Statistical approaches for the integration of external controls in a cystic fibrosis clinical trial: a simulation and an application.

Development of new therapeutics for a rare disease such as cystic fibrosis (CF) is hindered by challenges in accruing enough patients for clinical trials. Using external controls from well-matched historical trials can reduce prospective trial sizes, and this approach has supported regulatory approval of new interventions for other rare diseases. We consider three statistical methods that incorporate external controls into a hypothetical clinical trial of a new treatment to reduce pulmonary exacerbations in CF patients: 1) inverse probability weighting, 2) Bayesian modeling with propensity score-based power priors, and 3) hierarchical Bayesian modeling with commensurate priors. We compare the methods via simulation study and in a real clinical trial data setting. Simulations showed that bias in the treatment effect was <4% using any of the methods, with type 1 error (or in the Bayesian cases, posterior probability of the null hypothesis) usually <5%. Inverse probability weighting was sensitive to similarity in prevalence of the covariates between historical and prospective trial populations. The commensurate prior method performed best with real clinical trial data. Using external controls to reduce trial size in future clinical trials holds promise and can advance the therapeutic pipeline for rare diseases.

Clinical Effectiveness of Elexacaftor/Tezacaftor/Ivacaftor in People with Cystic Fibrosis: A Clinical Trial.

Rationale: The cystic fibrosis (CF) modulator drug, elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI), proved highly effective in controlled clinical trials for individuals with at least one F508del allele, which occurs in at least 85% of people with CF. Objectives: PROMISE is a postapproval study to understand the broad effects of ETI through 30 months' clinical use in a more diverse U.S. patient population with planned analyses after 6 months. Methods: Prospective, observational study in 487 people with CF age 12 years or older with at least one F508del allele starting ETI for the first time. Assessments occurred before and 1, 3, and 6 months into ETI therapy. Outcomes included change in percent predicted FEV1 (ppFEV1), sweat chloride concentration, body mass index (BMI), and self-reported respiratory symptoms. Measurements and Main Results: Average age was 25.1 years, and 44.1% entered the study using tezacaftor/ivacaftor or lumacaftor/ivacaftor, whereas 6.7% were using ivacaftor, consistent with F508del homozygosity and G551D allele, respectively. At 6 months into ETI therapy, ppFEV1 improved 9.76 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.76 to 10.76) from baseline, cystic fibrosis questionnaire-revised respiratory domain score improved 20.4 points (95% CI, 18.3 to 22.5), and sweat chloride decreased -41.7 mmol/L (95% CI, -43.8 to -39.6). BMI also significantly increased. Changes were larger in those naive to modulators but substantial in all groups, including those treated with ivacaftor at baseline. Conclusions: ETI by clinical prescription provided large improvements in lung function, respiratory symptoms, and BMI in a diverse population naive to modulator drug therapy, using existing two-drug combinations, or using ivacaftor alone. Each group also experienced significant reductions in sweat chloride concentration, which correlated with improved ppFEV1 in the overall study population. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT NCT04038047).

Testing the effects of combining azithromycin with inhaled tobramycin for P. aeruginosa in cystic fibrosis: a randomised, controlled clinical trial.

RATIONALE: Inhaled tobramycin and oral azithromycin are common chronic therapies in people with cystic fibrosis and Pseudomonas aeruginosa airway infection. Some studies have shown that azithromycin can reduce the ability of tobramycin to kill P. aeruginosa. This trial was done to test the effects of combining azithromycin with inhaled tobramycin on clinical and microbiological outcomes in people already using inhaled tobramycin. We theorised that those randomised to placebo (no azithromycin) would have greater improvement in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and greater reduction in P. aeruginosa sputum in response to tobramycin. METHODS: A 6-week prospective, randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial testing oral azithromycin versus placebo combined with clinically prescribed inhaled tobramycin in individuals with cystic fibrosis and P. aeruginosa airway infection. RESULTS: Over a 6-week period, including 4 weeks of inhaled tobramycin, the relative change in FEV1 did not statistically significantly differ between groups (azithromycin (n=56) minus placebo (n=52) difference: 3.44%; 95% CI: -0.48 to 7.35; p=0.085). Differences in secondary clinical outcomes, including patient-reported symptom scores, weight and need for additional antibiotics, did not significantly differ. Among the 29 azithromycin and 35 placebo participants providing paired sputum samples, the 6-week change in P. aeruginosa density differed in favour of the placebo group (difference: 0.75 log10 CFU/mL; 95% CI: 0.03 to 1.47; p=0.043). CONCLUSIONS: Despite having greater reduction in P. aeruginosa density in participants able to provide sputum samples, participants randomised to placebo with inhaled tobramycin did not experience significantly greater improvements in lung function or other clinical outcomes compared with those randomised to azithromycin with tobramycin.

A Randomized Clinical Trial of Antimicrobial Duration for Cystic Fibrosis Pulmonary Exacerbation Treatment.

Rationale: People with cystic fibrosis (CF) experience acute worsening of respiratory symptoms and lung function known as pulmonary exacerbations. Treatment with intravenous antimicrobials is common; however, there is scant evidence to support a standard treatment duration. Objectives: To test differing durations of intravenous antimicrobials for CF exacerbations. Methods: STOP2 (Standardized Treatment of Pulmonary Exacerbations 2) was a multicenter, randomized, controlled clinical trial in exacerbations among adults with CF. After 7-10 days of treatment, participants exhibiting predefined lung function and symptom improvements were randomized to 10 or 14 days' total antimicrobial duration; all others were randomized to 14 or 21 days' duration. Measurements and Main Results: The primary outcome was percent predicted FEV1 (ppFEV1) change from treatment initiation to 2 weeks after cessation. Among early responders, noninferiority of 10 days to 14 days was tested; superiority of 21 days compared with 14 days was compared for the others. Symptoms, weight, and adverse events were secondary. Among 982 randomized people, 277 met improvement criteria and were randomized to 10 or 14 days of treatment; the remaining 705 received 21 or 14 days of treatment. Mean ppFEV1 change was 12.8 and 13.4 for 10 and 14 days, respectively, a ‒0.65 difference (95% CI [‒3.3 to 2.0]), excluding the predefined noninferiority margin. The 21- and 14-day arms experienced 3.3 and 3.4 mean ppFEV1 changes, a difference of ‒0.10 (‒1.3 to 1.1). Secondary endpoints and sensitivity analyses were supportive. Conclusions: Among adults with CF with early treatment improvement during exacerbation, ppFEV1 after 10 days of intravenous antimicrobials is not inferior to 14 days. For those with less improvement after one week, 21 days is not superior to 14 days. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02781610).

Infants with cystic fibrosis have altered fecal functional capacities with potential clinical and metabolic consequences.

BACKGROUND: Infants with cystic fibrosis (CF) suffer from gastrointestinal (GI) complications, including pancreatic insufficiency and intestinal inflammation, which have been associated with impaired nutrition and growth. Recent evidence identified altered fecal microbiota taxonomic compositions in infants with CF relative to healthy infants that were characterized by differences in the abundances of taxa associated with GI health and nutrition. Furthermore, these taxonomic differences were more pronounced in low length infants with CF, suggesting a potential link to linear growth failure. We hypothesized that these differences would entail shifts in the microbiome's functional capacities that could contribute to inflammation and nutritional failure in infants with CF. RESULTS: To test this hypothesis, we compared fecal microbial metagenomic content between healthy infants and infants with CF, supplemented with an analysis of fecal metabolomes in infants with CF. We identified notable differences in CF fecal microbial functional capacities, including metabolic and environmental response functions, compared to healthy infants that intensified during the first year of life. A machine learning-based longitudinal metagenomic age analysis of healthy and CF fecal metagenomic functional profiles further demonstrated that these differences are characterized by a CF-associated delay in the development of these functional capacities. Moreover, we found metagenomic differences in functions related to metabolism among infants with CF that were associated with diet and antibiotic exposure, and identified several taxa as potential drivers of these functional differences. An integrated metagenomic and metabolomic analysis further revealed that abundances of several fecal GI metabolites important for nutrient absorption, including three bile acids, correlated with specific microbes in infants with CF. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight several metagenomic and metabolomic factors, including bile acids and other microbial metabolites, that may impact nutrition, growth, and GI health in infants with CF. These factors could serve as promising avenues for novel microbiome-based therapeutics to improve health outcomes in these infants.

Pulmonary Outcomes Associated with Long-Term Azithromycin Therapy in Cystic Fibrosis.

Rationale: Chronic azithromycin is commonly used in cystic fibrosis based on short controlled clinical trials showing reductions in pulmonary exacerbations and improved FEV1. Long-term effects are unknown.Objectives: Examine pulmonary outcomes among chronic azithromycin users compared with matched controls over years of use and consider combined azithromycin use in cohorts using chronic inhaled tobramycin or aztreonam.Methods: This retrospective cohort study used the U.S. cystic fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry. Incident chronic azithromycin users were compared with matched controls by FEV1% predicted rate of decline and rates of intravenous antibiotic use to treat pulmonary exacerbations. Propensity score methods were utilized to address confounding by indication. Predefined sensitivity analyses based on lung function, Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) status, and follow-up time intervals were conducted.Measurements and Main Results: Across 3 years, FEV1% predicted per-year decline was nearly 40% less in those with PA using azithromycin compared with matched controls (slopes, -1.53 versus -2.41% predicted per yr; difference: 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.30-1.47). This rate of decline did not differ based on azithromycin use in those without PA. Among all cohorts, use of intravenous antibiotics was no different between azithromycin users and controls. Users of inhaled tobramycin and azithromycin had FEV1% predicted per-year decline of -0.16 versus nonusers (95% CI, -0.44 to 0.13), whereas users of inhaled aztreonam lysine and azithromycin experienced a mean 0.49% predicted per year slower decline than matched controls (95% CI, -0.11 to 1.10).Conclusions: Results from this study provide additional rationale for chronic azithromycin use in PA-positive patients to reduce lung function decline.

Pancreatic Enzyme Replacement Therapy Use in Infants With Cystic Fibrosis Diagnosed by Newborn Screening.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study is to describe pancreatic enzyme practices during the first year of life in infants with cystic fibrosis (CF) and evaluate associations between dosing and outcomes, including growth and gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms. METHODS: We analyzed data from a subset of infants who were in a prospective cohort study conducted at 28 US CF centers. Anthropometric measurements and medications were recorded at each visit. Diaries with infant diet, pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy (PERT) dosing, stool frequency and consistency, and pain were completed by a parent/guardian for 3 days before each visit. RESULTS: Two hundred and thirty-one infants were enrolled in the main study; 205 of these met criteria for pancreatic insufficiency (PI). PERT dose between birth and 6 months was on average 1882 LU/kg per meal (range: 492-3727) and was similar between 6 and 12 months (mean: 1842 LU/kg per mean, range: 313-3612). PERT dose had a weak, negative association with weight z score at 3 and 6 months (r = -0.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.29 to -0.02 and r = -0.18, 95% CI -0.31 to -0.04, respectively) but not at 12 months. There was not a clear relationship between PERT dosing and number of stools per day, stool consistency or pain. One hundred and forty-four infants (70%) were placed on acid suppression medication. Weight z score mean was 0.37 higher in infants using proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) exclusively versus those using histamine-2 blockers exclusively (95% CI -0.02 to 0.76, P = 0.06). CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe that centers with a higher PERT dosing strategy yielded greater clinical benefit than dosing at the lower end of the recommended range.

Restoring Cystic Fibrosis Transmembrane Conductance Regulator Function Reduces Airway Bacteria and Inflammation in People with Cystic Fibrosis and Chronic Lung Infections.

RATIONALE: Previous work indicates that ivacaftor improves cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) activity and lung function in people with cystic fibrosis and G551D-CFTR mutations but does not reduce density of bacteria or markers of inflammation in the airway. These findings raise the possibility that infection and inflammation may progress independently of CFTR activity once cystic fibrosis lung disease is established. OBJECTIVES: To better understand the relationship between CFTR activity, airway microbiology and inflammation, and lung function in subjects with cystic fibrosis and chronic airway infections. METHODS: We studied 12 subjects with G551D-CFTR mutations and chronic airway infections before and after ivacaftor. We measured lung function, sputum bacterial content, and inflammation, and obtained chest computed tomography scans. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Ivacaftor produced rapid decreases in sputum Pseudomonas aeruginosa density that began within 48 hours and continued in the first year of treatment. However, no subject eradicated their infecting P. aeruginosa strain, and after the first year P. aeruginosa densities rebounded. Sputum total bacterial concentrations also decreased, but less than P. aeruginosa. Sputum inflammatory measures decreased significantly in the first week of treatment and continued to decline over 2 years. Computed tomography scans obtained before and 1 year after ivacaftor treatment revealed that ivacaftor decreased airway mucous plugging. CONCLUSIONS: Ivacaftor caused marked reductions in sputum P. aeruginosa density and airway inflammation and produced modest improvements in radiographic lung disease in subjects with G551D-CFTR mutations. However, P. aeruginosa airway infection persisted. Thus, measures that control infection may be required to realize the full benefits of CFTR-targeting treatments.

Short-term and long-term response to pulmonary exacerbation treatment in cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) in cystic fibrosis (CF) varies widely with no consensus on management practices or best indicators of therapeutic success. To design trials evaluating PEx treatment factors, we characterise the heterogeneity of PEx care in adults and paediatrics, and correlate it with measures of clinical response including short-term and long-term lung function changes, change in symptom severity score and time to next intravenous antibiotic therapy. METHODS: Data were used from a prospective observational study of patients with CF ≥10 years of age enrolled at six sites between 2007 and 2010. All were started on intravenous antibiotics for a clinically diagnosed PEx. Analysis of variance, logistic and Cox regression were used to examine the association of treatment factors with short-term and long-term clinical response. RESULTS: Of 123 patients with CF (60% women, aged 23.1±10.2 years), 33% experienced <10% relative improvement in FEV1 during treatment, which was associated with failing to recover baseline lung function 3 months after treatment (OR=7.8, 95% CI 1.9 to 31.6, p=0.004) and a longer time to next intravenous antibiotic (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.85, p=0.011). Symptom improvement was observed but was not associated with subsequent lung function or time to next antibiotic therapy, which had a median recurrence time of 143 days. CONCLUSIONS: Immediate symptomatic or respiratory response to PEx treatment did not have a clear relationship with subsequent outcomes such as lung function or intravenous antibiotic-free interval. These results can inform future research of treatment regimens for PEx in terms of interventions and outcome measures. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00788359 (www.clinicaltrials.gov).

Pseudomonas aeruginosa in cystic fibrosis patients with G551D-CFTR treated with ivacaftor.

BACKGROUND: Ivacaftor improves outcomes in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients with the G551D mutation; however, effects on respiratory microbiology are largely unknown. This study examines changes in CF respiratory pathogens with ivacaftor and correlates them with baseline characteristics and clinical response. METHODS: The G551D Observational Study enrolled a longitudinal observational cohort of US patients with CF aged 6 years and older with at least 1 copy of the G551D mutation. Results were linked with retrospective and prospective culture data in the US Cystic Fibrosis Foundation's National Patient Registry. Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection category in the year before and year after ivacaftor was compared and correlated with clinical findings. RESULTS: Among 151 participants prescribed ivacaftor, 29% (26/89) who were culture positive for P. aeruginosa the year prior to ivacaftor use were culture negative the year following treatment; 88% (52/59) of those P. aeruginosa free remained uninfected. The odds of P. aeruginosa positivity in the year after ivacaftor compared with the year prior were reduced by 35% (odds ratio [OR], 0.65; P < .001). Ivacaftor was also associated with reduced odds of mucoid P. aeruginosa (OR, 0.77; P = .013) and Aspergillus (OR, 0.47; P = .039), but not Staphylococcus aureus or other common CF pathogens. Patients with intermittent culture positivity and higher forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) were most likely to turn culture negative. Reduction in P. aeruginosa was not associated with change in FEV1, body mass index, or hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: Pseudomonas aeruginosa culture positivity was significantly reduced following ivacaftor treatment. Efficacious CFTR modulation may contribute to lower frequency of culture positivity for P. aeruginosa and other respiratory pathogens, particularly in patients with less established disease.

Incidence of solid tumours among pesticide applicators exposed to the organophosphate insecticide diazinon in the Agricultural Health Study: an updated analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Diazinon, a common organophosphate insecticide with genotoxic properties, was previously associated with lung cancer in the Agricultural Health Study (AHS) cohort, but few other epidemiological studies have examined diazinon-associated cancer risk. We used updated diazinon exposure and cancer incidence information to evaluate solid tumour risk in the AHS. METHODS: Male pesticide applicators in Iowa and North Carolina reported lifetime diazinon use at enrolment (1993-1997) and follow-up (1998-2005); cancer incidence was assessed through 2010(North Carolina)/2011(Iowa). Among applicators with usage information sufficient to evaluate exposure-response patterns, we used Poisson regression to estimate adjusted rate ratios (RRs) and 95% CI for cancer sites with ≥10 exposed cases for both lifetime (LT) exposure days and intensity-weighted (IW) lifetime exposure days (accounting for factors impacting exposure). RESULTS: We observed elevated lung cancer risks (N=283) among applicators with the greatest number of LT (RR=1.60; 95% CI 1.11 to 2.31; P(trend)=0.02) and IW days of diazinon use (RR=1.41; 95% CI 0.98 to 2.04; P(trend)=0.08). Kidney cancer (N=94) risks were non-significantly elevated (RR(LT) days=1.77; 95% CI 0.90 to 3.51; P(trend)=0.09; RR(IW) days 1.37; 95% CI 0.64 to 2.92; P(trend)=0.50), as were risks for aggressive prostate cancer (N=656). CONCLUSIONS: Our updated evaluation of diazinon provides additional evidence of an association with lung cancer risk. Newly identified links to kidney cancer and associations with aggressive prostate cancer require further evaluation.

Clinical mechanism of the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator potentiator ivacaftor in G551D-mediated cystic fibrosis.

RATIONALE: Ivacaftor is a cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) potentiator recently approved for patients with CF age 6 and older with the G551D mutation. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate ivacaftor in a postapproval setting and determine mechanism of action and response of clinically relevant markers. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal cohort study in 2012-2013 in G551D CF patients age 6 and older with no prior exposure to ivacaftor. Study assessments were performed at baseline, 1, 3, and 6 months after ivacaftor initiation. Substudies evaluated mucociliary clearance, ß-adrenergic sweat secretion rate, gastrointestinal pH, and sputum inflammation and microbiology Measurements and Main Results: A total of 151 of 153 subjects were prescribed ivacaftor and 88% completed the study through 6 months. FEV1 % predicted improved from baseline to 6 months (mean absolute change, 6.7%; P < 0.001). Similarly, body mass index improved from baseline to 6 months (mean change, 0.8 kg/m(2); P < 0.001). Sweat chloride decreased from baseline to 6 months (mean change, -53.8 mmol/L; 95% confidence interval, -57.7 to -49.9; P < 0.001), reflecting augmented CFTR function. There was significant improvement in hospitalization rate (P < 0.001) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa burden (P < 0.01). Significant improvements in mucociliary clearance (P < 0.001), gastrointestinal pH (P = 0.001), and microbiome were also observed, providing clinical mechanisms underlying the therapeutic benefit of ivacaftor. CONCLUSIONS: Significant clinical and physiologic improvements were observed on initiation of ivacaftor in a broad patient population, including reduced infection with P. aeruginosa. Biomarker studies substantially improve the understanding of the mechanistic consequences of CFTR modulation on pulmonary and gastrointestinal physiology.

Bacteremia and malaria in Tanzanian children hospitalized for acute febrile illness.

We recorded the reason for presentation to a rural hospital in an area endemic for malaria in 909 children between January 2006 and March 2009. Blood smears were examined for Plasmodium falciparum parasites, and blood spots dried on filter paper were prepared for 464 children. A PCR assay utilizing the stored blood spots was developed for Streptococcus pneumoniae (lytA) and Haemophilus influenzae (pal). Malaria was present in 299 children whose blood was tested by polymerase chain reaction (PCR); 19 had lytA and 15 had pal. The overall prevalence of lytA was 25 of the 464 children, while that of pal was 18 children. Fever was present in 369 children of whom 19 had lytA DNA while 11 had pal DNA detected. Of the 95 afebrile children, six had lytA and seven pal. We conclude that there are no clinical features that distinguish malaria alone from bacteremia alone or the presence of both infections.

Quantification of length-bias in screening trials with covariate-dependent test sensitivity.

Length-biased sampling exists in screening programs where longer duration disease is detected during the preclinical stage because a longer sojourn time (preclinical duration) has a higher probability of being screen detected. By modeling the course of disease, we quantify the effect of length-biased sampling on clinical duration when cases are subject to periodic screening with variable test sensitivity. We use the highly flexible bivariate lognormal density to jointly model preclinical and clinical durations, and we model screening test sensitivity as a function of the sojourn time and number of previous false negative screens. We show that the mean clinical duration among screen-detected cases can be up to 40% higher, with shrinking standard deviation, than those among nonscreen-detected cases, due to biased sampling alone, irrespective of any possible benefit (increased survival time arising from earlier detection or reduction in mortality). These findings will aid in the design and interpretation of screening trials.

Creation of a CF-specific antibiotic spectrum index (ASI) as an antimicrobial stewardship initiative.

Antibiotics are frequently utilized for cystic fibrosis (CF)-related pulmonary exacerbation treatment. The antibiotic spectrum index (ASI) is an antimicrobial stewardship tool developed to compare the relative breadth of individual antibiotics. This study aimed to create two expanded CF-specific ASI scoring indices for use in antimicrobial stewardship research and clinical care. The first scoring index expanded the original ASI to include bacterial microorganisms common to CF airway infections (CF-ASI). The second scoring system only included scores for bacterial microorganisms classically identified in CF airway infections (CF-sASI). Sixty-two antibiotics were evaluated and included in the updated ASIs. When multiple antibiotics are prescribed, we proposed using an additive ASI approach whereby the sum of the individual prescribed antibiotic scores represents the total ASI score. The application of CF-focused ASIs into CF research and stewardship programs can help to optimize antibiotic benefits, minimize harms and allow for increased sustainability of antibiotic use in CF.

Prevalence and Clinical Impact of Respiratory Viral Infections from the STOP2 Study of Cystic Fibrosis Pulmonary Exacerbations.

Rationale: Rates of viral respiratory infection (VRI) are similar in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) and the general population; however, the associations between VRI and CF pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) require further elucidation.Objectives: To determine VRI prevalence during CF PEx and evaluate associations between VRI, clinical presentation, and treatment response.Methods: The STOP2 (Standardized Treatment of Pulmonary Exacerbations II) study was a multicenter randomized trial to evaluate different durations of intravenous antibiotic therapy for PEx. In this ancillary study, participant sputum samples from up to three study visits were tested for respiratory viruses using multiplex polymerase chain reactions. Baselines and treatment-associated changes in mean lung function (percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s), respiratory symptoms (Chronic Respiratory Infection Symptom Score), weight, and C-reactive protein were compared as a function of virus detection. Odds of PEx retreatment within 30 days and future PEx hazard were modeled by logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression, respectively.Results: A total of 1,254 sputum samples from 621 study participants were analyzed. One or more respiratory viruses were detected in sputum samples from 245 participants (39.5%). Virus-positive participants were more likely to be receiving CF transmembrane conductance regulator modulator therapy (45% vs. 34%) and/or chronic azithromycin therapy (54% vs. 44%) and more likely to have received treatment for nontuberculous Mycobacterium infection in the preceding 2 years (7% vs. 3%). At study visit 1, virus-positive participants were more symptomatic (mean Chronic Respiratory Infection Symptom Score, 53.8 vs. 51.1), had evidence of greater systemic inflammation (log10 C-reactive protein concentration, 1.32 log10 mg/L vs. 1.23 log10 mg/L), and had a greater drop in percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second from the prior 6-month baseline (5.8 vs. 3.6). Virus positivity was associated with reduced risk of future PEx (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-0.99; P = 0.034) and longer median time to next PEx (255 d vs. 172 d; P = 0.021) compared with virus negativity.Conclusions: More than one-third of STOP2 participants treated for a PEx had a positive test result for a respiratory virus with more symptomatic initial presentation compared with virus-negative participants, but favorable long-term outcomes. More refined phenotyping of PEx, taking VRIs into account, may aid in optimizing personalized management of PEx.Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02781610).

Prospective evaluation of nontuberculous mycobacteria disease in cystic fibrosis: The design of the PREDICT study.

BACKGROUND: Nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) are an important cause of airway infections in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). Isolation of NTM from respiratory specimens of pwCF do not mandate treatment in the absence of clinical and radiologic features of NTM pulmonary disease (NTM-PD), as some pwCF clear the infection without treatment and others do not appear to progress to NTM-PD despite persistent infection. An evidence-based protocol to standardize diagnosis of NTM-PD is needed to systematically identify pwCF who may benefit from treatment. METHODS: In this multicenter observational study, eligible pwCF who are 6 years of age and older and who have had a recent positive NTM culture are systematically evaluated for NTM-PD. Participants are identified based on positive NTM culture results obtained during routine clinical care and following enrollment are evaluated for NTM-PD and CF-related comorbidities. Participants are followed in PREDICT until they meet NTM-PD diagnostic criteria and are ready to initiate NTM treatment, or until study termination. Active participants who have not met these criteria are re-consented every 5 years to enable long-term participation. RESULTS: The primary endpoint will summarize the proportion of participants who meet the NTM-PD diagnosis definition. The time from enrollment to NTM-PD diagnosis will be derived from Kaplan-Meier estimates. CONCLUSION: A prospective protocol to identify NTM-PD in pwCF will test if this standardized approach defines a cohort with signs and symptoms associated with NTM-PD, to assist with clinical decision making and to build a framework for future therapeutic trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02073409.

Risk of total and aggressive prostate cancer and pesticide use in the Agricultural Health Study.

Because pesticides may operate through different mechanisms, the authors studied the risk of prostate cancer associated with specific pesticides in the Agricultural Health Study (1993-2007). With 1,962 incident cases, including 919 aggressive prostate cancers among 54,412 applicators, this is the largest study to date. Rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by using Poisson regression to evaluate lifetime use of 48 pesticides and prostate cancer incidence. Three organophosphate insecticides were significantly associated with aggressive prostate cancer: fonofos (rate ratio (RR) for the highest quartile of exposure (Q4) vs. nonexposed = 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22, 2.17; P(trend) < 0.001); malathion (RR for Q4 vs. nonexposed = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.88; P(trend) = 0.04); and terbufos (RR for Q4 vs. nonexposed = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.64; P(trend) = 0.03). The organochlorine insecticide aldrin was also associated with increased risk of aggressive prostate cancer (RR for Q4 vs. nonexposed = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.03, 2.18; P(trend) = 0.02). This analysis has overcome several limitations of previous studies with the inclusion of a large number of cases with relevant exposure and detailed information on use of specific pesticides at 2 points in time. Furthermore, this is the first time specific pesticides are implicated as risk factors for aggressive prostate cancer.