Training the next generation of pharmacometric modelers: a multisector perspective.

The current demand for pharmacometricians outmatches the supply provided by academic institutions and considerable investments are made to develop the competencies of these scientists on-the-job. Even with the observed increase in academic programs related to pharmacometrics, this need is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future, as the demand and scope of pharmacometrics applications keep expanding. Further, the field of pharmacometrics is changing. The field largely started when Lewis Sheiner and Stuart Beal published their seminal papers on population pharmacokinetics in the late 1970's and early 1980's and has continued to grow in impact and use since its inception. Physiological-based pharmacokinetics and systems pharmacology have grown rapidly in scope and impact in the last decade and machine learning is just on the horizon. While all these methodologies are categorized as pharmacometrics, no one person can be an expert in everything. So how do you train future pharmacometricians? Leading experts in academia, industry, contract research organizations, clinical medicine, and regulatory gave their opinions on how to best train future pharmacometricians. Their opinions were collected and synthesized to create some general recommendations.

A Pharmacokinetic Analysis of Tobramycin in Patients Less than Five Years of Age with Cystic Fibrosis: Assessment of Target Attainment with Extended-Interval Dosing through Simulation.

Extended interval dosing of tobramycin is recommended for treatment of pulmonary exacerbations in adults and older children with cystic fibrosis (CF), but data are limited in patients less than 5 years of age. We performed a retrospective population pharmacokinetic (PK) analysis of hospitalized children with CF <5 years of age prescribed intravenous tobramycin for a pulmonary exacerbation from March 2011 to September 2018 at our hospital. Children with normal renal function who had ≥1 tobramycin concentration available were included. Nonlinear mixed effects population PK modeling was performed using NONMEM using data from the first 48 h of tobramycin treatment. Monte Carlo simulations were implemented to determine the fraction of simulated patients that met published therapeutic targets with regimens of 10-15 mg/kg/day once-daily dosing. Fifty-eight patients received 111 tobramycin courses (range 1-9/patient). A two-compartment model best described the data. Age, glomerular filtration rate, and vancomycin coadministration were significant covariates on tobramycin clearance. The typical values of clearance and central volume of distribution were 0.252 L/hr/kg^0.75 and 0.308 L/kg, respectively. No once-daily regimens achieved all pre-specified targets simultaneously in >75% of simulated subjects. A dosage of 13 mg/kg/dose best met the predefined targets of Cmax >25 mg/L and AUC24 of 80-120 mg·h/L. Based on our population PK analysis and simulations, once-daily dosing of tobramycin would not achieve all therapeutic goals in young patients with CF. However, extended-interval dosing regimens may attain therapeutic targets in the majority of young patients.

Latent process model of the 6-minute walk test in Duchenne muscular dystrophy : A Bayesian approach to quantifying rare disease progression.

Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is a rare X-linked genetic pediatric disease characterized by a lack of functional dystrophin production in the body, resulting in muscle deterioration. Lower body muscle weakness progresses to non-ambulation typically by early teenage years, followed by upper body muscle deterioration and ultimately death by the late twenties. The objective of this study was to enhance the quantitative understanding of DMD disease progression through nonlinear mixed effects modeling of the population mean and variability of the 6-min walk test (6MWT) clinical endpoint. An indirect response model with a latent process was fit to digitized literature data using full Bayesian estimation. The modeling data set consisted of 22 healthy controls and 218 DMD patients from one interventional and four observational trials. The model reasonably described the central tendency and population variability of the 6MWT in healthy subjects and DMD patients. An exploratory categorical covariate analysis indicated that there was no apparent effect of corticosteroid administration on DMD disease progression. The population predicted 6MWT began to rise at 1.32 years of age, plateauing at 654 meters (m) at 17.2 years of age for the healthy population. The DMD trajectory reached a maximum of 411 m at 8.90 years before declining and falling below 1 m at age 18.0. The model has potential to be used as a Bayesian estimation and posterior simulation tool to make informed model-based drug development decisions that incorporate prior knowledge with new data.

Morphine Dose Optimization in Critically Ill Pediatric Patients With Acute Respiratory Failure: A Population Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacogenomic Study.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic population model of morphine in critically ill children with acute respiratory failure. DESIGN: Prospective pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic observational study. SETTING: Thirteen PICUs across the United States. PATIENTS: Pediatric subjects (n = 66) mechanically ventilated for acute respiratory failure, weight greater than or equal to 7 kg, receiving morphine and/or midazolam continuous infusions. INTERVENTIONS: Serial blood sampling for drug quantification and a single blood collection for genomic evaluation. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Concentrations of morphine, the two main metabolites, morphine-3-glucuronide and morphine-6-glucuronide, were quantified by high-performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry/mass spectroscopy. Subjects were genotyped using the Illumina HumanOmniExpress genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism chip. Nonlinear mixed-effects modeling was performed to develop the pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic model. A two-compartment model with linear elimination and two individual compartments for metabolites best describe morphine disposition in this population. Our analysis demonstrates that body weight and postmenstrual age are relevant predictors of pharmacokinetic parameters of morphine and its metabolites. Furthermore, our research shows that a duration of mechanical ventilation greater than or equal to 10 days reduces metabolite formation and elimination upwards of 30%. However, due to the small sample size and relative heterogeneity of the population, no heritable factors associated with uridine diphosphate glucuronyl transferase 2B7 metabolism of morphine were identified. CONCLUSIONS: The results provide a better understanding of the disposition of morphine and its metabolites in critically ill children with acute respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation due to nonheritable factors. It also provides the groundwork for developing additional studies to investigate the role of heritable factors.

Midazolam Dose Optimization in Critically Ill Pediatric Patients With Acute Respiratory Failure: A Population Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacogenomic Study.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic population model of midazolam in critically ill children with primary respiratory failure. DESIGN: Prospective pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic observational study. SETTING: Thirteen PICUs across the United States. PATIENTS: Pediatric subjects mechanically ventilated for acute respiratory failure, weight greater than or equal to 7 kg, receiving morphine and/or midazolam continuous infusions. INTERVENTIONS: Serial blood sampling for drug quantification and a single blood collection for genomic evaluation. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Concentrations of midazolam, the 1' (1`-hydroxymidazolam metabolite) and 4' (4`-hydroxymidazolam metabolite) hydroxyl, and the 1' and 4' glucuronide metabolites were measured. Subjects were genotyped using the Illumina HumanOmniExpress genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism chip. Nonlinear mixed effects modeling was performed to develop the pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic model. Body weight, age, hepatic and renal functions, and the UGT2B7 rs62298861 polymorphism are relevant predictors of midazolam pharmacokinetic variables. The estimated midazolam clearance was 0.61 L/min/70kg. Time to reach 50% complete mature midazolam and 1`-hydroxymidazolam metabolite/4`-hydroxymidazolam metabolite clearances was 1.0 and 0.97 years postmenstrual age. The final model suggested a decrease in midazolam clearance with increase in alanine transaminase and a lower clearance of the glucuronide metabolites with a renal dysfunction. In the pharmacogenomic analysis, rs62298861 and rs28365062 in the UGT2B7 gene were in high linkage disequilibrium. Minor alleles were associated with a higher 1`-hydroxymidazolam metabolite clearance in Caucasians. In the pharmacokinetic-pharmacogenomic model, clearance was expected to increase by 10% in heterozygous and 20% in homozygous for the minor allele with respect to homozygous for the major allele. CONCLUSIONS: This work leveraged available knowledge on nonheritable and heritable factors affecting midazolam pharmacokinetic in pediatric subjects with primary respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, providing the basis for a future implementation of an individual-based approach to sedation.

A Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis to Study the Effect of Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation on Cefepime Disposition in Children.

OBJECTIVES: Limited data exist on the effects of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation on pharmacokinetics of cefepime in critically ill pediatric patients. The objective was to describe cefepime disposition in children treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation using population pharmacokinetic modeling. DESIGN: Multicenter, prospective observational study. SETTING: The pediatric and cardiac ICUs of six sites of the Collaborative Pediatric Critical Care Research Network. PATIENTS: Seventeen critically ill children (30 d to < 2 yr old) on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation who received cefepime as standard of care between January 4, 2014, and August 24, 2015, were enrolled. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A pharmacokinetic model was developed to evaluate cefepime disposition differences due to extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. A two-compartment model with linear elimination, weight effects on clearance, intercompartmental clearance (Q), central volume of distribution (V1), and peripheral volume of distribution (V2) adequately described the data. The typical value of clearance in this study was 7.1 mL/min (1.9 mL/min/kg) for a patient weighing 5.8 kg. This value decreased by approximately 40% with the addition of renal replacement therapy. The typical value for V1 was 1,170 mL. In the setting of blood transfusions, V1 increased by over two-fold but was reduced with increasing age of the extracorporeal membrane oxygenation circuit oxygenator. CONCLUSIONS: Cefepime clearance was reduced in pediatric patients treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation compared with previously reported values in children not receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The model demonstrated that the age of the extracorporeal membrane oxygenation circuit oxygenator is inversely correlated to V1. For free cefepime, only 14 of the 19 doses (74%) demonstrated a fT_minimum inhibitory concentration of 16 mg/L, an appropriate target for the treatment of pseudomonal infections, for greater than 70% of the dosing interval. Pediatric patients on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation might benefit from the addition of therapeutic drug monitoring of cefepime to assure appropriate dosing.

Polymorphisms in cytochrome P450 are associated with extensive efavirenz pharmacokinetics and CNS toxicities in an HIV cohort in Botswana.

Inter-individual variability in efavirenz (EFV) pharmacokinetics and dynamics is dominantly driven by the polymorphism in cytochrome P450 (CYP) isoenzyme 2B6 516G>T. We hypothesized that additional CYP polymorphisms mediate the relationship between CYP2B6 516G>T, EFV metabolism, and clinical events. We investigated 21 SNPs in 814 HIV-infected adults initiating EFV-based therapy in Botswana for population pharmacokinetics, CNS toxicities, and treatment outcomes. Two SNPs (rs28399499 and rs28399433) showed reduced apparent oral EFV clearance. Four SNPs (rs2279345, rs4803417, rs4802101, and rs61663607) showed extensive clearance. Composite CYP2B-mediated EFV metabolism was significantly associated with CNS toxicity (p = 0.04), with extensive metabolizers reporting more and slow and very slow metabolizers reporting less toxicity after 1 month compared to intermediate metabolizers. Composite CYP2B6 metabolism was not associated with composite early treatment failure. In conclusion, our data suggest that CNS-related toxicities might not be solely the result of super-therapeutic parent EFV concentrations in HIV-infected individuals in patients of African ancestry.

Corrigendum: 2016 ACG Abstracts-Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/ajg.2016.358.

A Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis to Study the Effect of Therapeutic Hypothermia on Vancomycin Disposition in Children Resuscitated From Cardiac Arrest.

OBJECTIVES: Limited data exist on the effects of therapeutic hypothermia on renal function and pharmacokinetics in pediatric patients after cardiac arrest. The objective was to describe the differences in vancomycin disposition in pediatric patients following cardiac arrest treated with either therapeutic hypothermia or normothermia using population pharmacokinetic modeling. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: A tertiary care hospital pediatric and cardiac ICU. PATIENTS: Fifty-two pediatric patients (30 d to 17 yr old) who experienced a cardiac arrest, received vancomycin, and were treated with therapeutic hypothermia (32-34°C) or normothermia (36.3-37.6°C) between January 1, 2010, and September 30, 2014, were reviewed. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A two-compartment model with linear elimination, weight effects on clearance, intercompartmental clearance (Q), central volume of distribution (V1), and peripheral volume of distribution (V2) adequately described the data despite high variability due to the small sample size. The typical value of clearance in this study was 4.48 L/hr (0.19 L/hr/kg) for a normothermic patient weighing 70 kg and a glomerular filtration rate of 90 mL/min/1.73 m. Patients treated with normothermia but with reduced or poor renal function (≤ 90 mL/min/1.73 m) had up to an 80% reduction in vancomycin clearance compared to those with normal renal function (90-140 mL/min/1.73 m). Patients with normal renal function but treated with therapeutic hypothermia versus normothermia experienced up to 25% reduction in vancomycin clearance. Patients treated with therapeutic hypothermia and with poor renal function experienced up to an 84% reduction in vancomycin clearance. CONCLUSIONS: Patients receiving hypothermia and/or with decreased renal function had lower vancomycin clearances based on a retrospectively fitted two-compartment model in children who experience cardiac arrest.

Model-based meta-analysis for comparing Vitamin D2 and D3 parent-metabolite pharmacokinetics.

Association of Vitamin D (D3 & D2) and its 25OHD metabolite (25OHD3 & 25OHD2) exposures with various diseases is an active research area. D3 and D2 dose-equivalency and each form's ability to raise 25OHD concentrations are not well-defined. The current work describes a population pharmacokinetic (PK) model for D2 and 25OHD2 and the use of a previously developed D3-25OHD3 PK model [1] for comparing D3 and D2-related exposures. Public-source D2 and 25OHD2 PK data in healthy or osteoporotic populations, including 17 studies representing 278 individuals (15 individual-level and 18 arm-level units), were selected using search criteria in PUBMED. Data included oral, single and multiple D2 doses (400-100,000 IU/d). Nonlinear mixed effects models were developed simultaneously for D2 and 25OHD2 PK (NONMEM v7.2) by considering 1- and 2-compartment models with linear or nonlinear clearance. Unit-level random effects and residual errors were weighted by arm sample size. Model simulations compared 25OHD exposures, following repeated D2 and D3 oral administration across typical dosing and baseline ranges. D2 parent and metabolite were each described by 2-compartment models with numerous parameter estimates shared with the D3-25OHD3 model [1]. Notably, parent D2 was eliminated (converted to 25OHD) through a first-order clearance whereas the previously published D3 model [1] included a saturable non-linear clearance. Similar to 25OHD3 PK model results [1], 25OHD2 was eliminated by a first-order clearance, which was almost twice as fast as the former. Simulations at lower baselines, following lower equivalent doses, indicated that D3 was more effective than D2 at raising 25OHD concentrations. Due to saturation of D3 clearance, however, at higher doses or baselines, the probability of D2 surpassing D3's ability to raise 25OHD concentrations increased substantially. Since 25OHD concentrations generally surpassed 75 nmol/L at these higher baselines by 3 months, there would be no expected clinical difference in the two forms.

A model of fracture risk used to examine the link between bone mineral density and the impact of different therapeutic mechanisms on fracture outcomes in patients with osteoporosis.

A hazard model of fracture was developed using individual patient data (IPD) from the NHANES (2005-2008) database and summary-level data from an aggregate dataset (AD). The AD was built by performing a comprehensive and systematic literature search of clinical studies published from 1995 to 2015, recording fracture rate and bone mineral density (BMD) for both treatment and placebo arms. The search resulted in a metadata set comprised of 21 studies investigating the effects of various bisphosphonates, teriparatide, denosumab, and raloxifene in 65,254 patients over a cumulative 56.75 years of study. The IPD was used to augment an AD in a model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) hierarchical modeling approach. The resulting model predicts the probability of fracture events in patients with osteoporosis. The object of model building using this approach was to promote understanding of the impact of therapeutic drug effects on the probability of fracture together with, or independent of their effects on BMD. Candidate models were evaluated by deviance information criteria and posterior predictive check. The model with covariates for lumbar spine BMD with interaction with a drug effect on BMD, and patient body mass index, years post-menopause, fracture measure method (clinical or radiological) and an additional drug effect outperformed those models without interaction and without additional drug effects. The model quantitatively supports the widely held notion that changes in bone microarchitecture, which cannot be measured by areal BMD elicited by therapy contribute in a significant way to a reduction in fracture. Furthermore, this model can be used to simulate fracture risk in a clinical cohort similar to those contained in the MBMA.

Dexmedetomidine Pharmacology in Neonates and Infants After Open Heart Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Dexmedetomidine is a highly selective α2-agonist with hypnotic, analgesic, and anxiolytic properties. Despite off-label administration, dexmedetomidine has found a niche in critically ill neonates and infants with congenital heart disease because of its minimal effects on respiratory function at sedative doses, facilitating early extubation and fast-track postoperative care. There are little pharmacokinetic data regarding newborns who have immature drug metabolizing capacity and who are at risk for reduced dexmedetomidine clearance and drug toxicity. The aim of this study was to determine the pharmacokinetics of dexmedetomidine in neonates and infants after open heart surgery. This study included 23 evaluable neonates (age, 1 day-1 month) and 36 evaluable infants (age, 1 month-24 months) after open heart surgery. METHODS: Full-term neonates and infants requiring mechanical ventilation after open heart surgery received dexmedetomidine in a dose-escalation study. Dexmedetomidine was administered as a loading dose over 10 minutes followed by a continuous IV infusion up to 24 hours. Cohorts of 12 infants were enrolled sequentially to receive 0.35, 0.7, or 1 µg/kg dexmedetomidine followed by 0.25, 0.5, or 0.75 µg/kg/h dexmedetomidine, respectively. Cohorts of 9 neonates received 0.25, 0.35, or 0.5 µg/kg dexmedetomidine followed by 0.2, 0.3, or 0.4 µg/kg/h dexmedetomidine, respectively. Plasma dexmedetomidine concentrations were determined using a validated high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry assay. A population nonlinear mixed effects modeling approach was used to characterize dexmedetomidine pharmacokinetics. RESULTS: Pharmacokinetic parameters of dexmedetomidine were estimated using a 2-compartment disposition model with weight allometrically scaled as a covariate on drug clearance, intercompartmental clearance, central and peripheral volume of distributions and age, total bypass time, and intracardiac shunting on clearance. Dexmedetomidine demonstrated a plasma drug clearance of 657 × (weight/70) mL/min, intercompartmental clearance of 6780 × (weight/70) mL/min, central volume of distribution of 88 × (weight/70) L and peripheral volume of distribution of 112 × (weight/70) L for a typical subject with age >1 month with a cardiopulmonary bypass time of 60 minutes and without right-to-left intracardiac shunt. Dexmedetomidine pharmacokinetics may be influenced by age during the neonatal period, weight, total bypass time, and presence of intracardiac shunt. CONCLUSIONS: Dexmedetomidine clearance is significantly diminished in full-term newborns and increases rapidly in the first few weeks of life. The dependence of clearance on age during the first few weeks of life reflects the relative immaturity of metabolic processes during the newborn period. Continuous infusions of up to 0.3 µg/kg/h in neonates and 0.75 µg/kg/h in infants were well tolerated after open heart surgery.

Model-based meta-analysis for development of a population-pharmacokinetic (PPK) model for Vitamin D3 and its 25OHD3 metabolite using both individual and arm-level data.

Clinical studies investigating relationships between D3 and 25OHD3 vary in dosing regimen, assays, demographics, and control of exogenous D3. This leads to uncertain and conflicting exposure-related associations with D3 and 25OHD3. To elucidate this parent-metabolite system, a PPK model was developed to predict mean D3 and 25OHD3 exposure from varied doses and administration routes. Sources of exposure variability related to metabolite baseline, weight, and assay type were explored. Specific search criteria were used in PUBMED to identify public source PK data pertaining to D3 and 25OHD3 in healthy or osteoporotic populations. Overall 57 studies representing 5395 individuals were selected, including 25 individual-level profiles and treatment-arm data. IV, oral, single and multiple dose data were used, with D3 and 25OHD3 dosing. A nonlinear mixed effects model was developed to simultaneously model PK dispositions of D3 and 25OHD3 (NONMEM v7.2), which were described by 2-compartment models with nonlinear and linear clearances, respectively. Proportional and additive assay variances were included on the 25OHD3 prediction. Unit-level random effects were weighted by treatment-arm size. D3 model estimates, relative to bioavailability were: maximum rate of metabolism ([Formula: see text], 1.62 nmol/h), Michaelis-Menten constant ([Formula: see text], 6.39 nmol/L), central volume of distribution ([Formula: see text], 15.5 L), intercompartmental clearance ([Formula: see text], 0.185 L/h), peripheral volume of distribution ([Formula: see text], 2333 L/h), and baseline concentration ([Formula: see text], 3.75 nmol/L). For 25OHD3 ([Formula: see text] = metabolite): [Formula: see text] = 0.0153 L/h, [Formula: see text] = 4.35 L, [Formula: see text] = 6.87 L, [Formula: see text] = 0.0507 L/h. Simulations of 25OHD3 concentration indicated an inverse relationship between 25OHD3 baseline and response, as well as a less than proportional 25OHD3 response. Estimation of assay bias parameters suggested that HPLC-MS and RIA produced similar measurement results, whereas CPBA and CHEMI are over-predictive of 25OHD3 concentration, relative to HPLC-MS.

Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modeling of the effect of varenicline on nicotine craving in adult smokers.

INTRODUCTION: Varenicline has been shown to significantly reduce craving and several aspects of smoking reinforcement in clinical trials, compared with placebo. This is the first report describing the concentration-effect relationship of varenicline on relief of craving. METHODS: The pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of a single 2mg dose of varenicline were investigated in 40 smokers in a randomized, crossover study comparing the effect of varenicline with placebo on ameliorating abstinence-and cue-induced craving and withdrawal symptoms. Subjects were asked to complete self-reported questionnaires (Smoking Urges Scale and Minnesota Nicotine Withdrawal Scale [MNWS]) and blood samples were simultaneously collected for measurement of varenicline concentrations. Only the data from the 4-hr postdose abstinence period (just prior to the cue session) were analyzed. Data were described by a 2-compartment PK model and a linear PD model with first-order onset/offset rate constants describing the placebo response "kinetics." Response was described as the net effect of the baseline, placebo, and drug responses. RESULTS: Varenicline significantly decreased mean craving score when compared with placebo and the magnitude of this response was related to varenicline concentration. The time-course and magnitude of both placebo and varenicline craving response were characterized by a large degree of unexplained variability. Simulations were used to illustrate the expected craving response over time and its associated random variability after chronic dosing. CONCLUSIONS: Craving reduction is associated with increased varenicline concentrations. The relatively rapid onset of this effect within 4 hr postdose suggests that, smokers may experience some craving relief after acute administration of varenicline.

Modeling and simulation of the exposure-response and dropout pattern of guanfacine extended-release in pediatric patients with ADHD.

Guanfacine extended-release (GXR) is a selective α2A-adrenergic receptor agonist approved in the United States for once-daily administration for the treatment of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in children and adolescents ages 6-17 years old either as monotherapy or adjunctive to stimulant medications. This analysis integrates exposure-response, placebo, and dropout data from 10 clinical trials that used GXR in adolescents and children with ADHD. In these trials, the ADHD Rating Scale-IV (ADHD RS-IV) score was collected longitudinally within patients over the course of 6-13 weeks. Non-linear mixed effects models were developed and used to describe the exposure-response of the GXR and placebo time course. The OpenBUGS program was utilized to describe the dropout time course across the trials. Placebo time course was best described by an inverse Bateman function with a 3-group mixture model that allowed for the onset and offset of the placebo response. Dropout time modeling indicated a missing at random mechanism for dropouts which was best described by a Weibull distribution with an estimated percentage of non-dropout patients. A linear exposure-response model with an adolescent effect on maximum slope (SLPmax), and a time delay for reaching SLPmax, provided the best description of the GXR exposure-response time course. The GXR exposure-response model indicated that the typical (95 % confidence interval) decrease in ADHD RS-IV score from the placebo-response trajectory would be 37.1 % (32.2, 42.0 %) per 0.1 mg/kg of GXR exposure. There was little noticeable difference between the exposure-response in adolescents and children or across ADHD subtypes.

Exposure-response modelling for empagliflozin, a sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor, in patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: To provide model-based clinical development decision support including dose selection guidance for empagliflozin, an orally administered sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, through developed exposure-response (E-R) models for efficacy and tolerability in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Five randomized, placebo-controlled, multiple oral dose studies of empagliflozin in patients with T2DM (n = 974; 1-100 mg once daily, duration ≤12 weeks) were used to develop E-R models for efficacy (glycosylated haemoglobin [HbA1c ], fasting plasma glucose [FPG] and urinary glucose excretion). Two studies (n = 748, 12 weeks) were used to evaluate tolerability E-R. RESULTS: The efficacy model predicted maximal decreases in FPG and HbA1c of 16% and 0.6%, respectively, assuming a baseline FPG concentration of 8 mm (144 mg dl(-1) ) and 10-25 mg every day empagliflozin targeted 80-90% of these maximums. Increases in exposure had no effect on incidence rates of hypoglycaemia (n = 4), urinary tract infection (n = 17) or genital/vulvovaginal-related (n = 16) events, although low prevalence rates may have precluded more accurate evaluation. CONCLUSIONS: E-R analyses indicated that 10 and 25 mg once daily empagliflozin doses achieved near maximal glucose lowering efficacy.

Predicted impact of various clinical practice strategies on cardiovascular risk for the treatment of hypertension: a clinical trial simulation study.

Hypertension control rate in the US is low with the current clinical practice (JNC 7) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality. A 6-month clinical trial simulation case study testing different virtual clinical practice strategies was performed in an attempt to increase the control rate. The CVD risk was calculated using the Framingham CVD risk model at baseline and 6 months post-treatment. The estimated CVD events for the baseline patient sample without any treatment was 998 (95% CI: 967-1,026) over 6 months in 100,000 patients. Treating these patients for 6 months with current clinical practice, high dose strategy, high dose with low target BP strategy resulted in a reduction in CVD events of 191(95% CI: 169-205), 284 (95% CI: 261-305), and 353 (95% CI: 331-375), respectively. Hence the two alternative strategies resulted in an increase in treatment effect by 49% (95%CI: 44-59%) and 85% (95%CI: 79-99%), respectively. The increased safety with the current low dose strategy may potentially be offset by increased CVD risk in the time necessary to control hypertension.

A Modern Curriculum for Training Scientists in Model-Informed Drug Development: Progress Report on FDA Grant to Train Regulatory Scientists.

Under US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grant (2U18FD005320-06), the Critical Path Institute (C-Path) and experienced private sector partners collaborated with global health organizations to create didactic video materials in an e-learning format on model-informed drug development (MIDD) topics relevant to a non-modeling audience. Several multinational pharmaceutical companies contributed case studies illustrating the application of the MIDD approach in practice. Training videos were created and divided into several modules: introducing the MIDD landscape for drug development and regulatory science, a review of various model types used for MIDD, discussions of how models inform drug development and regulatory decisions, future goals of MIDD, and discussions on the interconnectedness of models used for MIDD. Examples and vignettes from stakeholders and thought leaders were included. These educational materials fill a gap between academic and "on the job training" for regulators, academic, and industry scientists, delivering insights and value for those performing modeling and non-modelers reviewing the output of modeling and simulation work. A total of 13 hours of video content is currently available. A small panel of FDA reviewers is currently beta-testing the learning management system (LMS). Future efforts for this MIDD training initiative will include expansion of the content via an expanded and diverse faculty, 1:1 online mentorship sessions, and eventually broader access to this resource consistent with an open science approach and curriculum. The MIDD training LMS can accommodate a diverse learning ecosystem; further development may also accommodate different audiences in the future.

Challenging the Norm: A Multidisciplinary Perspective on Intravenous to Subcutaneous Bridging Strategies for Biologics.

The transition from intravenous (i.v.) to subcutaneous (s.c.) administration of biologics is a critical strategy in drug development aimed at improving patient convenience, compliance, and therapeutic outcomes. Focusing on the increasing role of model-informed drug development (MIDD) in the acceleration of this transition, an in-depth overview of the essential clinical pharmacology, and regulatory considerations for successful i.v. to s.c. bridging for biologics after the i.v. formulation has been approved are presented. Considerations encompass multiple aspects beginning with adequate pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (i.e., exposure-response) evaluations which play a vital role in establishing comparability between the i.v. and s.c. routes of administrations. Selected key recommendations and points to consider include: (i) PK characterization of the s.c. formulation, supported by the increasing preclinical understanding of the s.c. absorption, and robust PK study design and analyses in humans; (ii) a thorough characterization of the exposure-response profiles including important metrics of exposure for both efficacy and safety; (iii) comparability studies designed to meet regulatory considerations and support approval of the s.c. formulation, including noninferiority studies with PK and/or efficacy and safety as primary end points; and (iv) comprehensive safety package addressing assessments of immunogenicity and patients' safety profile with the new route of administration. Recommendations for successful bridging strategies are evolving and MIDD approaches have been used successfully to accelerate the transition to s.c. dosing, ultimately leading to improved patient experiences, adherence, and clinical outcomes.