Development of a Polygenic Risk Score to Predict Diverticulitis.

BACKGROUND: Despite its prevalence and associated morbidity, we remain limited in our ability to predict the course of a patient with diverticular disease. Although several clinical and genetic risk factors have been identified, we do not know how these factors relate to one another. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to determine whether a polygenic risk score could improve risk prediction for diverticulitis and recurrent diverticulitis compared with a model using only clinical factors. DESIGN: This is an observational study. SETTING: The study examines the predictive ability of a polygenic risk score for diverticulitis developed using prior genome-wide association studies and validated using the MyCode biobank. PATIENTS: This study included patients of European ancestry in the Geisinger Health System who were enrolled in the MyCode Community Health biobanking program. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The ability of a polygenic risk score to predict diverticulosis, diverticulitis, and recurrent diverticulitis was the main outcome measure of this study. RESULTS: A total of 60,861 patients were included, of whom 9912 (16.3%) had diverticulosis or diverticulitis (5015 with diverticulosis and 4897 with diverticulitis). When divided into deciles, our polygenic risk score stratified patients by risk of both diverticulosis and diverticulitis with a 2-fold difference in disease risk between the highest and lowest deciles for diverticulitis and a 4.8-fold difference for recurrent complicated diverticulitis. When compared with clinical factors alone, our polygenic risk score was able to improve risk prediction of recurrent diverticulitis. LIMITATIONS: Our population is largely located in a single geographic region and were classified by disease status, using international classification of diseases codes. CONCLUSIONS: This predictive model stratifies patients based on genetic risk for diverticular disease. The increased frequency of recurrent disease in our high-risk patients suggests that a polygenic risk score, in addition to other factors, may help guide the discussion regarding surgical intervention. See Video Abstract . DESARROLLO DE UNA PUNTUACIN DE RIESGO POLIGNICO PARA PREDECIR LA DIVERTICULITIS: ANTECEDENTES:A pesar de su prevalencia y morbilidad asociada, nuestra capacidad para predecir el curso en un paciente con enfermedad diverticular sigue siendo limitada. Si bien se han identificado varios factores de riesgo clínicos y genéticos, no sabemos cómo se relacionan estos factores entre sí.OBJETIVO:Determinar si una puntuación de riesgo poligénico podría mejorar la predicción del riesgo de diverticulitis y diverticulitis recurrente en comparación con un modelo que utiliza solo factores clínicos.DISEÑO:Un estudio observacional que examina la capacidad predictiva de una puntuación de riesgo poligénico para la diverticulitis desarrollada usando estudios previos de asociación amplia del genoma y validada usando el biobanco MyCode.ÁMBITOS Y PACIENTES:Pacientes de ascendencia europea en el Sistema de Salud Geisinger que estaban inscritos en el programa de biobancos MyCode Community Health.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:La capacidad de una puntuación de riesgo poligénico para predecir diverticulosis, diverticulitis y diverticulitis recurrente.RESULTADOS:Se incluyeron un total de 60.861 pacientes, de los cuales 9.912 (16,3%) presentaban diverticulosis o diverticulitis (5.015 con diverticulosis y 4.897 con diverticulitis). Cuando se dividió en deciles, nuestra puntuación de riesgo poligénico estratificó a los pacientes según el riesgo de diverticulosis y diverticulitis con una diferencia de 2 veces en el riesgo de enfermedad entre los deciles más alto y más bajo para diverticulitis y una diferencia de 4,8 veces para diverticulitis complicada recurrente. En comparación con los factores clínicos solos, nuestra puntuación de riesgo poligénico pudo mejorar la predicción del riesgo de diverticulitis recurrente.LIMITACIONES:Nuestra población se encuentra en gran parte en una sola región geográfica y se clasificó por estado de enfermedad utilizando códigos de clasificación internacional de enfermedades.CONCLUSIONES:Este modelo predictivo estratifica a los pacientes en función del riesgo genético de enfermedad diverticular. La mayor frecuencia de enfermedad recurrente en nuestros pacientes de alto riesgo sugiere que un puntaje de riesgo poligénico, además de otros factores, puede ayudar a guiar la discusión sobre la intervención quirúrgica. (Traducción- Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Antiretroviral Therapy Concealment Behaviors and their Association with Antiretroviral Therapy Adherence among People with HIV: Findings from the Florida Cohort Study.

Little is known about HIV medication concealment behaviors and the effect of medication concealment on antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence among people with HIV (PWH). This study aims to (1) to describe medication concealment behaviors and factors associated with these behaviors, and (2) assess the association between medication concealment and suboptimal ART adherence. The Florida Cohort Study enrolled adult PWH from community-based clinics around the state from October 2020 to September 2022 (n = 416, 62% aged 50+, 56% male, 44% non-Hispanic Black, 18% Hispanic). Participants responded to questions about sociodemographics, stigma, ART adherence (≥ 85%), symptoms of depression, social networks and disclosure to their networks, and actions to conceal ART to avoid inadvertent disclosure of their HIV status. Analyses were conducted using multivariable logistic regressions models. The most common concealment behavior was hiding ART while having guests over (32%), followed by removing ART labels (26%), and putting ART into a different bottle (16%). Overall, 43% reported ≥ 1 behavior. In multivariable models, depressive symptoms, incomplete disclosure of HIV to close social networks, and not having a close social network were associated with ART concealment. After adjusting for risk factors for suboptimal ART adherence, endorsing hiding medication while having guests was associated with suboptimal ART adherence (aOR 2.87, 95% CI 1.15-7.55). Taking any action and other individual behaviors were not associated. ART concealment behaviors were common but did not consistently negatively influence adherence when accounting for other factors. PWH may want to receive ART medications in ways that ensure privacy and reduce the risk of inadvertent disclosure.

Assessing HIV-related stigma in the clinical setting: are providers in Florida interested?

HIV-related stigma is a key contributor to poor HIV-related health outcomes. The purpose of this study is to explore implementing a stigma measure into routine HIV care focusing on the 10-item Medical Monitoring Project measure as a proposed measure. Healthcare providers engaged in HIV-related care in Florida were recruited. Participants completed an interview about their perceptions of measures to assess stigma during clinical care. The analysis followed a directed content approach. Fifteen participants completed the interviews (87% female, 47% non-Hispanic White, case manager 40%). Most providers thought that talking about stigma would be helpful (89%). Three major themes emerged from the analysis: acceptability, subscales of interest, and utility. In acceptability, participants mentioned that assessing stigma could encourage patient-centered care and serve as a conversation starter, but some mentioned not having enough time. Participants thought that the disclosure concerns and negative self-image subscales were most relevant. Some worried they would not have resources for patients or that some issues were beyond their influence. Participants were generally supportive of routinely addressing HIV-related stigma in clinical care, but were concerned that resources, especially to address concerns about disclosure and negative self-image, were not available.

Spatial and temporal analysis of HIV clinical outcomes in Florida reveals counties with persistent racial and ethnic disparities during 2012-2019.

BACKGROUND: Racial/ethnic disparities in the HIV care continuum have been well documented in the US, with especially striking inequalities in viral suppression rates between White and Black persons with HIV (PWH). The South is considered an epicenter of the HIV epidemic in the US, with the largest population of PWH living in Florida. It is unclear whether any disparities in viral suppression or immune reconstitution-a clinical outcome highly correlated with overall prognosis-have changed over time or are homogenous geographically. In this analysis, we 1) investigate longitudinal trends in viral suppression and immune reconstitution among PWH in Florida, 2) examine the impact of socio-ecological factors on the association between race/ethnicity and clinical outcomes, 3) explore spatial and temporal variations in disparities in clinical outcomes. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Florida Department of Health for 42,369 PWH enrolled in the Ryan White program during 2008-2020. We linked the data to county-level socio-ecological variables available from County Health Rankings. GEE models were fit to assess the effect of race/ethnicity on immune reconstitution and viral suppression longitudinally. Poisson Bayesian hierarchical models were fit to analyze geographic variations in racial/ethnic disparities while adjusting for socio-ecological factors. RESULTS: Proportions of PWH who experienced viral suppression and immune reconstitution rose by 60% and 45%, respectively, from 2008-2020. Odds of immune reconstitution and viral suppression were significantly higher among White [odds ratio =2.34, 95% credible interval=2.14-2.56; 1.95 (1.85-2.05)], and Hispanic [1.70 (1.54-1.87); 2.18(2.07-2.31)] PWH, compared with Black PWH. These findings remained unchanged after accounting for socio-ecological factors. Rural and urban counties in north-central Florida saw the largest racial/ethnic disparities. CONCLUSIONS: There is persistent, spatially heterogeneous, racial/ethnic disparity in HIV clinical outcomes in Florida. This disparity could not be explained by socio-ecological factors, suggesting that further research on modifiable factors that can improve HIV outcomes among Black and Hispanic PWH in Florida is needed.

Clinical T2N0M0 Esophageal Cancer-Is Treatment Pathway Associated With Overall Survival?

INTRODUCTION: Esophageal cancer therapy is commonly multimodal. The CROSS trial demonstrated a survival benefit of neoadjuvant chemoradiation versus surgery alone in T1N1 or T2-3N0-1 patients. Theoretically, chemoradiation should be most beneficial to patients with advanced disease. Treating the intermediary stage, T2N0M0, is challenging as national guidelines offer multiple options. This study aims to compare survival outcomes and associated factors in clinical T2N0M0 esophageal cancer via treatment modality and compare clinical to pathological stage. The authors conclude that neoadjuvant therapy use has increased; however, there is no associated survival benefit, which may be due to over- or under-staging. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed using the National Cancer Database (2006-2016). Patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery (NCRT + ESOPH) were compared to patients who underwent esophagectomy first (ESOPH). Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine factors associated with treatment pathway. Overall survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier estimates and log-rank tests at 1-, 3-, and 5-y post-treatment. Additionally, a multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with adjuvant therapy in ESOPH patients. RESULTS: There were 1662 patients (NCRT + ESOPH: 904 [54.4%], ESOPH: 758 [45.6%]). There was no difference in 5-y survival between NCRT + ESOPH and ESOPH patients. Despite this, NCRT + ESOPH treatment rates rose from 33% to 74% between 2006 and 2016. Patients who received NCRT + ESOPH were younger and more commonly had no Charlson-Deyo comorbidities. Notably, 41% of patients were over-staged (T1 or lower), and 32.8% were under-staged (N ≥ 1). CONCLUSIONS: T2N0M0 remains difficult to characterize, and pathological staging corresponds poorly to clinical staging. Neoadjuvant therapy use has increased; however, the lack of a significant survival benefit to correlate with such may be secondary to over- or under-staging.

Evaluating the Implementation of a Medical Student's Handoff Curriculum During the Surgery Clerkship.

INTRODUCTION: Early introduction to essential communication skills is important. We sought to determine if a handoff curriculum (HC) would improve confidence, decrease anxiety, and increase participation in clinical handoffs during the surgical clerkship. METHODS: A multi-center prospective cohort study was performed at two medical schools. Training in the intervention group (HC) consisted of a didactic lecture, video review, and practice session. Students completed a pre-clerkship knowledge test and confidence/anxiety/handoff experience questionnaire pre- and post-clerkship. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in pre-clerkship handoff experiences between institutions except having previously witnessed a verbal handoff (School A 96.4% versus School B 76.2%, P = 0.01). While there were no significant differences in post-clerkship confidence or anxiety, HC students were significantly more involved with written sign-outs (52.9% versus 18.2%, P = 0.02) and verbal handoffs (29.4% versus 4.6%, P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Medical students exposed to handoff training shared similar confidence and anxiety scores compared to those that were not, however, they were more involved in handoff experiences during their surgical clerkship. Early introduction to handoff skills may encourage greater participation during subsequent clinical experiences.

Adherence Disparities and Utilization Trends of Oncotype Dx Assay: A National Cancer Database Study.

INTRODUCTION: Oncotype Dx (ODX) is a genetic assay that analyzes tumor recurrence risk and provides chemotherapy recommendations for T1-T2 stage, hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor-negative, and nodal-negative breast cancer patients. Despite its established validity, the utilization of this assay is suboptimal. The study aims to evaluate factors that are associated with adherence rate with the testing guidelines and examine changes in utilization trends. METHODS: This is a retrospective study, utilizing data from the National Cancer Database from 2010 to 2017. Patients who met the ODX testing guidelines were first evaluated for testing adherence. Secondly, all patients who underwent ODX testing were assessed to evaluate the trend in ODX utilization. RESULTS: A total of 429,648 patients met the criteria for ODX, and 43.4% of this population underwent testing. Advanced age, racial minorities, low-income status, well-differentiated tumor grade, uninsured status, and treatment at community cancer centers were associated with a decreased likelihood of receiving ODX in eligible patients. Additionally, a notable amount of testing was performed on patients who did not meet the ODX testing criteria. Among the 295,326 patients that underwent ODX testing, 16.6% of patients were node-positive and 1.8% had T3 or T4 stage tumors. CONCLUSIONS: A considerable number of patients who were eligible for ODX did not receive it, indicating potential barriers to care and disparities in breast cancer treatment. ODX usage has been expanded to broader patient populations, indicating more research is needed to validate the effectiveness of the assay in these patient groups.

A brief self-persuasion intervention to strengthen health-promoting dietary intentions through autonomous motivation.

Given the prevalence in obesity and other diet-related chronic diseases among adults in America, methods targeting dietary behavior change are essential. Interventions that aim to increase individuals' autonomous (i.e., self-driven) motivation to engage in health-promoting behaviors are highly effective, however, such interventions are difficult to scale. Thus, the current study tested the efficacy of a brief self-persuasion intervention to change participants' dietary goal content and increase intentions to make healthy dietary decisions, through autonomous motivation. The study also investigated the assumption that appearance-based goals decrease health-promoting behavior. The intervention was administered online to female college students (N = 300). Results showed that inspiring health-based and appearance-based goal content led to higher intentions compared to gaining others' approval-based goals, indirectly through higher autonomous motivation. Appearance-based goal content also led to higher intentions compared to a control condition. Results imply that there is promise in using a brief, easily administrable, self-persuasion intervention to increase health-promoting dietary behaviors. Additionally, results reflect that bolstering appearance-based goal content can promote health-promoting behaviors, however, more research is necessary to delineate the parameters of the finding.

Exploring Delay to Follow-Up in a Rural Multidisciplinary Cleft Clinic.

BACKGROUND: Oral clefts require longitudinal multidisciplinary care with follow-up visits at regular intervals throughout a patient's childhood, and delayed care can be detrimental. Although loss to follow-up is commonly studied, this metric does not account for patients that do return to care, but months or years later than recommended. The aim of this study was to explore and determine risk factors for delay to follow-up (DTFU) in a cleft clinic at a rural academic center. METHODS: Medical records from the multidisciplinary cleft clinic at a single rural tertiary care institution between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2019, were reviewed. The primary outcome was DTFU, measured as the difference in days between recommended and actual follow-up dates for a given visit. RESULTS: A cohort of 282 patients was analyzed, with a total of 953 visits. A total of 71% of patients experienced at least 1 delay in follow-up of 30 days or longer, and 50% had at least 1 delay of 90 days or longer. Out of all visits, the mean DTFU was 73 days (around 2.5 months). For 23% of patients, at least half their visits were delayed by more than 90 days, whereas 11% experienced a delay of more than 90 days with every visit. Patients who failed to show up to at least 1 appointment had significantly higher risk of DTFU ( P < 0.0001). Driving distance, driving time, SES, stage of cleft care, and cleft phenotype were not correlated with DTFU. For canceled appointments, 50.5% of recorded cancellation reasons were patient driven. CONCLUSIONS: Delay to follow-up in a multidisciplinary cleft clinic was prevalent in this rural cohort, with half of patients experiencing delays of 3 months or longer, and about 1 in 9 experiencing this delay with every visit. Delay to follow-up identifies patients with consistently high rates of delay in care, which could eventually lead to targeted interventions to increase compliance. Delay to follow-up may be a new and valuable measure of cleft care compliance that can be easily implemented by other institutions. Further investigation is needed to determine the relationship between delay and clinical outcomes in cleft patients.

How Does Being under the Influence Affect Willingness to Experience Overlapping Effects of Alcohol and Marijuana?

OBJECTIVE: This study tested how individuals anticipate they will respond to opportunities to engage in simultaneous alcohol and marijuana (SAM) use. METHODS: Two studies utilizing a within-subjects design were conducted. Study 1 was conducted in Spring 2021 and a replication (Study 2) was conducted in Fall 2021. Participants were presented with pairs of scenarios. One scenario pair compared how willing participants expected to be to get drunk if they were sober vs. high. Another pair compared how willing participants would be to take a hit of marijuana if they were sober vs. drunk. College attending young adults (Study 1: N = 173; female = 81%; Study 2: N = 212; female = 49.1%) with varying degrees of substance use experience were recruited. RESULTS: In Study 1 participants reported greater willingness to get drunk when sober than when high. This was qualified by a statistically significant interaction whereby differences were greater among those who had more experience with past 30-day heavy drinking. Similar findings emerged for willingness to use marijuana. Participants anticipated greater willingness to use marijuana when sober than when drunk. This was also qualified by a statistically significant interaction whereby differences were greater among experimental or established users of marijuana than among abstainers. Study 2 findings replicated those from Study 1. CONCLUSIONS: College attending young adults state greater willingness to remain under the influence of one substance than to engage in SAM use when opportunities arise. Simultaneous use of alcohol and marijuana among college students is likely an exception, not the rule. Implications for prevention are discussed.

Racial/Ethnic Group Differences in Older Adults' Involvement with Adult Protective Services.

This paper represents the first study to focus on quantifying racial/ethnic group differences in older adults' involvement with adult protective services (APS).  Across 3 independent county programs, the rate of APS reports was about twice as high for Black older adults compared to White older adults.  These differences were greater for clients who were older and male but remained similar across allegation type.  The percent of reports validated was slightly but consistently lower for Black clients than for White clients, and a lower percentage of Black clients' cases were closed due to investigation or service refusal. Findings for Hispanic clients differed by county, so it was impossible to generalize about their APS experience.  Researchers should distinguish racial/ethnic group differences that persist across multiple programs from those that are program-specific.  Further studies with larger data sets are needed to guide APS practice and ensure equity for all clients served. .

Implementation Intentions to Reduce Smoking: A Systematic Review of the Literature.

Implementation intentions are a goal-setting technique in which an individual commits to perform a particular behavior when a specific context arises. Recently, researchers have begun studying how implementation intention (II) interventions can facilitate antismoking efforts. The current systematic review synthesized results of experimental studies that tested the effect of an II intervention on smoking cognitions and behavior. Of 29 reviewed articles, 11 studies met inclusion criteria. Nine studies (81.8%) tested an II intervention as a cessation tool for current smokers, whereas two tested II interventions as a tool to prevent smoking among predominantly nonsmoking adolescents. A majority of the studies (66.7%) testing II interventions as a cessation tool reported a positive effect on cessation at long-term follow-up. Of the two studies testing II interventions as a tool for prevention, one study found a positive effect on long-term follow-up. Methodology varied between the studies, highlighting the discrepancies between what researchers consider "implementation intentions" to be. II interventions are a promising tool for antismoking efforts, but more research is necessary to determine the best methodology and the populations for whom this intervention will be most effective. IMPLICATIONS: Brief, free, and easily scalable, II interventions to prevent smoking are highly attractive for antismoking efforts. This review outlines the circumstances under which II interventions have demonstrated effectiveness in helping people resist smoking cigarettes. We illuminate gaps in the existing literature, limitations, methodological discrepancies between studies, and areas for future study.

Anastomotic leak in patients with acute complicated diverticulitis undergoing primary anastomosis: risk factors and the role of diverting loop ileostomy.

BACKGROUND: Recent data has suggested that primary anastomosis (PA), with or without a diverting loop ileostomy (DLI), is a safe option for the treatment of acute complicated diverticulitis. This study aimed to evaluate risk factors associated with anastomotic leak in patients who underwent a sigmoid colectomy with PA and to determine whether a DLI was protective against a clinically significant anastomotic leak. METHODS: Patients with acute complicated diverticulitis who underwent a laparoscopic or open sigmoid colectomy with PA, with or without a DLI, were identified in the NSQIP PUF(2016-2017). The rates of anastomotic leak, receipt of DLI, and type of leak management were compared. Multivariate logistic regression was performed. RESULTS: There were 497 patients identified. Seventy-nine(15.9%) patients had a DLI, while 418 (84.1%) did not. Twenty-six anastomotic leaks were identified (5.2%). On multivariate analysis, current smoking (OR 4.02; 95% CI 1.44-11.26) and chronic steroid use (OR 3.84; 95% CI 1.16-12.69) were significantly associated with an increased risk of leak. Of the 26 patients with anastomotic leaks, 5 (19.2%) had a DLI. There was no significant difference in the rate of leak between those with a DLI(5; 6.3%) and those without(21; 5.3%; p = 0.59). Patients who had a DLI were significantly less likely to experience an anastomotic leak requiring re-operation (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of the presence of a DLI, chronic steroid use and smoking are associated with an increased risk of anastomotic leak in patients with acute complicated diverticulitis undergoing colectomy with PA. The presence of a diverting loop ileostomy is protective against re-operation.

Skin-to-Skin Care Is a Safe and Effective Comfort Measure for Infants Before and After Neonatal Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the effect of skin-to-skin care on stress, pain, behavioral organization, and physiologic stability of infants with critical congenital heart disease before and after neonatal cardiac surgery. DESIGN: A baseline response-paired design was used, with infants acting as their own controls before, during, and after skin-to-skin care at two distinct time points: once in the preoperative period (T1) and once in the postoperative period (T2). SETTING: Cardiac ICU and step-down unit in a large metropolitan freestanding children's hospital. SUBJECTS: Convenience sample of 30 infants admitted preoperatively for critical congenital heart disease. INTERVENTIONS: Eligible infants were placed into skin-to-skin care for 1 hour with their biological mothers once each at T1 and T2. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Measurements of stress (salivary cortisol), pain and behavior state (COMFORT scale), and physiologic stability (vital signs) were assessed immediately before skin-to-skin care, 30 minutes into skin-to-skin care, and 30 minutes after skin-to-skin care ended.At both T1 and T2, infant pain scores were significantly decreased (p < 0.0001) and infants moved into a calmer behavior state (p < 0.0001) during skin-to-skin care as compared to baseline. At T1, infants also had significantly reduced heart rate (p = 0.002) and respiratory rate (p < 0.0001) and increased systolic blood pressure (p = 0.033) during skin-to-skin care. At both T1 and T2, infant cortisol remained stable and unchanged from pre-skin-to-skin care to during skin-to-skin care (p = 0.096 and p = 0.356, respectively), and significantly increased from during skin-to-skin care to post-skin-to-skin care (p = 0.001 and p = 0.023, respectively). Exploratory analysis revealed differences in cortisol reactivity for infants with higher baseline cortisol (> 0.3 µg/dL) versus lower (≤ 0.3 µg/dL) prior to skin-to-skin care. Infants with higher baseline cortisol at T2 experienced significantly reduced cortisol during skin-to-skin care (p = 0.025). No significant differences in demographics or baseline variables were found between infants in either group. CONCLUSIONS: Skin-to-skin care is a low-cost, low-risk intervention that promotes comfort and supports physiologic stability in infants before and after neonatal cardiac surgery.

Overcoming adversity-a critical step toward career satisfaction and leadership in academic surgery.

The experiences of life are what shape us. This article relays stories of adversity and resiliency as experienced and told by members of our own surgical community at the Academic Surgical Congress in Las Vegas, NV in February 2017. We aim to express in words the lessons of each experience so that others can learn about life and leadership.

A preoperative prediction model for risk of multiple admissions after colon cancer surgery.

BACKGROUND: A subset of patients who undergo colon cancer surgery may be at a high risk of multiple subsequent admissions. We developed a simplified model to predict the preoperative risk of multiple postoperative admissions (MuAdm) among patients undergoing colon resection to aid in preoperative planning. METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 y with colon cancer who underwent elective surgical resection identified in discharge claims from California and New York (2008-2011) were included. The primary outcome, MuAdm, was defined as 2 or more admissions in the year following resection. Logistic regression models were developed to identify factors predictive of MuAdm. A weighted point system was developed using beta-coefficients (P < 0.05). A random sample of 75% of the data was used for model development, which was validated in the remaining 25% sample. RESULTS: A total of 14,780 patients underwent colon resection for cancer. Almost 30% had an admission in the year after index surgery and 9.8% had MuAdm. The significant predictors of MuAdm were higher Elixhauser comorbidity index score, metastatic disease, payer system, and the number of admissions in the year before surgery. Scores ranged from 0 to 8. Scores ≤1 had a 7% risk of MuAdm, and scores ≥6 had a >30% risk of MuAdm. CONCLUSIONS: In the year following discharge after resection of colon cancer, nearly 10% of patients are admitted 2 or more times. A simple, preoperative clinical model can prospectively predict the likelihood of multiple admissions in patients anticipating resection. This model can be used for preoperative planning and setting postoperative expectations more accurately.

Preventing Early Bouncebacks to the Neurointensive Care Unit: A Retrospective Analysis and Quality Improvement Pilot.

BACKGROUND: Early unplanned readmissions of "bouncebacks" to intensive care units are a healthcare quality metric and result in higher mortality and greater cost. Few studies have examined bouncebacks to the neurointensive care unit (neuro-ICU), and we sought to design and implement a quality improvement pilot to reduce that rate. METHODS: First, we performed a retrospective chart review of 504 transfers to identify potential bounceback risk factors. Risk factors were assessed on the day of transfer by the transferring physician identifying patients as "high risk" or "low risk" for bounceback. "High-risk" patients underwent an enhanced transfer process emphasizing interdisciplinary communication and rapid assessment upon transfer during a 9-month pilot. RESULTS: Within the retrospective cohort, 34 of 504 (4.7%) transfers required higher levels of care within 48 h. Respiratory failure and sepsis/hypotension were the most common reasons for bounceback among this group. During the intervention, 8 of 225 (3.6%) transfers bounced back, all of who were labeled "high risk." Being "high risk" was associated with a risk of bounceback (OR not calculable, p = 0.02). Aspiration risk (OR 6.9; 95% CI 1.6-30, p = 0.010) and cardiac arrhythmia (OR 7.1; 95% CI 1.6-32, p = 0.01) were independent predictors of bounceback in multivariate analysis. Bounceback rates trended downward to 2.8% in the final phase (p for trend 0.09). Eighty-five percent of providers responded that the pilot should become standard of care. CONCLUSION: Patients at high risk for bounceback after transfer from the neuro-ICU can be identified using a simple tool. Early augmented multidisciplinary communication and care for high-risk patients may improve their management in the hospital.

Development and implementation of a risk identification tool to facilitate critical care transitions for high-risk surgical patients.

QUALITY PROBLEM: Patients recently discharged from the intensive care unit (ICU) are at high risk for clinical deterioration. INITIAL ASSESSMENT: Unreliable and incomplete handoffs of complex patients contributed to preventable ICU readmissions. Respiratory decompensation was responsible for four times as many readmissions as other causes. CHOICE OF SOLUTION: Form a multidisciplinary team to address care coordination surrounding the transfer of patients from the ICU to the surgical ward. IMPLEMENTATION: A quality improvement intervention incorporating verbal handoffs, time-sensitive patient evaluations and visual cues was piloted over a 1-year period in consecutive high-risk surgical patients discharged from the ICU. Process metrics and clinical outcomes were compared to historical controls. EVALUATION: The intervention brought the primary team and respiratory therapists to the bedside for a baseline examination within 60 min of ward arrival. Stakeholders viewed the intervention as such a valuable adjunct to patient care that the intervention has become a standard of care. While not significant, in a comparatively older and sicker intervention population, the rate of readmissions due to respiratory decompensation was 12.5%, while 35.0% in the control group (P = 0.28). LESSONS LEARNED: The implementation of this ICU transition protocol is feasible and internationally applicable, and results in improved care coordination and communication for a high-risk group of patients.

Using community outreach to explore health-related beliefs and improve surgeon-patient engagement.

BACKGROUND: Fostering surgeon engagement in community outreach was recently identified as a major priority toward reducing health care disparities in surgery. We aimed to increase surgeon engagement in the local community, understand prevalent beliefs, and identify educational opportunities in the local community regarding cancer screening and treatment using community outreach. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In collaboration with the university's cancer center, the medical student surgical interest group, surgical faculty, and residents developed a community outreach program. The program consisted of networking time, a formal presentation, panel discussion, and question and answer time. A survey was distributed to all participants before the educational session, and a program assessment was distributed at the program's conclusion. RESULTS: A total of 256 community members and 22 surgical volunteers attended at least one of the two events. Attendees were insured (175; 92.7%), female (151; 80%), and African-American (176; 93.1%), with a mean age of 61 y (standard deviation 14.0). About 56 participants (29.6%) were unwilling to undergo screening colonoscopy. Forty-eight respondents (25.4%) endorsed mistrust in doctors and 25% believed surgery causes cancer to spread; a significantly higher proportion of them aged <60 y old. About 113 (59.8%) and 87 (46.1%) misunderstood the definitions of malignant and metastatic, respectively. Males were more unsure than females (61% versus 55%, P = 0.5 and 70% versus 55%; P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Risk perceptions related to fatalism, mistrust, or lack of knowledge were prevalent. The ability of surgeons to reach at-risk populations in the prehospital setting is an important opportunity waiting to be capitalized upon.

Postdischarge occurrences after colorectal surgery happen early and are associated with dramatically increased rates of readmission.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative occurrences have been associated with an increased risk of readmission, yet these occurrences and their timing have not been well characterized. OBJECTIVE: We sought to analyze patients undergoing colorectal surgery as a model for general surgical readmissions. DESIGN: In a retrospective analysis, the impact of a postoperative occurrence on readmission was examined in a multivariable model with adjustment for potential confounders. The timing and type of postoperative occurrence were further characterized. SETTINGS: This study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital. PATIENTS: Patients undergoing colorectal surgery in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (fiscal year 2011-2012) were analyzed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome measure was admission within 30 days of operation. RESULTS: A total of 54,823 patients undergoing colorectal surgery were identified, with 24% of patients experiencing a postoperative occurrence, and 12% of patients readmitted. The readmission rate in those who experienced an occurrence was 30% compared with 6% in those without an occurrence (p < 0.0001). After an occurrence during the index admission, the readmission rate was 18% compared with 57% if the occurrence happened postdischarge (p < 0.0001). In a multivariable analysis, postdischarge occurrence (risk ratio, 7.5 [95% CI, 7.3-7.8]) was associated with the largest risk of readmission. The median time to postdischarge occurrence was 8 days for organ space infection and wound complication and 7 days for sepsis. By day 14 postdischarge, 74% of organ space infections, 79% of wound complications, and 81% of sepsis had already occurred. LIMITATIONS: This analysis was limited to the variables available in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Most significantly, readmission is captured for 30 days postoperatively rather than for 30 days postdischarge. CONCLUSIONS: Readmission occurs frequently (12%) after colorectal surgery and is strongly associated with a postdischarge occurrence. The most frequent postdischarge occurrences are infectious in nature and happen early postdischarge. The majority of postdischarge occurrences have already occurred by day 14, a standard time for the postoperative appointment.