Risk of Postoperative Renal Failure in Radical Nephrectomy and Nephroureterectomy: A Validated Risk Prediction Model.

INTRODUCTION: The study aimed to construct and validate a risk prediction model for incidence of postoperative renal failure (PORF) following radical nephrectomy and nephroureterectomy. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database years 2005-2014 were used for the derivation cohort. A stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted, and the final model was validated with an independent cohort from the ACS-NSQIP database years 2015-2017. RESULTS: In cohort of 14,519 patients, 296 (2.0%) developed PORF. The final 9-factor model included age, gender, diabetes, hypertension, BMI, preoperative creatinine, hematocrit, platelet count, and surgical approach. Model receiver-operator curve analysis provided a C-statistic of 0.79 (0.77, 0.82; p < 0.001), and overall calibration testing R2 was 0.99. Model performance in the validation cohort provided a C-statistic of 0.79 (0.76, 0.81; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: PORF is a known risk factor for chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular morbidity, and is a common occurrence after unilateral kidney removal. The authors propose a robust and validated risk prediction model to aid in identification of high-risk patients and optimization of perioperative care.

The Adult Cardiac Anesthesiology Section of STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database: 2020 Update on Quality and Outcomes.

The Society of Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists, in partnership with The Society of Thoracic Surgeons, has developed the Adult Cardiac Anesthesiology Section of the Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. The goal of this landmark collaboration is to advance clinical care, quality, and knowledge, and to demonstrate the value of cardiac anesthesiology in the perioperative care of cardiac surgical patients. Participation in the Adult Cardiac Anesthesiology Section has been optional since its inception in 2014 but has progressively increased. Opportunities for further growth and improvement remain. In this first update report on quality and outcomes of the Adult Cardiac Anesthesiology Section, we present an overview of the clinically significant anesthesia and surgical variables submitted between 2015 and 2018. Our review provides a summary of quality measures and outcomes related to the current practice of cardiothoracic anesthesiology. We also emphasize the potential for addressing high-impact research questions as data accumulate, with the overall goal of elucidating the influence of cardiac anesthesiology contributions to patient outcomes within the framework of the cardiac surgical team.

Association of Both High and Low Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction With Increased Risk After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

BACKGROUND: While reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is a known risk factor for complications after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the relevance of higher LVEF values has not been established. Currently, most risk stratification tools consider LVEF values above a certain point as normal. However, since this does not account for insufficient ventricular filling or increased adrenergic tone, higher values may have clinical significance. To improve our understanding of this situation, we investigated the relationship of preoperative LVEF values with short- and long-term outcomes after CABG using a strategy that allowed for the identification of nonlinear relationships. We hypothesised that both higher and lower values are independently associated with increased postoperative complications and death in this population. METHODS: We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing isolated CABG surgery. All patients had a preoperative measurement of their LVEF. Surgery involving mitral valve repair was excluded in order to eliminate the impact of mitral regurgitation. The primary outcome was long-term mortality; secondary outcomes included atrial fibrillation, operative mortality, and a composite outcome including any postoperative adverse event. Fractional polynomial equations were used to model the relationship between LVEF and outcomes so we could account for nonlinear relationships if present. Adjustments for confounders were made using multivariable logistic regression and Cox models. RESULTS: A total of 7,932 subjects were included in the study. After adjusting for patient and surgical characteristics, LVEF remained associated with the primary outcome as well as the composite outcome of any postoperative adverse event. Both these relationships were best described by a J-shaped curve given that higher LVEF values were associated with increased risk, albeit not as high has lower values. Regarding long-term mortality, individuals with a preoperative LVEF of 60% demonstrated the longest survival. A statistically significant relationship was not found between LVEF and operative mortality or atrial fibrillation after adjustment for confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Higher preoperative LVEF values may be associated with increased risk for patients undergoing CABG surgery. Future studies are needed to better characterise this phenotype.

Outcomes following revascularization with radial artery bypass grafts: Insights from the PREVENT-IV trial.

BACKGROUND: The optimal role of radial artery grafts in coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) remains uncertain. The purpose of this study was to examine angiographic and clinical outcomes following CABG among patients who received a radial artery graft. METHODS: Patients in the angiographic cohort of the PREVENT-IV trial were stratified based upon having received a radial artery graft or not during CABG. Baseline characteristics and 1-year angiographic and 5-year clinical outcomes were compared between patients. RESULTS: Of 1,923 patients in the angiographic cohort of PREVENT-IV, 117 received a radial artery graft. These patients had longer surgical procedures (median 253 vs 228 minutes, P < .001) and had a greater number of grafts placed (P < .0001). Radial artery grafts had a graft-level failure rate of 23.0%, which was similar to vein grafts (25.2%) and higher than left internal mammary artery grafts (8.3%). The hazard of the composite clinical outcome of death, myocardial infarction, or repeat revascularization was similar for both cohorts (adjusted hazard ratio 0.896, 95% CI 0.609-1.319, P = .58). Radial graft failure rates were higher when used to bypass moderately stenotic lesions (<75% stenosis, 37% failure) compared with severely stenotic lesions (≥75% stenosis, 15% failure). CONCLUSIONS: Radial artery grafts had early failure rates comparable to saphenous vein and higher than left internal mammary artery grafts. Use of a radial graft was not associated with a different rate of death, myocardial infarction, or postoperative revascularization. Despite the significant potential for residual confounding associated with post hoc observational analyses of clinical trial data, these findings suggest that when clinical circumstances permit, the radial artery is an acceptable alternative to saphenous vein and should be used to bypass severely stenotic target vessels.

Role of nutritional indices in predicting outcomes of vascular surgery.

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition is frequent among vascular surgery patients, given their age, chronic comorbidities, and poor functional status, and it is believed to increase their operative risk. We aimed to assess the combined use of recent significant weight loss (>10% body mass) and serum albumin levels as a nutritional status index to predict outcomes. METHODS: We analyzed vascular surgery data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (2005-2012; N = 238,082) to compare operative death (in-hospital and 30-day operative death) across eight nutritional status groups based on weight loss (yes/no) and albumin category: very low albumin level (VL-Alb; <2.50 g/dL), low albumin level (L-Alb; 2.50-3.39 g/dL), normal albumin level (N-Alb; 3.40-4.39 g/dL), and high albumin level (H-Alb; 4.40-5.40 g/dL). Risk-adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals were estimated by multivariable logistic regression (N-Alb [no weight loss], reference). RESULTS: The study population included 113,936 patients for whom albumin level was available (age, 67 ± 13 years; 60.2% male). Operative death was documented in 5160 (4.53%) patients. The eight-category nutritional status was more predictive of operative death than age alone (C statistic, 0.74 vs 0.63). A high discrimination multivariable model for operative death was derived (C statistic, 0.851). Low albumin level was associated with increased death that worsened in case of weight loss: VL-Alb + WL, AOR = 3.83 (3.03-4.83); VL-Alb, AOR = 3.36 (3.06-3.69); L-Alb + WL, AOR = 2.46 (1.98-3.05); and L-Alb, AOR = 1.99 (1.84-2.15). Weight loss was associated with increased death even if albumin level was normal: N-Alb + WL, AOR = 1.77 (1.34-2.35); and H-Alb + WL, AOR = 1.91 (0.69-5.31). H-Alb was protective (AOR = 0.65 [0.55-0.76]). CONCLUSIONS: Nutritional status predicts outcomes of vascular surgery. Serum albumin level and weight loss should be incorporated in patients' risk stratification.

Optimal management of radial artery grafts in CABG: Patient and target vessel selection and anti-spasm therapy.

The current literature on radial artery grafting is reviewed focusing on the optimal deployment of radial artery grafts in coronary artery bypass surgery with specific attention to the selection of patients and target vessels for radial artery grafting.

The effect of completeness of revascularization during CABG with single versus multiple arterial grafts.

INTRODUCTION: Incomplete coronary revascularization is associated with suboptimal outcomes. We investigated the long-term effects of Incomplete, Complete, and Supra-complete revascularization and whether these effects differed in the setting of single-arterial and multi-arterial coronary artery bypass graft (CABG). METHODS: We analyzed 15-year mortality in 7157 CABG patients (64.1 ± 10.5 years; 30% women). All patients received a left internal thoracic artery to left anterior descending coronary artery graft with additional venous grafts only (single-arterial) or with at least one additional arterial graft (multi-arterial) and were grouped based on a completeness of revascularization index (CRI = number of grafts minus the number of diseased principal coronary arteries): Incomplete (CRI ≤ -1 [N = 320;4.5%]); Complete (CRI = 0 [N = 2882;40.3%]; reference group); and two Supra-complete categories (CRI = +1[N = 3050; 42.6%]; CRI ≥ + 2 [N = 905; 12.6%]). Risk-adjusted mortality hazard ratios (AHR) were calculated using comprehensive propensity score adjustment by Cox regression. RESULTS: Incomplete revascularization was rare (4.5%) but associated with increased mortality in all patients (AHR [95% confidence interval] = 1.53 [1.29-1.80]), those undergoing single-arterial CABG (AHR = 1.27 [1.04-1.54]) and multi-arterial CABG (AHR = 2.18 [1.60-2.99]), as well as in patients with 3-Vessel (AHR = 1.37 [1.16-1.62]) and, to a lesser degree, with 2-Vessel (AHR = 1.67 [0.53-5.23]) coronary disease. Supra-complete revascularization was generally associated with incrementally decreased mortality in all patients (AHR [CRI = +1] = 0.94 [0.87-1.03]); AHR [CRI ≥ +2] = 0.74 [0.64-0.85]), and was driven by a significantly decreased mortality risk in single-arterial CABG (AHR [CRI = +1] = 0.90 [0.81-0.99]; AHR [CRI ≥ +2] = 0.64 [0.53-0.78]); and 3-Vessel disease patients (AHR [CRI = +1] = 0.94 [0.86-1.04]; and AHR [CRI ≥ +2] = 0.75 [0.63-0.88]) with no impact in multi-arterial CABG (AHR [CRI = +1] = 1.07 [0.91-1.26]; AHR [CRI ≥ +2] = 0.93 [0.73-1.17]). CONCLUSIONS: Incomplete revascularization is associated with decreased late survival, irrespective of grafting strategy. Alternatively, supra-complete revascularization is associated with improved survival in patients with 3-Vessel CAD, and in single-arterial but not multi-arterial CABG.

Ongoing epidemic of cutaneous leishmaniasis among Syrian refugees, Lebanon.

In September 2012, a cutaneous leishmaniasis outbreak began among Syrian refugees in Lebanon. For 948 patients in whom leishmaniasis was not confirmed, we obtained samples for microscopic confirmation and molecular speciation. We identified Leishmania tropica in 85% and L. major in 15% of patients. After 3 months of megulamine antimonite therapy, patients initial cure rate was 82%.

The effect of acute kidney injury and discharge creatinine level on mortality following cardiac surgery*.

OBJECTIVES: Acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery is associated with increased operative and late mortality. The objective was to determine if short and long term mortality are systematically improved with completeness of postoperative acute kidney injury reversal or with amount of residual renal function. DESIGN: Retrospective, single center study. SETTING: Tertiary care hospital. PATIENTS: One thousand five hundred and forty-three cardiac surgery patients divided into acute kidney injury groups based on Kidney Disease International Group Outcome criteria. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Operative mortality was 3.1% overall and was progressively worse with increasing acute kidney injury: none (0.8%), minimal (1.6%), Kidney Disease International Group Outcome stage 1 (4.3%), stage 2 (17%), and stage 3 (29%). Similar to the operative outcomes, late outcomes were progressively worse with rising amounts of acute kidney injury. The risk of late death was related to amount of acute kidney injury and remaining renal function at discharge. CONCLUSIONS: Acute kidney injury was associated with higher operative and late mortality. Lesser amounts of residual renal function were associated with increased late mortality.

Prediction of celiac disease at endoscopy.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Celiac disease is increasingly recognized worldwide, but guidelines on how to detect the condition and diagnose patients are unclear. In this study the prevalence and predictors of celiac disease were prospectively determined in a cross-sectional sample of Lebanese patients undergoing esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive consenting patients (n = 999) undergoing EGD answered a questionnaire and had blood taken for serologic testing. Endoscopic markers for celiac disease were documented and duodenal biopsies were obtained. The diagnosis of celiac disease was based on abnormal duodenal histology and positive serology. Risk factors were used to classify patients to either high or low risk for celiac disease. Independent predictors of celiac disease were derived via multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Villous atrophy (Marsh 3) and celiac disease were present in 1.8 % and 1.5 % of patients, respectively. Most were missed on clinical and endoscopic grounds. The sensitivity of tissue transglutaminase (tTG) testing for the diagnosis of villous atrophy and celiac disease was 72.2 % and 86.7 %, respectively. The positive predictive value of the deamidated gliadin peptide (DGP) test was 34.2 % and that of a strongly positive tTG was 80 %. While the strongest predictor of celiac disease was a positive tTG (odds ratio [OR] 131.7, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 29.0 - 598.6), endoscopic features of villous atrophy (OR 64.8, 95 %CI 10.7 - 391.3), history of eczema (OR 4.6, 95 %CI 0.8 - 28.8), anemia (OR 6.7, 95 %CI 1.2 - 38.4), and being Shiite (OR 5.4, 95 %CI 1.1 - 26.6) significantly predicted celiac disease. A strategy of biopsying the duodenum based on independent predictors had a sensitivity of 93 % - 100 % for the diagnosis of celiac disease, with an acceptable (22 % - 26 %) rate of performing unnecessary biopsies. A strategy that excluded pre-EGD serology produced a sensitivity of 93 % - 94 % and an unnecessary biopsy rate of 52 %. CONCLUSION: An approach based solely on standard clinical suspicion and endoscopic findings is associated with a significant miss rate for celiac disease. A strategy to biopsy based on the derived celiac disease prediction models using easily obtained information prior to or during endoscopy, maximized the diagnosis while minimizing unnecessary biopsies.

Comparing BRAF mutation status in matched primary and metastatic cutaneous melanomas: implications on optimized targeted therapy.

BACKGROUND: Selective BRAF inhibitors have shown dramatic results with regard to improving outcome in patients with melanoma. Testing the BRAF status in matched primary and metastatic melanomas to optimize individual targeted therapy is not well investigated. METHODS: Extended BRAF testing using PCR for 9 mutations and VE1 immunohistochemistry for BRAF V600E detection on 95 lesions including 40 primary melanomas with their matched metastases (n = 42), recurrences (n = 9) and second primaries (n = 4) was performed. Nine patients had multiple metastases. RESULTS: V600E was the only identified mutation type; 35.4% of primary vs. 18.9% of metastatic melanomas. The overall primary-metastatic BRAF status discordance rate was 32.3% using PCR and 27.5% with immunohistochemistry, and was significantly more frequent in primary lesions with mutant BRAF (67%). Males and patients with metastasis to lymph nodes were less likely to be discordant compared to females and those with metastasis to other sites (p = 0.023). Discordant BRAF mutation status was predicted by multivariate binary logistic regression: the presence of a mutant BRAF in the primary melanoma [OR (95% C.I.) = 23.4 (2.4-229.7)] and female gender [OR = 10.6 (1.08-95)]. Inter-metastases BRAF concordance was 100% (6 comparisons). CONCLUSION: A high discordant rate implies the need for clinical trials addressing the response to targeted therapy in patients with discordant BRAF statuses between their primary and metastatic lesions.

Improved accuracy of anticoagulant dose prediction using a pharmacogenetic and artificial neural network-based method.

BACKGROUND: The unpredictability of acenocoumarol dose needed to achieve target blood thinning level remains a challenge. We aimed to apply and compare a pharmacogenetic least-squares model (LSM) and artificial neural network (ANN) models for predictions of acenocoumarol dosing. METHODS: LSM and ANN models were used to analyze previously collected data on 174 participants (mean age: 67.45 SD 13.49 years) on acenocoumarol maintenance therapy. The models were based on demographics, lifestyle habits, concomitant diseases, medication intake, target INR, and genotyping results for CYP2C9 and VKORC1. LSM versus ANN performance comparisons were done by two methods: by randomly splitting the data as 50 % derivation and 50 % validation cohort followed by a bootstrap of 200 iterations, and by a 10-fold leave-one-out cross-validation technique. RESULTS: The ANN-based pharmacogenetic model provided higher accuracy and larger R value than all other LSM-based models. The accuracy percentage improvement ranged between 5 % and 24 % for the derivation cohort and between 12 % and 25 % for the validation cohort. The increase in R value ranged between 6 % and 31 % for the derivation cohort and between 2 % and 31 % for the validation cohort. ANN increased the percentage of accurately dosed subjects (mean absolute error ≤1 mg/week) by 14.1 %, reduced the percentage of mis-dosed subjects (mean absolute error 2-3 mg/week) by 7.04 %, and reduced the percentage of grossly mis-dosed subjects (mean absolute error ≥4 mg/week) by 24 %. CONCLUSIONS: ANN-based pharmacogenetic guidance of acenocoumarol dosing reduces the error in dosing to achieve target INR. These results need to be ascertained in a prospective study.

Low-density lipoprotein levels and not mutation status predict intima-media thickness in familial hypercholesterolemia.

BACKGROUND: Intima-media thickness (IMT) is a well-described marker of cardiovascular disease. In this study we aim to determine whether low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels and disease-related mutation status can predict IMT in patients with severe familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) referred for or on LDL apheresis. METHODS: Genetic screening, lipid profile testing, and IMT measurements were performed on a series of 33 severe FH patients (19 homozygous) on LDL apheresis treatments (LDL 447 ± 151 mg/dL, age range 6-60 years). Data were then compared with literature IMT-LDL data for normal subjects, mild FH patients, and severe FH patients (18, 41, and 6 studies, respectively). RESULTS: Age-adjusted IMT was linearly related to LDL levels over a wide range of values (<500 mg/dL), except for the severe FH no-apheresis cohort. Alternatively, our severe FH population (mostly on apheresis) did follow the mild FH/control age-adjusted IMT-LDL relation. CONCLUSIONS: In severe FH, measuring LDL levels is more predictive of increased IMT than genetic screening.

Cardiac Surgery After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: Trends and Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Reports of cardiac operations after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and early TAVR explantation are increasing. The purpose of this report is to document trends and outcomes of cardiac surgery after initial TAVR. METHODS: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database was queried for all adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery after a previously placed TAVR between January 2012 and March 2023. This identified an overall cohort and 2 subcohorts: nonaortic valve operations and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) after previous TAVR. Cohorts were examined with descriptive statistics, trend analyses, and 30-day outcomes. RESULTS: Of 5457 patients who were identified, 2485 (45.5%) underwent non-SAVR cardiac surgery, and 2972 (54.5%) underwent SAVR. The frequency of cardiac surgery after TAVR increased 4235.3% overall and 144.6% per year throughout the study period. The incidence of operative mortality and stroke were 15.5% and 4.5%, respectively. Existing The Society of Thoracic Surgeons risk models performed poorly, because observed-to-expected mortality ratios were significantly >1.0. Among those undergoing SAVR after TAVR, increasing preoperative surgical urgency, age, dialysis, need for SAVR, and concomitant procedures were associated with increased mortality, whereas type of TAVR explant was not. CONCLUSIONS: The need for cardiac surgery, including redo SAVR after TAVR, is increasing rapidly. Risks are higher, and outcomes are worse than predicted. These data should closely inform heart team decisions if TAVR is considered at lowering age and risk profiles in the absence of longitudinal evidence.

Outcomes of the Kawashima: A Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database Analysis.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the effect of age at operation on postoperative outcomes in children undergoing a Kawashima operation. METHODS: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database was queried for Kawashima procedures from January 1, 2014, to June 30, 2020. Patients were stratified by age at operation in months: 0 to <4, 4 to <8, 8 to <12, and >12. Subsequently, outcomes for those in whom the Kawashima was not the index operation and for those undergoing hepatic vein incorporation (Fontan completion or hepatic vein-to-azygos vein connection) were evaluated. RESULTS: We identified 253 patients who underwent a Kawashima operation (median age, 8.6 months; median weight, 7.4 kg): 12 (4.7%), 0 to <4 months; 96 (37.9%), 4 to <8 months; 81 (32.0%), 8 to <12 months; and 64 (25.3%), >12 months. Operative mortality was 0.8% (n = 2), with major morbidity or mortality in 17.4% (n = 44), neither different across age groups. Patients <4 months had a longer postoperative length of stay (12.5 vs 9.3 days; P = .03). The Kawashima was not the index operation of the hospital admission in 15 (5.9%); these patients were younger (6.0 vs 8.4 months; P = .05) and had more preoperative risk factors (13/15 [92.9%] vs 126/238 [52.9%]; P < .01). We identified 173 patients undergoing subsequent hepatic vein incorporation (median age, 3.9 years; median weight, 15.0 kg) with operative mortality in 6 (3.5%) and major morbidity or mortality in 30 (17.3%). CONCLUSIONS: The Kawashima is typically performed between 4 and 12 months with low mortality. Morbidity and mortality were not affected by age. Hepatic vein incorporations may be higher risk than in traditional Fontan procedures, and ways to mitigate this should be sought.

Robotic Mitral Valve Repair for Degenerative Mitral Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary national utilization and comparative safety data of robotic mitral valve repair for degenerative mitral regurgitation compared with nonrobotic approaches are lacking. The study aimed to characterize national trends of utilization and outcomes of robotic mitral repair of degenerative mitral regurgitation compared with sternotomy and thoracotomy approaches. METHODS: Patients undergoing intended mitral repair of degenerative mitral regurgitation in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database between 2015 and 2021 were examined. Mitral repair was performed in 61,322 patients. Descriptive analyses characterized center-level volumes and outcomes. Propensity score matching separately identified 5540 pairs of robotic vs thoracotomy approaches and 6962 pairs of robotic vs sternotomy approaches. Outcomes were operative mortality, composite mortality and major morbidity, postoperative length of stay, and conversion to mitral replacement. RESULTS: Through the 7-year study period, 116 surgeons across 103 hospitals performed mitral repair robotically. The proportion of robotic cases increased from 10.9% (949 of 8712) in 2015 to 14.6% (1274 of 8730) in 2021. In both robotic-thoracotomy and robotic-sternotomy matched pairs, mortality and morbidity were not significantly different, whereas the robotic approach had lower conversion (1.2% vs 3.1% for robotic-thoracotomy and 1.0% vs 3.7% for robotic-sternotomy), shorter length of stay, and fewer 30-day readmissions. Mortality and morbidity were lower at higher-volume centers, crossing the national mean mortality and morbidity at a cumulative robotic mitral repair case of 40. CONCLUSIONS: Robotic mitral repair is a safe and effective approach and is associated with comparable mortality and morbidity, a lower conversion rate, a shorter length of stay, and fewer 30-day readmissions than thoracotomy or sternotomy approaches.

2024 Update of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Short-Term Esophagectomy Risk Model: More Inclusive and Improved Calibration.

BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons General Thoracic Surgery Database (STS-GTSD) previously reported short-term risk models for esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. We sought to update existing models using more inclusive contemporary cohorts, with consideration of additional risk factors based on clinical evidence. METHODS: The study population consisted of adult patients in the STS-GTSD who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer between January 2015 and December 2022. Separate esophagectomy risk models were derived for three primary endpoints: operative mortality, major morbidity, and composite morbidity or mortality. Logistic regression with backward selection was used with predictors retained in models if p<0.10. All derived models were validated using 9-fold cross validation. Model discrimination and calibration were assessed for the overall cohort and specified subgroups. RESULTS: A total of 18,503 patients from 254 centers underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. Operative mortality, morbidity, and composite morbidity or mortality rates were 3.4%, 30.5% and 30.9%, respectively. Novel predictors of short-term outcomes in the updated models included body surface area and insurance payor type. Overall discrimination was similar or superior to previous GTSD models for operative mortality [C-statistic = 0.72] and for composite morbidity or mortality [C-statistic = 0.62], Model discrimination was comparable across procedure- and demographic-specific sub-cohorts. Model calibration was excellent in all patient sub-groups. CONCLUSIONS: The newly derived esophagectomy risk models showed similar or superior performance compared to previous models, with broader applicability and clinical face validity. These models provide robust preoperative risk estimation and can be used for shared decision-making, assessment of provider performance, and quality improvement.

Reoperations in Adolescents and Adults after Prior Arterial Switch Operation: STS Congenital Database Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Arterial switch operation (ASO) has supplanted physiologic repairs for transposition of the great arteries and related anomalies. As survival rates have increased, so has the potential need for cardiac reoperations to address ASO-related complications arising later in life. METHODS: The STS-CHSD (2010-2021) was reviewed to assess prevalence and types of cardiac reoperations among patients aged ≥10 years with prior ASO for TGA or DORV/TGA-type. A hierarchical stratification designating 13 Procedure Categories was established a priori by investigators. Each eligible surgical hospitalization was assigned to the single highest applicable hierarchical category. Outcomes were compared across Procedure Categories, excluding hospitalizations limited to pacemaker-only and/or mechanical circulatory support-only procedures. Variation over the study period in relative proportions of Left Heart vs Non-Left Heart Procedure Category encounters was assessed. RESULTS: There were 698 cardiac surgical hospitalizations among patients aged 10-35 years at 100 centers. The most common Left Heart Procedure Categories were Aortic Valve procedures (n=146), Aortic Root procedures (n=117), and Coronary Artery procedures (n=40). Of 619 hospitalizations eligible for outcomes analysis, Major Complications occurred in 11% (67/619). Discharge mortality was 2.3% (14/619). Year-by-year analysis of surgical hospitalizations reveals substantial growth in numbers for the aggregate of all Procedure Categories. Growth in relative proportions of Left Heart vs Non-Left Heart Procedures was significant, p=0.0029 (Cochran-Armitage trend test). CONCLUSIONS: This largest multicenter study of post-ASO reoperations beyond early childhood documents year-over-year growth in total reoperations. Recently, left heart procedures had the highest rate of rise. These observations have implications for counseling, surveillance, and management.

Contemporary Applications and Outcomes of Pulmonary Artery Banding: An Analysis of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary artery banding (PAB) in isolation or combined with a congenital cardiac surgical procedure is common and has important mortality. We aimed to determine patient characteristics, clinical outcomes, variation in clinical outcomes by diagnoses, and center variation in PAB use. METHODS: Using The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (STS CHSD), this study evaluated outcomes of patients undergoing PAB across diagnoses, participating centers, and additional procedures. Patients were identified by procedure and diagnosis codes from 2016 to 2019. We separated patients into groups of main and bilateral PAB and described their outcomes, focusing on patients with main PAB. RESULTS: This study identified 3367 PAB procedures from 2016 to 2019 (3% of all STS CHSD cardiovascular cases during this period): 2677 main PAB, 690 bilateral PAB. Operative mortality was 8% after main PAB and 26% after bilateral PAB. There was significant variation in use of main PAB by center, with 115 centers performing at least 1 main PAB procedure (range, 1-134; Q1-Q3, 8-33). For patients with main PAB, there were substantial differences in mortality, depending on timing of main PAB relative to other procedures. The highest operative mortality (25%; P < .0001) was in patients who underwent main PAB after another separate procedure during their admission, with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation being the most frequent preceding procedure. CONCLUSIONS: PAB is a frequently used congenital cardiac procedure with high mortality and variation in use across centers. Outcomes vary widely by banding type and patient diagnosis. Main PAB after cardiac surgical procedures, especially extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, is associated with very high operative mortality.