Cost-effectiveness of early rhythm control vs. usual care in atrial fibrillation care: an analysis based on data from the EAST-AFNET 4 trial.

AIMS: The randomized, controlled EAST-AFNET 4 trial showed that early rhythm control (ERC) reduces the rate of a composite primary outcome (cardiovascular death, stroke, or hospitalization for worsening heart failure or acute coronary syndrome) by ∼20%. The current study examined the cost-effectiveness of ERC compared to usual care. METHODS AND RESULTS: This within-trial cost-effectiveness analysis was based on data from the German subsample of the EAST-AFNET 4 trial (n = 1664/2789 patients). Over a 6-year time horizon and from a healthcare payer's perspective, ERC was compared to usual care regarding costs (hospitalization and medication) and effects (time to primary outcome; years survived). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were constructed to visualize uncertainty. Early rhythm control was associated with higher costs [+€1924, 95% CI (-€399, €4246)], resulting in ICERs of €10 638 per additional year without a primary outcome and €22 536 per life year gained. The probability of ERC being cost-effective compared to usual care was ≥95% or ≥80% at a willingness-to-pay value of ≥€55 000 per additional year without a primary outcome or life year gained, respectively. CONCLUSION: From a German healthcare payer's perspective, health benefits of ERC may come at reasonable costs as indicated by the ICER point estimates. Taking statistical uncertainty into account, cost-effectiveness of ERC is highly probable at a willingness-to-pay value of ≥€55 000 per additional life year or year without a primary outcome. Future studies examining the cost-effectiveness of ERC in other countries, subgroups with higher benefit from rhythm control therapy, or cost-effectiveness of different modes of ERC are warranted.

Bipolar ablation of therapy-refractory ventricular arrhythmias: application of a dedicated approach.

AIMS: Bipolar radiofrequency ablation (B-RFA) has been reported as a bail-out strategy for the treatment of therapy refractory ventricular arrhythmias (VA). Currently, existing setups have not been standardized for B-RFA, while the impact of conventional B-RFA approaches on lesion formation remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: (i) In a multicentre observational study, patients undergoing B-RFA for previously therapy-refractory VA using a dedicated B-RFA setup were retrospectively analysed. (ii) Additionally, in an ex vivo model lesion formation during B-RFA was evaluated using porcine hearts. In a total of 26 procedures (24 patients), acute success was achieved in all 14 ventricular tachycardia (VT) procedures and 7/12 procedures with premature ventricular contractions (PVC), with major complications occurring in 1 procedure (atrioventricular block). During a median follow-up of 211 days in 21 patients, 6/11 patients (VT) and 5/10 patients (PVC) remained arrhythmia-free. Lesion formation in the ex vivo model during energy titration from 30 to 50 W led to similar lesion volumes compared with initial high-power 50 W B-RFA. Lesion size significantly increased when combining sequential unipolar and B-RFA (1429 mm3 vs. titration 501 mm3 vs. B-RFA 50 W 423 mm3, P < 0.001), an approach used in overall 58% of procedures and more frequently applied in procedures without VA recurrence (92% vs. 36%, P = 0.009). Adipose tissue severely limited lesion formation during B-RFA. CONCLUSION: Using a dedicated device for B-RFA for therapy-refractory VA appears feasible and safe. While some patients need repeat ablation, success rates were encouraging. Sequential unipolar and B-RFA may be favourable for lesion formation.

Short Exposure to Ethanol Diminishes Caspase-1 and ASC Activation in Human HepG2 Cells In Vitro.

This paper discusses how the assembly of pro-caspase-1 and apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a caspase-recruitment domain (ASC) in macromolecular protein complexes, inflammasomes, activates caspase-1. The present study investigates the molecular mechanisms of inflammasome activation in HepG2 cells and examines how short exposures to ethanol (EtOH) affect inflammasome activation. HepG2 cells were treated with lipopolysaccharide (LPS), ATP or nigericin (NIG) in a two-step model. After LPS priming, ATP or NIG were added. As inhibitors, sodium orthovanadate (general inhibitor of tyrosine phosphatases), AC-YVAD-CMK (caspase-1 inhibitor) or AZ10606120 (purinergic receptor P2X7R inhibitor) were applied after LPS priming. To monitor the inflammasome activation, the caspase-1 activity, ASC speck formation, reactive oxygen species (ROS) production and cell death were analyzed. To elucidate the mechanistical approach of EtOH to the inflammasome assembly, the cells were treated with EtOH either under simultaneous LPS administration or concurrently with ATP or NIG application. The co-stimulation with LPS and ATP induced a significant ASC speck formation, caspase-1 activation, cell death and ROS generation. The inhibition of the ATP-dependent purinoreceptor P2X7 decreased the caspase-1 activation, whereas sodium orthovanadate significantly induced caspase-1. Additional treatment with EtOH reversed the LPS and ATP-induced caspase-1 activation, ASC speck formation and ROS production. The ASC speck formation and caspase-1 induction require a two-step signaling with LPS and ATP in HepG2 cells. Inflammasome activation may depend on P2X7. The molecular pathway of an acute effect of EtOH on inflammasomes may involve a reduction in ROS generation, which in turn may increase the activity of tyrosine phosphatases.

Cytokines in Inflammatory Disease.

This review aims to briefly discuss a short list of a broad variety of inflammatory cytokines. Numerous studies have implicated that inflammatory cytokines exert important effects with regard to various inflammatory diseases, yet the reports on their specific roles are not always consistent. They can be used as biomarkers to indicate or monitor disease or its progress, and also may serve as clinically applicable parameters for therapies. Yet, their precise role is not always clearly defined. Thus, in this review, we focus on the existing literature dealing with the biology of cytokines interleukin (IL)-6, IL-1, IL-33, tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), IL-10, and IL-8. We will briefly focus on the correlations and role of these inflammatory mediators in the genesis of inflammatory impacts (e.g., shock, trauma, immune dysregulation, osteoporosis, and/or critical illness).

Reduced NLRP3 Gene Expression Limits the IL-1ß Cleavage via Inflammasome in Monocytes from Severely Injured Trauma Patients.

OBJECTIVE: Traumatic injury or severe surgery leads to a profound immune response with a diminished functionality of monocytes and subsequently their IL-1ß release. IL-1ß plays an important role in host immunity and protection against infections. Its biological activation via IL-1ß-precursor processing requires the transcription of inflammasome components and their activation. Deregulated activity of NOD-like receptor inflammasomes (NLR) like NLRP3 that leads to the maturation of IL-1ß has been described in various diseases. While the role of other inflammasomes has been studied in monocytes, nothing is known about NLRP3 inflammasome after a traumatic injury. Here, the role of the NLRP3 inflammasome in impaired monocyte functionality after a traumatic injury was analyzed. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Ex vivo-in vitro stimulation of isolated CD14+ monocytes with lipopolysaccharide (LPS) showed a significantly higher IL-1ß secretion in healthy volunteers (HV) compared to trauma patients (TP) after admission. Reduced IL-1ß secretion was paralleled by significantly lowered gene expression of NLRP3 in monocytes from TP compared to those of HV. Transfection of monocytes with NLRP3-encoding plasmid recovered the functionality of monocytes from TP regarding the IL-1ß secretion. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that CD14+ monocytes from TP are significantly diminished in their function and that the presence of NLRP3 components is necessary in recovering the ability of monocytes to produce active IL-1ß. This recovery of the NLRP3 inflammasome in monocytes may imply a new target for treatment and therapy of immune suppression after severe injury.

Suppression of the interleukin-1ß-induced inflammatory response of human Chang liver cells by acute and subacute exposure to alcohol: an in vitro study.

AIM: To evaluate protective immunosuppressive dose and time-dependent effects of ethanol in an in vitro model of acute inflammation in human Chang liver cells. METHOD: The study was performed in 2016 and 2017 in the research laboratory of the Department of Trauma, Hand and Reconstructive Surgery, the University Hospital of the Goethe-University Frankfurt. Chang liver cells were stimulated with either interleukin (IL)-1ß or IL-6 and subsequently treated with low-dose ethanol (85 mmol/L) or high-dose ethanol (170 mmol/L) for one hour (acute exposure) or 72 hours (subacute exposure). IL-6 and IL-1ß release were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Neutrophil adhesion to Chang liver monolayers, production of reactive oxygen species, and apoptosis or necrosis were analyzed. RESULTS: Contrary to high-dose ethanol, acute low-dose ethanol exposure significantly reduced IL-1ß-induced IL-6 and IL-6-induced IL-1ß release (P<0.05). Subacute ethanol exposure did not change proinflammatory cytokine release. Acute low-dose ethanol exposure significantly decreased inflammation-induced formation of reactive oxygen species (P<0.05) and significantly improved cell survival (P<0.05). Neither acute nor subacute high-dose ethanol exposure significantly changed inflammation-induced changes in reactive oxygen species or survival. Acute and subacute ethanol exposure, independently of the dose, significantly decreased neutrophil adhesion to inflamed Chang liver cells (P<0.05). CONCLUSION: Acute treatment of inflamed Chang liver cells with ethanol showed its immunosuppressive potential. However, the observed effects were limited to low-dose setting, indicating the relevance of ethanol dose in the modulation of inflammatory cell response.

Ethanol Decreases Inflammatory Response in Human Lung Epithelial Cells by Inhibiting the Canonical NF-kB-Pathway.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Alcohol (ethanol, EtOH) as significant contributor to traumatic injury is linked to suppressed inflammatory response, thereby influencing clinical outcomes. Alcohol-induced immune-suppression during acute inflammation (trauma) was linked to nuclear factor-kappaB (NF-ĸB). Here, we analyzed alcohol`s effects and mechanisms underlying its influence on NF-ĸB-signaling during acute inflammation in human lung epithelial cells. METHODS: A549-cells were stimulated with interleukin (IL)-1ß, or sera from trauma patients (TP) or healthy volunteers, with positive/negative blood alcohol concentrations (BAC), and subsequently exposed to EtOH (170 Mm, 1h). IL-6-release and neutrophil adhesion to A549 were analyzed. Specific siRNA-NIK mediated downregulation of non-canonical, and IKK-NBD-inhibition of canonical NF-ĸB signaling were performed. Nuclear levels of activated p50 and p52 NF-ĸB-subunits were detected using TransAm ELISA. RESULTS: Both stimuli significantly induced IL-6-release (39.79±4.70 vs. 0.58±0.8 pg/ml) and neutrophil adhesion (132.30±8.80 vs. 100% control, p<0.05) to A549-cells. EtOH significantly decreased IL-6-release (22.90±5.40, p<0.05) and neutrophil adherence vs. controls (105.40±14.5%, p<0.05). IL-1ß-induced significant activation of canonical/p50 and non-canonical/p52 pathways. EtOH significantly reduced p50 (34.90±23.70 vs. 197.70±36.43, p<0.05) not p52 activation. Inhibition of canonical pathway was further increased by EtOH (less p50-activation), while p52 remained unaltered. Inhibition of non-canonical pathway was unchanged by EtOH. CONCLUSION: Here, alcohol`s anti-inflammatory effects are mediated via decreasing nuclear levels of activated p50-subunit and canonical NF-ĸB signaling pathway.

[Genetic basis of atrial fibrillation-on the road to precision medicine]. / Die Genetik von Vorhofflimmern ­ auf dem Weg in die Präzisionsmedizin.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and has complex genetic underpinnings. Despite advancements in treatment, mortality of AF patients remains high. This review discusses the genetic basis of AF and its implications for diagnosis and therapy. Although AF pathology has long been known to include a hereditary component, the first genes associated with AF were not identified until the early 2000s. Subsequent research with genome-wide association studies (GWAS) has implicated other genes and numerous genetic variants in AF. These studies have revealed nearly 140 different regions in the DNA with genome-wide significance associated with AF. In addition to common variants, rare variants with large effects have also been identified. The integration of these genetic findings into clinical practice holds promise for improving AF diagnosis and treatment, moving us closer to precision medicine. However, challenges remain, including the need for more diverse genetic data of non-European ancestry and improved genetic analyses of responses to AF therapy.

Cardiovascular Significance and Genetics of Epicardial and Pericardial Adiposity.

Importance: Epicardial and pericardial adipose tissue (EPAT) has been associated with cardiovascular diseases such as atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF) and coronary artery disease (CAD), but studies have been limited in sample size or drawn from selected populations. It has been suggested that the association between EPAT and cardiovascular disease could be mediated by local or paracrine effects. Objective: To evaluate the association of EPAT with prevalent and incident cardiovascular disease and to elucidate the genetic basis of EPAT in a large population cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants: A deep learning model was trained to quantify EPAT area from 4-chamber magnetic resonance images using semantic segmentation. Cross-sectional and prospective cardiovascular disease associations were evaluated, controlling for sex and age. Prospective associations were additionally controlled for abdominal visceral adipose tissue (VAT) volumes. A genome-wide association study was performed, and a polygenic score (PGS) for EPAT was examined in independent FinnGen cohort study participants. Data analyses were conducted from March 2022 to December 2023. Exposures: The primary exposures were magnetic resonance imaging-derived continuous measurements of epicardial and pericardial adipose tissue area and visceral adipose tissue volume. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalent and incident CAD, AF, heart failure (HF), stroke, and type 2 diabetes (T2D). Results: After exclusions, this study included 44 475 participants (mean [SD] age, 64.1 [7.7] years; 22 972 female [51.7%]) from the UK Biobank. Cross-sectional and prospective cardiovascular disease associations were evaluated for a mean (SD) of 3.2 (1.5) years of follow-up. Prospective associations were additionally controlled for abdominal VAT volumes for 38 527 participants. A PGS for EPAT was examined in 453 733 independent FinnGen cohort study participants. EPAT was positively associated with male sex (ß = +0.78 SD in EPAT; P < 3 × 10-324), age (Pearson r = 0.15; P = 9.3 × 10-229), body mass index (Pearson r = 0.47; P < 3 × 10-324), and VAT (Pearson r = 0.72; P < 3 × 10-324). EPAT was more elevated in prevalent HF (ß = +0.46 SD units) and T2D (ß = +0.56) than in CAD (ß = +0.23) or AF (ß = +0.18). EPAT was associated with incident HF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.29 per +1 SD in EPAT; 95% CI, 1.17-1.43), T2D (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.51-1.76), and CAD (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.11-1.28). However, the associations were no longer significant when controlling for VAT. Seven genetic loci were identified for EPAT, implicating transcriptional regulators of adipocyte morphology and brown adipogenesis (EBF1, EBF2, and CEBPA) and regulators of visceral adiposity (WARS2 and TRIB2). The EPAT PGS was associated with T2D (odds ratio [OR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.05-1.07; P =3.6 × 10-44), HF (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.06; P =4.8 × 10-15), CAD (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.03-1.05; P =1.4 × 10-17), AF (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.03-1.06; P =7.6 × 10-12), and stroke in FinnGen (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; P =3.5 × 10-3) per 1 SD in PGS. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that epicardial and pericardial adiposity was associated with incident cardiovascular diseases, but this may largely reflect a metabolically unhealthy adiposity phenotype similar to abdominal visceral adiposity.

Deep learning of left atrial structure and function provides link to atrial fibrillation risk.

Increased left atrial volume and decreased left atrial function have long been associated with atrial fibrillation. The availability of large-scale cardiac magnetic resonance imaging data paired with genetic data provides a unique opportunity to assess the genetic contributions to left atrial structure and function, and understand their relationship with risk for atrial fibrillation. Here, we use deep learning and surface reconstruction models to measure left atrial minimum volume, maximum volume, stroke volume, and emptying fraction in 40,558 UK Biobank participants. In a genome-wide association study of 35,049 participants without pre-existing cardiovascular disease, we identify 20 common genetic loci associated with left atrial structure and function. We find that polygenic contributions to increased left atrial volume are associated with atrial fibrillation and its downstream consequences, including stroke. Through Mendelian randomization, we find evidence supporting a causal role for left atrial enlargement and dysfunction on atrial fibrillation risk.

Noninvasive assessment of organ-specific and shared pathways in multi-organ fibrosis using T1 mapping.

Fibrotic diseases affect multiple organs and are associated with morbidity and mortality. To examine organ-specific and shared biologic mechanisms that underlie fibrosis in different organs, we developed machine learning models to quantify T1 time, a marker of interstitial fibrosis, in the liver, pancreas, heart and kidney among 43,881 UK Biobank participants who underwent magnetic resonance imaging. In phenome-wide association analyses, we demonstrate the association of increased organ-specific T1 time, reflecting increased interstitial fibrosis, with prevalent diseases across multiple organ systems. In genome-wide association analyses, we identified 27, 18, 11 and 10 independent genetic loci associated with liver, pancreas, myocardial and renal cortex T1 time, respectively. There was a modest genetic correlation between the examined organs. Several loci overlapped across the examined organs implicating genes involved in a myriad of biologic pathways including metal ion transport (SLC39A8, HFE and TMPRSS6), glucose metabolism (PCK2), blood group antigens (ABO and FUT2), immune function (BANK1 and PPP3CA), inflammation (NFKB1) and mitosis (CENPE). Finally, we found that an increasing number of organs with T1 time falling in the top quintile was associated with increased mortality in the population. Individuals with a high burden of fibrosis in ≥3 organs had a 3-fold increase in mortality compared to those with a low burden of fibrosis across all examined organs in multivariable-adjusted analysis (hazard ratio = 3.31, 95% confidence interval 1.77-6.19; P = 1.78 × 10-4). By leveraging machine learning to quantify T1 time across multiple organs at scale, we uncovered new organ-specific and shared biologic pathways underlying fibrosis that may provide therapeutic targets.

Blood-based cardiometabolic phenotypes in atrial fibrillation and their associated risk: EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and concomitant cardiometabolic disease processes interact and combine to lead to adverse events, such as stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death. Circulating biomolecules provide quantifiable proxies for cardiometabolic disease processes. The aim of this study was to test whether biomolecule combinations can define phenotypes in patients with AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This pre-specified analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study assigned patients to clusters using polytomous variable latent-class analysis based on baseline concentrations of 13 precisely quantified biomolecules potentially reflecting ageing, cardiac fibrosis, metabolic dysfunction, oxidative stress, cardiac load, endothelial dysfunction, and inflammation. In each cluster, rates of cardiovascular death, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, the primary outcome of EAST-AFNET 4, were calculated and compared between clusters over median 5.1 years follow-up. Findings were independently validated in a prospective cohort of 748 patients with AF (BBC-AF; median follow-up 2.9 years).Unsupervised biomolecule analysis assigned 1586 patients (71 years old, 46% women) into four clusters. The highest risk cluster was dominated by elevated bone morphogenetic protein 10, insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, angiopoietin 2, and growth differentiation factor 15. Patients in the lowest risk cluster showed low concentrations of these biomolecules. Two intermediate-risk clusters differed by high or low concentrations of C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and D-dimer. Patients in the highest risk cluster had a five-fold higher cardiovascular event rate than patients in the low-risk cluster. Early rhythm control was effective across clusters (Pinteraction = 0.63). Sensitivity analyses and external validation in BBC-AF replicated clusters and risk gradients. CONCLUSION: Biomolecule concentrations identify cardiometabolic subphenotypes in patients with AF at high and low cardiovascular risk.

Management of pericardial tamponade in the electrophysiology laboratory: results from a national survey.

BACKGROUND: Despite continued efforts to improve the safety of catheter ablation, pericardial tamponade remains one of its more frequent, potentially life-threatening complications. Management of cardiac tamponade is not standardized and uncertainties regarding acute treatment remain. METHODS: This survey sought to evaluate the management of cardiac tamponade in German EP centers via a standardized postal questionnaire. All 341 identified German EP centers were invited to return a questionnaire on their standards for the management of cardiac tamponade. RESULTS: A total of 189 German EP centers completed the questionnaire. Several precautions are followed to avoid pericardial tamponade: A minority of centers preclude very old patients (19%) or those with a high body mass index (30%) from ablation. Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants are briefly paused in most centers (88%) before procedures, while vitamin K antagonists are continued. Pericardial tamponade is usually treated using reversal of heparin by applying protamine (86%) and pericardiocentesis under both, fluoroscopic and echocardiographic guidance (62%). A pigtail catheter is mostly inserted (97%) and autotransfusion of aspirated blood is performed in 47% of centers. The decision for surgical repair depends on different clinical and infrastructural aspects. The timing of reinitiation of anticoagulation widely differs between the centers. Approximately 1/3 of centers prescribe nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory agents, colchicine or steroids after pericardiocentesis. CONCLUSION: The present survey shows that the management of cardiac tamponade is still inhomogeneous in German ablation centers. However, multiple findings of this survey can be generalized and might guide especially less experienced operators and centers in their treatment and decision strategies.

Association of atrial myopathy in mitral valve disease on safety outcomes in left atrial appendage closure.

BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing left atrial appendage (LAA) occlusion (LAAO) are multi-morbid, including mitral valve disease (MVD) which is associated with anatomic changes of the left atrium (LA). This study aims to identify how atrial myopathy in MVD influences outcomes in LAAO. METHODS: Atrial myopathy in MVD was defined as LA diameter > 45 mm (♀) and > 48 mm (♂) and existing MVD or history of surgical/interventional treatment. Patients were compared with controls from the prospective, multicentre LAArge registry of LAAO. RESULTS: A total of 528 patients (52 MVD, 476 no-MVD) were included. The MVD group was significantly more likely to be older (78.2 years vs 75.9 years, p = 0.036) and female (59.6% vs 37.8%, p = 0.002). Altered LA anatomy was observed in MVD with significantly larger LA diameter (53 mm vs. 48 mm, p < 0.001) and LAA Ostia [at 135° 23.0 mm (20.5, 26.0) vs 20.0 mm (18.0, 23.0), p = 0.002]. Implant success was high with 96.2% and 97.9%, respectively, without differences in severe complications (7.7% vs 4.6%, p = 0.31). One-year mortality (17.8% vs 11.5%, p = 0.19) and a combined outcome of death, stroke, and systemic embolism (20.3% vs 12.4%, p = 0.13) were not different. Independent predictors of the combined outcome were peripheral artery disease (HR 2.41, 95% CI 1.46-3.98, p < 0.001) and chronic kidney disease (HR 3.46, 95% CI 2.02-5.93, p < 0.001) but not MVD and atrial myopathy. CONCLUSION: Patients with MVD present with altered LA anatomy with increased LA and LAA diameter. However, procedural success and safety in LAAO are not compromised. One-year mortality is numerically higher in patients with MVD but driven by comorbidities.

The Cardiovascular Impact and Genetics of Pericardial Adiposity.

Background: While previous studies have reported associations of pericardial adipose tissue (PAT) with cardiovascular diseases such as atrial fibrillation and coronary artery disease, they have been limited in sample size or drawn from selected populations. Additionally, the genetic determinants of PAT remain largely unknown. We aimed to evaluate the association of PAT with prevalent and incident cardiovascular disease and to elucidate the genetic basis of PAT in a large population cohort. Methods: A deep learning model was trained to quantify PAT area from four-chamber magnetic resonance images in the UK Biobank using semantic segmentation. Cross-sectional and prospective cardiovascular disease associations were evaluated, controlling for sex and age. A genome-wide association study was performed, and a polygenic score (PGS) for PAT was examined in 453,733 independent FinnGen study participants. Results: A total of 44,725 UK Biobank participants (51.7% female, mean [SD] age 64.1 [7.7] years) were included. PAT was positively associated with male sex (ß = +0.76 SD in PAT), age (r = 0.15), body mass index (BMI; r = 0.47) and waist-to-hip ratio (r = 0.55) (P < 1×10-230). PAT was more elevated in prevalent heart failure (ß = +0.46 SD units) and type 2 diabetes (ß = +0.56) than in coronary artery disease (ß = +0.22) or AF (ß = +0.18). PAT was associated with incident heart failure (HR = 1.29 per +1 SD in PAT [95% CI 1.17-1.43]) and type 2 diabetes (HR = 1.63 [1.51-1.76]) during a mean 3.2 (±1.5) years of follow-up; the associations remained significant when controlling for BMI. We identified 5 novel genetic loci for PAT and implicated transcriptional regulators of adipocyte morphology and brown adipogenesis (EBF1, EBF2 and CEBPA) and regulators of visceral adiposity (WARS2 and TRIB2). The PAT PGS was associated with T2D, heart failure, coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation in FinnGen (ORs 1.03-1.06 per +1 SD in PGS, P < 2×10-10). Conclusions: PAT shares genetic determinants with abdominal adiposity and is an independent predictor of incident type 2 diabetes and heart failure.

Assessment of valvular function in over 47,000 people using deep learning-based flow measurements.

Valvular heart disease is associated with a high global burden of disease. Even mild aortic stenosis confers increased morbidity and mortality, prompting interest in understanding normal variation in valvular function at scale. We developed a deep learning model to study velocity-encoded magnetic resonance imaging in 47,223 UK Biobank participants. We calculated eight traits, including peak velocity, mean gradient, aortic valve area, forward stroke volume, mitral and aortic regurgitant volume, greatest average velocity, and ascending aortic diameter. We then computed sex-stratified reference ranges for these phenotypes in up to 31,909 healthy individuals. In healthy individuals, we found an annual decrement of 0.03cm 2 in the aortic valve area. Participants with mitral valve prolapse had a 1 standard deviation [SD] higher mitral regurgitant volume (P=9.6 × 10 -12 ), and those with aortic stenosis had a 4.5 SD-higher mean gradient (P=1.5 × 10 -431 ), validating the derived phenotypes' associations with clinical disease. Greater levels of ApoB, triglycerides, and Lp(a) assayed nearly 10 years prior to imaging were associated with higher gradients across the aortic valve. Metabolomic profiles revealed that increased glycoprotein acetyls were also associated with an increased aortic valve mean gradient (0.92 SD, P=2.1 x 10 -22 ). Finally, velocity-derived phenotypes were risk markers for aortic and mitral valve surgery even at thresholds below what is considered relevant disease currently. Using machine learning to quantify the rich phenotypic data of the UK Biobank, we report the largest assessment of valvular function and cardiovascular disease in the general population.

Outcomes of Early Rhythm Control Therapy in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and a High Comorbidity Burden in Large Real-World Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: A recent subanalysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 (Early Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention Trial) suggests a stronger benefit of early rhythm control (ERC) in patients with atrial fibrillation and a high comorbidity burden when compared to patients with a lower comorbidity burden. METHODS: We identified 109 739 patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in a large United States deidentified administrative claims database (OptumLabs) and 11 625 patients in the population-based UKB (UK Biobank). ERC was defined as atrial fibrillation ablation or antiarrhythmic drug therapy within the first year after atrial fibrillation diagnosis. Patients were classified as (1) ERC and high comorbidity burden (CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥4); (2) ERC and lower comorbidity burden (CHA2DS2-VASc score 2-3); (3) no ERC and high comorbidity burden; and (4) no ERC and lower comorbidity burden. Patients without an elevated comorbidity burden (CHA2DS2-VASc score 0-1) were excluded. Propensity score overlap weighting and cox proportional hazards regression were used to balance patients and compare groups for the primary composite outcome of all-cause mortality, stroke, or hospitalization with the diagnoses heart failure or myocardial infarction as well as for a primary composite safety outcome of death, stroke, and serious adverse events related to ERC. RESULTS: In both cohorts, ERC was associated with a reduced risk for the primary composite outcome in patients with a high comorbidity burden (OptumLabs: hazard ratio, 0.83 [95% CI 0.72-0.95]; P=0.006; UKB: hazard ratio, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.63-0.94]; P=0.009). In patients with a lower comorbidity burden, the difference in outcomes was not significant (OptumLabs: hazard ratio, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.54-1.57]; P=0.767; UKB: hazard ratio, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.83-1.06]; P=0.310). The comorbidity burden interacted with ERC in the UKB (interaction- P=0.027) but not in OptumLabs (interaction-P=0.720). ERC was not associated with an increased risk for the primary safety outcome. CONCLUSIONS: ERC is safe and may be more favorable in a population-based sample of patients with high a comorbidity burden (CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥4).

Association of genetic risk and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: interactions with early rhythm control in the EAST-AFNET4 trial.

AIMS: The randomized Early Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention Trial found that early rhythm control reduces cardiovascular events in patients with recently diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with usual care. How genetic predisposition to AF and stroke interacts with early rhythm-control therapy is not known. METHODS AND RESULTS: Array genotyping and imputation for common genetic variants were performed. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) were calculated for AF (PRS-AF) and ischaemic stroke risk (PRS-stroke). The effects of PRS-AF and PRS-stroke on the primary outcome (composite of cardiovascular death, stroke, and hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome or worsening heart failure), its components, and recurrent AF were determined.A total of 1567 of the 2789 trial patients were analysed [793 randomized to early rhythm control; 774 to usual care, median age 71 years (65-75), 704 (44%) women]. Baseline characteristics were similar between randomized groups. Early rhythm control reduced the primary outcome compared with usual care [HR 0.67, 95% CI: (0.53, 0.84), P < 0.001]. The randomized intervention, early rhythm control, did not interact with PRS-AF (interaction P = 0.806) or PRS-stroke (interaction P = 0.765). PRS-AF was associated with recurrent AF [HR 1.08 (01.0, 1.16), P = 0.047]. PRS-stroke showed an association with the primary outcome [HR 1.13 (1.0, 1.27), P = 0.048], driven by more heart failure events [HR 1.23 (1.05-1.43), P = 0.010] without differences in stroke [HR 1.0 (0.75, 1.34), P = 0.973] in this well-anticoagulated cohort. In a replication analysis, PRS-stroke was associated with incident AF [HR 1.16 (1.14, 1.67), P < 0.001] and with incident heart failure in the UK Biobank [HR 1.08 (1.06, 1.10), P < 0.001]. The association with heart failure was weakened when excluding AF patients [HR 1.03 (1.01, 1.05), P = 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Early rhythm control is effective across the spectrum of genetic AF and stroke risk. The association between genetic stroke risk and heart failure calls for research to understand the interactions between polygenic risk and treatment. REGISTRATION: ISRCTN04708680, NCT01288352, EudraCT2010-021258-20, www.easttrial.org.

AORTA Gene: Polygenic prediction improves detection of thoracic aortic aneurysm.

Background: Thoracic aortic disease is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in the US, and aortic diameter is a heritable contributor to risk. Could a polygenic prediction of ascending aortic diameter improve detection of aortic aneurysm? Methods: Deep learning was used to measure ascending thoracic aortic diameter in 49,939 UK Biobank participants. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) was conducted in 39,524 participants and leveraged to build a 1.1 million-variant polygenic score with PRScs-auto. Aortic diameter prediction models were built with the polygenic score ("AORTA Gene") and without it. The models were tested in a held-out set of 4,962 UK Biobank participants and externally validated in 5,469 participants from Mass General Brigham Biobank (MGB), 1,298 from the Framingham Heart Study (FHS), and 610 participants from All of Us. Results: In each test set, the AORTA Gene model explained more of the variance in thoracic aortic diameter compared to clinical factors alone: 39.9% (95% CI 37.8-42.0%) vs 29.2% (95% CI 27.1-31.4%) in UK Biobank, 36.5% (95% CI 34.4-38.5%) vs 32.5% (95% CI 30.4-34.5%) in MGB, 41.8% (95% CI 37.7-45.9%) vs 33.0% (95% CI 28.9-37.2%) in FHS, and 34.9% (95% CI 28.8-41.0%) vs 28.9% (95% CI 22.9-35.0%) in All of Us. AORTA Gene had a greater AUROC for identifying diameter ≥4cm in each test set: 0.834 vs 0.765 (P=7.3E-10) in UK Biobank, 0.808 vs 0.767 in MGB (P=4.5E-12), 0.856 vs 0.818 in FHS (P=8.5E-05), and 0.827 vs 0.791 (P=7.8E-03) in All of Us. Conclusions: Genetic information improved estimation of thoracic aortic diameter when added to clinical risk factors. Larger and more diverse cohorts will be needed to develop more powerful and equitable scores.