Hospitalized acute exacerbation in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease - impact on long-term renal outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is a common and preventable event in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Data regarding the impact of AECOPD on short- and long-term renal outcomes are lacking. METHODS: We included all COPD patients who were followed at Queen Mary Hospital (QMH) in year 2015 and reviewed their clinical/renal outcomes in subsequent five years. Relationships between AECOPD and adverse renal outcomes were evaluated. RESULTS: 371 COPD patients were included. 169 patients had hospitalized AECOPD in past one year (HAE group) while 202 patients did not (non-HAE group). 285 patients (76.8%) had renal progression/death and 102 (27.5%) patients developed acute kidney injury (AKI). HAE group showed a more rapid eGFR decline than non-HAE group (-4.64 mL/min/1.73m2/year vs. -2.40 mL/min/1.73m2/year, p = 0.025). HAE group had significantly higher risk for renal progression/death at 5 years [adjusted OR (aOR) 2.380 (95% CI = 1.144-4.954), p = 0.020]. The frequency of hospitalized AECOPD in past 3 years, any AECOPD in past 3 years, hospitalized AECOPD in past 3 years were also predictive of renal progression/death at 5 years [aOR were 1.176 (95% CI = 1.038- 1.331), 2.998 (95% CI = 1.438-6.250) and 2.887 (95% CI = 1.409-5.917) respectively; p = 0.011, 0.003 and 0.004]. HAE group also showed significantly higher risk of AKI [adjusted HR (aHR) 2.430; 95% CI = 1.306-4.519, p = 0.005]. CONCLUSIONS: AECOPD, in particular HAE, was associated with increased risk of renal progression/death and AKI. Prevention of AECOPD, especially HAE, may potentially improve short- and long-term renal outcomes in COPD patients.

Severe bronchiectasis is associated with increased carotid intima-media thickness.

BACKGROUND: Although bronchiectasis has been shown to be associated with cardiovascular disease, there is limited evidence of an association with subclinical atherosclerosis, especially carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT). METHODS: This prospective study compared CIMT among patients with and without bronchiectasis, and among bronchiectatic patients classified according to disease severity using the FACED score. The study was carried out at a major regional hospital and tertiary respiratory referral centre in Hong Kong. RESULTS: Total 155 Chinese patients with non-cystic fibrosis (CF) bronchiectasis and 512 controls were recruited. The mean CIMT was 0.58 ± 0.10 mm, 0.63 ± 0.11 mm and 0.66 ± 0.08 mm respectively among controls, patients with mild-to-moderate bronchiectasis and patients with severe bronchiectasis. There was no statistically significant difference in CIMT between patients with mild-to-moderate bronchiectasis and controls. Multivariate linear regression revealed that CIMT was significantly increased in patients with severe bronchiectasis relative to controls. The same phenomenon was observed among patients without a history of cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: CIMT was significantly increased in patients with severe bronchiectasis compared with controls without bronchiectasis, but not among patients with mild-to-moderate bronchiectasis, which suggested the subclinical atherosclerosis to be more prevalent among patients with severe bronchiectasis.

Increased exacerbations of bronchiectasis following recovery from mild COVID-19 in patients with non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Respiratory viral infection is a common trigger of bronchiectasis exacerbation. Knowledge of the intermediate to long-term effect of COVID-19 on bronchiectasis is poor. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of patient records was conducted to assess the frequency of bronchiectasis exacerbation following recovery from mild-to-moderate COVID-19. The exacerbation frequency at baseline, using 2019 and 2019-2021 data, was compared with that during the 1 year following recovery. RESULTS: A total of 234 adult patient records who had a confirmed diagnosis of bronchiectasis were identified, of whom 52 (22.2%) were classified as the COVID-19 group. Patients with COVID-19 had significantly more frequent annual exacerbations of bronchiectasis (total exacerbations and hospitalizations). Compared with 2019-2021 data, the total exacerbation frequency decreased by 0.1 ± 0.51 per year among non-COVID-19 patients but increased by 0.68 ± 1.09 per year among the COVID-19 group (p < 0.001). Compared with 2019 only data, exacerbation frequency decreased by 0.14 ± 0.79 per year among non-COVID-19 patients but increased by 0.76 ± 1.17 per year in the COVID-19 group, p < 0.001. The annual frequency of hospitalization for bronchiectasis increased by 0.01 ± 0.32 per year among non-COVID-19 patients and increased by 0.39 ± 1.06 per year in the COVID-19 group (p < 0.001) compared with 2019 to 2021 data. When compared with only 2019 data, it remained unchanged at 0 ± 0.43 per year among non-COVID-19 patients but increased to 0.38 ± 1.12 per year among COVID-19 patients (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Mild-to-moderate COVID-19 was associated with an increase in frequency of bronchiectasis exacerbation and frequency of hospitalizations following recovery.

High-sensitivity C-reactive protein level in stable-state bronchiectasis predicts exacerbation risk.

BACKGROUND: Elevation of systemic inflammatory markers were found to correlate with increased disease extent, reduced lung function and higher risk of future severe exacerbations in patients with bronchiectasis. Although a significant correlation of circulating hs-CRP levels with HRCT scores and resting oxygen saturation in patients with stable-state non-cystic fibrosis (CF) bronchiectasis was suggested, there is little data on the relationship between hs-CRP and the prognosis of bronchiectasis and a lack of data on the role of hs-CRP in predicting bronchiectasis exacerbation. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted on Chinese patients with non- CF bronchiectasis from 1st October to 31st December 2021. Baseline serum hs-CRP were obtained at stable-state. The follow-up period lasted for one year. Co-primary endpoints were the development of any bronchiectasis exacerbation and hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation. RESULTS: Totally 123 patients were included. Higher hs-CRP was associated with increased risk to develop any bronchiectasis exacerbation, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 2.254 (95% CI = 1.040-4.885, p = 0.039), and borderline significantly increased hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation with aOR of 1.985 (95% CI = 0.922-4.277, p = 0.080). CONCLUSION: Baseline serum hs-CRP level at stable-state can predict risk of bronchiectasis exacerbation, which is reflecting chronic low-grade inflammation in bronchiectasis.

Worsening of asthma control after recovery from mild to moderate COVID-19 in patients from Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: While there are postulations that asthma is potentially associated with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), there has been conflicting results from studies on the impact mild-to-moderate COVID-19 on asthma control after recovery. METHODS: A case control study on the association between mild-to-moderate COVID-19 and asthma control post infection was conducted. The primary outcome was a reduction in Asthma Control Test (ACT) score by ≥ 3 points post-COVID infection. The secondary outcomes included the change in ACT score, the proportion of patient with ACT score who dropped to ≤ 15 on enrolment visit and the need for escalation of asthma maintenance therapy. RESULTS: Out of the total of 221 adult patients with asthma recruited, 111 had mild-to-moderate COVID-19 within 30 to 270 days prior to study enrolment. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for a reduction in ACT score by ≥ 3 points after COVID-19 was 3.105 (95% CI = 1.385-6.959, p = 0.006). The odds of escalation of asthma maintenance therapy by at least 1 Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) step was 4.733 (95% CI = 1.151-19.467, p = 0.031) and asthma patient are more likely to become uncontrolled after COVID-19 [aOR = 5.509 (95% CI = 1.061-28.600, p = 0.042)]. CONCLUSION: Mild-to-moderate COVID-19 among asthma patients, upon recovery, was associated with worsening of asthma symptom, lower ACT score, a higher need for escalation of asthma maintenance therapy and more uncontrolled asthma.

Validation of diagnostic coding for bronchiectasis in an electronic health record system in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Electronic medical record (EMR) databases can facilitate epidemiology research in various diseases including bronchiectasis. Given the diagnostic challenges of bronchiectasis, the validity of the coding in EMR requires clarification. We aimed to assess the validity of International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) code algorithms for identifying bronchiectasis in the territory-wide electronic medical health record system of Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System (CDARS) in Hong Kong. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adult patients who had the diagnosis of bronchiectasis input from Queen Mary Hospital in 2011-2020 were identified using the ICD-9 code of 494 by CDARS. All patients who had high resolution computed tomography (HRCT) were reviewed by respiratory specialists to confirm the presence of bronchiectasis on HRCT. RESULTS: A total of 19 617 patients who had the diagnostic code of bronchiectasis among all public hospitals in Hong Kong and 1866 in Queen Mary Hospital in the same period. Six hundred and forty-eight cases were randomly selected and validated using medical record and HRCT review by a respiratory specialist. The overall positive predictive value (PPV) was 92.7% (95% CI 90.7-94.7). CONCLUSIONS: This was the first ICD-9 coding validation for bronchiectasis in Hong Kong CDARS. Our study demonstrated that using ICD-9 code of 494 was reliable to support utility of CDARS database for further clinical research on bronchiectasis.

Prediction model on disease recurrence for low risk resected stage I lung adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Although stage I non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) typically carries a good prognosis following complete resection, early disease recurrence can occur. An accurate survival prediction model would help refine a follow-up strategy and personalize future adjuvant therapy. We developed a post-operative prediction model based on readily available clinical information for patients with stage I adenocarcinoma. METHODS: We retrospectively studied the disease-free survival (DFS) of 408 patients with pathologically confirmed low-risk stage I adenocarcinoma of lung who underwent curative resection from 2013 to 2017. A tree-based method was employed to partition the cohort into subgroups with distinct DFS outcome and stepwise risk ratio. These covariates were included in multivariate analysis to build a scoring system to predict disease recurrence. The model was subsequently validated using a 2011-2012 cohort. RESULTS: Non-smoker status, stage IA disease, epidermal-growth factor receptor mutants and female gender were associated with better DFS. Multivariate analysis identified smoking status, disease stage and gender as factors necessary for the scoring system and yielded 3 distinct risk groups for DFS [99.4 (95% CI 78.3-125.3), 62.9 (95% CI 48.2-82.0), 33.7 (95% CI 24.6-46.1) months, p < 0.005]. External validation yielded an area under the curve by receiver operating characteristic analysis of 0.863 (95% CI 0.755-0.972). CONCLUSION: The model could categorize post-operative patients using readily available clinical information, and may help personalize a follow-up strategy and future adjuvant therapy.

Association of genetic polymorphisms of CYP3A4 and CYP2D6 with gefitinib-induced toxicities.

Dermatological, gastrointestinal and hepatic toxicities are the most common adverse events associated with gefitinib use. Gefitinib is metabolized by cytochrome P450. Inconsistent associations of single nucleotide genetic polymorphisms of CYP450 and gefitinib-induced adverse effects were reported. We aim to investigate the association between CYP450 genetic polymorphism and the development of gefitinib-associated adverse events. A retrospective cohort study of Chinese patients with metastatic nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harboring epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations who received first-line gefitinib treatment was conducted. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of CYP2D6, CYP3A4 and CYP3A5 were assayed using a multiplex SNP microarray. Risks of development of gefitinib-induced toxicities associated with different SNPs were determined. Among the 152 patients treated with gefitinib, 52 (34.2%) had gefitinib-induced hepatotoxicity, 113 (74.3%) had cutaneous reactions and 53 (34.9%) had gastrointestinal adverse effects. CYP2D6*41 CT, CYP2D6*10 AA and CYP3A4*1/*1G TT genotypes were significantly associated with hepatic, cutaneous and gastrointestinal adverse effects [odds ratio (OR) 3.773; (95% confidence interval {CI},1.046-13.610; P = 0.043), 3.368 (95% CI, 1.000-11.345; P = 0.050) and 20.000 (95% CI, 2.381-167.965; P = 0.006), respectively]. CYP2D6*41 CT, CYP2D6*10 AA and CYP3A4*1/*1G TT genotypes may be associated with increased risks of gefitinib-induced toxicities in the liver, skin and gastrointestinal tract.

A multicenter retrospective cohort study on predicting the risk for amiodarone pulmonary toxicity.

BACKGROUND: Amiodarone is one of the most commonly used anti-arrhythmic agents. Amiodarone pulmonary toxicity is a potentially fatal adverse effect associated with amiodarone use. Previous studies on the epidemiology and risk factors for amiodarone pulmonary toxicity showed diverse results. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted to identify clinic-epidemiologic markers associated with amiodarone pulmonary toxicity for development of a prediction rule. Patients taking amiodarone who were managed in 3 centres in Hong Kong from 2005 to 2015 were included in this study. Penalized logistic regression was used to model the outcome as it is rare. RESULTS: A total of 34 cases with amiodarone pulmonary toxicity were identified among 1786 patients taking amiodarone for at least 90 days from 2005 to 2015. The incidence of amiodarone pulmonary toxicity was estimated to be 1.9%. The risk factors for amiodarone pulmonary toxicity included advanced age (OR 1.047, 95% CI 1.010-1.085, p = 0.013), ventricular arrhythmia (OR 2.703, 95% CI 1.053-6.935, p = 0.039), underlying lung disease (OR 2.511, 95% CI 1.146-5.501, p = 0.021) and cumulative dose of amiodarone (OR 4.762, 95% CI 1.310-17.309 p = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of amiodarone pulmonary toxicity in Chinese patients in Hong Kong is estimated to be 1.9% in this study. Age, underlying lung disease, ventricular arrhythmia and cumulative dose of amiodarone are associated with the development of amiodarone pulmonary toxicity. A prediction rule was developed to inform the risk of developing amiodarone pulmonary toxicity.

Risk factors for Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization in non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis and clinical implications.

BACKGROUND: Pseudomonas aeruginosa is one of the commonest bacteria colonizing the airway in patients with non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis. Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization is associated with poor outcomes in patients with bronchiectasis, including rapid decline in lung function, exacerbation frequency and hospitalization. METHODS: A cross-sectional study in Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong that included 350 Chinese patients with non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis to investigate the risk factors for Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization and clinical implications on disease outcomes. DISCUSSIONS: Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization was more commonly found in patients with longer duration of bronchiectasis and those on proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) with adjusted ORs of 1.066 (95% CI = 1.036-1.096, p < 0.001) and 2.815 (95% CI = 1.307-6.064, p = 0.008) respectively. Patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization have more extensive lung involvement and higher risks of exacerbation requiring hospitalization with adjusted ORs of 2.445 (95% CI = 1.283-4.657, p = 0.007) and 2.745 (95% CI = 1.012-7.449, p = 0.047) respectively. Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization is more common among patients with longer duration of bronchiectasis and those on PPI. Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization is associated with more extensive lung involvement and higher risks of exacerbation requiring hospitalization.

Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong in early 2020.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) led to pandemic that affected almost all countries in the world. Many countries have implemented border restriction as a public health measure to limit local outbreak. However, there is inadequate scientific data to support such a practice, especially in the presence of an established local transmission of the disease. OBJECTIVE: To apply a metapopulation Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model with inspected migration to investigate the effect of border restriction as a public health measure to limit outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019. METHODS: We apply a modified metapopulation SEIR model with inspected migration with simulating population migration, and incorporating parameters such as efficiency of custom inspection in blocking infected travelers in the model. The population sizes were retrieved from government reports, while the number of COVID-19 patients were retrieved from Hong Kong Department of Health and China Centre for Disease Control (CDC) data. The R0 was obtained from previous clinical studies. RESULTS: Complete border closure can help to reduce the cumulative COVID-19 case number and mortality in Hong Kong by 13.99% and 13.98% respectively. To prevent full occupancy of isolation facilities in Hong Kong; effective public health measures to reduce local R0 to below 1.6 was necessary, apart from having complete border closure. CONCLUSIONS: Early complete travel restriction is effective in reducing cumulative cases and mortality. However, additional anti-COVID-19 measures to reduce local R0 to below 1.6 are necessary to prevent COVID-19 cases from overwhelming hospital isolation facilities.

Efficacy of gefitinib at reduced dose in EGFR mutant non-small cell lung carcinoma.

As a first-generation epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitor, gefitinib was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for treatment of advanced non-small cell carcinoma with sensitizing EGFR mutations. Gefitinib is known to have adverse effects, which may necessitate dose reduction or even change to alternative preparation of epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitor. There has been concern on dose reduction resulting in reduced dose gefitinib, especially on its efficacy. This was a retrospective single-center cohort study conducted in Queen Mary Hospital in Hong Kong that included 159 Chinese patients with advanced adenocarcinoma of lung that carried sensitizing EGFR mutations and had received gefitinib as first-line treatment. Patients who had reduced dose at 250 mg alternate day were compared with those who were able to maintain on standard dose of gefitinib at 250 mg daily. The primary end-point was progression-free survival. Among the 159 patients, 17 (10.7 %) of them were on reduced dose gefitinib, 14 among the 17 patients (82.4%) because of hepatotoxicity, and 3 (17.6%) because of cutaneous side effects. Patients on reduced dose and standard dose of gefitinib have comparable median progression-free survival. Hazard ratio was 1.121 (95% confidence interval = 0. 655-1.917, P-value = 0.678) for the reduced dose group and 3.385 for the standard dose group (95% confidence interval = 2.181-5.255) respectively (P-value < 0.001). Dose reduction in gefitinib to 250 mg alternate day in response to adverse effects was not associated with inferior outcome for patients on first-line gefitinib for advanced non-small cell carcinoma. Dose reduction is a feasible option for patients who have significant adverse effects with gefitinib.

Rapid versus gradual lung function decline in bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome after haematopoietic stem cell transplantation is associated with survival outcome.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) after haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) presents with lung function decline. The pattern of lung function decline after BOS diagnosis could impact prognostication of BOS as a complication after HSCT. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of lung function decline on overall survival (OS) in BOS subjects. METHODS: Subjects with BOS were compared to those without BOS and matched for age, gender, primary diagnoses, conditioning regimes and chronic graft versus host disease. Lung function tests at baseline, at BOS diagnosis and every 3 months after HSCT were evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 1461 subjects undergoing allogeneic HSCT (allo-HSCT) between 1998 and 2015, 95 (6.5%) were diagnosed with BOS. A total of 159 matched HSCT recipients without BOS were identified. A 25% decline in FEV1 within the first 3 months after BOS diagnosis would separate BOS subjects into a subgroup with initial rapid decline and another subgroup with initial gradual decline in lung function. The rapid decline group showed lower subsequent lung function parameters and significantly worse OS compared to the gradual decline group (P = 0.013). CONCLUSION: Post-HSCT BOS subjects with initial rapid lung function decline within 3 months after BOS diagnosis will have significantly poorer lung function and worse OS compared to those with initial gradual decline in lung function after BOS diagnosis. HSCT BOS patients with rapid initial decline in lung function warrant closer monitoring for the development of other post-HSCT complications that could affect their survival.

Correlation of sputum inflammatory markers with severity and blood inflammatory markers in bronchiectasis.

Background: As a disease characterized by chronic neutrophilic inflammation, various sputum biomarkers have been investigated in the association with the severity and prognosis of bronchiectasis. However, there is lack of data on the association between sputum interleukin-1beta (IL-1ß), interleukin-8 (IL-8) and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) levels at clinical stable state and the clinical, spirometric and blood inflammatory parameters, as well as prognostic scores. The purpose of the study is to assess the association between sputum IL-1ß, IL-8 and TNF-α levels at clinical stable state and various clinical and laboratory parameters in bronchiectasis. Methods: A prospective study was conducted in a major regional hospital and tertiary respiratory referral centre in Hong Kong, including 44 Chinese patients with bronchiectasis. The correlation between stable state sputum IL-1ß, IL-8 and TNF-α levels with various clinical, laboratory and spirometric parameters in bronchiectasis, as well as FACED [forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), age, chronic colonisation by Pseudomonas aeruginosa, radiological extension and dyspnoea]/E-FACED (FACED plus exacerbations) scores were assessed. Results: Baseline sputum IL-1ß level was found to have significant moderate positive correlation with baseline blood high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) level with Pearson correlation coefficient (r) of 0.529 (P=0.001). Baseline sputum IL-8 level was found to have significant moderate positive correlation with baseline FACED and E-FACED score with r of 0.574 (P<0.001) and 0.539 (P<0.001) respectively. Baseline sputum TNF-α level was found to have significant moderate positive correlation with baseline FACED score with r of 0.520 (P<0.001). Conclusions: Sputum IL-1ß and, IL-8 and TNF-α levels were shown to have significant correlation with various clinical, laboratory and spirometry parameters in bronchiectasis, as well as more severe disease as measured by FACED and E-FACED scores.

Outcomes among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease after recovery from COVID-19 infection of different severity.

While studies have suggested increased risks of severe COVID-19 infection in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), the persistent and delayed consequences of COVID-19 infection on patients with COPD upon recovery remain unknown. A prospective clinical study was conducted in Hong Kong to investigate the persistent and delayed outcomes of patients with COPD who had COVID-19 infection of different severity (mild-moderate COVID-19 and severe COVID-19), compared with those who did not. Chinese patients with COPD ≥ 40 years old were recruited from March to September 2021. They were prospectively followed up for 24.9 ± 5.0 months until 31st August 2023. The primary outcome was the deterioration in COPD control defined as the change in mMRC dyspnea scale. The secondary outcomes included the change in exacerbation frequency and non-COVID-19 respiratory mortality (including death from COPD exacerbation or bacterial pneumonia). 328 patients were included in the analysis. Patients with mild-moderate and severe COVID-19 infection had statistically significant increased risks of worsening of mMRC dyspnoea scale by increase in 1 score from baseline to follow-up with adjusted odds ratios of 4.44 (95% CI = 1.95-10.15, p < 0.001) and 6.77 (95% CI = 2.08-22.00, p = 0.001) respectively. Patients with severe COVID-19 infection had significantly increased risks of increase in severe COPD exacerbation frequency with adjusted odds ratios of 4.73 (95% CI = 1.55-14.41, p = 0.006) non-COVID-19 respiratory mortality from COPD exacerbation or pneumonia with adjusted hazard ratio of 11.25 (95% CI = 2.98-42.45, p < 0.001). After recovery from COVID-19, worsening of COPD control from worsening of dyspnea, increase in severe exacerbation frequency to non-COVID-19 respiratory mortality (COPD exacerbation and pneumonia) was observed among patients with severe COVID-19. Mild to moderate COVID-19 was also associated with symptomatic deterioration.

Cardiovascular outcomes following hospitalisation for exacerbation of bronchiectasis: a territory-wide study.

BACKGROUND: Although bronchiectasis is reported to be associated with cardiovascular disease, evidence for an association with cardiovascular events (CVEs) is lacking. METHODS: A territory-wide retrospective cohort study was conducted in Hong Kong involving all patients who had bronchiectasis diagnosed in public hospitals and clinics between 1 January 1993 and 31 December 2017 were included. Patients were allocated to be exacerbator or non-exacerbator group based on hospitalzied bronchiecsis history and CVEs over the next 5 years determined. Propensity score matching was used to balance baseline characteristics. RESULTS: 10 714 bronchiectasis patients (mean age 69.6±14.4 years, 38.9% men), including 1230 in exacerbator group and 9484 in non-exacerbator group, were analysed. At 5 years, 113 (9.2%) subjects in the exacerbator group and 87 (7.1%) in the non-exacerbator group developed composite CVEs. After adjustment for age, sex, smoking and risk factors for cardiovascular disease, bronchiectasis exacerbation was associated with increased risks for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), congestive heart failure (CHF) and CVE compared with those in the non-exacerbator group with adjusted HR of 1.602 (95% CI 1.006-2.552, p value=0.047), 1.371 (95% CI 1.016-1.851, p value=0.039) and 1.238 (95% CI 1.001-1.532, p=0.049) in the whole cohort. Findings were similar for the propensity score-matched cohort for AMI and CVE. CONCLUSION: Patients who were hospitalised for exacerbation of bronchiectasis were at significantly increased risk of AMI, CHF and CVE over a 5-year follow-up period.

Systemic immune-inflammation index in predicting hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation risks and disease severity.

Background: Bronchiectasis is a common respiratory disease with neutrophilic inflammation being the predominant pathophysiology. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) is a simple and readily available biomarker being studied in various conditions including asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and interstitial lung disease, but not in bronchiectasis. We aim to investigate the prognostic role of SII in bronchiectasis with this study. Methods: A retrospective cohort study in Chinese patients with non-cystic fibrosis (CF) bronchiectasis was conducted in Hong Kong, to investigate the association between baseline SII and of hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation risk over 4.5 years of follow-up, as well as correlating with disease severity in bronchiectasis. The baseline SII in 2018 was calculated based on stable-state complete blood count. Results: Among 473 Chinese patients with non-CF bronchiectasis were recruited, 94 of the patients had hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation during the follow-up period. Higher SII was associated with increased hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation risks with adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 1.001 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000-1.001, P=0.003] for 1 unit (cells/µL) increase in SII count and aOR of 1.403 (95% CI: 1.126-1.748, P=0.003) for 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in SII. SII was found to have significant negative association with baseline forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) (in litre and percentage predicted), forced vital capacity (FVC) in percentage; and significant positive correlation with the extent of bronchiectasis and baseline neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Conclusions: SII could serve as biomarker to predict the risks of hospitalized exacerbation in bronchiectasis patients, as well as correlating with the disease severity.

Baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of response to hospitalized bronchiectasis exacerbation risks.

Background: Bronchiectasis is a disease with predominantly neutrophilic inflammation. As a readily available biomarker, there is little evidence to support the use of blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict bronchiectasis exacerbation severe enough to warrant hospitalization. Methods: A registry-based retrospective cohort study was conducted at a in Hong Kong. Chinese patients with non-cystic fibrosis (CF) bronchiectasis were retrospectively reviewed and subsequently followed up to investigate the association of NLR and the need for hospitalization for bronchiectasis exacerbation. Data on the NLR for patients in a clinically stable state in 2018 were collected and patients followed up from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2022. The primary outcome was the need for hospitalization due to bronchiectasis exacerbation over the next 4 years. Results: We reviewed 473 Chinese patients with non-CF bronchiectasis, of whom 94 required hospitalization for bronchiectasis exacerbation during the 4-year follow-up period. Multi-variable logistic regression adjusted for E-FACED score (Exacerbation, Forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), Age, Chronic colonization, Extension, and Dyspnea score), gender, age, smoking status, and presence of co-existing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was conducted to compare patients with highest and lowest quartile NLR. Results revealed that those with NLR at the highest quartile were at increased risk of hospitalization for bronchiectasis exacerbation with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 2.02 (95% confidence interval = 1.00-4.12, p = 0.05). Conclusion: Blood NLR may serve as a marker to predict the need for hospitalization due to bronchiectasis exacerbation.