have yet to be well described. Our objective was to assess current trends in practice consolidation within colorectal surgery and evaluate underlying demographic trends including age, gender, and geography. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cross-sectional study using the Center for Medicare Services National Downloadable File from 2015 to 2022. Colorectal surgeons were categorized by practice size and by region, gender, and age. RESULTS: From 2015 to 2022, the number of colorectal surgeons in the United States increased from 1369 to 1621 (+18.4%), while the practices with which they were affiliated remained relatively stable (693-721, +4.0%). The proportion of colorectal surgeons in groups of 1-2 members fell from 18.9% to 10.7%. Conversely, those in groups of 500+ members grew from 26.5% to 45.2% (linear trend P < 0.001). The midwest region demonstrated the highest degree of consolidation. Affiliations with group practices of 500+ members saw large increases from both female and male surgeons (+148.9% and +86.9%, respectively). New surgeons joining the field since 2015 overwhelmingly practice in larger groups (5.3% in groups of 1-2, 50.1% in groups of 500+). CONCLUSIONS: Colorectal surgeons are shifting toward larger practice affiliations. Although this change is happening across all demographic groups, it appears unevenly distributed across geography, gender, and age. New surgeons are preferentially joining large group practices.

Postoperative Surgical Site Infections: Understanding the Discordance Between Surveillance Systems.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize agreement in the ascertainment of surgical site infections (SSIs) between the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP), National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN), and administrative data. BACKGROUND: The NSQIP, NHSN, and administrative data are the primary systems used to monitor and report SSIs for the purpose of quality control and benchmarking of hospitals and surgeons. These systems have different methods for identifying SSIs. METHODS: We queried the NHSN, NSQIP, and administrative data systems for patients who had an operation at 1 of 4 hospitals within a single health system between January 2013 and September 2015. The detection of an SSI during a postoperative hospitalization was the outcome of analysis. Any SSI detected by one (or more) of these systems was analyzed by 2 reviewers to determine the presence of discrete elements of documentation constituting evidence of SSI. Concordance between the 3 systems (NHSN, NSQIP, and administrative data) was analyzed using Cohen's kappa. RESULTS: After application of appropriate exclusion criteria, a cohort of 9447 inpatient operations was analyzed. In total, 130 SSIs were detected by 1 or more of the 3 systems, with reported SSI rates of 0.5% (NHSN), 0.7% (administrative data), and 1.0% (NSQIP). Of these 130 SSIs, only 17 SSIs were reported by all 3 systems. The concordance between these 3 systems was moderate (kappa values NSQIP-NHSN = 0.50 [0.40-0.60], administrative-NHSN = 0.36 [0.24-0.47], and administrative-NSQIP = 0.47 [0.38-0.57]). Chart review found that reasons for discordance were related to issues of different criteria as well as inaccuracies. CONCLUSION: There is significant discordance in the determination of SSIs reported by the NHSN, NSQIP, and administrative data. The differences and limitations of each of these systems have to be recognized, especially when using these data for quality reports and pay for performance.

Concordance Between Registry and Administrative Data in the Determination of Comorbidity: A Multi-institutional Study.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize agreement between administrative and registry data in the determination of patient-level comorbidities. BACKGROUND: Previous research finds poor agreement between these 2 types of data in the determination of outcomes. We hypothesized that concordance between administrative and registry data would also be poor. METHODS: A cohort of inpatient operations (length of stay 1 day or greater) was obtained from a consortium of 8 hospitals. Within each hospital, National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) data were merged with intra-institutional inpatient administrative data. Twelve different comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, congestive heart failure, hemodialysis-dependence, cancer diagnosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ascites, sepsis, smoking, steroid, congestive heart failure, acute renal failure, and dyspnea) were analyzed in terms of agreement between administrative and NSQIP data. RESULTS: Forty-one thousand four hundred thirty-two inpatient surgical hospitalizations were analyzed in this study. Concordance (Cohen Kappa value) between the 2 data sources varied from 0.79 (diabetes) to 0.02 (dyspnea). Hospital variation in concordance (intersite variation) was quantified using a test of homogeneity. This test found significant intersite variation at a level of P < 0.001 for each of the comorbidities except for dialysis (P = 0.07) and acute renal failure (P = 0.19). These findings imply significant differences between hospitals in their generation of comorbidity data. CONCLUSION: This study finds significant differences in how administrative versus registry data assess patient-level comorbidity. These differences are of concern to patients, payers, and providers, each of which had a stake in the integrity of these data. Standardized definitions of comorbidity and periodic audits are necessary to ensure data accuracy and minimize bias.

The Clinical and Financial Consequences of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services' Two-Midnight Rule in Total Joint Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: To lessen the financial burden of total joint arthroplasty (TJA) and encourage shorter hospital stays, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) recently removed TKA from the inpatient-only list. This policy change now requires providers and institutions to apply the two-midnight rule (TMR) to short-stay (1-midnight) inpatient hospitalizations (SSIH). METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample from 2012 through 2016 was used to analyze trends in length of stay following elective TJA. Using publically-available policy documentation, published median Medicare payments, and National Inpatient Sample hospital costs, we analyzed the application of the TMR to SSIHs and compared the results to the previous policy environment. Specifically, we modeled 3 scenarios for all 2016 Medicare SSIHs: (1) all patients kept an extra midnight to satisfy the TMR, (2) all patients discharged as an outpatient, and (3) all patients discharged as an inpatient. RESULTS: The overall percentage of Medicare SSIHs increased significantly from 2.7% in 2012 to 17.8% in 2016 (P < .0001). Scenario 1 resulted in no change in out-of-pocket (OOP) costs to patients, no change in CMS payments, and hospital losses of $117.0 million. Scenario 2 resulted in no change in patient OOP costs, reduction in payments from CMS of $181.8 million, and hospital losses of $357.3 million. Scenario 3 resulted in no change in patient OOP costs, no change in CMS payments, and an estimated $1.71 billion of SSIH charges at risk to hospitals for audit. CONCLUSION: The results of this analysis reveal the conflict between length of stay trends following TJA and the imposition of the TMR.

Hip Disarticulation for Periprosthetic Joint Infection: Frequency, Outcome, and Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND: Currently, the largest available series of hip disarticulation (HD) procedures performed for periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) includes only 6 patients. Given the lack of data on this dreadful outcome, we sought to determine the frequency of and risk factors for HD performed for a primary diagnosis of PJI. METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample from 1998 to 2016 was used to estimate the annual incidences of HD associated with PJI, elective primary total joint arthroplasty (control group 1), and other surgical procedures associated with PJI (control group 2) using National Inpatient Sample trend weights. RESULTS: One-hundred forty-eight HDs for PJI, 2,378,313 primary total joint arthroplasty controls, and 51,580 PJI controls were identified. Median length-of-stay (11 days), proportion of patients with ≥5 comorbidities (22.8%), and median hospital costs ($25,895.60) were all greater for patients with HD compared with both control groups. The weighted frequency of HD hospitalizations increased by 366%, whereas the frequency of cases in control groups 1 and 2 increased by 93% and 310%, respectively, during the same timeframe. Upon multivariable logistic regression, age <65 years without private insurance (reference group: age ≥65 years without private insurance, odds ratio [OR]: 1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-2.24), diabetes with chronic complications (OR: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.12-3.26), and peripheral vascular disease (OR: 2.59; 95% CI: 1.49-4.48) were significantly associated with increased risk of HD among all patients with PJI. CONCLUSION: While the overall frequency of lower extremity amputations may be decreasing, our study documents an alarming increase in the frequency of HD for PJI during the study period. Patients under age 65 years without private insurance were at significantly higher risk of HD among patients with PJI.

Can a Convolutional Neural Network Classify Knee Osteoarthritis on Plain Radiographs as Accurately as Fellowship-Trained Knee Arthroplasty Surgeons?

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) is the leading cause of disability among adults in the United States. As the diagnosis is based on the accurate interpretation of knee radiographs, use of a convolutional neural network (CNN) to grade OA severity has the potential to significantly reduce variability. METHODS: Knee radiographs from consecutive patients presenting to a large academic arthroplasty practice were obtained retrospectively. These images were rated by 4 fellowship-trained knee arthroplasty surgeons using the International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) scoring system. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for surgeons alone and surgeons with a CNN that was trained using 4755 separate images were compared. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-eight posteroanterior flexion knee radiographs (576 knees) were reviewed; 131 knees were removed due to poor quality or prior TKA. Each remaining knee was rated by 4 blinded surgeons for a total of 1780 human knee ratings. The ICC among the 4 surgeons for all possible IKDC grades was 0.703 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.667-0.737). The ICC for the 4 surgeons and the trained CNN was 0.685 (95% CI 0.65-0.719). For IKDC D vs any other rating, the ICC of the 4 surgeons was 0.713 (95% CI 0.678-0.746), and the ICC of 4 surgeons and CNN was 0.697 (95% CI 0.663-0.73). CONCLUSIONS: A CNN can identify and classify knee OA as accurately as a fellowship-trained arthroplasty surgeon. This technology has the potential to reduce variability in the diagnosis and treatment of knee OA.

Single-dose perioperative mitomycin-C versus thiotepa for low-grade noninvasive bladder cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Mitomycin-C (MMC) and thiotepa are intravesical agents effective in reducing the recurrence of low-grade noninvasive bladder cancer when instilled perioperatively. No studies have compared these agents as a single-dose perioperative instillation. This study tests whether there is a difference in recurrence-free survival in patients with low-grade noninvasive bladder cancer who received intravesical MMC versus thiotepa. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective review was performed of patients who underwent cystoscopic excision of a bladder mass identified as a small, low-grade, treatment-naïve, noninvasive, wild-type urothelial carcinoma of the bladder and who received either intravesical thiotepa (30 mg/15 cc) or MMC (40 mg/20 cc) between January 1, 2002, and January 1, 2016. Data were collected for demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, operative information, surveillance, and recurrence. The primary outcome was disease-free survival. Cohorts were compared via the doubly robust estimation approach, which used logistic regression to model the probability of recurrence. RESULTS: Of 154 total patients, 84 received intravesical MMC; 70, thiotepa. No statistical differences were shown between groups for age, sex, race, body mass index, smoking status, or baseline comorbid conditions; mass size, tumor multifocality, or tumor grade; and unadjusted recurrence rates (MMC, 36.0%; thiotepa, 46.0%; p = .33) at similar median follow up (MMC, 20.4; thiotepa, 22.8 months; p = .46). The robust logistic regression analysis yielded no differences in recurrence rates between MMC and thiotepa (OR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.33-1.31]; p = .23). No episodes of myelosuppression or frozen pelvis were identified. CONCLUSIONS: As single-dose perioperative agents, both thiotepa and MMC were associated with similar recurrence-free survival rates.

Evidence of Pent-Up Demand for Total Hip and Total Knee Arthroplasty at Age 65.

BACKGROUND: Despite efforts to curtail the economic burden of total joint arthroplasty (TJA), utilization of these successful procedures continues to increase. Previous studies have provided evidence for pent-up demand (delaying necessary medical care until financially feasible) in health care as insurance status changes. We sought to determine whether evidence exists for pent-up demand in the TJA population when patients become eligible for Medicare enrollment. METHODS: The 2014 Nationwide Readmission Database was used to determine the incidence of TJA. The observed increase in incidence from age 64 to 65 was compared to the expected increase. Pent-up demand was calculated by subtracting the expected from the observed difference in frequency of TJA, and excess cost was determined by multiplying this value by the median cost of a primary TJA. The Medicare Expenditure Panel Survey Household Component was used to compare out-of-pocket (OOP) costs, access to care, and insurance coverage among patients aged 60-64 (group 1) and 66-70 (group 2). RESULTS: The expected and observed increases in TJA procedures from age 64 to 65 were 595 and 5211, respectively, resulting in pent-up demand of 4616 joint arthroplasties (1273 THA and 3343 TKA), and an excess cost of $55 million (range, $33 million-$70 million). Mean total OOP expenses for patients in group 1 were significantly greater ($1578.39) than patients in group 2 ($1143.63, P < .001). Despite spending more money OOP, the proportion of patients who were unable to obtain necessary medical care was significantly higher in group 1 than group 2 (4.9% vs 2.4%, P < .0001). This discrepancy was most prominent among patients with public insurance (10.6% vs 2.5%, P < .0001). CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest that patients with hip and knee osteoarthritis likely delay elective TJA until they are eligible for Medicare enrollment, resulting in significant additional financial burden to the public health system. As the population ages, it will become increasingly important for stakeholders and policy-makers to be aware of this pent-up demand for TJA procedures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic level IV.

Infectious Surgical Complications are Not Dichotomous: Characterizing Discordance Between Administrative Data and Registry Data.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize reasons for discordance between administrative data and registry data in the determination of postoperative infectious complications. BACKGROUND: Data regarding the occurrence of postoperative surgical complications are identified through either administrative or registry data. Rates of complications vary significantly between these two types of data; the reasons for this are not well-understood. METHODS: The occurrence of 30-day inpatient infectious complications (pneumonia, sepsis, surgical site infection, and urinary tract infection) was compared between the NSQIP and administrative mechanisms at 4 academic hospitals between 2012 and 2014. In each situation where the NSQIP and administrative data were discordant regarding the occurrence of a specific complication, a 2-clinician chart abstraction was performed to characterize the reasons for discordance as (i) administrative coding error, (ii) NSQIP coding error, (iii) "question of criteria", where the discordance was the result of differences in criteria, or (iv) "dually incorrect", where both data sources coded the complication incorrectly. RESULTS: The cohort included 19,163 patients undergoing surgery in 4 different academic hospitals. Rates of infectious complications varied up to 5-fold between the two data sources. A total of 717 discordant complications were identified. Of these, the greatest portion (43%) was due to "question of criteria," followed by administrative coding error (37%), NSQIP error (15%), and dually incorrect (5%). CONCLUSIONS: With a goal of improving existing mechanisms for measuring surgical quality, definitions for the occurrence of a postoperative complication need to be developed and applied consistently. Progress toward this goal will enable patients and payers to better take advantage of recent advances in healthcare data transparency.

The effect of hospital volume on resection margins in rectal cancer surgery.

BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that after controlling for case-mix differences, the rates of positive resection margin after rectal cancer surgery vary substantially in the United States and that high-volume hospitals have lower margin positivity rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients treated with oncologic resection for stage I-III rectal cancer were selected from the 1998-2010 National Cancer Data Base. Hierarchical regression models were used to calculate risk- and reliability-adjusted positive margin rates and hospital level variability in positive margin rates using Empirical Bayes techniques. RESULTS: A total of 113,113 patients were treated at 1446 hospitals. The mean overall risk- and reliability-adjusted positive margin rate was 7.3%. High-volume hospitals did not have a lower rate of adjusted margin positivity (7.4%, P = 0.75). When both case mix and hospital volume differences were factored into the model, variability in margin positivity rates increased by 9.8%, implying that referral to high-volume hospitals alone would not improve margin positivity rates. CONCLUSIONS: Rectal cancer margin positivity rates vary substantially in the United States, despite adjusting for differences in case mix. These results support standardization of surgical technique and pathologic assessment as part of a broader initiative that identifies and refers patients to higher performing hospitals rather than simply to higher volume hospitals.

Association of hospital participation in a surgical outcomes monitoring program with inpatient complications and mortality.

IMPORTANCE: Programs that analyze and report rates of surgical complications are an increasing focus of quality improvement efforts. The most comprehensive tool currently used for outcomes monitoring in the United States is the American College of Surgeons (ACS) National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). OBJECTIVE: To compare surgical outcomes experienced by patients treated at hospitals that did vs did not participate in the NSQIP. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data from the University HealthSystem Consortium from January 2009 to July 2013 were used to identify elective hospitalizations representing a broad spectrum of elective general/vascular operations in the United States. Data on hospital participation in the NSQIP were obtained through review of semiannual reports published by the ACS. Hospitalizations at any hospital that discontinued or initiated participation in the NSQIP during the study period were excluded after the date on which that hospital's status changed. A difference-in-differences approach was used to model the association between hospital-based participation in NSQIP and changes in rates of postoperative outcomes over time. EXPOSURE: Hospital participation in the NSQIP. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Risk-adjusted rates of any complications, serious complications, and mortality during a hospitalization for elective general/vascular surgery. RESULTS: The cohort included 345,357 hospitalizations occurring in 113 different academic hospitals; 172,882 (50.1%) hospitalizations were in NSQIP hospitals. Hospitalized patients were predominantly female (61.5%), with a mean age of 55.7 years. The types of procedures performed most commonly in the analyzed hospitalizations were hernia repairs (15.7%), bariatric (10.5%), mastectomy (9.7%), and cholecystectomy (9.0%). After accounting for patient risk, procedure type, underlying hospital performance, and temporal trends, the difference-in-differences model demonstrated no statistically significant differences over time between NSQIP and non-NSQIP hospitals in terms of likelihood of complications (adjusted odds ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.97-1.03), serious complications (adjusted odds ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.94-1.03), or mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.94-1.14). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: No association was found between hospital-based participation in the NSQIP and improvements in postoperative outcomes over time within a large cohort of patients undergoing elective general/vascular operations at academic hospitals in the United States. These findings suggest that a surgical outcomes reporting system does not provide a clear mechanism for quality improvement.

Patient survival after surgical treatment of rectal cancer: impact of surgeon and hospital characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Surgeon and hospital factors are associated with the survival of patients treated for rectal cancer. The relative contribution of each of these factors toward determining outcomes is poorly understood. METHODS: We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare database to analyze the outcomes of patients aged 65 years and older undergoing operative treatment for nonmetastatic rectal cancer, diagnosed in the United States between 1998 and 2007. These data were linked to a registry to identify whether the treating surgeon was a board-certified colorectal surgeon versus a noncolorectal surgeon. Hospital volume and hospital certification as a National Cancer Institute-designated Comprehensive Cancer Centers were also analyzed. The primary outcome of interest was long-term survival. RESULTS: Our data source yielded 6432 patients. Initial analysis demonstrated improved long-term survival in patients treated by higher-volume colorectal surgeons, higher-volume hospitals, teaching hospitals, and National Cancer Institute (NCI)-designated Comprehensive Cancer Centers. Based on an iterative approach to modeling the interactions between these various factors, we found a robust effect of surgeon subspecialty status, hospital volume, and NCI designation. Surgeon volume was not distinctly associated with long-term survival. CONCLUSIONS: Patients treated for rectal cancer by board-certified colorectal surgeons in centers that are higher volume and/or NCI-designated Comprehensive Cancer Centers experience better overall survival. These differences persist after adjustment for a broad range of patient and contextual risk factors, including surgeon volume. Patients and payers can use these results to identify surgeons and hospitals where outcomes are most favorable.

Dysplasia in ulcerative colitis as a predictor of unsuspected synchronous colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic surveillance of patients with ulcerative colitis aims to prevent cancer-related morbidity through the detection and treatment of dysplasia. The literature to date varies widely with regard to the importance of dysplasia as a marker for colorectal cancer at the time of colectomy. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to accurately characterize the extent to which the preoperative detection of dysplasia is associated with undetected cancer in patients with ulcerative colitis. DESIGN/PATIENTS/SETTING: A retrospective chart review was conducted of patients undergoing surgery for colitis within the Mayo Clinic Health System between August 1993 and July 2012. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patient demographics and pre- and postoperative dysplasia were tabulated. The relationship between pre- and postoperative dysplasia/cancer in surgical pathology specimens was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 2130 patients underwent abdominal colectomy or proctocolectomy; 329 patients were identified (15%) as having at least 1 focus of dysplasia preoperatively. Of these 329 patients, the majority were male (69%) with a mean age of 49.7 years. Unsuspected cancer was found in 6 surgical specimens. Indeterminate dysplasia was not associated with cancer (0/50). Preoperative low-grade dysplasia was associated with a 2% (3/141) risk of undetected cancer when present in random surveillance biopsies and a 3% (2/79) risk if detected in endoscopically visible lesions. Similarly, 3% (1/33) of patients identified preoperatively with random surveillance biopsy high-grade dysplasia harbored undetected cancer. Unsuspected dysplasia was found in 62/1801 (3%) cases without preoperative dysplasia. LIMITATIONS: This study is limited by its retrospective nature and by its lack of evaluation of the natural history of dysplastic lesions that progress to cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of dysplasia was associated with a low risk of unsuspected cancer at the time of colectomy. These findings will help inform the decision-making process for patients with ulcerative colitis who are considering intensive surveillance vs surgical intervention after a diagnosis of dysplasia.

Outpatient surgery benchmarks and practice variation patterns: Case controlled study.

BACKGROUND: Despite numerous potential benefits of outpatient surgery, there is currently a lack of national benchmarking data available for hospitals and surgeons to compare their own outcomes as they transition toward outpatient surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients who underwent 14 common general surgery operations from 2016-2020 were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database. Operations were selected based on frequency and the ability to be performed both in- and outpatient. Postoperative complications and readmissions were compared between patients who underwent inpatient vs outpatient surgery. After adjusting for patient comorbidities, multivariable models assessed the effect of patient characteristics on the odds of experiencing postoperative complications. A separate multiinstitutional study of 21 affiliated hospitals assessed practice variation. RESULTS: In 13 of the 14 studied procedures, complications were lower for patients who were selected for outpatient surgery (all P<0.01); minimally invasive (MIS) adrenalectomy showed no difference (P=0.61). Multivariable analysis confirmed these findings; the odds of experiencing any adverse events were lower following outpatient surgery in all operations but MIS adrenalectomy (OR 0.97; 95% CI 0.47-2.02). Analysis of institutional practices demonstrated variation in the rate of outpatient surgery in certain breast, endocrine, and hernia repair operations. CONCLUSIONS: Institutional practice patterns may explain the national variation in the rate of outpatient surgery. While the present data does not support the adoption of outpatient surgery to less optimal candidates, addressing unexplained practice variations could result in improved utilization of outpatient surgery.

Bariatric Surgery and Longitudinal Cancer Risk: A Review.

Importance: Cancer is one of the leading causes of death in the United States, with the obesity epidemic contributing to its steady increase every year. Recent cohort studies find an association between bariatric surgery and reduced longitudinal cancer risk, but with heterogeneous findings. Observations: This review summarizes how obesity leads to an increased risk of developing cancer and synthesizes current evidence behind the potential for bariatric surgery to reduce longitudinal cancer risk. Overall, bariatric surgery appears to have the strongest and most consistent association with decreased incidence of developing breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancers. The association of bariatric surgery and the development of esophageal, gastric, liver, and pancreas cancer is heterogenous with studies showing either no association or decreased longitudinal incidences. Conversely, there have been preclinical and cohort studies implying an increased risk of developing colon and rectal cancer after bariatric surgery. A review and synthesis of the existing literature reveals epidemiologic shortcomings of cohort studies that potentially explain incongruencies observed between studies. Conclusions and Relevance: Studies examining the association of bariatric surgery and longitudinal cancer risk remain heterogeneous and could be explained by certain epidemiologic considerations. This review provides a framework to better define subgroups of patients at higher risk of developing cancer who would potentially benefit more from bariatric surgery, as well as subgroups where more caution should be exercised.

Distance bias and surgical outcomes.

BACKGROUND: A body of research has found that patients who travel a significant distance to obtain medical treatment experience better outcomes, a phenomenon termed "distance bias." This study uses risk-adjusted surgical outcomes data to analyze distance bias in a population of patients treated surgically at a tertiary care institution. METHODS: We used risk-adjusted surgical outcomes data from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project at the Mayo Clinic to calculate observed and expected risk of a severe complication. Operations were stratified into quintiles based on the distance traveled by the patient. RESULTS: The average age of patients in our cohort was 56.7 years, and 59.2% were female; patients traveled an average of 226 miles for treatment. Patients living closest to the Mayo Clinic (quintile 1) had lower observed and expected risks of a severe complication relative to patients in quintiles 2-5. Patients from quintile 1 had outcomes which were better than predicted [observed:expected risk ratio of 0.82 (range, 0.63-0.99)]. Patients traveling intermediate distances (quintile 2) had outcomes which were worse than predicted [observed:expected risk ratio of 1.18 (range, 1.00-1.42)]. Operations performed on patients from greater distances (quintiles 3-5) had an observed risk of severe complications which was similar to expected. DISCUSSION: The phenomenon of distance bias which has previously been documented in medical and oncologic treatment is not demonstrated in this study. An opposite phenomenon may be more pertinent, where patients who are treated locally are less likely to have a severe complication and have outcomes which are better than predicted.

Marital status and prostate cancer outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: To evaluate the influence of marriage on the survival outcomes of men diagnosed with prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We examined 115,922 prostate cancer cases reported to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 1988 and 2003. Multivariate Cox regression techniques were used to study the relationship of marital status and prostate cancer-specific and overall mortality. RESULTS: Married men comprised 78% of the cohort (n = 91,490) while unmarried men (single, divorced, widowed, and separated) comprised 22% of the cohort (n = 24,432). Married men were younger (66.4 versus 67.8 years, p < 0.0001), more likely to be white (85% versus 76%, p < 0.0001), presented with lower tumor grades (68% are well or moderately differentiated versus 62%, p < 0.0001) and at earlier clinical stages (41% AJCC stage I/II versus 37%, p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis revealed that unmarried men had a 40% increase in the relative risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.40; CI 1.35-1.44; p < 0.0001), and a 51% increase in overall mortality (HR 1.51; CI 1.48-1.54; p < 0.0001), even when controlling for age, AJCC stage, tumor grade, race and median household income. Furthermore, the 5 year disease-specific survival rates for married men was 89.1% compared to 80.5% for unmarried men (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Marital status is an independent predictor of prostate cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality in men with prostate cancer. Unmarried men have a higher risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality compared to married men of similar age, race, stage, and tumor grade.

Performance of General Surgical Procedures in Outpatient Settings Before and After Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Importance: The American College of Surgeons (ACS) has advocated for the expansion of outpatient surgery to conserve limited hospital resources and bed capacity, while maintaining surgical throughput, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Objective: To investigate the association of the COVID-19 pandemic with outpatient scheduled general surgery procedures. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study analyzed data from hospitals participating in the ACS National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019 (before COVID-19), and from January 1 to December 31, 2020 (during COVID-19). Adult patients (≥18 years of age) who underwent any 1 of the 16 most frequently performed scheduled general surgery operations in the ACS-NSQIP database were included. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the percentage of outpatient cases (length of stay, 0 days) for each procedure. To determine the rate of change over time, multiple multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the independent association of year with the odds of outpatient surgery. Results: A total of 988 436 patients were identified (mean [SD] age, 54.5 [16.1] years; 574 683 women [58.1%]), of whom 823 746 underwent scheduled surgery before COVID-19 and 164 690 had surgery during COVID-19. On multivariable analysis, the odds of outpatient surgery during COVID-19 (vs 2019) were higher in patients who underwent mastectomy for cancer (odds ratio [OR], 2.49 [95% CI, 2.33-2.67]), minimally invasive adrenalectomy (OR, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.34-2.77]), thyroid lobectomy (OR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.32-1.54]), breast lumpectomy (OR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.23-1.46]), minimally invasive ventral hernia repair (OR, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.15-1.27]), minimally invasive sleeve gastrectomy (OR, 2.56 [95% CI, 1.89-3.48]), parathyroidectomy (OR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.14-1.34]), and total thyroidectomy (OR, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.42-1.65]). These odds were all greater than those observed for 2019 vs 2018, 2018 vs 2017, and 2017 vs 2016, suggesting that an accelerated increase in outpatient surgery rates in 2020 occurred as a consequence of COVID-19, rather than a continuation of secular trends. Despite these findings, only 4 procedures had a clinically meaningful (≥10%) overall increase in outpatient surgery rates during the study period: mastectomy for cancer (+19.4%), thyroid lobectomy (+14.7%), minimally invasive ventral hernia repair (+10.6%), and parathyroidectomy (+10.0%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with an accelerated transition to outpatient surgery for many scheduled general surgical operations; however, the magnitude of percentage increase was small for all but 4 procedure types. Further studies should explore potential barriers to the uptake of this approach, particularly for procedures that have been shown to be safe when performed in an outpatient setting.