A Two-stage Approach for Rapid Assessment of the Proportion Achieving Viral Suppression Using Routine Clinical Data.

BACKGROUND: Improving viral suppression among people with HIV reduces morbidity, mortality, and transmission. Accordingly, monitoring the proportion of patients with a suppressed viral load is important to optimizing HIV care and treatment programs. But viral load data are often incomplete in clinical records. We illustrate a two-stage approach to estimate the proportion of treated people with HIV who have a suppressed viral load in the Dominican Republic. METHODS: Routinely collected data on viral load and patient characteristics were recorded in a national database, but 74% of patients on treatment at the time of the study did not have a recent viral load measurement. We recruited a subset of these patients for a rapid assessment that obtained additional viral load measurements. We combined results from the rapid assessment and main database using a two-stage weighting approach and compared results to estimates obtained using standard approaches to account for missing data. RESULTS: Of patients with recent routinely collected viral load data, 60% had a suppressed viral load. Results were similar after applying standard approaches to account for missing data. Using the two-stage approach, we estimated that 77% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 74, 80) of those on treatment had a suppressed viral load. CONCLUSIONS: When assessing the proportion of people on treatment with a suppressed viral load using routinely collected data, applying standard approaches to handle missing data may be inadequate. In these settings, augmenting routinely collected data with data collected through sampling-based approaches could allow more accurate and efficient monitoring of HIV treatment program effectiveness.

Estimating Sizes of Key Populations at the National Level: Considerations for Study Design and Analysis.

BACKGROUND: National estimates of the sizes of key populations, including female sex workers, men who have sex with men, and transgender women are critical to inform national and international responses to the HIV pandemic. However, epidemiologic studies typically provide size estimates for only limited high priority geographic areas. This article illustrates a two-stage approach to obtain a national key population size estimate in the Dominican Republic using available estimates and publicly available contextual information. METHODS: Available estimates of key population size in priority areas were augmented with targeted additional data collection in other areas. To combine information from data collected at each stage, we used statistical methods for handling missing data, including inverse probability weights, multiple imputation, and augmented inverse probability weights. RESULTS: Using the augmented inverse probability weighting approach, which provides some protection against parametric model misspecification, we estimated that 3.7% (95% CI = 2.9, 4.7) of the total population of women in the Dominican Republic between the ages of 15 and 49 years were engaged in sex work, 1.2% (95% CI = 1.1, 1.3) of men aged 15-49 had sex with other men, and 0.19% (95% CI = 0.17, 0.21) of people assigned the male sex at birth were transgender. CONCLUSIONS: Viewing the size estimation of key populations as a missing data problem provides a framework for articulating and evaluating the assumptions necessary to obtain a national size estimate. In addition, this paradigm allows use of methods for missing data familiar to epidemiologists.

An assessment of sites where persons go to meet sexual partners in St. James, Jamaica, using the PLACE method.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess sexual behavior of persons at risk of HIV infection. GOAL: The goal of this study was to identify sites where HIV prevention is needed. STUDY DESIGN: Customers at sites where persons meet new sex partners in St. James, Jamaica, were surveyed. RESULTS: Of 421 sites, 282 men and 200 women (random sample, 23 sites) and 320 men and 265 women (special sample, 26 sites) were interviewed. Over one fourth of men and 14% (special) and 4% (random) of women had one or more new sex partners in the last 4 weeks. Seventy-eight percent of men reported condom use at last sex with a new partner compared with 66% of women. Approximately 50% of respondents reported condom use at last sex with a regular partner. CONCLUSION: Sites at which people meet new sex partners were diverse with significant opportunities for prevention. Commercial and transactional sex are features at many sites.

[Identification of meeting places of sexual partners in 2 cities of the Southern Mexican borders, using the PLACE method]. / Identificación de sitios de encuentro de parejas sexuales en dos ciudades de la frontera sur de México, mediante el método PLACE.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the meeting sites of new sexual partners in two Southern border cities in Mexico. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A descriptive epidemiologic study was carried out in May 2001, by surveying key informants in two border cities. Each reported site was visited to interview a resident subject. Subjects socializing in a subsample of sites were also interviewed. RESULTS: The key informants of the community reported 134 meeting sites in Chetumal and 111 in Ciudad Hidalgo. Both sites had scarce HIV/AIDS prevention activities. Characteristics were obtained for 89 sites in Chetumal and 42 in Ciudad Hidalgo. Almost 21% of interviewees reportedly met a new sexual partner in these sites in the past four weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Preventive actions are needed in meeting sites of new sexual partners. This method may provide information to plan for future interventions. The English version of this paper is available too at:http://www.insp.mx/salud/index.html.

Identificación de sitios de encuentro de parejas sexuales en dos ciudades de la frontera sur de México, mediante el método PLACE / Identification of meeting sites of new sexual partners in two Southern border cities in Mexico using the PLACE method

OBJETIVO: Identificar sitios de encuentro de nuevas parejas sexuales en dos ciudades de la frontera sur de México. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: En un estudio epidemiológico descriptivo se encuestó, en mayo de 2001, a informantes clave de la comunidad en dos ciudades fronterizas del sur de México para identificar sitios de encuentro de nuevas parejas. Se visitó cada sitio reportado y se encuestó a una persona del lugar. De una submuestra de sitios, se encuestó a personas que socializaban en los mismos. RESULTADOS: Los informantes clave de la comunidad reportaron 134 sitios en Chetumal y 111 en Ciudad Hidalgo. Se obtuvo información de las características de 89 sitios en Chetumal y 42 en Ciudad Hidalgo, ambos con escasas actividades preventivas del VIH/SIDA. Cerca de 21 por ciento de usuarios encuestados reportaron haber conocido una nueva pareja en los sitios en las últimas cuatro semanas. CONCLUSIONES: Son necesarias acciones de prevención en los sitios de encuentro de nuevas parejas sexuales. Este método puede proveer información para planificar futuras intervenciones.