ABSTRACT
Curative hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy has increased transplantation from HCV-infected nucleic acid test-positive donors to HCV-uninfected recipients (D+/R-). We evaluated outcomes of early and late HCV treatment among D+/R- nonliver organ transplants. Patients received HCV regimens per local standard (n = 10 sites). Outcomes were compared between early and late treatments. Early treatment regimens (ETR) (n = 56) were initiated pretransplantation to day 7 posttransplant. Late treatment regimens (LTRs) (n = 102) began median 31 (range, 8-114) days posttransplant. There were 79 kidney, 50 lung, 23 heart, and 6 mixed transplants, similar between groups. HCV RNA was quantifiable in 98% of LTR versus 44.6% of ETR recipients (P < .001). Mean (range) days on treatment were 28 (7-93) ETR and 81 (51-111) LTR (P < .0001). There were no virological failures with ETR, but relapse (n = 3) and nonresponse (n = 2) in LTR (P = .16), including fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis postrelapse (n = 1). Sustained virological response was 100% (95% confidence interval, 93.4-100.0) in ETR (n = 54) and 94.9% (95% confidence interval, 88.5-98.3) in LTR (n = 98). Acute rejection occurred in 11 (19.6%) ETR and 25 (24.5%) LTR. In total, 11 HCV-unrelated deaths occurred: 8 ETR and 3 LTR. Organ transplantation from HCV-infected nucleic acid test-positive donors to HCV-uninfected recipients was safe. ETR led to fewer virological failures with shorter treatment duration, supporting recommendations to initiate treatment promptly posttransplant.
Subject(s)
Hepatitis C , Nucleic Acids , Organ Transplantation , Humans , Hepacivirus/genetics , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Hepatitis C/drug therapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: An inherent difference exists between male and female bodies, the historical under-representation of females in clinical trials widened this gap in existing healthcare data. The fairness of clinical decision-support tools is at risk when developed based on biased data. This paper aims to quantitatively assess the gender bias in risk prediction models. We aim to generalize our findings by performing this investigation on multiple use cases at different hospitals. METHODS: First, we conduct a thorough analysis of the source data to find gender-based disparities. Secondly, we assess the model performance on different gender groups at different hospitals and on different use cases. Performance evaluation is quantified using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Lastly, we investigate the clinical implications of these biases by analyzing the underdiagnosis and overdiagnosis rate, and the decision curve analysis (DCA). We also investigate the influence of model calibration on mitigating gender-related disparities in decision-making processes. RESULTS: Our data analysis reveals notable variations in incidence rates, AUROC, and over-diagnosis rates across different genders, hospitals and clinical use cases. However, it is also observed the underdiagnosis rate is consistently higher in the female population. In general, the female population exhibits lower incidence rates and the models perform worse when applied to this group. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis demonstrates there is no statistically significant difference between the model's clinical utility across gender groups within the interested range of thresholds. CONCLUSION: The presence of gender bias within risk prediction models varies across different clinical use cases and healthcare institutions. Although inherent difference is observed between male and female populations at the data source level, this variance does not affect the parity of clinical utility. In conclusion, the evaluations conducted in this study highlight the significance of continuous monitoring of gender-based disparities in various perspectives for clinical risk prediction models.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is an unmet need to validate simple and easily available methods that can be used in routine practice to identify those at risk of adverse outcomes from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A retrospective-prospective analysis of NAFLD patients enrolled in a longitudinal noninterventional study (TARGET-NASH) was performed to validate the prognostic utility of the following risk-categories: (A) Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) <1.3 and/or liver-stiffness measurement (LSM) measured by Fibroscan <8 kp, (B) FIB-4 1.31â2.6 and/or LSM 8.1-12.5 kp, and (C) FIB-4 >2.6 and/or LSM >12.5 kp. METHODS: Those in class A with aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase ratio >1 or platelets <150,000/mm3, or class B with aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase ratio >1 or platelets <150,000/mm3 were upstaged by one class. Fine-Gray competing risk analyses were performed for all outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 2523 individuals (class A = 555, B = 879, C = 1089) were followed for a median duration of 3.74 years. Adverse outcomes increased from class A to C in all-cause mortality (0.07 vs 0.3 vs 2.5/100 person-years [PY], hazard ratio [HR], 3.0 and 16.3 class B and C vs A), liver-associated clinical events (0.2 vs 1 vs 8/100 PY, HR, 4.3 and 36.6 B and C vs A), major adverse cardiovascular events (0.69 vs 0.87 vs 2.02/100 PY, HR, 0.78 and 1.55 B and C vs A), hepatocellular carcinoma (0 vs 0.09 vs 0.88/100 PY, HR, 8.32 C vs B), and chronic kidney disease (1.24 vs 2.48 vs 3.51/100 PY). Those who were upstaged had outcome rates similar to the lower class defined by their FIB-4. CONCLUSIONS: These data support a FIB-4-based risk-stratification of NAFLD that can be used in routine clinical practice. CLINICALTRIALS: gov Identifier: NCT02815891.
Subject(s)
Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Alanine Transaminase , Aspartate Aminotransferases , Biopsy/adverse effects , Fibrosis , Liver/pathology , Liver Cirrhosis/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Retrospective Studies , Prospective StudiesABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Withdrawal of nucleos(t)ide analog therapy is increasingly being evaluated in chronic hepatitis B infection as a strategy to induce hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss. The Hepatitis B Research Network Immune-Active Trial evaluated treatment with tenofovir (TDF) for 4 years ± an initial 6 months of peginterferon-α (PegIFN) (NCT01369212) after which treatment was withdrawn. METHODS: Eligible participants (hepatitis B e antigen [HBeAg]-/anti-HBe+, hepatitis B virus [HBV] DNA <10 3 IU/mL, no cirrhosis) who discontinued TDF were followed for at least 1 year with optional follow-up thereafter. Retreatment was based on predefined criteria. RESULTS: Among 201 participants who received 4 years of treatment, 97 participants (45 TDF and 52 TDF + PegIFN arm, 79 Asian) discontinued TDF. HBsAg loss occurred in 5 participants, 2 within 25 weeks and 3 within 89-119 weeks postwithdrawal (cumulative rate 4.3% by 2 years). Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) flares (>5× upper limit of normal) after TDF withdrawal occurred in 36 (37.1%) participants and occurred more frequently and earlier in those HBeAg- compared with HBeAg+ at treatment initiation. ALT flares were associated with older age and higher HBV DNA pretreatment and at the visit before the flare. ALT flares were not significantly associated with HBsAg decline or loss but were associated with immune active disease at 1 year (70.6% vs 11.9%, P < 0.0001) and 2 years (66.7% vs 25.9%, P = 0.03) postwithdrawal. Treatment reinitiation was required in 13 (13.4%) participants, and 13 others remained in a sustained inactive carrier state by the end of the study follow-up. No criteria reliably predicted safe treatment withdrawal. DISCUSSION: Results from this trial do not support TDF withdrawal as a therapeutic strategy. HBsAg loss was infrequent within 2 years of stopping long-term TDF. If withdrawal is considered, HBV DNA should be carefully monitored with reinitiation of therapy if levels rise above 4 log 10 IU/mL to reduce the risk of ALT flares, as they were not associated with subsequent HBsAg decline or loss.
Subject(s)
Hepatitis B, Chronic , Humans , Hepatitis B Surface Antigens , Hepatitis B e Antigens , DNA, Viral , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Nucleotides/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss is associated with improved long-term outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis B but is infrequently achieved with current monotherapies. We assessed whether combination strategies that included treatment withdrawal enhanced HBsAg loss. METHODS: A randomized (1:1) trial of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) for 192 weeks with or without peginterferon (PegIFN) alfa-2a for the first 24 weeks, followed by withdrawal of TDF at week 192 with 48 weeks of off-treatment follow-up to week 240. The primary end point was HBsAg loss at week 240. RESULTS: Of 201 participants (52% HBeAg positive, 12%/6% genotype A/A2, 7% cirrhosis) randomized to TDF + PegIFN (n = 102) or TDF alone (n = 99), 6 participants had lost HBsAg at the end of the treatment phase (week 192), 5 (5.3%) in the combination group, and 1 (1.0%) in the TDF alone group ( P = 0.09). By week 240, 9 participants had cleared HBsAg, 5.3% in combination, and 4.1% in monotherapy arms ( P = 0.73). HBsAg decline and loss occurred earlier with TDF + PegIFN than TDF, with a ≥1-logIU/mL qHBsAg decline by week 24 in 28% in TDF + PegIFN compared with 6% in TDF ( P = 0.04). HBsAg loss occurred in 7 of 12 (58%) with hepatitis B virus subgenotype A2 (all HBeAg positive) compared with only 2 of 189 (1%) with other hepatitis B virus genotypes and in 8 of 93 (8.6%) HBeAg positive vs 1 of 87 (1.1%) HBeAg negative. DISCUSSION: PegIFN combined TDF followed by protocolized TDF withdrawal led to earlier but not higher percentages of HBsAg clearance. Pretreatment HBeAg positivity and subgenotype A2 were strongly associated with HBsAg clearance.
Subject(s)
Hepatitis B, Chronic , Humans , Adult , Tenofovir/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents , Hepatitis B Surface Antigens , Hepatitis B e Antigens , Treatment Outcome , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Polyethylene Glycols/therapeutic use , DNA, ViralABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Remdesivir is recommended for certain hospitalized patients with COVID-19. However, these recommendations are based on evidence from small randomized trials, early observational studies, or expert opinion. Further investigation is needed to better inform treatment guidelines with regard to the effectiveness of remdesivir among these patients. METHODS: We emulated a randomized target trial using chargemaster data from 333 US hospitals from 1 May 2020 to 31 December 2021. We compared three treatment protocols: remdesivir within 2 days of hospital admission, no remdesivir within the first 2 days of admission, and no remdesivir ever. We used baseline comorbidities recorded from encounters up to 12 months before admission and identified the use of in-hospital medications, procedures, and oxygen supplementation from charges. We estimated the cumulative incidence of mortality or mechanical ventilation/extracorporeal membrane oxygenation with an inverse probability of censoring weighted estimator. We conducted analyses in the total population as well as in subgroups stratified by level of oxygen supplementation. RESULTS: A total of 274,319 adult patients met the eligibility criteria for the study. Thirty-day in-hospital mortality risk differences for patients adhering to the early remdesivir protocol were -3.1% (95% confidence interval = -3.5%, -2.7%) compared to no early remdesivir and -3.7% (95% confidence interval -4.2%, -3.2%) compared to never remdesivir, with the strongest effect in patients needing high-flow oxygen. For mechanical ventilation/extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, risk differences were minimal. CONCLUSIONS: We estimate that, among hospitalized patients with COVID-19, remdesivir treatment within 2 days of admission reduced 30-day in-hospital mortality, particularly for patients receiving supplemental oxygen on the day of admission.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adult , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19 Drug Treatment , Clinical Protocols , OxygenABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Patients hospitalized for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may experience complications following hospitalization and require readmission. In this analysis, we estimated the rate and risk factors associated with COVID-19-related readmission and inpatient mortality. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used deidentified chargemaster data from 297 hospitals across 40 US states on patients hospitalized with COVID-19 from 15 February 2020 through 9 June 2020. Demographics, comorbidities, acute conditions, and clinical characteristics of first hospitalization are summarized. Multivariable logistic regression was used to measure risk factor associations with 30-day readmission and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among 29 659 patients, 1070 (3.6%) were readmitted. Readmitted patients were more likely to have diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease (CVD), or chronic kidney disease (CKD) vs those not readmitted (Pâ <â .0001) and to present on first admission with acute kidney injury (15.6% vs 9.2%), congestive heart failure (6.4% vs 2.4%), or cardiomyopathy (2.1% vs 0.8%) (Pâ <â .0001). Higher odds of readmission were observed in patients aged >60 vs 18-40 years (odds ratio [OR], 1.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48-2.50) and those admitted in the Northeast vs West (OR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.14-1.79) or South (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.11-1.49). Comorbidities including diabetes (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.12-1.60), CVD (OR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.23-1.72), CKD stage 1-5 (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.25-1.81), and CKD stage 5 (OR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.81-2.86) were associated with higher odds of readmission; 12.3% of readmitted patients died during second hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Among this large US population of patients hospitalized with COVID-19, readmission was associated with certain comorbidities and acute conditions during first hospitalization. These findings may inform strategies to mitigate risks of readmission due to COVID-19 complications.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cardiovascular Diseases , Kidney Failure, Chronic , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/therapy , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Humans , Patient Readmission , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are at an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Hydoxy-3-methyglutaryl-coenzyme reductase inhibitors, statins, reduce the risk of cardiovascular events.1 Studies have shown that statins are safe among patients with liver disease, including those with compensated cirrhosis,2 and their use is associated with lower mortality, hepatic decompensation, and possibly hepatocellular carcinoma.3,4 Despite these data, statins are under prescribed among patients with liver disease due to concerns about hepatotoxicity.5 This study aimed to assess prevalence and patient factors associated with indicated statin use in patients with NAFLD in a real-world cohort.
Subject(s)
Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors , Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/adverse effects , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/complications , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/drug therapy , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , PrevalenceABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Outcomes of persons with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in the era of antiviral therapy (AVT) are not well characterized. We determined the incidence and factors associated with clinical outcomes in a multiethnic, North American cohort of adults with chronic HBV infection, who were not on AVT at enrollment. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Adults with chronic HBV infection, not receiving AVT, and without a history of decompensation, HCC, or liver transplantation (LT), were prospectively followed. Participants with known human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis C virus, or hepatitis D virus (HDV) coinfection were excluded. During follow-up, treatment could be initiated per standard of care. Clinical outcomes included: incident cirrhosis, decompensation, HCC, OLT, and HBV-related death. Among 1,418 participants analyzed, 51.5% were women, median age was 41.1 years, 75% were Asian, 10% White, 13% Black, 24% HBeAg(+), and 1.5% cirrhosis at baseline. During the study, 274 started treatment, 83 had an alanine aminotransferase flare, 118 of 330 initially HBeAg(+) became HBeAg(-), and 90 of 1,329 became HBsAg(-). After 6,641 person-years follow-up, 8 participants (4 of 21 with baseline cirrhosis) had 12 clinical outcomes (2 decompensation, 5 HCC, 2 OLT, and 3 HBV-related deaths) and 19 of 1,397 had incident cirrhosis. Twenty-one of 26 participants had first outcome before treatment, none had become HBsAg(-), whereas 5/9 HBeAg(+) had become HBeAg(-) at time of first outcome. Cumulative percentage of clinical outcomes was 16% at year 4 in participants with baseline cirrhosis and 2% (including incident cirrhosis) at year 7 in those without. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of adverse outcomes was low in this closely monitored, large cohort of North American adults with predominantly inactive, chronic HBV without cirrhosis. Our data highlight the benefits of HBsAg loss and the importance of early diagnosis and treatment to prevent cirrhosis and other complications of chronic HBV infection.
Subject(s)
Alanine Transaminase/blood , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Hepatitis B e Antigens/blood , Hepatitis B, Chronic/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adult , Antiviral Agents , Female , Hepatitis B Surface Antigens/blood , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Ontario/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , United States/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Multiple direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimens are available to treat HCV genotype 1 infection. However, comparative effectiveness from randomized controlled trials of DAA regimens is unavailable. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We conducted a pragmatic randomized controlled trial (NCT02786537) to compare the effectiveness of DAAs for HCV genotype 1a or 1b on viral response, safety, tolerability, and medication nonadherence. Adults with compensated liver disease, HCV genotype 1, not pregnant or breastfeeding, and with health insurance likely to cover ledipasvir/sofosbuvir (LDV/SOF) were recruited from 34 US viral hepatitis clinics. Participants were randomized (± ribavirin) to LDV/SOF, elbasvir/grazoprevir (EBR/GZR), and paritaprevir/ritonavir/ombitasvir+dasabuvir (PrOD; treatment arm stopped early). Primary outcomes included sustained viral response at 12 weeks (SVR12), clinician-recorded adverse events, patient-reported symptoms, and medication nonadherence. Between June 2016 and March 2018, 1,609 participants were randomized. Among 1,128 participants who received ≥1 dose of EBR/GZR or LDV/SOF (± ribavirin), SVR12 was 95.2% (95% CI, 92.8%-97.6%) and 97.4% (95% CI, 95.5%-99.2%), respectively, with a difference estimate of 2.2% (-0.5% to 4.7%), falling within the "equivalence" interval (-5% to 5%). While most (56%) participants experienced adverse events, few were serious (4.2%) or severe (1.8%). In the absence of ribavirin, discontinuations due to adverse events were rare. Patient-reported symptoms and medication nonadherence were similar. Study limitations were dropout due to insurance denial and loss to follow-up after treatment, limiting the ability to measure SVR12. CONCLUSIONS: This pragmatic trial demonstrated high SVR12 for participants treated with EBR/GZR and LDV/SOF with few adverse effects. Overall, the two regimens were equivalent in effectiveness. The results support current HCV guidelines that do not distinguish between ribavirin-free EBR/GZR and LDV/SOF.
Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/administration & dosage , Hepacivirus/isolation & purification , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , 2-Naphthylamine/administration & dosage , Administration, Oral , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anilides/administration & dosage , Benzimidazoles/administration & dosage , Benzofurans/administration & dosage , Cyclopropanes/administration & dosage , Drug Combinations , Drug Therapy, Combination/methods , Female , Fluorenes/administration & dosage , Follow-Up Studies , Genotyping Techniques , Hepacivirus/genetics , Hepatitis C, Chronic/blood , Hepatitis C, Chronic/diagnosis , Hepatitis C, Chronic/virology , Humans , Imidazoles/administration & dosage , Lactams, Macrocyclic/administration & dosage , Male , Middle Aged , Proline/administration & dosage , Proline/analogs & derivatives , Quinoxalines/administration & dosage , RNA, Viral/blood , Ribavirin/administration & dosage , Sofosbuvir/administration & dosage , Sulfonamides/administration & dosage , Sustained Virologic Response , Treatment Outcome , Uracil/administration & dosage , Uracil/analogs & derivatives , Valine/administration & dosage , Young AdultABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Patients' motivations for undergoing direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for chronic hepatitis C may include anticipation of treatment benefits not well described in the literature. AIMS: Evaluate patients' anticipated and actualized improvements in several domains of functioning before and after viral cure. METHODS: Pre-post-study utilizing in-depth interviews with 28 patients prior to, and several months after, DAA therapy. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, coded, and analyzed by two qualitative experts. RESULTS: Patients had a median age of 54 years, 43% were male, 57% white, 25% had cirrhosis, and 71% were treated with sofosbuvir/ledipasvir. Pre-treatment, patients hoped for improvements in several domains including psychological, emotional, physical, social, and occupational functioning. After viral cure, increased energy and less fear of transmission were pathways to better quality of life. Psychological and emotional improvements positively affected physical, social, and occupational functioning. Social improvements were due to better mood and motivation, fewer symptoms, and reduced fear of stigma and transmission. Occupational benefits were linked to increased stamina, self-confidence, and less pain, anxiety, and stigma. Reduced fear of stigma had a pervasive impact on all life improvements after cure. Patient characteristics such as the presence of cirrhosis or psychiatric issues influence treatment motivations. Qualitative data correspond with change in pre-post-survey scores. CONCLUSIONS: Tremendous hope is placed on the ability of DAA therapy to bring about substantial improvements in life functioning after viral cure. Highly interconnected effects on quality of life worked synergistically through improved physical and psychological well-being. Stakeholders should appreciate the multi-dimensional benefits that viral eradication bestows upon individuals and society.
Subject(s)
Benzimidazoles/therapeutic use , Fluorenes/therapeutic use , Hepatitis C, Chronic , Mental Health , Quality of Life , Social Interaction , Sofosbuvir/therapeutic use , Anticipation, Psychological , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Disease Eradication , Disease Transmission, Infectious/prevention & control , Female , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/psychology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Motivation , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Nucleos(t)ide analogues, with a proven record of safety and efficacy, have been the therapy of choice for over a decade for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B. The approval of tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) in 2016 provided an additional treatment option. AIMS: The aim of this study was to evaluate the characteristics and clinical outcomes of patients treated with TAF in usual clinical practice. METHODS: Retrospective data from electronic health records was obtained from those enrolled in TARGET-HBV, a longitudinal observational cohort study of patients with chronic hepatitis B managed according to local practice standards at community and academic medical centers throughout the U.S. RESULTS: Of 500 patients enrolled, most were male (66%) and of Asian race (66%) with median age of 55 years. Cirrhosis was evident in 15%. Most patients (82%) had switched to TAF after treatment with other antivirals. The perceived safety profile of TAF was cited as the primary reason for changing therapy (32%). TAF was well tolerated and only 4 patients discontinued therapy due to adverse event during a median duration of TAF dosing of 74 weeks. Among those with paired laboratory data 12-18 months after switching to TAF, biochemical response and HBV DNA suppression was maintained. Most patients had normal renal function which was essentially unchanged throughout follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: TAF is frequently utilized in routine clinical practice due to the perception of its improved safety profile. The current study supports the growing body of evidence regarding the safety and effectiveness of TAF. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03692897, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03692897 .
Subject(s)
Hepatitis B, Chronic , Adenine/therapeutic use , Alanine/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/adverse effects , Female , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Hepatitis B, Chronic/drug therapy , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Tenofovir/adverse effects , Tenofovir/analogs & derivatives , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Machine learning algorithms are currently used in a wide array of clinical domains to produce models that can predict clinical risk events. Most models are developed and evaluated with retrospective data, very few are evaluated in a clinical workflow, and even fewer report performances in different hospitals. In this study, we provide detailed evaluations of clinical risk prediction models in live clinical workflows for three different use cases in three different hospitals. OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to evaluate clinical risk prediction models in live clinical workflows and compare their performance in these setting with their performance when using retrospective data. We also aimed at generalizing the results by applying our investigation to three different use cases in three different hospitals. METHODS: We trained clinical risk prediction models for three use cases (ie, delirium, sepsis, and acute kidney injury) in three different hospitals with retrospective data. We used machine learning and, specifically, deep learning to train models that were based on the Transformer model. The models were trained using a calibration tool that is common for all hospitals and use cases. The models had a common design but were calibrated using each hospital's specific data. The models were deployed in these three hospitals and used in daily clinical practice. The predictions made by these models were logged and correlated with the diagnosis at discharge. We compared their performance with evaluations on retrospective data and conducted cross-hospital evaluations. RESULTS: The performance of the prediction models with data from live clinical workflows was similar to the performance with retrospective data. The average value of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) decreased slightly by 0.6 percentage points (from 94.8% to 94.2% at discharge). The cross-hospital evaluations exhibited severely reduced performance: the average AUROC decreased by 8 percentage points (from 94.2% to 86.3% at discharge), which indicates the importance of model calibration with data from the deployment hospital. CONCLUSIONS: Calibrating the prediction model with data from different deployment hospitals led to good performance in live settings. The performance degradation in the cross-hospital evaluation identified limitations in developing a generic model for different hospitals. Designing a generic process for model development to generate specialized prediction models for each hospital guarantees model performance in different hospitals.
Subject(s)
Electronic Health Records , Machine Learning , Hospitals , Humans , ROC Curve , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: As coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disseminates throughout the United States, a better understanding of the patient characteristics associated with hospitalization, morbidity, and mortality in diverse geographic regions is essential. METHODS: Hospital chargemaster data on adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to 245 hospitals across 38 states between 15 February and 20 April 2020 were assessed. The clinical course from admission, through hospitalization, and to discharge or death was analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 11 721 patients were included (majority were >60 years of age [59.9%] and male [53.4%]). Comorbidities included hypertension (46.7%), diabetes (27.8%), cardiovascular disease (18.6%), obesity (16.1%), and chronic kidney disease (12.2%). Mechanical ventilation was required by 1967 patients (16.8%). Mortality among hospitalized patients was 21.4% and increased to 70.5% among those on mechanical ventilation. Male sex, older age, obesity, geographic region, and the presence of chronic kidney disease or a preexisting cardiovascular disease were associated with increased odds of mechanical ventilation. All aforementioned risk factors, with the exception of obesity, were associated with increased odds of death (all P values < .001). Many patients received investigational medications for treatment of COVID-19, including 48 patients on remdesivir and 4232 on hydroxychloroquine. CONCLUSIONS: This large observational cohort describes the clinical course and identifies factors associated with the outcomes of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 across the United States. These data can inform strategies to prioritize prevention and treatment for this disease.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adult , Aged , Comorbidity , Hospitalization , Humans , Hydroxychloroquine , Male , Respiration, Artificial , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2 , United States/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Retreatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (G/P) resulted in a rate of sustained virologic response 12 weeks after treatment completion (SVR12) of >90% in HCV genotype 1 (GT1) patients who previously failed a regimen of sofosbuvir plus an NS5A inhibitor (NS5Ai). This study investigated the prevalence and impact of baseline NS3 and NS5A resistance-associated substitutions (RASs) on the efficacy of G/P in prior GT1 sofosbuvir+NS5Ai failures and the persistence of treatment-emergent RASs. METHODS: Longitudinal samples from 177 patients enrolled in a phase IIIb, randomized pragmatic clinical trial were analyzed. Patients without cirrhosis were randomized to 12 or 16 weeks of G/P, and patients with compensated cirrhosis were randomized to G/P and ribavirin for 12 weeks or G/P for 16 weeks. Linkage of RAS was identified using Primer-ID next-generation sequencing at a 15% cut-off. RESULTS: Of 177 patients, 169 (95.5%) were PI-naïve. All 33 GT1b-infected patients achieved SVR12. In GT1a-infected patients, baseline NS5A RASs were prevalent (74.5%, 105/141) but NS3 RASs were uncommon. Baseline NS3 RASs had no impact on G/P efficacy and patients with baseline NS5A RASs showed a numerically but not statistically significantly lower SVR12 rate compared to those without NS5A RASs (89% vs. 97%). SVR12 was achieved in 34 of 35 (97%) patients without NS5A baseline substitution, and 53 of 57 (93%), 35 of 40 (88%), 5 of 8 (63%) with single, double-linked, and triple-linked NS5A substitutions, respectively. Among 13 patients with virologic failure, 4 acquired treatment-emergent NS3 RASs and 10 acquired NS5A RASs. CONCLUSION: Baseline NS5A RASs were highly prevalent. The presence of an increasing number of linked NS5A RASs in GT1a showed a trend in decreasing SVR12 rates, although no specific NS5A RASs or their linkage pattern were associated with lower SVR12 rates. LAY SUMMARY: Direct-acting antivirals have revolutionized the treatment of chronic hepatitis C infection, but treatment failure occurs in some patients. Retreatment of patients who previously failed a regimen consisting of sofosbuvir and an NS5A inhibitor with a regimen of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir (G/P) is >90% effective. Herein, we analyzed samples from these patients and showed that retreatment efficacy with G/P is lower in patients with double- or triple-linked NS5A resistance mutations than in patients with single or no NS5A resistance mutations. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: NCT03092375.
Subject(s)
Benzimidazoles/pharmacology , Drug Resistance/immunology , Pyrrolidines/pharmacology , Quinoxalines/pharmacology , RNA-Dependent RNA Polymerase/antagonists & inhibitors , Sofosbuvir/metabolism , Sulfonamides/pharmacology , Viral Nonstructural Proteins/antagonists & inhibitors , Adult , Antiviral Agents/administration & dosage , Antiviral Agents/metabolism , Benzimidazoles/therapeutic use , Drug Combinations , Female , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/physiopathology , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Pyrrolidines/therapeutic use , Quinoxalines/administration & dosage , Quinoxalines/therapeutic use , RNA-Dependent RNA Polymerase/pharmacology , Sofosbuvir/administration & dosage , Sulfonamides/therapeutic use , United States/epidemiology , Viral Nonstructural Proteins/pharmacologyABSTRACT
Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) is a soluble viral protein in plasma of patients with hepatitis B virus infection. HBeAg loss is an important first stage of viral antigen clearance. We determined the rate and predictors of HBeAg loss in a North American cohort with chronic hepatitis B viral infection (CHB). Among children and adults with CHB and without HIV, HCV or HDV co-infection enrolled in the Hepatitis B Research Network prospective cohort studies, 819 were HBeAg positive at their first assessment (treatment naïve or >24 weeks since treatment). Of these, 577 (200 children, 377 adults) were followed every 24-48 weeks. HBeAg loss was defined as first HBeAg-negative value; sustained HBeAg loss was defined as ≥2 consecutive HBeAg-negative values ≥24 weeks apart. During a median follow-up of 1.8 years, 164 participants experienced HBeAg loss, a rate of 11.4 (95% CI, 9.8-13.3) per 100 person-years. After adjustment for confounders, HBeAg loss rate was significantly higher in males than females, in older than younger individuals, in Whites or Blacks than Asians, in those with genotype A2 or B versus C, and in those with basal core promoter/pre-core mutations versus wild type. Additionally, during follow-up, an ALT flare and a lower quantitative HBsAg, quantitative HBeAg or HBV DNA level predicted higher rates of HBeAg loss. The majority (88%) with HBeAg loss had sustained HBeAg loss. In conclusion, a number of specific demographic, clinical and viral characteristics impacted rate of HBeAg loss and may prove useful in design and interpretation of future therapeutic studies.
Subject(s)
Hepatitis B e Antigens , Hepatitis B, Chronic , Aged , Cohort Studies , DNA, Viral , Female , Hepatitis B Surface Antigens , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/epidemiology , Humans , Male , North America/epidemiology , Prospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) and alcohol use are patient risk factors for accelerated fibrosis progression, yet few randomized controlled trials have tested clinic-based alcohol interventions. APPROACH AND RESULTS: A total of 181 patients with HCV and qualifying alcohol screener scores at three liver center settings were randomly assigned to the following: (1) medical provider-delivered Screening, Brief Intervention, and Referral to Treatment (SBIRT), including motivational interviewing counseling and referral out for alcohol treatment (SBIRT-only), or (2) SBIRT plus 6 months of integrated colocated alcohol therapy (SBIRT + Alcohol Treatment). The timeline followback method was used to assess alcohol use at baseline and 3, 6, and 12 months. Coprimary outcomes were alcohol abstinence at 6 months and heavy drinking days between 6 and 12 months. Secondary outcomes included grams of alcohol consumed per week at 6 months. Mean therapy hours across 6 months were 8.8 for SBIRT-only and 10.1 for SBIRT + Alcohol Treatment participants. The proportion of participants exhibiting full alcohol abstinence increased from baseline to 3, 6, and 12 months in both treatment arms, but no significant differences were found between arms (baseline to 6 months, 7.1% to 20.5% for SBIRT-only; 4.2% to 23.3% for SBIRT + Alcohol Treatment; P = 0.70). Proportions of participants with any heavy drinking days decreased in both groups at 6 months but did not significantly differ between the SBIRT-only (87.5% to 26.7%) and SBIRT + Alcohol Treatment (85.7% to 42.1%) arms (P = 0.30). Although both arms reduced average grams of alcohol consumed per week from baseline to 6 and 12 months, between-treatment effects were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with current or prior HCV infection will engage in alcohol treatment when encouraged by liver medical providers. Liver clinics should consider implementing provider-delivered SBIRT and tailored alcohol treatment referrals as part of the standard of care.
Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking , Alcoholism , Counseling/methods , Hepatitis C , Liver Cirrhosis , Motivational Interviewing/methods , Alcohol Abstinence/statistics & numerical data , Alcohol Drinking/physiopathology , Alcohol Drinking/psychology , Alcoholic Beverages , Alcoholism/complications , Alcoholism/diagnosis , Alcoholism/physiopathology , Alcoholism/therapy , Female , Hepatitis C/complications , Hepatitis C/diagnosis , Hepatitis C/psychology , Humans , Liver Cirrhosis/etiology , Liver Cirrhosis/prevention & control , Male , Mass Screening/methods , Middle Aged , Referral and Consultation , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Reduction BehaviorABSTRACT
The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 pandemic has drastically altered all facets of clinical care and research. Clinical research in hepatology has had a rich tradition in several domains, including the discovery and therapeutic development for diseases such as hepatitis B and C and studying the natural history of many forms of chronic liver disease. National Institutes of Health, foundation, and industry funding have provided important opportunities to advance the academic careers of young investigators while they strived to make contributions to the field. Instantaneously, however, all nonessential research activities were halted when the pandemic started, forcing those involved in clinical research to rethink their research strategy, including a shift to coronavirus disease 2019 research while endeavoring to maintain their preexisting agenda. Strategies to maintain the integrity of ongoing studies, including patient follow-up, safety assessments, and continuation of investigational products, have included a shift to telemedicine, remote safety laboratory monitoring, and shipping of investigational products to study subjects. As a revamp of research is being planned, unique issues that face the research community include maintenance of infrastructure, funding, completion of studies in the predetermined time frame, and the need to reprogram career path timelines. Real-world databases, biomarker and long-term follow up studies, and research involving special groups (children, the homeless, and other marginalized populations) are likely to face unique challenges. The implementation of telemedicine has been dramatically accelerated and will serve as a backbone for the future of clinical research. As we move forward, innovation in clinical trial design will be essential for conducting optimized clinical research.
Subject(s)
Biomedical Research/organization & administration , Coronavirus Infections/prevention & control , Gastroenterology/methods , Pandemics/prevention & control , Pneumonia, Viral/prevention & control , Telemedicine/organization & administration , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Delivery of Health Care , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Male , Needs Assessment , Pandemics/statistics & numerical data , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Program Development , Program Evaluation , Research Design , United StatesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains underdiagnosed and undertreated, but treatment advances may allow primary care providers to address gaps in care by delivering HCV treatment themselves. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate results of an HCV treatment program at a federally qualified health center (FQHC) in rural North Carolina and assess the extent to which program success depends upon ongoing consultative support from specialists. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used data on 381 FQHC patients internally referred for HCV care from January 2015 to December 2018, with follow-up through December 2019. Using modified Poisson regression analyses we compared outcomes during periods with (2015-2016) and without (2017-2018) consultative support. Outcomes included treatment initiation, completion, and cure. We also modeled the likelihood of keeping the first appointment, but because multiple referral attempts were made among nonresponsive patients throughout the study period, we could not compare this outcome in periods with and without consultative support. RESULTS: Of all patients referred for evaluation, 91.3% kept at least 1 appointment, 74.1% initiated treatment, 72% completed treatment, and 68.1% were cured. When comparing periods with and without consultative support, there were no significant differences in treatment initiation ([relative risk (RR): 0.975, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.871, 1.092], treatment completion (RR: 0.989, 95% CI: 0.953, 1.027), or cure (RR: 0.977, 95% CI: 0.926, 1.031). CONCLUSIONS: After 2 years of consultative support from specialists, primary care providers at FQHCs can deliver HCV treatment effectively without ongoing support. However, more research is needed to determine whether our findings are generalizable across primary care settings.
Subject(s)
Hepatitis C/therapy , Primary Health Care/methods , Referral and Consultation/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Community Health Services/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , North Carolina , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Adherence and Compliance/statistics & numerical dataABSTRACT
Real-world evidence includes all health-related information, such as electronic health records, insurance claims, pharmacy records and wearables that are obtained outside of clinical trials. These data can provide critical insights into the natural history of disease and evaluate the safety and effectiveness of treatment regimens used in clinical practice. Real-world data have been applied to varying degrees by global regulatory agencies to inform and expedite many phases of drug development and help refine the use of therapeutic regimens after marketing, especially in populations that are under-represented in registration trials. For the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, early detection provides the best chance for curative therapies, whose success has been evaluated in numerous cohorts. The availability of novel systemic therapies, including kinase inhibitors and immunotherapies, has provided new treatment options and improved survival in patients with advanced stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Real-world longitudinal observational studies can help understand the long-term safety and effectiveness of these agents.