Cetuximab plus FOLFOXIRI versus cetuximab plus FOLFOX as conversion regimen in RAS/BRAF wild-type patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases (TRICE trial): A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether intensification of the chemotherapy backbone in tandem with an anti-EGFR can confer superior clinical outcomes in a cohort of RAS/BRAF wild-type colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). To that end, we sought to comparatively evaluate the efficacy and safety of cetuximab plus FOLFOXIRI (triplet arm) versus cetuximab plus FOLFOX (doublet arm) as a conversion regimen (i.e., unresectable to resectable) in CRC patients with unresectable CRLM. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This open-label, randomized clinical trial was conducted from April 2018 to December 2022 in 7 medical centers across China, enrolling 146 RAS/BRAF wild-type CRC patients with initially unresectable CRLM. A stratified blocked randomization method was utilized to assign patients (1:1) to either the cetuximab plus FOLFOXIRI (n = 72) or cetuximab plus FOLFOX (n = 74) treatment arms. Stratification factors were tumor location (left versus right) and resectability (technically unresectable versus ≥5 metastases). The primary outcome was the objective response rate (ORR). Secondary outcomes included the median depth of tumor response (DpR), early tumor shrinkage (ETS), R0 resection rate, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (not mature at the time of analysis), and safety profile. Radiological tumor evaluations were conducted by radiologists blinded to the group allocation. Primary efficacy analyses were conducted based on the intention-to-treat population, while safety analyses were performed on patients who received at least 1 line of chemotherapy. A total of 14 patients (9.6%) were lost to follow-up (9 in the doublet arm and 5 in the triplet arm). The ORR was comparable following adjustment for stratification factors, with 84.7% versus 79.7% in the triplet and doublet arms, respectively (odds ratio [OR] 0.70; 95% confidence intervals [CI] [0.30, 1.67], Chi-square p = 0.42). Moreover, the ETS rate showed no significant difference between the triplet and doublet arms (80.6% (58/72) versus 77.0% (57/74), OR 0.82, 95% CI [0.37, 1.83], Chi-square p = 0.63). Although median DpR was higher in the triplet therapy group (59.6%, interquartile range [IQR], [50.0, 69.7] versus 55.0%, IQR [42.8, 63.8], Mann-Whitney p = 0.039), the R0/R1 resection rate with or without radiofrequency ablation/stereotactic body radiation therapy was comparable with 54.2% (39/72) of patients in the triplet arm versus 52.7% (39/74) in the doublet arm. At a median follow-up of 26.2 months (IQR [12.8, 40.5]), the median PFS was 11.8 months in the triplet arm versus 13.4 months in the doublet arm (hazard ratio [HR] 0.74, 95% CI [0.50, 1.11], Log-rank p = 0.14). Grade ≥ 3 events were reported in 47.2% (35/74) of patients in the doublet arm and 55.9% (38/68) of patients in the triplet arm. The triplet arm was associated with a higher incidence of grade ≥ 3 neutropenia (44.1% versus 27.0%, p = 0.03) and diarrhea (5.9% versus 0%, p = 0.03). The primary limitations of the study encompass the inherent bias in subjective surgical decisions regarding resection feasibility, as well as the lack of a centralized assessment for ORR and resection. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of cetuximab with FOLFOXIRI did not significantly improve ORR compared to cetuximab plus FOLFOX. Despite achieving an enhanced DpR, this improvement did not translate into improved R0 resection rates or PFS. Moreover, the triplet arm was associated with an increase in treatment-related toxicity. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03493048.

Comprehensive analysis of m6A modification in immune infiltration, metabolism and drug resistance in hepatocellular carcinoma.

N6-methyladenosine (m6A) is important in regulating mRNA stability, splicing, and translation, and it also contributes to tumor development. However, there is still limited understanding of the comprehensive effects of m6A modification patterns on the tumor immune microenvironment, metabolism, and drug resistance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, we utilized unsupervised clustering based on the expression of 23 m6A regulators to identify m6A clusters. We identified differential m6A modification patterns and characterized m6A-gene-cluster A, which exhibited poorer survival rates, a higher abundance of Treg cells, and increased expression of TGFß in the tumor microenvironment (TME). Additionally, m6A-gene-cluster A demonstrated higher levels of glycolysis activity, cholesterol metabolism, and fatty acid biosynthesis. We also found that the m6A score was associated with prognosis and drug resistance. Patients with a low m6A score experienced worse prognoses, which were linked to an abundance of Treg cells, upregulation of TGFß, and increased metabolic activity. HCC patients with a higher m6A score showed improved prognosis following sorafenib treatment and immunotherapy. In conclusion, we reveals the association between m6A modification patterns and the tumor immune microenvironment, metabolism, and drug resistance in HCC. Furthermore, the m6A score holds potential as a predictive factor for the efficacy of targeted therapy and immunotherapy in HCC.

An evaluation model of hepatic steatosis based on CT value and serum uric acid/HDL cholesterol ratio can predict intrahepatic recurrence of colorectal cancer liver metastasis.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic recurrence is one of the main causes of treatment failure in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM). Hepatic steatosis was reported to provide fertile soil for metastasis. The effect of irinotecan-inducted hepatic steatosis on the progression of liver metastasis remains to be verified. Therefore, we aim to clarify the effect of hepatic steatosis on postoperative intrahepatic recurrence in CRLM and whether it is relevant to irinotecan-based chemotherapy. METHODS: Data for a total of 284 patients undergoing curative surgical treatment for CRLMs were retrospectively reviewed between March 2007 and June 2018. Hepatic steatosis score (HSS) was established by combining Liver to Spleen CT ratio (LSR) and Uric acid to HDL-cholesterol ratio (UHR) to detect the presence of hepatic steatosis. RESULTS: The evaluation model is consistent with pathological results and has high prediction ability and clinical application value. Patients with HSS high risk (HSS-HR) had significantly worse prognosis than those with HSS low risk (HSS-LR) (3-year intrahepatic RFS: 42.7% vs. 29.4%, P = 0.003; 5-year OS: 45.7% vs. 26.5%, P = 0.002). Univariate and multivariate analysis confirmed its essential role in the prediction of intrahepatic RFS. Besides, patients treated with preoperative irinotecan chemotherapy were more likely to end up with HSS-HR than those with non-irinotecan chemotherapy (63.3% vs. 21.8%, P < 0.001). Furthermore, irinotecan chemotherapy is relevant to worse prognosis in baseline HSS-HR patients. CONCLUSION: In summary, patients with HSS-HR had significantly worse 5-year OS and 3-year intrahepatic RFS. Irinotecan chemotherapy is more likely to lead to HSS-HR and pre-existing hepatic steatosis may be a worse prognostic factor limiting patients underwent IRI-based chemotherapy.

KLF4 Suppresses the Progression of Hepatocellular Carcinoma by Reducing Tumor ATP Synthesis through Targeting the Mir-206/RICTOR Axis.

To address the increased energy demand, tumor cells undergo metabolic reprogramming, including oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) and aerobic glycolysis. This study investigates the role of Kruppel-like factor 4 (KLF4), a transcription factor, as a tumor suppressor in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by regulating ATP synthesis. Immunohistochemistry was performed to assess KLF4 expression in HCC tissues. Functional assays, such as CCK-8, EdU, and colony formation, as well as in vivo assays, including subcutaneous tumor formation and liver orthotopic xenograft mouse models, were conducted to determine the impact of KLF4 on HCC proliferation. Luciferase reporter assay and chromatin immunoprecipitation assay were utilized to evaluate the interaction between KLF4, miR-206, and RICTOR. The findings reveal low KLF4 expression in HCC, which is associated with poor prognosis. Both in vitro and in vivo functional assays demonstrate that KLF4 inhibits HCC cell proliferation. Mechanistically, it was demonstrated that KLF4 reduces ATP synthesis in HCC by suppressing the expression of RICTOR, a core component of mTORC2. This suppression promotes glutaminolysis to replenish the TCA cycle and increase ATP levels, facilitated by the promotion of miR-206 transcription. In conclusion, this study enhances the understanding of KLF4's role in HCC ATP synthesis and suggests that targeting the KLF4/miR-206/RICTOR axis could be a promising therapeutic approach for anti-HCC therapeutics.

A novel NHEJ gene signature based model for risk stratification and prognosis prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Non-homologous DNA end joining (NHEJ) is the predominant DNA double-strand break (DSB) repair pathway in human. However, the relationship between NHEJ pathway and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. We aimed to explore the potential prognostic role of NHEJ genes and to develop an NHEJ-based prognosis signature for HCC. METHODS: Two cohorts from public database were incorporated into this study. The Kaplan-Meier curve, the Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis, and Cox analyses were implemented to determine the prognostic genes. A NHEJ-related risk model was created and verified by independent cohorts. We derived enriched pathways between the high- and low-risk groups using Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). CIBERSORT and microenvironment cell populations-counter algorithm were used to perform immune infiltration analysis. XRCC6 is a core NHEJ gene and immunohistochemistry (IHC) was further performed to elucidate the prognostic impact. In vitro proliferation assays were conducted to investigate the specific effect of XRCC6. RESULTS: A novel NHEJ-related risk model was developed based on 6 NHEJ genes and patients were divided into distinct risk groups according to the risk score. The high-risk group had a poorer survival than those in the low-risk group (P < 0.001). Meanwhile, an obvious discrepancy in the landscape of the immune microenvironment also indicated that distinct immune status might be a potential determinant affecting prognosis as well as immunotherapy reactiveness. High XRCC6 expression level associates with poor outcome in HCC. Moreover, XRCC6 could promote HCC cell proliferation in vitro. CONCLUSIONS: In brief, this work reveals a novel NHEJ-related risk signature for prognostic evaluation of HCC patients, which may be a potential biomarker of HCC immunotherapy.

Skp2-dependent ubiquitination and activation of LKB1 is essential for cancer cell survival under energy stress.

LKB1 is activated by forming a heterotrimeric complex with STRAD and MO25. Recent studies suggest that LKB1 has pro-oncogenic functions, besides acting as a tumor suppressor. How the LKB1 activity is maintained and how LKB1 regulates cancer development are largely unclear. Here we show that K63-linked LKB1 polyubiquitination by Skp2-SCF ubiquitin ligase is critical for LKB1 activation by maintaining LKB1-STRAD-MO25 complex integrity. We further demonstrate that oncogenic Ras acts upstream of Skp2 to promote LKB1 polyubiquitination by activating Skp2-SCF ubiquitin ligase. Moreover, Skp2-mediated LKB1 polyubiquitination is required for energy-stress-induced cell survival. We also detected overexpression of Skp2 and LKB1 in late-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and their overexpression predicts poor survival outcomes. Finally, we show that Skp2-mediated LKB1 polyubiquitination is important for HCC tumor growth in vivo. Our study provides new insights into the upstream regulation of LKB1 activation and suggests a potential target, the Ras/Skp2/LKB1 axis, for cancer therapy.

Myofibroblast-Specific Msi2 Knockout Inhibits HCC Progression in a Mouse Model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Myofibroblasts play a pivotal role in the development and progression of HCC. Here, we aimed to explore the role and mechanism of myofibroblast Musashi RNA binding protein 2 (MSI2) in HCC progression. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Myofibroblast infiltration and collagen deposition were detected and assessed in the tissues from 117 patients with HCC. Transgenic mice (Msi2ΔCol1a1 ) with floxed Msi2 allele and collagen type I alpha 1 chain (Col1a1)-ligand inducible Cre recombinases (CreER) were constructed to generate a myofibroblast-specific Msi2 knockout model. Mouse HCC cells were orthotopically transplanted into the Msi2ΔCol1a1 or the control mice (Msi2F/F ). We found that the deposition of collagen fibers, the main product of myofibroblasts, predicted a poor prognosis for HCC; meanwhile, we detected high MSI2 expression in the peritumoral infiltrated myofibroblasts. Conditional deletion of Msi2 in myofibroblasts significantly inhibited the growth of orthotopically implanted HCC, reduced both intrahepatic and lung metastasis, and prolonged the overall survival of tumor-bearing mice (P = 0.002). In vitro analysis demonstrated that myofibroblasts promoted cell proliferation, invasion, and epithelial-mesenchymal transformation of HCC cells, whereas Msi2 deletion in myofibroblasts reversed these effects. Mechanically, Msi2 knockout decreased myofibroblast-derived IL-6 and IL-11 secretion by inhibiting the extracellular signal-regulated kinase 1/2 pathway, and thus attenuated the cancer stem cell-promoting effect of myofibroblasts. Interestingly, we found that the simultaneous knockout of Msi2 in myofibroblasts and knockdown of Msi2 in HCC cells could not further attenuate the implanted HCC progression. CONCLUSIONS: Myofibroblast-specific Msi2 knockout abrogated the tumor-promoting function of myofibroblasts and inhibited HCC progression in mouse models. Targeting myofibroblast MSI2 expression may therefore prove to be a therapeutic strategy for HCC treatment in the future.

Long-term outcome for colorectal liver metastases: combining hepatectomy with intraoperative ultrasound guided open microwave ablation versus hepatectomy alone.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the long-term outcome of combining hepatectomy with intraoperative ultrasound (IOUS)-guided open microwave ablation (MWA) versus hepatectomy alone in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM). METHOD: A retrospective analysis of patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy alone (HT group; 380 patients) or hepatectomy combined with IOUS-guided open MWA (HT + MWA group; 57 patients) from April 2002 to September 2018 was conducted at our center. A propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis was used to reduce data bias between the two groups. RESULTS: The overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were not significantly different between the two groups after matching. Although intrahepatic recurrence was more frequent in the HT + MWA group in both the whole and matched cohort, the two groups exhibited similar rates of extrahepatic recurrence as well as concomitant intra- and extrahepatic recurrence. A higher number of CRLM (>3), larger maximum-size and absence of response to induction chemotherapy were independent risk factors for OS. CONCLUSION: The oncological outcomes of hepatectomy combined with intraoperative open ablation was not significantly different to hepatectomy alone and should be considered as a safe and fair option for patients with difficultly resectable CRLM.

Surgical Resection versus Re-Ablation for Intrahepatic Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Initial Ablation Therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether surgical resection or repeated ablation should be recommended for intrahepatic recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) conforming to the Milan criteria after initial ablation remains unclear. In this study, we compared the outcomes of patients who underwent surgical resection with those who underwent re-ablation for recurrent HCC after initial curative-intent ablation. METHODS: The data of 28 and 98 patients who underwent surgical resection and re-ablation, respectively, for recurrent HCC after initial ablation between January 2003 and 2017 were analyzed using propensity score matching. RESULTS: Before matching, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 95.7, 83.0, and 74.4% for the ablation group, compared to 92.9, 89.1, and 70.9% for the resection group (p = 0.490). The corresponding disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 67.5, 40.1, and 25.6% for the ablation group and were 85.4, 59.9, and 53.3% for the resection group (p = 0.018). After matching, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates for the ablation and resection group were 95.2, 85.5 and 81.8% versus 96.0, 96.0, and 76.4%, respectively (p = 0.550). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS rates were 58.0, 39.5, and 29.9% for the ablation group and were 95.8, 67.2, and 59.8% for the resection group (p = 0.004). Cox proportional hazards model identified surgical resection as the only significant prognostic factor for DFS but not for OS. CONCLUSION: For intrahepatic recurrent HCC patients after initial ablation, surgical resection could provide better DFS than re-ablation, while no difference in OS was observed between the 2 treatment groups.

Histopathological growth patterns correlate with the immunoscore in colorectal cancer liver metastasis patients after hepatectomy.

Various scoring systems have been proposed to predict the postoperative prognosis of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), including the clinical risk score (CRS), the immunoscore and so on. Recently, histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) have been recognized. However, the correlation between HGPs and the immunoscore, and their prognostic values in patients with CRLM after liver resection remain undetermined. In this study, HGPs were retrospectively evaluated in H&E-stained slides from 166 CRLM patients. The immunoscore was calculated according to the densities of immunostained CD3 + and CD8 + cells. A risk score combining HGPs, the immunoscore and the CRS was defined and divided patients into the low-, medium- and high-risk group. Our results showed that the densities of CD3 + and CD8 + cells were higher in the desmoplastic HGP (dHGP) group than in the non-dHGP group, and the proportion of high immunoscores was also higher in the dHGP group (51.9% vs. 33.0%, respectively, P = 0.020). Patients with the dHGP had significantly longer relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) than those with the non-HGP. The low-risk group showed significantly higher 2-year RFS and 5-year OS rates than the other two groups (RFS: 76.2%, 43.7% and 33.1%, respectively; P < 0.001; OS: 89.7%, 54.4% and 33.3%, respectively; P < 0.001). In conclusion, the dHGP correlates with relatively high immunoscores, predicting a favorable prognosis independent of the immunoscore and CRS. A novel risk score combining HGPs, the immunoscore and the CRS may be used for the stratification of CRLM patients' survival.

Comparison of the prognostic value of inflammation-based scores in early recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Inflammation-based prognostic scores, such as the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), Prognostic Index (PI), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), are correlated with the survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, while remain unclear for recurrent HCC. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of inflammation-based prognostic scores for post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with early recurrent HCC (ErHCC, within 2 years after hepatectomy). METHODS: A total of 580 patients with ErHCC were enrolled retrospectively. The association between the independent baseline and the time-dependent variables and PRS was evaluated by cox regression. The prediction accuracy of the inflammation-based prognostic scores was assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) analyses. RESULTS: The GPS, mGPS, PI, PNI, NLR, PLR, LMR and SII were all related to the PRS of ErHCC patients, while only the SII (P < .001) remained an independent predictor for PRS in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio: 1.92, 95% confidence interval: 1.33-2.79). Both the C-index of the SII (0.65) and the areas under the ROC curves showed that the SII score was superior to the other inflammation-based prognostic scores for predicting the PRS of ErHCC patients. CONCLUSIONS: The SII is a useful prognostic indicator for PRS in patients with ErHCC after hepatectomy and is superior to the other inflammation-based prognostic scores in terms of prognostic ability.

Primary tumor location affects recurrence-free survival for patients with colorectal liver metastases after hepatectomy: a propensity score matching analysis.

BACKGROUND: Whether primary tumor location of colorectal cancer (CRC) affects survival of patients after resection of liver metastases remains controversial. This study was conducted to investigate the differences in clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis between right-sided CRC and left-sided CRC patients with liver metastases after hepatectomy. METHODS: From 2002 to 2018, 611 patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) who underwent hepatectomy at our center were reviewed. Primary tumors located from the cecum to transverse colon were defined as right-sided group (n = 141); tumors located from the splenic flexure to rectum were defined as left-sided group (n = 470). Patients were compared between two groups before and after a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. RESULTS: Before PSM, median survival time and 5-year overall survival (OS) rate in right-sided group were 77 months and 56.3%, and those in left-sided group were 64 months and 51.1%, respectively. After PSM, median survival time and 5-year OS rate in right-sided group were 77 months and 55.9%, and those in left-sided group were 58.8 months and 47.3%, respectively. The OS rates did not differ between two groups before and after PSM (P = 0.575, P = 0.453). However, significant different recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate was found before and after PSM between right-sided and left-sided group (P = 0.028, P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to patients with left-sided primary tumors, patients with right-sided primary tumors had a worse RFS but similar OS. Careful preoperative evaluation, intensive preoperative chemotherapy, and frequent follow-up to detect early recurrence might be justified for CRLM patients with right-sided primary tumors.

Lipiodol deposition in portal vein tumour thrombus predicts treatment outcome in HCC patients after transarterial chemoembolisation.

OBJECTIVE: To study lipiodol deposition in portal vein tumour thrombus (PVTT) in predicting the treatment outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after transarterial chemoembolisation (TACE). METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data from 379 HCC patients with PVTT who underwent TACE as the initial treatment at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center from January 2008 to December 2015. Patients were grouped by positive and negative lipiodol deposition based on the extent of lipiodol deposition in PVTT. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared between negative and positive lipiodol deposition groups; furthermore, the value of the combinatorial evaluation of tumour responses and lipiodol deposition in PVTT in predicting prognosis was analysed in subgroup patients with stable disease (SD) after TACE. RESULTS: Of the 379 patients, 264 (69.7%) had negative and 115 (30.3%) had positive lipiodol deposition in PVTT after TACE. Multivariate analysis identified positive lipiodol deposition in PVTT as an independent prognostic factor for favourable OS (p = 0.001). The median OS and PFS of negative and positive lipiodol deposition groups were 4.70 vs. 8.97 months (p = 0.001) and 3.1 months vs. 5.8 months (p < 0.001). In subgroup patients, the median OS and PFS of negative and positive lipiodol deposition groups were 4.7 months vs. 10.5 months (p < 0.001) and 3.5 months vs. 7.0 months (p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The patients with positive lipiodol deposition in PVTT had a longer OS than those with negative lipiodol deposition. Furthermore, the positive lipiodol deposition in PVTT can further differentiate HCC patients with favourable prognosis from SD patients. KEY POINTS: • Lipiodol deposition in PVTT is a prognostic indicator for HCC patients after TACE treatment. • Positive lipiodol deposition in PVTT is associated with a better prognosis.

Nomogram to Predict Survival of Patients With Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Surgery.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We aimed to establish and validate a nomogram to predict survival at 2 and 5 years after recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients who have undergone curative resection. METHODS: We developed a nomogram using data from a training cohort of 638 patients (most with hepatitis B virus infection) with recurrence of HCC after curative resection at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, in Guangzhou, China from 2007 through 2013. The median follow-up time was 39.7 months. Patients were evaluated every 3-4 months for the first 2 years after resection and every 3-6 months thereafter. The nomogram was based on variables independently associated with survival after HCC recurrence, including antiviral treatment; albumin-bilirubin grade and alpha-fetoprotein level at recurrence; time from primary resection to recurrence; size, site, number of recurrences; and treatment for recurrence. We validated the nomogram using data from an independent internal cohort of 213 patients treated at the same institution and an external cohort of 127 patients treated at 2 other centers in China, from 2002 through 2009. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was measured using Harrell's concordance index (C index) and compared with the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system of recurrence. RESULTS: Our nomogram predicted survival of patients in the training cohort with a C-index of 0.797 (95% CI, 0.765-0.830)-greater than that of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system for recurrence (C-index score, 0.713; 95% CI, 0.680-0.745) (P < .001). This nomogram accurately stratified patients into subgroups with predicted long, medium, and short survival times: the proportions of patients in each group who survived 2 years after HCC recurrence were 91.2%, 67.6%, and 23.8%; the proportions of patients in each group who survived 5 years after HCC recurrence were 74.9%, 53.3%, and 9.1%. Our nomogram predicted patient survival times with C-index scores of 0.756 (95% CI, 0.703-0.808) in the internal validation cohort and 0.747 (95% CI, 0.701-0.794) in the external validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a nomogram to determine the probability of survival, at different time points, of patients with recurrence of HCC (most with hepatitis B virus infection), after curative resection and validated it internally and externally.

The Immunoscore system predicts prognosis after liver metastasectomy in colorectal cancer liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: The Immunoscore was initially established to evaluate the prognosis of stage I/II/III colorectal cancer patients. However, the feasibility of the Immunoscore for the prognosis of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM) has not been reported. METHODS: Liver metastases in 249 CRCLM patients were retrospectively analyzed. The Immunoscore was assessed according to the counts and densities of CD3+ and CD8+ T cells in the central- and peritumoral areas by immunohistochemistry. The prognostic role of the Immunoscore for relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was analyzed with Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox multivariate models, and confirmed via an internal validation. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to compare the prognostic values of the Immunoscore and the clinical risk score (CRS) system. RESULTS: CRCLM patients with high Immunoscores (> 2) had significantly longer RFS [median RFS (95% confidence interval; 95% CI) 21.4 (7.8-35.1) vs. 8.7 (6.8-10.5) months, P < 0.001] and OS [median OS (95% CI): not reached vs. 28.7 (23.2-34.2) months, P < 0.001] than those with low Immunoscores (≤ 2). After stratification by CRS, the Immunoscore retained a statistically significant prognostic value for OS. The areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) of the Immunoscore and the CRS system for RFS were 0.711 [95% CI 0.642-0.781] and 0.675[95% CI 0.601-0.749] (P = 0.492), whereas the AUROC of the Immunoscore system for OS was larger than that of the CRS system [0.759 (95% CI 0.699-0.818) vs. 0.660 (95% CI 0.592-0.727); P = 0.029]. CONCLUSIONS: The Immunoscore of liver metastases can be applied to predict the prognosis of CRCLM patients following liver resection.

Impact of follow-up interval on patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative ablation.

BACKGROUND: The optimal follow-up strategy after curative thermal ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed a prospective series of 616 patients who underwent curative thermal ablation for HCC within the Milan criteria. Multivariate Cox model was used to identify independent predictive factors for recurrence; accordingly, patients were stratified into 2 groups with different relapse risks: a low-risk group (solitary tumor ≤3 cm) and a high-risk group (multiple tumors ≤3 cm or solitary tumor between 3 and 5 cm). Then, patients were classified into short- (< 4 months) or long-interval (4-6 months) surveillance groups according to follow-up intensity within the first 2 years after ablation. The overall survival (OS) of patients were compared between short- and long-interval groups in low- or high-risk groups, as well as the stage of recurrent tumors and the proportion of patients who received curative-intent retreatments. RESULTS: In the low-risk group, 54 (83.0%) and 18 (72.0%) of patients exhibited early relapse at the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) 0/A stage in the short- and long-interval groups, respectively (P = 0.172); accordingly, 44 (77.2%) and 18 (81.8%) of patients received curative-intent retreatment (P = 0.086) after recurrence. Hence, 5-year OS was similar between short- and long-interval groups (80.4% vs. 77.5%, P = 0.400) in low-risk patients. However, in the high-risk group, patients with a short interval exhibited early relapse more frequently at the BCLC 0/A stage (83% vs. 72%, P = 0.028), with a trend showing that the corresponding proportion of patients who received curative-intent retreatment greater than that in the long-interval group (64.2% vs. 37.5%, P = 0.087). Moreover, the short-interval group showed better 5-year OS than the long-interval group in high-risk patients (69.9% vs. 42.7%, P = 0.020). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to a short surveillance interval, a long surveillance interval does not reduce OS in low-risk patients; however, a long surveillance interval compromises OS in high-risk patients.

Resection vs. ablation for alpha-fetoprotein positive hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria: a propensity score analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The lack of histopathological confirmation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis for patients receiving ablation may result in misdiagnosis of benign liver nodule as HCC occasionally, contributing to false treatment efficacy. This underestimated issue is one reason why the ablation efficacy remains undetermined compared with hepatic resection. Our aim is to compare the efficacy of ablation and resection for HCC within the Milan criteria after excluding the impact of misdiagnosis. METHODS: Alpha-fetoprotein > 200 ng/ml was introduced as an inclusion criterion to improve diagnosis accuracy. A total of 435 (resection, 310; ablation, 125) HCC patients within the Milan criteria and without portal hypertension were enrolled. Propensity score matching analysis identified 259 (resection, 150; ablation, 109) patients to compare treatment efficacy. RESULTS: Before matching, the survival of resection group were superior to ablation group with 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of 77.6% vs. 53.8% (P < 0.001), respectively, and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of 57.2% vs. 29.1% (P < 0.001) respectively. After matching, the baseline was well-balanced between the two groups. The 5-year OS rates were 71.5% vs. 51.3% (P < 0.001), and 5-year RFS rates were 56.1% vs. 25.6% (P < 0.001) for the resection and ablation groups respectively. Cox regression analysis identified ablation as an independent predictor for mortality and tumour recurrence (HR: 2.123 and 2.308, respectively; both P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Hepatic resection provides better OS and RFS than ablation for alpha-fetoprotein positive HCC patients within the Milan criteria and without portal hypertension.

The role of clinically significant portal hypertension in hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma patients: a propensity score matching analysis.

BACKGROUND: Whether portal hypertension (PHT) is an appropriate contraindication for hepatic resection (HR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient is still under debate. AIMS: Our aim was to assess the impact of clinically significant PHT on postoperative complication and prognosis in HCC patients who undergo HR. METHODS: Two hundred and nine HCC patients who underwent HR as the initial treatment were divided into two groups according to the presence (n = 102) or absence (n = 107) of clinically significant PHT. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to compare postoperative outcomes and survival. RESULTS: Before PSM, PHT patients had higher rates of postoperative complication (43.1% vs. 23.4%; P = 0.002) and liver decompensation (37.3% vs. 17.8%; P = 0.002) with similar rates of recurrence-free survival (RFS; P = 0.369) and overall survival (OS; P = 0.205) compared with that of non-PHT patients. However, repeat analysis following PSM revealed similar rates of postoperative complication (32.2% vs. 39.0%; P = 0.442), liver decompensation (25.4% vs. 32.2%; P = 0.416), RFS (P = 0.481) and OS (P = 0.417; 59 patients in each group). Presence of PHT was not associated with complication by logistic regression analysis, or with overall survival by Cox regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of clinically significant PHT had no impact on postoperative complication and prognosis, and should not be regarded as a contraindication for HR in HCC patients.

Hepatectomy Versus Hepatectomy With Lymphadenectomy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Prospective, Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial.

GOALS AND BACKGROUND: The role of preventive lymphadenectomy has not yet been determined for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. We designed a study to evaluate the effect of hepatectomy combined with preventive lymphadenectomy on HCC patients. STUDY: Patients were randomly divided into group A (treated with hepatectomy alone) and group B (underwent hepatectomy combined with lymphadenectomy). The postoperative complications and oncologic prognoses were analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 85 patients enrolled into this study, 79 cases (38 in group A and 41 in group B) were pathologically confirmed to have HCC and received curative resection. One hundred and sixteen lymph nodes were dissected and evaluated as negative by the pathologist. The 12-, 36-, and 60-month disease-free survival rates of group A were 81.6%, 68.4%, and 63.2%, respectively, whereas they were 78.0%, 65.9%, and 63.4%, respectively, for group B. The 12-, 36-, and 60-month overall survival rates in group A were 94.7%, 78.9%, and 65.8%, respectively, whereas they were 87.8%, 78.0%, and 70.7%, respectively, in group B. The differences in the disease-free survival and overall survival between the 2 groups were not statistically significant according to the log-rank test (P=0.811 and P=0.881, respectively). The difference in the surgical complication rate between groups A and B was not statistically significant (47.4% vs. 36.6%, P=0.332). CONCLUSIONS: Although hepatectomy combined with regional lymphadenectomy is a safe procedure, preventive lymphadenectomy may not decrease the rate of tumor recurrence nor improve the prognosis in early-stage HCC patients.