Long-term effectiveness of a cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) in the management of fatigue in patients with relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS): a multicentre, randomised, open-label, controlled trial versus standard care.

BACKGROUND: Fatigue is a disabling symptom of multiple sclerosis (MS). The lack of effective therapeutics has promoted the development of cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT)-based fatigue management programmes. However, their efficacy does not sustain over time. We proposed to test the long-term effectiveness of a 6-week fatigue programme supplemented with four booster sessions ('FACETS+') in patients with relapsing remitting MS (RRMS) and fatigue. METHODS: This multicentre, randomised, controlled, open-label, parallel-group trial versus standard care enrolled patients with RRMS and fatigue. Participants were randomised to either FACETS+ plus standard care or standard care alone. The primary outcome measure was fatigue impact (Modified Fatigue Impact Scale (MFIS) at 12 months) based on intention-to-treat analyses. RESULTS: From May 2017 to September 2020, 162 patients were screened; 105 were randomly assigned to FACETS+ (n=57) or standard care (n=48) and 88 completed the primary outcome assessment for the MFIS. At month 12, participants showed improved MFIS compared with baseline in the intervention group (mean difference (MD)=14.0 points; (95% CI 6.45 to 21.5)) and the control group (MD=6.1 points; (95% CI -0.30 to 12.5)) with a significant between-group difference in favour of the intervention group (adjusted MD=7.89 points; (95% CI 1.26 to 14.52), standardised effect size=0.52, p=0.021). No trial-related serious adverse events were reported. CONCLUSIONS: A 6-week CBT-based programme with four booster sessions is superior to standard care alone to treat MS-related fatigue in the long term (12 months follow-up). The results support the use of the FACETS+ programme for the treatment of MS-related fatigue. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03758820.

COVID-19 outcomes in patients with multiple sclerosis: Understanding changes from 2020 to 2022.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) have focused on the first waves of the pandemic until early 2021. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to extend these data from the onset of the pandemic to the global coverage by vaccination in summer 2022. METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter observational study analyzed COVISEP registry data on reported COVID-19 cases in pwMS between January 2020 and July 2022. Severe COVID-19 was defined as hospitalization or higher severity. RESULTS: Among 2584 pwMS with confirmed/highly suspected COVID-19, severe infection rates declined from 14.6% preomicron wave to 5.7% during omicron wave (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified age (odds ratio (OR) = 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) = [1.25-1.64] per 10 years), male sex (OR = 2.01, 95% CI = [1.51-2.67]), obesity (OR = 2.36, 95% CI = [1.52-3.68]), cardiac comorbidities (OR = 2.36, 95% CI = [1.46-3.83]), higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores (OR = 2.09, 95% CI = [1.43-3.06] for EDSS 3-5.5 and OR = 4.53, 95% CI = [3.04-6.75] for EDSS ⩾6), and anti-CD20 therapies (OR = 2.67, 95% CI = [1.85-3.87]) as risk factors for COVID-19 severity. Vaccinated individuals experienced less severe COVID-19, whether on (risk ratio (RR) = 0.64, 95% CI = [0.60-0.69]) or off (RR = 0.32, 95% CI = [0.30-0.33]) anti-CD20. DISCUSSION: In pwMS, consistent risk factors were anti-CD20 therapies and neurological disability, emerging as vital drivers of COVID-19 severity regardless of wave, period, or vaccination status.

Evaluation of the quality and the productivity of neuroradiological reading of multiple sclerosis follow-up MRI scans using an intelligent automation software.

PURPOSE: The assessment of multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions on follow-up magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is tedious, time-consuming, and error-prone. Automation of low-level tasks could enhance the radiologist in this work. We evaluate the intelligent automation software Jazz in a blinded three centers study, for the assessment of new, slowly expanding, and contrast-enhancing MS lesions. METHODS: In three separate centers, 117 MS follow-up MRIs were blindly analyzed on fluid attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR), pre- and post-gadolinium T1-weighted images using Jazz by 2 neuroradiologists in each center. The reading time was recorded. The ground truth was defined in a second reading by side-by-side comparison of both reports from Jazz and the standard clinical report. The number of described new, slowly expanding, and contrast-enhancing lesions described with Jazz was compared to the lesions described in the standard clinical report. RESULTS: A total of 96 new lesions from 41 patients and 162 slowly expanding lesions (SELs) from 61 patients were described in the ground truth reading. A significantly larger number of new lesions were described using Jazz compared to the standard clinical report (63 versus 24). No SELs were reported in the standard clinical report, while 95 SELs were reported on average using Jazz. A total of 4 new contrast-enhancing lesions were found in all reports. The reading with Jazz was very time efficient, taking on average 2min33s ± 1min0s per case. Overall inter-reader agreement for new lesions between the readers using Jazz was moderate for new lesions (Cohen kappa = 0.5) and slight for SELs (0.08). CONCLUSION: The quality and the productivity of neuroradiological reading of MS follow-up MRI scans can be significantly improved using the dedicated software Jazz.

Improving the decision to switch from first- to second-line therapy in multiple sclerosis: A dynamic scoring system.

BACKGROUND: In relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), early identification of suboptimal responders can prevent disability progression. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop and validate a dynamic score to guide the early decision to switch from first- to second-line therapy. METHODS: Using time-dependent propensity scores (PS) from a French cohort of 12,823 patients with RRMS, we constructed one training and two validation PS-matched cohorts to compare the switched patients to second-line treatment and the maintained patients. We used a frailty Cox model for predicting individual hazard ratios (iHRs). RESULTS: From the validation PS-matched cohort of 348 independent patients with iHR ⩽ 0.69, we reported the 5-year relapse-free survival at 0.14 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.09-0.22) for the waiting group and 0.40 (95% CI 0.32-0.51) for the switched group. From the validation PS-matched cohort of 518 independent patients with iHR > 0.69, these values were 0.37 (95% CI 0.30-0.46) and 0.44 (95% CI 0.37-0.52), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: By using the proposed dynamic score, we estimated that at least one-third of patients could benefit from an earlier switch to prevent relapse.

Comparative effectiveness of dimethyl fumarate in multiple sclerosis.

AIMS: To assess the effectiveness of dimethyl fumarate (DMF) on annual rate of relapse subject to treatment (ARRt) and disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) compared to injectable immunomodulators (IMM), teriflunomide (TERI) and fingolimob (FTY), in real-life setting. METHODS: A population-based cohort study was conducted using data of the French nationwide claims database, SNDS. All patients initiating IMM, TERI, FTY or DMF between 1 July 2015 and 12 December 2017, with 4.5 years of database history and 1-3.5 years of follow-up were included in this study. DMF patients were 1:1 matched to IMM, TERI or FTY using a high dimensional propensity score. Negative binomial regression and a logistic regression model were used to estimate the relative risk (RR ± [95% CI]) of ARRt and the odds ratio (OR ± [95% CI]) of disability progression, respectively. RESULTS: Overall, 9304 subjects were identified: 29.0% initiated DMF, 33.2% TERI, 5.6% FTY and 32.2% an IMM. The matched cohorts consisted of 1779 DMF-IMM patients, 1679 DMF-TERI patients, and 376 DMF-FTY patients. DMF significantly reduced ARRt compared to IMM (RR 0.72 [0.61-0.86]) and TERI (0.81 [0.68-0.96]) and did not show any significant difference when compared with FTY. The risk of the progression of MS-specific disability was not significantly different for any matched cohorts. CONCLUSION: DMF is associated with lower risk of treated relapse for patients with RRMS than other first-line RRMS agents (TERI and IIM).

Human papillomavirus lesions in 16 MS patients treated with fingolimod: Outcomes and vaccination.

Few cases of human papillomavirus (HPV) diseases have been reported in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients treated with fingolimod. We describe a case series of 16 MS patients (11 women, 5 men) developing HPV lesions after the onset of fingolimod, without previous HPV history. Fingolimod had to be discontinued in six patients. Six patients received vaccination for HPV, with good tolerance. Our report highlights that systematic HPV screening and discussion about HPV vaccination before fingolimod onset are crucial. In case of occurrence of HPV lesions during fingolimod treatment, a comprehensive workup of HPV disease is necessary, with discussion of HPV vaccination to prevent secondary lesions. Prevalence studies of HPV lesions are needed in MS patients with the different disease-modifying therapies.

Oral nomegestrol acetate and transdermal 17-beta-estradiol for preventing post-partum relapses in multiple sclerosis: The POPARTMUS study.

BACKGROUND: Sex steroids could explain the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: To compare the annualized relapse rate (ARR) 12 weeks post-partum in women treated with nomegestrol acetate (NOMAc) and 17-beta-estradiol (E2) versus placebo. METHODS: POPARTMUS is a randomized, proof-of-concept trial in women with MS, receiving oral NOMAc 10 mg/day and transdermal estradiol 75 µg/week, or placebo. RESULTS: Recruitment was stopped prematurely due to slow inclusions (n = 202). No treatment effect was observed on ARR after 12 weeks (sex steroids = 0.90 (0.58-1.39), placebo = 0.97 (0.63-1.50) (p = 0.79)). CONCLUSION: POPARTMUS failed showing efficacy of a NOMAc-E2 combination in preventing post-partum relapses.

Untreated patients with multiple sclerosis: A study of French expert centers.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) have an impact on relapses and disease progression. Nonetheless, many patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) remain untreated. The objectives of the present study were to determine the proportion of untreated patients with MS followed in expert centers in France and to determine the predictive factors of nontreatment. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study. Data were extracted from the 38 centers participating in the European Database for Multiple Sclerosis (EDMUS) on December 15, 2018, and patients with MS seen at least once during the study period (from June 15, 2016 to June 14, 2017) were included. RESULTS: Of the 21,189 patients with MS (age 47.1 ± 13.1 years; Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score 3.4 ± 2.4), 6,631 (31.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 30.7-31.9) were not receiving any DMT. Although patients with a relapsing-remitting course (n = 11,693) were the most likely to receive DMT, 14.8% (95% CI 14.2-15.4) were still untreated (6.8% never treated). After multivariate analysis among patients with relapsing-remitting MS, the main factors explaining never having been treated were: not having ≥9 lesions on brain magnetic resonance imaging (odds ratio [OR] 0.52 [95% CI 0.44-0.61]) and lower EDSS score (OR 0.78 [95% CI 0.74-0.82]). Most patients with progressive MS (50.4% for secondary and 64.2% for primary progressive MS) did not receive any DMT during the study period, while 11.6% of patients with secondary and 34.0% of patients with primary progressive MS had never received any DMT. CONCLUSION: A significant proportion of patients with MS did not receive any DMT, even though such treatments are reimbursed by the healthcare system for French patients. This result highlights the unmet need for current DMTs for a large subgroup of patients with MS.

Intra-database validation of case-identifying algorithms using reconstituted electronic health records from healthcare claims data.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis performances of case-identifying algorithms developed in healthcare database are usually assessed by comparing identified cases with an external data source. When this is not feasible, intra-database validation can present an appropriate alternative. OBJECTIVES: To illustrate through two practical examples how to perform intra-database validations of case-identifying algorithms using reconstituted Electronic Health Records (rEHRs). METHODS: Patients with 1) multiple sclerosis (MS) relapses and 2) metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) were identified in the French nationwide healthcare database (SNDS) using two case-identifying algorithms. A validation study was then conducted to estimate diagnostic performances of these algorithms through the calculation of their positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). To that end, anonymized rEHRs were generated based on the overall information captured in the SNDS over time (e.g. procedure, hospital stays, drug dispensing, medical visits) for a random selection of patients identified as cases or non-cases according to the predefined algorithms. For each disease, an independent validation committee reviewed the rEHRs of 100 cases and 100 non-cases in order to adjudicate on the status of the selected patients (true case/ true non-case), blinded with respect to the result of the corresponding algorithm. RESULTS: Algorithm for relapses identification in MS showed a 95% PPV and 100% NPV. Algorithm for mCRPC identification showed a 97% PPV and 99% NPV. CONCLUSION: The use of rEHRs to conduct an intra-database validation appears to be a valuable tool to estimate the performances of a case-identifying algorithm and assess its validity, in the absence of alternative.

Neuraxial analgesia is not associated with an increased risk of post-partum relapses in MS.

BACKGROUND: Obstetrical analgesia remains a matter of controversy because of the fear of neurotoxicity of local anesthetics on demyelinated fibers or their potential relationship with subsequent relapses. OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of neuraxial analgesia on the risk of relapse during the first 3 months post-partum, with a focus on women who experienced relapses during pregnancy. METHODS: We analyzed data of women followed-up prospectively during their pregnancies and at least 3 months post-partum, collected in the Pregnancy in Multiple Sclerosis (PRIMS) and Prevention of Post-Partum Relapses with Progestin and Estradiol in Multiple Sclerosis (POPARTMUS) studies between 1992-1995 and 2005-2012, respectively. The association of neuraxial analgesia with the occurrence of a post-partum relapse was estimated by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 389 women were included, 215 from PRIMS and 174 from POPARTMUS. In total, 156 women (40%) had neuraxial analgesia. Overall, 24% experienced a relapse during pregnancy and 25% in the 3 months post-partum. Women with a pregnancy relapse were more likely to have a post-partum relapse (odds ratio (OR) = 1.83, p = 0.02), independently of the use of neuraxial analgesia. There was no association between neuraxial analgesia and post-partum relapse (OR = 1.08, p = 0.78). CONCLUSION: Neuraxial analgesia was not associated with an increased risk of post-partum relapses, whatever multiple sclerosis (MS) activity during pregnancy.

Anxiety, emotional processing and depression in people with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Despite the high comorbidity of anxiety and depression in people with multiple sclerosis (MS), little is known about their inter-relationships. Both involve emotional perturbations and the way in which emotions are processed is likely central to both. The aim of the current study was to explore relationships between the domains of mood, emotional processing and coping and to analyse how anxiety affects coping, emotional processing, emotional balance and depression in people with MS. METHODS: A cross-sectional questionnaire study involving 189 people with MS with a confirmed diagnosis of MS recruited from three French hospitals. Study participants completed a battery of questionnaires encompassing the following domains: i. anxiety and depression (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS)); ii. emotional processing (Emotional Processing Scale (EPS-25)); iii. positive and negative emotions (Positive and Negative Emotionality Scale (EPN-31)); iv. alexithymia (Bermond-Vorst Alexithymia Questionnaire) and v. coping (Coping with Health Injuries and Problems-Neuro (CHIP-Neuro) questionnaire. Relationships between these domains were explored using path analysis. RESULTS: Anxiety was a strong predictor of depression, in both a direct and indirect way, and our model explained 48% of the variance of depression. Gender and functional status (measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale) played a modest role. Non-depressed people with MS reported high levels of negative emotions and low levels of positive emotions. Anxiety also had an indirect impact on depression via one of the subscales of the Emotional Processing Scale ("Unregulated Emotion") and via negative emotions (EPN-31). CONCLUSIONS: This research confirms that anxiety is a vulnerability factor for depression via both direct and indirect pathways. Anxiety symptoms should therefore be assessed systematically and treated in order to lessen the likelihood of depression symptoms.

Anxiety and Coping Strategy Changes in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Initiating Fingolimod: The GRACE Prospective Study.

The objective of this prospective study was to assess the changes in anxiety levels, and their relationship with coping strategies over the first four months of fingolimod treatment in patients with relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Data were collected at the inclusion visit (Visit 1) and 4 months later (Visit 2). We used the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) to assess the level of anxiety and the Coping Inventory for Stressful Situations scale to assess the coping strategies used when engaged with stressful situations. The HADS anxiety scores were compared between Visits 1 and 2, according to the preferred coping strategy. At Visit 1, half of the 198 patients included were considered to be anxious (doubtful or in a certain way). The same proportion preferentially used an avoidance-oriented strategy and one-third preferentially used an emotion-oriented strategy. The mean HADS anxiety score decreased significantly (p = 0.001) at Visit 2 (8.1 ± 4.0) compared to Visit 1 (8.8 ± 4.3), particularly in the group of patients who used an emotion-oriented strategy (p = 0.002). In conclusion, the initiation of fingolimod in patients with RRMS is followed by a decrease of anxiety levels which vary according to the coping strategy used.

Highly Effective Therapies as First-Line Treatment for Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Moderately effective therapies (METs) have been the main treatment in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) for years. Despite the expanding use of highly effective therapies (HETs), treatment strategies for POMS still lack consensus. Objective: To assess the real-world association of HET as an index treatment compared with MET with disease activity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted from January 1, 2010, to December 8, 2022, until the last recorded visit. The median follow-up was 5.8 years. A total of 36 French MS centers participated in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP) cohort. Of the total participants in OFSEP, only treatment-naive children with relapsing-remitting POMS who received a first HET or MET before adulthood and at least 1 follow-up clinical visit were included in the study. All eligible participants were included in the study, and none declined to participate. Exposure: HET or MET at treatment initiation. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the time to first relapse after treatment. Secondary outcomes were annualized relapse rate (ARR), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression, tertiary education attainment, and treatment safety/tolerability. An adapted statistical method was used to model the logarithm of event rate by penalized splines of time, allowing adjustment for effects of covariates that is sensitive to nonlinearity and interactions. Results: Of the 3841 children (5.2% of 74 367 total participants in OFSEP), 530 patients (mean [SD] age, 16.0 [1.8] years; 364 female [68.7%]) were included in the study. In study patients, both treatment strategies were associated with a reduced risk of first relapse within the first 2 years. HET dampened disease activity with a 54% reduction in first relapse risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.31-0.67; P < .001) sustained over 5 years, confirmed on MRI activity (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.34; 95% CI, 0.18-0.66; P = .001), and with a better tolerability pattern than MET. The risk of discontinuation at 2 years was 6 times higher with MET (HR, 5.97; 95% CI, 2.92-12.20). The primary reasons for treatment discontinuation were lack of efficacy and intolerance. Index treatment was not associated with EDSS progression or tertiary education attainment (adjusted OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.24-1.10; P = .09). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that compared with MET, initial HET in POMS was associated with a reduction in the risk of first relapse with an optimal outcome within the first 2 years and was associated with a lower rate of treatment switching and a better midterm tolerance in children. These findings suggest prioritizing initial HET in POMS, although long-term safety studies are needed.

Anti-CD20 Therapies in Drug-Naive Patients With Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis: A Multicenter Real-Life Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Although rituximab failed to demonstrate a significant effect on disability progression in primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS), ocrelizumab succeeded. Our main objective was to analyze confirmed disability progression (CDP) in a cohort of patients with PPMS treated with anti-CD20 therapies compared with a weighted untreated control cohort. METHODS: This was a retrospective study using data from the French MS registry (Observatoire Français de la Sclérose En Plaques). We included patients with PPMS treated or never treated with anti-CD20 therapies from 2016 to 2021, with an Expanded Disability Status Scale score of ≤6.5 at baseline. The primary outcome was time to first CDP. The secondary outcomes were time to first relapse, MRI activity at 2 years, identification of risk factors associated with CDP, and serious infection incidence rates (IIRs). Each outcome was studied using an inverse probability of treatment weighting method. The outcomes were modeled using a weighted proportional Cox model for the time-to-event outcomes and by a logistic regression regarding the MRI activity. RESULTS: A total of 1,184 patients (426 treated and 758 untreated) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Median age (Q1-Q3) was 56 years (49.3-63.8), and 52.7% were female. Among treated patients, 295 received rituximab, whereas 131 received ocrelizumab. At baseline, anti-CD20-treated patients were younger (median 51.9 vs 58.6 years, Cohen d = 0.683) and had more active disease (54.5 vs 27.8%, Cohen d = 0.562). 91.6% were drug-naive at inclusion. In time to first CDP analysis, no statistical significance was observed (hazard ratio [HR], 1.13; 95% CI 0.93-1.36, p = 0.2113). In time to first relapse analysis, a nonsignificant trend toward fewer patients relapsing in the treated group was observed (HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.48-1.28, p = 0.0809). For MRI activity, no significant difference was found between the 2 groups. Risk factors associated with CDP in the treated group were male sex and MS duration. IIR was 6.67 (95% CI 3.12-14.25) per 100 person-years in the treated group vs 2.67 (95% CI 0.80-8.86) in the untreated group. DISCUSSION: Time to first CDP was not different between anti-CD20 treated and untreated patients with PPMS. Although our study is retrospective and mainly included patients treated by rituximab, our results indicate that there should be a constant evaluation of all available data to ascertain the best risk/benefit ratio for patients with PPMS. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that anti-CD20 therapy of previously untreated patients with PPMS was not superior to no therapy in delaying time to first CDP.

High-Efficacy Therapy Discontinuation vs Continuation in Patients 50 Years and Older With Nonactive MS.

Importance: A recent randomized clinical trial concluded that discontinuing medium-efficacy therapy might be a reasonable option for older patients with nonactive multiple sclerosis (MS), but there is a lack of data on discontinuing high-efficacy therapy (HET). In younger patients, the discontinuation of natalizumab and fingolimod is associated with a risk of rebound of disease activity. Objective: To determine whether discontinuing HET in patients 50 years and older with nonactive MS is associated with an increased risk of relapse compared with continuing HET. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational cohort study used data from 38 referral centers from the French MS registry (Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques [OFSEP] database). Among 84704 patients in the database, data were extracted for 1857 patients 50 years and older with relapsing-remitting MS treated by HET and with no relapse or magnetic resonance imaging activity for at least 2 years. After verification of the medical records, 1620 patients were classified as having discontinued HET or having remained taking treatment and were matched 1:1 using a dynamic propensity score (including age, sex, disease phenotype, disability, treatment of interest, and time since last inflammatory activity). Patients were included from February 2008 to November 2021, with a mean (SD) follow-up of 5.1 (2.9) years. Data were extracted in June 2022. Exposures: Natalizumab, fingolimod, rituximab, and ocrelizumab. Main Outcomes and Measures: Time to first relapse. Results: Of 1620 included patients, 1175 (72.5%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 54.7 (4.8) years. Among the 1452 in the HET continuation group and 168 in the HET discontinuation group, 154 patients in each group were matched using propensity scores (mean [SD] age, 57.7 [5.5] years; mean [SD] delay since the last inflammatory activity, 5.6 [3.8] years; mean [SD] follow-up duration after propensity score matching, 2.5 [2.1] years). Time to first relapse was significantly reduced in the HET discontinuation group compared with the HET continuation group (hazard ratio, 4.1; 95% CI, 2.0-8.5; P < .001) but differed between HETs, with a hazard ratio of 7.2 (95% CI, 2.1-24.5; P = .001) for natalizumab, 4.5 (95% CI, 1.3-15.5; P = .02) for fingolimod, and 1.1 (95% CI, 0.3-4.8; P = .85) for anti-CD20 therapy. Conclusion and Relevance: As in younger patients, in patients 50 years and older with nonactive MS, the risk of relapse increased significantly after stopping HETs that impact immune cell trafficking (natalizumab and fingolimod). There was no significant increase in risk after stopping HETs that deplete B-cells (anti-CD20 therapy). This result may inform decisions about stopping HETs in clinical practice.

Acute Clinical Events Identified as Relapses With Stable Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Understanding the association between clinically defined relapses and radiological activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) is essential for patient treatment and therapeutic development. Objective: To investigate clinical events identified as relapses but not associated with new T2 lesions or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesions on brain and spinal cord magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter observational cohort study was conducted between January 2015 and June 2023. Data were extracted on June 8, 2023, from the French MS registry. All clinical events reported as relapses in patients with relapsing-remitting MS were included if brain and spinal cord MRI was performed within 12 and 24 months before the event, respectively, and 50 days thereafter with gadolinium injection. Exposures: Events were classified as relapses with active MRI (RAM) if a new T2 lesion or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesion appeared on brain or spinal cord MRI or as acute clinical events with stable MRI (ACES) otherwise. Main Outcomes and Measures: Factors associated with ACES were investigated; patients with ACES and RAM were compared regarding Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) course, relapse rate, confirmed disability accrual (CDA), relapse-associated worsening (RAW), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), and transition to secondary progressive (SP) MS, and ACES and RAM rates under each disease-modifying therapy (DMT) were estimated. Results: Among 31 885 clinical events, 637 in 608 patients (493 [77.4%] female; mean [SD] age, 35.8 [10.7] years) were included. ACES accounted for 166 (26.1%) events and were more likely in patients receiving highly effective DMTs, those with longer disease duration (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07), or those presenting with fatigue (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.15-3.96). ACES were associated with significant EDSS score increases, lower than those found for RAM. Before the index event, patients with ACES experienced significantly higher rates of relapse (relative rate [RR], 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01-1.46), CDA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% CI, 1.13-2.11), and RAW (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.20-2.45). Patients with ACES were at significantly greater risk of SP transition (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.02-6.51). Although RAM rate decreased with DMTs according to their expected efficacy, ACES rate was stable across DMTs. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings in this study introduce the concept of ACES in MS, which accounted for one-fourth of clinical events identified as relapses.

Comparison of 2 Methods for Estimating Multiple Sclerosis-Related Mortality.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Determining whether multiple sclerosis (MS) causes death is challenging. Our objective was to contrast 2 frameworks to estimate probabilities of death attributed to MS (PMS) and other causes (Pother): the cause-specific framework (CSF), which requires the causes of death, and the excess mortality framework (EMF), which does not. METHODS: We used data from the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP, n = 37,524) and from a comparative subset where causes of death were available (4,004 women with relapsing-onset MS [R-MS]). In CSF, the probabilities were estimated using the Aalen-Johansen method. In EMF, they were estimated from the excess mortality hazard, which is the additional mortality among patients with MS as compared with the expected mortality in the matched general population. PMS values were estimated at 30 years of follow-up, (1) with both frameworks in the comparative subset, by age group at onset, and (2) with EMF only in the OFSEP population, by initial phenotype, sex, and age at onset. RESULTS: In the comparative subset, the estimated 30-year PMS values were greater using EMF than CSF: 10.9% (95% CI 8.3-13.6) vs 8.7% (6.4-11.8) among the youngest and 20.4% (11.3-29.5) vs 16.2% (8.7-30.2) for the oldest groups, respectively. In the CSF, probabilities of death from unknown causes ranged from 1.5% (0.7-3.0) to 6.4% (2.5-16.4), and even after their reallocation, PMS values remained lower with CSF than with EMF. The estimated probabilities of being alive were close using the 2 frameworks, and the estimated POther (EMF vs CSF) was 2.6% (2.5-2.6) vs 2.1% (1.2-3.9) and 18.1% (16.9-19.3) vs 26.4% (16.5-42.2), respectively, for the youngest and oldest groups. In the OFSEP population, the estimated 30-year PMS values ranged from 7.5% (6.4-8.7) to 24.0% (19.1-28.9) in patients with R-MS and from 25.4% (21.1-29.7) to 36.8% (28.3-45.3) in primary progressive patients, depending on sex and age. DISCUSSION: EMF has the great advantage of not requiring death certificates, their quality being less than optimal. Conceptually, it also seems more relevant because it avoids having to state, for each individual, whether death was directly or indirectly caused by MS or whether it would have occurred anyway, which is especially difficult in such chronic diseases.

Effects of socioeconomic status on excess mortality in patients with multiple sclerosis in France: A retrospective observational cohort study.

Background: The effects of socio-economic status on mortality in patients with multiple sclerosis is not well known. The objective was to examine mortality due to multiple sclerosis according to socio-economic status. Methods: A retrospective observational cohort design was used with recruitment from 18 French multiple sclerosis expert centers participating in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques. All patients lived in metropolitan France and had a definite or probable diagnosis of multiple sclerosis according to either Poser or McDonald criteria with an onset of disease between 1960 and 2015. Initial phenotype was either relapsing-onset or primary progressive onset. Vital status was updated on January 1st 2016. Socio-economic status was measured by an ecological index, the European Deprivation Index and was attributed to each patient according to their home address. Excess death rates were studied according to socio-economic status using additive excess hazard models with multidimensional penalised splines. The initial hypothesis was a potential socio-economic gradient in excess mortality. Findings: A total of 34,169 multiple sclerosis patients were included (88% relapsing onset (n = 30,083), 12% progressive onset (n = 4086)), female/male sex ratio 2.7 for relapsing-onset and 1.3 for progressive-onset). Mean age at disease onset was 31.6 (SD = 9.8) for relapsing-onset and 42.7 (SD = 10.8) for progressive-onset. At the end of follow-up, 1849 patients had died (4.4% for relapsing-onset (n = 1311) and 13.2% for progressive-onset (n = 538)). A socio-economic gradient was found for relapsing-onset patients; more deprived patients had a greater excess death rate. At thirty years of disease duration and a year of onset of symptoms of 1980, survival probability difference (or deprivation gap) between less deprived relapsing-onset patients (EDI = -6) and more deprived relapsing-onset patients (EDI = 12) was 16.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) [10.3%-22.9%]) for men and 12.3% (95%CI [7.6%-17.0%]) for women. No clear socio-economic mortality gradient was found in progressive-onset patients. Interpretation: Socio-economic status was associated with mortality due to multiple sclerosis in relapsing-onset patients. Improvements in overall care of more socio-economically deprived patients with multiple sclerosis could help reduce these socio-economic inequalities in multiple sclerosis-related mortality. Funding: This study was funded by the ARSEP foundation "Fondation pour l'aide à la recherche sur la Sclérose en Plaques" (Grant Reference Number 1122). Data collection has been supported by a grant provided by the French State and handled by the "Agence Nationale de la Recherche," within the framework of the "Investments for the Future" programme, under the reference ANR-10-COHO-002, Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP).

Association Between Anti-CD20 Therapies and COVID-19 Severity Among Patients With Relapsing-Remitting and Progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: In patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), factors associated with severe COVID-19 include anti-CD20 therapies and neurologic disability, but it is still unclear whether these 2 variables are independently associated with severe COVID-19 or whether the association depends on MS clinical course. Objective: To assess the association between anti-CD20 therapies and COVID-19 severity in patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and progressive MS (PMS). Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study used data from the COVISEP study, which included patients with MS and COVID-19 from February 1, 2020, to June 30, 2022, at 46 French MS expert centers, general hospitals, and private neurology practices. Eligible patients with RRMS were those treated with high-efficacy MS therapy (ie, anti-CD20, fingolimod, or natalizumab), and eligible patients with PMS were those younger than 70 years with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 8 or lower. Patients were monitored from COVID-19 symptom onset until recovery or death. Exposures: Current anti-CD20 therapy (ocrelizumab or rituximab). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was severe COVID-19 (ie, hospitalization with any mode of oxygenation or death). All analyses were conducted separately in patients with RRMS and PMS using propensity score-weighted logistic regression. Subgroup analyses were performed according to COVID-19 vaccine status, sex, EDSS score, and age. Results: A total of 1400 patients, 971 with RRMS (median age, 39.14 years [IQR, 31.38-46.80 years]; 737 [76.1%] female) and 429 with PMS (median age, 54.21 years [IQR, 48.42-60.14 years]; 250 [58.3%] female) were included in the study. A total of 418 patients with RRMS (43.0%) and 226 with PMS (52.7%) were treated with anti-CD20 therapies. In weighted analysis, 13.4% and 2.9% of patients with RRMS treated and not treated with anti-CD20 had severe COVID-19, respectively, and anti-CD20 treatment was associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 (odds ratio [OR], 5.20; 95% CI, 2.78-9.71); this association persisted among vaccinated patients (7.0% vs 0.9%; OR, 8.85; 95% CI, 1.26-62.12). Among patients with PMS, 19.0% and 15.5% of patients treated and not treated with anti-CD20 had severe COVID-19, respectively, and there was no association between anti-CD20 treatment and severe COVID-19 (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.76-2.16). In PMS subgroup analysis, anti-CD20 exposure interacted negatively with EDSS score (P = .009 for interaction) and age (P = .03 for interaction); anti-CD20 therapies were associated with risk of severe COVID-19 only in patients with less neurologic disability and younger patients with PMS. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, risk of severe COVID-19 was higher in patients with PMS than in those with RRMS. Use of anti-CD20 therapies was associated with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 among patients with RRMS. In patients with PMS, there was no association between anti-CD20 therapies and risk of severe COVID-19.

Investigating the Long-term Effect of Pregnancy on the Course of Multiple Sclerosis Using Causal Inference.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The question of the long-term safety of pregnancy is a major concern in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), but its study is biased by reverse causation (women with higher disability are less likely to experience pregnancy). Using a causal inference approach, we aimed to estimate the unbiased long-term effects of pregnancy on disability and relapse risk in patients with MS and secondarily the short-term effects (during the perpartum and postpartum years) and delayed effects (occurring beyond 1 year after delivery). METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study with data from patients with MS followed in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques registry between 1990 and 2020. We included female patients with MS aged 18-45 years at MS onset, clinically followed up for more than 2 years, and with ≥3 Expanded Disease Status Scale (EDSS) measurements. Outcomes were the mean EDSS score at the end of follow-up and the annual probability of relapse during follow-up. Counterfactual outcomes were predicted using the longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimator in the entire study population. The patients exposed to at least 1 pregnancy during their follow-up were compared with the counterfactual situation in which, contrary to what was observed, they would not have been exposed to any pregnancy. Short-term and delayed effects were analyzed from the first pregnancy of early-exposed patients (who experienced it during their first 3 years of follow-up). RESULTS: We included 9,100 patients, with a median follow-up duration of 7.8 years, of whom 2,125 (23.4%) patients were exposed to at least 1 pregnancy. Pregnancy had no significant long-term causal effect on the mean EDSS score at 9 years (causal mean difference [95% CI] = 0.00 [-0.16 to 0.15]) or on the annual probability of relapse (causal risk ratio [95% CI] = 0.95 [0.93-1.38]). For the 1,253 early-exposed patients, pregnancy significantly decreased the probability of relapse during the perpartum year and significantly increased it during the postpartum year, but no significant delayed effect was found on the EDSS and relapse rate. DISCUSSION: Using a causal inference approach, we found no evidence of significantly deleterious or beneficial long-term effects of pregnancy on disability. The beneficial effects found in other studies were probably related to a reverse causation bias.