Prediction of depression in individuals at high familial risk of mood disorders using functional magnetic resonance imaging.

OBJECTIVE: Bipolar disorder is a highly heritable condition. First-degree relatives of affected individuals have a more than a ten-fold increased risk of developing bipolar disorder (BD), and a three-fold risk of developing major depressive disorder (MDD) than the general population. It is unclear however whether differences in brain activation reported in BD and MDD are present before the onset of illness. METHODS: We studied 98 young unaffected individuals at high familial risk of BD and 58 healthy controls using functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) scans and a task involving executive and language processing. Twenty of the high-risk subjects subsequently developed MDD after the baseline fMRI scan. RESULTS: At baseline the high-risk subjects who later developed MDD demonstrated relatively increased activation in the insula cortex, compared to controls and high risk subjects who remained well. In the healthy controls and high-risk group who remained well, this region demonstrated reduced engagement with increasing task difficulty. The high risk subjects who subsequently developed MDD did not demonstrate this normal disengagement. Activation in this region correlated positively with measures of cyclothymia and neuroticism at baseline, but not with measures of depression. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that increased activation of the insula can differentiate individuals at high-risk of bipolar disorder who later develop MDD from healthy controls and those at familial risk who remain well. These findings offer the potential of future risk stratification in individuals at risk of mood disorder for familial reasons.

Polygenic risk and white matter integrity in individuals at high risk of mood disorder.

BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorder (BD) and major depressive disorder (MDD) are highly heritable and genetically overlapping conditions characterized by episodic elevation and/or depression of mood. Both demonstrate abnormalities in white matter integrity, measured with diffusion tensor magnetic resonance imaging, that are also heritable. However, it is unclear how these abnormalities relate to the underlying genetic architecture of each disorder. Genome-wide association studies have demonstrated a significant polygenic contribution to BD and MDD, where risk is attributed to the summation of many alleles of small effect. Determining the effects of an overall polygenic risk profile score on neuroimaging abnormalities might help to identify proxy measures of genetic susceptibility and thereby inform models of risk prediction. METHODS: In the current study, we determined the extent to which common genetic variation underlying risk to mood disorders (BD and MDD) was related to fractional anisotropy, an index of white matter integrity. This was conducted in unaffected individuals at familial risk of mood disorder (n = 70) and comparison subjects (n = 62). Polygenic risk scores were calculated separately for BD and MDD on the basis of genome-wide association study data from the Psychiatric GWAS Consortia. RESULTS: We report that a higher polygenic risk allele load for MDD was significantly associated with decreased white matter integrity across both groups in a large cluster, with a peak in the right-sided superior longitudinal fasciculus. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that the polygenic approach to examining brain imaging data might be a useful means of identifying traits linked to the genetic risk of mood disorders.