Supply and demand effects between tobacco retailer density and smoking prevalence.

OBJECTIVE: Places with more tobacco retailers have higher smoking prevalence levels, but whether this is because retailers locate where people who smoke live or whether tobacco availability prompts tobacco use is unknown. In this study, we compare the role of consumer demand with that of tobacco supply in longitudinal, area-based associations of tobacco retailer density with smoking prevalence. METHODS: We merged annual adult smoking prevalence estimates derived from the USA Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System data with annual county estimates of tobacco retailer density calculated from the National Establishment Time Series data for 3080 counties between 2000 and 2010. We analysed relationships between retailer density and smoking in 3080 counties, using random intercept cross-lagged panel models and employing two measures of tobacco retailer density capturing the number of likely tobacco retailers in a county divided by either the population or land area. RESULTS: Both density models provided evidence of significant demand and supply effects; in the population-based model, the association of smoking prevalence in 1 year with tobacco retailer density in the next year (standardised coefficient=0.038, p<0.01) was about double the association between tobacco retailer density with subsequent smoking prevalence (0.017, p<0.01). The reverse was true in the land area-based model, where the supply effect (0.042, p<0.01) was more than 10 times stronger than the demand effect (0.003, p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Policies that restrict access to retail tobacco have the potential to reduce smoking prevalence, but pairing such policies with interventions to reduce consumer demand remains important.

Tobacco retailer density and its association with birth outcomes in the USA: 2000-2016.

INTRODUCTION: Significant progress has been made in reducing maternal exposure to tobacco smoke and subsequent adverse birth outcomes, however, reductions may require strategies that reduce the availability of tobacco retailers. In this study, we investigated the relationship between tobacco retailer density and birth outcomes across the USA and predicted the potential impact of a tobacco retailer density cap on these outcomes. METHODS: Annual US county (n=3105), rates of preterm birth, low birth weight, small-for-gestational age, all-cause infant mortality and sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) were calculated using National Vital Statistics System data. Tobacco retailers were identified from the National Establishment Time-Series Database. We used Poisson regression to estimate the effect of capping retailer density at 1.4 retailers per 1000 population, controlling for county demographics and air pollution, using propensity score weighting. RESULTS: Tobacco retailer density was positively associated with most adverse birth outcomes. We estimate that a nationwide cap on tobacco retailer density, implemented in 2016, would have resulted in a reduction of 4275 (95% CI 2210 to 6392) preterm births, 6096 (95% CI 4421 to 7806) small-for-gestational-age births, 3483 (95% CI 2615 to 4378) low birthweight births, 538 (95% CI 345 to 733) all-cause infant deaths and 107 (95% CI 55 to 158) SIDS deaths in that year. CONCLUSION: Higher rates of adverse birth outcomes were seen in counties with high tobacco retailer density compared with those with low density. These results provide further support for regulating tobacco retail density to reduce adverse health outcomes associated with tobacco use.

Race, geography, and risk of breast cancer treatment delays: A population-based study 2004-2015.

BACKGROUND: Treatment delays affect breast cancer survival and constitute poor-quality care. Black patients experience more treatment delay, but the relationship of geography to these disparities is poorly understood. METHODS: We studied a population-based, retrospective, observational cohort of patients with breast cancer in North Carolina between 2004 and 2017 from the Cancer Information and Population Health Resource, which links cancer registry and sociodemographic data to multipayer insurance claims. We included patients >18 years with Stage I-III breast cancer who received surgery or chemotherapy as their first treatment. Delay was defined as >60 days from diagnosis to first treatment. Counties were aggregated into nine Area Health Education Center regions. Race was dichotomized as Black versus non-Black. RESULTS: Among 32,626 patients, 6190 (19.0%) were Black. Black patients were more likely to experience treatment delay >60 days (15.0% of Black vs. 8.0% of non-Black). Using race-stratified modified Poisson regression, age-adjusted relative risk of delay in the highest risk region was approximately twice that in the lowest risk region among Black (relative risk, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.6-2.6) and non-Black patients (relative risk, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.5-2.3). Adjustment for clinical and sociodemographic features only slightly attenuated interregion differences. The magnitude of the racial gap in treatment delay varied by region, from 0.0% to 9.4%. CONCLUSIONS: Geographic region was significantly associated with risk of treatment delays for both Black and non-Black patients. The magnitude of racial disparities in treatment delay varied markedly between regions. Future studies should consider both high-risk geographic regions and high-risk patient groups for intervention to prevent delays.

Multi-level predictors of being up-to-date with colorectal cancer screening.

PURPOSE: Assessing factors associated with being up-to-date with colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is important for identifying populations for which targeted interventions may be needed. METHODS: This study used Medicare and private insurance claims data for residents of North Carolina to identify up-to-date status in the 10th year of continuous enrollment in the claims data and in available subsequent years. USPSTF guidelines were used to define up-to-date status for multiple recommended modalities. Area Health Resources Files provided geographic and health care service provider data at the county level. A generalized estimating equation logistic regression model was used to examine the association between individual- and county-level characteristics and being up-to-date with CRC screening. RESULTS: From 2012-2016, 75% of the sample (n = 274,660) age 59-75 was up-to-date. We identified several individual- (e.g., sex, age, insurance type, recent visit with a primary care provider, distance to nearest endoscopy facility, insurance type) and county-level (e.g., percentage of residents with a high school education, without insurance, and unemployed) predictors of being up-to-date. For example, individuals had higher odds of being up-to-date if they were age 73-75 as compared to age 59 [OR: 1.12 (1.09, 1.15)], and if living in counties with more primary care physicians [OR: 1.03 (1.01, 1.06)]. CONCLUSION: This study identified 12 individual- and county-level demographic characteristics related to being up-to-date with screening to inform how interventions may optimally be targeted.

Trends in the Number and Type of Tobacco Product Retailers, United States, 2000-2017.

INTRODUCTION: Tobacco product retailers provide access to tobacco products and exposure to tobacco marketing. Without a national tobacco retailer licensing system in the United States, there are no estimates of national trends in tobacco retailer numbers and store type over time. METHODS: We developed a protocol to identify likely tobacco retailers across the United States between 2000 and 2017 using industry codes and retailer names in the annual National Establishment Time Series (NETS) database. We calculated annual counts of tobacco retailers in seven store-type categories and annual numbers of tobacco retailers that opened and closed. RESULTS: We estimate that there were 317 492 tobacco product retailers in 2000; the number grew to 412 536 in 2009 before falling to 356 074 in 2017, for a net 12% increase overall. Gas/convenience stores and grocery stores accounted for more than two thirds of all retailers. On average, new openings accounted for 8.0% of the total retailers, whereas 7.3% of retailers closed or stopped selling tobacco each year, with stronger market volatility following the Great Recession. Since 2011, there was a disproportionate reduction in tobacco-selling pharmacies and an increase in both tobacco-specialty shops and tobacco-selling discount stores. CONCLUSIONS: During two decades when smoking declined, tobacco retailer availability increased in the United States. The economic climate, corporate and public policies, and new tobacco products may all contribute to trends in tobacco retailer availability. State and local jurisdictions considering tobacco retailer policies may find retailer trend information useful for forecasting or evaluating potential policy impacts. IMPLICATIONS: This study provides historic data tracking tobacco retailers in the United States between 2000 and 2017, documenting trends that unfolded as the general economic market contracted and grew, with greater regulation of the tobacco retailer environment. These data provide a context for better understanding future changes in the tobacco retailer market. In addition, the protocol established in this study could be applied in any US-based location without tobacco retailer licensing to allow identification of stores and tracking of trends.

Temporal Changes in Treatment Patterns for Rural and Urban Patients With Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

BACKGROUND Our objectives were to evaluate geographic access to lung cancer treatment modalities in North Carolina and to characterize how practice patterns are changing over time. We hypothesized that rural patients would be less likely to undergo treatment compared to urban patients, with widening disparities over time.METHODS We identified patients with Stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from 2006 to 2015 using the North Carolina Central Cancer Registry linked with Medicaid, Medicare, and private insurance claims. The primary outcome was first-course treatment: surgery, radiation, or no treatment. Calendar years were split into earlier (2006-2010) and later (2011-2015) periods. We estimated the adjusted odds ratio (OR) of rural/urban status and time period with 1) surgery and 2) any treatment (surgery or radiation) using multivariable logistic regression.RESULTS Among 5504 patients, 3206 (58%) underwent surgery as initial therapy, 1309 (24%) received radiation as initial therapy, and 989 (18%) had no therapy. There were no rural-urban disparities in treatment patterns. For rural and urban patients, the odds of surgery decreased over time and the odds of radiation increased. We also found that only 48% of those receiving no treatment ever reached a surgeon or radiation oncologist.LIMITATIONS This was an insured, single-state population. Treatment preferences are unknown.CONCLUSIONS Among all treated patients, whether urban or rural, there was increasing use of radiation and decreasing use of surgery over time. Many patients without treatment never had a consultation with a surgeon/radiation oncologist, and this is an actionable target for improving treatment access for early-stage NSCLC.

Update on triple-negative breast cancer disparities for the United States: A population-based study from the United States Cancer Statistics database, 2010 through 2014.

BACKGROUND: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) has been associated with a more aggressive histology, poorer prognosis, and nonresponsiveness to hormone therapy. It is imperative that cancer research identify factors that drive disparities and focus on prevention. METHODS: Using the United States Cancer Statistics database, the authors examined differences between TNBCs compared with all other breast cancers with regard to age, race/ethnicity, and stage at diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 1,151,724 cases of breast cancer were identified from 2010 through 2014, with the triple-negative phenotype accounting for approximately 8.4% of all cases. In unadjusted analyses, non-Hispanic black women (odds ratio [OR], 2.27; 95% CI, 2.23-2.31) and Hispanic women (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.19-1.25) had higher odds of diagnosis when compared with non-Hispanic white women. Women aged <40 years had the highest odds of diagnosis compared with women aged 50 to 64 years (OR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.90-2.01). Diagnosis at American Joint Committee on Cancer stage III and beyond conferred higher odds of the diagnosis of TNBC (OR for stage III, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.68-1.72]; and OR for stage IV, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.43-1.51]). Results varied slightly in adjusted analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the current study demonstrated that there is a significant burden of disease in TNBC diagnosed among women of color, specifically non-Hispanic black women, and younger women. Additional studies are needed to determine drivers of disparities between race, age, and stage of disease at diagnosis.

Development and validation of a 5-year mortality prediction model using regularized regression and Medicare data.

PURPOSE: De-implementation of low-value services among patients with limited life expectancy is challenging. Robust mortality prediction models using routinely collected health care data can enhance health care stakeholders' ability to identify populations with limited life expectancy. We developed and validated a claims-based prediction model for 5-year mortality using regularized regression methods. METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries age 66 or older with an office visit and at least 12 months of pre-visit continuous Medicare A/B enrollment were identified in 2008. Five-year mortality was assessed through 2013. Secondary outcomes included 30-, 90-, and 180-day and 1-year mortality. Claims-based predictors, including comorbidities and indicators of disability, frailty, and functional impairment, were selected using regularized logistic regression, applying the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in a random 80% training sample. Model performance was assessed and compared with the Gagne comorbidity score in the 20% validation sample. RESULTS: Overall, 183 204 (24%) individuals died. In addition to demographics, 161 indicators of comorbidity and function were included in the final model. In the validation sample, the c-statistic was 0.825 (0.823-0.828). Median-predicted probability of 5-year mortality was 14%; almost 4% of the cohort had a predicted probability greater than 80%. Compared with the Gagne score, the LASSO model led to improved 5-year mortality classification (net reclassification index = 9.9%; integrated discrimination index = 5.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Our claims-based model predicting 5-year mortality showed excellent discrimination and calibration, similar to the Gagne score model, but resulted in improved mortality classification. Regularized regression is a feasible approach for developing prediction tools that could enhance health care research and evaluation of care quality.

Care Coordination and Multispecialty Teams in the Care of Colorectal Cancer Patients.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the association between provider and team experience and adherence to guidelines, survival, and utilization among colorectal cancer patients in North Carolina. SUBJECTS: The analysis cohort included 7295 patients diagnosed with incident stage II/III colorectal cancer between 2004 and 2013 who received surgery. METHODS: Primary outcomes included adherence to guidelines: consultation with a medical oncologist (stage III), receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy (stage III), and receipt of surveillance colonoscopy posttreatment. Secondary outcomes included 5-year overall survival, number of surveillance radiology studies, any unplanned hospitalization, and any emergency department visit. The primary predictors were measures of provider volume and patient sharing across surgeons and medical oncologists. Regression analyses adjusted for patient and provider characteristics. RESULTS: Patients whose surgeons shared >40% of their colorectal cancer patients in the previous year with a medical oncologist were (1) more likely to have had a consultation with a medical oncologist [marginal effect (ME)=13.3 percentage points, P-value<0.001], (2) less likely to receive a surveillance colonoscopy within 12 months (ME=3.5 percentage points, P-value=0.049), and (3) received more radiology studies (ME=0.254 studies, P-value=0.029). Patients whose surgeon and medical oncologist shared >20% of their colorectal cancer patients with each other in the previous year had a higher likelihood of receiving adjuvant chemotherapy (ME=11.5 percentage points, P-value<0.001) and surveillance colonoscopy within 12 months (ME=6.7 percentage points, P-value=0.030) and within 18 months (ME=6.2 percentage points, P-value=0.054). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that team experience is associated with patients' quality of care, survival, and utilization.

Using Procedure Codes to Define Radiation Toxicity in Administrative Data: The Devil is in the Details.

BACKGROUND: Systematic coding systems are used to define clinically meaningful outcomes when leveraging administrative claims data for research. How and when these codes are applied within a research study can have implications for the study validity and their specificity can vary significantly depending on treatment received. SUBJECTS: Data are from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked dataset. STUDY DESIGN: We use propensity score methods in a retrospective cohort of prostate cancer patients first examined in a recently published radiation oncology comparative effectiveness study. RESULTS: With the narrowly defined outcome definition, the toxicity event outcome rate ratio was 0.88 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval, 0.71-1.08). With the broadly defined outcome, the rate ratio was comparable, with 0.89 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval, 0.76-1.04), although individual event rates were doubled. Some evidence of surveillance bias was suggested by a higher rate of endoscopic procedures the first year of follow-up in patients who received proton therapy compared with those receiving intensity-modulated radiation treatment (11.15 vs. 8.90, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the risk of introducing bias through subjective application of procedure codes. Careful consideration is required when using procedure codes to define outcomes in administrative data.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Four Simulated Colorectal Cancer Screening Interventions, North Carolina.

INTRODUCTION: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates are suboptimal, particularly among the uninsured and the under-insured and among rural and African American populations. Little guidance is available for state-level decision makers to use to prioritize investment in evidence-based interventions to improve their population's health. The objective of this study was to demonstrate use of a simulation model that incorporates synthetic census data and claims-based statistical models to project screening behavior in North Carolina. METHODS: We used individual-based modeling to simulate and compare intervention costs and results under 4 evidence-based and stakeholder-informed intervention scenarios for a 10-year intervention window, from January 1, 2014, through December 31, 2023. We compared the proportion of people living in North Carolina who were aged 50 to 75 years at some point during the window (that is, age-eligible for screening) who were up to date with CRC screening recommendations across intervention scenarios, both overall and among groups with documented disparities in receipt of screening. RESULTS: We estimated that the costs of the 4 intervention scenarios considered would range from $1.6 million to $3.75 million. Our model showed that mailed reminders for Medicaid enrollees, mass media campaigns targeting African Americans, and colonoscopy vouchers for the uninsured reduced disparities in receipt of screening by 2023, but produced only small increases in overall screening rates (0.2-0.5 percentage-point increases in the percentage of age-eligible adults who were up to date with CRC screening recommendations). Increased screenings ranged from 41,709 additional life-years up to date with screening for the voucher intervention to 145,821 for the mass media intervention. Reminders mailed to Medicaid enrollees and the mass media campaign for African Americans were the most cost-effective interventions, with costs per additional life-year up to date with screening of $25 or less. The intervention expanding the number of endoscopy facilities cost more than the other 3 interventions and was less effective in increasing CRC screening. CONCLUSION: Cost-effective CRC screening interventions targeting observed disparities are available, but substantial investment (more than $3.75 million) and additional approaches beyond those considered here are required to realize greater increases population-wide.

Association Between Choice of Radical Prostatectomy, External Beam Radiotherapy, Brachytherapy, or Active Surveillance and Patient-Reported Quality of Life Among Men With Localized Prostate Cancer.

Importance: Patients diagnosed with localized prostate cancer have to decide among treatment strategies that may differ in their likelihood of adverse effects. Objective: To compare quality of life (QOL) after radical prostatectomy, external beam radiotherapy, and brachytherapy vs active surveillance. Design, Setting, and Participants: Population-based prospective cohort of 1141 men (57% participation among eligible men) with newly diagnosed prostate cancer were enrolled from January 2011 through June 2013 in collaboration with the North Carolina Central Cancer Registry. Median time from diagnosis to enrollment was 5 weeks, and all men were enrolled with written informed consent prior to treatment. Final follow-up date for current analysis was September 9, 2015. Exposures: Treatment with radical prostatectomy, external beam radiotherapy, brachytherapy, or active surveillance. Main Outcomes and Measures: Quality of life using the validated instrument Prostate Cancer Symptom Indices was assessed at baseline (pretreatment) and 3, 12, and 24 months after treatment. The instrument contains 4 domains-sexual dysfunction, urinary obstruction and irritation, urinary incontinence, and bowel problems-each scored from 0 (no dysfunction) to 100 (maximum dysfunction). Propensity-weighted mean domain scores were compared between each treatment group vs active surveillance at each time point. Results: Of 1141 enrolled men, 314 pursued active surveillance (27.5%), 469 radical prostatectomy (41.1%), 249 external beam radiotherapy (21.8%), and 109 brachytherapy (9.6%). After propensity weighting, median age was 66 to 67 years across groups, and 77% to 80% of participants were white. Across groups, propensity-weighted mean baseline scores were 41.8 to 46.4 for sexual dysfunction, 20.8 to 22.8 for urinary obstruction and irritation, 9.7 to 10.5 for urinary incontinence, and 5.7 to 6.1 for bowel problems. Compared with active surveillance, mean sexual dysfunction scores worsened by 3 months for patients who received radical prostatectomy (36.2 [95% CI, 30.4-42.0]), external beam radiotherapy (13.9 [95% CI, 6.7-21.2]), and brachytherapy (17.1 [95% CI, 7.8-26.6]). Compared with active surveillance at 3 months, worsened urinary incontinence was associated with radical prostatectomy (33.6 [95% CI, 27.8-39.2]); acute worsening of urinary obstruction and irritation with external beam radiotherapy (11.7 [95% CI, 8.7-14.8]) and brachytherapy (20.5 [95% CI, 15.1-25.9]); and worsened bowel symptoms with external beam radiotherapy (4.9 [95% CI, 2.4-7.4]). By 24 months, mean scores between treatment groups vs active surveillance were not significantly different in most domains. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort of men with localized prostate cancer, each treatment strategy was associated with distinct patterns of adverse effects over 2 years. These findings can be used to promote treatment decisions that incorporate individual preferences.

How generalizable are the SEER registries to the cancer populations of the USA?

BACKGROUND: We determined whether the current SEER registries are representative of the nation's cancer cases or the socio-demographic characteristics. METHODS: We used breast cancer (BC) and colorectal cancer (CRC) cases diagnosed 2004-2009 from the US Cancer Statistics (USCS) database. Cases were classified into groups residing in SEER coverage areas and the other areas. We compared difference between SEER and non-SEER areas in: age-race-specific proportions of late-stage BC or CRC, area demographics and socioeconomic factors, and data quality. RESULTS: For late-stage CRC diagnosis, SEER areas contained lower proportions of people with other race and higher proportions of Asian and Hispanic females aged <40, than non-SEER areas. For late-stage BC diagnosis, SEER and non-SEER estimates were comparable. SEER areas had lower percentages of whites and higher percentages of young people, were more urban, and had higher percentage of poor, lower educational attainment, and higher unemployment. SEER areas also tended to have a higher percentage of case completeness than non-SEER areas. CONCLUSION: Overall, SEER registries were not significantly different from non-SEER areas in terms of average age-race-specific proportions of late-stage BC or CRC, except for estimates of late-stage CRC for other race and young Asian and Hispanic women. Although case completeness was better in SEER areas than non-SEER areas, SEER areas had greater economic disadvantage and greater minority diversity among the population. This study demonstrated a need for caution in using SEER data and discussed advantages of using the more complete USCS database.

Provider-based research networks and diffusion of surgical technologies among patients with early-stage kidney cancer.

BACKGROUND: Provider-based research networks such as the National Cancer Institute's Community Clinical Oncology Program (CCOP) have been shown to facilitate the translation of evidence-based cancer care into clinical practice. This study compared the utilization of laparoscopy and partial nephrectomy among patients with early-stage kidney cancer according to their exposure to CCOP-affiliated providers. METHODS: With linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare data, patients with T1aN0M0 kidney cancer who had been treated with nephrectomy from 2000 to 2007 were identified. For each patient, the receipt of care from a CCOP physician or hospital and treatment with laparoscopy or partial nephrectomy were determined. Adjusted for patient characteristics (eg, age, sex, and marital status) and other organizational features (eg, community hospital and National Cancer Institute-designated cancer center), multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the association between each surgical innovation and CCOP affiliation. RESULTS: During the study interval, 1578 patients (26.8%) were treated by a provider with a CCOP affiliation. Trends in the utilization of laparoscopy and partial nephrectomy remained similar between affiliated and nonaffiliated providers (P ≥ .05). With adjustments for patient characteristics, organizational features, and clustering, no association was noted between CCOP affiliation and the use of laparoscopy (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-1.53) or partial nephrectomy (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.82-1.32) despite the more frequent receipt of these treatments in academic settings (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: At a population level, patients treated by providers affiliated with CCOP were no more likely to receive at least 1 of 2 surgical innovations for treatment of their kidney cancer, indicating perhaps a more limited scope to provider-based research networks as they pertain to translational efforts in cancer care.

Preoperatively misclassified, surgically removed benign renal masses: a systematic review of surgical series and United States population level burden estimate.

PURPOSE: A significant proportion of renal masses removed for suspected malignancy are histologically benign with the probability inversely proportional to lesion size. To our knowledge the number of preoperatively misclassified benign renal masses treated with nephrectomy is currently unknown. Given the increasing incidence and decreasing average size of renal cell carcinoma, this burden is likely increasing. We estimated the population level burden of surgically removed, preoperatively misclassified benign renal masses in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We systematically reviewed the literature for studies of pathological findings of renal masses removed for suspected renal cell carcinoma based on preoperative imaging through July 1, 2014. We excluded studies that did not describe benign pathology and with masses not stratified by size, and in which pathology results were based on biopsy. SEER data were queried for the incidence of surgically removed renal cell carcinomas in 2000 to 2009. RESULTS: A total of 19 studies of tumor pathology based on size met criteria for review. Pooled estimates of the proportion of benign histology in our primary analysis (American studies only and 1 cm increments) were 40.4%, 20.9%, 19.6%, 17.2%, 9.2% and 6.4% for tumors less than 1, 1 to less than 2, 2 to less than 3, 3 to less than 4, 4 to 7 and greater than 7, respectively. The estimated number of surgically resected benign renal masses in the United States from 2000 to 2009 increased by 82% from 3,098 to 5,624. CONCLUSIONS: These estimates suggest that the population level burden of preoperatively misclassified benign renal masses is substantial and increasing rapidly, paralleling increases in surgically resected small renal cell carcinoma. This study illustrates an important and to our knowledge previously unstudied dimension of overtreatment that is not directly quantified in contemporary surveillance data.

Building the evidence for decision-making: the relationship between local public health capacity and community mortality.

OBJECTIVES: We examined associations between local health department (LHD) spending, staffing, and services and community health outcomes in North Carolina. METHODS: We analyzed LHD investments and community mortality in North Carolina from 2005 through 2010. We obtained LHD spending, staffing, and services data from the National Association of City and County Health Officials 2005 and 2008 profile surveys. Five mortality rates were constructed using Centers for Disease Control and Prevention mortality files, North Carolina vital statistics data, and census data for LHD service jurisdictions: heart disease, cancer, diabetes, pneumonia and influenza, and infant mortality. RESULTS: Spending, staffing, and services varied widely by location and over time in the 85 North Carolina LHDs. A 1% increase in full-time-equivalent staffing (per 1000 population) was associated with decrease of 0.01 infant deaths per 1000 live births (P < .05). Provision of women and children's services was associated with a reduction of 1 to 2 infant deaths per 1000 live births (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings, in the context of other studies, provide support for investment in local public health services to improve community health.

Trends in stage-specific incidence rates for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder in the United States: 1988 to 2006.

BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer is notable for a striking heterogeneity of disease-specific risks. Among the approximately 75% of incident cases found to be superficial to the muscularis propria at the time of presentation (non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer), the risk of progression to the lethal phenotype of muscle-invasive disease is strongly associated with stage and grade of disease. Given the suggestion of an increasing percentage of low-risk cases in hospital-based registry data in recent years, the authors hypothesized that population-based data may reveal changes in the stage distribution of early-stage cases. METHODS: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data were used to examine trends for the stage-specific incidence of bladder cancer between 1988 and 2006, adjusted for age, race, and sex, using Joinpoint and nonparametric tests. RESULTS: The adjusted incidence rate of papillary noninvasive (Ta) predominantly low grade (77%) disease was found to increase from 5.52 to 9.09 per 100,000 population (P < .0001), with an average annual percentage change of +3.3. Over the same period, concomitant, albeit smaller, decreases were observed for flat in situ (Tis) and lamina propria-invasive (T1) disease (2.57 to 1.19 and 6.65 to 4.61 per 100,000 population [both P < .0001]; average annual percent change of -5.0 and -1.6, respectively). The trend was most dramatic among patients in the oldest age strata, suggesting a previously unappreciated cohort phenomenon. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of the current study should motivate further epidemiological investigations of differential associations of genetic and environmental factors with different bladder cancer phenotypes as well as further scrutiny of clinical practice guideline recommendations for the growing subgroup of predominantly older patients with lower-risk disease.

Effects of distance to care and rural or urban residence on receipt of radiation therapy among North Carolina Medicare enrollees with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Distance to oncology service providers and rurality may affect receipt of guideline-recommended radiation therapy (RT), but the extent to which these factors affect the care of Medicare-insured patients is unknown. METHODS: Using cancer registry data linked to Medicare claims from the Integrated Cancer Information and Surveillance System (ICISS), we identified all women aged 65 years or older who were diagnosed with stage I, II, or III breast cancer from 2003 through 2005, who had Medicare claims through 2006, and who were clinically eligible for RT. We geocoded the address of each RT service provider's practice location and calculated the travel distance from each patient's residential address to the nearest RT provider. We used ZIP codes to classify each patient's residence as rural or urban according to rural- urban commuting area codes. We used generalized estimating equations models with county-level clustering and interaction terms between distance categories and rural-urban status to estimate the effect of distance to care and rural-urban status on receipt of RT. RESULTS: In urban areas, increasing distance to the nearest RT provider was associated with a lower likelihood of receiving RT (odds ratio [OR] = 0.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.30-0.97) for those living more than 20 miles from the nearest RT provider compared with those living less than 10 miles away. In rural areas, those living within 10-20 miles of the nearest RT provider were more likely to receive RT than those living less than 10 miles away (OR = 1.73; 95% CI, 1.08-2.76). LIMITATIONS: Results may not be generalizable to areas outside North Carolina or to non-Medicare populations. CONCLUSION: Coordinated outreach programs targeted differently to rural and urban patients may be necessary to improve the quality of oncology care.

Functional Status Associations With Treatment Receipt and Outcomes Among Older Adults Newly Diagnosed With Multiple Myeloma.

PURPOSE: Multiple myeloma (MM) is a prevalent hematologic malignancy in older adults, who often experience physical disability, increased health care usage, and reduced treatment tolerance. Home health (HH) services are frequently used by this group, but the relationship between disability, HH use, and MM treatment receipt is unclear. This study examines the connections between disability, treatment receipt, and survival outcomes in older adults with newly diagnosed MM using a nationwide data set. METHODS: The SEER-Medicare data set was used to identify adults aged 66 years and older diagnosed with MM from 2010 to 2017, who used HH services the year before diagnosis. Disability was assessed with the Outcome and Assessment Information Set, using a composite score derived from items related to ability to complete activities of daily living. Mortality, therapy receipt, and health care utilization patterns were evaluated. RESULTS: Of 37,280 older adults with MM, 6,850 (18.2%) used HH services before diagnosis. Moderate disability at HH assessment resulted in similar MM-directed therapy receipt as mild disability, with comparable health care usage after diagnosis to severe disability. HH users had a higher comorbidity burden and higher mortality (adjusted risk ratio for 3-year mortality: 1.59 [95% CI, 1.55 to 1.64]). Severe functional disability before diagnosis was strongly related to postdiagnosis mortality. CONCLUSION: Among older adults with MM receiving HH services, disability is a predictor of early mortality. Moderately disabled individuals undergo similar therapy intensity as the mildly disabled but experience increased acute care utilization. Previous HH use could identify patients with MM requiring intensive support during therapy initiation.

Structural Racism and Treatment Delay Among Black and White Patients With Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Structural racism (SR) is a potential driver of health disparities, but research quantifying its impacts on cancer outcomes has been limited. We aimed to develop a multidimensional county-level SR measure and to examine the association of SR with breast cancer (BC) treatment delays among Black and White patients. METHODS: The cohort included 32,095 individuals from the North Carolina Central Cancer Registry with stage I to III BC diagnosed between 2004 and 2017 and linked to multipayer insurance claims from the Cancer Information and Population Health Resource. County-level data were drawn from multiple public sources aggregated in the Robert Wood Johnson County Health Rankings database. Racial gaps in eight social determinants across five domains were quantified at the county level and ranked on a 0-100 minimum-maximum scale. Domain scores were averaged to create a SR Composite Index (SRCI) score. We used multilevel logistic regression with random intercepts and multiple cross-level interaction terms to evaluate the association between county-level SRCI and patient-level treatment delays, adjusting for patient-level characteristics and stratified by race. RESULTS: The SRCI score ranged from 21 to 75 with a median (IQR) of 39.0 (31.8, 45.7). For Black patients, a 10-unit increase in SRCI score was associated with increased odds of delay (Adjusted odds ratios [aOR], 1.25; 95% confidence limits [CL], 1.08 to 1.45). No such association was found for White patients (OR, 1.05; 95% CL, 0.97 to 1.15). CONCLUSION: Area-level SR measured by a composite index is associated with higher odds of BC treatment delays among Black, but not White patients. Increasing county-level SR is associated with increasing Black-White disparities in treatment delay. Further research is needed to refine the measurement of SR and to examine its association with other cancer care disparities.