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1.
BMC Bioinformatics ; 25(1): 175, 2024 May 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38702609

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUD: Modelling discrete-time cause-specific hazards in the presence of competing events and non-proportional hazards is a challenging task in many domains. Survival analysis in longitudinal cohorts often requires such models; notably when the data is gathered at discrete points in time and the predicted events display complex dynamics. Current models often rely on strong assumptions of proportional hazards, that is rarely verified in practice; or do not handle sequential data in a meaningful way. This study proposes a Transformer architecture for the prediction of cause-specific hazards in discrete-time competing risks. Contrary to Multilayer perceptrons that were already used for this task (DeepHit), the Transformer architecture is especially suited for handling complex relationships in sequential data, having displayed state-of-the-art performance in numerous tasks with few underlying assumptions on the task at hand. RESULTS: Using synthetic datasets of 2000-50,000 patients, we showed that our Transformer model surpassed the CoxPH, PyDTS, and DeepHit models for the prediction of cause-specific hazard, especially when the proportional assumption did not hold. The error along simulated time outlined the ability of our model to anticipate the evolution of cause-specific hazards at later time steps where few events are observed. It was also superior to current models for prediction of dementia and other psychiatric conditions in the English longitudinal study of ageing cohort using the integrated brier score and the time-dependent concordance index. We also displayed the explainability of our model's prediction using the integrated gradients method. CONCLUSIONS: Our model provided state-of-the-art prediction of cause-specific hazards, without adopting prior parametric assumptions on the hazard rates. It outperformed other models in non-proportional hazards settings for both the synthetic dataset and the longitudinal cohort study. We also observed that basic models such as CoxPH were more suited to extremely simple settings than deep learning models. Our model is therefore especially suited for survival analysis on longitudinal cohorts with complex dynamics of the covariate-to-outcome relationship, which are common in clinical practice. The integrated gradients provided the importance scores of input variables, which indicated variables guiding the model in its prediction. This model is ready to be utilized for time-to-event prediction in longitudinal cohorts.


Subject(s)
Proportional Hazards Models , Humans , Survival Analysis
2.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 23(1): 8, 2023 01 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36631766

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the older general population, neurodegenerative diseases (NDs) are associated with increased disability, decreased physical and cognitive function. Detecting risk factors can help implement prevention measures. Using deep neural networks (DNNs), a machine-learning algorithm could be an alternative to Cox regression in tabular datasets with many predictive features. We aimed to compare the performance of different types of DNNs with regularized Cox proportional hazards models to predict NDs in the older general population. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal analysis with participants of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. We included men and women with no NDs at baseline, aged 60 years and older, assessed every 2 years from 2004 to 2005 (wave2) to 2016-2017 (wave 8). The features were a set of 91 epidemiological and clinical baseline variables. The outcome was new events of Parkinson's, Alzheimer or dementia. After applying multiple imputations, we trained three DNN algorithms: Feedforward, TabTransformer, and Dense Convolutional (Densenet). In addition, we trained two algorithms based on Cox models: Elastic Net regularization (CoxEn) and selected features (CoxSf). RESULTS: 5433 participants were included in wave 2. During follow-up, 12.7% participants developed NDs. Although the five models predicted NDs events, the discriminative ability was superior using TabTransformer (Uno's C-statistic (coefficient (95% confidence intervals)) 0.757 (0.702, 0.805). TabTransformer showed superior time-dependent balanced accuracy (0.834 (0.779, 0.889)) and specificity (0.855 (0.0.773, 0.909)) than the other models. With the CoxSf (hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals)), age (10.0 (6.9, 14.7)), poor hearing (1.3 (1.1, 1.5)) and weight loss 1.3 (1.1, 1.6)) were associated with a higher DNN risk. In contrast, executive function (0.3 (0.2, 0.6)), memory (0, 0, 0.1)), increased gait speed (0.2, (0.1, 0.4)), vigorous physical activity (0.7, 0.6, 0.9)) and higher BMI (0.4 (0.2, 0.8)) were associated with a lower DNN risk. CONCLUSION: TabTransformer is promising for prediction of NDs with heterogeneous tabular datasets with numerous features. Moreover, it can handle censored data. However, Cox models perform well and are easier to interpret than DNNs. Therefore, they are still a good choice for NDs.


Subject(s)
Neurodegenerative Diseases , Male , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Cohort Studies , Longitudinal Studies , Neurodegenerative Diseases/diagnosis , Neurodegenerative Diseases/epidemiology , Machine Learning , Neural Networks, Computer
3.
Crit Care ; 27(1): 40, 2023 01 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36698191

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chest radiographs are routinely performed in intensive care unit (ICU) to confirm the correct position of an endotracheal tube (ETT) relative to the carina. However, their interpretation is often challenging and requires substantial time and expertise. The aim of this study was to propose an externally validated deep learning model with uncertainty quantification and image segmentation for the automated assessment of ETT placement on ICU chest radiographs. METHODS: The CarinaNet model was constructed by applying transfer learning to the RetinaNet model using an internal dataset of ICU chest radiographs. The accuracy of the model in predicting the position of the ETT tip and carina was externally validated using a dataset of 200 images extracted from the MIMIC-CXR database. Uncertainty quantification was performed using the level of confidence in the ETT-carina distance prediction. Segmentation of the ETT was carried out using edge detection and pixel clustering. RESULTS: The interrater agreement was 0.18 cm for the ETT tip position, 0.58 cm for the carina position, and 0.60 cm for the ETT-carina distance. The mean absolute error of the model on the external test set was 0.51 cm for the ETT tip position prediction, 0.61 cm for the carina position prediction, and 0.89 cm for the ETT-carina distance prediction. The assessment of ETT placement was improved by complementing the human interpretation of chest radiographs with the CarinaNet model. CONCLUSIONS: The CarinaNet model is an efficient and generalizable deep learning algorithm for the automated assessment of ETT placement on ICU chest radiographs. Uncertainty quantification can bring the attention of intensivists to chest radiographs that require an experienced human interpretation. Image segmentation provides intensivists with chest radiographs that are quickly interpretable and allows them to immediately assess the validity of model predictions. The CarinaNet model is ready to be evaluated in clinical studies.


Subject(s)
Deep Learning , Humans , Trachea , Intubation, Intratracheal/methods , Radiography , Intensive Care Units
4.
J Biomed Inform ; 146: 104502, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37769828

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study introduces the BlendedICU dataset, a massive dataset of international intensive care data. This dataset aims to facilitate generalizability studies of machine learning models, as well as statistical studies of clinical practices in the intensive care units. METHODS: Four publicly available and patient-level intensive care databases were used as source databases. A unique and customizable preprocessing pipeline extracted clinically relevant patient-related variables from each source database. The variables were then harmonized and standardized to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Format. Finally, a brief comparison was carried out to explore differences in the source databases. RESULTS: The BlendedICU dataset features 41 timeseries variables as well as the exposure times to 113 active ingredients extracted from the AmsterdamUMCdb, eICU, HiRID, and MIMIC-IV databases. This resulted in a database of more than 309000 intensive care admissions, spanning over 13 years and three countries. We found that data collection, drug exposure, and patient outcomes varied strongly between source databases. CONCLUSION: The variability in data collection, drug exposure, and patient outcomes between the source databases indicated some dissimilarity in patient phenotypes and clinical practices between different intensive care units. This demonstrated the need for generalizability studies of machine learning models. This study provides the clinical data research community with essential data to build efficient and generalizable machine learning models, as well as to explore clinical practices in intensive care units around the world.

5.
Prehosp Emerg Care ; 26(2): 280-285, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33595420

ABSTRACT

Objectives: The objectives of this study were to evaluate first attempt intubation failure rate, its associated factors, and its related complications in out-of-hospital emergency setting, when emergency physicians perform standardized airway management using rapid sequence intubation in adult patients. Material and methods: The present study was a substudy of the Succinylcholine versus Rocuronium for out-of-hospital Emergency Intubation (CURASMUR) Trial, which compared Succinylcholine and Rocuronium used for Rapid sequence intubation. First attempt Intubation failure rate and early intubation related complications were recorded. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to determine first intubation failure associated factors. Results: A total of 1230 patients were included with mean age of 55.9 +/- 19 years. First attempt intubation failure was recorded in 285 (23.2%) patients. The occurrence of a first attempt intubation failure was independently associated with history of ear, nose, and throat neoplasia (OR 2.20, CI 95% 1.06-4.60). Early intubation related complications were more frequent in case of first attempt intubation failure: 80 of 285 (28.4%) in patients with first attempt intubation failure and 185 of 945 (19.6%) in patients with successful first attempt intubation [OR 1.44; CI 95%, 1.11-1.87]. Conclusion: Based on a large multicenter study on out-of-hospital tracheal intubation of adult patients, we found that first attempt intubation failure rate was high and that history of ear, nose, and throat (ENT) neoplasia was an independent associated factor. Failure in first intubation attempt was associated with significantly more intubation related complications.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Adult , Aged , Hospitals , Humans , Incidence , Intubation, Intratracheal/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Succinylcholine/adverse effects
6.
J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth ; 34(6): 1426-1430, 2020 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32033890

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present study was to assess the post-pandemic mortality of influenza in patients receiving venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) in Reunion Island, France, by comparing the incidence with other patients undergoing VV-ECMO. DESIGN: Retrospective, descriptive, and single-center cohort study. The primary outcome was the standardized mortality ratio for influenza based on the quartiles of the Respiratory Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Survival Prediction score (RESP Score) in the reference population of patients undergoing VV-ECMO. SETTING: Intensive care unit (ICU), Felix Guyon Hospital, University Teaching Hospital of La Réunion, La Réunion, France. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive patients on ECMO with positive polymerase chain reaction for influenza. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: One hundred twenty-seven consecutive patients were hospitalized in the ICU with a positive influenza polymerase chain reaction from January 2013 to December 2017. Twenty-four influenza patients underwent ECMO including 18 patients with VV-ECMO. During this period, 72 patients requiring VV-ECMO were hospitalized in the ICU. The overall mortality rate of influenza patients on VV-ECMO was 61% versus 46% for non-influenza patients. The standardized mortality ratio per quartile of RESP Score was 1.28 (95% confidence interval 0.61-2.35). CONCLUSIONS: In Reunion, the mortality of patients undergoing VV-ECMO for severe influenza is not lower than the expected mortality of all patients undergoing VV-ECMO.


Subject(s)
Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation , Influenza, Human , Cohort Studies , France/epidemiology , Humans , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Reunion/epidemiology
7.
JAMA ; 322(23): 2303-2312, 2019 12 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31846014

ABSTRACT

Importance: Rocuronium and succinylcholine are often used for rapid sequence intubation, although the comparative efficacy of these paralytic agents for achieving successful intubation in an emergency setting has not been evaluated in clinical trials. Succinylcholine use has been associated with several adverse events not reported with rocuronium. Objective: To assess the noninferiority of rocuronium vs succinylcholine for tracheal intubation in out-of-hospital emergency situations. Design, Setting and Participants: Multicenter, single-blind, noninferiority randomized clinical trial comparing rocuronium (1.2 mg/kg) with succinylcholine (1 mg/kg) for rapid sequence intubation in 1248 adult patients needing out-of-hospital tracheal intubation. Enrollment occurred from January 2014 to August 2016 in 17 French out-of-hospital emergency medical units. The date of final follow-up was August 31, 2016. Interventions: Patients were randomly assigned to undergo tracheal intubation facilitated by rocuronium (n = 624) or succinylcholine (n = 624). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the intubation success rate on first attempt. A noninferiority margin of 7% was chosen. A per-protocol analysis was prespecified as the primary analysis. Results: Among 1248 patients who were randomized (mean age, 56 years; 501 [40.1%] women), 1230 (98.6%) completed the trial and 1226 (98.2%) were included in the per-protocol analysis. The number of patients with successful first-attempt intubation was 455 of 610 (74.6%) in the rocuronium group vs 489 of 616 (79.4%) in the succinylcholine group, with a between-group difference of -4.8% (1-sided 97.5% CI, -9% to ∞), which did not meet criteria for noninferiority. The most common intubation-related adverse events were hypoxemia (55 of 610 patients [9.0%]) and hypotension (39 of 610 patients [6.4%]) in the rocuronium group and hypoxemia (61 of 616 [9.9%]) and hypotension (62 of 616 patients [10.1%]) in the succinylcholine group. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients undergoing endotracheal intubation in an out-of-hospital emergency setting, rocuronium, compared with succinylcholine, failed to demonstrate noninferiority with regard to first-attempt intubation success rate. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02000674.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Rapid Sequence Induction and Intubation/methods , Rocuronium/administration & dosage , Succinylcholine/administration & dosage , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Single-Blind Method
8.
Crit Care Med ; 46(1): 93-99, 2018 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29116996

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Leptospirosis causes reversible multiple organ failure, and its mortality remains high. The aim of this study was to determine the mortality rate of leptospirosis in an ICU offering all types of organ support available nowadays and to compare it with mortality in bacterial sepsis. DESIGN: Retrospective, descriptive, and single-center cohort study. SETTINGS: The largest ICU of Reunion Island (Indian Ocean) in a teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Consecutive patients hospitalized in ICU for leptospirosis from January 2004 to January 2015. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We report 134 cases of patients with leptospirosis hospitalized in ICU. The median age was 40 years (interquartile range, 30-52 yr), with a Simplified Acute Physiology Score II of 38 (27-50) and a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 10 (8-12). Forty-one patients (31%) required mechanical ventilation and 76 (56%) required renal replacement therapy. The door-to-renal replacement therapy time was 0 (0-1) day after admission with a median urea of 25 mmol/L (17-32 mmol/L). Five patients required extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The mortality rate was 6.0% (95% CI, 2.6-11.4). Among patients hospitalized for sepsis, the standardized mortality ratio of patients with leptospirosis with regards to Simplified Acute Physiology Score II was dramatically low: 0.40 (95% CI, 0.17 - 0.79). CONCLUSIONS: The mortality of severe leptospirosis is lower than for other bacterial infection, provided modern resuscitation techniques are available. Prompt organ support ensures very low mortality rates despite high severity scores.


Subject(s)
Intensive Care Units , Leptospirosis/mortality , Leptospirosis/therapy , Patient Admission , Adult , Humans , Leptospirosis/diagnosis , Middle Aged , Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis , Multiple Organ Failure/mortality , Multiple Organ Failure/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Reunion , Sepsis/diagnosis , Sepsis/mortality , Sepsis/therapy , Severity of Illness Index
10.
Prenat Diagn ; 37(9): 931-934, 2017 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28753736

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Prenatal management of male fetuses with suspected posterior urethral valves depends on reliable markers for postnatal long-term renal function. Whether ultrasound parameters, including the presence or absence of oligohydramnios, are reliable remains the subject of debate. We decided to evaluate the reliability of quantity of amniotic fluid to predict postnatal renal function using decision curve analysis (DCA), a method for evaluating the clinical utility of a diagnostic test. METHODS: We analyzed retrospectively 51 male fetuses born with prenatally suspected posterior urethral valves between 2009 and 2012. We studied the relationship between quantity of amniotic fluid on prenatal ultrasound and the nadir creatinine during the first year of life as a proxy of postnatal renal function using DCA. RESULTS: Twelve fetuses presented with prenatal oligohydramnios. Thirty-one children had a normal nadir creatinine, of which one had prenatal oligohydramnios (3.2%). Thirteen had a nadir creatinine between 35 and 75 µmol/L, of which four had prenatal oligohydramnios (30.8%). Seven had a nadir creatinine >75 µmol/L, all of them had prenatal oligohydramnios. CONCLUSION: In this retrospective study, DCA confirms the relationship between prenatal quantity of amniotic fluid volume and postnatal renal function. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


Subject(s)
Amniotic Fluid/diagnostic imaging , Kidney Diseases/diagnosis , Kidney/physiopathology , Ultrasonography, Prenatal , Urethra/abnormalities , Creatinine/blood , Decision Support Techniques , Female , Gestational Age , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Kidney Diseases/etiology , Male , Oligohydramnios/diagnostic imaging , Pregnancy , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Urethra/diagnostic imaging , Urethral Obstruction/complications , Urethral Obstruction/diagnostic imaging
11.
Pediatr Nephrol ; 31(10): 1631-6, 2016 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27180177

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The benefit of post-urinary tract infection (UTI) sonography to detect clinically significant renal abnormalities remains a subject open to debate. Decision curve analysis (DCA) is a novel method for evaluating the clinical usefulness of diagnostic tests. Our objective was to determine, using DCA, the benefit of post-UTI sonography and of post-UTI sonography with biological markers of inflammation to predict the risk of recurrence of febrile UTI in children aged 2 to 24 months without known uropathy. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed all children aged 2 to 24 months, without known uropathy, who presented with a first episode of febrile UTI between 2009 and 2012 and followed them for 30 months. We then used DCA to estimate the benefit of post-UTI sonography or post-UTI sonography + biological markers of inflammation for detecting the risk of recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 318 children [144 boys (45.3 %) and 174 girls (54.7 %)], with a mean age of 6.9 ± 5.6 months, were identified. Of these, 210 children presented with a significant inflammation [66.2 %; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 61.0-71.4], and 30 (9.4 %; 95 % CI 6.2-12.6) presented with abnormal post-UTI sonographic findings. Eighteen (5.7 %; 95 % CI 3.1-8.2) children presented with recurrent UTI at 30 months. CONCLUSIONS: There were significantly more recurrences in those children who presented with abnormal sonographic findings than in those who did not (relative risk 7.68; 95 % CI 3.03-19.46). However, taking into account the effect of false-positives and false negatives, the DCA revealed that for threshold probabilities of >30 %, at which patients/doctors are concerned about unnecessary interventions (whether tests or treatments), neither post-UTI sonography nor post-UTI sonography + biological markers of inflammation have sufficient value to improve care.


Subject(s)
Urinary Tract Infections/complications , Urinary Tract Infections/diagnostic imaging , Urinary Tract/diagnostic imaging , Biomarkers , Decision Making, Computer-Assisted , Decision Support Techniques , Female , Humans , Infant , Inflammation/diagnostic imaging , Inflammation/etiology , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Recurrence , Retrospective Studies , Ultrasonography
12.
Mycoses ; 59(5): 304-11, 2016 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26806228

ABSTRACT

Onychomycosis is a common nail disorder mainly due to dermatophytes for which the conventional diagnosis requires direct microscopic observation and culture of a biological sample. Nevertheless, antifungal treatments are commonly prescribed without a mycological examination having been performed, partly because of the slow growth of dermatophytes. Therefore, molecular biology has been applied to this pathology, to support a quick and accurate distinction between onychomycosis and other nail damage. Commercial kits are now available from several companies for improving traditional microbiological diagnosis. In this paper, we present the first evaluation of the real-time PCR kit marketed by Bio Evolution for the diagnosis of dermatophytosis. Secondly, we compare the efficacy of the kit on optimal and non-optimal samples. This study was conducted on 180 nails samples, processed by conventional methods and retrospectively analysed using this kit. According to our results, this molecular kit has shown high specificity and sensitivity in detecting dermatophytes, regardless of sample quality. On the other hand, and as expected, optimal samples allowed the identification of a higher number of dermatophytes by conventional mycological diagnosis, compared to non-optimal samples. Finally, we have suggested several strategies for the practical use of such a kit in a medical laboratory for quick pathogen detection.


Subject(s)
Fungi/isolation & purification , Onychomycosis/diagnosis , Reagent Kits, Diagnostic/standards , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/standards , Aged , Arthrodermataceae/genetics , Arthrodermataceae/growth & development , Arthrodermataceae/isolation & purification , DNA, Fungal/chemistry , DNA, Fungal/isolation & purification , Female , Fungi/classification , Fungi/genetics , Fungi/growth & development , Humans , Male , Onychomycosis/microbiology , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity , Specimen Handling/standards , Time Factors
13.
Crit Care Med ; 43(10): 2164-70, 2015 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26237133

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Although stress cardiomyopathy has been described in association with epilepsy, its frequency in patients with convulsive status epilepticus remains unknown. Accordingly, we sought to determine the prevalence and risk factors of stress cardiomyopathy in patients admitted to the ICU for convulsive status epilepticus. DESIGN: Prospective, descriptive, single-center study. SETTING: Medical-surgical ICU of a teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Thirty-two consecutive ventilated patients (21 men; age, 50 ± 18 yr; Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, 53 ± 15; Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, 6 ± 2) hospitalized in the ICU for convulsive status epilepticus. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Hemodynamic parameters, transthoracic echocardiography, biological data, and electrocardiogram were obtained serially on ICU admission (H0), and after 6, 12, 24, and 48 hours of hospitalization (H6, H12, H24, and H48). Stress cardiomyopathy was defined as a 20% decrease in left ventricular ejection fraction between H0 or H6 and H48. Stress cardiomyopathy was diagnosed in 18 patients (56%; 95% CI, 38-74%). Mean left ventricular ejection fraction, left ventricular stroke index and cardiac index were initially (at H0 or H6 according to lowest individual values) significantly reduced in stress cardiomyopathy patients (45 ± 14% vs 61 ± 6%, p < 0.001; 24 ± 8 vs 28 ± 8 mL/m(2), p < 0.05; 2.3 ± 0.7 vs 3.0 ± 0.8 L/min/m(2), p < 0.05, respectively) and increased secondarily to reach similar mean values than those observed in patients without transient left ventricular dysfunction at H24. Dobutamine was more frequently used in patients with stress cardiomyopathy. Mean lactate level was increased and significantly higher in stress cardiomyopathy patients at H0 and H6, whereas mean central venous oxygen saturation was preserved but significantly lower in this group. Only three patients with stress cardiomyopathy had left ventricular regional wall motion abnormalities but normal coronary angiography. Risk factors of stress cardiomyopathy were age and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that stress cardiomyopathy is common in patients admitted to the ICU for convulsive status epilepticus. Accordingly, these patients should be screened for stress cardiomyopathy and monitored if they present with hemodynamic compromise.


Subject(s)
Status Epilepticus/complications , Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy/epidemiology , Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy/etiology , Female , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors
14.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 23(8): 882-9, 2014 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24788986

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Several studies have been conducted to estimate persistence to hormonal therapy among women with breast cancer (BC). Most studies focus on first treatment discontinuation. Patients, however, can have numerous periods of treatment discontinuation or treatment exposure. Our objective is to estimate persistence to tamoxifen in patients with BC while accounting for temporary treatment discontinuations and this by using multi-state (MS) models. METHODS: A cohort of 10,806 women with BC having received at least one prescription of tamoxifen between 1998 and 2008 was constituted from the UK General Practice Research Database. We fitted a semi-Markov model with three states to estimate the probability of being off treatment over a 5-year period while accounting for temporary treatment discontinuations (transition between on treatment and off treatment) and competing risks (recurrence of BC or death). RESULTS: Non-persistence, as estimated from the MS model, ranged from 12.1% (95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 9.2-15.1) at 1 year to 14.9% (95%CI: 11.7-18.1) at 5 years. Estimations of non-persistence based on the Kaplan-Meier model were higher, i.e., 29.3% (95%CI: 28.1-30.6) at 5 years, as well as those obtained from a competing risk model, i.e., 24.0% (95%CI: 22.9-25.1). Most temporary discontinuations (94.7%) lasted less than 6 months. Temporary treatment discontinuations are frequent and should be accounted for when measuring adherence to treatment. MS models can provide a useful framework for this sort of analysis insofar as they help describe patients' complex behavior. This may help tailor interventions that improve persistence to hormonal therapy among women with BC.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/therapeutic use , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Medication Adherence , Tamoxifen/therapeutic use , Adult , Aged , Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/administration & dosage , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Markov Chains , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Probability , Tamoxifen/administration & dosage , Time Factors , United Kingdom
15.
Front Pediatr ; 12: 1409170, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38853782

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Ureteropelvic junction obstruction (UPJO) syndrome is one of the most common causes of neonatal hydronephrosis. Management varies from simple monitoring to surgical intervention, with indications differing between institutions. A consensus of 8 societies recently described a new Urinary Tract Dilation (UTD) classification which aims to standardize ultrasound description of hydronephrosis, but which is also supposed to have predictive value in children with hydronephrosis. Our aim was to compare, in a monocentric prospective cohort of children with UPJO, the ability of UTD to predict the occurrence of a clinically significant event within the first year of life, as compared to anteroposterior diameter of the renal pelvis (APD). Study design: We used a preexisting cohort of children followed in a prospective study on UPJO. A pediatric radiologist, blinded to the children's outcome, classified the last antenatal ultrasound and postnatal ultrasound according to the UTD-A and UTD-P classification. He also confirmed the APD-A and APD-P measures. We defined a clinically significant event as being: increased pelvic dilation (>5 mm) and/or the presence of a febrile urinary tract infection (fUTI) and/or impaired renal function on initial nuclear scan (<40%). We performed a ROC-AUC curve and Random Forest (RF) analysis to compare the ability of the APD-A, APD-P, UTD-A and UTD-P scores to predict a clinically significant event. Results: The cohort included 28 children. Clinically significant events were noted in 20 out of 28 patients: 13 children presented an increase >5 mm in dilation, 6 presented an episode of fUTI and 9 had impaired function of the affected kidney. APD-A was the most effective individual criterion for predicting the occurrence of a significant clinical event (AUC = 0.867). Conclusion: In our series, for children with UPJO, the most significant marker was prenatal APD >15 mm to predict an increase in dilation >5 mm.

16.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e082045, 2024 May 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38754877

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Reunion Island, a French overseas department, is located in the southern hemisphere, close to the Capricorn tropic. This island has a multicultural and multiethnic population of 860 000 inhabitants, a quarter of whom are at high risk of developing skin cancer due to intense ultraviolet radiation. Melanoma is responsible for the majority of skin cancer deaths. The early prevention of melanoma is based on sun protection in childhood, but French regulations are not adapted to the environmental conditions of this tropical region.The main objective of our study is to evaluate the effectiveness of three sun protection programs conducted in Reunionese primary schools through a pupil knowledge questionnaire. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: PRESOLRE is an interventional, open-label, cluster-randomised controlled trial, in four parallel arms, that is being conducted throughout 2022-2023 on Reunion Island. The trial design assumes an escalation interventional effect using: first, a control arm without proposed intervention (arm 1); second, an arm whose classes are encouraged to use the validated educational programme 'Living With the Sun' (LWS) (arm 2); third, an arm whose classes are encouraged to use both 'LWS' combined with 'Mission Soleil Réunion's sun protection awareness programme (arm 3); fourth, an arm benefiting from an intervention similar to arm 3, combined with the distribution of hats, sunglasses and sun creams (arm 4). In all, 1780 pupils from 18 classes of 20 pupils, on average, will be included. Randomisation applies to the classes of pupils (so defined as clusters). The primary outcome is based on the proportion of correct answers to the knowledge questions after the awareness programme, compared between the four arms using a linear mixed model with random intercept. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study obtained ethics approval in 2022 (ID: 2022-A00350-43). Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05367180.


Subject(s)
Schools , Skin Neoplasms , Child , Female , Humans , Male , Health Education/methods , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Melanoma/prevention & control , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Reunion , School Health Services , Skin Neoplasms/prevention & control , Sunburn/prevention & control , Sunlight/adverse effects , Sunscreening Agents/therapeutic use , Sunscreening Agents/administration & dosage
17.
BMC Infect Dis ; 13: 440, 2013 Sep 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24053628

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aim of this study was to provide a detailed description of a Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) outbreak management strategy in the neonatal intensive care unit of a university hospital. METHODS: This was a retrospective, "before-after" study, over two consecutive 18-month periods. The outbreak management strategy was performed by a multidisciplinary team and included: extensive healthcare workers (HCW) involvement, education, continuous hand-hygiene training and active MRSA colonization surveillance. The actions implemented were identified based on an anonymous, voluntary, reporting system, carried out among all the HCW, and regular audit and feedback were provided to the nursing staff. The main measured outcome was the rate of MRSA infections before and after the implementation of the outbreak management strategy. Piecewise linear Poisson regression was performed and the model adjusted for confounding variables. The secondary outcome was the rate of laboratory-confirmed bloodstream infections before and after the outbreak management strategy. The rates of MRSA colonization, implementation of proposed actions, observed compliance for hand-hygiene and insertion/care of central lines were also recorded during the second period. RESULTS: 1015 newborns were included. The rate of MRSA infections throughout the two periods fell from 3.5 to 0.7 cases per 1000 patient-days (p=0.0005). The piecewise Poisson regression analysis adjusted for confounding variables showed a significant decrease in the MRSA infection rate after the outbreak management strategy (p=0.046). A significant decrease in positive laboratory confirmed blood cultures was observed over the two periods (160 vs 83; p<0.0001). A significant decline in the MRSA colonization rate occurred over the second period (p=0.001); 93% of the proposed actions were implemented. The compliance rate for hand-hygiene and insertion/care of central lines was respectively 95.9% and 62%. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of multiple, simultaneous, evidence-based management strategies is effective for controlling nosocomial infections. Outbreak management strategies may benefit from tools improving the communication between the institutional and scientific leadership and the ground-level staff. These measures can help to identify individualized solutions addressing specific unit needs.


Subject(s)
Cross Infection/prevention & control , Infant, Newborn, Diseases/prevention & control , Intensive Care Units, Neonatal/statistics & numerical data , Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/isolation & purification , Staphylococcal Infections/prevention & control , Cross Infection/epidemiology , Cross Infection/microbiology , Female , France , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Infant, Newborn, Diseases/epidemiology , Infant, Newborn, Diseases/microbiology , Male , Methicillin Resistance , Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/drug effects , Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/physiology , Retrospective Studies , Staphylococcal Infections/epidemiology , Staphylococcal Infections/microbiology
18.
J Ultrasound Med ; 32(8): 1477-82, 2013 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23887959

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the feasibility, reproducibility, and distribution of placental volume measurements according to the crown-rump length between 11 weeks and 13 weeks 6 days. METHODS: Images were acquired in 128 pregnancies followed in Burgundy during first-trimester screening sonography using an abdominal 3-dimensional transducer. The placental volume was then calculated by the virtual organ computer-aided analysis method with a rotation angle of 30° by a single operator. RESULTS: Placental volumes ranged from 33.3 to 107.6 cm(3) with a mean ± SD of 62.3 ± 14.8 cm(3); the 5th and 10th percentiles were 38.0 and 44.20 cm(3), respectively, whereas the 90th and 95th percentiles were 80.25 and 86.68 cm(3). An exponential relationship was found between placental volume and crown-rump length: ln placental volume = 0.018 × crown-rump length + 2.93425; ln SD = 0.15; r(2) = 0.58. Finally, the mean placental quotient, defined as the ratio of placental volume to crown-rump length, was 1 ± 0.1 cm(3)/mm; the respective percentile values were 0.74, 0.81, 1.18, and 1.29 cm(3)/mm. No associations were found between parity or smoking and the placental quotient or between obesity and the placental quotient. Intraobserver reproducibility was good, with a mean difference of 0.2 cm(3). CONCLUSIONS: Measurement of placental volume between 11 weeks and 13 weeks 6 days is reliable and reproducible and correlates strongly with crown-rump length.


Subject(s)
Crown-Rump Length , Image Interpretation, Computer-Assisted/methods , Imaging, Three-Dimensional/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , Ultrasonography, Prenatal/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Image Interpretation, Computer-Assisted/standards , Imaging, Three-Dimensional/standards , Imaging, Three-Dimensional/statistics & numerical data , Mass Screening/methods , Organ Size , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Trimester, First , Reference Values , Reproducibility of Results , Sensitivity and Specificity , Ultrasonography, Prenatal/methods , Ultrasonography, Prenatal/standards , Young Adult
19.
Sports Med ; 53(4): 917-926, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36802328

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the gap in endurance performance between men and women is reduced as distances increase, i.e. if there is a sex difference in endurance, one can analyse the performance of elite runners, all participants, or one can pair women and men during short-distance events and examine the difference over longer distances. The first two methods have caveats, and the last method has never been performed with a large dataset. This was the goal of the present study. METHODS: A dataset including 38,860 trail running races from 1989 to 2021 in 221 countries was used. It provided information on 1,881,070 unique runners, allowing 7251 pairs of men and women with the same relative level of performance to be obtained, i.e. the same percentage of the winner time of the considered race on short races (25-45 km-effort) that were compared during longer races (45-260 km-effort). The effect of distance on sex differences in average speed was determined using a gamma mixed model. RESULTS: The gap between sexes decreased as distance increases, i.e. men's speed decreased by 4.02% (confidence interval 3.80-4.25) for every 10 km-effort increase, whereas it decreased by 3.25% (confidence interval 3.02-3.46) for women. The men-women ratio decreases from 1.237 (confidence interval 1.232-1.242) for a 25 km-effort to 1.031 (confidence interval 1.011-1.052) for a 260 km-effort. This interaction was modulated by the level of performance, i.e. the greater the performance level of the runner, the lower the difference in endurance between sexes. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows for the first time that the gap between men and women shrinks when trail running distance increases, which demonstrates that endurance is greater in women. Although women narrow the performance gap with men as race distance increases, top male performers still outperform the top women.


Subject(s)
Athletic Performance , Running , Humans , Male , Female , Physical Endurance , Big Data , Retrospective Studies , Sex Factors
20.
Front Psychol ; 14: 1185316, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37397299

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Due to the high prevalence of diabetes and its complications, evaluating the patient's quality of life is critical. EQ-5D-5L is a valid tool for assessing health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in chronic diseases, including diabetes. However, no psychometric measures have been validated in a Creole-speaking population. Therefore, this study aimed for the first time to validate and cross-culturally adapt Creole and French versions of EQ-5D-5L on Type II diabetes patients in Reunion Island. Materials and methods: The Creole translation and cross-cultural adaptation process were based on the EUROQOL methods. Internal consistency and construct validity were determined using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) of EQ-5D-5L for both versions. CFA model for HRQOL and global fit measures were calculated based on the EQ-5D-5L items using the maximum likelihood (ML) method. Results: From November 2016 to October 2017, 148 patients were included in the Creole group and 152 in the French group. EQ-5D-5L measures were unidimensional for both versions. Cronbach's coefficient alpha was 0.76 for the Creole version and 0.81 for the French version in CFA models. The root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) was 0.06 for the Creole version and 0.02 for the French version. The Comparative Fit Index (CFI) was closer to 1 for both versions. CFA models for both the Creole and French versions fit the data adequately. Discussion: Overall, our findings provided evidence that both the Creole and French versions of EQ-5D-5L are suitable for assessing HRQOL in diabetes patients in Reunion Island. However, further research could be done to investigate French-Creole differences concerning the perception of health status, and a cultural adaptation of the French version will be considered.

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