Whole-exome and whole-genome sequencing of 1064 individuals with type 1 diabetes reveals novel genes for diabetic kidney disease.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a severe diabetic complication that affects one third of individuals with type 1 diabetes. Although several genes and common variants have been shown to be associated with DKD, much of the predicted inheritance remains unexplained. Here, we performed next-generation sequencing to assess whether low-frequency variants, extending to a minor allele frequency (MAF) ≤10% (single or aggregated) contribute to the missing heritability in DKD. METHODS: We performed whole-exome sequencing (WES) of 498 individuals and whole-genome sequencing (WGS) of 599 individuals with type 1 diabetes. After quality control, next-generation sequencing data were available for a total of 1064 individuals, of whom 541 had developed either severe albuminuria or end-stage kidney disease, and 523 had retained normal albumin excretion despite a long duration of type 1 diabetes. Single-variant and gene-aggregate tests for protein-altering variants (PAV) and protein-truncating variants (PTV) were performed separately for WES and WGS data and combined in a meta-analysis. We also performed genome-wide aggregate analyses on genomic windows (sliding window), promoters and enhancers using the WGS dataset. RESULTS: In the single-variant meta-analysis, no variant reached genome-wide significance, but a suggestively associated common THAP7 rs369250 variant (p=1.50 × 10-5, MAF=49%) was replicated in the FinnGen general population genome-wide association study (GWAS) data for chronic kidney disease and DKD phenotypes. The gene-aggregate meta-analysis provided suggestive evidence (p<4.0 × 10-4) at four genes for DKD, of which NAT16 (MAFPAV≤10%) and LTA (also known as TNFß, MAFPAV≤5%) are replicated in the FinnGen general population GWAS data. The LTA rs2229092 C allele was associated with significantly lower TNFR1, TNFR2 and TNFR3 serum levels in a subset of FinnDiane participants. Of the intergenic regions suggestively associated with DKD, the enhancer on chromosome 18q12.3 (p=3.94 × 10-5, MAFvariants≤5%) showed interaction with the METTL4 gene; the lead variant was replicated, and predicted to alter binding of the MafB transcription factor. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our sequencing-based meta-analysis revealed multiple genes, variants and regulatory regions that were suggestively associated with DKD. However, as no variant or gene reached genome-wide significance, further studies are needed to validate the findings.

Protein glycation products associate with progression of kidney disease and incident cardiovascular events in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Despite improved glycemic treatment, the impact of glycation on pathological consequences may persist and contribute to adverse clinical outcomes in diabetes. In the present study we investigated the association between serum protein glycation products and progression of kidney disease as well as incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 1 diabetes. METHODS: Fructosamine, advanced glycation end products (AGEs), and methylglyoxal-modified hydro-imidazolone (MG-H1) were measured from baseline serum samples in the FinnDiane study (n = 575). Kidney disease progression was defined as steep eGFR decline (> 3 mL/min/1.73 m2/year) or progression of albuminuria (from lower to higher stage of albuminuria). MACE was defined as acute myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, cerebrovascular event (stroke), and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: Fructosamine was independently associated with steep eGFR decline (OR 2.15 [95% CI 1.16-4.01], p = 0.016) in the fully adjusted model (age, sex, baseline eGFR). AGEs were associated with steep eGFR decline (OR 1.58 per 1 unit of SD [95% CI 1.07-2.32], p = 0.02), progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) (HR 2.09 per 1 unit of SD [95% CI 1.43-3.05], p < 0.001), and pooled progression (to any stage of albuminuria) (HR 2.72 per 1 unit of SD [95% CI 2.04-3.62], p < 0.001). AGEs (HR 1.57 per 1 unit of SD [95% CI 1.23-2.00], p < 0.001) and MG-H1 (HR 4.99 [95% CI 0.98-25.55], p = 0.054) were associated with incident MACE. MG-H1 was also associated with pooled progression (HR 4.19 [95% CI 1.11-15.89], p = 0.035). Most AGEs and MG-H1 associations were no more significant after adjusting for baseline eGFR. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, these findings suggest that protein glycation products are an important risk factor for target organ damage in type 1 diabetes. The data provide further support to investigate a potential causal role of serum protein glycation in the progression of diabetes complications.

Insulin sensitivity estimates and their longitudinal association with coronary artery disease in type 1 diabetes. Does it matter?

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance and chronic kidney disease are both associated with increased coronary artery disease risk. Many formulae estimating glucose disposal rate in type 1 diabetes infer insulin sensitivity from clinical data. We compare associations and performance relative to traditional risk factors and kidney disease severity between three formulae estimating the glucose disposal rate and coronary artery disease in people with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: The baseline glucose disposal rate was estimated by three (Williams, Duca, and Januszewski) formulae in FinnDiane Study participants and related to subsequent incidence of coronary artery disease, by baseline kidney status. RESULTS: In 3517 adults with type 1 diabetes, during median (IQR) 19.3 (14.6, 21.4) years, 539 (15.3%) experienced a coronary artery disease event, with higher rates with worsening baseline kidney status. Correlations between the three formulae estimating the glucose disposal rate were weak, but the lowest quartile of each formula was associated with higher incidence of coronary artery disease. Importantly, only the glucose disposal rate estimation by Williams showed a linear association with coronary artery disease risk in all analyses. Of the three formulae, Williams was the strongest predictor of coronary artery disease. Only age and diabetes duration were stronger predictors. The strength of associations between estimated glucose disposal rate and CAD incidence varied by formula and kidney status. CONCLUSIONS: In type 1 diabetes, estimated glucose disposal rates are associated with subsequent coronary artery disease, modulated by kidney disease severity. Future research is merited regarding the clinical usefulness of estimating the glucose disposal rate as a coronary artery disease risk factor and potential therapeutic target.

Stroke incidence increases with diabetic retinopathy severity and macular edema in type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: As the retina is suggested to mirror the brain, we hypothesized that diabetic retinopathy and macular edema are indicative of stroke risk in type 1 diabetes and sought to assess this association in individuals with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: We included 1,268 adult FinnDiane Study participants with type 1 diabetes (age 38.7 ± 11.8 years, 51.7% men vs. 48.3% women, and 31.5% had diabetic kidney disease), data on baseline diabetic retinopathy severity, and first stroke during our observational follow-up. Retinopathy was graded by the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) scale, and macular edema as clinically significant (CSME) or not. Strokes identified from registries were confirmed from medical files. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for stroke by retinopathy severity and CSME were calculated by Cox models adjusted for clinical confounders, including diabetic kidney disease. RESULTS: During median 18.0 (14.1-19.3) follow-up years, 130 strokes (96 ischemic, 34 hemorrhagic) occurred. With no-very mild (ETDRS 10-20) retinopathy as reference, the adjusted HR for stroke was 1.79 (95%CI 1.02-3.15) in non-proliferative (ETDRS 35-53), and 1.69 (1.02-2.82) in proliferative (ETDRS 61-85) retinopathy. Corresponding adjusted HR for ischemic stroke was 1.68 (0.91-3.10) in non-proliferative and 1.35 (0.77-2.36) in proliferative retinopathy. The adjusted HR for hemorrhagic stroke was 2.84 (0.66-12.28) in non-proliferative and 4.31 (1.16-16.10) in proliferative retinopathy. CSME did not increase HR for any stroke type after adjustment for clinical confounders (data not shown). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke incidence increases with the severity of diabetic retinopathy independently of comorbid conditions, including diabetic kidney disease.

The use of dietary supplements, and the association between supplemental vitamin D and glycaemic control in adult individuals with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: To assess the dietary supplement use in adult individuals with type 1 diabetes, and to study the association between vitamin D supplementation and glycaemic control in an observational cross-sectional study. METHODS: The study subjects were participants of the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study. Data were included from all individuals with type 1 diabetes with estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2, who had completed a diet questionnaire. In the questionnaire, the participants reported dietary supplement use for the past 30 days. A thorough investigation with an assessment of the blood panel was conducted at the study visit. RESULTS: Data were available from 1181 individuals (43% men, mean ± SD age 45 ± 13 years). Altogether 62% of the sample reported supplement use; 56% reported some vitamin or mineral and 27% reported non-vitamin and non-mineral supplement use. Supplement use was more frequent among women and those supplementing had better overall health. In the study sample, of the vitamins and minerals, vitamin D (45%) and magnesium (31%), respectively, were the most frequently reported. In the multivariable models, vitamin D supplementation was associated with better glycaemic control. Starting from a daily dose of ≥30 µg, there was evidence of improving glycaemic control with higher doses of supplemental vitamin D (e.g., for 30 µg: B [Wald Confidence Internal], p-value, -2.76 [-5.03 to -0.49], 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Supplement use was frequent in this sample of adult individuals with type 1 diabetes. Due to potential drug-supplement interactions, the attending physicians should be aware of their patients' supplement use. The causality between vitamin D supplementation and glycaemic control should be assessed in a randomized controlled trial.

Higher HbA1c variability is associated with increased arterial stiffness in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Both long-term glycaemic variability and arterial stiffness have been recognized as cardiovascular risk factors. This study aims to investigate whether an association between these phenomena exists in individuals with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 673 adults (305 men, 368 women) with type 1 diabetes and combined available retrospective laboratory data on HbA1c from the preceding 10 years with outcome data on arterial stiffness and clinical variables from a comprehensive study visit. HbA1c variability was calculated as adjusted standard deviation (adj-HbA1c-SD), coefficient of variation (HbA1c-CV) and average real variability (HbA1c-ARV). As measures of arterial stiffness, carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV; n = 335) and augmentation index (AIx; n = 653) were assessed using applanation tonometry. RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 47.1 (± 12.0) years and a median duration of diabetes of 31.2 (21.2-41.3) years. The median number of HbA1c assessments per individual was 17 (12-26). All three indices of HbA1c variability were significantly correlated with both cfPWV and AIx after adjustment for sex and age (p < 0.001). In separate multivariable linear regression models, adj-HbA1c-SD and HbA1c-CV were significantly associated with cfPWV (p = 0.032 and p = 0.046, respectively) and AIx (p = 0.028 and p = 0.049, respectively), even after adjustment for HbA1c-mean. HbA1c-ARV was not associated with cfPWV or AIx in the fully adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS: An association independent of HbA1c-mean was found between HbA1c variability and arterial stiffness, suggesting a need to consider multiple HbA1c metrics in studies assessing cardiovascular risk in type 1 diabetes. Longitudinal and interventional studies are needed to confirm any causal relationship and to find strategies for reducing long-term glycaemic variability.

Genome-wide meta-analysis and omics integration identifies novel genes associated with diabetic kidney disease.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the leading cause of kidney failure and has a substantial genetic component. Our aim was to identify novel genetic factors and genes contributing to DKD by performing meta-analysis of previous genome-wide association studies (GWAS) on DKD and by integrating the results with renal transcriptomics datasets. METHODS: We performed GWAS meta-analyses using ten phenotypic definitions of DKD, including nearly 27,000 individuals with diabetes. Meta-analysis results were integrated with estimated quantitative trait locus data from human glomerular (N=119) and tubular (N=121) samples to perform transcriptome-wide association study. We also performed gene aggregate tests to jointly test all available common genetic markers within a gene, and combined the results with various kidney omics datasets. RESULTS: The meta-analysis identified a novel intronic variant (rs72831309) in the TENM2 gene associated with a lower risk of the combined chronic kidney disease (eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2) and DKD (microalbuminuria or worse) phenotype (p=9.8×10-9; although not withstanding correction for multiple testing, p>9.3×10-9). Gene-level analysis identified ten genes associated with DKD (COL20A1, DCLK1, EIF4E, PTPRN-RESP18, GPR158, INIP-SNX30, LSM14A and MFF; p<2.7×10-6). Integration of GWAS with human glomerular and tubular expression data demonstrated higher tubular AKIRIN2 gene expression in individuals with vs without DKD (p=1.1×10-6). The lead SNPs within six loci significantly altered DNA methylation of a nearby CpG site in kidneys (p<1.5×10-11). Expression of lead genes in kidney tubules or glomeruli correlated with relevant pathological phenotypes (e.g. TENM2 expression correlated positively with eGFR [p=1.6×10-8] and negatively with tubulointerstitial fibrosis [p=2.0×10-9], tubular DCLK1 expression correlated positively with fibrosis [p=7.4×10-16], and SNX30 expression correlated positively with eGFR [p=5.8×10-14] and negatively with fibrosis [p<2.0×10-16]). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Altogether, the results point to novel genes contributing to the pathogenesis of DKD. DATA AVAILABILITY: The GWAS meta-analysis results can be accessed via the type 1 and type 2 diabetes (T1D and T2D, respectively) and Common Metabolic Diseases (CMD) Knowledge Portals, and downloaded on their respective download pages ( https://t1d.hugeamp.org/downloads.html ; https://t2d.hugeamp.org/downloads.html ; https://hugeamp.org/downloads.html ).

Apolipoprotein C-III predicts cardiovascular events and mortality in individuals with type 1 diabetes and albuminuria.

OBJECTIVES: We studied apolipoprotein C-III (apoC-III) in relation to diabetic kidney disease (DKD), cardiovascular outcomes, and mortality in type 1 diabetes. METHODS: The cohort comprised 3966 participants from the prospective observational Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study. Progression of DKD was determined from medical records. A major adverse cardiac event (MACE) was defined as acute myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, stroke, or cardiovascular mortality through 2017. Cardiovascular and mortality data were retrieved from national registries. RESULTS: ApoC-III predicted DKD progression independent of sex, diabetes duration, blood pressure, HbA1c , smoking, LDL-cholesterol, lipid-lowering medication, DKD category, and remnant cholesterol (hazard ratio [HR] 1.43 [95% confidence interval 1.05-1.94], p = 0.02). ApoC-III also predicted the MACE in a multivariable regression analysis; however, it was not independent of remnant cholesterol (HR 1.05 [0.81-1.36, p = 0.71] with remnant cholesterol; 1.30 [1.03-1.64, p = 0.03] without). DKD-specific analyses revealed that the association was driven by individuals with albuminuria, as no link between apoC-III and the outcome was observed in the normal albumin excretion or kidney failure categories. The same was observed for mortality: Individuals with albuminuria had an adjusted HR of 1.49 (1.03-2.16, p = 0.03) for premature death, while no association was found in the other groups. The highest apoC-III quartile displayed a markedly higher risk of MACE and death than the lower quartiles; however, this nonlinear relationship flattened after adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of apoC-III on MACE risk and mortality is restricted to those with albuminuria among individuals with type 1 diabetes. This study also revealed that apoC-III predicts DKD progression, independent of the initial DKD category.

The impact of central obesity on the risk of hospitalization or death due to heart failure in type 1 diabetes: a 16-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity and type 2 diabetes are well-known risk factors for heart failure (HF). Although obesity has increased in type 1 diabetes, studies regarding HF in this population are scarce. Therefore, we investigated the impact of body fat distribution on the risk of HF hospitalization or death in adults with type 1 diabetes at different stages of diabetic nephropathy (DN). METHODS: From 5401 adults with type 1 diabetes in the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study, 4668 were included in this analysis. The outcome was HF hospitalization or death identified from the Finnish Care Register for Health Care or the Causes of Death Register until the end of 2017. DN was based on urinary albumin excretion rate. A body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m2 defined general obesity, whilst WHtR ≥ 0.5 central obesity. Multivariable Cox regression was used to explore the associations between central obesity, general obesity and the outcome. Then, subgroup analyses were performed by DN stages. Z statistic was used for ranking the association. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 16.4 (IQR 12.4-18.5) years, 323 incident cases occurred. From 308 hospitalizations due to HF, 35 resulted in death. Further 15 deaths occurred without previous hospitalization. The WHtR showed a stronger association with the outcome [HR 1.51, 95% CI (1.26-1.81), z = 4.40] than BMI [HR 1.05, 95% CI (1.01-1.08), z = 2.71]. HbA1c [HR 1.35, 95% CI (1.24-1.46), z = 7.19] was the most relevant modifiable risk factor for the outcome whereas WHtR was the third. Individuals with microalbuminuria but no central obesity had a similar risk of the outcome as those with normoalbuminuria. General obesity was associated with the outcome only at the macroalbuminuria stage. CONCLUSIONS: Central obesity associates with an increased risk of heart failure hospitalization or death in adults with type 1 diabetes, and WHtR may be a clinically useful screening tool.

Whole-Genome Sequencing of Finnish Type 1 Diabetic Siblings Discordant for Kidney Disease Reveals DNA Variants associated with Diabetic Nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Several genetic susceptibility loci associated with diabetic nephropathy have been documented, but no causative variants implying novel pathogenetic mechanisms have been elucidated. METHODS: We carried out whole-genome sequencing of a discovery cohort of Finnish siblings with type 1 diabetes who were discordant for the presence (case) or absence (control) of diabetic nephropathy. Controls had diabetes without complications for 15-37 years. We analyzed and annotated variants at genome, gene, and single-nucleotide variant levels. We then replicated the associated variants, genes, and regions in a replication cohort from the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy study that included 3531 unrelated Finns with type 1 diabetes. RESULTS: We observed protein-altering variants and an enrichment of variants in regions associated with the presence or absence of diabetic nephropathy. The replication cohort confirmed variants in both regulatory and protein-coding regions. We also observed that diabetic nephropathy-associated variants, when clustered at the gene level, are enriched in a core protein-interaction network representing proteins essential for podocyte function. These genes include protein kinases (protein kinase C isoforms ε and ι) and protein tyrosine kinase 2. CONCLUSIONS: Our comprehensive analysis of a diabetic nephropathy cohort of siblings with type 1 diabetes who were discordant for kidney disease points to variants and genes that are potentially causative or protective for diabetic nephropathy. This includes variants in two isoforms of the protein kinase C family not previously linked to diabetic nephropathy, adding support to previous hypotheses that the protein kinase C family members play a role in diabetic nephropathy and might be attractive therapeutic targets.

Sphingomyelin and progression of renal and coronary heart disease in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Lipid abnormalities are associated with diabetic kidney disease and CHD, although their exact role has not yet been fully explained. Sphingomyelin, the predominant sphingolipid in humans, is crucial for intact glomerular and endothelial function. Therefore, the objective of our study was to investigate whether sphingomyelin impacts kidney disease and CHD progression in individuals with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: Individuals (n = 1087) from the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy (FinnDiane) prospective cohort study with serum sphingomyelin measured using a proton NMR metabolomics platform were included. Kidney disease progression was defined as change in eGFR or albuminuria stratum. Data on incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and CHD were retrieved from national registries. HRs from Cox regression models and regression coefficients from the logistic or linear regression analyses were reported per 1 SD increase in sphingomyelin level. In addition, receiver operating curves were used to assess whether sphingomyelin improves eGFR decline prediction compared with albuminuria. RESULTS: During a median (IQR) 10.7 (6.4, 13.5) years of follow-up, sphingomyelin was independently associated with the fastest eGFR decline (lowest 25%; median [IQR] for eGFR change: <-4.4 [-6.8, -3.1] ml min-1 [1.73 m-2] year-1), even after adjustment for classical lipid variables such as HDL-cholesterol and triacylglycerols (OR [95% CI]: 1.36 [1.15, 1.61], p < 0.001). Similarly, sphingomyelin increased the risk of progression to ESRD (HR [95% CI]: 1.53 [1.19, 1.97], p = 0.001). Moreover, sphingomyelin increased the risk of CHD (HR [95% CI]: 1.24 [1.01, 1.52], p = 0.038). However, sphingomyelin did not perform better than albuminuria in the prediction of eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: This study demonstrates for the first time in a prospective setting that sphingomyelin is associated with the fastest eGFR decline and progression to ESRD in type 1 diabetes. In addition, sphingomyelin is a risk factor for CHD. These data suggest that high sphingomyelin level, independently of classical lipid risk factors, may contribute not only to the initiation and progression of kidney disease but also to CHD. Graphical abstract.

Relationship between ABO blood groups and cardiovascular disease in type 1 diabetes according to diabetic nephropathy status.

BACKGROUND: ABO blood groups have previously been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population. This study aimed to investigate the potential relationship between ABO blood groups and CVD in individuals with type 1 diabetes according to diabetic nephropathy (DN) status. METHODS: Adults with type 1 diabetes (4531 individuals) from the FinnDiane Study were evaluated. DN was determined by two out of three measurements of urinary albumin excretion rate. Albuminuria was defined as an excretion rate above 20 µg/min. CVD events were identified by linking the data with the Finnish Care Register for Health Care and the Finnish Cause of Death Register. Follow-up ranged from the baseline visit until a CVD event, death or the end of 2017. The impact of ABO blood groups on CVD risk was estimated by multivariable Cox-regression analyses adjusted for traditional risk factors. RESULTS: At baseline, the median age was 38.5 (IQR 29.2-47.9) years, 47.5% were female and median duration of diabetes was 20.9 (11.4-30.7) years. There were 893 incident ischemic heart disease (IHD) events, 301 ischemic strokes (IS), and 415 peripheral artery disease (PAD) events during a median follow up of 16.5 (IQR 12.8-18.6) years. The A blood group showed the highest risk of IHD versus the O blood group, when microalbuminuria was present. Comparing the population with microalbuminuria with those with normoalbuminuria, only the A blood group elevated the risk of IHD. This increased risk was neither explained by the FUT2 secretor phenotype nor by the A-genotype distribution. The risk of IS or PAD was no different among the ABO blood groups regardless of diabetic nephropathy stage. CONCLUSION: The A blood group is a risk factor for IHD in individuals with type 1 diabetes and microalbuminuria.

Genome-Wide Association Study of Diabetic Kidney Disease Highlights Biology Involved in Glomerular Basement Membrane Collagen.

BACKGROUND: Although diabetic kidney disease demonstrates both familial clustering and single nucleotide polymorphism heritability, the specific genetic factors influencing risk remain largely unknown. METHODS: To identify genetic variants predisposing to diabetic kidney disease, we performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) analyses. Through collaboration with the Diabetes Nephropathy Collaborative Research Initiative, we assembled a large collection of type 1 diabetes cohorts with harmonized diabetic kidney disease phenotypes. We used a spectrum of ten diabetic kidney disease definitions based on albuminuria and renal function. RESULTS: Our GWAS meta-analysis included association results for up to 19,406 individuals of European descent with type 1 diabetes. We identified 16 genome-wide significant risk loci. The variant with the strongest association (rs55703767) is a common missense mutation in the collagen type IV alpha 3 chain (COL4A3) gene, which encodes a major structural component of the glomerular basement membrane (GBM). Mutations in COL4A3 are implicated in heritable nephropathies, including the progressive inherited nephropathy Alport syndrome. The rs55703767 minor allele (Asp326Tyr) is protective against several definitions of diabetic kidney disease, including albuminuria and ESKD, and demonstrated a significant association with GBM width; protective allele carriers had thinner GBM before any signs of kidney disease, and its effect was dependent on glycemia. Three other loci are in or near genes with known or suggestive involvement in this condition (BMP7) or renal biology (COLEC11 and DDR1). CONCLUSIONS: The 16 diabetic kidney disease-associated loci may provide novel insights into the pathogenesis of this condition and help identify potential biologic targets for prevention and treatment.

Trends and cyclical variation in the incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes in 26 European centres in the 25 year period 1989-2013: a multicentre prospective registration study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Against a background of a near-universally increasing incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes, recent reports from some countries suggest a slowing in this increase. Occasional reports also describe cyclical variations in incidence, with periodicities of between 4 and 6 years. METHODS: Age/sex-standardised incidence rates for the 0- to 14-year-old age group are reported for 26 European centres (representing 22 countries) that have registered newly diagnosed individuals in geographically defined regions for up to 25 years during the period 1989-2013. Poisson regression was used to estimate rates of increase and test for cyclical patterns. Joinpoint regression software was used to fit segmented log-linear relationships to incidence trends. RESULTS: Significant increases in incidence were noted in all but two small centres, with a maximum rate of increase of 6.6% per annum in a Polish centre. Several centres in high-incidence countries showed reducing rates of increase in more recent years. Despite this, a pooled analysis across all centres revealed a 3.4% (95% CI 2.8%, 3.9%) per annum increase in incidence rate, although there was some suggestion of a reduced rate of increase in the 2004-2008 period. Rates of increase were similar in boys and girls in the 0- to 4-year-old age group (3.7% and 3.7% per annum, respectively) and in the 5- to 9-year-old age group (3.4% and 3.7% per annum, respectively), but were higher in boys than girls in the 10- to 14-year-old age group (3.3% and 2.6% per annum, respectively). Significant 4 year periodicity was detected in four centres, with three centres showing that the most recent peak in fitted rates occurred in 2012. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Despite reductions in the rate of increase in some high-risk countries, the pooled estimate across centres continues to show a 3.4% increase per annum in incidence rate, suggesting a doubling in incidence rate within approximately 20 years in Europe. Although four centres showed support for a cyclical pattern of incidence with a 4 year periodicity, no plausible explanation for this can be given.

The role of blood pressure in risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke in type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is one of the strongest risk factors for stroke in the general population, while systolic blood pressure has been shown to independently increase the risk of stroke in type 1 diabetes. The aim of this study was to elucidate the association between different blood pressure variables and risk of stroke in type 1 diabetes, and to explore potential nonlinearity of this relationship. METHODS: We included 4105 individuals with type 1 diabetes without stroke at baseline, participating in the nationwide Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study. Mean age at baseline was 37.4 ± 11.9 years, median duration of diabetes 20.9 (interquartile range 11.5-30.4) years, and 52% were men. Office systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were measured. Based on these pulse pressure (PP) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) were calculated. Strokes were classified based on medical and autopsy records, as well as neuroimaging. Cox proportional hazard models were performed to study how the different blood pressure variables affected the risk of stroke and its subtypes. RESULTS: During median follow-up time of 11.9 (9.21-13.9) years, 202 (5%) individuals suffered an incident stroke; 145 (72%) were ischemic and 57 (28%) hemorrhagic. SBP, DBP, PP, and MAP all independently increased the risk of any stroke. SBP, PP, and MAP increased the risk of ischemic stroke, while SBP, DBP, and MAP increased the risk of hemorrhagic stroke. SBP was strongly associated with stroke with a hazard ratio of 1.20 (1.11-1.29)/10 mmHg. When variables were modeled using restricted cubic splines, the risk of stroke increased linearly for SBP, MAP, and PP, and non-linearly for DBP. CONCLUSIONS: The different blood pressure variables are all independently associated with increased risk of stroke in individuals with type 1 diabetes. The risk of stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke increases linearly at blood pressure levels less than the current recommended treatment guidelines.

Dose-dependent effect of smoking on risk of coronary heart disease, heart failure and stroke in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to assess the potential dose-dependent effects of smoking on the risk of CHD, heart failure and stroke in individuals with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: The study included 4506 individuals with type 1 diabetes who were participating in the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy (FinnDiane) study. Intensity of smoking was estimated by packs per day and cumulative smoking by pack-years. Cox regression analyses were used to estimate the risk of incident CHD, heart failure or stroke during follow-up. RESULTS: One pack per day significantly increased the risk of incident CHD in current smokers compared with never smokers (HR 1.45 [95% CI 1.15, 1.84]), after adjustment for age, sex, HbA1c, hypertension, duration of diabetes and BMI. The risk of CHD in former smokers was similar to the risk in never smokers. The risk of incident heart failure was 1.43 (95% CI 1.03, 1.97) in current smokers per one pack per day and 1.37 (95% CI 1.05, 1.77) in former smokers, while the risk of incident stroke was 1.70 (95% CI 1.26, 2.29) and 1.49 (95% CI 1.14, 1.93), respectively. After further adjustments for lipids, however, the difference in the risk of heart failure in current and former smokers was no longer significant. Cumulative smoking data were similar to smoking intensity data. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: There is a dose-dependent association between smoking and cardiovascular disease in individuals with type 1 diabetes. In men in particular, the risk of incident stroke remains high even after smoking cessation and is increased in current and former smokers independently of other risk factors.

Ambulatory blood pressure and arterial stiffness in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This study aimed to assess the use of ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) to identify the presence of masked, nocturnal and white-coat hypertension in individuals with type 1 diabetes, patterns that could not be detected by regular office-based BP monitoring alone. We also analysed associations between BP patterns and arterial stiffness in order to identify individuals at cardiovascular risk. METHODS: This substudy included 140 individuals with type 1 diabetes from the Helsinki metropolitan area, who attended the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study (FinnDiane) Centre in Helsinki between January 2013 and August 2017. Twenty-four hour ABPM and pulse wave analysis were performed simultaneously using a validated non-invasive brachial oscillometric device (Mobil-O-Graph). Definitions of hypertension were based on the European Society of Hypertension guidelines. Masked hypertension was defined as normal office BP (BP obtained using a standardised automated BP device) but elevated 24 h ABPM, and white-coat hypertension as elevated office BP but normal 24 h ABPM. RESULTS: A total of 38% of individuals were normotensive and 33% had sustained hypertension, while 23% had masked and 6% had white-coat hypertension. About half of the cohort had increased absolute levels of night-time BP, half of whom were untreated. In the ambulatory setting, central BP and pulse wave velocity (PWV) were higher in participants with masked hypertension than in those with normotension (p ≤ 0.001). In a multivariable linear regression model adjusted for age, sex, BMI, antihypertensive treatment and eGFR, masked hypertension was independently associated with higher 24 h PWV (ß 0.50 [95% CI 0.34, 0.66]), but not with PWV obtained during resting conditions (adjusted ß 0.28 [95% CI -0.53, 1.10]), using normotension as the reference group. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: ABPM analysis revealed that one-quarter of the participants with type 1 diabetes had masked hypertension; these individuals would not have been detected by office BP alone. Moreover, arterial stiffness was increased in individuals with masked hypertension. These findings support the use of ABPM to identify individuals at risk of cardiovascular disease.

Regression of albuminuria and its association with incident cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in type 1 diabetes: the FinnDiane Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Our aim was to assess regression of albuminuria and its clinical consequences in type 1 diabetes. METHODS: The analysis included 3642 participants from the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy (FinnDiane) Study with a 24 h urine sample and a history of albuminuria available at baseline. A total of 2729 individuals had normal AER, 438 a history of microalbuminuria and 475 a history of macroalbuminuria. Regression was defined as a change from a higher category of albuminuria pre-baseline to a lower category in two out of the three most recent urine samples at baseline. The impact of regression on cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary procedure) and mortality was analysed over a follow-up of 14.0 years (interquartile range 11.9-15.9). RESULTS: In total, 102 (23.3%) individuals with prior microalbuminuria and 111 (23.4%) with prior macroalbuminuria had regressed at baseline. For individuals with normal AER as a reference, the age-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for cardiovascular events were 1.42 (0.75, 2.68) in individuals with regression from microalbuminuria, 2.62 (1.95, 3.54) in individuals with sustained microalbuminuria, 3.15 (2.02, 4.92) in individuals with regression from macroalbuminuria and 5.49 (4.31, 7.00) in individuals with sustained macroalbuminuria. Furthermore, for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates, HRs in regressed individuals were comparable with those with sustained renal status at the achieved level (i.e. those who did not regress but remained at the most advanced level of albuminuria noted pre-baseline). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Progression of diabetic nephropathy confers an increased risk for cardiovascular disease and premature death. Notably, regression reduces the risk to the same level as for those who did not progress.

Risk of coronary artery disease and stroke according to sex and presence of diabetic nephropathy in type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: To determine the effect of different stages of diabetic nephropathy (DN) and sex on the excess and absolute morbidity of coronary artery disease (CAD) and stroke in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) in order to distinguish different cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk profiles in people with T1D. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 4410 people with T1D from the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study (FinnDiane), divided by DN status, and a control population of 12 434 people without diabetes. CVD events were identified from the Finnish nationwide health registries. Cumulative incidences for CAD and stroke were calculated and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were estimated between participants with T1D and the control group, stratified by DN status and sex. RESULTS: There were 487 incident CADs and 290 strokes at the end of 2014 (median follow-up 12.9 years). The cumulative incidence rates of CAD and stroke were similar in men and women within different nephropathy groups. The SIR for CAD was 7.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 6.9-8.2), 17.2 (95% CI 14.9-19.5) in women and 5.3 (95% CI 4.7-5.9) in men. The women-to-men ratio of SIR increased by nephropathy group: 3.3, 3.7, 5.3 and 6.8 in the normo-, micro- and macroalbuminuria and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) groups, respectively. The SIR for stroke was 5.0 (95% CI 4.3-5.5), similar in men and women. The women-to-men ratio of SIR for stroke was 0.8, 1.3, 1.6 and 1.7, in the normo-, micro- and macroalbuminuria and ESRD groups, respectively. The SIR in participants with normoalbuminuria and an estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 was 3.5 (95% CI 2.5-4.5) for CAD and 1.6 (95% CI 1.0-2.3) for stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Although the excess CVD risk is several-fold greater in women compared to men, the absolute CVD risk in men and women was equal when nephropathy was taken into account. Even participants with normoalbuminuria and normal kidney function were found to have an excess CVD risk compared with the control group without diabetes.